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Investor Presentation1Q 2017
May 10, 2017
2May 10, 2017
DisclaimerCertain statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for Moody’s
business and operations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are made as of the date hereof,
and the Company disclaims any duty to supplement, update or revise such statements on a going-forward basis, whether as a result of subsequent
developments, changed expectations or otherwise. In connection with the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the
Company is identifying certain factors that could cause actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those indicated by these forward-looking statements.
Those factors, risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, world-wide credit market disruptions or an economic slowdown, which could affect the
volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets; other matters that could affect the volume of debt and other securities
issued in domestic and/or global capital markets, including regulation, credit quality concerns, changes in interest rates and other volatility in the financial
markets such as that due to the U.K.’s referendum vote whereby the U.K. citizens voted to withdraw from the EU; the level of merger and acquisition activity in
the U.S. and abroad; the uncertain effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of U.S. and foreign government actions affecting world-wide credit
markets, international trade and economic policy; concerns in the marketplace affecting our credibility or otherwise affecting market perceptions of the integrity
or utility of independent credit agency ratings; the introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies; pricing pressure from competitors
and/or customers; the level of success of new product development and global expansion; the impact of regulation as an NRSRO, the potential for new U.S.,
state and local legislation and regulations, including provisions in the Financial Reform Act and regulations resulting from that Act; the potential for increased
competition and regulation in the EU and other foreign jurisdictions; exposure to litigation related to our rating opinions, as well as any other litigation,
government and regulatory proceedings, investigations and inquires to which the Company may be subject from time to time; provisions in the Financial
Reform Act legislation modifying the pleading standards, and EU regulations modifying the liability standards, applicable to credit rating agencies in a manner
adverse to credit rating agencies; provisions of EU regulations imposing additional procedural and substantive requirements on the pricing of services; the
possible loss of key employees; failures or malfunctions of our operations and infrastructure; any vulnerabilities to cyber threats or other cybersecurity
concerns; the outcome of any review by controlling tax authorities of the Company’s global tax planning initiatives; exposure to potential criminal sanctions or
civil remedies if the Company fails to comply with foreign and U.S. laws and regulations that are applicable in the jurisdictions in which the Company operates,
including sanctions laws, anti-corruption laws, and local laws prohibiting corrupt payments to government officials; the impact of mergers, acquisitions or other
business combinations and the ability of the Company to successfully integrate acquired businesses; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the level of
future cash flows; the levels of capital investments; and a decline in the demand for credit risk management tools by financial institutions. These factors, risks
and uncertainties as well as other risks and uncertainties that could cause Moody’s actual results to differ materially from those contemplated, expressed,
projected, anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements are described in greater detail under “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A of the Company’s
annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, and in other filings made by the Company from time to time with the SEC or in materials
incorporated herein or therein. Stockholders and investors are cautioned that the occurrence of any of these factors, risks and uncertainties may cause the
Company’s actual results to differ materially from those contemplated, expressed, projected, anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements, which
could have a material and adverse effect on the Company’s business, results of operations and financial condition. New factors may emerge from time to time,
and it is not possible for the Company to predict new factors, nor can the Company assess the potential effect of any new factors on it.
3May 10, 2017
Table of Contents
1. Financial Overview
2. Capital Markets Overview
3. Moody’s Investors Service (MIS)
4. Moody’s Analytics (MA)
5. Conclusion
6. Appendix
4May 10, 2017
Moody’s Mission: To be the World’s Most Respected Authority Serving Risk-Sensitive Financial Markets
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Risk Understanding Risk Understanding Risk Understanding
Methodologies
Training & Certification
Analyst Outreach
Risk
Understanding
Ratings
Estimated Default Frequency
Analytics (EDFs)
Market-Implied Ratings
(MIRs)
Risk
Measurement
Research
(from both MIS & MA)
Advisory Services
Stress Testing
Software
Risk
Management
Moody’s is an essential component of the global capital markets, providing credit ratings,
research, tools and analysis that contribute to open and integrated financial markets.
5May 10, 2017
Financial Overview1
6May 10, 2017
Research, data and software for financial risk analysis
and related professional services
Customers in 145 countries3
4,600 institutional customers; business with 86 of top
100 global banks3
Overview of Moody’s Corporation1
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
» Leading global provider of credit rating opinions, insight and tools for financial
risk measurement and management
» TTM 1Q17 revenue of $3.8 billion; adjusted operating income2 of $1.8 billion
Independent provider of credit rating opinions and
related information for over 100 years
MIS provides ratings in more than 120 countries3
Ratings relationships with ~11,000 corporate issuers,
~18,000 public finance issuers and has rated and
currently monitors ~64,000 structured finance
obligations3
» 67% of total MCO revenue
» 84% of total MCO adjusted
operating income2
» 33% of total MCO revenue
» 16% of total MCO adjusted
operating income2
1 All financial data is for the trailing twelve months ended March 31, 2017.
2 Adjusted operating income is an Non-GAAP measure. See appendix for reconciliation from adjusted financial measures to GAAP.
3 As of December 31, 2016.
7May 10, 2017
Revenue is Diversified by Business, Geography and Type
TTM 1Q17 Revenue by Business
United States59%
EMEA25%
Asia-Pacific10%
Americas6%
Corporate Finance
33%
Structured Finance
12%
Financial Institutions
10%
Public, Project & Infrastructure
11%
MIS Other1%
Research, Data &
Analytics18%
Enterprise Risk Solutions
11%
Professional Services
4%
MIS MA
TTM 1Q17 Revenue by Geography
U.S. Non-U.S.
TTM 1Q17 Revenue by Type
50%37%
75%
50%63%
25%
MCO MIS MA
Recurring Transaction
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Note: All financial data is for the trailing twelve months ended March 31, 2017.
8May 10, 2017
1 Guidance as of May 5, 2017.
2 Represents adjusted EPS. See appendix for reconciliation from adjusted EPS to GAAP EPS.
3 Expect to be toward the upper end of the range. Excludes $0.31 CCXI gain.
4 Adjusted Operating Margin is a Non-GAAP measure. See appendix for reconciliation from adjusted financial measures to GAAP.
