ITER : The Next Step for Fusion Power December 8, 2005. Parliament of Australia Standing Committee...
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Transcript of ITER : The Next Step for Fusion Power December 8, 2005. Parliament of Australia Standing Committee...
ITER : The Next Step for Fusion Power
December 8, 2005. Parliament of AustraliaStanding Committee on Industry and Resources
Prof John O’Connor
The University of
Newcastle
Dr Boyd Blackwell
Australian National
University
Dr Matthew Hole
Australian National
University
The University of SydneyAUSTRALIA
FLINDERS UNIVERSITYADELAIDE AUSTRALIA
THE AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY
UNIVERSITY OF CANBERRA
Australian Nuclear Science &Tec. Org.
Australian Ins. of Nuclear Science & Eng.
Who are the Australian ITER Forum?
● Scientists and engineers from multiple research disciplines / institutes supporting a mission orientated goal :
controlled fusion as an energy source
● Institution list is growing….
What is fusion ?Controlled fusion :
Comparison of Energy Release per reaction :
Fusion (D2 + T3 He4 + n ) 17,600,000 units
Fission (U235 + n Xe134 + Sr100 + n) 200,000,000 units
Coal (C6H2 + 6.5 O2 6 CO2
+ H 20) 30 unitsUnits are electron volts
Deuterium, Tritium are hydrogen isotopes.
Millions of years of fuel can be extracted from water
Energy gain: 450:1
Fusion : a safe route to nuclear power
Controlled Fusion “Magnetic confinement” use of
magnetic fields to confine a plasma :
e.g. tokamak
Fusion is NOT a chain reaction● No meltdown● Not useful as a weapon
(magnetically confined fusion)
Fusion power requires:● High Temperature(Ti) 100 Million °C
● High density(nD)
● Long confinement time(τE)
“Magnetic Bottle”
Environmentally/politically friendly:● Minimal greenhouse gas emissions● No long term radioactive waste● Abundant fuel (water)
Low level waste, compared to fission
Present ferritic technology allows a reduction of >3,000 over 100 years
100% recycling is possible after 100 years
Using future Vanadium alloy structures, fusion is 1,000,000x less radioactive after 30 years than fission. http://fi.neep.wisc.edu http://www.ofes.fusion.doe.gov
Figure 1: Comparison of fission and fusion radioactivity after decommissioning
Fuels are abundant, Australia has raw materials
Conservatively estimated Earth fuel reserves are : ~ 10,000 years of D-T, ~ millions of years of D-D
T. J. Dolan, Fus. Res., 2000*Australian Government, Geoscience Australia, 2005.
Fuels:
●Deuterium: “unlimited” – 1 litre tap water 800 litres oil
●Tritium: bred from Lithium: > 10,000 years supply Australia has 4%* of world’s resource.
Advanced Materials:
●Vanadium, Tantalum, Niobium, Zirconium
Australia has considerable mineral resources
Opportunity for technology development/Value Added
Fusion power plant designs
Final Report of the European Fusion Power Plant Conceptual Design Study, April 13, 2005
Fusion progress comparison to #
CPU transistors per unit area
Fusion progress exceeds Moore’s law scaling
ITER
Figure 2: Progress of fusion research
ITER : “the way”
Plasma conditions
15MAIp, plasma current
6.2m, 2.0mMajor,minor radius
~10Q = power out/ power in
500MWTotal Fusion power
80106 °C<Ti>
73MWAuxillary heating, current drive
837 m3Plasma Volume
5.3 TeslaMagnetic field
ITER Objectives and Consortium
● ITER is a growing consortium of nations and alliances under the auspices of the IAEA. Current members include European Union, USA, China, Korea, Japan, Russia and now India (Dec. 6).
● ITER is one of the world’s largest science projects.
● Construction / 10 year operation costs : ~ AUD$10bn / $6bn
● Highest funding priority of the worlds’ largest physical sciences research body (US, Dep. Of Energy).
Programmatic : demonstrate fusion energy for peaceful purposes
Physics: “Grand Challenge” burning plasma science
Technology : integrated operation and materials testing
● Objectives
Fusion development time-scales
Source: Accelerated development of fusion power. I. Cook et al. 2005
Scope of Australian Government
Energy White paper (2004)
2005 20502020
ITER
today’s experiments
materials testing facility (IFMIF)
demonstration power-plant (DEMO)
commercial power-plants
R &D on alternative concepts and advanced materials
2010 2015 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Australian has strong expertise in fusion
1934 Sir Mark Oliphant discovers He3+, T, and D-D reaction
1946 Toroidal confinement system research pioneers: Peter
Thonemann (Australian) and Sir George Thomson (UK)
1958 Sir Mark Oliphant commences plasma physics research at ANU
1964 – now : Fusion plasma research at ANU,
UNSW, Flinders University,
Sydney University and ANSTO
Fusion science needs to be a national research priority.
