Investor presentation - Havfisk Alaska Pollock Atlantic cod Hake Saithe Haddock SBW Pacific cod Hoki...
Transcript of Investor presentation - Havfisk Alaska Pollock Atlantic cod Hake Saithe Haddock SBW Pacific cod Hoki...
Investor presentation
Webjørn Barstad, CEO Eldar Farstad, CFO
• The fisheries industry – Global supply side – Markets
• Norwegian fisheries and HAVFISK
• Key financial deliveries • Value-drivers • Outlook
Agenda HAVFISK ASA
The Global Picture Supply side Markets
World capture production stable at «maximum potential»
The most important white fish species from the fisheries
3.543
1.050
1.216
345
280494
260
White fish catch - 2015 E
Alaska Pollock
Hakes
Atlantic Cod
Haddock
Saithe
Pacific Cod
HokiSource: Kontali AnalyseSource: Kontali Analyse
(1000 tonnes)
Catch by nations and species (mt)
Alaska Pollock
Atlantic cod Hake Saithe Haddock SBW
Pacific cod Hoki TOTAL
Chile - - 40 000 - - 14 000 - 40 000 94 000 88 000
Argentine - - 270 000 - - 9 000 - 45 000 324 000 328 000
USA 1 405 000 - 250 000 8 000 3 000 - 330 000 - 1 996 000 1 984 000
Canada 10 000 18 000 50 000 5 000 8 000 - 5 000 - 96 000 88 000
Russia 1 670 000 448 000 2 000 1 000 77 000 - 80 000 - 2 278 000 2 212 000
Norway - 475 000 2 000 156 000 94 000 - - - 727 000 659 000
Iceland - 239 000 - 53 000 36 000 - - - 328 000 329 000
Faroe Islands - 17 000 - 17 000 3 000 - - - 37 000 51 000
EU - 160 000 68 000 54 000 50 000 - - - 332 000 318 000
Namibia - - 140 000 - - - - - 140 000 140 000
South Africa - - 150 000 - - - - - 150 000 145 000
Japan/S-Korea 280 000 - - - - 3 000 65 000 - 348 000 343 000
New Zealand - - - - - 35 000 - 150 000 185 000 195 000
Others - 10 000 96 000 14 000 1 000 2 000 2 000 4 000 129 000 118 000
Total 3 365 000 1 367 000 1 068 000 308 000 272 000 63 000 482 000 239 000 7 164 000 6 998 000
Source; National statistics/KA-Est.
NationCatch by nation and species 2014
E 2015
02.000.0004.000.0006.000.0008.000.000
10.000.00012.000.00014.000.00016.000.00018.000.000
AlaskaPollock
Atlanticcod
Hake Haddock Saithe Pacificcod
Hoki SBW
1000 NOKMain whitefish fisheries by first hand value - 2014 E
Source: Kontali Analyse
The world market of whitefish
47 %
14 %12 %
9 %8 % 7 %
2 %
5 %
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
30 %
35 %
40 %
45 %
50 %
EU North America Asia Russia South America Japan Africa Others
Source: Kontali Analyse
The global volume of groundfish - Where is it consumed? (2014 E)
White Fish Cod Alaska Pollock Haddock Saithe Hakes HokiTotal
Germany 547 70 411 3 23 36 4UK 474 250 101 86 15 20 2Spain 473 190 32 0 6 245 0France 359 60 183 13 26 55 22Scandinavia (SE, DK, FI) 245 134 26 23 40 10 12Poland 243 97 109 7 6 13 11Be/Ne/Lux 237 89 71 17 32 26 2Portugal 162 98 5 0 0 59 0Italy 158 44 30 0 0 84 0Others 115 45 57 3 5 3 2
3013 1077 1025 152 153 551 55
Top 3 Markets1 Germany UK Germany UK Scandinavia Spain France2 UK Spain France Scandinavia Be/Ne/Lux Italy Scandinavia3 Spain Scandinavia Poland Be/Ne/Lux France Portugal Poland
Source: Kontali Analyse
1000 tonnes R.W.