5 As of May 2017, over last five available fiscal years. Free Cash Flow is a Non-GAAP financial measure. Source: FactSet.
6 Includes: CLGX, DNB, EXPN, FDS, INFO, MORN, MSCI, SPGI, TRI and VRSK.
Operating Margin
EPS2Revenue
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F
$ B
illio
ns
Mid-single-
digit
% growth
$1 of
Revenue
$2.99$3.65
$4.21$4.60 $4.81
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
$5.50
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F
39
.5%
41
.5%
43
.2%
42
.3%
17
.7%
43
.3%
44
.7%
46
.0%
45
.5%
45
.5%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F
Operating Margin Adj. Operating Margin~
46
%
~4
3%
$0.10
$0.23
$0.30
S&P 500
Select Peers
Moody's
5-year Average Free Cash Flow Conversion5
$5.15
to
$5.303
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
1 1
1
4
6
Financial Performance
9May 10, 2017
Long-Term Growth Opportunities
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Note: Revenue and EPS long-term growth opportunities are on average over time.
1 Assumes no material change in effective tax rate, foreign exchange rates, leverage profile and/or capital allocation policy.
2 Subject to market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions.
Three Levers to Achieve EPS Growth
10May 10, 2017
Moody’s Investors Service
» Revised organizational structure
» Reengineering analytical support
group
» Upgrading IT for improved system
automation
All Areas of the Company Undertaking Actions to Actively Manage Expense Growth
Moody’s Analytics Moody’s Shared Services
» Higher margin product focus
» Limited growth of low-margin
services
» Salesforce efficiency
» Staffing shift to low-cost locations
» Improved process efficiency
through re-engineering and
technology enablement
» Flattened rate of headcount growth
» Increased use of Moody’s Analytics
Knowledge Services (MAKS)
» Compensation management
» Performance culture
» Real estate densification
Expense and best practice initiatives to drive
MCO operating margin to the mid-40s % range over the next several years
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
11May 10, 2017
Moody’s has a Disciplined Approach to Capital AllocationInvesting in Growth Opportunities Return of Capital
Reinvestment Acquisitions Dividends Share Repurchases
» Invest in existing businesses
to support organic growth
» FY 2017 capex guidance:
~$100 million1
» Aligned with strategy
» Opportunistic; ideally able to
use offshore cash
» Payout ratio potential is 25%
- 30% of net income at
current leverage2
» TTM 1Q 2017 payout ratio
was ~30%3
» FY 2017 share repurchase
guidance: ~$500 million4
» Average annualized net
share count reduction of
~4% from 2012 to 1Q 2017
» 1Q 2017 average repurchase
price of $112.24
1 Guidance as of May 5, 2017.
2 Assumes continued balance of return of capital between dividends and share repurchase subject to available cash, market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions.
3 Dividend payout ratio is defined as TTM 1Q 2017 dividend paid/adjusted net income.
4 Guidance as of May 5, 2017 (subject to available cash, market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions).
Share Repurchases and Dividends Paid Annualized Dividend Per Share(Last 5 Years)
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
$197
$893
$1,221$1,098
$739
$55
$143
$197
$236$272
$285
$73
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2017
$ M
illions
Mill
ions o
f S
hare
s
Share Repurchases (R) Dividends Paid (R)
Shares Outstanding (L)
$340
$1,090
$1,457$1,370
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
Jun-1
2
Sep-1
2
De
c-1
2
Ma
r-1
3
Jun-1
3
Sep-1
3
De
c-1
3
Ma
r-1
4
Jun-1
4
Sep-1
4
De
c-1
4
Ma
r-1
5
Jun-1
5
Sep-1
5
De
c-1
5
Ma
r-1
6
Jun-1
6
Sep-1
6
De
c-1
6
Ma
r-1
7
$1.52
$1,024
$128
12May 10, 2017
Full Year 2017 Guidance as of May 5, 2017
1 These metrics are adjusted measures. See Appendix for a reconciliation of these measures to their comparable GAAP measure.
2 Expect to be toward the upper end of the range.
3 Excludes $0.31 CCXI gain.
4 Includes payment of the settlement charge related to an agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice and the attorneys general of 21 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.
» Revenue: Increase in the mid-single-digit % range
» Operating Expense: Decrease in the 25% - 30% range
» Adjusted Operating Expense1: Increase in the mid-single-digit % range
» Operating Margin: Approximately 43%
» Adjusted Operating Margin1: Approximately 46%
» Effective Tax Rate: Approximately 30%
» Earnings Per Share2 $5.46 - $5.61
» Adjusted Earnings Per Share1,2,3: $5.15 - $5.30
» Share Repurchases: Approximately $500 million (subject to available cash, market
conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions)
» Capital Expenditures: Approximately $100 million
» Depreciation & Amortization: Approximately $135 million
» Operating Cash Flow: Approximately $600 million
» Free Cash Flow1,4: Approximately $500 million
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
13May 10, 2017
Capital Markets Overview2
14May 10, 2017
Historically, Rising Rates Have not had a Significant Impact on Moody’s Revenue
+200bps
+120bps
+100bps
+180bps
5.8%
7.8%
4.7%
6.5%
2.3%
3.3%
1.8%
3.0%
2.2%
2.5%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
19921993 19941995 1996 19971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016
$ M
illio
ns
MIS Revenue MA Revenue MCO Revenue 10-yr U.S. Treasury Yield (R)1
1 10-yr U.S. Treasury Yields are represented by the rate at the end-of-period.
2 10-yr U.S. Treasury Yields are represented by the rate as of May 9, 2017.
Source: www.treasury.gov.
MCO Revenue and Interest Rates
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
» Despite the December 2016 and March 2017 Fed rate hikes, the 10-year U.S.
