Investor Presentation - Amazon S3...Investor Presentation December 2014 All figures as at end of 30...
Transcript of Investor Presentation - Amazon S3...Investor Presentation December 2014 All figures as at end of 30...
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Investor Presentation
December 2014
All figures as at end of 30 September 2014, unless otherwise stated
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Outline
1. Introduction
A. Why Egypt
B. Real Estate Sector
D. 2014 A Year in Review
2. SODIC Backdrop
A. SODIC Quick Overview
B. Clean and Growing Land Bank
C. Looking Forward: Our Strategy
D. Experienced Management Team
5. Annex
A. Projects Overview
4. Operational & Financial Performance
A. Sales Performance & Unrecognized Revenues
B. Launched Projects’ Profitability
C. Delivery and Execution
D. 9M 2014 Vs. 9M 2013
C. SODIC’s Unique Value Proposition
B. Awards
B. Egypt Macroeconomic & Real Estate Sector Overview
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Introduction
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Why Egypt
³ Source: KPMG report “AFRICA’S CONSUMER STORY”
Population of
90 Mn¹
500,000Units…
Tangible Improvement in
Political & Economic Backdrop
The largest in the region60% below the age of 30Growing at a rate of 2%
Sizable annual demand for housingIn addition to housing shortage of 1.5m units
Retail sales of EGP
868 Bn²Estimated to reach EGP 1,400 Bn in 2018²Currently formal retail accounts for only around 2% of total retail trade³
Government achieving significant strides with reformsFDI picking up targeting US$6bn in 2015, with spill over effect on commercial property market Revival of tourism activity +71% in 3Q14Banks increased appetite for lendingGovernment reopens land supply, explores different models including profit sharing & in-kind payments
1 Source: CAPMAS, IMF, US Census, Central Banks of respective countries and Industry reports; Data as at 31/12/2013 ²Source: EIU
3.5% GDP growth in 2015
With a GDP of US$ 280Bn Egypt remains one of the largest markets in the region Re-embarking on the growth trajectory with GDP growth set to reach 4% growth in 2017
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Favorable demographics; young & growing population
Annual demand for housing estimated at 500,000 units
Strong performance of gated communities vis-à-vis haphazard developments
Significant price increases backed by real demand as well as inflation and devaluation fears
Gross sales for key developers well above pre-revolution levels
ResidentialGross Pre-Sales of Key Developers¹EGP Mn
¹ Key developers include SODIC, Palm Hills and Talaat Mostafa
Strong performance
despite downturn, backed by
fundamentals
Source: JLL
Against this improving economic backdrop, the country is witnessing increased confidence in the real estate market.
Demand remains relatively active across all segments and developers are moving forward with both new and re-launched projects.
Rental growth is expected to accelerate across all real estate asset classes giving way for further property appreciation
Strong fundamentals
and an opportune entry point
Rents Falling
Rents Bottoming Out
Rental GrowthAccelerating
Rental GrowthSlowing
OfficeRetailResidential
Q3 2014JLL: Cairo Prime Rental Clock
Residential and beyond
Real Estate Sector
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Commercial
Retail
Increased interest from international tenants with the influx of FDI
Improved bank appetite to lend will help expedite development as well as support property purchases by local companies that prefer to own rather than lease office space
Currently formal retail accounts for only around 2% of total retail trade.
