Investor Presentation June 2011.ppts22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2011/... ·...
Transcript of Investor Presentation June 2011.ppts22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2011/... ·...
PulteGroup, Inc.Investor PresentationJune 2011
Forward-Looking StatementThis presentation includes “forward-looking statements ” These statements are subject to a number of risks uncertainties andThis presentation includes forward looking statements. These statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause our actual results, performance, prospects or opportunities, as well as those of the markets we serve or intend to serve, to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these statements. You can identify these statements by the fact that they do not relate to matters of a strictly factual or historical nature and generally discuss or relate to forecasts, estimates or other expectations regarding future events. Generally, the words “believe,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “project,” “may,” “can,” “could,” “might,” “will” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, including statements related to expected operating and performing results, planned transactions, planned objectives of management, future developments or conditions in the industries in which we participate and other trends, developments and uncertainties that may affect our business in the future. Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, among other things: interest rate changes and the availability of mortgage financing; continued volatility in, and potential further deterioration of, the debt and equity markets; competition within the industries in which PulteGroup operates; the availability and cost of land and other raw materials used by PulteGroup in its homebuilding operations; the availability and cost of insurance covering risks associated with PulteGroup's businesses; shortages and the cost of labor; weather related slowdowns; slow growth initiatives and/or local building moratoria; governmental regulation directed at or affecting the housing market, the homebuilding industry or construction activities; uncertainty in themortgage lending industry, including revisions to underwriting standards and repurchase requirements associated with the sale ofmortgage loans; the interpretation of or changes to tax labor and environmental laws; economic changes nationally or inmortgage loans; the interpretation of or changes to tax, labor and environmental laws; economic changes nationally or in PulteGroup’s local markets, including inflation, deflation, changes in consumer confidence and preferences and the state of the market for homes in general; legal or regulatory proceedings or claims; required accounting changes; terrorist acts and other acts of war; and other factors of national, regional and global scale, including those of a political, economic, business and competitive nature. See PulteGroup’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2010, and other public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) for a further discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties g ( )applicable to our businesses.Certain statements in this presentation contain references to non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP numbers is included in this presentation.
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Presentation AgendaPresentation Agenda
Overview of PulteGroup
Industry Conditions
Opportunities to Drive Business Performance Opportunities to Drive Business Performance Margin Expansion
Overhead Leverage
Land Strategies and Tactics
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Overview of PulteGroup
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Company OverviewCompany Overview America’s largest homebuilding company with
operations across 28 states and 60 marketsp Organized in three areas: East, Gulf Coast
and West Company serves all major customer
segments: first time, move up and active adult Market leader in serving active adult segment
(age 55 and older) through Del Webb brand Baby Boomers continue to represent the
largest and wealthiest demographic in the countryM th 50 D l W bb iti More than 50 Del Webb communities currently open across 21 states
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Diversified Operating Footprint
WESTA i EASTArizonaCaliforniaColoradoIllinoisIndianaMissouri
EASTConnecticutDelawareGeorgiaMarylandMassachusettsMissouri
MichiganMinnesotaNevadaNew MexicoOhio
MassachusettsNew JerseyNew YorkNorth CarolinaPennsylvaniaRhode Island
OregonWashington
South CarolinaTennesseeVirginiaGULF COAST
FloridaTexas
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Broadest Exposure Across Customer Segments
Positioning: Crafting smart,
Target: Entry‐Level Buyers
Positioning: Bringing pride of Positioning: Inspiring life’s
Target: Move‐Up Buyers Target: Active Adults
life‐enhancing environments that enrich everyday life
Positioning: Bringing pride of homeownership within reach
Positioning: Inspiring life s most exciting possibilities
Multiple brands allow greater focus on buyer wants and needs in each segment
Percent of 2010 Closings45% 30% 25%
Multiple brands allow greater focus on buyer wants-and-needs in each segment Balanced market position supports growth over demand cycle Faster-turning 1st time buyer communities complement longer active adult positions
Positive Market Opportunity for Active Adult
Demographics continue to drive
U.S. Population Over Age 55(in millions)
80g pdemand Buyer segment remains largest
and most affluent60
70-74
AGE
and most affluent
Buyers are balancing discretionary purchase with lifestyle desires 40
65-69
Similar to other move-up segments, buyers need to sell an existing home
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60-64
55-59an existing home Some will wait for rebound, others
anxious for next stage of life 0
2010 2015 2020
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Unmatched in Serving Active Adult Buyers
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Markers indicate number of active Del Webb communities in the state
Industry Conditions
