Investor Relations
description
Transcript of Investor Relations
Investor Relations | 1
Investor Relations
April 2005
Investor Relations | 2
Favorable Outlook: Macro
Real GDP Growth Public Debt and Primary Surplus (as % of GDP)
Inflation¹ x Interest Rate
¹ IPCA 12-Month Moving Average
Trade Balance – US$ Billion
Source: Unibanco Research
3.7%
5.2%
0.5%
1.6%1.5%
4.4%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005E
2.65
13.11
24.83
33.07
26.70
-0.69
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004E 2005E
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
jan/
00jul
/
00jan
/
01jul
/
01jan
/
02jul
/
02jan
/
03jul
/
03jan
/
04jul
/
04jan
/
05
(%)
CDI IPCA
45.0%
48.0%
51.0%
54.0%
57.0%
60.0%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004E 2005E
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
Public Debt Primary Surplus
Investor Relations | 3
Favorable Outlook: Banking in Brazil
Total Credit Expansion (R$ Billion)
Loan Penetration Comparison: 2003 (as % of GDP) Loan Penetration: Chile vs Brazil (as % of GDP)
380411
484
2002 2003 2004
Source: CSFB Research
54%
60%63% 64% 62% 63%
66% 67%66%
30%25% 26% 27% 25%
27% 26% 23% 26%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Chile Brazil
161% 158%
139%124%
114%
67%
26% 20% 14% 9% 7%
China
Korea US
Hong
Kong
Spain
Chile
Brazil
Russia
Turke
y
Mex
ico
Argen
tina
Source: Central Bank
Source: CSFB Research
2004
63%
26%
17.8%
Investor Relations | 4
R$ Billion – 2004
AssetsLoans DepositsStockholders´Equity
1- Banco do Brasil 13.8x
2- CEF 8.2x
3- Bradesco 2.9x
4- Itaú 2.3x
5- Banespa 2.3x
6- Bamerindus 1.6x
7- 1.0x
8- Econômico 0.9x
9- Nossa Caixa 0.9x
1990 2004
Net Income R$ 1,283 Million
Snapshot of Unibanco
Market Cap
¹ In terms of total assets
Unibanco is Brazil’s third
largest private bank1…
…bridging the gap over it’s peers.
Multiple of Assets Multiple of Assets
² Based on GDS price as of 02/25/2005
Source: Unibanco Research
79.4
31.8 33.5
8.113.92
1- Banco do Brasil
3.3x
2- Bradesco
2.0x
3- CEF
2.0x
4- Itaú
1.7x
5-
1.0x
6- Santander Banespa
0.9x
7- ABN Real + Sudameris
0.8x
8- Safra
0.6x
9- HSBC + Lloyds
0.5x
Investor Relations | 5
Universal banking strategy reinforced with:
• A single CEO;
• Consolidation of back-office & supporting units;
• Leaner structures and processes with lower costs;
• Further cooperation between business and supporting units;
• Cross-selling goals linked to variable compensation;
• Botton-line driven;
• New compensation policy;
• Full allocation of labor and civil provisions to business units;
• Elimination of double-counting.
Leaner structures, faster decision-making processes
Greater management involvement in day-to-day activities
New Organizational Structure
Investor Relations | 6
Redesign of the wholesale area, focusing on client
relationship;
Insurance company restructured in life and P&C
product lines;
Closure of non-profitable business;
Cost-control discipline;
New marketing policy, new advertising agency and
renewed brand.
