Investor Presentation...1. Only 4 V-Plus vessels in world fleet CURRENT FLEET – TOTAL 56 VESSELS...
Transcript of Investor Presentation...1. Only 4 V-Plus vessels in world fleet CURRENT FLEET – TOTAL 56 VESSELS...
Investor Presentation March 2016
1
Forward Looking Statements
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements under U.S. federal securities
laws, including the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements reflect the
Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and may include statements
concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and
other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. All statements, other than statements of
historical facts, that address activities, events or developments that the Company expects, projects, believes or
anticipates will or may occur in the future, including, without limitation, the delivery of vessels, the outlook for
tanker shipping rates, general industry conditions future operating results of the Company’s vessels, capital
expenditures, expansion and growth opportunities, bank borrowings, financing activities and other such matters,
are forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that its expectations stated in this presentation
are based on reasonable assumptions, actual results may differ from those projected in the forward-looking
statements. Important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those
discussed in the forward-looking statements include the failure of counterparties to fully perform their obligations
to us, the strength of the world economies and currencies, general market conditions, including changes in tanker
vessel charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand for tankers, changes in our vessel operating
expenses, including dry-docking, crewing and insurance costs, or actions taken by regulatory authorities, ability of
customers of our pools to perform their obligations under charter contracts on a timely basis, potential liability
from future litigation, domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to
accidents and political events or acts by terrorists. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any
forward looking statement contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or
otherwise, except as required by law. In light of the risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward looking
events discussed in this presentation might not occur, and our actual results could differ materially from those
anticipated in these forward-looking statements.
2
Section 1
Euronav at a Glance
2 3
Euronav – Largest Tanker Company in the World
WELL POSITIONED FOR STRONG CASH FLOW GENERATION
Breakeven (including debt service):
~ USD 27,300 / day for VLCC – OpEx / day USD 8,165
~ USD 24,000 / day for Suezmax – OpEx / day USD 7,520
1
3 MM barrels
Avg. age 12 years
2.8 MM barrels
Avg. age 12 years
29 VLCC
+ 2 (TBD)
Up to 330,000 DWT
2MM barrels
Avg. age 6 years
1MM barrels
Avg. age 10 years
22 SUEZMAX
150,000 – 165,000 DWT
1 V – PLUS (1)
Over 441,000 DWT
2 FSO
Stripped water capacity
380k barrels
Notes: 1. Only 4 V-Plus vessels in world fleet
CURRENT FLEET – TOTAL 56 VESSELS – 13.5 MM DWT
Only 4 in world fleet
WHO WE ARE
Leading pure-play tanker company with best-in-class operating platform
Committed to shareholder long-term value creation…
Strong balance sheet
Most liquid big tanker player in the world
… with significant direct return to shareholders
Fixed Income
> USD 100 million of EBITDA (1) generated annually from fixed income contracts (FSO + TC contracts)
2
Spot Income - High Leverage to Upside
Each USD 5,000 uplift (above break-even) in both VLCC and Suezmax rates improves net revenue and EBITDA by USD 72 million
3
Returns to Shareholders
Return 80% of net income to shareholders (2) 4
1. Proportionate consolidation method 2. P&L definition
4
Euronav – Exposed to Structural Growth in Demand for Oil
Europe
U.S.
