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    FOCUSSIS

    INSTITUTEOFSTRATEGICANDINTERNATIONALSTUDIES(ISIS)MALAYSIA

    www.isis.org.myLimitedCirculation

    The 26th AsiaPacific Roundtable2830 May 2012, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

    Asian Security Governance and Order

    CONFERENCE REPORT

    SPECIALEDITION

    IssueNo.5 May2013 PP5054/11/2012(031098)

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    Publishedby

    InstituteofStrategicandInternationalStudies(ISIS)Malaysia

    No.1,PersiaranSultanSalahuddin

    P.O.Box12424,50778KualaLumpur,Malaysia

    Tel: +60326939366

    Fax: +60326915435

    Email: [email protected]

    Website:www.isis.org.my

    The Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS)

    Malaysiawasestablishedon8April1983,inrealizationofa

    decisionmadeby theMalaysianGovernment to setupan

    autonomous, notforprofit research organization that

    would act as the nations thinktank. ISIS Malaysia wasenvisioned to contribute towards sound public policy

    formulationanddiscourse.

    TheresearchmandateofISISthereforespansawidearea.It

    includes economics, foreign policy and security studies,

    socialpolicy,and technology, innovation,environmentand

    sustainability.

    ISIS Malaysia today fosters dialogue and promotes the

    exchange of views and opinions at both national and

    international levels. Itundertakes research incollaboration

    withnationaland internationalorganizations, in important

    areas such as national development and international

    affairs.

    ISISMalaysiaalsoengagesactively inTrackTwodiplomacy,

    fostering highlevel dialogues at national, bilateral and

    regional levels, through discussions with influential

    policymakersandthoughtleaders.

    RESEARCHEconomics

    Research inthisarea isgenerallyaimedatpromotingrapid

    andsustainedeconomicgrowthandequitabledevelopment

    inthenation.Westudyspecific(ratherthangeneric)issues

    that concern the nations competitiveness, productivity,

    growth and income. Areas of research include

    macroeconomicpolicy, trade and investment,banking and

    finance, industrial and infrastructure development and

    human capital and labour market development. The

    objectiveofallourresearchistodevelopactionablepolicies

    andtospurinstitutionalchange.

    ForeignPolicyandSecurityStudies

    Theprimary aim of thisprogramme is toprovide relevant

    policyanalysesonmatterspertainingtoMalaysiasstrategic

    interestsaswellasregionalandinternational issues,witha

    focus on the AsiaPacific Region. These include security

    studies, foreignpolicy,SoutheastAsianpoliticsandmilitary

    affairs.

    Socialpolicy

    Demographic and sociocultural trends are changing

    Malaysian society and the social policy programme was

    established to respond to these developments. Research in

    this area is concerned with effective nation building, and

    fostering greater national unity. In particular, we look at

    issues involving the youth, women and underprivileged

    communities. In conducting its research, ISIS Malaysia

    networks with nongovernmental organizations and civil

    societygroups.

    Technology,Innovation,Environment&Sustainability(TIES)

    The TIES programme provides strategic foresight,

    collaborativeresearchandpolicyadvice tothepublicsector,

    businesses andpolicy audiences,on technology, innovation,

    environmentandsustainabledevelopment. Itsfocusincludes

    green growth as well as energy, water and food security.

    Towards this end, TIES has been active in organizing

    dialogues,forums,policybriefsandconsultancies.

    HIGHLIGHTS

    ISIS Malaysia has, among others, researched and provided

    concretepolicyrecommendationsfor:

    Greater empowerment and revitalization of a nationalinvestmentpromotionagency;

    A strategic plan of action to capitalize on the rapid

    growth and development of a vibrant Southeast Asian

    emergingeconomy;

    AMasterPlantomovetheMalaysianeconomytowards

    knowledgebasedsourcesofoutputgrowth;

    Theconceptualizationofanationalvisionstatement;

    Effective management and rightsizing of the public

    sector;and

    Strengthening of ASEAN institutions and cooperation

    processes.

    ISISMalaysia has organized the highly regarded AsiaPacificRoundtable, an annual conference of highlevel security

    policymakers,implementersandthinkers,since1986.

    INTERNATIONALNETWORKINGAsamemberoftheTrackTwocommunity,ISISMalaysiaparticipatesinthefollowingnetworks: ASEANISISnetworkofpolicyresearchinstitutes; Council for Security and Cooperation in Asia and the

    Pacific(CSCAP); NetworkofEastAsianThinkTanks(NEAT);and PacificEconomicCooperationCouncil(PECC).It is also a partner institute of the World EconomicForum(WEF).

    EditorialTeamMahaniZainalAbidin

    StevenWong

    SusanTeoh

    ThangamKRamnath

    DesignRazakIsmail

    JefriHambali

    PhotographyJefriHambali/HalilMusa

    ABOUTISISMALAYSIA

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    The Hon. Prime Minister of Malaysia, Dato Sri

    Mohd. Najib Tun Abdul Razak officiated at the

    Roundtable and delivered the Keynote Address.

    The following report covers the ten plenary

    sessionsandtwoconcurrentsessionsconvenedat

    theRoundtablethisyear.

    AsianSecurity:OrderorDisorder

    The Asian Security Order has undergone

    significantchangeover time.TheColdWarorder

    (19451990) based on realist and instrumental

    dynamics, is being overtaken by efforts towards

    the construction of a contractual order. The

    eventual goal of the postColdWar order is the

    formationofa communitarianorder.Thedegree

    and type of order at a particular point in time

    showed variations across both issues and sub

    regions. In the postCold War era, the Asian

    Security Order has been driven by three key

    dynamics:

    1. Nation andstatemaking: Most of the

    conflicts inAsia,whetherbetweenNorth

    and South Korea, or between China and

    Taiwan,orbetweenIndiaandPakistan,all

    relate to nation and statemaking.

    Conflictsoverpoliticalsystemssuchas in

    Thailandarealsorelatedtostatemaking;

    2. Rise of Asian powers: This relates

    particularly to the rise of China and the

    impactthishasforthesecurityofAsia;

    The 26th AsiaPacific RoundtableConferenceReport

    The 26

    thAsiaPacific Roundtablewas convened in Kuala Lumpur,Malaysia,from 28

    to 30May

    2012.Continuing its traditionofbeing thepremierTrackTwo security conference in theAsia

    Pacific, this years Roundtable attracted more than 370 security experts,policymakers and

    academicsfrom theAsiaPacific region. Itwasorganisedby the InstituteofStrategicand International

    Studies(ISIS)Malaysia,onbehalfoftheASEAN InstitutesofStrategicand InternationalStudies (ASEAN

    ISIS).This reportwas compiledbyMrWooHonWeng,with theassistanceofMrAlizanMahadi,Ms

    Natalie ShobanaAmbrose, DrJorah Ramlan, Ms MazlenaMazlan,MsNor IzzatinaAbdulAziz, Mr

    ShahnazSharifuddin,MrShahrimanLockman,MrBillyTeaandMsZarinaZainuddin.

    (Fromleft)MuthiahAlagappaandBrianJob

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    3. Economic growth, competition, and

    cooperation: Economic growth has

    become the primary focus of Asian

    governments.Asiahasbecomeoneofthethree core world regions with the

    prospect of becoming the hub of the

    world.

    Interactions between these three

    dynamics have created a very complex security

    environment. Therefore, multiple arrangements

    and strategies are required for constructing and

    sustainingsecurityorder inAsia.The largelyzero

    sum machinations of the Cold War has been

    replaced by much more complicated relationswhich makes for cooperation and crosscutting

    interdependence, as well as conflict. In this

    situation, there aremultiple pathways to order.