Cairo organized retail space per capita estimated at 0.06 well below regional averages
Secondary cities virtually untapped
Fragmented market with
huge potential for organized retail space
Market to rebound given the improved
operating environment
Hospitality
Tourism set to revive on the
back of political stability
Residential and beyond
Attractive investment opportunities in undeveloped areas such as the West coast of the Mediterranean
Tourism activity picking up with tourist nights increasing by 71.1% y-o-y in 3Q14
Foreign Direct InvestmentsUS$ Mn
Source: CBE, analyst estimates
Retail SalesEGP Bn
Source: EIU
Real Estate Sector
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Significant Brand Equity
Strong demand for SODIC products (93% of launched inventory sold)
Pricing at a premium to the market Reputation of timely deliveries One of the first to settle disputes achieving
a clean land bank in 2014
1
Track Record & Management
Full cycle experience: Successful navigation through the downturn
Strong operational performance & resilient financial results
11 successfully launched projects Management continuity since 2006
2
Significant in house capacity with a team of 476 professionals
Ability to acquire and execute sizable plots (301 plot launched 6 months from award)
Capacity to raise the required funding to secure timely execution
Strong relationship with suppliers
3
Solid Growth Strategy
Execute existing pipeline: EGP 17bn over 5 years
Expand land bank: acquisitions &/or asset light structures
Diversify locations: coastal cities and secondary cities
Build up recurring income portfolio
Scalable Operation
SODIC’s Unique Value Proposition
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2014 A Year in Review
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Eastown settlement, 301 award & new launches on EastownResidences
2Q14
Eastown settlement of EGP 900 million payable over 7 years
Ripplewood acquires 9.4% stake Eastown Residences (ETR) Phase V launch
worth EGP 246 million selling out 301 Acre award letter received ETR Phase VI launch worth EGP 359 million
selling out EGX approves capital increase subject to EGM
approval
Strong start to the year’s sales, Solidaire settlement & drawdown on syndicated loan
3 mega villas sold in Allegria worth EGP 52 million; 27 offices sold in The Polygon worth EGP 79 million
Amicable Settlement with Solidere International (SI) unlocking 250,000 sqm of land in the heart of Westown
Westown Residences Phase X launch worth EGP 531 million selling out
SODIC West Syndication Drawdown: Tranche A worth EGP 330 million, refinancing 3 existing facilities
1Q14
Shoring up our finances, both debt & equity, ETR Launch fully sold
Signature of EGP 950 million loan with AAIB (301 Acre); EGP 255 million drawdown in less than 2 weeks
EGM approves EGP 1 billion capital increase to existing shareholders
Signature of EGP 300 million loan with CIB (SI Blocks)
ETR Phase VII launch worth EGP 353 million selling out
3Q14Capital increase 99.3% subscribed for, new launches on Westown & SODIC East
Successful closure of circa EGP 1bn capital increase
New launches on Westown Residences Courtyard EGP 250 million
New Launches on SODIC East
4Q14
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SODIC Backdrop
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Brief Overview
Egypt’s trusted developer, emerging stronger post revolution
1 Since Inception, excluding Beverly Hills including commercial and retail² As of 30th September 2014
SODIC Quick Overview
Key Highlights
Of Contracted Sales 1, over 4,800 units
EGP 11.4 bn, Of unrecognized revenue²
EGP 5.1 bn, Of sellable inventory²
EGP 730 mn, Of receivables backlog²
EGP 4 bn,
Of non launched & raw land bank²
3.6 mn sqmCollection rate for receivables²
Over 96%Delivered units 1
Over 1,800 EGP 17.0 bnExpected Sales from Non Launched and Raw Land Bank
10
Building on a history of almost two decades of successful operations in Egypt, SODIC is one of the country’s leading real estate development companies, bringing to the market award-winning large scale developments to meet Egypt’s ever growing need for high quality housing, commercial and retail spaces.
Headquartered in Cairo and listed on the Egyptian stock exchange, SODIC is one of the few non-family owned companies traded on the EGX, with a strong corporate governance framework
Having invested over 1.4 billion dollars in developing eleven diverse real estate projects, SODIC boasts a portfolio that has contributed over 3 million square metres of built up area to Cairo’s new urban communities³.