West Africa
Middle East
Asia Pacific
24 – 26
VLCCs
22 – 24
VLCCs
29 – 32
VLCCs
52 – 54
VLCCs
48 – 50
VLCCs 48 – 50
VLCCs
1.2 mbpd x 365 days = 440m barrels 440m barrels / 2m capacity per VLCC = 220 cargoes
220 cargoes / 4.5 annual journeys for VLCC (1) = 49 VLCCs
INCREMENTAL VLCC DEMAND FOR 1.2 MBPD ADDITIONAL EXPORTS = 36 – 49 VLCC PER YEAR
5
WHAT WE DO
Importer
Exporter
Supply
Demand
Demand
Supply
Russia
China
LatAm / Caribs
(1) Euronav average Source Euronav, Morgan Stanley
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Euronav - Most Liquid Big Tanker Player
Source Bloomberg based on Exchange volumes
LIQUIDITY GIVES SHAREHOLDERS OPTIONALITY
More Trading Hours Euronext Brussels: 9 a.m. – 5. 30 p.m. (CET) NYSE: 9.30 a.m. – 4 p.m. (EST)
Average daily volume shares = 1.38 mm shares per day
6
Ticker Symbol: EURN
Average daily volume USD = USD 20 mm per day
Velocity = 334%*
Free float = 85%
*Calculation method = daily volume x trading days / free float
TOTAL TRADED VALUE OF EURONAV US AND BB SHARES (SAME SHARE) - EURN US EQUITY & EURN BB EQUITY
Section 2
Industry Dynamics
5 7
Demand for Oil
ROBUST
• Oil demand growing last 25 years
• Yearly average 1.1 mbpd
• IEA forecast 1.2m bpd EVERY year to 2020
• 1.2 m bpd oil demand growth = for 36-49
VLCCs
Supply of Oil
EXCESS
• Market share strategy
• USA production shale: very resilient &
responsive
• Iran increase of 900k bpd
Supply of Vessels
MANAGEABLE
• Natural replacement cycle of 5% p.a.
• Order book largely industrial not speculative
• Order velocity substantially fallen since
Q3 2015
Ton Miles
BALANCED
• Trade lines established from production in West to consumption in East
• Ton miles a dynamic function in tankers
• Chinese imports diversification
• USA crude exports to increase ton miles
Financing
NEW BARRIER TO ENTRY
• New regulations (Basel 2&3) restricting
lending
• Distress in shipping loans has reduced risk
appetite
• Shipyards under pressure to reform
Oil Tankers – Five Key Drivers
1 2 3 4 5
8
Oil Price – Impact on Demand
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110Lack of disruption/market share game
Iran and other supply remain high Shale - as swing producer increases
output
Capex cuts in E&P Potential coordinated cuts in production
QE returns/$ loss of value/oil as financial asset
Demand Destructive 2009 - 2014 proved in this oil price range that demand was destroyed
Neutral
Demand Stimulating proven over time that the cheaper the commodity price the greater it is used
Demand Disruptive Current structure of global markets mean energy/capex/sovereign wealth effects > consumer stimulus from lower oil prices
OIL PRICE OUTLOOK (ILLUSTRATION)
9
Demand for Oil
1
Demand – steady and robust outlook
GLOBAL OIL DEMAND 1990-2015 (MB/D) AND AVERAGE OIL PRICE
0.3
1
0.5 0.3
1
1.5
1.9 2
0.3
1.7
0.8 0.7 0.7
1.5
3.1
1.4
1
1.6
-0.7 -0.9
3.1
0.8
1.1 1.3
0.7
1.8
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Mil
lio
n b
arrels
per d
ay
Demand for Oil
1
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
92.5
93
93.5
94
94.5
95
95.5
Oil
pric
e (
US
D p
er b
arrel)
Co
nsu
mp
tio
n (
mb
pd
)
Actual demand (million barrels) Average oil price
10
Average oil demand growth 1990-2015 =1.1 mbpd Grow almost always
2015 oil demand growth
= 1.8 mbpd
IEA forecast 1.2 mbpd consumption growth EVERY year to 2020
in line with historical
average
Source IEA
Source IEA
Transport
(road and air -
consumer-led)
42.1%
Commercial
