Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes...

11
Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

Transcript of Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes...

Page 1: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

Israel’s housing market

Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECDGlobes Conference December 2011

Page 2: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

The market has turned around

Page 3: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

An unusual history of price developments

Page 4: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

A small upswing in prices compared to some markets

Page 5: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

No (very loud) alarm bells (yet) in other indicators

Page 6: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

Conservative mortgage lending

• Virtual absence of securitisation

• Low loan-to-value ratios

Page 7: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

Possible contingency measures

• Reversal (perhaps partial) of macroprudential measures

• Tempering of efforts to encourage new housing construction

Page 8: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

Distinctive features of Israeli housing support

• Unusual objective function

• Highly centralised

Page 9: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

Notable common challenges in housing support

• Diversion of support

• Mobility traps

• Coherence with other benefits and the tax system

Page 10: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

The in-depth chapter recommends

• A simpler and more transparent system

• Some specific adjustments to help make better use of spending

Page 11: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011.

Thank you!