³ Including Beverly hills
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Impressive Growth Performance Despite the Downturn
Record gross contracted sales set to exceed 2013
SODIC has grown by every metric since 2011
EGP Mn
Cancellations at an all time lowPct of Gross Sales
Continuing to Deliver on ScheduleUnits Delivered
Receivables doubled while delinquency dropped to a record 4%EGP Mn
Significant addition to land bank in 2014Mn sqm
58%42%
Existing Newly acquired
Market Cap more than doubled in 2014EGP Bn
4.8 Bn
2 Bn
2014 2013
* As of 30 Sept 2014
3.6Mn sqm1,724
2,452
3,604 4,076
2011a 2012a 2013a 2014a*
11
259
424
684
342 316
2011a 2012a 2013a 9M13 9M14
99%
11% 9% 9% 6%
2011a 2012a 2013a 9M13 9M14
741
1,819
2,730
2,160 2,155
2011a 2012a 2013a 9M13 9M14
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Clean & Growing Land Bank
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With 3.6Mn sqm of unutilized land SODIC is developing around 760,000 sqmannually, bringing to the market EGP17Bn of inventory over the coming 5 years
Significant presence in both East and West Cairo
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Unlaunched & Raw LandUnlaunched & Raw LandLand Utilization
Clean & Growing Land Bank
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9.7m sqm¹
3.6m sqm
3.6m sqm
Land bank sits free of any legal disputes
Total Land Bank 2.2mn sqm Total Land Bank 7.5mn sqm
2. Unlaunched Projects Land AreaWestown Residential 359k sqm
Westown Retail/Commercial 91k sqm
The Strip (Phase 2) 82k sqmThe Polygon 9k sqm Total Non Launched 519k sqm3. Raw LandAl Yosr 1.26mn sqmTotal Raw Land 1.26mn sqm
1. Launched Projects Land AreaAllegria 2.4m sqmForty West 56k sqmWestown Residence 584k sqmThe Polygon 44k sqmThe Strip 105k sqmWestown Hub 50k sqmCASA 294k sqmBeverly Hills 1.9m sqmOther2 260k sqmTotal Launched Projects 5.7mn sqm
1. Launched Projects Land AreaEastown Residential 322k sqmKattameya Plaza 126k sqmTotal Launched Projects 448k sqm2. Unlaunched ProjectsEastown Residential 377k sqmEastown Retail 159k sqmVillette [301 Acre] Residential 1.0mn sqmVillette [301 Acre] Retail/Comm. 229k sqmTotal Non Launched Projects 1.79mn sqm
West Cairo East Cairo
1 Excluding Syria Land Bank (Fully Impaired)2 Includes Designopolis, BISC and Infrastructure assets
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Looking Ahead: Our Strategy
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Execution of EGP 17Bn worth of unlaunched inventory Delivering some 8,000 residential units over the coming 6 years Collect EGP 4 bn of receivables of existing sales while maintaining a collection ratio
above 95%
Execution of existing pipeline
Expand land bank
Build up recurring
income
Other long term upside
potential
Locations of interest include:− New urban communities (East & West of Cairo)− Secondary homes on coastal cities (significant cross selling opportunity &
mitigating our current seasonality of primary homes sales)− Secondary cities offer untapped opportunities in Egypt
Exploring JV’s, co-development and other asset light structures as a means to expand operations with a less capital intensive approach
Gradual build up of our recurring income portfolio, targeting 20% of our revenues Adding circa 120,000 sqm of GLA to our currently launched lease portfolio aiming to
reach circa 165,000 sqm of GLA Leveraging our existing property and facility management company EDARA and further
developing its expertise
Monetize Syria land (completely written off the balance sheet) Develop El Yosr (1.3M sqm of raw land in West Cairo)
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Executive Management Team
15
Joined SODIC in 2009 Previous experience includes
senior roles at Nakheel, Hill International Project Management Firm, Turner International and Bechtel Inc.
MBA from Golden Gate University, B.Sc. from UC Berkeley
Managing DirectorMr. Ahmed Badrawi
Appointed MD in 2013 Joined SODIC in 2006 Previously founder of InfoFort
Egypt’s first records management business, launched the Daily Star Egypt
Law degree from University of London
Joined SODIC in 2013 Previously Investment Banking
Division Director at BeltoneFinancial having executed many of the landmark real estate transactions in Egypt
Bsc Business Administration from the AUC and is a CFA Charter holder
Joined SODIC in 2007 Previous experience includes 7
years at the consumer relations department in British American Tobacco as well as in the marketing department of McDonalds
Bsc from the American University in Cairo