    Bilateralism, regionalism, and the balance of

    power have assumed greater significance in

    sustaining order in Asia while hegemony has

    declinedafteraverybriefspurt.

    The roles of these different pathways

    variedinthreedifferentissueareasrelatedtothe

    securityorder:

    1. Rules:Asia relies extensively on global

    regimes.Regionalrulesmostlyemphasize

    principles and norms, and rarely go into

    regulatoryandenforcementrules;

    2. Goals:National goals still dominate, with

    veryfewcollectivegoals;

    3. Instruments of Order: Force is still

    relevant in a wide range of hardcore

    issues, whether it be in the Korean

    Peninsula,the

    Taiwan

    Straits

    or

    the

    India

    Pakistan border. However, force ismore

    relevant in the defence and deterrence

    rolethanoffensiveimperatives.

    Inconclusion,securitygovernance inAsia

    is still very much in the realist mode; security

    governance in Northeast Asia and South Asia is

    overwhelmingly in the realist mode, while in

    Southeast Asia, there is somemovement in the

    contractual direction; dispute settlement is

    important,with significant scope for progress at

    the Track Two level; and fostering the

    development of nations and states in Asia isimportant,as the fundamentalbuildingblocksof

    regionalcommunitybuildingarenationstates.

    The impact of the burgeoning `angry

    citizens in Asia, coupledwith the impact of the

    information revolution, is viewed as increasingly

    undermining the ability of governments to

    maintaincontrol, thuscontributing toapotential

    future sourceof disorder inAsia.According to a

    participant, political systems that appear

    legitimateatsomepoint, induecourseno longerlook legitimate,and it is importanttorealizethat

    onepartysystemswhichhavebeenthedominant

    mode of governance in many countries in Asia,

    cannotsurviveforever,assovereigntynowresides

    withthepeople,notwithgovernmentsperse.

    ChinasStrategicVisionandRegionalSecurity

    The`NewSecurityConceptdevelopedbyChinain

    the postColdWar era proposed that traditional

    security,basedonmilitary alliance, coercion andpower politics be replaced by a new security

    structure based on mutual trust and benefit,

    equalityandcoordination.Foroveradecade,this

    hasbeenChinas fundamentalguidingphilosophy

    toaddressinternationalsecurityissues.

    Conference Report

    TongXiaoling SimonTay

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    26 th AsiaPacific Roundtable The new security concept is founded on

    fourmajorpolicypillars:

    1. Building friendship and partnership withneighbouringcountries;

    2. Pursuing a strategy of openingup for

    mutualbenefit;

    3. Building an open, transparent, inclusive

    and representative AsiaPacific security

    structure;

    4. Having a defensive national defence

    policy.

    Inmaintainingregionalsecurity,Chinahas

    emphasized equally both the bilateral andmultilateral approaches. Bilaterally, it has

    established security dialogues and defence

    consultations with the majority of Asia Pacific

    countries, at various levels. This is to enhance

    mutual understanding and trust and help to

    preventmiscalculationsandmisunderstanding.

    Multilaterally, it has promoted the

    developmentofsecuritycooperation,andactively

    participated inregionaland internationalsecurity

    mechanismssuch

    as

    the

    Shanghai

    Cooperation

    Organization (SCO), ARF, ASEAN Defence

    Ministers MeetingPlus (ADMM+), the Regional

    CooperationAgreementonCombatingPiracyand

    Armed Robbery against Ships in Asia (ReCAAP),

    and the Global CounterTerrorism Forum. China

    hasalsoproposedthecreationoftheARFSecurity

    Policy Conference (ASPC) at the vicedefence

    ministeriallevel.

    Regarding territorial disputes over land

    and

    maritime

    boundaries

    with

    its

    neighbours,

    China looks for fair and responsible solutions

    jointly with its neighbours. It has successfully

    resolved land demarcations with all of its

    neighbours except India and Bhutan. As regards

    the South China Sea dispute, China proposes to

    shelve the differences for the moment and

    considerjointdevelopmenttoengendertrustand

    fostercooperation.

    Tomaintainpeaceandstabilityandcreate

    favourableconditionsforclaimantstatestofinally

    solve the maritime disputes, China has

    encouragedadherence to international laws such

    asthe1982UnitedNationsConventionontheLaw

    ofthe

    Sea(UNCLOS),andthe2002Declaration

    on

    the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea

    (DOC)signedbyChinaandASEANcountries.China

    is also willing to formulate a code of conduct

    (COC)withASEANcountries.

    AparticipantassertedthatChinadoesnot

    perceive theUS pivot strategy as a threat, as is

    commonly believed, because during the bilateral

    talksbetweenChinesePresidentHuJintaoandUS

    President Barack Obama, the Asia Pacific was

    described as large enough to accommodate theinterests of both countries. However, existing

    security cooperation at the diplomatic and

    defence levelsbetween theUSandChina should

    beusedtoensurethatonecountryssecuritywill

    not be to the detriment of another countrys

    security.

    It isalso suggested thatChinasdomestic

    politics, such as the forthcoming leadership

    transition,willaffect foreignpolicy.Aparticipant

    asserted that although every countrys domesticpoliticswillaffectitsforeignpolicy,inChinascase

    thisismitigatedtoalargeextentbytheleadership

    consensus that principles on foreign policy are

    abovedomesticpolitics.

    IndiaandtheSecurityofAsia

    Indias rise is awork inprogress.Higheconomic

    growth has enabled India to become the tenth

    largest economy in the world. It has a sizeable

    militarybecause ithas theworldseighth largestdefence spending. Nevertheless, India is still a

    developingcountry. It isthe largestofthemiddle

    powers while being the weakest of the major

    powers.

    One of its strategic drawbacks is the

    continental securityposture forcedon itby the

    fact it is located inadifficultpartof theworld in

    whichtodevelopasapowerthewrongsideof

    thetrack. Indiaalsosuffers fromacuteproblems

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    with governance and an incomplete economic

    reformprocess.

    Otherfactorstotakeintoaccount

    are Indias hostile South Asian geostrategic

    environment (conflict with Pakistan and border

    disputeswithChina),relianceon thePersianGulf

    for energy, and the importance of the Indian

    OceaninIndiasoverallstrategy.TheIndianOcean

    is seen as a protective ring fence and strategicbackyardfortheIndianNavy,whileitsSeaLinesof

    Communications (SLOCs) are regarded vital in

    termsofenergyandtradelinks.

    Despite having a Look East Policy, India

    does not actively pursue the policy as can be

    discernedfromthe dispositionofitsresourceson

    the ground. Therefore, India is not yet a full

    fledged strategic player in East and Southeast

    Asia.

    Recognizing its current limitations and to

    avoid overestimating its own strength, India

    follows a middle path in regional security by

    focusing on its internal development incollaborationwithotherpartnersinAsiatocreate

    apeacefulperipheryarounditself.

    Therefore,Indiawillnottakealeadership

    role in Asia despite its participation in regional

    cooperationand integrationschemes suchas the

    ARF and the East Asia Summit (EAS), which it

    believesshouldbe ledbyASEAN.However, India

    is willing to make some contributions by

    promotingengagementandbuildingpartnerships

    withall.

    Toharness its fullpotential soas toplay

    aneffectivesecurityroleinAsia,Indiamayhaveto

    fasttrack the following: military modernization

    andoutreach capabilities; economic reforms and

    wealth creation; bureaucratic strength and

    resilience; and decisionmaking and delivery of

    promises.

