ISFED/GORBI Study of Citizen Attitudes and Knowledge on Election Issues Funded by The National...
-
Upload
opal-geraldine-wheeler -
Category
Documents
-
view
215 -
download
0
Transcript of ISFED/GORBI Study of Citizen Attitudes and Knowledge on Election Issues Funded by The National...
ISFED/GORBIStudy of Citizen Attitudesand Knowledgeon Election IssuesFunded by The National Endowment for Democracy (NED)
Technical Assistance Provided by The National Democratic institute (NDI)
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
2
Poll methodology
1394 face to face interviews with randomly selected adult respondents in Georgia
Multi-stage, stratified sample design Surveyed between February 18 – 25 and March 8 - 12,
2006 Based on these results, one can say with 95% confidence
that the maximum error attributable to sampling and other random effects is ± 2.6 percent.
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
3
Major Findings
Respondents said they will participate in elections despite lingering mistrust in the fairness of elections
Citizens say they are committed to participate in elections, as long as they believe their vote matters and it will lead to changes. If not, they say they will not vote.
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
4
How important is participation in elections for citizens? Young people and those with lower levels of
education, are less likely to believe participation is important
Very important 63.3
Somewhat important 22.0
Not important 8.3
Not important at all 4.9
DK/NA 1.5
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
5
How likely is that you will vote in local elections which may be held in autumn 2006?
Young people slightly less likely to participate in local government elections
Very likely 34.0
Likely 39.4
Somewhat unlikely 10.4
Will not vote 5.6
DK/NA 10.6
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
6
If likely, why? (more than one answer provided)
I think my vote matters 56.2
I am afraid that someone else might use my vote 27.4
I hope that good candidates will be running 20.2
Other 48.8
DK/NA 1.2
I do not trust the election administration 28.8
I think my vote will not change anything 38.5
I voted many times, but nothing changed 15.5
Other 49.3
DK/NA 6.3
If not likely, why? (more than on answer provided)
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
7
Describe your level of trust in the accuracy and fairness of election results in Georgia
Lowest level of trust – 1 18.8
2 14.7
3 37.9
4 16.2
Highest level of trust – 5 10.8
DK/NA 1.5Mean score – 2.85
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
8
After voting you are sure that no one knows who you voted for?
Young people are less likely to believe their ballot is secret
Strongly Agree 24.3
Agree 44.1
Disagree 17.1
Strongly disagree 2.7
DK/NA 11.7
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
9
Major Findings
A significant percentage of citizens has misconceptions about the current method of elections for Parliament and local government
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
10
Who elects the President of Georgia?
Parliament 4.7
Government 6.2
Citizens 84.0
Political Parties 2.1
Non- governmental Organizations 0.4
International Organizations 1.2
Other 0.1
DK/NA 1.3
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
11
Who elects the Parliament of Georgia?
President 5.0
Government 15.4
Citizens 70.1
Political Parties 4.4
Non- governmental Organizations 0.7
International Organizations 0.4
Other 0.1
DK/NA 3.8
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
12
Who elects local self-government (Sakrebulo)?
President 3.8
Parliament 5.0
Government 19.3
Citizens 60.6
Political Parties 3.5
Non- governmental Organizations 0.1
International Organizations 0.4
DK/NA 7.3
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
13
Who elects Gamgebeli/Mayors?President 13.2
Parliament 4.0
Government 17.8
Sakrebulos 9.9
Citizens 46.6
Political Parties 2.0
International Organizations 0.5
Other 0.2
DK/NA 6.0
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
14
Major Findings
Trust in the election administration in Georgia has declined since 2004
Those who do not trust the election administration say this is because of previous vote fraud and partisan behavior
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
15
How much do you trust election administration in Georgia?
Young people and people with higher levels of education are less likely to trust the election administration
Strongly trust 8.3
Trust 47.0
Distrust 28.6
Strongly distrust 9.1
DK/NA 7.1
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
16
If trusted what is the reason?
If don't trust, what is the reason? (more than one answer possible for each question)
It conducts fair count/elections
31.5
It is objective 36.3
It is not corrupted 14.8
It is professional 6.2
It is transparent 17.9
Other 2.3
DK/NA 6.4
It falsified elections in the past
41.2
It is not objective and non-partisan 33.9
It is corrupted 12.1
It is not professional 15.6
It is not transparent 21.3
Other 3.5
DK/NA 4.1
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
17
OSCE / GORBI Results from 2004
Do you trust Election Administration in Georgia?
Yes 69.0
No 16.0
DK/NA 15.0
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
18
Major Findings
Respondents believe the participation of political parties in election administration leads to greater fairness and reduces fraud
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
19
Do you think that participation of political party members in election commissions: (More than one answer possible)
Ensures objectivity and non-partisanship of election officials 24.5
Prevents political influences on election administration 16.9
Raises the level of their professionalism 12.9
Decreases objectivity and non-partisanship 6.4
Increases political influences on election administration 10.5
Lowers the level of their professionalism 2.7
Decreases election fraud 21.4
Increases election fraud 6.7
Has no influence on the election process 7.7
Other 1.4
DK/NA 16.0
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
20
Do political parties have a right to nominate members to Election Commissions?