Joined SODIC in 2010 Previously Managing Partner at
Delta Enterprises, USA. Co-founder and CEO of SarmadyCommunications
Masters from Georgia Institute of Technology, undergraduate degree from Carnigie Mellon University
Chief Technical OfficerEng. Shehab el Orabi
Chief Financial OfficerMr. Omar El Hamawy
Executive DirectorOf OperationsMr. Ashraf Farid
Joined SODIC in 2007 Previously held managerial
positions at Al-Futtaim Group & Allianz Group
Bsc in Economics and Financial Management from Cairo University, Associate of the Chartered Insurance Institute in London (ACII) - (UK)
Chief CommercialOfficerMr. Ahmed Labib
Chief Projects Development OfficerMr. Basil Ramsy
Leadership continuity since the turnaround in 2006
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Operational & Financial Performance
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FY 2014 is expected to exceed record breaking FY 2013
2013
Some EGP 10.4 billion of net sales since 2008 of which 55% yet to be recognized
Annual Net Sales (EGP Million)
171 Monthly Sales from January 2008 to Sept 2014. Unrecognized revenues accounting for EGP 5.7 billion as at 30th of September 2014.2 Actual Contracted Net Sales as at 30th of September 2014.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Regular Operating Environment
Global Financial Recession
Regular Operating Environment
Jan 25th Revolution Regular Operating
Environment June 30th
Revolution
9M14
Regular Operating Environment
Cumulative Net Sales (EGP mn) Net Sales (EGP mn)
21,884
849
1,839
6
1,619
2,478
2,019
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Launch of:• WTR phases 7, 8
& 9• Eastown
Residences “ETR” phases 1 to 4 account to 50% of total sales
Allegria Phase 1&2 launch
Some 650 Allegria units contracted
Launch of:• Allegria phase 3 &
4• The Polygon• Forty West • The Strip
Cumulative Sales:EGP 2.7 Billion
KP launch achieving EGP 250 million of sales
Cumulative Sales: EGP 4.6 Billion
Launch of:• Small offices in The
Polygon • Westown Residences
“WTR” Phase 1 Turmoil causing EGP
735 million in cancellations
Cumulative Sales: EGP 4.6 Billion
Launch of:• Allegria phase 5• WTR Phases 2 to
6 WTR achieved
sales of some EGP 1 billion
Cumulative Sales: EGP 6.2 Billion
Launch of:• WTR phases 10• ETR phases 5-7 • WT Courtyard
2
Sales Performance & Unrecognized Revenues1
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6,019 6,437 6,720 6,826 8,338 8,855
10,000
Phase I Phase II Phase III Phase IV Phase V Phase VI Phase VII
Project Profitability
Launched Projects’ Profitability GPM of 34% on some EGP 10 billion of unit sales
Pricing Ability
Sellable Inventory Profitability 1 Percentage Sold (Value)
181 All figures in EGP unless otherwise stated 2 Unsold Allegria inventory amounts to EGP 188 mln (16 units),
Total Inventory Development Cost3 Sold Inventory
Projects’ GPM 4
Project (EGP millions)
Allegria2
Polygon
Forty West
KP
WTR (I-X)
Total
4,392 2,731 4,202 38%
712 659 539 31%
589 512 394 33%
641 426 624 33%
2,233 1,304 2,220 42%
10,747 34%
Sold Unsold
96% 4%
76%
67% 33%
99%1%
93% 7%
24%
ETR (I-VII) 2,179 1,490 2,043 32% 94%
10,023
6%
7,097
Eastown Prices (EGP/sqm)
May ‘13 May ‘13 June ‘13 Sept. ‘13 May ‘14 June ‘14Launch Date
66% increase
Sept ‘14
97% 3%
3 Includes the investment cost of leasable assets 4 Expected gross profit margin, excluding NPV adjustments
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Delivery and Execution1
SODIC delivered some 316 units during 9M 2014 across 8 different projects, namely: Allegria, Kattameya Plaza, Forty West, The Polygon, The Strip, Casa ,WT Hub & WTR
ProjectNumber of
Units Delivered
Units %
DeliveredInvestment
Cost2
%Completion3
Delivery Start Date
Delivery End Date
1 All figures as at 30th of Sept 2014.2 Investment cost represents the expected construction and land costs. Figures are in EGP millions. 3 Percentage completion represents CAPEX paid, with the exception of Eastown and Allegria all projects land cost has been fully paid
4 Westown Residences Phase I shows an 96% development completion on a standalone basis.5 CASA is a jointly owned project (80% Palm Hills subsidiary & 20% SODIC). SODIC owns 63 apartments
Over 4,900 units under development (36% delivered) with an investment cost of some EGP 7.4 billion
Delivery Execution
19
Allegria
Kattameya Plaza
Forty West
WT Residences (I-X)
The Polygon
The Strip
WT Hub
Total
1,255 1,094 87% 2010 2,731 90%
474 382 81% 2013 426 98%
133 55 41% 2012 512 90%
1,391 87 6% 2013 1,304 33%4
