Investor Presentation March 2019 FINAL - SNC-Lavalin/media/Files/S/SNC... · through to detailed...
Transcript of Investor Presentation March 2019 FINAL - SNC-Lavalin/media/Files/S/SNC... · through to detailed...
›Investor Presentation
›March 2019
Forward-looking statementsReference in this presentation, and hereafter, to the “Company” or to “SNC-Lavalin” means, as the context may require, SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. and all or some ofits subsidiaries or joint arrangements, or SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. or one or more of its subsidiaries or joint arrangements.
Statements made in this presentation that describe the Company’s or management’s budgets, estimates, expectations, forecasts, objectives, predictions,projections of the future or strategies may be “forward-looking statements”, which can be identified by the use of the conditional or forward-looking terminology suchas “aims”, “anticipates”, “assumes”, “believes”, “cost savings”, “estimates”, “expects”, “goal”, “intends”, “may”, “plans”, “projects”, “target”, “should”, “synergies”,“vision”, “will”, or the negative thereof or other variations thereon. Forward-looking statements also include any other statements that do not refer to historical facts.Forward-looking statements also include statements relating to the following: (i) future capital expenditures, revenues, expenses, earnings, economic performance,indebtedness, financial condition, losses and future prospects; and (ii) business and management strategies and the expansion and growth of the Company’soperations. All such forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the “safe-harbour” provisions of applicable Canadian securities laws. The Company cautionsthat, by their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, and that its actual actions and/or results could differ materially from thoseexpressed or implied in such forward-looking statements, or could affect the extent to which a particular projection materializes. Forward-looking statements arepresented for the purpose of assisting investors and others in understanding certain key elements of the Company’s current objectives, strategic priorities,expectations and plans, and in obtaining a better understanding of the Company’s business and anticipated operating environment. Readers are cautioned thatsuch information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
Forward-looking statements made in this presentation are based on a number of assumptions believed by the Company to be reasonable as at the date hereof.The assumptions are set out throughout the Company’s 2018 Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A). The 2019 outlook also assumes that the federalcharges laid against the Company and its indirect subsidiaries SNC-Lavalin International Inc. and SNC-Lavalin Construction Inc. on February 19, 2015, will nothave a significant adverse impact on the Company’s business in 2019. If these assumptions are inaccurate, the Company’s actual results could differ materiallyfrom those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. In addition, important risk factors could cause the Company’s assumptions and estimates to beinaccurate and actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these forward-looking statements. These risk factors are set out inthe Company’s 2018 MD&A.
The 2019 outlook referred to in this presentation is forward-looking information and is based on the methodology described in the Company’s 2018 MD&A underthe heading “How We Budget and Forecast Our Results” and is subject to the risks and uncertainties described in the Company’s public disclosure documents. Thepurpose of the 2019 outlook is to provide the reader with an indication of management’s expectations, at the date of this presentation, regarding the Company’sfuture financial performance and readers are cautioned that this information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
Non-IFRS financial measures and additional IFRS measuresThe Company reports its financial results in accordance with IFRS. However, the following non-IFRS measures and additional IFRS measures are used by theCompany: Adjusted net income from E&C, Adjusted diluted EPS from E&C, Adjusted net income from Capital, Adjusted diluted EPS from Capital, Adjustedconsolidated diluted EPS, EBITDA, Adjusted E&C EBITDA and Segment EBIT. Additional details for these non-IFRS measures and additional measures can befound below and in SNC-Lavalin’s MD&A, which is available in the Investors section of the Company’s website at www.snclavalin.com. Non-IFRS financialmeasures do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Managementbelieves that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, these non-IFRS measures provide additional insight into the Company’sfinancial results and certain investors may use this information to evaluate the Company’s performance from period to period. However, these non-IFRS financialmeasures have limitations and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
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Why invest in SNC-Lavalin
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› Continued growth for value-added global engineering services› The world will continue to evolve in ways that no one can foresee, but engineers
will remain at the very heart of that change by designing and building projects to meet the great challenges of tomorrow, whether they be climatic, social, or resource-based
› Leadership positions in highly attractive end markets, including Canadian PPP, Rail & Transit, Nuclear and O&G sustaining capital
› Diversified business model with ability to provide comprehensive end-to-end project solutions – including financing & asset management, consulting & advisory, digital & artificial intelligence, design & engineering, procurement, construction & project management, operations & maintenance and sustaining capital
› Strong diversified backlog with tier-1 clients
› E&C business undervalued vs peers
› Strong track record of dividend
› High caliber international leadership supported by talented and dedicated team
A global fully integrated professional services & project management company leader
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SNC-Lavalin is a global fully integrated professional services and project management company, and a major player in the ownership of infrastructure
From offices around the world,SNC-Lavalin’s employees are proud to build what matters, providing comprehensive end-to-end project solutions to clients in six industry sectors