Treasury yield eased from mid-December’s 2.6% to ~2.4%2
15May 10, 2017
Debt Leverage up in North America and Europe; Interest Coverage Remains Reasonable
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Credit Metrics: North American Speculative Grade Companies
Source: Moody’s Investors Service.
1.7x 1.6x 1.4x 1.3x 1.6x 1.9x 1.7x 1.7x 1.6x 1.7x 1.7x 1.8x
4.2x 4.2x4.5x 4.5x 4.4x 4.2x 4.3x
4.6x 4.8x 4.9x 5.1x 5.2x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Inte
rest
Covera
ge
(EBITDA - Capex) / Interest Expense Debt / EBITDA
Credit Metrics: European Speculative Grade Companies
1.4x 1.8x 1.6x 1.5x 1.5x 1.5x 1.8x 1.5x
4.9x4.3x 4.5x
4.8x 5.0x 4.9x
4.1x4.8x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3Q 2016
Inte
rest
Covera
ge
(EBITDA - Capex) / Interest Expense Debt / EBITDA
16May 10, 2017
Global Default Rates Remain Under Historic Average
Default Rates for Corporate Rated Issuance3
2.4%
3.0%
1.8%1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F
Global U.S. Europe
4.4% global historic average
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
1 Illustrates top 10 industries with highest forecasted one-year default rates.
2 Default rate forecasts are not reported in these sectors in Europe due to small sample size (fewer than ten issuers).
3 Moody’s rated corporate global speculative grade default historical average of 4.4% since 1983. 2018 forecast for trailing twelve months ended March 31, 2018.
Source: Moody’s Investors Service.
Corporate Default Rate Forecast by Industry1
» Global speculative-grade default rate at 3.8% as of March 31, 2017; expected to decline to 2.4% by
March 2018, helped by fewer commodity defaults.
Industry Group (Top 10 Highest Default Forecasts)
U.S. Europe
Retail 4.5% 4.0%
Media: Advertising, Printing & Publishing 4.4% 1.7%
Metals & Mining 3.7% 1.7%
Consumer goods: durable2 3.6%
Transportation: Cargo 3.5% 2.8%
Services: Business 3.5% 2.2%
Environmental Industries2 3.5%
Energy: Oil & Gas 3.3% 2.9%
Wholesale2 3.2%
Energy: Electricity2 3.1%
17May 10, 2017
North America and EMEA Non-Financial Corporates Have Over $3.3 Trillion of Refunding Needs1
Debt Maturities: North America Moody’s-Rated Corporate Bonds and Loans
$171$196 $199 $193
$220
$27$57
$87
$130$162
$9$46
$122
$221$260
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
$ B
illio
ns
Source: MIS, February 2017.
Note: Data represents U.S. & Canadian MIS rated corporate bonds & loans.
Debt Maturities: EMEA Moody’s-Rated Corporate Bonds and Loans
$196 $190 $176 $166
$41$71 $62
$81$52 $56 $62 $67
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
2017 2018 2019 2020
$ B
illio
ns
Source: MIS, July 2016.
2017 – 2021 CAGR
Investment Grade Bonds: 7%
Speculative Grade Bonds: 57%
Speculative Grade Bank Loans: 130%
1 Amount reflects total maturities identified in the above sources.
Investment Grade Bonds Speculative Grade Bonds Speculative Grade Bank Loans
2017 – 2020 CAGR
Investment Grade Bonds: (5%)
Speculative Grade Bonds: 25%
Speculative Grade Bank Loans: 9%
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
18May 10, 2017
Debt Refinancing and M&A are Most Frequently Stated Uses of Proceeds
1 Percent of mentions for each respective period in bond issue or bank loan program tranche documents. Excludes issues of less than $25 million and general corporate purposes.
An issue can have multiple purposes and, as a result, percentages do not sum to 100%.
Source: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group (CMRG).
Uses of Funds from USD High Yield Bonds and Bank Loans1
73%
62% 52%
83%
71% 74%78%
71%65%
54%64%
76%
45%
63% 53%
19%
31% 30%25%
31%41% 54%
41%
33%
24% 22% 17%
11%
7% 8% 8%7% 8%
5% 6%
4%
9% 12% 9% 4%
18% 17% 18% 22% 20% 16% 17%12%
1998 1999 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2017
% o
f M
entions
Debt Refinancing M&A Capital Spending Shareholder Payments
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
19May 10, 2017
Disintermediation of Credit is an Ongoing Trend in the Global Capital Markets
Sources: ECB, Federal Reserve, BarCap Indices. Europe bank loan data includes Eurozone and UK bank loans. Europe bond data includes euro and sterling denominated bonds.
European and U.S. data is through March 2017.
European Non-Financial Corporate
Bonds vs. Bank Loans Outstanding
4
8
%
€0
€1,000
€2,000
€3,000
€4,000
€5,000
€6,000
€7,000
€B
illio
ns
Bonds Loans
U.S. Non-Financial Corporate
Bonds vs. Bank Loans Outstanding
4
8
%
$0
$1,500
$3,000
$4,500
$6,000
$7,500
$9,000
$ B
illio
ns
Bonds Loans
77%
23%
48%
52%
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
20May 10, 2017
» FY 2016 speculative-grade bank loan issuance in the U.S. totaled ~$400 billion vs. ~$100 billion in
Europe
» Record activity in 1Q 2017 as issuers took advantage of the highly favorable market backdrop to
refinance and extend outstanding bank loan debt on issuer-friendly terms
Moody’s Rated U.S. Corporate Speculative-Grade Bank Loans1
Rising Rates are Supporting Leveraged Loan Activity
1 U.S. Speculative-Grade Bank Loan represents Moody’s rated new bank loan programs.
Sources: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic
$0
$200
$400
$600
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q'17
$ B
illio
ns
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
21May 10, 2017
Disintermediation is a Key Driver of Moody’s Global New Rating Mandates
0
400
800
1,200
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2016 1Q 2017
# o
f N
ew
Mandate
s
EMEA United States Rest of World
Global New Rating Mandates1
1 Rated by Moody’s Investors Service.
Source: Moody’s Investors Service.