250 110 44% 2013 659 74%
84 24 29% 2012 241 76%
47 2 4% 2014 90 94%
4,983 1,801 36% From 2010 to 2017 EGP 7,453mn NA
2015
2015
2015
2017
2016
2015
2015
ET Residences (I-VII) 1, 286 - - 2016 1,490 11%2017
CASA5 63 46 73% 2013 NA 100%2015
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9M 2014 Vs 9M 2013
Building on strengths
Item (in EGP mn unless otherwise stated)
9M 2014
20
9M 2013Variance
%
Gross Contracted Sales
Net Contracted Sales
Net Contracted Sales From New Launches
Cash Collected
CAPEX
Number of Units Delivered (units)
Value of Units Delivered
Gross Profit
Net Profit
2,156
2,019
2,159
1,965
0%
3%
Number of Units Sold (units) 901 1,099 -18
1,348 1,285 5%
60%
546 628 -13%
316 347 -8%
903 672 34%
309 252 23%
110 80 38%
Debt Raised/Secured 2,150 343 526%
Cash at banks & on hand 1,034 456 127%
1,478 925
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Annex
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Launched Projects Summary¹
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NA
1 As at 30 Sept 2014
Gross land area 2,428,283 126,000 53,105 56,012 943,254 699,405 187,801 50,090
Gross BUA 568,774 121,739 91,338 51,997 606,205 573,725 52,296 15,576
Entertainment
retail complex
Upper Middle
Class
Apartment
Buildings
Integrated
mixed-use
office park
High-end
Apartments
Various Types
of Residential
Units
Residential
Units
Retail stretch
mall
Residential
Single Family
Units
Project
description
Launched as a
pct of project
gross land area
Value sold as a
pct of launched
Delivery
Execution
100% 100%100% 82% 100% 62% 46% 56%
97%96% 76% 94% 98%67% 99%
78%79% 46% 0%45% 9% 56%
98%90% 74% 11%90% 33% 76% 94%
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Project Overview
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Project descriptionSODIC’s flagship project, Allegria is an award winning residential development offering high end single family units surrounding an 18 hole Greg Norman golf course
1 Including land costAll figures as of Sept 2014 in EGP mn unless otherwise stated
Launch date 2008 Receivables outstanding 840
Gross Land Area (sqm) 2,428,283 Development cost for launched¹ 2,731
Total BUA 568,774 Capex remaining for launched 10%
Launched BUA 568,774 Delivery start 2010
Launched inventory value 4,392 Delivery end 2015
Sold inventory 4,204 Value of units delivered 3,314
Units launched 1,255 Number of units delivered 1,094
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Project Overview
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Project descriptionForty West is an exclusive development with a cutting-edge design by acclaimed Boston-based Machado and SilvettiArchitect. It is the coming together of a vibrant community with spectacular fully-finished apartments, offices, boutiques, world-class restaurants, open spaces and a luxurious hotel.
1 Including land costAll figures as of Sept 2014 in EGP mn unless otherwise stated
Launch date 2009 Receivables outstanding 146
Gross Land Area (sqm) 56,012 Development cost for launched¹ 495
Total BUA 51,997 Capex remaining for launched 10%
Launched BUA 51,997 Delivery start 2012
Launched inventory value 589 Delivery end 2015
Sold inventory 394 Value of units delivered 177
Units launched 133 Number of units delivered 55
Gross Leasable Area 9,732 Estimated Lease Income 14
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Project Overview
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Project descriptionWestown’s first residential neighbourhood, offering townhouses, twin-houses, city villas, signature lofts, duplexes and apartments. The development brings together themed gardens, parks, and open green spaces, set in a secure, gated community designed around the Pedestrian Green Spine.
1 Including land costAll figures as of Sept 2014 in EGP mn unless otherwise stated
Launch date 2011 Receivables outstanding 1,356
Gross Land Area (sqm) 584,331 Development cost for launched¹ 1,304
Total BUA 344,663 Capex remaining for launched 67%
Launched BUA 344,663 Delivery start 2014
Launched inventory value 2,233 Delivery end 2017
Sold inventory 2,220 Value of units delivered 196
Units launched 1,391 Number of units delivered 87
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Project Overview
26
Project descriptionThe Polygon consists of nine ‘Class A’ office buildings designed by multiple-award-winning UK-based architectsWilkinson-Eyre. The Polygon offers over 70,000 sqm of state-of-the-art office space, designed to accommodate both smaller and large businesses.