    USStrategicInterestsandRolesinAsia

    The Obamaadministrationsconceptofpivoting

    and rebalancing denote the new US policy in

    Asia. While some countries welcome the move

    others receive it with caution. The policy is

    acknowledged as the natural progression of US

    foreign policy following the focus on theMiddle

    East in recent years. The gridlock in domestic

    politicswhich constrainObamas domestic plans

    hasfurthercontributedtothefocusonAsia.

    TheUSdoesnotconsiderthisconceptasareturn of US interest to the region since it

    believes that it never left the region in the first

    place.Militaryanalystsmayagreewiththisnotion

    based on existing US military bases in the Asia

    Pacific region.Scepticshowever,believe that the

    US return to the region isdue to theeconomic

    andmilitaryexpansionofChina.

    The six key linesof action introducedby

    theObamaadministrationinordertoachievethe

    Conference Report

    CRajaMohan CarolinaHernandez

    Sandy

    Gordon

    SDMuni

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    new US policy in Asia were : strengthening

    bilateralsecurityalliances;deepeningUSworking

    relationships with emerging powers including

    China; engaging with regional multilateral

    institutions such asASEAN, APEC, EAS, andARF;

    expandingtradeandinvestmentbymeansofsuch

    toolsasAPECandTransPacificPartnership(TPP);

    forging a broadbased military presence; and

    advancingdemocracyandhumanrights.

    TheUSisdeterminedtocontinuetoplayacentral role inmaintaining peace and stability in

    theregionandtobean integralpartof regional

    economic integration. It is willing to work with

    partnersintheregionbilaterallyandmultilaterally

    bases, and to be a copartner in supporting the

    liberalorder.

    US interests and roles inAsiaareviewed

    with caution bymany countries with respect to

    the impact of these on domestic and regional

    securityandoneconomicdevelopment.WhiletheUSdenies itsobjective is tomaintain primacy in

    AsiaandtocontainChinaseconomicandmilitary

    development, its current economic and military

    policies are perceived to be contradictory to its

    declarations.

    Some participants highlighted examples

    such as the TPP initiative and the exclusion of

    China in TPP, the geographical dispersal and re

    deployment of the US military to Darwin,

    Australia, and to Guam, and the proposal for a

    separate secretariat for the EastAsia Summit as

    signsoftheUSenlargingitspolitical,strategicand

    economicfootprintintheregion.

    SoutheastAsianPerspectivesonRegional

    SecurityOrder

    Regional order needs to serve at least fivemain

    strategicobjectives,according toASEANmember

    states: preserve ASEANs centrality (SoutheastAsias autonomy); accommodatemajor powers;

    prevent strategicrivalryamongmajorpowersas

    well as concerts of power among them; ensure

    ASEANs unimpeded access to material benefits

    (defence,trade,investment,financialcooperation,

    marketaccess,and soon);and facilitate regional

    integration(ASEANcommunitybuilding).

    The current regional security order from

    Southeast Asian perspectives is driven by three

    strategicdevelopments: the riseofChina; theUSattempt to retain itsprimacy; the implicationsof

    bothforSinoUSrelations.

    This in turn brings about three strategic

    implications for ASEAN: polarization of ASEAN

    should the SinoUS rivalry intensify;

    marginalizationofASEANs roleasa `managerof

    regionalorder;unsustainablecentralityofASEAN

    whileregionalunitywouldhavetobeabandoned

    bymemberstatesthatareforcedtotakesides in

    26 th AsiaPacific Rou ndtable

    DuaneDThiessen HidekiAsariNorodomSirivudhJusufWanandi

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    the emerging SinoUS rivalry, for the pursuit of

    nationalsecurity.

    Southeast Asia can be likened to an

    airportandASEANtoacontroltower.ASEANhas

    the capability to become this control tower that

    wouldmanageallpowersandaccommodatethem

    in order to provide a secure environment for

    everyone. The hedging strategy is aimed at: 1)

    moderatingthepotentialnegative implicationsof

    the rise of China for regional order, and 2)

    reducingUSdominanceasahegemonicpower in

    theregion,byemphasizingthecentralityofASEAN

    inregionalsecurity.

    However,ASEAN stillneeds toovercome

    threemain constraints: theperceptionofASEAN

    as a crisisdriven institution; the lack of

    commitment towards communitybuilding,

    exemplified by the relatively low level of

    investments in ASEAN by its ownmembers; and

    the imitating form rather than substance of the

    securitycommunityconcept.

    Unless these constraints are solved,

    ASEAN will continue to have difficulty in

    convincing its detractors, and crucially, its

    dialoguepartnerswhohaveinvestedintheTreaty

    of Amity and Cooperation (TAC), and ASEANs

    wider complex of regional institutions, that

    `ASEANCentralityisworthsupporting.

    MiddlePowersandRegionalGovernanceand

    Order

    Middlemajor powers are countries that sitjust

    below thepowersat the topof the international

    hierarchy.Theypossesscapabilitiesbeyondthose

    of the next tier of countries and have surplus

    capability that allows them tomore than simply

    meet the basic necessities of statehood and

    statecraft.Theycanactautonomouslywhentheir

    interests are threatened, and they possess the

    resources and capabilities to defend their

    homeland. They are principal players on the

    international stage rather than the supportingcast. These characteristics aptly describe Canada

    andSouthKorea.

    Despite the view that it is declining in

    global importance, Canada still exhibits the

    characteristics of a middle power. The nation

    retainsitsnetworksofexpertise,anditscontinued

    Conference Report

    TanSeeSeng

    RizalSukma HitoshiTanaka

    NguyenHungSon

    (Fromleft)KojiWatanabeandDavidDewitt

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    presenceontheworldstagethroughmembership

    inahostofkeymultilateralorganizations.

    Canadas technical competencies in the

    financial regulatory sectorhavebecome amajor

    and highly regarded diplomatic asset, and mostrecently it contributed considerably to the

    international response to the global financial

    crisis. Canada can leverage on its credentials,

    especially in institutions such as the G20, to

    support East Asian diplomatic, economic, and

    developmentgoals.

    Canadian bilateralism with Asian G20

    memberswillnotnecessarilyoverlook important

    states likeSingapore,Malaysia,andNewZealand.

    Relationswith nonG20 Asian states can also bedeveloped through Canadian membership in

    newlyemerging multilateral arrangements,

    possiblyincludingtheTPP.

    The prominence of the South Korean

    developmentmodel,giventhenationssuccessful

    economic transition and political transformation

    from authoritarian politics to one of Asiasmost

    vibrantdemocracies,hasenabledSouthKorea to

    branditselfasamiddlepower.

    For South Koreas longer term stability,

    the major focus has to be on fostering

    institutionalized trilateral cooperation and

    enhancedtransparencybetweenChina,JapanandSouth Korea, as exemplified by the launching of

    the Trilateral Cooperation Secretariat (TCS) in

    September2011.Suchcooperation isessentialto

    ensure that the transition to a unified Korea is

    achievedwithminimalfallout,andwithmaximum

    security,economicandpoliticaldividendsforallof

    theprincipalplayers, includingthecoremembers

    oftheSixPartyTalks.

    AsiaintheEyesofChina

    China generally sees AsiaPacific countries in

    terms of geopolitical distance the closer, the

    more important and as divided into mainland

    AsiaandOceanicAsia.Patronclient relationsare

    regardedbyChina as central in the international

    relationsofAsiaPacificcountries.Asiancountries

    meanwhile are seen as having mixed feelings

    aboutChina.

    China therefore needs a new foreign

    policy that will see it becoming a `responsiblestakeholder but the region also needs a new

    China policy. In the future, China may have to

    reformitsdomesticeconomyandforeignpolicyin

    order tobecome apillarof theglobalorder and

    not just become a conditional and occasional

    participant inthe`Western liberalorder.China is

    likely tobecomeboth the largestmarket for the

    restoftheregionandalso `aproviderofsecurity

    insuranceforAsia,byallowingotherstorelyonit

    fortheirsecurity.

