Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland...
-
Upload
shon-morton -
Category
Documents
-
view
213 -
download
1
Transcript of Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland...
![Page 1: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Investing in Airports in Tough Economic
Times
Mark Heusinkveld28 May 2009
Lodz, Republic of Poland
European Sky over Poland
Ministry of Infrastructure
Association of Engineers and Technicians of Transport
![Page 2: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Strategic Feasibility Studies
Master Plans
Airspace &Airfield Modeling
Forecasting and Facility Requirements
Operations Plans & Financial Feasibility
Noise & Environmental Analysis
AirsideAirsidePlanningPlanning
Landrum & Brown Services
![Page 3: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Airside Airside PlanningPlanning
Cargo & LogisticsCargo & LogisticsPlanningPlanning
Forecasting
Facility Layout
Operations/Financing Plans
Marketing and Development
Strategic Feasibility Studies
Master Plans
Airspace &Airfield Modeling
Forecasting and Facility Requirements
Operations Plans & Financial Feasibility
Noise & Environmental Analysis
Landrum & Brown Services
![Page 4: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Cargo & LogisticsCargo & LogisticsPlanningPlanning
Forecasting
Facility Layout
Operations Plans
Marketing and Development
Terminal/LandsideTerminal/LandsidePlanningPlanning
Terminal/LandsideTerminal/LandsidePlanningPlanning
Programming, Schematic Design, Modeling, 3D, Gate Management
Airside Airside PlanningPlanning
Strategic Feasibility Studies
Master Plans
Airspace &Airfield Modeling
Forecasting and Facility Requirements
Operations Plans & Financial Feasibility
Noise & Environmental Analysis
Landrum & Brown Services
![Page 5: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Global Aviation Experience
![Page 6: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
North American
ACI Air Traffic Statistics by Regions
Latin America Caribbean
Europe
Africa
Middle East
Asia/Pacific
Psg: total passengers
(millions)
Cgo: total cargo
(metric tonnes 000s)
Mov: total movements
(000s)
World Map of Air Traffic Change 2007 ~ 2008
Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008
![Page 7: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Cuban Missile Crisis
Hijackings
R
Fuel Shock
R
Fuel Shock
PATCOStrike
RR
Pan Am103
Persian Gulf War
R
WTC 1993
9-11
R
Iraq War
Fuel Shock
Fuel Shock
R
Credit Crisis
Aviation System Shocks and Recoveries1960-2006 – U.S. Market
Source: Jan 2009 update Tragedy Analysis (Landrum & Brown Analysis)
![Page 8: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Worldwide Passenger Traffic History
1960-2007
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
19
60
19
62
19
64
19
66
19
68
19
70
19
72
19
74
19
76
19
78
19
80
19
82
19
84
19
86
19
88
19
90
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
Reven
ue E
np
lan
em
en
ts (
in m
illion
s)
Worldwide Total Enplanements
U.S. Total Enplanements
![Page 9: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
World Airline Traffic Forecasting: Number of Passengers1945 ~ 2030
45’~54’23.2%
Growth Rates 55’~64’
9.6%65’~74’12.6%
75’~84’5.3%
85’~94’3.6%
95’~04’4.2%
Forecasted Growth Rate:
Boeing = 4.26% Airbus= 4.30%
Source: Airport Transport Association (http://www.air-transport.org/); Boeing transformation of air transport summary outlook 2008; Airbus Global Market Forecasting 2007
![Page 10: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
2007-2015: 12 New Airports at U.S.$15.2 Billion
New Airports 12 $ 15,282 Mn
Source:090429mpk_ProjectPotentials.xls (L&B copyright )
![Page 11: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
New Airports 12 $ 15,282 Mn
New Terminal 22 $ 18,814 Mn
Source:090429mpk_ProjectPotentials.xls (L&B copyright )
2007-2015: 22 New Terminals at U.S.$18.8 Billion
![Page 12: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
New Airports 12 $ 15,282 Mn
New Terminal 22 $ 18,814 Mn
Other Exps. 31 $ 36,048 Mn
Source:090429mpk_ProjectPotentials.xls (L&B copyright )
2007-2015: 31 Expansion Projects at U.S.$36.0 Billion
![Page 13: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Planning Strategies
Understand the Market Focus on the Forecast Plan for Flexibility Anticipate Change Ensure Balanced Facilities Explore all Revenue Opportunities Build for What is Foreseen Continually Improve Performance
![Page 14: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
70 MAP 100 MAP 130 MAP 160 MAP
Use of Planning Demand Levels
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180P
assen
gers
(m
illion
s)
History Low Case Base Case High Case EK Forecast
70 MAP 100 MAP 130 MAP 160 MAP
![Page 15: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
The Effect of a Changing Fleet…
![Page 16: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Aircraft by ICAO Design Code
24.1%
10.3%63.3%
0.9%1.4%17.8%
3.5%
62.6%
0.0%16.0%
70 MAP 160 MAP
B C D E F
ICAO Design Code B:
ERJ170, E145 …
ICAO Design Code C:
B737, A320 …
ICAO Design Code D:
A300, B757, B767 …
ICAO Design Code F:
A380, An225 …
ICAO Design Code E:
A340, A330, B747, B777 …
![Page 17: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Transfer DeparturesTransfer ArrivalsO&D DeparturesO&D Arrivals
Understand the demand profile…
Transfer
Passengers
Transfer
Passengers
O&D
Passengers
O&D
Passengers
![Page 18: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Ensure Balance of Airspace withAirside, Terminal and Landside
Guangzhou
Shenzhen
Hong Kong
Macau
Zhuhai
5 Airports 3 Jurisdictions Restricted
Airspace
![Page 19: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Anticipating Change Since 1959
1959 1962 1968
1971 1996
Future
1946
![Page 20: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Explore Future Development Options
![Page 21: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Hong Kong – Airport City Concept
New T2 Terminal
New Bus Depot
Convention Center
Potential Office Development
Future Development
Ferry Terminal
Hotel
![Page 22: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Mumbai – Redevelopment on Site
![Page 23: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Explore the Potential…
![Page 24: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Develop a Vision… And build what can be justified
Maglev - Metro Subway - High Speed Rail - City Buses –
Commercial Development – Retail – Residential - Logistics
![Page 25: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
شـــكرDًا !
Thank You!Dziękuję!
Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008
![Page 26: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Total Passengers by Region2007~2008
Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008
![Page 27: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Total Cargo by Region2007~2008
Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008
![Page 28: Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110403/56649e7c5503460f94b7df45/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Total Movements by Region2007~2008
Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008