Israel-United States Relations: Special Relations, and what is next?

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    Israel- United States Relations: Special Relations, and What Is Next?

    Prof. Yaacov Bar-Siman-TovDepartment of International RelationsThe Hebrew University & The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies

    Prepared for the President's Conference

    Introduction

    The special relations between the United States and Israel are the most important

    political & security assets that Israel holds in the international sphere. These relations,

    which were formed after the Six-Day War, assisted Israel in promoting its political

    and security goals in both the Middle Eastern and the International systems. Israel has

    a major interest in not only preserving these relations, but also in promoting them as

    much as possible. The essentiality of the special relations is substantial particularly at

    this era in which Israel is kept in international exclusion. The continuity of the

    previous USA support for Israel at the same level and scope is needed in order to face

    the de-legitimacy processes of the Israeli policy and even of the State of Israel in

    different circles of the international system.

    USA support of Israel and the promotion of the special relations are not

    necessarily automatic and are also dependent on the Israeli peace policy mainly in the

    context of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. During the chairmanship of Barak Obama

    and the prime minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, in the past two years the

    special relations between Israel and the USA fell into a crisis over the promotion of

    the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. Although the specials relations grew in the

    strategic-security field during this period, the peace process field of the special

    relations was harmed due to lack of agreement between the two states over the

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    solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, while the dispute over the settlements issue

    was the most prominent.

    This crisis has taken place after 16 years of continuous growth in the special

    relations during the presidency period of Bill Clinton and George Bush (Jr.), and

    Israeli prime ministers: Yitzhak Rabin, Shimon Peres, Ehud Barak, Ariel Sharon and

    Ehud Olmert. The Israeli policy in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is also at the center

    of the Israeli relations with the Jewish community in the United States, and the

    tendency to doubt the Israeli policy in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is growing in the

    liberal circles of the said Jewish community, so that it is no longer willing to

    automatically support the Israeli policy.

    This paper aims to characterize the relations between the USA and Israel as special

    relations and to explain its sources, as well as to focus on the characteristics of these

    relations in the context of the peace process, and to point out the importance of

    amendment of the special relations in a peace process.

    Defining the USA-Israeli relations as special relations

    The definition of relations between two states as special is meant to

    individualize and separate them from ordinary relations between states. The

    appearance of this term is rare and uncommon in the field of foreign relations,

    especially when it comes to relations between a superpower and a small state.

    Defining the special relations between the USA and Israel determines that USA and

    Israel have a unique partnership, which entirely differs from the other relations of the

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    two states with other world countries. The two parties share political, ideological,

    strategic and security interests which can be called a commonwealth of shared

    interests, alongside with values, principles and common norms which can be called

    a commonwealth of shared values. The special relations between the USA as a

    powerful country and Israel as a small state have no match in the international sphere.

    This is indeed a rare case in international modern history. Both sides give enormous

    significance to the relations and work for their nurturing, empowerment and

    continuity. These relations include a high leveled friendship, sympathy, trust and a

    close, intensive political and security cooperation. Each side has a unique position in

    the domestic and foreign policy of the other. The special relations are not limited to

    leaders and policy makers alone, but include both friend-states fully, and insure their

    continuity and survival ability even at times of crisis between the two states. The

    relations are based on mutuality which is beneficial to both states. USA provides

    Israel political, military and economic assistance in large and continuant scales.

    Israel sees the USA interests in shaping its foreign policy as highly important, and

    it shows the USA great loyalty as it tends to answer its requests and works for

    promoting USA interests as well as its own. Between the years 1948 and 2010 Israel

    received directly over 110 billion dollars from the USA, military and economic

    assistance. Since 1985 all assistance was given as grant. Israel is the top assistance

    recipient of the USA. Despite this fact, the special relations were never given a formal

    status of a military and political treaty.

    The sources of the special relations

    Two main sources or foundations to these special relations can be pointed out.

    One is soft and the other is hard. The soft sources of the relations are the common

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    values, principles and norms, including democratic and liberal regimes, initiative,

    religious valued commonness: Judo-Christian and immigrant societies. In addition,

    the existence of a large effective Jewish community which sees the USA support of

    Israel as a main and central factor in the special relations. Although the soft sources

    are initial and vital to the existence of the special relations, they were not enough for

    defining the relations as special. Only once the strategic-security factors became a

    part of the relations, they were defined as special. The definition of the relations as

    special was determined by the USA and not by Israel only when the USA was

    convinced that the shared strategic-security interests with Israel enhances its own

    global and regional interests.

    The turning point was Israels military victory in the Six-Day War which

    enhanced Israels strategic importance, in its ability not only to defend itself, but also

    to assist in protecting USA interests in the area. Israels military victory established a

    new territorial, political and strategic reality in the Middle East, which enabled the

    USA to strengthen its regional status over the Soviet Union as an only mediator which

    works to resolving the Arab-Israeli conflict.