» In 1Q 2017, Moody’s new rating mandates increased to 219, up 24% from 177 in 4Q 2016
and up 42% from 154 in 1Q 2016
854
1,026 990
771
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
738
154219
22May 10, 2017
Moody’s Investors Service3
23May 10, 2017
Rating Quality
Research & Insight
Service Level
Value Proposition
Expanded sales and
marketing activities in
Commercial Group
Proven rating accuracy
and deeply experienced
analysts
Improving the issuer /
investor experience
Focus on research
leadership
Moody’s Investors Service: A Leading Provider of Credit Ratings, Research and Risk Analysis
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
24May 10, 2017
Illustrative Value of a Moody’s Rating
Example: 10 year $500 million corporate bond
$15 million in total interest expense
vs.
lifetime cost of a rating
$500,000,000
x 4.3%
= $21,500,000
x 10 years
= $215,000,000
Unrated Rated by Moody’s
$500,000,000
x 4.0%
= $20,000,000
x 10 years
= $200,000,000
Bond
Interest rate
Annual interest payments
Tenor
Lifetime interest expense
Note: Illustrative spread differential based on feedback from syndicate desks and FBR & Co. research on Moody’s Corporation (January 2014) which stated that obtaining a Moody’s rating
typically saves approximately 30 basis points per year for investment grade issuers. Many factors go into the pricing of a bond.
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
25May 10, 2017
Moody’s Continues to Invest in Key International Markets
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$ B
illio
ns
Emerging Markets Rated Corporate Bond Issuance1
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Moody’s-Rated Chinese Issuers2
0
50
100
150
200
250
Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16
Num
ber
of
Issuers
Americas
» 2015: Acquired 100% of Equilibrium
EMEA
» 2013: Opened MIS Warsaw office
» 2016: Opened MIS Stockholm office
» 2016: Collaboration with Euler
Hermes Rating
APAC
» 2006: Joint venture in China domestic
market with CCXI
» 2013: Opened MIS Mumbai and
Shanghai offices
» 2015: Acquired majority control of
ICRA
» 2016: Increased stake in KIS to 100%
» 2017: Strategic realignment and
expansion involving CCXI
1 Moving 12 month sum; includes rated investment grade and high yield corporate bond issuance (financial and non-financial). Chart is through March 2017.
2 Includes rated issuers where major operations or headquarters are in Mainland China. Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan are not included.
Sources: Dealogic, Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Moody’s Investors Service.
26May 10, 2017
37%
63%
Recurring Transaction
TTM 1Q 2017 Revenue: $2.5 billion
Moody’s Investors Service Financial Profile
Public,
Project, &
Infrastructure
Finance
17%
Financial
Institutions
15%
Corporate
Finance
49%
Structured
Finance
18%
MIS Other
1%
63%
37%
U.S. Non-U.S.
» 37% recurring revenue
» 60% recurring revenue
» 38% recurring revenue
2017 Revenue Guidance as of May 5, 2017
Global mid-single-digit % range
U.S. mid-single-digit % range
Non-U.S. mid-single-digit % range
Corporate Finance mid-single-digit % range
Structured Finance mid-single-digit % range
Financial Institutions mid-single-digit % range
Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance low-single-digit % range
» 29% recurring revenue
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Note: All financial data, except guidance, is for the trailing twelve months ended March 31, 2017.
27May 10, 2017
Moody’s Analytics4
28May 10, 2017
Moody’s Analytics Provides Essential Insight Serving Global Financial Markets
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Research Data & Analytics Enterprise Risk Solutions Professional Services
» MIS research & data
» MIS ratings feeds
» Quantitative credit metrics (EDFs)
» Economic research, data & models
» Structured finance analytics & data
» Software solutions and risk
management services that assist with:
- Financial spreading
- Risk scoring
- Default modeling
- Exposure aggregation &
management
- Portfolio analytics
- Stress testing
- Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA)
calculation and reporting
» Outsourced research & consulting
» Financial training & education
˗ In-house training, seminars &
on-line learning
˗ Professional certification
29May 10, 2017
Research, Data and Analytics
54%Enterprise
Risk Solutions
34%
Professional Services
12%
TTM 1Q 2017 Revenue: $1.2 billion
Moody’s Analytics Financial Profile
75%
25%
Recurring Transaction
49%
51%
U.S. Non-U.S. » > 95% recurring revenue
» 95% retention rate
» 67% recurring revenue
» Combination of one-off contracts and
semi-recurring revenue
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
2017 Revenue Guidance as of May 5, 2017
Global mid-single-digit % range
U.S. low-single-digit % range
Non-U.S. high-single-digit % range
Research, Data & Analytics high-single-digit % range
Enterprise Risk Solutions mid-single-digit % range
Professional Services low-single-digit % range
Note: All financial data, except guidance, is for the trailing twelve months ended March 31, 2017.
30May 10, 2017
Moody’s Analytics has Multiple Platforms for Growth
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$ M
illio
ns
2016 Revenue and
2008 – 2016 CAGR
~65% organic
Professional Services
$147.0m, 37% CAGR
~15% organic
Enterprise Risk Solutions
$418.8m, 17% CAGR
~65% organic
Research, Data & Analytics
$667.6m, 6% CAGR
>90% organic
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Added ~$700 Million in Revenue in 9 Years
31May 10, 2017
RD&A: Subscription Growth Driven by Retention, Upgrades and Pricing & New Sales
+10.0%
95.9%109.7%6.3% 7.5%
Retained Base Upgrades and Price New Sales Business Base
+9.5%
+6.6%
Full
Ye
ar
201
4F
ull
Ye
ar
201
5F
ull
Ye
ar
201
6
95.4% 110.2%8.0%6.8%
Retained Base Upgrades and Price New Sales Business Base
96.3% 110.5%7.2%7.0%
Retained Base Upgrades and Price New Sales Business Base
Note: The sales growth attributions presented on this slide are related to RD&A subscription sales on a constant currency basis. Upgrades reflect amendments to existing customer
contracts. New Sales reflect new contracts with new and existing customers. Reported total revenue growth reflects total RD&A revenue.