heating (mix industry and consumer)
14.9%
Industrial
usage 28.8%
Other
14.2%
Source Bloomberg
China, Oil Demand & Oil Tankers
CHINA OIL DEMAND – VERY STEADY (UNLIKE GDP GROWTH)
STRATEGIC PETROLEUM RESERVE – SPR A KEY DRIVER
CHINA CRUDE OIL IMPORT DIVERSIFICATION CONTINUES
CHINA OIL DEMAND – TO BE DRIVEN BY THE CONSUMER NOT INDUSTRY
Russia 14%
Saudi Arabia
14%
Oman 11%
Angola 10% Iraq 9%
Iran 6%
Venezuela 6%
Kuwait 4%
Brazil 3%
Kzakhstan
1%
Libya 1%
Other 20%
In China, transportation (road and air) makes up about 42% of demand for oil
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
GD
P g
ro
wth
(%
)
Im
po
rts
(m
bp
d)
Oil imports (million barrels per day) Real GDP growth (%)
Additional 110 mm bbls in 2016 (source: BP)
11
Demand for Oil
1
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
mil
lio
n b
arrels
Source Argus, FGE, Reuters, Barclays Research
Source Bloomberg
1
1
1
1 1
China & Oil Tankers – Four Reasons for Confidence
• SPR is not a luxury OR a STATIC number
• China needs 55 days coverage of consumption – so 12m bpd x 55d = 660m bbls today
• Target is comply by 2020 = 600m bbls 2015 SPR is currently 350m bbls
• Reforms have granted licences up to 1 mbpd (source: Bernstein)
• “Use it or lose it” element to the licences
• Substitution demand – new for tankers
• March 2016 – merger of teapots for procurement
• China continue to look to diversify sourcing of oil imports and decrease of domestic oil production
• Domestic production growth stagnant since 2012 (Source: Bernstein)
• Consensus is for 100k bpd requirement of imports replacing domestic production
STRATEGIC PETROLEUM RESERVE
Build out to slow 2016
C 50-110m bbls to be added = 140k bpd to 300k bpd
TEAPOT REFINERY
Refinery legislation anniversary June ’16
2016 = 50k bpd growth
DIVERSIFICATION OF SUPPLY & LIKELY
PRODUCTION PEAK
Consensus = 100k bpd
1
4
3
2
• BASE EFFECT – China consumes 11.8m (source: IEA) bpd so small % change means large no of barrels
• 500m people joined middle-class in past decade (source: McQuilling)
• Oil demand underpinned by consumer – diesel, gasoline & kerosene demand
OPERATIONAL ECONOMY
3% import growth = 210k bpd 5% import growth = 350k bpd
12
TO
TA
L 5
00
– 8
00
k b
pd
Source IEA, McQuilling, Bernstein
Demand for Oil
1
0.6
2.5 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.5
4.4 4.6 5.0
5.7
Oil Supply = High but Production Cuts Unlikely
OIL SUPPLY – SHALE PROVING TO BE VERY RESILIENT
WHO IS GOING TO MATERIALLY CUT? NEED CO-ORDINATION BETWEEN THE TOP 10 PRODUCERS = 60% WORLD SUPPLY
SHALE OIL SPEED TO PRODUCTION IS KEY OPEC QUOTAS? … OPEC HAS NEVER COMPLIED WITH QUOTAS
Supply of Oil
2
Average field development (approval to start up) time by resource [years, selected areas]
Source SBC Analysis, Rystad
USA 12.8*
Russia 11.1
Saudi Arabia
10.2
Canada 4.5
China 4.4
Iraq 4.3
UAE 2.9
Iran 2.9
FSU ex
Russia 2.9
Kuwait 2.8 million barrels per day
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Th
ou
san
ds o
f b
arrels
per d
ay
Nu
mb
er o
f o
il r
igs
Baker Hughes crude oil rig count
North Dakota crude oil production
Texas crude oil production
13
* includes bio fuel
Source IEA November 2015
Ton Miles – a Key Driver Ton Miles
3
1.2m bpd x 365 days = 440m barrels 440m barrels / 2m capacity per VLCC = 220 cargoes
220 cargoes / 4.5 annual journeys for VLCC (1) = 49 VLCCs
Asia Pacific
24 – 26
VLCCs
22 – 24
VLCCs
29 – 32
VLCCs
Exporter
Supply
Demand
Demand
Supply
Russia
China
LatAm / Caribs
U.S.
