INVESTOR PRESENTATION...2020/08/17 · Pre-Hedge Realized Price ($/Boe) $15.18 Post-Hedge Realized...
Transcript of INVESTOR PRESENTATION...2020/08/17 · Pre-Hedge Realized Price ($/Boe) $15.18 Post-Hedge Realized...
AUGUST 17, 2020
SM-ENERGY.COM
INVESTOR PRESENTATIONEnerCom’s The Oil and Gas Conference
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DISCLAIMERS
Forward-looking statements
Non-GAAP financial measuresThis presentation references non-GAAP financial measures. Please see the “Non-GAAP Definitions and Reconciliations” section of the Appendix, which includes definitions of non-GAAP measures
used in this presentation and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of securities laws. The words “assumes,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “generate,” “guidance,” “implied,”
“maintain,” “plan,” “project,” “objectives,” “outlook,” “sustainable,” “target,” “will” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this
release include, among other things, revised guidance for the full year and third quarter 2020, including production volumes, oil production percentage, operating and general and administrative costs,
DD&A, and capital expenditures; the Company’s 2020 goals, including: generating free cash flow; and the number of wells the Company plans to drill and complete. These statements involve known
and unknown risks, which may cause SM Energy's actual results to differ materially from results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Future results may be impacted by the risks
discussed in the Risk Factors section of SM Energy's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as such risk factors may be updated from time to time in the Company's other periodic reports filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission, specifically the second quarter 2020 Form 10-Q. The forward-looking statements contained herein speak as of the date of this presentation. Although
SM Energy may from time to time voluntarily update its prior forward-looking statements, it disclaims any commitment to do so, except as required by securities laws.
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Cash Flow Growth
PREMIER OPERATOR OF TOP-TIER ASSETSCHALLENGING TIMES, BUT OUR PRIORITIES HAVE NOT CHANGED
P R I O R I T I E ST A R G E T S
▪ Growth within cash flows
▪ Leverage at <2x
▪ Premier ESG performer
Free Cash Flow Funded
Debt Reduction
V A L U E C R E A T I O NImprove Leverage
MetricsCash Flow Growth per Debt Adjusted Share
+
+
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~$108MM1H20 FREE CASH FLOW(1)
F R E E C A S H F L O W
P R O D U C T I O N
A B S O L U T E D E B T R E D U C T I O N
C A P I T A L P R O G R A M R E D U C E D
A N D R E M A I N S F L E X I B L E
~$219MM2Q REDUCTION IN LONG-TERM DEBT
STRONG FIRST HALF DESPITE IMPACT FROM MACRO AND COVID-19
PREMIER OPERATOR OF TOP-TIER ASSETS
▪ Generated ~$28 million of free cash flow (1) in 2Q and
$108MM during first half of 2020
▪ 2Q Production of 11.2 MMBoe (122.9 MBoe/d) and 48% oil
▪ Exchange offers resulted in significant reduction of total debt,
and reduced maturities through 2022 by ~$250 million
▪ 1Q: $41MM market purchases of 2022 bonds for $28.3MM
▪ Net debt-to-Adjusted EBITDAX at 2.45x(1) as of June 30, 2020
(1) Free cash flow & net debt-to-Adjusted EBITDAX are non-GAAP financial measures. See “Definitions of non-GAAP measures as Calculated by the Company” and related reconciliations in the Appendix.
▪ 2020 capital expenditures reduced ~25% from February plan
E S G F O C U S
▪ 2019 Methane Emissions: 0.11% (% of methane produced)
▪ 2019 GHG Emissions Intensity: 12.4 (Intensity mT CO2e / MBoe)
▪ 2019 Flaring Percentage: 1.3% (% of gas flared to total production)
▪ 2019 Spill Volumes: 0.015 (Bbls spilled / 1,000 Bbls produced)
SECOND QUARTER 2020 PERFORMANCE
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Adjusted EBITDAX(1)
$202
Production
122.9
Free Cash Flow(1)
$28
MBoe/d
million
million
Key Metrics
(1) Adjusted net loss, Adjusted EBITDAX, and Free Cash Flow are non-GAAP financial measures. See the “Non-GAAP Definitions and Reconciliations” section in the Appendix.