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Subscription Sales Growth(constant currency)
Reported Total
Revenue Growth
32May 10, 2017
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
Services Products
Recurring Revenue
67%
Transaction Revenue
33%
ERS: TTM Revenue by Type
ERS: TTM Revenue
ERS Continues to Focus on Product Sales and isDe-emphasizing Lower Margin Services Sales
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
1 Products revenue include subscriptions, license and maintenance.
1
33May 10, 2017
Professional Services: Extending the Brand Into New Markets and Deepening Customer Relationships
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Knowledge process
outsourcing
Certificates, designations
and accreditations
Financial services
training
» Leading provider of research,
analytics and business
intelligence services to global
financial institutions
» Bespoke front-office support with
client-dedicated analyst teams for
150+ clients
» More than 2,600 employees in
offices in India, China, Sri Lanka
and Costa Rica
» 15 years of experience helping
clients enhance profitability,
increase operational flexibility and
drive revenues
» Canada’s leading provider of
financial services education and
designations
» 270+ courses taken by 800,000+
financial professionals
» Endorsed by the Investment
Industry Regulatory Organization
of Canada (IIROC), Canada’s
stock exchanges and Canada’s
securities regulatory commissions
» Provider of global learning
capabilities to banks, asset
managers, regulators and non-
bank financial institutions
» Expansion into new markets:
˗ India: Signed MOU with the
National Institute of
Securities Markets (NISM)
to jointly offer certification
programs
˗ Africa: MA is fast becoming
a recognized standard for
credit training in the region
34May 10, 2017
Conclusion5
35May 10, 2017
Why Invest in Moody’s?
» We strive to be the world’s most respected authority serving risk-sensitive financial
markets
» We have had strong revenue and earnings growth, as well as cash flow conversion
– 2012 – 2016 revenue CAGR of 7%
– 2012 – 2016 adjusted EPS1 CAGR of 13%
– 2012 – 2016 free cash flow conversion rate of ~30%
» We are committed to returning capital to our shareholders
– 2012 – 2016 returned $5.3 billion, or 110% of free cash flow, to shareholders via share
repurchases and dividends
» We will selectively invest in strategic growth opportunities
– Leverage brand to extend our relevance in financial markets
– Expand our product offerings and geographic influence
1 See appendix for reconciliation of adjusted EPS to GAAP EPS.
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
37May 10, 2017
Appendix6
38May 10, 2017
Corporate Finance: Revenue and Issuance
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
2 Other includes: monitoring, commercial paper, medium term notes, and ICRA.
3 Sources: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic; U.S. and Non-U.S. Speculative-Grade Bank Loan Origination represent Moody’s rated new bank loan programs. Non-
U.S. Speculative-Grade Bank Loan Origination data available starting 2016. Note: Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.
$104 $108 $105 $104 $103 $105 $109 $108 $113
$87 $84$63 $71 $66 $79 $61 $56
$72
$63 $61
$33 $27 $30
$51$59
$41
$64
$45 $67
$48 $44 $41
$69 $71$73
$104
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter
Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans
$179 $178 $216$275 $312 $363
$420 $421 $425$66 $119$109
$137$197
$193
$230$305 $262
$27
$84
$143
$120
$194$229
$219$183
$181
$36
$28
$96
$120
$155
$212
$242 $204 $254
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year
Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans
$343 $331$237 $209
$317 $339 $320$215
$346
$120 $99
$62$48
$53$103
$91
$64
$123
$75 $109
$95$75
$71
$99 $120
$124
$206
$8
$25 $32
$47
$77
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Issu
an
ce $
Bil
lio
ns
Global Rated Non-Financial Bonds and Speculative Grade Bank Loans (Quarterly)3
Non-U.S. Speculative-Grade Bank Loan Origination
U.S. Speculative-Grade Bank Loan Origination
Global Non-Financial Speculative-Grade Bond Issuance
Global Non-Financial Investment-Grade Bond Issuance
$763
$1,129
$641 $750
$1,125 $1,073 $1,043 $1,120 $1,191
$65
$221
$293$250
$329 $411 $405 $329 $311
$134
$79
$273 $330
$353$504
$425 $354$414
$112
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Issu
an
ce $
Bil
lio
ns
Global Rated Non-Financial Bonds and Speculative Grade Bank Loans (Annually)3
Non-U.S. Speculative-Grade Bank Loan OriginationU.S. Speculative-Grade Bank Loan OriginationGlobal Non-Financial Speculative-Grade Bond IssuanceGlobal Non-Financial Investment-Grade Bond Issuance
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
2
2
39May 10, 2017
36% 36% 38% 39% 43%35% 36% 39% 38% 32%
23% 19% 21%27%
27%
26% 20% 20% 23%20%
23%23% 20%
16% 13%17% 20% 15% 16%
18%
18% 21% 22% 18% 17% 22% 23% 26% 23%29%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans
74% 73% 70% 69% 63%71% 70% 68% 68% 74%
26% 27% 30% 31% 37%29% 30% 32% 32% 26%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction
Transaction Recurring
Corporate Finance: Revenue Diversification
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
2 Other includes: monitoring, commercial paper, medium term notes, and ICRA.
Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.
34% 38% 38% 32% 28% 32% 33% 34% 32% 31%
66% 62% 62% 68% 72% 68% 67% 66% 68% 69%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Geography
Non - U.S. U.S.
Revenue1 Distribution: Product
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
2
40May 10, 2017
Structured Finance: Revenue and Issuance
$21 $26 $21 $24 $20 $27 $23 $24 $23
$18$22
$19$23
$21$21
$19 $25 $20
$33$32
$37$38
$28$33
$33$40
$29
$29
$41$36
$30
$22
$30$29
$42
$27
$0
$1$0 $0
$1
$1$0
$1
$0
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter
ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit Other
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
2 Sources: AB Alert, CM Alert, Moody’s Corporation. Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.
Notes: ABS (Asset Backed Securitization) includes asset-backed commercial paper and long-term asset-backed securities. RMBS (Residential Mortgage Backed Securitization) includes
covered bonds. CREF (Commercial Real Estate Finance) includes commercial mortgage-backed securities, real estate finance, commercial real estate CDOs, and real estate investment
trusts (REITs). Structured Credit includes CLOs and CDOs.