    Asia remains `divided and vulnerable,

    despite the emergence of regional security

    cooperaon. Progress is constrained by the

    compeon between the old, USdominated

    militaryalliancesandthenew ARF,EAS,SCOand

    SixPartyTalks(SPT)frameworks.Thecombination

    ofold(border,historicalgrievances)andemerging

    (maritime, strategic) disputes contributes to the

    complexityofthesituation.

    26 th AsiaPacific Roundtable

    LeeChungMin

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    ChinaseestheTPPasanewUS initiative

    to maintain its primacy by casting China as an

    outsider. It also views the US `back to Asia

    strategyasadirectandstrategicthreattargeting

    it. If the TPP were to supplant current efforts

    withinAPEC,thespiritofAsiaPacificcooperation

    maybeweakened.

    The US and China will however remain

    cautious and pragmatic in managing bilateral

    tensions due to the shared interests of both

    countries.Othercountries inAsiawill increasingly

    hedge their policies due to Chinas increasing

    importanceandinfluence.

    Governance in Asia: Whats Best and What

    WorksbytheHon.TunDr.Mahathir

    Governance in Asia, according to Tun Dr.

    Mahathir,the formerPrimeMinisterofMalaysia,

    facesadilemma,asthere isnoperfectsystemof

    governance. Imperfection is inevitable and

    thereforehastobetolerated.

    Inademocraticsystem,thegovernmentis

    formedby representativeschosenby thepeople,

    but achieving unanimity and consensus is

    problematic.Sopeoplesettledonamajority,and

    even that is not problemfree. The benefit of

    democracyliesintheabilityofanationtochange

    itsgovernment if itdoesnotdeliver.However,by

    manipulating elections, such as through bribery,

    even an unpopular government can come to

    power.

    Administrating and implementingpolicies

    in a democratic system isnot easy either. Some

    rights can be disruptive when they are abused,

    such as the right to freedom of expression. In

    somedeveloping countries, the right to freedom

    ofexpressionisbeingmisused,tothedetrimentof

    theeconomiesofthesecountries;investmentsare

    deterredandemploymentcreationdisrupted.The

    tendencyofcertaingroupstowardsdisruptiveand

    destabilizing activities creates a challenge to

    governments.Governments now need the rightskillstomanagesuchgroups,especiallyinthisage

    of information technology that undermines

    governmentsabilitytocontrolthemedia.

    ZhangYunling

    HuangXiaomingOngKengYong

    PangZhongying

    MahathirMohamed

    Conference Report

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    Theproperpracticeofdemocracymeans

    the ability to change a government through the

    ballot box. There is now a new notion of liberal

    democracy. However, Malaysia is not liberal inseveralways,suchas in issuesofgayrights.Even

    in countries that practice a liberal democratic

    system, undemocratic practices will be

    undertakenwhentheneedarises,andpeoplewill

    give liberalismasecondthought.Aclearexample

    wouldbethedetentionofpeoplewithouttrialas

    theterrorismriskproliferates.

    While reformshave to be undertaken to

    achievebettergovernance,theyshouldbecarried

    out gradually, without risking instability. RussiaandChinaaredifferent inone importantrespect:

    theextenttowhichthereformoftheireconomic

    andpoliticalsystemshasemulatedtheWest.

    Russiatriestoreformbothsystemsatthe

    same time,and facesgreatdifficulty indoing so.

    China on the other hand maintains its political

    system,changing itseconomicsystemonlypartly,

    and finds itself more successful. In its present

    formofgovernance,Chinahasalsoexemplifiedits

    successin

    managing

    ahuge

    and

    diverse

    population.Indiaiscomparativelymoredifficultto

    manageduetoexcessivedemocracy.

    Role of NonState Actors in Promoting Conflict

    Resolution

    Nonstate actors such as NGOs and civil societyworkonwaystomitigatethefalloutfromconflicts

    andalsotopreventfutureconflicts.Theyaremost

    effective in providing confidencebuilding

    measures that enable the transformation of the

    conflict narrative and offer a new vision for

    society.However, support from the government,

    bothatthecentralandlocallevels,isessentialfor

    their efforts to be successful, as seen in case

    studiesofThailand,Indonesia,andthePhilippines.

    In the case of Thailand, throughout the

    history of the nations dealings with the Patani

    Malayseparatistmovement,the ideaof including

    civilsocietyinaformalpeacenegotiationprocess

    never materialized in a meaningful way. Thai

    militaryandcivilianofficialsseetheconflictasan

    internalmatterandgenuinelybelieve itwouldbe

    a waste of political capital to bring in outsiders

    who could very well put the discussion of the

    legitimacyoftheThaistateintheMalayhomeland

    onthetable.

    With the exception of the NationalSecurity Council (NSC) initiative, in which the

    process tried tobringonboardmembersof civil

    society and other stakeholders to form a

    26 th AsiaPacific Roundtable

    (Fromleft)RizalPanggabean,CharlitoManlupig,JohnBrandonandDonPathan

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    10 ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013

    `partnership for peace, other initiatives were

    mainly looking to secure a onetime peace

    agreementtoendtheconflictonceandforall.

    In Indonesia, the issue of whether civil

    society was able to mitigate and prevent

    communalviolencewasdeterminedbythetypeof

    civicengagement.From19992002,duringatime

    of regime crisis and the ensuing political and

    economic turmoil, violence erupted in Ambon

    between Christians and Muslims while peace

    prevailed in Manado. Interreligious, daytoday

    civic life was found to be higher in Manado

    compared to Ambon, contributing to peace and

    preventingviolence

    in

    local

    communities.

    TheMindanaocasedemonstratesthekey

    role of civil society: organized and concerted

    efforts by stakeholders, both local and

    international, to manage conflict and prevent

    violence. In August 2011, the peace process

    betweentheMoroIslamicLiberationFront(MILF)

    and thePhilippines governmentwas failing,with

    the strong possibility of renewedwar, and both

    sides swapping accusations and counter

    accusations

    in

    public

    statements

    as

    well

    as

    interviews with the media. Local, regional and

    nationalcoalitionsofcivilsocietypeaceadvocates

    helddialoguesandissuedcallsforsobrietyasthey

    urgedbothsidestocontinuetalking.

    The Consortium of Bangsa Moro Civil

    Society (CBCS)asked theopposingcamps to `talk

    toeachother insteadoftalkingabouteachother

    in the media. International civil society

    organizations represented by the International

    ContactGroup (TheAsiaFoundation,Conciliation

    ResourcesandCentreforHumanitarianDialogue)

    alsodidanexcellentjobinbridgingandfacilitating

    backchannelnegotiations.

    NewDawninMyanmar:Possibilitiesand

    Prospects

    The previous military government in Myanmar,

    theStatePeaceandDevelopmentCouncil (SPDC)

    fulfilled the 7step roadmap to democracy and

    transferred power in accordance with the state

    constitution, adopted via the 2008 referendum.

    The new elected civilian government which

    assumedpower inMarch2011 implementedon

    going political reforms which saw the

    establishment of democratic institutions such as

    nationaland regionalparliaments,and respective

    administrative, legislative, andjudicial bodies, to

    exercisestatepower.