    Special Relations in a Peace Process

    The special relations in the peace process mainly developed after Yom Kippur

    War in 1973, since all the parties involved: The USA, Israel and Arab countries saw

    the special relations between the USA and Israel as the main stimulus which will

    enable the promotion of a political process in the area. Each side saw the relations

    differently and tried to manipulate them in favor of its own interests. As a result, some

    tense appeared in the relations between the USA and Israel. After Yom-Kippur War,

    USA believed that there was an opportunity of transforming the Arab-Israeli conflict

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    and establishing American peace in the area. Transforming the conflict required

    adopting the formula of Security Council Resolution 242 Land for Peace. The

    Israeli occupation of the lands was the key to the transformation. USA alone could

    convince Israel to accept the formula of land for peace. The great advantage USA had

    at this point was the special relations with Israel. USA was the only powerful country

    Israel was willing to accept as a mediator in the conflict. Without the special relations

    with Israel, USA had only little effect on the Arab-Israeli conflict. The importance of

    Israel as strategic asset was now defined in terms of willingness to accept the

    American peace strategy. In making peace, Israel is a concrete strategic asset. Thus

    Egypt, Syria as well as Jordan and the Palestinians realized that the path to Jerusalem

    goes through Washington and that only the USA has an influence over Israel. Israel

    was rightfully afraid that it will have to pay for promoting regional American interests

    and that will damage the exclusiveness of its relations with the USA.

    However, the possibility of American mediation created a concrete opportunity to

    minimize the regional instability and the danger of war. Henry Kissinger, the

    American Secretary of State and the National Security Advisor, developed a new

    concept of the special relations with Israel in a peace process. The new concept was

    based on the following assumptions: (1) USA cannot promote a peace process without

    Israel (2) The special relations are mainly an asset and not a burden for the USA (3)

    Arab countries see the special relations as an asset and not as a burden since only

    USA can change Israels policy (4) USA accepts Israels position that it is risking

    itself by making peace with Arab countries which are not democratic and that have a

    tradition of breaking agreements (5) USA does not wish to weaken Israel or put it in

    danger (6) Israel trusts the USA and can take risks for making peace (7) USA will

    work in order to significantly minimize these risks by taking the following actions: (a)

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    USA is willing to negotiate with Israel over a mutual concept of coordination in a

    peace process. (b) USA will not surprise Israel by taking unilateral initiatives, (c)

    USA will promise to preserve Israels existence and safety by giving in a generous

    security and economic assistance (d) USA will give Israel security and political grants

    for establishing and maintaining the agreements with the Arab countries (e ) USA will

    give Israel a green light for independent activity in case USA shall be unable to

    prevent the dangers of breaking security agreements with the Arab countries (f) USA

    shall not agree with an Israeli veto over peace processes and it will make a wise use of

    its diplomatic means if needed to convince Israel to accept the American peace

    initiatives. The process of minimizing the Arab-Israeli conflict in the years 1974-1975

    which brought to the establishment of two separation agreements between Israel and

    Egypt and between Israel and Syria, created the foundations for special relations

    between the USA and Israel in a peace process.

    USA recognized the importance of the Israeli occupation of the land as a stimulus

    for a peace process and confirmed that Israel was compensated through security,

    economic and diplomatic means for its willingness to give up land. Israel recognized

    the importance of the peace process and helped the USA to operate the American

    peace in the area. Defining Israel as a strategic asset was now not only related to its

    security-strategic status, but also to its willingness to make peace. The special

    relations in a peace process also fell into crisis from time to time, due to

    disagreements around the promotion of the peace process and the concessions Israel

    was requested to make. The most eminent examples are: the crisis of March 1975,

    which brought the USA to reevaluate the special relations with Israel, crises in the

    Israeli-Egyptian peace process in the years 1977-1979, and crises in the years 1988-

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    1992 over the issue of the settlements and the participation of Israel in peace

    conference in Madrid.

    The special relations during a peace process climaxed in the Oslo process years

    1993-2000, during the peace process with Jordan in 1994, and during the peace

    process with Syria in the years 1993-2000, during the chairmanship of president Bill

    Clinton and the prime ministers Yitzhak Rabin and Shimon Peres. Alongside with the

    special relations, a very close relationship was developed between the president of the

    USA and the prime ministers of Israel. Rabin defined the peace making as the main

    contribution of Israel to the special relations with the USA. A peace making Israel is a

    strategic asset for the USA. For the first time Israel was managing two negotiation

    courses at the same time with the Palestinians and the Syrians. Rabin was willing to

    take calculated risks for establishing peace, and Clinton promised that the USA will

    assist Israel to minimize these risks through tightening the strategic and political

    relations.