Note: Amounts may not sum due to rounding.
Q2 2020Production and Pricing
Total Production (MMBoe) 11.2
Total Production (MBoe/d) 122.9
Oil percentage 48%
Pre-Hedge Realized Price ($/Boe) $15.18
Post-Hedge Realized Price ($/Boe) $27.93
Costs (per Boe)
LOE $3.30
Transportation $3.12
Production & Ad Valorem taxes $0.78
Total Production Expenses $7.20
Cash Production Margin (pre-hedge) $7.98
G&A (Cash) $2.02
G&A (Non-Cash) $0.41
Operating Margin (pre-hedge) $5.55
DD&A $16.17
Earnings
GAAP Earnings (per share) ($0.79)
Adjusted net loss(1) (per share) ($0.15)
Adjusted EBITDAX(1) ($MM) $201.5
Free Cash Flow ($MM)
Net cash provided by operating activities (GAAP) $114.3
Net change in working capital $38.7
Net cash provided by operating activities before net change in working capital $153.1
Capital Expenditures (GAAP) $170.9
Change in capital expenditure accruals and other ($45.7)
Capital expenditures before change in capital expenditure accruals and other $125.2
Free Cash Flow(1) $27.9
2H20 Oil Volumes Hedged(1)
At prices > $55/Bbl
2H20 Hedge Program▪ ~9,620 MBbls(1) of 2H20 oil production, or approximately 90%
of expected 2H20 oil production, hedged to WTI; swaps at
~$57/Bbl, collar floors at $55/Bbl
▪ ~7,695 MBbls of 2H20 Midland Basin production, or
approximately 75-80% of expected Midland Basin oil production
covered by Midland to Cushing basis hedges at ~$(0.50)/Bbl
▪ Approximately 50% of expected 2H20 natural gas production is
hedged at an average price of $2.40/MMBtu to HSC, and
approximately 55-60% of expected 2H20 Midland natural gas
production is hedged at an average price of $1.15/MMBtu to
WAHA
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STRONG HEDGE PROTECTION AT CURRENT OIL PRICES
HEDGING SUMMARY
(1) ~90% of expected 2H20 oil production hedged to WTI; hedges include oil swaps and collars to WTI only; excludes basis swaps and roll differential hedges.
~90%
20252024
1.500%
D e b t Matur i t i e s ( 3 )
$65.5
BALANCE SHEET FOCUSMATURITIES THROUGH 2022 CUT BY ~$250 MILLION
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$1,250
$1,000
$750
$500
$250
$0
202720262023202220212020
7/2021 11/2022
103.06%
11/2018
6.125% 5.000%
7/2018
102.50%
01/2024
10.000%
5.625%
6/2020
102.81%
01/2025
06/2025
6.750%
9/2021
103.38%
09/2026
6.625%
1/2022
104.97%
01/2027
$500 $419 $417
in millions
$193$345$294 $349
$447
Second Lien Secured
$500
(1) Liquidity as of June 30, 2020 was $865 million.
(2) Net debt-to-Adjusted EBITDAX is a non-GAAP measure. See the “Non-GAAP Definitions and Reconciliations” section in the Appendix. Bank covenant on revolver is 4x.
(3) As of June 30, 2020
Net debt-to-Adjusted EBITDAX(2)
2.45x
Liquidity(1)
~$865 million
2Q Reduction in Long-Term Debt~$219 million
$1.1BBorrowing Base
& Commitments
Coupon
Initial Call Date
Initial Call Price
Maturity Date
2.79
2.45
YE19 MY20 YE20e YE21e
Less than 3x
Approximately 3x
Net debt-to-Adjusted EBITDAX(2)
Below ~3x through 2021 at current strip
Guidance FY 2020
Change (v. February Guidance)
Capital Expenditures(2) ($MM) $610 - $630 25%
Total Production (MMBoe) 44 - 46 3%
Total Production (MBoe/d) 120.2 – 125.7 3%
Oil percentage 49% - 50% 1%
LOE (per Boe) $4.75 - $5.00 9%
Transportation (per Boe) $3.10 - $3.30 4%
Production & Ad Valorem taxes(3) (per Boe) ~$1.40 30%
G&A(4) ($MM) ~$110 12%
Exploration Expense ($MM) ~$40 20%
DD&A (per Boe) $17.00 - $18.00 8%
Further reductions since February to operating costs
2020 REVISED PLAN GUIDANCE(1)
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FY 2020 Capital Expenditure(2) guidance reduced >25% from February Plan
Q 3 2 0 2 0 G U I D A N C E
▪ Production: 10.5 -11.0 MMBoe (114.1-119.6
Mboe/d), 48% oil
▪ Capital expenditures(2): $120 - $130 million
Key Metrics
CAPITAL PROGRAM FURTHER REDUCED
(1) As of July 30, 2020.