    Effortswere alsomade towards political

    reconciliation. An opposition party, the National

    League for Democracy (NLD) was permitted to

    participate and win most seats in a historic by

    electionwhich saw theelection toparliamentof

    NLD leader,Aung San Suu Kyi. Engagementwith

    thevariousrebelethnicgroups(Shan,Kachin,and

    Kayin) continues apace. Strong commitment has

    been given to carrying out economic reforms to

    TinMaungMaungThan RichardGrant

    YinYinMyint PatrickCronin

    Conference Report

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    ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013 11

    attractforeigninvestmentsandestablishamarket

    economy for rural development and poverty

    alleviation. In recognition of the positive

    developments made by the Myanmargovernment, the US, EU, Canada, and Australia

    suspendedeconomicsanctions.

    However, it remains to be seenwhether

    political stability can keep pace with the

    momentumof the reformprocess.The reactions

    amongst the rank and file of the military to

    currentpoliticaldevelopmentswilldeterminethe

    futuretrajectory.Thecoreinterestsofthecurrent

    crop of military officers are not affected by

    reforms thus far but the government mustcontendwith the issue of diluted privileges and

    frustratedaspirationsamong itsyoungerofficers.

    The institutionofelectoraldemocracy stillneeds

    tomatureandtomeetthehighexpectationsand

    increasingdemandsofapopulation inthefaceof

    limitedavailableresources.

    None of the domestic and external

    stakeholderswantthereformstobereversedbut

    the reforms can yet stall. This is likely because

    high expectations and small setbacks can have

    magnifiedeffects.Therefore,other countrieswill

    need to temper their irrational exuberance or

    `Myanmarmaniathoughtheymustembracethereformmovement.

    Some participants pointed out that the

    NLD needs to transform from being merely an

    opposition party by first establishing its position

    and then formulating policy prescriptions to

    demonstrate its readiness to govern. Otherwise,

    disillusionment amongst the people may induce

    them to vote for the rulingparty. This is among

    the possible developments that could affect the

    outcome of the nextMyanmar general electionstobeheldin2015.

    Securing the Sea Lines of Communications

    (SLOC):ThreatsandResponses

    The gap in state capacity, stability andeconomic

    development between the western and eastern

    portions of the Indian Ocean Rim resulted in

    divergingsecuritydynamicsalongtheirrespective

    Sea Lines of Communication (SLOC). Piracy and

    26 th AsiaPacific Roundtable

    (Fromleft)EuanGraham,VijaySakhuja,NoorAzizYunanandDiegoRuizPalmer

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    AlainAeschlimann WendySouthern

    onference Report

    12 ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013

    searobberyaregraduallybeingrelegatedtothe

    lowerorder realm of maritime crime, and in

    futuremight

    no

    longer

    be

    considered

    amaritime

    security issue in Southeast Asia. Specific

    responses from within the Southeast Asian

    region, improved shipping industry 'selfhelp'

    measures, and external pressure and capacity

    provisionhavealsoplayedarole.

    This contrasts with the situation in the

    Gulf of Aden, and off Somalia, where strategic

    progress in counterpiracy remains elusive.

    Nevertheless, internationalefforts in theGulfof

    Aden

    are

    laudable

    and

    effective.

    Maritime

    forces

    have managed to cooperate despite the

    differences in politicalmilitary command

    structures. This ispayingoff in termsofshared

    experience,as thewestern IndianOcean littoral

    statesgraduallyacquire theirownmaritime law

    enforcementcapabilitiesandcooperationforums

    such as the Indian Ocean Naval Symposium

    (IONS)establishedin2008.

    NATO also played an important role as

    exemplified byOperationOcean Shield for the

    purpose of counterpiracy in the Indian Ocean.

    This is inaccordancewith theAllianceMaritime

    Strategy and Maritime Security Operations

    Concept which authorized its naval forces to

    support lawenforcement efforts at sea within

    thelegalframeworkofinternationallaw.

    However, piracy is a law enforcement

    problem that should be addressed by

    constabularyforcessuchascoastguards instead

    of the navy. Despite the successes thus far,

    counterpiracy addresses symptoms rather than

    therootof theproblem;piracyoriginates in the

    failureofgovernancewhichresultsinfragileand

    failed states. Therefore, the focus should be

    directedatrebuildingcountriesandhelpingtheir

    recoveryfromconflicts.

    ManagingIllicit

    Transnational

    Migration

    in

    Asia

    The crimes of trafficking in persons and people

    smugglingareseriousconcernstomanycountries

    due to the trend of the increasing number of

    victims.Asthesecrimestakeplaceacrossborders,

    concerted efforts by states are required to

    prevent and prosecute the perpetrators, aswell

    as to protect the victims. This requires not only

    efforts by governments, but stakeholders at all

    levels,includingNGOsandcivilsociety.

    Relevant laws and procedures should be

    in place to enable impartial humanitarian

    organizations such as the International

    Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), the

    International Organization for Migration (IOM),

    and the United Nations High Commissioner for

    Refugees (UNHCR) toallowallmigrantseffective

    and safe access, without discrimination, and

    irrespective of their legal status. Screening and

    identificationof thedifferentmigrantcategories,

    including victims of trafficking, asylum seekersandrefugees,isnecessary.

    Duetothetransnationalnatureofhuman

    traffickingandpeoplesmuggling,theseproblems

    cannotbeaddressedbyanynationactingalone.

    Thebestchanceofalastingsolutionmustinvolve

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    MelyCaballeroAnthony MulyaWirana

    26 th AsiaPacific Roundtable

    ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013 13

    cooperative arrangements under regional and

    international frameworks. The 2002 Bali Process

    Regional Cooperation Frameworkwas borne outofsustainedregionalandbilateraldiscussionsover

    a significantperiodof time.Arrangementsunder

    the framework, such as the Transfer and

    Resettlement Arrangement between the

    GovernmentsofAustraliaandMalaysia,have the

    potential to make a real impact on illicit

    transnationalmigration.

    Although international cooperation has

    many advantages, the disparities in legal

    frameworksbetween

    countries

    have

    led

    to

    discrepancies incooperationon lawenforcement.

    Thesediscrepancies sometimesbecome themain

    obstacle in the implementation of assistance

    providedbytheBaliProcess,makingitdifficultfor

    countryparticipants tocooperate in tackling the

    issue in the region.Thus,harmonizationof legal

    cooperation procedures within the region iscrucial inmanaging illicit transnationalmigration

    activitiesintheAsiaPacific.

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    14 ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013

    Good evening. I am delighted to be back at the

    AsiaPacificRoundtable and I thank ISISMalaysia

    and ASEANISIS for inviting me to deliver the

    KeynoteAddress.

    We live in challenging times. There is adarkclouddescendingoverusasEuropestruggles

    tofind itsfeetintacklingthedebtcrisis.Greece's

    possiblewithdrawal from the Eurozonemay be

    the precipice looming over greater economic

    stress. At the same time, the Chinese economic

    juggernaut is losing steam and the US economy

    shows littlesignsofsustainedrecovery.Closerto

    home, theonce calm and tranquilwatersof the

    SouthChinaSeahavebecomeincreasinglystormy.

    As we utilize our collective minds and

    resources to address these challenges,wemust

    not lose sight of the bigger picture. The most

    importantandcritical issueof the21stcentury is

    not the rise of China or the shifting of the

    economicpendulumtoAsia.Don'tgetmewrong.I

    am not belittling the positive transformational

    effectsChina's ascendancyhas andwill continue

    tohaveonAsiaandbeyond.Farfromit.Malaysia

    is abeneficiaryofChina'seconomic growth, and

    China isour largesttradepartner.Iwas informed

    that theChineseEmbassy inKualaLumpur is the

    second highest issuer of Chinese visas in the

    world.Thesearebuttwoindicatorsofthevibrant

    relations we have with China. Managing

    competing interests and visions is the most

    important and critical issue of the 21st century.

    ThefutureofAsiarestsonourabilitytodoso.