EU country split - whitefish consumption 2014
Trade flow from Norway - Cod
Source: Norwegian Seafood Council
(YTD)
Norwegian fisheries and HAVFISK
Ocean area > 6 x land area
• World fishing nation no. 11 by volume (largest in Europe)
• World fishing nation no. 2 by export value
• The worlds largest Cod stock
• EU 31 mt pr fisherman • Norway 255 mt pr
fisherman
Positioned for profitability
Modern, efficient, well managed, sustainable Norway as a fishing nation
Fewer vessels, more volume
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2014
Vessels
Number of cod trawl vessels Norway 1980-2014
Source: Fiskeridirektoratet
• Norway’s largest harvesting company and quota holder – 11% of the Norwegian
whitefish quota (cod, saithe, haddock)
– 7 Barents Sea shrimp licenses + 1 Greenland
• 10 operational trawlers – Three new vessels
delivered in 2013 and 2014
Key facts Company overview
Norwegian fishing companies
The 35 largest fishing companies in 2014 (gross catch value in mill. NOK)
MNOK
• 390 employees • Ownership to fish
industry facilities in northern Norway
• Facilities are operated by sister company Norway Seafoods
• Listed on Oslo Stock Exchange
• Aker ASA 73,25 %
Key facts Company overview
Vesttind
Havtind
Gadus Njord
Nordland Havfiske (100% ownership)
Doggi Rypefjord
Båtsfjord
Kongsfjord
Finnmark Havfiske (97,62% ownership)
Gadus Poseidon
Gadus Neptun
Company structure and vessels
18
Hammerfest Industrifiske (60% ownership)
• Three main export segments: – Fresh/fresh fillets – Salted/Salted dried/dried (conventional) – Frozen H/G
Main export segments and «route to market» HAVFISK
19
HAVFISK delivers countercyclical -Fresh fish
20
• High costs calls for high tech solutions – Energy-efficient
operations – 100% utilization of the
fish
• All major fisheries eco-labelled (MSC)
• Clean class notification
Modern, efficient, well managed, sustainable Havfisk
«Virtual tour» at Gadus Neptun http://invisual.no/havfisk/
Second quarter – interim results
HFISK
Continued positive development in EBITDA and margin
Catch value per operating day increased by 47 percent compared to Q2 2014
Increased catch of shrimp and redfish
Cod market robust
Challenging market conditions for haddock, but increased quotas
Remaining cod quotas for second half - 62 percent
Main part of annual maintenance activities completed
Highlights HAVFISK Q2 2015
Q2 - 2015
Interim presentation Q2 - 2015
Increased revenues and EBITDA HAVFISK - Q2 2015
Operating Revenues EBITDA/ EBITDA margin
Q2 2015 vs Q2 2014: Catch value per day
increased by 47%, catch rates increased by 15 % Total volumes increased
by 8 % Reduction in volumes of
saithe and haddock, increased volumes of cod, shrimp and others Price of cod and saithe
increased by 47 and 7% Price of haddock
decreased by 27 % Price of shrimp
increased 60 %
257247
314296
226
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
8490
98
85
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
47
Q2 2015
EBITDA % EBITDA
EBITDA % NOKM
Profitability per kilo increased from 3,7 NOK/kg in Q2 2014 to 6,1 NOK/kg in Q2 2015 Higher prices and higher catch efficiency
Q2 2015 – slightly higher profitability per kilo compared to Q1 2015 mainly due to higher prices, especially shrimps Increasing trend in profitability per kilo since 2012
Increasing price trend for most of the species Higher catch efficiency over the last years
EBITDA per kilo HAVFISK Q2- 2015
EBITDA per kilo per quarter EBITDA per kilo 2011 - 2015 EBITDA per kilo per quarter
NOK/kg
6,16,06,9
5,4
3,7
Q215 Q115 Q414 Q314 Q214
6,1
3,9
5,0
3,73,3
4,1
2015 YTD 2014 YTD 2014 2013 2012 2011
NOK/kg
NOK millions Q2 14 Q2 15 YTD 2015
Operating revenues 226 257 504
EBITDA 47 84 174
EBITDA-margin 21 % 33% 34 %
Depreciation -31 -31 -62
EBIT 16 53 112
Net financial items -20 -12 26
Profit before tax -4 41 86
Net profit for the period -3 29 62
Earnings per share (NOK) -0.03 0.35 0.74
Total assets 2 627 2 459 2 459
Equity 710 890 890
Equity ratio 27.0 % 36.2 % 36.2 %
Net interest bearing debt 1 172 945 945
Key figures HAVFISK - Financials
Increase in operating revenues Higher prices + 28 % Increased catch volume + 8 %
Increase in EBITDA Increased catch value per day due