1 Including land cost ²Launched areas onlyAll figures as of Sept 2014 in EGP mn unless otherwise stated
Launch date 2009 Receivables outstanding 308
Gross Land Area (sqm) 53,105 Development cost for launched¹ 639
Total BUA 91,338 Capex remaining for launched 26%
Launched BUA 75,338 Delivery start 2013
Launched inventory value 712 Delivery end 2016
Sold inventory 539 Value of units delivered -
Units launched - Number of units delivered -
Gross Leasable Area² 17,152 Estimated Lease Income² 23
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Project Overview
27
Project descriptionDesigned by leading Egyptian architectural firm Hassan Abu Seda, the Hub consists of five multi-leveled buildings around one central piazza creates a truly unique retail space. Westown Hub is home to some of Cairo’s finest restaurants and cafés.
1 Including land costAll figures as of Sept 2014 in EGP mn unless otherwise stated
Launch date 2012 Development cost for launched¹ 66
Gross Land Area (sqm) 50,090 Capex remaining for launched 6%
Total BUA 15,576 Delivery start 2014
Launched BUA 15,576 Delivery end 2015
Gross Leasable Area² 13,240 Estimated Lease Income² 22
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Project Overview
28
Project descriptionWith stores arranged side by side and linked by a walkway, The Strip offers mixed retail shops and personal services over seven zones in a relaxed and contemporary environment.
1 Including land cost ²Launched areas onlyAll figures as of Sept 2014 in EGP mn unless otherwise stated
Launch date 2010 Receivables outstanding 143
Gross Land Area (sqm) 187,801 Development cost for launched¹ 241
Total BUA 52,296 Capex remaining for launched 24%
Launched BUA 30,044 Delivery start 2012
Launched inventory value 338 Delivery end 2015
Sold inventory 332 Value of units delivered 187
Units launched 53 Number of units delivered 27
Gross Leasable Area² 6,621 Estimated Lease Income² 15
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Project Overview
29
Project descriptionKattameya Plaza is comprised of 474 apartments, and is strategically located in the heart of New Cairo, five minutes away from Eastown and the American University in Cairo. Kattameya Plaza is designed and master-planned by ArchGroup - the distinguished firm that designed the Grosvenor House in Dubai, and landscaped by Evergreen.
1 Including land costAll figures as of Sept 2014 in EGP mn unless otherwise stated
Launch date 2010 Receivables outstanding 255
Gross Land Area (sqm) 126,000 Development cost for launched¹ 438
Total BUA 123,733 Capex remaining for launched 2%
Launched BUA 123,733 Delivery start 2012
Launched inventory value 641 Delivery end 2015
Sold inventory 624 Value of units delivered 485
Units launched 488 Number of units delivered 382
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Project Overview
30
Project descriptionStrategically located on Road 90, adjacent to the American University in Cairo and just a short drive from CairoInternational Airport, Eastown will provide premium residential, retail and office space all set in a secure, gated community.