New Organizational Structure
Investor Relations | 7
Retail
Márcio Schettini
Wholesale and Wealth Management
Demosthenes Madureira
Insurance and Pensions
José Rudge
Auditing Committee
Gabriel Jorge FerreiraChairman
Eduardo A. GuimarãesGuy Almeida Andrade
Members
Legal, Auditing, and Risk
Lucas Melo
Planning, Control, Operations, and
IR
Geraldo Travaglia
Corporate Communication
and HR
Marcos Caetano
Treasury
Daniel Gleizer
Pedro Moreira SallesCEO
Board of Directors
Pedro Sampaio MalanChairman
Pedro Moreira SallesVice-Chairman
Armínio Fraga Joaquim F. Castro Neto João D. Amoedo
Gabriel J. Ferreira Israel Vainboim Pedro Bodin
Board Members
New Organizational Structure
Investor Relations | 8
Renewed Brand
Investor Relations | 9
Business Units
Investor Relations
Investor Relations | 10
Business Highlights
CROSS-SELLING
Insurance & Pensions
Loss ratio: improvement from 56.4% in 2003 to
46.9% in 2004;
# 4 rank in the Insurance & Pension industry with
a 8.0% market share, as of November 2004;
Combined ratio: improvement from 99.8% in
2003 to 98.8% in 2004;
24.5% revenue growth in the pension business.
As of December 2004.Retail
Strengthening of the consumer finance division:
Fininvest: 31% loan portfolio growth and 24% equity income growth;
HiperCard (acquired in March 2004): 53% loan portfolio growth.
SMEs: 40% loan portfolio growth, more than 450,000 clients;
Auto financing: 31% loan portfolio growth;
Funding: 25% core deposits growth.
Wholesale
Focus in 2 thousand clients: regional approach;
New results-oriented compensation policy;
M&A: CEMAT, Cia. Suzano (Bahia Sul) and Galvasud (Thyssen Krupp);
Capital Markets:
Fixed Income: 7.7% market-share ranking 4th in # of transactions.
Equity: 10% market-share ranking 2nd in # of transactions.
Wealth Management
22% growth in AUM (R$ 32.7 BN of Assets Under Management)
83% of retail mutual funds in the 1st profitability quartile;
Private Banking: 9.3% market-share (2nd in ranking).
Investor Relations | 11
Segmentation Strategy
Investor Relations | 12
Large Scale Distribution
Investor Relations | 13
Leading Consumer Finance Franchise
Investor Relations | 14
Acquisition
• Largest credit card issuer in the Northeast (2.7 million cards issued);
• Credit card brand accepted by approximately 70 thousand merchants.
Partnerships and organic growth
719894
1,100
Mar-04(acquisition)
Sep-04 Dec-04
53.0%
Credit Portfolio
Acquisitions and Organic Growth
36
52
3Q04 4Q04
44.4%Net Earnings (R$ million)
Investor Relations | 15
2004 Results
Investor Relations
Investor Relations | 16
Net Income R$ 1,283 million
Earnings per Share R$ 0.92
Annualized ROAE (%)
+ 22%
+ 20%
16.1%
17.3%17.8%
20.1%
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04
Unibanco in 2004
Investor Relations | 17
4Q03 4Q04 2003 2004
Net Income
Financial Margin
Total Assets
Stockholders’ Equity
Annualized ROAE (%)
Earnings per Share (R$)
375
9.3%
79,350
8,106
20.1%
0.27
291
10.1%
69,632
7,156
17.5%
0.21
1,283
9.0%
79,350
8,106
16.8%
0.92
1,052
8.7%
69,632
7,156
15.3%
0.77
2003 2004
BIS Ratio 18.6% 16.3% -230b.p.
Fixed Asset Ratio 42.6% 39.5% -310b.p.
R$ Million
28.9%
-80b.p.
14.0%
13.3%
2.6%
28.1%
22.0%
30 b.p.