Founded in
1911
Employees
50,000+
Revenue
~$10B
Listed on TSX
“SNC”Since 1986
Investment Grade Credit Rating1
BBB- & BBB
1 Per S&P and DBRS.
49%
24%
7%
20%
Operating in 4 regions across the world
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Breadth of geographic exposure
Americas16,000
Europe12,000
Asia Pacific4,000
Middle East
& Africa20,000
2018 Revenues
$10.1B
Americas Middle East & AfricaAsia PacificEurope
Canada 29%USA 17%Latin America 3%
25%
22%32%
9%
4%5% 1%
2%
Nuclear
EDPM
Clean Power
37%
21%
18%
8%
5%4%
4% 3%
Nuclear
An improving diversified business model
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2017 Revenues
Oil & Gas
Infrastructure
EDPM
Mining & Metallurgy
Capital
$9.3B
1
1 Includes only 6 months of Atkins revenues, as it was acquired on July 3, 2017.2 ~35% of Nuclear revenues relate to decontamination, decommissioning and waste management projects.
74%Reimbursable &
Engineering Service Contracts
26%EPC Fixed-
price Contracts
Clean Power
Thermal Power
2018 Revenues
Oil & Gas
Infrastructure
Mining & Metallurgy
Thermal Power Capital
$10.1B
2
Resilient business model with a well-balancedbacklog
7
73%Reimbursable &
Engineering Service Contracts
27%EPC Fixed-
price Contracts
BacklogDecember 31, 2018
Effective January 1, 2018, the Company’s definition of backlog has been changed and now corresponds to “Remaining performance obligations” (“RPO”), which is based on IFRS 15, Revenue from Contracts with Customers (“IFRS 15”), without restatement of the prior periods.
10%
56%
16%
8%
6%3%
1%
Nuclear
EDPM
Clean Power
Infrastructure
Oil & GasMining & Metallurgy
Capital
$14.9B
Redefining SNC-Lavalin
2012 - Crisis› SNC-Lavalin turns
documents to authorities› Investigations› Lawsuits› Allegations
2013 - New Beginning› Change senior leadership
& culture› Develop new strategy with
focus on growth opportunity in Resources
2014 – Expand Resources Capabilities› Kentz acquisition› Expand O&G capabilities› Grow O&G revenues from
$500M (2013) to $4B (2015)› Position SNC-Lavalin as a top 10
O&G player
2015 - Step Change and Operational Excellence› Adjust cost structure to the
resources market slowdown› Target $200M in G&A savings
& Deliver
2016-2018 - Focus› Atkins acquisition to expand
Services offering, regional breadth and Infrastructure and Nuclear expertise
› Deliver on operational excellence › Deliver a client-centric organization› Deliver a performance-driven culture
2020 - Vision› Reposition SNC-Lavalin on a path
of strong profitable growth› Balance portfolio across sectors
geography risk profile
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Incr
ease
d fo
cus
on
Eth
ics
& C
ompl
ianc
e
New business mixNew management New Board New Culture
Administrative agreement signed with PWGSC
Agreement with the Commissioner of Canada Elections and with the Ordredes ingénieurs du Quebec
Fair and final settlement with Quebec’s Voluntary Reimbursement Program
2015 2016 2017Agreement to settle class actions brought in 2012
2018Federal Charges settlement or DPA
2.1%
4.6% 4.5%
6.9%
3.9%
7,335
9,364
8,223
9,097
9,819
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
(in M$)
E&C revenues and adjusted earnings
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54.9
201.9226.4
351.3
43.1
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
(in M$)
Revenues from E&C Adjusted E&C EBITDA margin and adjusted net income
from E&C
Adjusted net income from E&C
Adjusted E&C EBITDA margin
SNC-Lavalin: a discounted share priceE&C P/E multiples vs peers
SNC-Lavalin PeersGroup
Average1
PeersGroup incl.