Europe
INCREMENTAL VLCC DEMAND FOR EACH 1.2 MBPD ADDITIONAL EXPORTS
52 – 54
VLCCs
48 – 50
VLCCs 48 – 50
VLCCs
Importer
Arabian Gulf to China 5,500 miles
21 days
West Africa to USA 5,000 miles
19 days
West Africa to China 9,650 miles
33 days
LatAm to China 11,500 miles
44 days
Source Morgan Stanley
Note: 1. Atlantic – Far East trade route
One way voyage durations
Order Book Dynamics – Structure - VLCC
54 62
49
30 24 23
45 45
30
-48
-25
-13
-22
-11
-1 -5 -8 -7
-16 -8 -10
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Could be scrapped (≥20 years old) depending on market levels
Must be scrapped (over 22,5 years old)
Scrapped
Forecast Additions
Additions
Net:13
Q1=9 Q2=9 Q3=8
Q4=19
Q1=12 Q2=4 Q3=4 Q4=25
Q1=10 Q2=5 Q3=5
Q4=10
Net:6 Net:40 Net:8 Net:22 Net:37 Net:36 Net:37 Net:23
VLCC – ADDITIONS, SCRAPPING, REMOVALS IMPLIED BUFFER
Supply of Vessels
4
BASE CASE
15
Source Clarkson
38 43 45
27
8 10
27
45
10
-19
-7
-20
-7 -9
-3 -6 -7
-5
-8
-17
-45
-35
-25
-15
-5
5
15
25
35
45
55
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Could be scrapped (≥20 years old) depending on market levels Must be scrapped (over 22.5 years old)ScrappedForecast AdditionsAdditions
Q1=1 Q2=4 Q3=10 Q4=12
Q1=16 Q2=10 Q3=4 Q4=15
Q1=3 Q2=4 Q3=2 Q4=1
Net:20 Net:-1 Net:10 Net:24 Net:3 Net:39 Net:25 Net:36 Net:19
Order Book Dynamics – Structure - Suezmax
SUEZMAX – ADDITIONS, SCRAPPING, REMOVALS IMPLIED BUFFER
Q1=3 Q2=4 Q3=2 Q4=1
Supply of Vessels
4
BASE CASE
16 Source Clarkson
19
12
5
14 16
14
9
4
1
21
3
14 13
1
14
4 2
7 10
2 3
3
8
17
1
8
1
6
6
2
8
3
7
3
23
-45
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Nu
mb
er o
f vessels
delivered
≥15 years old ≥17.5 years old ≥20 years old
2017 2018 2019
Order Book – Logical Fleet Renewal – VLCC
ORDERS FROM INDUSTRIAL SHIPPING ARE DIFFERENT THAN ORDERS FROM SPECULATIVE SHIPPING
SPECULATIVE SHIPPING*
Supply of Vessels
4
2016
23
6
0
5
10
15
20
25
2016 2017 2018 2019
Nu
mb
er o
f vessels
deli
vered
• Industrial players don’t order to speculate on asset value
• Industrial players run their ships on committed programs less in the spot market
*including independent owners backed by private equity 17
National Oil Companies Traditional Ship Owners Chinese Ship Owners
Source Clarkson
Source Clarkson
HUGE REDUCTION
IN SHIPPING BANK
EXPOSURE Around USD 70bn
withdrawn from shipping sector since 2008
REGULATIONSFORCE
LEVERAGE DOWN
• Banks lending flexibility severely
curtailed due to Basel II & III
• Shipping & Energy loans in distress
• Quantum of available lending capital restricted for
commercial reasons
PRIVATE EQUITY IN RETREAT
• PE exiting shipping
• PE been surprised by the lack of liquidity
implying a return to the sector as difficult to
realize
SHIP OWNERS UNDER
PRESSURE
• Other shipping segments: Dry Bulk, Offshore, Container
under severe financial pressure
• Most tanker owners have mixed fleets so pressure felt within ownership structure
SHIPYARD PRESSURE TO RESTRUCTURE
& REDUCE CAPACITY
• Low order books in all shipping segments leading to ship yard
distress
• Reforms being actively adopted by shipyards driven by
governments
Increasing Barriers to Entry Financing
5
Bank (USD bn) 2008 2014
HSH Nordbank 58 25.5
Deutsche Schiffsbank/
Commerzbank 44.8 14.7
RBS 30 12
Lloyds/HBOS 12.2 0
HVB/UniCredit 11.2 5.7
Source Marine Money + Deutsche Bank
18
DEMAND
• Agencies forecast steady growth to 2020
• Incremental expansion from Asia Pacific region
CHINA – GROWTH
• China oil demand by very diverse range of factors
• Base effect of economy consuming 12m bpd key
$ • Financing being restricted – new
barrier to entry
• Restricted access reducing vessel supply growth
SUPPLY OIL
• Supply of oil to remain elevated into 2017 with Iran and no co-ordinated production cuts
• Increased supply = increased demand for shipping
STORAGE