    Asiahascomea longway in the last few

    decades. At the turn of the century, Asia

    accounted for 10.7 per centof theworld'sGDP.

    Today, that figure is 19.2 per cent and growing.

    Success,however, canbe fleeting. Itwouldbe a

    mistake to focus myopically on the economic

    success story alone. Prosperity cannot take root

    unlessaccompaniedbystabilityandpeace.Herein

    lies the most important strategic challenge for

    Asia:themanagementofintramuralrelations.

    Howdowemoderateourdifferencesand

    ensure that conflicts,whenand if theydooccur,

    are managed in a manner that is fair, just and

    mostofimportantofall,withoutthethreatorthe

    useofforce?Thethemeofthisyear'sconference,

    Asian Security Order and Governance, is highly

    relevant and speaks to these questions. I am

    confident that your deliberations will help to

    unpack this strategic puzzle and provide the

    impetusforapeacefulandsecureAsia.

    KEYNOTEADDRESS

    26th AsiaPacific RoundtableThe Hon Dato Sri Mohd Najib Tun Abdul Razak

    Prime Minister of Malaysia

    MohdNajibTunAbdulRazak

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    ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013 15

    Thispivotalquestionisurgentlyinneedof

    ananswertoensurethatthefruitsofourtoiland

    sweat are not wasted away by our destructive

    questforpowerand influence.Tobeginwith,wein Asia must take greater responsibility for our

    ownsecurity.Whilewevaluetheassistancefrom

    our friendswho have contributed immensely to

    regional stability,Asiamust transform itself from

    beingaconsumertoaproducerofsecurity.More

    specifically,wemustassumegreaterresponsibility

    forourownsecurityandestablish frameworksto

    ensureoursafetyandtoupholdourinterests.

    Italsofollowsthatweneedtochangeour

    mindsetsthat

    have

    heretofore

    been

    programmed

    tofocusoneconomicdevelopmentattheexpense

    ofsecurity issues. IfAsia istobeaforce inglobal

    politics,we cannot shy away from speaking out

    andtakingpositionsonseeminglysensitive issues

    such asnucleardisarmament, armsbuildup and

    military alliances. Asia must stand up and be

    counted.

    In charting our future, we should be

    mindful of two important considerations. Firstly,

    relationships must be founded on a broad

    spectrum of areas, and not be defined by single

    issues. Just as we should not be fixated on

    economicbenefitsalone, itwouldbeharmful for

    regionalstability ifweweretoallowourselvesto

    be condionedbymilitary concerns.TakeASEAN

    as an example. The three pillars polical

    security, economics and sociocultural need to

    be equally strong;otherwise, the stabilityof the

    10memberorganizationwillbe injeopardy.Asia

    cannotstandononeleg;itneedstostrengthenits

    foundation, and that will include among other

    things,deepeningitspeopletopeoplerelations.

    Secondly, there is no place for rivalry in

    Asia.Wehavelivedthroughthesecondhalfofthe

    20th centurydividedby ideology.We shouldnot

    allowconflictandthejostlingforpowertodivide

    us again. What we need is cooperation, and

    thankfully there is an abundanceof that inAsia.

    Since 1967, ASEAN has recognized the value of

    stability and has founded its relations based on

    theprinciplesofmutual respectand prosper thy

    neighbour. This spirit of cooperation pioneered

    by ASEAN has since been extended beyond

    SoutheastAsia.

    Whenthefivevisionarystatesmensigned

    the Treaty of Bangkok to establish ASEAN, they

    were guided by the idealism of a peaceful and

    prosperousSoutheastAsia.Never intheirwildest

    imaginations would they have envisioned that

    ASEANwouldbecome the focalpoint for region

    wide cooperation. Without a doubt, the

    investmentin1967haspaidoffhandsomely,and

    it is time forus tomake a similar investment in

    ourfuture.

    Iam

    confident

    that

    as

    long

    as

    we

    continuetomakecooperationthecentrepieceof

    ourrelations,Asiaispoisedforagoldenage.

    Youwillrecallthat lastSeptemberwhenI

    addressedtheUnitedNationsGeneralAssembly,I

    calleduponallpeace lovingpeoples tojoinus in

    embracing, and striving toward, a way of life

    based on tolerance, mutual respect and

    moderation.TheGlobalMovementofModerates

    (GMM)buildsontheinspirationalworkandideals

    of our forefathers. Manifestations of GMM arefoundeverywhere.TakeASEAN'sTreatyofAmity

    andCooperation(TAC),forexample.TAC,whichis

    the bedrock of intraASEAN relations, and

    engagement with friends far and near, is the

    epitome of moderation. Eschewing

    confrontationalpoliticsandrecognizingthatmight

    is not necessarily right, TAC institutionalizes the

    normofpeacefulresolutionofconflicts.

    Keynote Address

    wemustassumegreater

    responsibilityforourownsecurity

    andestablishframeworksto

    ensureoursafetyandtouphold

    ourinterests

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    It is easy to advocate peace, and the

    peaceful resolutionofdisputes.But,asmembers

    of the diplomatic corps will no doubt agree,

    putting these ideals intopractice is anythingbuteasy. Be that as itmay, Iwould like to venture

    some thoughts for consideration. Ioffer that the

    worldwillbeabetterandcertainlymorepeaceful

    place,ifwetakeheedoftheGoldenRule,dounto

    others, as you want others to do unto you.

    Mutual respect is the foundation of all

    relationships.

    We reject extremism in all forms, but

    recognize that when differences and diverging

    interestsmanifest themselves, the outlier voicesmustbeheard.Marginalizingopposingopinionsis

    counterproductive andwill only serve to harden

    old grievances and fuel new ones. The great

    Britishstatesman,WinstonChurchill,wiselynoted,

    jaw jaw is better than war war. Only through

    communicationanddialoguecanweworkoutour

    differences.

    On a positive note, I am heartened that

    GMM has found traction, and has received

    encouraging support from the internationalcommunity. I am particularly grateful that my

    ASEAN colleagues have endorsed GMM at the

    18th ASEAN Summit in May 2011 and that a

    concept paper to implementGMMwas adopted

    at the recently concluded ASEAN Summit in

    PhnomPenh.Asgratifyingasthesedevelopments

    are,weneed your support tomainstreamGMM

    aroundtheworld.

    Asproofofourcommitment toadvocate

    andsustaintheGMMconceptandcoreprinciples

    regionallyandglobally,Malaysiahas initiated the

    Global Movement of Moderates Foundation,whichisbasedinKualaLumpur,inJanuaryofthis

    year. I amhappy to announce that currently the

    GMMFisfullyoperational.

    Asia's economic prosperity has been

    accompanied by alarming concomitant effects.

    Throughout history, states have been taking

    measures to bolster their defences and military

    powerastheybecamericher.Historyisrepeating

    itself in Asia. The top five country recipients of

    arms

    transfer,

    from

    2007

    2011,

    are

    Asian:

    they

    are

    India,SouthKorea,Pakistan,ChinaandSingapore,

    andtheyaccountfor30percentofthevolumeof

    internationalarmsimports.

    Granted that the right to selfdefence is

    permitted under the UN Charter. However, it

    bears reminding that history is replete with

    instancesofwars foughtunder the guiseof self

    defence. While, it is difficult to ascertain the

    underlying reasons for the arms buildup, it is

    critical that mechanisms and structures are in

    placetoensurethatthisregionwillneverdisplay

    theproclivity to theextreme actionof takingup

    arms.