$133 $101 $91 $107 $110 $98 $92 $91 $94
$74$59 $65
$90 $85$73 $76 $81 $85
$55
$46 $53
$70 $95 $116 $122 $140 $133
$142
$99 $82
$78$91 $96
$137$135 $122
$0
$0 $0
$0$0 $0
$0$2 $2
$0
$200
$400
$600
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year
ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit Other
$346 $296 $220$319 $335 $317 $319 $292 $298
$766
$355$396
$371$231 $189 $238
$200 $204
$36
$30 $24$36
$73
$120$114
$117 $94
$107
$93 $59$39
$65$94
$159$132 $116
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Issu
an
ce $
Bil
lio
ns
Global Rated Structured Finance(Annually)2
ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit
$73 $81$64 $74 $62
$88$68 $80 $74
$38$41
$58$63
$58
$61
$36$48 $47
$30$32 $27
$28$21
$16
$25
$33$18
$25
$44$32
$30
$12
$24
$25
$56
$14
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Issu
an
ce $
Bil
lio
ns
Global Rated Structured Finance(Quarterly)2
ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
41May 10, 2017
Structured Finance: Revenue Diversification
58% 60% 62% 64%55% 61% 60%
68% 62% 57%
42% 40% 38% 36%45% 39% 40%
32% 38% 43%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction
Transaction Recurring
46%36% 34% 31% 34% 35% 31% 32% 33% 35%
54%64% 66% 69% 66% 65% 69% 68% 67% 65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Geography
Non - U.S. U.S.
29% 26% 22% 20% 22% 24% 22% 19% 22% 23%
22%19%
18% 18%23% 19% 18%
19%19% 20%
25%30%
28% 31%30% 30% 31%
30%31% 29%
24% 25%32% 31% 24% 26% 27% 32% 28% 27%
0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit Other
Revenue1 Distribution: by Product
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.
Notes: ABS (Asset Backed Securitization) includes asset-backed commercial paper and long-term asset-backed securities. RMBS (Residential Mortgage Backed Securitization) includes
covered bonds. CREF (Commercial Real Estate Finance) includes commercial mortgage-backed securities, real estate finance, commercial real estate CDOs, and real estate investment
trusts (REITs). Structured Credit includes CLOs and CDOs.
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
42May 10, 2017
Financial Institutions: Revenue and Issuance
$63 $62 $58 $61 $59 $60 $63 $59
$79
$25 $21 $26 $24 $30 $24$26
$23
$25$4$5 $3 $4 $4
$4$4
$4
$5$2 $2 $2 $2 $3
$3$3
$3
$3
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter
Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other
$175 $176 $192 $205 $228 $234 $242 $244 $240
$71 $66$69
$73$79 $89 $92 $96 $102
$17 $16$18
$17
$19$16
$19 $16 $17
$0 $0$0
$0
$0$0
$2 $9 $10
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year
Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other
$1,779 $1,764
$1,340 $1,266 $1,312$1,072
$1,247 $1,194 $1,186
$32 $80
$87$79
$137
$161
$197$136 $113
$0
$400
$800
$1,200
$1,600
$2,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Issu
an
ce $
Bil
lio
ns
Global Rated Financial Bonds(Annually)2
Global Spec Grade Corporate Bond Issuance
Global Inv Grade Corporate Bond Issuance
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
2 Sources: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic. Note: Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.
$379
$285 $262 $268
$369$318 $284
$215
$410
$42
$42$28 $24
$26
$29$38
$19
$44
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Issu
an
ce $
Bil
lio
ns
Global Rated Financial Bonds(Quarterly)2
Global Speculative Grade Financial Corporate Bond Issuance
Global Investment Grade Financial Corporate Bond Issuance
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
43May 10, 2017
Financial Institutions: Revenue Diversification
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.
37% 35% 35% 37% 39% 33%41% 35% 37%
48%
63% 65% 65% 63% 61% 67%59% 65% 63%
52%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction
Transaction Recurring
59% 58% 60% 57% 58% 55% 57% 58% 57% 55%
41% 42% 40% 43% 42% 45% 43% 42% 43% 45%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Geography
Non - U.S. U.S.
70% 69% 68% 67% 62% 66% 65% 66% 65%70%
24% 26% 26% 26% 31% 26% 27% 26% 28%22%
6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5%
0% 0% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other
Revenue1 Distribution: Product
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
44May 10, 2017
$143 $142 $159 $156$181 $174 $177
$202 $225
$87 $104$113 $121
$142 $167 $181$174
$188
$0$0
$0 $0
$0$0
$0$0
$0
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year
Public Finance and SovereignProject & Infrastructure FinanceOther
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
2 Global Rated Project & Infrastructure Finance available starting in 2016 and represents Moody’s rated issuance.
Sources: Thomson SDC, Moody’s Corporation. Note: Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.
$350 $355 $374
$248$302 $307
$364 $358$408
$190
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Issu
an
ce $
Bil
lio
ns
Long-Term Rated U.S. Municipal Bond and Global Rated Project & Infrastructure Finance Issuance
(Annually)2
Rated Global Project & Infrastructure Finance Issuance
Long-Term Rated U.S. Muni Bond Issuance
Public, Project and Infrastructure: Revenue and Issuance
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
$94 $107$84 $74
$94$114 $105 $95 $82
$22
$66 $48 $54
$110
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Issu
an
ce $
Bil
lio
ns
Long-Term Rated U.S. Municipal Bond and Global Rated Project & Infrastructure Finance Issuance
(Quarterly)2
Rated Global Project & Infrastructure Finance Issuance
Long-Term Rated U.S. Muni Bond Issuance
$56 $54$46 $46
$55 $55 $60 $54 $53
$45 $46$45 $40
$37
$57 $45 $49 $45
$0 $0$0
$0$0
$0$0 $0
$0
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter
Public Finance and SovereignProject & Infrastructure FinanceOther
45May 10, 2017
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.