• Storage increasing across due to oversupply or strategic build e.g. India
• Ultimately stored crude needs to be shipped to final destination
19
• Tankers a highly cyclical sector – always repeats past mistakes
• Large vessel supply to drive freight rates lower
ASSET VALUES
• Asset values falling despite positive tanker earnings trend
• Lower NAV reduces valuation support
SLOWDOWN
OTHER
INVENTORY
• Inventory at record highs – will need to be cleared at some point thus reducing need for shipping
• Storage / contango on ships in present cycle been limited
• Worldwide shale development – unlikely outside of USA
• OPEC output cut / Middle East reduce exports
• Global GDP growth stagnant
• Tanker market - a transportation sector geared into GDP growth
CYCLICAL
BULL CASE BEAR CASE
Section 3
Our Strategy
16 20
Maximizing Value Through Information
Other VLCC Tanker Pools (Ships on the Water)
• Tankers International = Only owner-led VLCC pool
• No value leakage; no commissions Cost center
• Leading spot market oriented VLCC pool in which ship owners with vessels of similar sizes and quality participate
• Spreading information (VL Database, TI Pool App)
Source: Clarkson’s – Total 658 VLCC ships @ February 2016 Source: Company reports
Red indicates Captive or Sovereign fleet Blue indicates fleet in stock listed companies
VLCC Chartering Undertaking Leadership Role
Differentiate spot players vs industrial players
SIZE IS CRITICAL TO IMPROVE MARKET KNOWLEDGE BARRIER TO ENTRY – INFORMATION
Heidmar – VLCC Seawolf
7
Navig8 – VL8
25
China VLCC
32
1 Ship Owner, 37 Vessels
2 Ship Owner, 52
3 Ship Owner, 24
10 – 15 Ship Owner, 103
COSCO Group, 32
4 – 10 Ship Owner, 154
SK Holdings, 18
NYK, 21
Fredriksen Group, 25
Euronav NV, 28
Angelicoussis Group, 29
Bahri, 31
MOL, 32
China Merchants Grp, 35
NIOC, 37
Top 10 Owners
Control 44%
of Global
VLCC Fleet
56
40 16
21
Small owners are data deficient (267 owners)
Capital allocation strategy
CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Capex Liquidity reserve
M&A criteria – balance sheet
M&A – operational Shareholder Returns
• Approximately USD 20 million maintenance capex (Drydocks)
• $130m outstanding capex on 2 VLCC to be delivered in 1H16 – fully funded
• Retain min TWO years of operational liquidity at all times
• Maintain strong banking relationships
• Will never issue non-accretive new equity
• Additional vessels must on pro-forma basis either match or reduce break even costs
• Distribute regularly excess cash to shareholders
2
3
Strong balance sheet Leverage
• Maintain strong balance sheet through cycle
• Target 30% to 50% leverage according to where we are in the cycle
1
22
Euronav Positioned for Powerful Cash Generation
Notes:
1. Based on full year contribution of 57 ships on proportionate basis’
2. Proportionate consolidation method
3. P&L definition
WELL POSITIONED FOR STRONG CASH FLOW GENERATION
Returns to Shareholders
Return 80% of net income to shareholders (3)
Fixed Income
> USD 100 million of EBITDA (2) generated annually from fixed income contracts (FSO + TC contracts)
Breakeven (including debt service):
~ USD 27,300 / day for VLCC – OpEx / day USD 8,165
~ USD 24,000 / day for Suezmax – OpEx / day USD 7,520
264
339
493
650
1,092
0
500
1,000
1,500
+$5,000
per day
+$15,000
per day
+$25,000
per day
+$55,000
per day
Each USD 5,000 uplift (above breakeven) in both VLCC and Suezmax rates improves net
revenue and EBITDA by
USD 72MM
PRO FORMA FLEET EARNINGS CAPABILITY (EBITDA, $MM) (1)
VLCC
TCE RATES $25,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $80,000
SUEZMAX
TCE RATES $20,000 $25,000 $35,000 $45,000 $75,000
Next 12 Months Spot Days Exposure = 14,341 Days ($MM)
1
2
3
23
Section 5
Supplemental Materials
22 24
Appendix - Ton mile dynamic – still more to deliver
Europe
U.S.