    Because the stakes are high, we cannot

    leave the protection of the region's peace and

    security to chance. We have to take proactive

    steps towards the construction of a pluralistic

    security community inwhich the use of force is

    not an option. We cannot rely merely on

    pronouncements of friendship and peaceful

    16 ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013

    Marginalizingopposing

    opinions

    iscounterproductiveandwillonly

    servetohardenoldgrievances

    andfuelnewones

    26 th AsiaPacific Roundtable

    itiscriticalthatmechanismsand

    structuresareinplacetoensure

    thatthisregionwillneverdisplay

    theproclivitytotheextreme

    actionoftakinguparms

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    intent.We need towork through our problems,

    and toaccommodatediverging interests, if these

    emerge.

    Agoodstartingpointwouldbetoforgea

    common vision for the region. What is the

    preferred regional order? How do we

    institutionalize our strong bilateral and

    multilateral bonds of partnership and friendship

    into workable arrangements that are nimble

    enough to accommodate diverging interests

    without sacrificingorganizationalefficacy? In this

    regard, I look forward to the East Asia Vision

    Group (EAVG) II's final report which will be

    submitted to the15thASEANPlusThreeSummit

    inNovember2012.

    IcongratulateandcommendISISMalaysia

    and ASEANISIS for proposing the timely and

    relevant theme of Asian Order and Security

    GovernancefortheRoundtable.Iamkeentohear

    your thoughts and suggestions, generated over

    the course of this conference. I wish you a

    productive round of deliberations and I am

    honoured to declare open the 26th AsiaPacific

    Roundtable.

    ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013 17

    Keynote Address

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    DAY1

    28MAY2012

    20:15 - 22:00 WELCOMINGDINNERANDKEYNOTE

    ADDRESS

    Venue:GrandBallroom,Level2InterContinentalKualaLumpurWelcoming Remarks

    Keynote Address and Official Opening

    DatoPaduka

    Awang

    Haji

    MOHD

    ROSELANbinHajiMohdDaud

    Chairperson, ASEANInstitutes of Strategic and

    International Studies (ASEANISIS),

    Permanent Secretary at the Prime Minister's

    Office & Chairman of Centre of Strategic and

    Policy Studies (CSPS), Brunei Darussalam

    TheHonDato'SriMOHDNAJIBTun

    AbdulRazak

    Prime Minister of Malaysia

    Day2

    29MAY2012

    O8:OO 09:00 REGISTRATION

    Venue:Foyer,BalIroom1&2,Level209:0010:15 PLENARYSESSION1

    ASIANSECURITY:ORDERORDISORDER?

    Venue:Ballroom1&2,Level2Moderator:ProfDrBrianJOB

    Director, Institute of Asian Research

    The University of British Columbia, Canada

    Speaker:Dato'DrMuthiahALAGAPPA

    The Tun Hussein Onn Chair in International

    Studies, Institute of Strategic and International

    Studies (ISIS) Malaysia

    10:1510:45 REFRESHMENTS

    Venue:Foyer,Ballroom1&2,Level210:45 12:00 PLENARYSESSION2

    CHINA'S

    STRATEGIC

    VISIONANDREGIONALSECURITY

    Moderator:AssocProfSimonTAY

    Chairman, Singapore Institute of

    International Affairs (SIIA) & Associate

    Professor, Faculty of Law, National

    University of Singapore

    Speaker:AmbTONGXiaoling

    China's Ambassador to ASEAN

    12:00 13:30 LUNCH

    Venue:Ballroom3,Level213:30 14:45 PLENARYSESSION3

    INDIAANDTHESECURITYOFASIA

    Chair:EmeritusProfessorDrCarolina

    HERNANDEZ

    Founding President and Chief Executive

    Officer, Institute for Strategic and

    Development Studies (lSDS), The Philippines

    Speakers:ProfSDMUNI

    Visiting Research Professor, Institute of

    South Asian Studies, The National University

    of Singapore

    DrCRajaMOHAN

    Distinguished Fellow, Observer Research

    Foundation, India

    DrSandyGORDON

    Visiting Fellow, Regulatory Institutions

    Network (RegNet), The Australian National

    University

    14:45 15:00 BREAK

    15:0016:15 PLENARYSESSION4

    USSTRATEGICINTERESTSANDROLES

    INASIA

    Chair:HRHPrinceNorodomSIRIVUDH

    Chairman, Board of Directors, The

    Cambodian Institute for Cooperation and

    Peace (CICP), Cambodia

    Speakers:LtGenDuaneDTHIESSEN

    Commander, US Marine Corps Forces, Pacific,

    USA

    MrHidekiASARI

    Deputy DirectorGeneral, Japan Institute of

    International Affairs (JIIA)

    18 ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013

    26TH ASIAPACIFIC

    ROUNDTABLE28 30May2012

    INTERCONTINENTALHOTEL,

    KUALALUMPUR,MALAYSIA

    PROGRAMME

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    DAY3

    30MAY2012

    08:30 09:45 PLENARY

    SESSION

    6

    MIDDLEPOWERSANDREGIONALGOVERNANCEANDORDER

    Chair:AmbKojiWATANABE

    Senior Fellow, Japan Center for International

    Exchange (CIE) & Former Deputy Minister of

    Foreign Affairs, Japan

    Speakers:MrAllanGYNGELL

    DirectorGeneral, Office of National

    Assessments, Australia

    ProfDrDavidDEWITT

    VicePresident of Programs, The Centre forInternational Governance Innovation (CIGI),

    Canada

    ProfDrLEEChungMin

    Dean, Graduate School of International

    Studies, Yonsei University, Republic of Korea

    09:45 10:00 REFRESHMENTS

    Venue:Foyer,BallroomI&2,Level210:00 11:15 PLENARYSESSION7

    ASIAINTHEEYESOFCHINA

    Chair:HE

    ONG

    Keng

    Yong

    High Commissioner of Singapore to Malaysia

    & Former ASEAN SecretaryGeneral

    Speakers:ProfZHANGYunling

    Director, Centre for the Study of Global

    Governance, Renmin University, China

    ProfDrPANGZhongYing

    School of International Studies, Renmin

    University, China

    ProfDrHUANGXiaoming

    Director, New Zealand Contemporary China

    Research Centre, Victoria University of

    Wellington, New Zealand

    11:1511:30 BREAK

    11 :30 12:45 CONCURRENTSESSION1

    SECURINGTHESEALINESOF

    COMMUNICATION(SLOC):

    THREATSANDRESPONSES

    Venue:BallroomI&2,Level2Chair:ViceAdmiralMaritimeDato'NOORAZIZ

    Yunan (R) DirectorGeneral, Maritime

    Institute of Malaysia (MIMA)

    ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013 19

    MrJUSUFWanandi

    ViceChair, Board of Trustees, Centre for

    Strategic and International Studies (CSIS),

    Indonesia

    16: 1 5 16:45 REFRESHMENTS

    Venue:Foyer,Ballroom1&2,Level216:45 18:00 PLENARYSESSION5

    SOUTHEASTASIANPERSPECTIVESON

    THEREGIONALSECURITYORDER

    Chair:MrHitoshiTANAKA

    Chairman, The JRI Institute for International

    Strategy &

    Former Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs,

    Japan

    Speakers:

    DrRIZALSukma

    Executive Director, Centre for Strategic and

    International Studies (CSIS), Indonesia

    AssocProfDrTANSeeSeng

    Deputy Director, S Rajaratnam School of

    International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang

    Technological University, Singapore

    MrNGUYENHungSon

    Deputy DirectorGeneral, Diplomatic Academy

    of Vietnam

    19:30 21 :00 DINNERTALK

    RETHINKINGASIANSECURITY:

    JAPANESEPERSPECTIVE

    Venue:Ballroom2&3,Level2Moderator:ProfDrAnthonyMILNER

    Basham Professor of Asian History, The

    Australian National University & Professorial

    Fellow, The University of Melbourne, Australia

    Speaker:ProfDrTakashiINOGUCHI

    President, University of Niigata Prefecture,

    Japan

    21:00 TETE-A-TETE

    NORTHKOREAAFTERKIMJONGIL:

    REFORMOR

    PLUS

    CA

    CHANGE?