CEC
Yes 61.7
No 10.6
DK/NA 27.7
DEC
Yes 58.4
No 10.9
DK/NA 30.7
PEC
Yes 60.5
No 9.9
DK/NA 29.6
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
21
Who do you think appoints the CEC?
President 18.9
Parliament 18.4
Government 29.4
Positional parties 8.7
Oppositional parties 0.8
All political parties with consensus 7.7
Voters 4.9
Non governmental organizations 0.1
Election commissions 7.5
DK/NA 16.7
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
22
Who do you think appoints the DEC?President 6.0
Parliament 7.3
Government 28.3
Positional parties 9.2
Oppositional parties 0.6
All political parties with consensus 6.2
Voters 5.0
Non governmental organizations 0.1
Election commissions 17.4
Other 0.1
DK/NA 24.2
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
23
Who do you think appoints the PEC?
President 4.6
Parliament 3.4
Government 25.3
Positional parties 8.0
Oppositional parties 0.8
All political parties with consensus 5.1
Voters 8.7
Non governmental organizations 0.2
Election commissions 22.9
Other 0.3
DK/NA 22.8
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
24
Major Findings
Citizens do not know who is responsible for maintaining voter lists and almost 1/3 of respondents said the quality of voter lists is low
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
25
How would you evaluate the quality of voter lists in Georgia?
Lowest level of quality 1 13.1
2 16.7
3 43.3
4 16.0
Highest level of quality 5 6.2
DK/NA 4.8
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
26
Do you plan to register and check your name in the voter list before upcoming local elections?
Yes 47.5
No 37.6
DK/NA 14.9
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
27
Which body maintains voter lists?
Local government 53.3
Ministry of Justice 9.2
Election administration 46.0
Ministry of Interior 7.5
International Organizations 3.2
Local NGOs 4.7
Other 0.1
DK/NA 7.7
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
28
Major Findings
Respondents have a relatively low level of knowledge about the structure, the authorities and the responsibilities of local government and they do not know who will be elected in up-coming local elections
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
29
Who will you be electing during local elections in autumn of 2006?
Village Sakrebulo 29.2
Village Gamgebeli 20.6
Rayon Sakrebulo 15.0
Rayon Gamgebeli 12.6
Town Sakrebulo 24.7
Town Gamgebeli 15.5
Regional Sakrebulo 2.3
Regional Gamgebeli 3.5
Other 0.9
DK/NA 22.4
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
30
Do you understand the new structure of local self-government in Georgia?
Yes 7.0
No 67.8
Partially 15.3
DK/NA 9.9
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
31
Do you understand the new rights and responsibilities of different branches of local self-government?
Yes 3.6
No 72.0
Partially 14.6
DK/NA 9.8
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
32
Major Findings
There are significant gaps in citizens’ awareness of basic election procedures designed to promote fair elections and prevent election fraud
Citizens want more information about election procedures, candidates and parties
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
33
Do you have the right to vote without identification documents in an extraordinary situation?
Yes 15.8
No 72.6
DK/NA 11.6
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
34
Where should voting take place?
At any place inside the precinct 8.0
By the registration table 3.3
By the ballot box 12.7
Inside the secret booth 77.6
By the table of the commission secretary 3.5
Other 0.1
DK/NA 1.8
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
35
Do you have right to change your precinct and move your voting right?
Yes 34.1
No 38.4
DK/NA 27.6
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
36
Can representatives of local government be at the precinct during voting and counting?
Yes 28.8
No 47.6
DK/NA 5.7
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
37
Can representatives of the police be at the precinct during voting and counting?
Yes 49.8
No 26.5
Only in special cases 13.1
DK/NA 10.7
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
38
According to current legislation is marking of voters obligatory?
Yes 64.2
No 26.4
DK/NA 9.4
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
39
Do you think it is possible to register and add yourself in the voter list on Election Day?
Yes 49.3
No 32.3
DK/NA 18.4
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
40
Which information would you like to receive about the upcoming elections?
(more than one answer accepted)
Detailed and objective information about participants of the elections
36.7
Detailed information about election procedures, voting and election law
22.3
A complete list of blocs, parties and independent candidates
16.3
Complete list of candidates from all parties, a list of their actions and activities
19.3
Other 48.3
DK/NA 14.5
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
41
Major Findings
Respondents overwhelmingly said election monitoring is necessary to prevent election fraud
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
42
Do you think domestic election observation is necessary?
Yes 90.4
No 3.3
DK/NA 6.3
ISFED/GORBI Poll on Election Issues March 30, 2006
43
If yes, why?
(more than one answer possible)
The new election administration does not enjoy public Trust
12.3
Elections were largely falsified in the past 29.3
Elections in Georgia might be falsified again 30.3
Observers put pressure on election officials 5.4
Observers often know more about election legislation than election officials
14.7
I trust election observers more than electionadministration
12.6
Election observers can prevent fraud 37.7
Other 0.6
DK/NA 1.6
ISFED and GORBI Thank you for your attention