To preserve and grow …
Benefits and Opportunities
Benefits to Australia ● Energy supply and security● Near-term economic and political benefits● Science and technology benefits● Training and retention of skills● Responding to climate change● Fostering international research links● Scientific credibility● Enhance Australia’s position in the IAEA
Resources, Processing, Value Adding● Large resources of rare metals (eg Li, V, Ta) for construction
and fuelling● Development of new technologies and processes.
Fusion is part of a low C02 energy solution
Source: Australian Government Energy White paper
Renewable energy
Fusion power offers:● base-load replacement to fossil
fuels● high energy-density supply,
powering cities & industry● power grid stability
●zero nuclear proliferation
●very low level radioactive waste
●universal accessibility of fuel
Figure 3: Past and future Australian electricity sources
Plus…
Fusion – clean, safe nuclear power for the future
“bottling the sun”
RECOMMENDATIONS
1 – Australia negotiates a subscription to ITER as a matter of urgency.
2 – A national or international centre be established to consolidate Australia’s research efforts in fusion related research
Annual Radiation Dose Source (in microsieverts)
Where you live
What is in you
What you eatMedical and Travel
Living within 10km Nuclear power plant
Living within 10km of a coal fired power plant
~ 2000 microsieverts per annum
Fusion Relevant Minerals
158.7 kT80.7 kT (21.5%)Titanium (Ti) 3
2147 kT194 kT (4.3%)Niobium (Ni)
40.9 kT14.9 kT (40.5%)Zirconium (Zr) 3
154.2 kT 53 kT (94.6 %)Tantalum (Ta)
5061 kT2586 kT (19.9 %)Vanadium (V)
257 kT 170 kT (4.1%)Lithium (Li)
Australian TOTAL 2
Australian EDR 1 (% world )
Mineral
Fuel
Structural
Super-conductor
Source: Australian Government, Geosciences Australia, 2005
1 Economic Demonstrated Resource2 demonstrated plus inferred resources 3 inferred from mineral sand deposits
Fusion – clean, safe nuclear power for the future
“bottling the sun”
Fusion
Base-load energy generation yes
High energy density yes
Power grid stability yes
Nuclear non proliferation yes
Radioactive waste 100 years
Universal accessibility of fuel yes
Terrorist Potential low
Large scale availability ~50 years
primary energy consumption : 1903-1973: Australian Historical Records
1974-1995 Australian Bureau of Agricultural and resource Economics
GDP : 1901-1963, Portrait of the Family in the Total Economy, Snooks G.D.
1974-1995 Australian Bureau of Agricultural and resource Economics
(Australian Commodity Statistics)
Australian standard of living tracks energy use
Source: Hamilton and Turton 2002
Australia is the most CO2 polluting nation on Earth.
1998 Per capita greenhouse emissions for selected industrial nations
0.00
1 $
/ kW
hr internal costs: costs of constructing, fuelling, operating, and disposing of power stations
external costs: “estimated” impact costs to the environment, public and worker health,
Prospects for fusion electricity, I. Cook et al. Fus. Eng. & Des. 63-34, pp25-33, 2002
Fusion power will be economically competitive
Economic / Scientific Spin-offs
MHD
Coal
Energy
Project
Aerosp
ace
Applica
tions
Hydrog
en
Storage
Solar
Therma
l
Collect
or
Material
s ITER First Wall
Materials Science
700oC
Steam
Project
Fusion triple product nD ETi>3 1021 m-3 keV s
Conditions for fusion power● To achieve fusion products need to be heated to 100 million degrees.
● At these extreme conditions matter
exists in the plasma state
● “Lawson” ignition criterion : Fusion power > heat loss
100 million °C
● To achieve adequate output to produce ongoing energy production we need
● High Temperature(Ti) 100 Million °C
● High number density(nD)
● Long confinement time(τE)
“Magnetic Bottle”
Reaction cross-section
Fusion –
bottling the
sun safely…
A responsible low C02 emission energy future
requires investment in a blend of nuclear +
renewable power technologies
Fuels and raw materials abundant
Australia: 217,000T
World: 4,110,000T
Manufactured: Li+n→ He + T
(produced inside
reactor)
1 part in ~10,000 in water
Abundance
Deuterium Tritium Lithium
● Estimated Earth fuel reserves are : ~ millions years of D-T, ~ billion years of D-D
T. J. Dolan, Fus. Res., 2000Australian Government, Geoscience Australia, 2005.
Energy lifetimes