(2) Capital expenditures before changes in capital expenditure accruals.
(3) ~4.5% of pre-hedge revenue + ~$0.40.
(4) Includes ~$20 million non-cash compensation; $4-5 million non-recurring.
TOP-TIER EXECUTION, WELL PERFORMANCE AND CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
MIDLAND BASIN
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MARTIN
RockStar
HOWARD
UPTON
Sweetie PeckMIDLAND
2 0 2 0 P L A N O B J E C T I V E S
O P E R AT I N G D E TA I L S(3)
~82,000Rigs
Running:
Completion
Crews:N E T A C R E S
(1) Baird Equity Research, Joseph Allman, November 4, 2019; Baird Energy Big Data Analytics (May 2018 - April 2019 first production).
(2) RSEG / Enervus research, July 2020.
(3) As of July 30, 2020.
2 0 2 0 R E V I S E D P L A N
B E S T I N C L A S S W E L L P E R F O R M A N C E▪ SM wells generate among the highest revenues per well in the Midland Basin(1)
▪ RSEG/Enverus research: SM has the lowest breakeven prices in 2019(2)
L E A D I N G E D G E C A P I T A L C O S T S▪ Expected DC&E costs further reduced to ~$560/lateral foot for 2H20
February
Plan
Revised
Plan
2020
Remaining
Net Wells Drilled 80 77 32
Net Wells Completed 85 68 39
$38.60$39.30 $39.50
$41.30$42.10
$43.70 $44.00 $44.20$44.80
SM Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 Peer 8
MIDLAND BASIN: SM ENERGY BREAKEVEN BEST IN THE BASIN
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ENVERUS RESEARCH: LOW COSTS DRIVE STRONG ECONOMICS
(1) RSEG/Enverus Research, July 2020; peers include FANG, CXO, PXD, OVV, CPE, PE, LPI, QEP.
(2) Breakeven at 20:1 WTI:HH ($/Bbl).
RSEG/Enverus Midland Data: Operator Benchmarking(1)
2019 PV-10 Breakeven Price(2) ▪ According to RSEG/Enverus
research, SM Energy ranked #1
for the lowest breakeven price in
the Midland Basin during 2019.
765
1,025
1,503
1,993
2017 2018 2019 YTD20
1.0
0.5
Jan. '19 Apr. '19 July '19 Oct. '19 Jan. '20 June '20
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LEADING DC&E COSTS CURRENTLY AT ~$560 PER LATERAL FOOT
MIDLAND BASIN: TOP-TIER CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
Drilling and Completion Efficiency Gains Drilled and completed feet per day(1)
49%DRILLING IMPROVEMENT
160%COMPLETION IMPROVEMENT
Longer LateralsAverage Lateral Length Completed(2)
Lower Sand CostsIndexed to January 2019(3)
9,300
11,430
2017 2018 2019 2020REVISED PLAN
23%INCREASE IN LATERAL LENGTH
49%LOWER SAND COSTS
(1) Drilling: total lateral feet delivered per day, spud to rig release. Completion: lateral feet completed per fleet per day.
(2) 2020 Plan lateral length average subject to change.
(3) Sand costs exclude last mile logistics as there is variability in these charges.