Canadian peersAverage2
Share price3 $35.36
Less H4074 (27.84)
Less Other Concessions4 (2.89)
Adjusted E&C price $4.63
2020 adjusted EPS from E&C consensus4 $2.40
E&C P/E multiple 1.9 10.4 11.5
1 Includes Aecom, Balfour Beatty, Fluor, Jacobs, McDermott, Wood and WorleyParsons2 Incudes peers group + Stantec and WSP3 As of market close March 18, 20194 Analysts consensus as at March 18, 2019
SNC-Lavalin’s E&C P/E multiple ~ 8 to 10 turns lower than peers
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Sector of Activity
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Comprehensive end-to-end service offering …
CapitalThrough Capital, our investment, project financing and asset management arm, we offer end-to-end capital investment services. Capital focuses on identifying and developing high-performing business opportunities across our sectors. It provides equity and debt solutions to finance projects and manages our multi-billion-dollar portfolio of infrastructure investments. With Capital, we’re broadening our business development and investment opportunities while reducing our exposure and risk through strategic collaboration with financial partners.
Consulting & AdvisoryWe help clients plan, design and enable major capital projects, as well as provide expert consultancy that covers their project’s full lifecycle. We strive to build strong relationships by understanding the challenges our clients face, sharing their vision and helping them bring this vision to life.
Digital & AIFrom digital products and tools to Internet of Things (IoT), Mobility as a Service (MaaS) and strategic digital asset management solutions, our extensive digital engineering and enterprise asset management capabilities enhance both our clients’ and our own business performance. A lean start-up methodology allows us to rapidly incubate and test innovative ideas. We’re also pushing the boundaries through the increased use of automation on projects as well as our artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning consulting services.
Design & EngineeringOur engineers and designers provide innovative, digitally-driven services for all our sectors. From concept and feasibility through to detailed design, we develop tailored solutions to ensure sustainable projects for our clients and their customers as well as a positive end-user experience. Our sustainable engineering capabilities and full project lifecycle know-how improve energy performance and optimize operations to generate long-term savings for clients.
ProcurementOur international network of more than 500 procurement professionals in 40 countries manages $7 billion worth of goods and services annually for clients across our sectors. We strive to deliver excellence through innovative procurement solutions while respecting quality, cost and schedule requirements in an evolving sourcing market.
Construction & Project ManagementWe deliver complete lifecycle solutions for all sizes and types of projects, including public-private partnerships (P3s). Our extensive construction expertise, combined with an unwavering focus on safety and in-depth financing, engineering, procurement and operations and maintenance know-how, make us a partner of choice across a broad range of industries and markets. So does our commitment to leveraging local capabilities and ensuring cost and schedule efficiencies.
Operations & MaintenanceWe’re one of Canada’s largest operations and maintenance service providers with a presence in many parts of the world. Our services include the operations and maintenance of airports, roads, bridges and rail systems, industrial facilities, defenceand logistics support, and integrated real-estate solutions. Key differentiators include our extensive P3 expertise, around-the-clock support for mission-critical activities and focus on maximizing an asset’s lifecycle.
Sustaining CapitalWith today’s commodity volatility and record lows, companies are postponing growth capital expenditures and focusing on getting more out of their existing assets. We help clients rigorously manage their capital portfolio, providing solutions to reduce costs and drive productivity. We develop a holistic view of our clients’ assets and identify short and long-term value-driving initiatives to deliver incremental improvements that optimize their operations.
Capital Consulting& Advisory
Procurement Construction& Project
Management
Operations& Maintenance
Design& Engineering
Sustaining Capital
Digital& AI
Clean Power
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US$300billion
US$150billion
US$100billion
US$460billion
US$1.9trillion
…in five sectors of activity with robust growth backdropGlobal Market
2017-21(1)
› Rail & Transit› Highways & Bridges› Buildings & Facilities› Environment & Geoscience
› Municipal infrastructure› Water & Wastewater
› Industrial› Airports & Aviation› Defense and Logistics› Ports & Harbours
› Heavy Oil› Offshore› LNG
› Unconventional O&G› Refining &
Petrochemicals› Gas Processing
› Sustaining Capital› Pipelines› Carbon Capture
and Utilization
› New Builds› Life Extension &
Upgrades
› Hydropower› Transmission and
Distribution
› Renewables› Energy Storage› Digital Grid Solutions
› Aluminium› Gold
› Copper› Iron Ore› Nickel
› Fertilizers› Sulphur Products
› Canada
1) Data was internally developed using multiple sources not limited to the following: Business Monitor International, Middle East Economic Digest, International Energy Agency, US Department of Energy, National and Provincial Budgets of Canada, US Congressional Budget Office, Australia Budget, National Rail budget, American Road & Transportation Builders Association, Individual company reports.