1 Including land cost ²Residential BUA onlyAll figures as of Sept 2014 in EGP mn unless otherwise stated
Launch date 2013 Receivables outstanding 1,356
Gross Land Area (sqm) 857,963 Development cost for launched¹ 1,490
Total BUA² 573,725 Capex remaining for launched 89%
Launched BUA 279,432 Delivery start 2016
Launched inventory value 2,179 Delivery end 2017
Sold inventory 2,043 Value of units delivered -
Units launched 1,286 Number of units delivered -
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Awards
A globally recognised developer
31
EUROMONEY CITYSCAPE
EUROMONEY MINISTRY OF TRADE & INDUSTRY
2013: Allegria - best residential project –Built
2013: The Polygon - best commercial and mixed use project – Future
2014: Best office business developer in Egypt (Polygon)
2011: Best developer overall Egypt 2011: Best mixed use developer Mena 2011: Best residential developer Mena
2010: Enterprise Innovation Award for registering all of its trademarks with the Internal Trade Development Authority, an affiliate of Ministry of Trade and Industry
BUSINESS TODAY EUROMONEY
CNBC PROPERTY AWARDS EUROMONEY
2010: Best developer overall Egypt 2010: Best mixed use developer Mena
2011: Best company by BT100 rank change at the BT100 Crystal Awards
CNBC Arabian Property 2009: Allegria best architecture
CNBC Property 2008: Allegria best development in Egypt with a 5-star award
CNBC Property 2008: Allegria best golf course development with a 4-star award
2007: Allegria award of merit from the American Society of Landscape Architects (ASLA) for its master plan, developed by world-renowned master planners EDAW
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Egypt Macro Economic and Real Estate Sector Overview
32
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8.1%
9.8%10.8%
13.7%
12.0% 12.0%
10.4%
June 10 June 11 June 12 June 13 June 14 June 15 June 16
12%11%
9%
7%
10% 10%
8%
June 10 June 11 June 12 June 13 June 14 June 15 June 16
33
The government has
embarked on a
number of schemes
that aim to address
economic issues
These initiatives are
expected to have
positive effects on
macro economic
indicators
Recent Government Initiatives
Subsidy Reforms
In July 2014, the Egyptian government kicked off a much-awaited fiscal consolidation, aiming to bring the fiscal deficit towards a sustainable path and revive economic growth. The approved measures constitute:
Rationing wide-range of fuel productsRe-pricing of electricity and outlining a five-year plan for phasing out fuel subsidiesIncreasing sales taxes on tobacco and alcohol
1
ItemAnnual Saving
(EGP Bn)
Diesel 16.8
Gasoline 8.9
Fuel Oil 4.0
Natural Gas 3.7
Electricity 8.5
Cigarettes &Alcohol
4.5
Total 46.4
% of GDP 2.0%
Mortgage Finance 2
The government is stimulating private and household credit through the launch of an EGP 10bn programme by CBE to promote mortgage finance
The programme would lend banks funds at preferential rates for maturities of more than 10 years that would be utilized in the financing mortgage for low and middle income families
Suez Canal & New Road Network
The government recently announced to build a new Suez Canal alongside the existing 145-year-old historic waterway with an estimated cost of USD 8.2 bn(including building underground tunnels) to be completed in five years. The new canal is set to boost annual revenues to USD13.5 bn by 2023 from USD5.2 bn in FY12/13
3,600 KM of new roads to be constructed at a cost of EGP 36 billion
Macroeconomic Indicators
Real GDP Growth2
5.2%
1.8%2.2% 2.1% 2.3%
3.3%
4.5%
June 10 June 11 June 12 June 13 June 14 June 15 June 16
Budget Deficit (%GDP)3
Inflation2
1 Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, EFG Hermes Research2 Source IMF
3
Improving Macro Economic Indicators1
Planned government initiatives to address long-standing economic issue
3 Expected budget deficit is based on press release by the Ministry of Finance
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900
270
Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14
35 33 30 28 27 27 26 25 24 22 20 18 16 16 15 15 16 16 14 15 15 16 15 15 14 14 13 14 16 15
19 19 19 19 18 17 17 17 17 18 17 17 17 17 17 17
Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14
Following the 30th of June
protests and the ouster of
ex president Morsi,
several Macro indicators
showed signs of
improvement with CDS
spread dropping from an
alarming 900 bps and a
drop in 1 year T-bill yield
Macro risk receded with
the support package
promised by Saudi Arabia,
UAE and Kuwait. The aid
received pulled the breaks
on further devaluation of
the EGP and revered the
constant decrease in
Egypt’s foreign reserves
Improving Macroeconomic Indicators1
Egypt’s macroeconomic backdrop
34
Recent Government Initiatives
Egypt Spot & 12 Months Non Deliverable Forward
1 Source: Bloomberg, IMF, CBE2 Due to the Monetary Police Committee’s decision to raise overnight lending and deposits rate by 100 bps
CDS Spread (basis points)
Post 30th June Protests
Post 25th Jan Revolution Post Presidential Elections
1 Year T-Bill Yield (%) Dollarization (% of Total Deposits)
Due to MPC’s decision to raise lending and deposits
rate by 100 bps
2
23%
19%
Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14
Stable FX Reserves (USD Billion)
Country Received Total Pledged
USD 4.0 bn USD 6.9 bn
USD 8.6 bn USD 12.2 bn
USD 3.0 bn USD 4.0 bn
USD 15.6 bn USD 23.1 bn
Incoming International Support Packages
7.1
7.9
Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14
Spot Forward
14.9%
12.2%
Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14