510
562
645
761
2017 2018 2019 YTD20
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FOCUSED ON EXECUTION AND RETURNS ENHANCEMENT
SOUTH TEXAS
DIMMIT COUNTY
WEBB COUNTY
North
Area
South Area
East
Area
2 0 2 0 P L A N O B J E C T I V E S
O P E R AT I N G D E TA I L S
~159,000N E T A C R E S
2 0 2 0 R E V I S E D P L A N▪ Expect ~12 net wells drilled and ~4 net wells completed for the year, or ~5
and ~2, respectively, in the second half of 2020
▪ Expected DC&E costs further reduced to ~$600/lateral foot for 2H20
M A R K E T I N G U P D A T E▪ Transportation costs to decrease ~$0.25/Mcf starting mid-year 2021 and
decrease an additional ~$0.35/Mcf in 2023
▪ Condensate prices expected to improve by ~$5/Bbl relative to index
beginning in 2021
A U S T I N C H A L K S U C C E S S▪ Continued optimization of Austin Chalk landing zone and completion design
has led to outstanding performance for latest wells: 109H, 1009H and 910H
▪ Delineation program of 9 wells has confirmed Austin Chalk inventory over a
broad area
E N H A N C I N G I N V E N T O R Y VA L U E
▪ No rigs currently running; adding one
rig in October
▪ No completion crews currently; adding
one in November
0
100
200
300
400
500
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220
Cu
mu
lati
ve
Pro
du
cti
on
Days on Production
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OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE FROM MOST RECENT AUSTIN CHALK DELINEATION WELLS
SOUTH TEXAS: AUSTIN CHALK SUCCESS CONTINUES
Oil Production(MBo)
Austin Chalk Driving Increased South Texas Value
Total Production (MBoe; 3-stream)
▪ Latest three Austin Chalk wells have a breakeven flat
oil price range of $17 - $31/Bbl NYMEX(1) at go
forward development capital
▪ Outstanding new wells:
▪ Positive results across acreage position support
expected increase in South Texas inventory
▪ New wells producing 51-53 degree API oil/condensate
1009H
109H
910H
1009H
109H
1009H
(1) Breakeven 10% IRR assumes natural gas at $2.00/Mcf through 1H21, then $2.40/Mcf.
910H109H
Well
Lateral
Length
24-hour IP
3-stream (Boe/d)
IP30 Oil
(Bo/d)
IP30
3-stream (Boe/d) Oil % Liquids %
Briscoe G 109H 6,502’ - 1,582 2,681 59 80
San Ambrosia D (SA4) 1009H 13,322’ - 2,073 3,597 58 80
Galvan Ranch B910H 12,202’ 3,961 - - 32 61
ESG Committee of Board of Directors named in July 2020
Board composition includes: independent
chairman; 8 of 9 independent directors;
diversity of gender, race, geography, tenure
and expertise
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MAKING PEOPLE’S LIVES BETTER BY RESPONSIBLY PRODUCING OIL & NATURAL GAS
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE (ESG)
2019 TRIR: 0.462020 compensation tied to targeted
top-quartile(1) safety metrics
$1.5 million in 2019SM charitable contributions totaled approximately
2019 GHG Emissions Intensity
12.4
2019 top quartile(1)
Methane Emissions
0.11%
2019 top-quartile(1)
Spill Volumes
(Bbls spilled / 1,000 Bbls produced)
(% of methane produced):
Intensity (mT(2) CO2e / MBoe):
0.015
2019 Flaring Percentage
Executive compensation aligned with
long-term corporate strategy and
performance measures tied to creation of
stockholder value
CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY REPORT AVAILABLE AT:
SM-ENERGY.COM
1.3%(% of gas flared to total production):
Board has annually established top-quartile(1)
EHS performance goals, which are reviewed
quarterly and impact compensation of every
employee(1) Top-quartile based on surveyed and/or publicly available data from American Exploration & Production Council members.
(2) mT = metric tons.
Employee + Contractor
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Cash Flow Growth
PREMIER OPERATOR OF TOP-TIER ASSETSCHALLENGING TIMES, BUT OUR PRIORITIES HAVE NOT CHANGED
P R I O R I T I E ST A R G E T S
▪ Growth within cash flows
▪ Leverage at <2x
▪ Premier ESG performer
Free Cash Flow Funded
Debt Reduction
V A L U E C R E A T I O N
Improve Leverage Metrics
Cash Flow Growth per Debt Adjusted Share
+
+