    Special Relations in fighting terrorism

    The special relations between the USA and Israel continued to tighten during the

    chairmanship of President George Bush (Jr.) and prime ministers Ariel Sharon and

    Ehud Olmert. These relations were characterized by an enhancement of the security-

    strategic cooperation in fighting terrorism, following the terror attack over the USA

    on September 2001, the violent Israeli-Palestinian confrontation in 2001-2005, the

    second Lebanon War in 2006, and the Gaza Operation at the end of 2008 and the

    beginning of 2009. The close support of Israel by the USA in the violent

    confrontations with the Palestinians and Hezbollah enabled Israel to handle these

    confrontations without burdening external constraints. USA also supported Israels

    disengagement plan from Lebanon in 2000 and from the Gaza Strip in 2005.

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    However, alongside with the fight against terrorism the USA continued to work for

    establishing regional peace and the Annapolis Process it initiated brought to the

    renewal of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process.

    Special Relations in crisis in the Obama -Netanyahu Era

    Even before the chairmanship of Barak Obama, different officials in the USA

    administration, who participated in the peace process between Israel and the

    Palestinians and between Israel and Syria such as Dennis Ross, Martin Indyk, Aaron

    Miller, Dan Kurtzer (in the memoirs published on the peace process in the era of

    Clinton and Bush) made claims that the special relations between the USA and Israel

    in the Clinton and Bush era were at times a concrete burden to the peace process and

    even damaged the effectiveness of American mediation. These personalities called to

    the new coming administration to reevaluate the special relations between Israel and

    the USA in a peace process. The question is, therefore, how to use the special

    relations so that it will benefit the peace process. Although these personalities

    recognize the importance of the special relations as a stimulus to the peace process,

    they call for proportionality of these relations during a peace process. These

    personalities recommended that: special relations- yes, exclusiveness of the special

    relations- no. Israel may be given military and economic assistance so that it may

    defend itself, but its positions must not harm the peace process, especially on the issue

    of the settlements. The settlements, including the Jewish neighborhoods in Eastern

    Jerusalem were never accepted as legal by the USA. These personalities

    recommended that with every renewal of the peace process, the issue of settlement

    expansion must be dealt with properly. These advisors recommended that the USA

    will insist that during the negotiation over the Final Settlement all construction in the

    settlements shall cease, including construction in settlement blocs, and will be

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    renewed only on agreement of the Palestinians. It seems that the Obama regime

    embraced these recommendations and is acting accordingly.

    Although the Obama regime has tightened the special relations with Israel in the

    security-strategic area in the past two years, it has cooled them off during a peace

    process. Obama does not see the special relations in the peace process with Israel as

    an asset, but mainly as a burden since he holds Israel responsible of the stagnation of

    the peace process in the past two years, mainly for its refusal to cease the settlements.

    The settlements are conceived as a disturbance to the peace process. Obama has

    shown and is showing great sympathy to the Palestinian issue and Palestinian

    suffering and is determined to found a Palestinian State in the borders of 1967, which

    will live peacefully alongside with Israel. However, the Obama regime believes that a

    Palestinian state could only be founded through an agreement with Israel following a

    peace process, and not through a U.N. decision. Although Israel agreed to freeze the

    construction in the settlements for a 10 month period, the approach talks in the

    mediation of the presidential emissary, George Mitchell, have brought no real

    progress to the peace process and in fact they brought to a significant deterioration

    compared to the Annapolis process. It seems that the USA failed to make use of the

    settlement freeze in order to move the process forward. The Palestinians refusal to

    renew to direct negotiation with Israel Palestinian state can be established without an

    agreement with Israel following a peace process create a real challenge to the future

    of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process.

    Special relations reconstruction during a peace process

    In the past two years the special relations in peace process are at a consistent

    withdrawal and have reached a worrying low which might affect the whole set of

    special relations, including the strategic-political field. On both sides lies the

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    responsibility to amend the special relations and to reevaluate its importance during a

    peace process. This can be done by renewing the trust between both sides. The old

    premises of special relations in peace process are fitting nowadays as well: promoting

    peace is an American interest, but it is also an Israel one. There can be no promotion

    of a political process without American mediation. There can be no promotion of a

    political process without Israeli consent. A peace making Israel is an American

    strategic asset. Israel will announce its willingness to take calculated risks for

    establishing peace. USA will assist Israel in minimizing the risks of peace making

    through giving guarantees and security, economic and political assistance.

    Reconstruction the special relations with the USA in such a harsh era of de-

    legitimation for the Israeli policy and the state of Israel itself is a vital Israeli interest.

    The special relations with the USA are a true asset which Israel must not endanger,

    but these relations are also the only stimulus the USA has for promoting a peace

    process in the Middle East. Both sides are called to rebuild the trust in the relations

    and to reevaluate alone and together the essentiality of the special relations to both

    sides. Special relations are not necessarily a total agreement on every matter in peace

    process, and both sides have different interests. However, special relations require

    mutual efforts to a clarification of the disagreements and finding compromises which

    will serve the interests on both sides.