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Industry Conditions
450
New home sales hovering at historically low levels in the range of 300K annually
New Home Sales (thousands of homes)
300
350
400
450New Home Sales For Sale
range of 300K annually Month-to-month trends
remain “choppy”M bl i t f
150
200
250
300 Manageable inventory of new homes on the market
Job growth and consumer
0
50
100
150g
confidence critical to future demand Bigger industry issue is lack0
Apr 10
May 10
Jun 10
Jul 10
Aug 10
Sep 10
Oct 10
Nov 10
Dec 10
Jan 11
Feb 11
Mar 11
Apr 11
Bigger industry issue is lack of demand, not amount of supply
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Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Excess Supply Being Reduced Through 4 Years of Significant Under Building
Housing starts (millions)
1. 3 M extra1.2 M extra
2.4 M extra
2 0
2.51. 3 M extra
1.2 M extra
2.4 M extra
1.0 M less 1 4 M l1.0
1.5
2.0
Median = 1.5M1
1960 198019751965 201020051970 2000199519901985
1.0 M less 1.4 M less
2.5 M less so far
0.0
0.5
2005200019901960 201019951965 1970 1975 19851980
2.5 M less so far
2 03.04.0
Cumulative excess/deficit (millions)
‐1.00.01.02.0
19801975197019651960 1995 2005 20101985 1990 2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau; NAHB
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Demographics Support Long-term Demand
500
U.S. Population Projections(millions)
Source: U S Census Bureau
U.S. population forecast to grow by ~3 million
400
Source: U.S. Census Bureau to grow by ~3 million annually
Household formations
200
300 estimated at 1.2 million per year 2005 – 2010 household
100
2005 – 2010 household growth was below 1.0 million per year
0
2010 2020 2030 2040
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Driving Business Performance
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Continuing to Make Steady Progress on Margins
Adjusted gross margins up 830 basis points since Q1 2009
19%
Adjusted Gross Margin *
Ongoing operational initiatives expected to drive further margin expansion 15%
17%
2010 Margins by brand: ~16% for Centex, ~17% for Pulte Homes and ~18% for Del Webb 11%
13%
Mix can impact reported gross margin in a given quarter
Long-term land strategy and decision 9%
11%
g gyto retain strategic land positions should benefit margins over time
7%1Q '09
2Q '09
3Q '09
4Q '09
1Q '10
2Q '10
3Q '10
4Q '10
1Q '11
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* Home sale gross margin before impairments,interest expense and CTX WIP impact
Opportunities for Ongoing Margin Expansion
2011 closings from recently acquired land expected to
Pushing design, engineering and purchasing activities out to q p
climb to 15% or higher of total closings; up from less than 5% in 2010
p gour field operations to drive local costs lower Working to ensure properin 2010
Acquired distressed land assets can generate gross margins th t 300 b i i t
Working to ensure proper balance of dirt vs. spec sales Potential cost savings will be
that average 300 basis points higher than legacy positions
Favorable product mix
offset by higher capitalized interest expense in 2011
benefitting from move-up and active adult closings
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Initiatives to Enhance Bottom-line Results
Focus on lowering overhead costs Continuing to right-size overhead cost structure toContinuing to right size overhead cost structure to
better align with current market conditions Post-merger organizational structure reduced from six
A d t thAreas down to three Underlying divisions consolidated to further leverage
overhead costs Additional steps taken in 2010 expected to lower full-
year 2011 SG&A by $100 million when compared with prior yearwith prior year
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Long Term Land Strategy
200,000
Owned Optioned
Strategic decision to retain critical land assets through the downturn
Lots Under Control
150,000 Limited land entitlement/development work
since downturn began; well positioned finished lots are growing scarce
50 000
100,000 Continuing to remain disciplined in pursuit of distressed land deals, but opportunities are harder to find
0
50,000opportunities are harder to find Best deals have been picked over Other builders willing to pay up for needed
lot inventory2008 2009 2010 Q1 '11
y Plans to open 130 communities in
2011 Emphasis on increasing absorption pace
2009 reflects impact of Centex merger
Emphasis on increasing absorption pace within existing communities
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Land Assets Located in the Stronger Markets90,000
60,000
75,000
ed Lots
RaleighHouston
Mid‐AtlanticSan Antonio
45,000
of Con
trolle
NE Corridor Tennessee
Central TexasMichigan
South FloridaSouthern California
30,000
Num
ber o Coastal Carolinas
GeorgiaLas VegasArizona
ColoradoNorth FloridaCharlotte
IndianapolisNew England
0
15,000 Dallas Pacific NW, Bay Area, New Mexico, Cleveland, Illinois,Minneapolis, Sac/Reno
New EnglandSt. Louis
Relative Demand *Softer Stronger
18* Based on management estimates through Q1 2011
Capital AllocationCapital Allocation
Ended Q1 2011 with $1.4 billion of cash including restricted cash
$1,200
Debt Maturity ($ millions)
cash, including restricted cash Maturity schedule is manageable Continue to selectively develop and $800
$1,000
acquire land assets Limited opportunity to consider
share buybacks until after 3-year $400
$600
share buybacks until after 3 year anniversary of merger (Aug 2012)
$200
$400
$0
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PulteGroup: Well Positioned for Today and Tomorrow
Margin Expansion – continuing to build on our successes in capturing greater construction efficiencies and overhead leverage
Land Strategy – retention of strategic land positions should benefit the company as demand conditions improve; even more important given country’s lack of land development
Unique Market Position – defined multi-brand strategy with leadership position in serving Baby Boomers
Balance Sheet – over $1.0 billion in cash and flexibility to support current operations and future growth opportunities
Leadership – experienced leadership team focused on driving improvements in core homebuilding operations.