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5.8
7.14
967 1,048
1,466 1,510
2,083 1,788 1,771
1,452
2,814
3,202
1,784
3,106
3,747
1Q 11
2Q 11
3Q 11
4Q 11
1Q 12
2Q 12
3Q 12
4Q 12
1Q 13
2Q 13
3Q 13
4Q 13
1Q 14
21%
22%
20%
13%
11%
7%
4%
2%
21%
23%
19%
13%
11%
7%
4%
2%
25% 15% 5% 5% 15% 25%
<10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
>70
Female Male
Young population to fuel growth
35
Egypt's large and
growing population is
a key asset compared
to its MENA
counterparts
The country is set to
exhibit a strong
working age
population growth
over the coming period
The growing marriage
rate (standing at 933
thousands marriages
per annum), coupled
with increasing
urbanization levels
have resulted in an
increased demand for
housing units
Recent government
initiatives relating to
mortgage financing
are expected to further
enhance demand
Market Drivers Remain Intact
Population & Growth Vs Arab States
1 Source: CAPMAS, IMF, US Census, Central Banks of respective countries and Industry reports; Data as at 31/12/20132 Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Bloomberg, Company Financial Statements
Demographics
Gross Pre Sales for Key Developers3 (EGP mn. FX Rate) Market Characteristics / Trends
87
33 3228 25
5 4 3 2
2%1% 1% 2%
3%
5%
3%
2%
6%
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90 Population (mn) Growth (%)
World Average: 1.2%
Young population
(around 60% below the age of 30)
Encouraging Real Estate Market Dynamics1
Encouraging Real Estate Market Dynamics2
Market characterized by a small number of densely populated cities, with low urbanization. Cairo is one of the most dense metropolitan areas in the world
Sales are supported by a large population with an increasing number of marriages to spur demand
Strong pent-up demand still not matched by equal supply (housing gap estimated at not less than 200k units annually)
Inefficiencies of public sector players led to emergence of a number of mega private sector developers
Summer 2014 witnessed an increasing demand for secondary homes
3 Key developers include SODIC, Palm Hills and Talaat Mostafa
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Disclaimer
36
This Presentation is intended for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer for sale or subscription or an invitationor solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or purchase securities of any kind and neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form thebasis of any contract or commitment from any party whatsoever. Information, including but not limited to financial information, in this presentationshould not be considered as a recommendation in relation to holding, purchasing or selling shares, securities or any other instruments in or, inentities related to, SODIC or any other company.
This Presentation contains important and privileged information on SODIC which is solely owned by SODIC and may not be relied on or used by anyperson whosoever for any purpose, and therefore shall be kept secret and confidential by any receiving party.
This document includes forward-looking statements. The words "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "intend", "aim", "plan", "predict", "continue","assume", "positioned", "may", "will", "should", "shall", "risk" and other similar expressions that are predictions of or indicate future events andfuture trends identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. In particular,the statements regarding strategy and other future events or prospects are forward-looking statements. Recipients of this document should notplace undue reliance on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are inmany cases beyond the control of the Company. By their nature, forward-looking statements & projections involve risks and uncertainties becausethey relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees offuture performance and the Company's actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the industry in whichthe Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this document. Thecautionary statements set forth above should be considered in connection with any subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements that theCompany, or persons acting on its behalf, may issue. Various factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or impliedby the forward-looking statements in this document including worldwide economic trends, the economic and political climate of Egypt, the MiddleEast and changes in business strategy and various other factors.
All information contained in this presentation, including but not limited to information relating to the Egyptian real estate and financial markets,are compiled from sources known to be reliable and/or publicly available data reasonably assumed to be accurate (the “Source Data”). The SourceData may contain errors and/or inaccuracies; SODIC provides no warranties or guarantees of any kind, expressed or implied, and accepts noresponsibility whatsoever, with regard to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the Source Data used in the Presentation.
This disclaimer is to be considered an integral part of the Presentation and SODIC’s liability in respect of this Presentation and is to be governed byEgyptian law under the jurisdiction of Egyptian courts.
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Thank You
For SODIC investor relations enquiries contact:
Heba [email protected]
Tel: +202 3854 0121
SODIC IR website: ir.SODIC.comSODIC corporate website: www.SODIC.com