    Venue:JuniorBallroom,Level2Moderator:MrBUNNNagara

    Associate Editor, TheStar, Malaysia

    Speaker:ProfDrAndreiLANKOV

    Social Science Department, Kookmin

    University, Republic of Korea

    Programme

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    Speakers:DrVijaySAKHUJA

    Director of Research, Indian Council of World

    Affairs (lCWA), India

    MrDiegoRUIZ-PALMER

    Head, Strategic Analysis Capabilities Section,

    The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation

    (NATO)

    DrEuanGRAHAM

    Senior Fellow, S Rajaratnam School of

    International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang

    Technological University, Singapore

    CONCURRENTSESSION2

    MANAGINGILLICITTRANSNATIONAL

    MIGRATIONINASIA

    Venue:JuniorBallroom,Level2Chair:AssocProfDrMelyCABALLERO-

    ANTHONY

    S Rajaratnam School of International Studies,

    Nanyang Technological University, Singapore

    & Former Director of External Relations,

    ASEAN Secretariat

    Speakers:DrWendySOUTHERN

    Deputy Secretary (Policy and Program

    Management), Department of Immigration

    and Citizenship, Australia

    MrTATANGBudieUtamaRazak

    Director, Protection of Indonesian Citizensand Legal Entities Abroad, Ministry of

    Foreign Affairs, Indonesia

    MrAlainAESCHLIMANN

    Head of Operations for East Asia, SouthEast

    Asia and the Pacific, The International

    Committee for the Red Cross (ICRC),

    Switzerland

    12:45 14:00 LUNCH

    Venue:SerenaBrasserieCafe,LobbyLevel

    14:00 15:15 PLENARYSESSION8

    GOVERNANCEINASIA:WHAT'SBEST

    ANDWHAT

    WORKS

    Moderator:TanSriDato'SeriMohamedJAWHAR

    Hassan

    Chairman, Institute of Strategic and

    International Studies (ISIS) Malaysia

    Speaker:TheHonTunDrMAHATHIRMohamad

    Honorary President, Perdana Leadership

    Foundation & Former Prime Minister of

    Malaysia

    15:15 15:45 REFRESHMENTS

    Venue:Foyer,Ballroom1&2,Level2

    15:45 17:00 PLENARYSESSION9

    THEROLEOFNON-STATEACTORSIN

    PROMOTINGCONFLICTRESOLUTION

    Chair:MrJohnBRANDON

    Director, International Relations Program,

    The Asia Foundation, USA

    Speakers:MrCharIitoMANLUPIG

    Chairman, The Balay Mindanaw Foundation

    The Philippines

    DrRIZALPanggabean

    Center for Security and Peace Studies,

    Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia

    MrDONPathan

    Director of Foreign Relations, The PataniForum, Thailand

    17:0017:15 BREAK

    17:15 18:30 PLENARYSESSION10

    ANEWDAWNINMYANMAR:

    POSSIBILITIESANDPROSPECTS

    Chair:Dr.RichardGRANT

    Consultant, Executive Director, Asia New

    Zealand Foundation, New Zealand

    Speakers:DawYINYinMyint

    DirectorGeneral, Training, Research andForeign Languages Department, Ministry of

    Foreign Affairs & Secretary, Myanmar

    Institute of Strategic and International

    Studies

    DrTINMaungMaungThan

    Visiting Senior Research Fellow &

    Coordinator, Regional Strategic and Political

    Studies Programme, Institute of Southeast

    Asian Studies (ISEAS), Singapore

    DrPatrickCRONIN

    Senior Advisor & Senior Director of the Asia

    Pacific Security Program, Center for a New

    American Security (CNAS), USA

    18:30 CLOSINGREMARKS

    Dato'DrMAHANIZainaIAbidin

    Chief Executive, Institute of Strategic and

    International Studies (ISIS) Malaysia

    20 ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013

    Programme

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    INSTITUTEOFSTRATEGICANDINTERNATIONALSTUDIES(ISIS)

    MALAYSIA

    The InstituteofStrategicand InternationalStudies (ISIS)wasestablishedon8April1983asan

    autonomous, notforprofit research organization, ISIS Malaysia has a diverse research focus

    which includes, economics, foreign policy, security studies, nationbuilding, social policy,

    technology,innovationandenvironmentalstudies.Italsoundertakesresearchcollaborationwith

    national and international organizations in important areas such asnationaldevelopment and

    internationalaffairs.

    ISISMalaysiaengagesactivelyinTrackTwodiplomacy,andpromotestheexchangeofviewsand

    opinions at both the national and international levels. The Institute has also played a role in

    fostering closer regional integrationand international cooperation through forums suchas the

    AsiaPacificRoundtable,theASEANInstitutesofStrategicandInternationalStudies(ASEANISIS),

    the Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC) and the Network of East Asian ThinkTanks

    (NEAT). ISIS is a foundingmember of the Council for Security Cooperation in the AsiaPacific

    (CSCAP)andmanagestheCouncilssecretariat.

    AsMalaysiaspremierthinktank, ISIShasbeenattheforefrontofsomeofthemostsignificant

    nationbuildinginitiativesinthenationshistory.ItwasacontributortotheVision2020andwas

    consultanttotheKnowledgeBasedEconomyMasterPlaninitiative.

    ASEANINSTITUTESOFSTRATEGICANDINTERNATIONALSTUDIES

    (ASEANISIS)

    ASEANISIS (ASEAN Institutes of Strategic and International Studies) is a network of non

    governmental organizationsregisteredwiththeAssociationofSoutheastAsianNations. Formed

    in1988, its foundingmembership comprises theCentre for Strategicand International Studies

    (CSIS) of Indonesia, the Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS) ofMalaysia, the

    InstituteofStrategicandDevelopmentStudies(ISDS)ofthePhilippines,theSingaporeInstituteof

    International Affairs (SIIA), and the Institute of Security and International Studies (ISIS) of

    Thailand. Itspurpose is toencourage cooperationand coordinationofactivitiesamongASEAN

    scholarsandanalysts,andtopromotepolicyorientedstudiesandexchangesofinformationandviewpointsonvarious strategicand international issuesaffectingSoutheastAsia'sandASEAN's

    peace,securityandwellbeing.

    ASEANISIS is comprisedof the regions leading think tanks:CSIS Indonesia, ISISMalaysia, ISDS

    Philippines, SIIA Singapore, ISIS Thailand, Brunei Darussalam Institute of Policy and Strategic

    Studies(BDIPSS),CambodianInstituteforCooperationandPeace(CICP),theDiplomaticAcademy

    ofVietnam(DAV), InstituteofForeignAffairs(IFA)oftheLaoPeople'sDemocraticRepublicand

    theMyanmarInstituteofStrategicandInternationalStudies(MISIS).

    ORGANIZERS

    ISISFOCUS NO.5/2013 21

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    SPONSORS

    SUPPORTERS

    EMBASSY OFJAPANINMALAYSIA

    THEASIAFOUNDATION

    TELEKOMMALAYSIA

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    InstituteofStrategicandInternationalStudies(ISIS)Malaysia

    No.1,PersiaranSultanSalahuddin

    P.O.Box12424,50778KualaLumpur

    Malaysia

    Tel: +60326939366

    Fax: +60326915435

    Email: [email protected]