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Supplemental Non-GAAP Data
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Reconciliation of Non-GAAP DataThis presentation contains information about home sale gross margin before impairments, interest expense, and merger-related costs. These measures are considered non-GAAP financial measures under the SEC’s rules and should be considered in addition to, rather than as a substitute for, home sale gross margin (which we define as home sale revenues less home sale cost of revenues) as a measure of our operating performance. Management and our local divisions use this measure in evaluating theoperating performance of each community and in making strategic decisions regarding sales pricing, construction and p g p y g g g g p g,development pace, product mix, and other daily operating decisions. We believe it is a relevant and useful measure to investors for evaluating our performance through gross profit generated on homes delivered during a given period and for comparing our operating performance to other companies in the homebuilding industry. Although other companies in the homebuilding industry report similar information, the methods used may differ. We urge investors to understand the methods used by other companies in the homebuilding industry to calculate gross margins and any adjustments thereto before comparing our measure to that of
h th isuch other companies.
The following table sets forth reconciliations of this non-GAAP financial measure to home sale gross margin, which management believes to be the GAAP financial measure most directly comparable to this non-GAAP financial measure.
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Supplemental Non-GAAP Data – Adjusted Margin Analysis
Three Months Ended
3/31/11 12/31/10 9/30/10 6/30/10 3/31/10 12/31/09 9/30/09 6/30/09 3/31/09
($ thousands)
Home sale revenues $ 782,471 $ 1,155,169 $ 1 ,024,847 $ 1,262,990 $ 976,806 $ 1,597,066 $ 1,053,787 $ 653,711 $ 564,733
Home sale cost of revenues (685,030) (1,099,046) (952,788) (1,104,456) (850,095) (1,571,389) (1,080,256) (724,891) (897,938)
Home sale gross margin 97,441 56,123 72,059 158,534 126,711 25,677 (26,469) (71,180) (333,205)
Add:
Impairments (a) 41 67,880 49,838 20,354 3,518 139,676 117,488 99,024 326,826
Capitalized interest amortization (a) 34,816 67,489 48,501 37,928 27,000 40,859 36,173 33,318 55,005
Merger-related costs (b) 280 282 893 514 2,444 20,684 10,463 - -
Home sale gross margin before impairments, interest expense, andmerger-related costs $ 132,578 $ 191,774 $ 171,291 $ 217,330 $ 159,673 $ 226,896 $ 137,655 $ 61,162 $ 48,626
Home sale gross margin as a percentage of home sale revenueshome sale revenues
12.5% 4.9% 7.0% 12.6% 13.0% 1.6% -2.5% -10.9% -59.0%
Home sale gross margin before impairments, interest expense, and merger-related costs as a percentage of home sale revenues 16.9% 16.6% 16.7% 17.2% 16.3% 14.2% 13.1% 9.4% 8.6%
(a) Write-offs of capitalized interest related to impairments is reflected in capitalized interest amortization.
(b) Home sale gross margin was adversely impacted by the amortization of a fair value adjustment to homes under construction inventory acquired with the Centex merger. This fair value adjustment is being amortized as an increase to cost of sales over the related home closings.
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Questions