61% 60% 58% 60% 59% 65% 63% 62% 63% 60%
39% 40% 42% 40% 41% 35% 37% 38% 37% 40%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction
Transaction Recurring
35% 37% 37% 35% 33% 33% 28%37% 33% 36%
65% 63% 63% 65% 67% 67% 72%63% 67% 64%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Geography
Non - U.S. U.S.
56% 51% 49% 54% 60%49%
57% 53% 54% 54%
44% 49% 51% 46% 40%51%
43% 47% 46% 46%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Public Finance and Sovereign Project & Infrastructure Finance Other
Revenue1 Distribution: Product
Public, Project and Infrastructure: Revenue Diversification
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
46May 10, 2017
Moody’s Analytics: Financial Overview
$150 $158 $158 $161 $165 $168 $168 $167 $175
$77 $83 $92$122 $90 $98 $102 $130 $96
$37$38 $37
$38$37 $38 $36
$37$36
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter
1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.
Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.
$413 $411 $419 $445 $483 $520 $572 $626 $668
$119 $151 $181 $196$243 $263
$329$374
$419
$12 $11 $19 $62 $108$119
$168$150
$147
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Reven
ue
$ M
illi
on
s
Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year
Professional Services
Enterprise Risk Solutions
Research, Data and
Analytics
23% 23% 27% 26% 24% 24% 24% 29% 25% 21%
77% 77% 73% 74% 76% 76% 76% 71% 75% 79%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Transaction Recurring
57% 55% 56% 54% 51% 52% 51% 53% 51% 49%
43% 45% 44% 46% 49% 48% 49% 47% 49% 51%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Geography
Non-U.S. U.S.
58% 58% 54% 54% 57% 55% 55% 50% 54% 57%
29% 29% 31% 33% 31% 32% 33% 39% 34% 31%
13% 13% 16% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 12% 12%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 FY16 1Q17
Revenue1 Distribution: Product
Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
47May 10, 2017
Moody’s Corporate Speculative Grade Credit Cycle Gauge
1 North America long-term average: LSI: from 2002, B3-Neg: from 2007, Refunding: from 2007, Downgrade / Update Ratio: from 2008, CQ score: from 2011, Default rate: from 1990.
2 Europe long-term average: LSI: from 2012, CQ Score: from 2011, B3-Neg: from 2010, Downgrade / Update Ratio: from 2009, Default rate: from 1999.
3 Trailing twelve months as of March 31, 2017.
Source: Moody’s Investors Service.
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Improving Neutral Trending Worse
Latest
Metric
1-Year
Ago
Long-Term
Average1
Record
Worst
Latest
Metric
1-Year
Ago
Long-Term
Average2
Record
Worst
Liquidity Stress Index 5.3% 10.3% 6.8% 20.8% 9.9% 11.0% 12.4% 18.5%
B3-Neg / Lower 243 291 193 291 57 53 39 60
% B3-Neg / Lower 17% 20% 15% 26% 13.3% 12.2% 11.9% 17.2%
3-Year Refunding Index 3.8x 3.7x 6.4x 1.5x N/A N/A N/A N/A
Downgrade / Upgrade Ratio3 1.2x 3.1x 2.4x 11.7x 0.9x 1.7x 2.6x 20.5x
Covenant Quality Score 4.12 4.24 4.02 4.52 3.61 3.36 3.21 4.85
Default Rate (forecast) 3.0% 4.7% 4.7% 15.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 13.0%
North America Europe
48May 10, 2017
Revenue Growth by Quarter: MCO, MIS and MAYear-over-Year % Change
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Q1'1
1
Q2'1
1
Q3'1
1
Q4'1
1
Q1'1
2
Q2'1
2
Q3'1
2
Q4'1
2
Q1'1
3
Q2'1
3
Q3'1
3
Q4'1
3
Q1'1
4
Q2'1
4
Q3'1
4
Q4'1
4
Q1'1
5
Q2'1
5
Q3'1
5
Q4'1
5
Q1'1
6
Q2'1
6
Q3'1
6
Q4'1
6
Q1'1
7
MIS MA MCO
(2%)
3%
16%
1%
6%
19%
15%
5%
1%
23%
13%
7%
12%
5%
2%
U.S
. debt ceili
ng s
tandoff
Fears
Euro
debt crisis
may
spre
ad to Ita
ly &
Spain
Crim
ean c
risis
Oil
prices c
rash
Euro
/ G
reece s
tandoff
Glo
bal m
acro
concern
s
(13%)
(6%)
11% 9%
1%
(2%)
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
27%
19%
6%
49May 10, 2017
$1.90$2.07
$2.27 $2.33 $2.37
$0.53$0.67
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2016 1Q 2017
Revenue $
Billio
ns
Issuance $
Trilli
ons
Global Non-Financial Bonds and US HY Bank Loans (L) Global Financial Bonds (L)
Global Structured Finance (L) U.S. Municipal Bonds (L)
MIS Revenue (R)
MIS Revenue vs. Rated Issuance1
» In addition to issuance activity levels, MIS revenue is impacted by (i) the mix of issuance activity, (ii) pricing
and (iii) growth in monitored credits
1 Rated global investment grade bonds, global high yield bonds, U.S. high yield bank loans, global structured finance, and U.S. municipal issuance.
Source: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic, AB Alert, CM Alert, Thomson SDC. U.S. High Yield Bank Loans represent Moody’s rated new U.S. bank loan programs.