LatAm
West Africa
Middle East
Asia
Source Morgan Stanley
• TRADE ROUTES NOW SET FROM ATLANTIC BASIN TO FAR EAST • REPEAL USA EXPORT BAN OPENS NEW MARKET TO TANKER SHIPPING • IRAN – POTENTIAL SHORT TERM BENEFIT FOR COMMERCIAL FLEET AS IRAN RE-ENTERS GLOBAL MARKETS
USA: infrastructure spend required to fully facilitate US exports ($1-4bn)
China domestic production likely peaked 2015 – more imports required
Key routes established
Iran impact neutral
WAF to Europe likely displaced by USA exports
Existing heavy Saudi/Iraqi to complex US refinery 25
Ton Miles
3
Appendix – Supply Manageable
MOST TANKER OWNERS HEAVILY EXPOSED TO OTHER SHIPPING
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Suezmax Aframax Product Dyr Bulk Container
0-5 VLCCs owned (120)
5-9 VLCCs owned (11)
10-14 VLCCs owned (9)
15-19 VLCCs owned (3)
20++ VLCCs owned (9)
Iranian VLCC fleet total 40
Only net 15 VLCCs to re-enter global commercial
fleet
IRANIAN FLEET RE-ADMITTANCE TO GLOBAL FLEET – NEUTRAL IMPACT
17 VLCCs
trading during sanction
to China, Turkey, India, Taiwan Syria, S Korea and Japan
4x2013, 4x2012, 6x2008, 1x2007, 2x2004
7 VLCCs
been on storage
3x2013, 1x2012, 2x2009, 1x2008
8 VLCCs
been on storage
near 3rd special survey
5x2003, 3x2002
8 VLCCs
full time storage
1993-1999 vintage
26
Source Citi
Source Clarksons
ORDER BOOK AS % OF FLEET – MANAGEABLE
Source Clarksons
Orderbook as a % of Fleet
(%)
20
56
31
39
24
52
29 25
30
39 37
10
49
29
36
8
63
18
27
16 13
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0-5 Years 5-10 Years 11-15 Years 16-20 Years +
Source Clarksons
AGE PROFILE OF VLCC FLEET – SCRAPPING TO RISE 2018+
(# of Vessels)
= 111 = 160 = 194 = 186
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
VLCC Suezmax
Supply of Vessels
4
million USD
Special Survey #1 Special Survey #2 Special Survey #3 IS Dry #4 SS #5
cost $1.5m $2m $2.5m $3.25m $4m
5 year 10 15 17.5 20 22.5 25
Years
TANKER SHIPPING – A HIGHLY REGULATED INDUSTRY
Appendix – Cost of Dry-Dock by Age Profile
Costs of surveys increase during tanker life leading to scrapping decision
Average cumulative survey cost
(17.5 21 years)
= USD 7.25 mm
Median scrap age =20 years
27
Reduction in available markets for vessels and reduced utilization
Supply of Vessels
4
SPECULATIVE SHIPPING*
2
12
3 3
31
3 4 2
5 9
17
3 6
5
2
9
1
8
1
12
1 3
9
3
23
2
16
1
23
1
-45
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Nu
mb
er o
f vessels
delivered
≥20 years old ≥17.5 years old ≥15 years old
2016 2017 2018 2019
Appendix - Order Book – Logical Fleet Renewal Suezmax
ORDERS FROM INDUSTRIAL SHIPPING ARE DIFFERENT THAN ORDERS FROM SPECULATIVE SHIPPING
Supply of Vessels
4
National Oil Companies Traditional Ship Owners Chinese Ship Owners
13 13
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2016 2017 2018 2019
Nu
mb
er o
f vessels
deli
vered
*including independent owners backed by private equity 28
Source: Clarckson
Source: Clarckson