SixKeyChallengesfortheNextDecadeSixMajorInnova-onOpportuni-esISPIM|Porto|20June2016 Theworld’sleadingopenforesightprogram

ThisTalkCoversThreeTopics

SixKeyChallengesfortheNextDecadeTheWorldin2025–SomeInsightsfrom120DiscussionsSixMajorInnovaHonOpportuniHes

SixKeyChallengesforTheNextDecade

FuturePeopleWithanincreasinglyunequalandageingpopula-on

inmanycountries,howwillwegeneratethewealthtofairlyrebalancesocietyandaffordbeJercareprovision?

FuturePlaceAstheshiMtourbanlivingputspressureontheinfrastructure,

howdowecreatelas-ngci-esthatdeliverbeJerqualityoflifeandalsosupportruralcommuni-es?

FuturePowerWithWesterngovernmentscedinginfluencetoci-esandnetworks

atthesame-measAsiaandAfricaassertgreaterauthority,howwillgloballeadershipbedefined?

FutureBeliefInaworldofchangingpriori-esandshiMingloyal-es,whoandwhatwillsetthevaluesandnormsbywhich

wechoosetoliveourlivestogreaterbenefit?

FutureBehaviourAsmoreofusrecognisethecoreissuesandconstraintsforthefuture,howdoweadoptmoreefficientaRtudesandchangeourbehaviourtoprotectwhatmaJers?

FutureBusinessBy2025,organisa-onsdrivensolelybyprofitwillnotbesustainable.

Howwilltheyevolvetoaddressnewchallenges,developopportuni-esandcontributetosociety?

TheWorldin2025|InsightsfromMul-pleExpertDiscussions

FutureAgendaTheFutureAgendaistheworld’slargestopenforesightprogram

thataccessesmul-pleviewsofthenextdecadesowecanallbebeJerinformedands-mulateinnova-on.

FutureAgenda2.0TopicsThesecondversionoftheFutureAgendaprogramtookplace

during2015andhasbeenaddressing24topicsvia120eventsin45ci-esin35countriesinpartnershipwith50corehosts.

Ci-es

Educa-on

Learning

Transport

Collabora-on

Energy

Loyalty

Travel

Company

Faith

Payments

Water

Connec-vity

Food

Privacy

Wealth

Currency

Government

Resources

Work

Ageing

Data

Health

Trade

FutureAgendainNumbersThefirstFutureAgendaprogrammeengagedawiderangeofviewsin

25countries.FutureAgenda2.0hasdoubledtheface-to-faceinterac-onandsignificantlyraisedonlinesharing,debateanddiscussion.

FutureAgenda1.01HOST16TOPICS25COUNTRIES50WORKSHOPS1500ORGANISATIONS

FutureAgenda2.050HOSTS24TOPICS35COUNTRIES120WORKSHOPS5000ORGANISATIONS

EverythingConnectedOver1trillionsensorsareconnectedtomul-plenetworks:everythingthatcanbenefitfromaconnec-onhasone.Wedeliver10,000xmoredata100xmoreeffec-velybutareconcernedaboutthesecurityoftheinforma-onthatflows.

ImbalancedPopulaHonGrowthAgrowingpopula-onaddsanotherbillionpeoplebutitisalsorapidlyageing:achildbornnextyearwilllive6monthslongerthanoneborntoday.Whilemigra-onhelpstorebalance,increasingdependencyra-oschallengemany.

ShiWingPowerandInfluenceThecentreofgravityofeconomicpowercon-nuesshiMingeastwards,backtowhereitwas200yearsago.Recentsuperpowersseektomoderatethepaceofchangebutthereali-esofpopula-onandresourceloca-onsareimmoveable.

AffordableHealthcareTheescala-ngcostofhealthcareisfurtherstressedbytheneedtosupporttheoldandthechronicallyill.Spending20%ofGDPonhealthcareisseenasunsustainablesoharddecisionsaretakenaroundbudgetsandpriori-es.

AutonomousVehiclesTheshiMtofullyautonomoustransportisanevolu-onviatruckplatoonsonhighwaysandsmallurbandeliverypods.Connectedcarscreatethenetworkandtestthetechnologiesfortheeventualrevolu-onarydriverlessexperience.

AirQualityRisingairpollu-oninmanyci-esiskillingpeopleandbecomesavisiblecatalystforchangingmind-setsandpoliciesacross

health,energy,transporta-onandurbandesign.

IntraCityCollaboraHonIncreasingcompe--onbetweenci-esoverridesna-onalboundariesanddrives

change.TheycompetetoaJractthebestbutalsocollaboratetoavoidthedownsideofsuccess–over-crowding,under-resourcingandpollu-on.