14.0%
13.3%
1.5%
20.1%
Performance Indicators
Investor Relations | 18
Consolidated Results - Year
11.9%
14.0%
10.5%
44.2%
280.0%
-31.2%
1.1%
5,112
3,241
(5,058)
(1,334)
38
(339)
(376)
(1)
1,283
4,567
2,842
(4,577)
(925)
10
(493)
(372)
-
1,052 22.0%
Profit from Financial Intermediation
(+) Fee Income
(-) Personnel & Adm. Expenses
(+/-) Other Operating Income / Expenses
(+/-) Non Operating Income
(-) Income Tax and Social Contribution
(+/-) Profit Sharing/ Minority Interest
Net Income
(+/-) Extraordinary items
R$ Million
2003 2004
Investor Relations | 19
Financial Margin
Financial Margin after ProvisionFinancial Margin
Provision for loan losses / Financial margin
6.6% 7.1%
8.7% 9.0%
2003 2004
34.0%
5.7%
8.7%
2002
24.0% 20.3%
Investor Relations | 20
R$ Million
Loan Portfolio Growth
4.6%
12.4%9.6%
5.5%
7.2%7.0%
31,796
14.7% Y-o-Y
Individuals
+23.2%
Corporate
+10.3%
29,72427,721
% Dec-04 / Dec-03
18,329 19,171 20,226
9,39210,553
11,570
Dec-03 Sep-04 Dec-04Note: Pro-Forma.
Investor Relations | 21
Other Products Commercial Bank
Auto Financing Consumer Finance Companies
Credit CardsSMEs Total Retail
Continuous Retail Loan Portfolio Growth
2,110
13,833
2,328
16,050
2,794
17,795
2,783 2,901 2,8592,8073,347 3,682
1,692 1,977 2,235
4,4415,497
6,225
Dec-03 Sep-04 Dec-04
31.2%
10.0%
32.1%
13.1%
40.2%
13.2% 32.4%
20.0%
2.7%
-1.4%
28.6%
10.9%
R$ million
Note: Pro-Forma.
Investor Relations | 22
54% 50% 44%
46% 50% 56%
Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04
Wholesale
Retail
31,79627,91726,751
Loan Portfolio Mix
R$ million
Investor Relations | 23
Loan Portfolio, by risk level
R$ million
5.4% 4.9% 4.7%
7.5% 5.5% 5.4%
9.7% 8.4% 9.1%
34.2% 37.2% 37.5%
40.7% 39.9% 39.9%
3.4%4.1%2.5%
Mar 04 Dec-04 Mar 05
27,140 31,796 33,176
AA
A
B
C
E-HD
Investor Relations | 24
Loan Portfolio Quality
Non-accrual portfolio/Loan
portfolio
Coverage ratio of non-accrual portfolio
Loan portfolio E-H / Total portfolio
Dec-03 Dec-04
115.1%
131.2% 4.8%
4.0%6.0%
4.9%
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-03 Dec-04
Investor Relations | 25
Deposits and Funding
Demand deposits 18.0
Saving deposits 0.8
SuperPoupe -
Core Deposits (A) 25.0
Time deposits and interbank deposits (B) 36.0
Total deposits (A+B) 32.2
Assets under management
3,220
5,966
1,625
10,811
22,720
33,531
32,979
2,729
5,918
0
8,647
16,710
25,357
26,945 22.4
R$ Million
Dec-03 Dec-04Annual
Change (%)
Investor Relations | 26
Development of alternative
sources of funding such as
SuperPoupe;
Link individual variable
compensation at branch level to
core deposits;
Focus on cash management
services, such as:
Payroll
Collection
Main actions:
SuperPoupe
Core Deposits
104202
403
604
844
1,030
1,2221,349
1,625
Apr-04May-04Jun-04 Jul-04 Aug-04Sep-04Oct-04Nov-04Dec-04
R$ million
12 Months 2004 / 2003
Unibanco Bradesco Itaú BB
Demand Deposits 18% 19% 15% 7%
Saving deposits + Superpoupe 28% 12% 9% 13%
Market
20%
11%
Core Deposits 25% 15% 11% 10% 14%
Source: Companies and Central Bank data.