2) Build, own, operate and transfer.
Infrastructure
Oil & Gas
Mining & Metallurgy
Capital
› Select U.S. opportunities
› Other BOOT(2)
opportunities
Nuclear
› Decommissioning› Site M&O
› Waste Management Services› Operations Support
US$200billion
› Intelligent Networks and Cybersecurity
› Digital Utility Transformation
Supported by:
Name Description HeldSince
ConcessionYears
Location EquityParticipation
Highways, Bridges & Rail
1. Highway 407 (407 ETR) 108 km electronic toll road 1999 99 Canada (Ontario) 16.8%
2. InTransit BC* Rapid transit line 2005 35 Canada (B.C.) 6.7%
3. Okanagan Lake* Floating bridge 2005 30 Canada (B.C.) 20%
4. TC Dôme** 5.3 km electric cog railway 2008 35 France 51%
5. Chinook* 25 km six-lane road 2010 33 Canada (Alberta) 10%
6. 407 EDGGP 32 km H407 East extension (Phase 1) 2012 33 Canada (Ontario) 50%
7. Highway Concessions One PL Fund (Roads) 2012 9 India 10%
8. Rideau Light rail transit system 2013 30 Canada (Ontario) 40%
9. Eglinton Crosstown 19 km light rail line 2015 36 Canada (Ontario) 25%
10. SSL New Champlain bridge corridor 2015 34 Canada (Quebec) 50%
Power
11. SKH 1,227 MW gas-fired power plant 2006 23 Algeria 26%
12. InPower BC John Hart 132 MW generating station 2014 19 Canada (B.C.) 100%
Health Centres
13. MIHG* McGill University Health Centre 2010 34 Canada (Quebec) 10%
14. Rainbow* Restigouche Hospital Centre 2011 33 Canada (N.B.) 20%
Others
15. Myah Tipaza Seawater desalination plant 2008 28 Algeria 25.5%
Capital investments portfolio
NBV1 = $369M FMV2 >$5.0B
* Assets transferred into SNC-Lavalin Infrastructure Partners LP (“Partnership”) **To be sold1 Net Book Value as at December 31, 20182 Average Fair Market Value as per analysts calculations, as at March 18, 2019
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Appendix
15
16
20162015
1.053
1.01
0.97
2014
1.106
20182017
Payout ratio* 39% 35%41%42% 73%(in $)
Dividends history
Declared dividend per share
* % of consolidated adjusted net income.
0.961
$350M Debenture› Maturity: July 2019› Interest rate: 6.19%
$300M Series 1 Debenture› Maturity: November 2020› Interest rate: 2.689%
$175M Series 3 Debenture› Maturity: March 2021› Interest rate: floating rate
$200M Series 4 Debenture› Maturity: March 2023› Interest rate: 3.235%
$150M Series 5 Debenture› Maturity: June 2019› Interest rate: floating rate
Borrower› SNC-Lavalin Highway Holdings,
non-recourse to SNC-Lavalin Group
Amount› Tranche A - $1,000M › Tranche B - $0M (the full $500M
was repaid in April 2018)› Interest rate ≈ 6.5%
Prepayment› Tranche A: non-call period of 4
years
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Revolving & Term Facility› $2,600M revolving Facility
maturing May 2022› $3,000M uncommitted bilateral
facilities› $500M non-revolving 5-year term
loan (proceeds used to repay in full the CDPQ tranche B loan)
› Current maximum leverage ratio of 4.0
Credit facilities(recourse debt)
Debentures(recourse debt)
CDPQ loan(limited recourse debt)
Credit facilities and long-term debt
$2,288M as at December 31, 2018 $980M as at December 31, 2018
608
250208
350400
3001
208250
340
625
350400
500
150
500 500 500 5001
400
200
300
480
165
2021 2022 2024 2026 2027 2029 2030 2031 2033 2035 2036 2039 2040 2041 2042 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2052 2053
Bond Maturity Profile(in M$)
Senior Bonds ($5.8B) Subordinated Bonds ($0.8B) Junior Bonds ($0.2B)
3.60
%
407 ETRConsistent growth and low cost of financing
135190
300
460
600680
730 750 790845
920
23 3250
77 101 114 122 126 133 142 154
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Dividends (in M$)
Total dividends paidby 407 ETR
Dividends receivedby SNC-Lavalin
4.30
% /
5.33
%
3.35
%
5.33
%
6.47
%
5.33
%
5.96
%