TheValueofDataAsorganisa-onstrytoretainasmuchinforma-onabouttheircustomersaspossible,databecomesacurrencywithavalueandaprice.Ittherefore

requiresamarketplacewhereanythingthatisinforma-onisrepresented.

TheChangingNatureofPrivacyAsprivacyisapublicissue,moreinterna-onalframeworksseektogoverntheInternet,protectthevulnerableandsecurepersonaldata:Thebalancebetween

protec-on,security,privacyandpublicgoodisincreasinglypoli-cal.

AccesstoTransportThewidespreadneedforindividualstotravelshortdistancesbecomesakeyfeatureofurbandesignandregenera-on.Plannersusetransport

infrastructuretoinfluencesocialchangeandlowercarbonliving.

AcceleraHngDisplacementClimatechange,conflict,resourceshortages,inequalityandpoli-calelitesunableorunwillingtobringaboutnecessarychangealltriggerunprecedentedmigra-ontotheNorth.Overthenext50years,asmanyas1billionpeoplecouldbeonthemove.

CiHzen-CentricCiHesSuccessfulci-eswillbedesignedaroundtheneedsanddesiresofincreasinglyempoweredandenabledci-zens-whoareexpec-ngpersonalizedservicesfromtheorganisa-onsthatservethem.

PlasHcOceansThereareincreasinghighlevelsofman-madepollu-oninmanyoftheworld’sseasandliJleactuallydisappears.

By2050therewillbemoreplas-cthanfishintheworld’soceans.

SomeHmesNomadsElec-vemigra-on,cheaptravel,interna-onalknowledgesharingand

increasinglytransientworkingmodelscreateconnectednomadswhomixthetradi-onsofhomewiththevaluesandcustomsoftheirhostloca-on.

WorkingLongerPeoplearehavingtoworkforlongertosupportlongerre-rements.

Flexibleworkingprac-cesandpoliciesareemerging,butsomeemployerscon-nuetoremainambivalentaboutolderworkers.

AfricaGrowthWithalandmassbiggerthanIndia,China,theUSandEuropecombined,fewdoubtthescaleoftheAfricancon-nentanditsresources.However,un-l

recently,onlysomehaveseenitasthegrowthmarketthatitisfastbecoming.

Eco-CivilisaHonOverthepast40yearsChinahasgrownapace,mostlywithoutconcernfor

long-termenvironmentalimpacts.However,nowfacedwithmajorchallenges,abrightlightofsustainabledevelopmentisemerging.

DigitalMoneyCashcon-nuestobegraduallyreplacedbydigitalmoney,providing

consumerswithmoreconvenienceandchoice–andorganisa-onswithlowercosttransac-ons.Wideradop-onenablesnewofferstoproliferate.

SpeedtoScaleGreaterglobalconnec-vity,growingconsumerwealthandbroaderreachallcombinetoacceleratethe-meto1bncustomersanda$10bnvalua-onforstart-upsandnewcorporateventuresalike.

SixMajorInnovaHonOpportuniHes

FoodWaste30-50%ofourfoodiswastedeitherinthesupplychainorinconsump-onandcouldfeedanother3billion.Op-misingdistribu-onandstorageindevelopingcountriesandenablingbeJerconsumerinforma-oninotherscouldsolvethis.

BasicSanitaHonPoorsanita-oncon-nuestoimpactpublichealthandrestrictsocialprogress,

par-cularlyforwomen.Governmentsanddonororganisa-onspriori-semeasurement,educa-onandinnova-oninabidtodrivechange.

EducaHonRevoluHonBroaderaccesstoimprovededuca-onactsasamajorcatalystfor

empowerment,sustainedeconomicgrowth,overcominginequalityandreducingconflict.Weneedaneduca-onsystemfitforthedigitalrevolu-on.

ADataMarketplaceDataisacurrency,ithasavalueandaprice,andthereforerequiresamarketplace.Anecosystemfortradingdataisemergingandanything

thatisinforma-onisrepresentedinanewdatamarketplace.

EthicalMachinesAutoma-onspreadsbeyondtradingandmanagingsystemicrisk.Asweapproachtechnologysingularity,autonomousrobotsand

smarteralgorithmsmakeethicaljudgmentsthatimpactlifeordeath.

DeeperCollaboraHonPartnershipsshiMtobecomemoredynamic,long-term,democra-sed,

mul--partycollabora-ons.Compe-toralliancesandwiderpublicpar-cipa-ondriveregulatorstocreatenewlegalframeworksforopen,empathe-ccollabora-on.

MoreInformaHonandInsights

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