Year-over-Year
Percent Change2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2012-2016
CAGR1Q 2017
Issuance 16% 0% 6% -6% 2% 3% 26%
Revenue 20% 9% 9% 3% 2% 6% 27%
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
50May 10, 2017
Moody’s is a Seasoned Capital Markets Issuer
» Successfully issued across the maturity curve and in multiple currencies (USD and EUR) and
formats (fixed and floating)
» Initial maturities ranging from 18-month to 30-year
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
3.0x
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TTM 1Q2017
$ M
illio
ns
Adjusted EBITDA (L) Total Debt Outstanding (L) Gross Debt/EBITDA (R)
Public Bond Offerings
» 2010: $500m 10yr bond
» 2012: $500m 10yr bond
» 2013: $500m 10yr bond
» 2014: $450m 5yr bond
$300m 30yr bond
» 2015: €500m 12yr bond
$300m 30yr bond3
» 2017: $500m 5yr bond
$300m 1.5yr floating rate note
1 Amount is an adjusted measure. See Appendix for a reconciliation of this adjusted financial measure to its comparable GAAP measure.
2 Debt outstanding at end of period.
3 On November 13, 2015, Moody’s issued $300 million of 5.25% senior unsecured notes due 2044 in a reopening of its existing series of such notes.
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
1 2
51May 10, 2017
Moody’s Global Presence
1 As of March 31, 2017.
2 As of March 31, 2016.
U.S. employees non-U.S. employees total employees2
U.S. employees non-U.S. employees total employees1
3,411 7,247 10,658
2017
3,441 7,311 10,752
2016
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
52May 10, 2017
Adjusted Operating Income and Adjusted Operating Margin Reconciliation
Reconciliation of Adjusted Financial Measures to GAAP
(in $ millions) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TTM 1Q
2017
As Reported Operating Income $1,077.4 $1,234.6 $1,439.1 $1,473.4 $638.7 $778.0
Operating Margin 39.5% 41.5% 43.2% 42.3% 17.7% 20.7%
Add Adjustment:
Depreciation & Amortization 93.5 93.4 95.6 113.5 126.7 129.3
Restructuring - - - - 12.0 8.7
Goodwill Impairment Charge 12.2 - - - - -
Settlement Charge - - - - 863.8 863.8
Adjusted Operating Income $1,183.1 $1,328.0 $1,534.7 $1,586.9 $1,641.2 $1,779.8
Adjusted Operating Margin 43.3% 44.7% 46.0% 45.5% 45.5% 47.3%
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Moody's Corporation Operating Margin Guidance Reconciliation
Moody's Corporation Free Cash Flow Guidance Reconciliation
1 Guidance as of May 5, 2017.
2017F1
Projected Operating Margin - GAAP Approximately 43%
Projected impact from Depreciation
& Amortization Approximately 3%
Projected Adjusted Operating
Margin Approximately 46%
(in $ millions) 2017F1
Cash Flow from Operations Approximately $600 million
Less Capital Expenditures Approximately $100 million
Free Cash Flow Approximately $500 million
53May 10, 2017
Reconciliation of Adjusted Financial Measures to GAAP (cont.)
Moody's Corporation EPS Reconciliation
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F1
Diluted EPS - GAAP $3.05 $3.60 $4.61 $4.63 $1.36 $5.46 - $5.61
Legacy Tax (0.06) (0.09) (0.03) (0.03) - -
Impact of Litigation Settlement - 0.14 - - $3.59 -
ICRA Gain - - (0.37) - - -FX Gain due to Subsidiary
Liquidation($0.18) -
Restructuring $0.04 -
CCXI Gain - - - - - ($0.31)
Adjusted Diluted EPS $2.99 $3.65 $4.21 $4.60 $4.81 $5.15 - $5.30
1 Guidance as of May 5, 2017.
Note: Table may not sum to total due to rounding.
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
Moody's Corporation Adjusted Operating Expense Reconciliation
2017F1
Operating Expense Guidance Decreased in the 25% to 30% range
Impact of 2016 settlement and restructuring charge
Adjusted Operating Expense Guidance Increase in the mid-single-digit percent range
54May 10, 2017
Reconciliation of Adjusted Financial Measures to GAAP (cont.)
Moody's Corporation EBITDA Reconciliation
($ Millions) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TTM
1Q 20172
Net Income attributable to
Moody's $753.9 $701.5 $457.6 $402.0 $507.8 $571.4 $690.0 $804.5 $988.7 $941.3 $266.6 $427.8
Provision for Income Taxes $506.6 $415.0 $268.2 $239.1 $201.0 $261.8 $324.3 $353.4 $455.0 $430.0 $282.2 $298.6
Interest Expense, Net ($3.0) $24.3 $52.2 $33.4 $52.5 $62.1 $63.8 $91.8 $116.8 $115.1 $137.8 $146.1
Depreciation & Amortization $39.5 $42.9 $75.1 $64.1 $66.3 $79.2 $93.5 $93.4 $95.6 $113.5 $126.7 $129.3
EBITDA $1,297.0 $1,183.7 $853.1 $738.6 $827.6 $974.5 $1,171.6 $1,343.1 $1,656.1 $1,599.9 $813.3 $1,001.8
Net Settlement1 - - - - - - - - - - $700.7 $700.7
Net Restructuring1 - - - - - - - - - - $8.1 $5.9
Adjusted EBITDA $1,297.0 $1,183.7 $853.1 $738.6 $827.6 $974.5 $1,171.6 $1,343.1 $1,656.1 $1,599.9 $1,522.1 $1,708.4
Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix
1 Net of $163.1m tax on settlement charge and $3.9m and $2.8m tax on restructuring charge for full-year 2016 and TTM 1Q 2017, respectively.
2 Trailing twelve months as of March 31, 2017.
Note: Table may not sum to total due to rounding.
56May 10, 2017
© 2017 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors
and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.
CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND ITS RATINGS AFFILIATES
(“MIS”) ARE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES,
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THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY
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To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives,
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To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives,
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WHATSOEVER.
Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation
(“MCO”), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds,
debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. have,
prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. for appraisal and rating
services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain
policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS’s ratings and rating processes. Information
regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities
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Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are
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MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and
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