5.75
%
7.13
%
4.45
%
4.19
%
3.30
%
3.83
%
3.98
%
4.68
%
3.72
%
5.29
% /
6.75
%
2.43
%2,253 2,215
2,336 2,326 2,340 2,3562,437
2,517
2,6412,709 2,748
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Gross Vehicle Kilometres Travelled(in millions – KM)
3.43
%
2.47
%
3.65
%
1Issued in March 2019 18
3.14
%
3.67
%
407 ETR information
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Year ended December 31(in M$) 2018 2017 Change
Revenues 1,390.3 1,267.7 9.7%
Operating expenses 179.7 163.9 9.6%
EBITDA 1,210.6 1,103.8 9.7%
EBITDA as a percentage of revenues 87.1% 87.1%
Net income 539.0 470.1 14.7%
736
840
985
1,104
1,211
888
1,002
1,135
1,268
1,390
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total EBITDA/revenues(in M$)
EBITDA Revenues
82.9%83.8%
86.8%
87.1% 87.1%809
916
1,056
1,178
1,295
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Toll revenues(in M$)
Net income reconciliation – full yearNet
Income (IFRS)
Net charges (reversal) related to
restructuring & right-sizing plan and other
Acquisition-related
costs and integration
costs
Amortization of intangible
assets related to business
combinations
Net loss (gain) on disposals
of E&Cbusiness , head office and Capitalinvestments
Net expense for the 2012 class action
lawsuits settlement & related
legal costs
Impact of U.S.
corporate tax reform
Non-cash goodwill
impairment charge
Guaranteed Minimum Pension (GMP)
equalizationexpense
Adjusted Net income (Non-IFRS)
Year ended December 31, 2018In M$
E&C (1,563.0) 58.71 42.8 171.1 0.5 65.7 6.0 1,240.4 20.8 43.1
Capital 246.1 0.3 - - (59.8) - - - - 186.5
(1,316.9) 59.0 42.8 171.1 (59.3) 65.7 6.0 1,240.4 20.8 229.7
Per Diluted share ($)
E&C (8.90) 0.33 0.24 0.97 0.00 0.37 0.03 7.06 0.12 0.25
Capital 1.40 0.00 - - (0.34) - - - - 1.06
(7.50) 0.34 0.24 0.97 (0.34) 0.37 0.03 7.06 0.12 1.31
Year ended December 31, 2017In M$
E&C 176.0 25.42 97.2 112.6 (102.4) - 42.53 - - 351.3
Capital 206.0 - - - (35.0) - - - - 171.0
382.0 25.4 97.2 112.6 (137.4) - 42.5 - - 522.3
Per Diluted share ($)
E&C 1.08 0.15 0.60 0.69 (0.63) - 0.26 - - 2.15
Capital 1.26 - - - (0.21) - - - - 1.05
2.34 0.15 0.60 0.69 (0.84) - 0.26 - - 3.20
1This amount includes $6.9 million ($5.6 million after taxes) of net charges which did not meet the restructuring costs definition in accordance with IFRS.2This amount includes $5.1 million ($5.3 million after taxes) of net charges which did not meet the restructuring costs definition in accordance with IFRS.3As a result of the U.S. corporate tax reform, the Company recorded a non-cash charge reflecting the estimated net impact of revaluation of its U.S. deferred tax assets and deferred tax liabilities.
Note that certain totals and subtotals may not reconcile due to rounding
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Firm Analyst Rec. TelAltaCorp Capital Chris Murray Buy 647-776-8246BMO Capital Markets Devin Dodge Hold 416-359-6774Canaccord|Genuity Yuri Lynk Buy 514-844-3708CIBC World Markets Jacob Bout Buy 416-956-6766Desjardins Securities Benoit Poirier Hold 514-281-8653Laurentian Bank Securities Mona Nazir Hold 647-252-5609National Bank Financial Maxim Sytchev Buy 416-869-6517Raymond James Frederic Bastien Hold 604-659-8232RBC Capital Markets Derek Spronck Buy 416-842-7833Scotia Capital Mark Neville Buy 514-350-7756TD Newcrest Michael Tupholme Buy 416-307-9389
Price as of March 18, 2019 $35.36
Shares outstanding – Diluted 175.6M
Market capitalization $6.2B
52 - week high / low $61.54 / $33.30
Dividend per share $0.10 / quarter
Dividend yield ~ 1.1%
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Tel.: 514-393-8000 Ext. 57553E-mail: [email protected]
SNC-Lavalin
Denis JasminVice-President, Investor Relations
Market Details