Investor Relations | 27
Fee Income
Fee Income / Personnel and administrative expenses
62.0%
64.1%
2003 2004
61.8%
2002
Fee Income 786 851 2,842 3,241 14.0%
R$ Million
4Q03 4Q04 2003 2004
2004/2003
Investor Relations | 28
Personnel and Administrative Expenses
Employees
Commercial BankSubsidiaries Excluding Acquired Companies and Credicard / Orbitall
Acquired CompaniesSubtotalCredicard / OrbitallTotal
879
383
54
1,316
49
1,365
787
367
2
1,155
81
1,237
3,176
1,440
145
4,761
297
5,058
2,904
1,361
2
4,267
310
4,576
29,025
27,408
Jun-04 Dec -04
R$ Million
4Q03 4Q04 2003 2004
11.7%
4.4%
2,600%
13.9%
-39.5%
10.3%
9.4%
5.8%
7,150%
11.6%
-4.2%
10.5%
Investor Relations | 29
Cash inflow of R$1.7 billion;
Valuation: 17.1x earnings and 10.4x book value;
Redecard (credit card acquirer) not included in the transaction;
Unibanco’s presence in this market:
• 8.0 million credit cards;
• 9.5 million private label cards;
• Full processing capability.
Income fully directed to strengthen balance sheet
Credicard and Orbitall Sale
Accretive to earnings.
R$ million
Price 1,685
Book value of investment (150)
Gross profit on sale 1,381
Goodwill amortization of acquired companies (828)
Provision for restructuring, credit and other assets, and tax litigation
(826)
Tax effects 272
Net result (1)
Provision for due-dilligence adjustments (154)
Investor Relations | 30
R$ Million
Insurance and Pension
Net Premium Written + Pension Revenues
Insurance and Pension Reserves
Net Income
Loss RatioCombined Ratio
1,025
5,533
76
41.7%
97.3%
825
3,923
56
55.3%
97.7%
4,253
5,533
300
46.9%
98.8%
3,468
3,923
265
56.4%
99.8%
46.9%
2,249
2,735
2003 2004
Net Premiums Written Loss Ratio
56.4%
Premium vs. Loss Ratio
4Q03 4Q04 2003 2004
Combined Ratio
UBB: (Operational + administrative + selling expenses) / (premium written).
UASEG (including Garantech) x Market
99.8% 98.8%104.7% 104.0%
2003 2004
Unibanco Market
24.2%
41.0%
35.7%
-1,360 b.p.
-40b.p.
22.6%
41.0%
13.2%
-950 b.p.
-100 b.p.
Investor Relations | 31
BranchNetwork
ConsumerFinance
CreditCards
Autos
Insurance &Pension
UAM
Private
Focus on higher margin and fast growing businesses
High
Low
Marg
in
Low HighGrowth
Wholesale
SMEs
2005 Perspectives
Investor Relations | 32
2005 Perspectives: A Good Start
Investor Relations | 33
GDP growth 5.2% 3.7%
FX Rate (R$ / US$) (year-end) 2.6544 2.80
SELIC (year-end) 17.75% 16.75%
IPC-A (inflation index) 7.6% 5.9%
2004 2005(E)
2005 Perspectives
Investor Relations | 34
Loan Portfolio
CorporateLargeSmall / Medium
IndividualsCommercial bank and auto financingConsumer FinanceCredit Cards
Administrative Expenses
2004
14.7%
10.0%0.8%
40.2%
23.2%17.0%32.1%32.4%
10.5%
2005Guidance
< 5%
15-20%
5-10%25-30%
20-25%20-25%25-30%
10-15%
20-25%
2005 Perspectives
Investor Relations | 35
Click to edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master text styles– Second level
• Third level– Fourth level
» Fifth level
For further information contact our Investor Relations Area at
phone: 5511-3097-1980fax: 5511-3813-6182
email: [email protected]: www.ir.unibanco.com
This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding Unibanco. its subsidiaries and affiliates - anticipated synergies. growth plans. projected results and future strategies. Although these forward-looking statements reflect management’s good faith beliefs. they involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause the Company’s actual results or outcomes to be materially different from those anticipated and discussed herein. These risks and uncertainties include. but are not limited to. our ability to realize the amount of the projected synergies and the timetable projected. as well as economic. competitive. governmental and technological factors affecting Unibanco’s operations. markets. products and prices. and other factors detailed in Unibanco’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission which readers are urged to read carefully in assessing the forward-looking statements contained herein. Unibanco undertakes no duty to update any of the projections contained herein.