to higher prices and catch efficiency + 47 %
Catch efficiency increased by 15 % Increased operational costs mainly
due to higher catch value
Financial items Lower financial costs in Q2 2015
due to lower NIBD and interest rate. 5 MNOK of the financial costs in Q2 2014 related to “the Glitnir case”
EPS 0.35 NOK per share in Q2
Comments
Key value drivers HFISK
Cost breakdown (based on 2014 figures)
Value drivers
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100
150
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250
50
Dri
vers
Cost per day in operation Fixed cost : yearly maintenance in ship yards
Cos
t
615732
159101
316
Personnel
10% 31%
Freight/ packaging
Maintenance
6% 3%
Fuel
6%
Fishing gear
16%
Administration
Cost (MNOK) % of revenue
Percentage of catch value Cost per kilo
Cost per day in operation Average consumption for a freezing trawlers = 10 000 litres/day
Cost per day in operation Average of NOK/day 10 000
Fixed cost
Overhead cost, administration, insurance
Low fixed sum per day Main personnel cost is in % of catch value
Sensitivities – price and catch efficiency main factors Value drivers
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 0
Catch efficiency Price
Catch rate per day (Kg)
• Catch rates above 10,000 kg / day yield margin of around 60%
Personnel cost
Price Increase
Other costs
1.0
0.3
0.1
Increased EBITDA
0.6
• Price increase of 1.0 NOK/kg will give additional EBITDA of around 0.6 NOK/kg
EB
ITD
A /
kg
NOK EBITDA at different catch rates
• Significant increase in catch efficiency – Change in fleet – Availability of fish
• New vessels: – improvement in catch
efficiency – flexibility to participate
in alternative fisheries
Catch efficiency Value drivers
• Strong supply growth and financial downturn in key markets have negative impact on cod prices.
• Cod-prices appears to have bottomed out in Q1/2013
Export prices for frozen cod h/g in NOK. Source: Norwegian Seafood Council
Historic price trend - Cod Value drivers
Outlook HFISK
Remaining quotas after Q2 (vs last year Q2) Cod 62% (59%), 17 944 mt vs 19 463 mt in 2014 Haddock 69% (55%), 6 639 mt vs 4 296 mt in 2014 Saithe 24% (35%), 2 473 mt vs 4 670 mt in 2014
Quotas next year (advice)
Cod -10% Haddock unchanged (following +25% this year from mid-June) Saithe +15% North, -6% North Sea (aggregate +7 %)
Prices
Cod stable/up, Haddock weak , Saithe stable/up, Redfish slightly down, Shrimp firm
Coming quarters More Shrimp, Redfish, Greenland Halibut and Saithe, increasingly Cod/Haddock
towards year end Main part of planned maintenance activities for the year completed
Outlook HAVFISK
• Prices and quotas main fisheries
• Other species and by-products; working to increase deliveries – Earnings contribution potential,
but lower margins • Internal quota optimization • Further fleet restructuring
potential • Focus on costs and key value
drivers
Medium term revenue and earnings potential Outlook
• Health, convenience, environment and ethics – Fish is an important source of protein,
vitamins and minerals – The Norwegian fishing for cod, haddock
and saithe is certified by MSC standard for sustainable fisheries
– Fish is an environmentally friendly source of protein
• Growing focus on fish in retail – customer demands drives convenience
Long term mega trends Outlook
Aker Seafoods invests in the future!
Source: Prof Ray Hilborn, University of Washington
• The Food Gap Challenge towards 2050
Long term mega trends Outlook
69% increase in food
production will be necessary
The world needs more
seafood - less than 10 percent of food consumption is
sea-based
HAVFISK – ca 200 mill meals per year
Price potential?
Disclaimer
This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for HAVFISK ASA including subsidiaries and affiliates. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as ”expects”, ”believes”, ”estimates” or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for HAVFISK`s businesses, fish prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although HAVFISK ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. HAVFISK ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither HAVFISK ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.