Intruments of Trade Policy 1220700221842594 9

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    5-2

    Case: Agricultural subsidies and

    development

    Rich nations spend more than $300 billion a

    year to subsidize their farmers

    Subsidies create surplus production Surplus production leads to dumping and

    depressed prices

    UN estimates producers in developing nationslose $50 billion export revenue because of

    depressed prices

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    5-3

    Agricultural subsidies and development

    Rich countries of the developed world

    subsidize farm products

    Reasons To keep commodity prices low

    To favor politically active farmers

    Consequences

    Surplus production

    Depressed world prices (a result of surplus)

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    5-4

    Instruments of trade policy

    Tariffs - oldest form of trade policy

    Specific

    Ad valorem

    Good for government Protects domestic producers

    Reduces efficiency

    Bad for consumers

    Increases cost of goods

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    Instruments of trade policy-subsidies

    Government payment to a domestic producer

    Cash grants

    Low-interest loans

    Tax breaks

    Government equity participation in the company

    Subsidy revenues are generated from taxes

    Subsidies encourage over-production,

    inefficiency and reduced trade

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    5-6

    Instruments of trade policy - Quota

    Import quota

    Restriction on the quantity of some goodimported into a country

    Voluntary export restraint (VER)

    Quota on trade imposed by exporting country,

    typically at the request of the importing country

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    Instruments of trade policy -Quota

    Benefits producers by limiting import

    competition

    Japanlimited exports to 1.85 mm vehicles/year

    Cost to consumers - $1B/year between 81 - 85.

    Money went to Japanese producers in the form

    of higher prices

    Encourages strategic action by firms in order tocircumvent quota

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    5-8

    Instruments of trade policy- local content

    Requires some specific fraction of a good to beproduced domestically

    Percent of component parts

    Percent of the value of the good Initially used by developing countries to help shift

    from assembly to production of goods.

    Developed countries (US) beginning to implement.

    For component parts manufacturer, LC Regulationsacts the same as an import quota

    Benefits producers, not consumers

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    Instruments of trade policy-administrative

    policies

    Bureaucratic rules designed to make it

    difficult for imports to enter a country.

    Japanese masters in imposing rules.

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    Instruments of trade policy-anti dumping

    policies Defined as

    Selling goods in a foreign market belowproduction costs

    Selling goods in a foreign market below fairmarket value

    Result of

    Unloading excess production.

    Predatory behavior

    Remedy: seek imposition of tariffs

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    5-12

    Political arguments for intervention

    Protecting consumers

    Genetically engineered seeds and crops

    Hormone treated beef

    Protecting human rights

    MFN

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    5-13

    Economic arguments for intervention

    Infant industry.

    Oldest argument - Alexander Hamilton, 1792

    Protected under the WTO

    Only good if it makes the industry efficient.

    Brazil auto-makers - 10th largest - wilted when

    protection eliminated

    Requires government financial assistance. Today if the industry is a good investment, global

    capital markets would invest

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    5-14

    Economic arguments for intervention

    Strategic trade policy

    Government should use subsidies to protect

    promising firms in newly emerging industries

    with substantial scale economies

    Governments benefit if they support domestic

    firms to overcome barriers to entry created byexisting foreign firms

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    Development of the world trading system

    GATT -multilateral agreement established

    under US leadership1948

    Objective is to liberalize trade by eliminating

    tariffs, subsidies, & import quotas

    19 original members grew to 120

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    Development of the world trading system

    Used Rounds of talks to gradually reduce

    trade barriers

    Uruguay Round GATT 1986-93 Mutual tariff reductions negotiated

    Dispute resolution only if complaints were

    received

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    5-17

    Disturbing trends in the world trading

    system

    Pressure for greater protectionism due to

    Increase in the power of Japans economic

    machine and closed Japanese markets US trade deficit

    GATT circumvented by many countries

    Through use of VER

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    GATT criticisms

    Economic theories dont fit the real world

    model

    US global preeminence has declined Shift from cutting tariffs to eliminating non-

    tariff barriers angered countries

    National Treatment or Most FavoredNation status results in inequalities

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    The World Trade Organization

    The WTO was created during the Uruguay Roundof GATT to police and enforce GATT rules

    Most comprehensive trade agreement in history

    Formation of WTO had an impact on

    Agriculture subsidies (stumbling block: US/EU)

    Applied GATT rules to services and intellectualproperty (TRIPS)

    Strengthened GATT monitoring andenforcement

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    The WTO

    145 members in 2003

    Represents 90% of world trade

    9 of 10 disputes satisfactorily settled Tariff reduction from 40% to 5%

    Trade volume of manufactured goods has

    increased 20 times

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    5-21

    The WTO

    Policing organization for:

    GATT

    Services

    Intellectual property

    Responsibility for trade arbitration:

    Reports adopted unless specifically rejected

    After appeal, failure to comply can result incompensation to injured country or tradesanctions

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    WTO at work

    280 disputes brought to WTO between 1995

    and 2003

    196 handled by GATT during its 50 year

    history

    US is biggest WTO user

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    5 23

    The WTO -achievements

    Telecommunications (1997)

    68 countries (90%) of world telecommunications

    revenues Pledged to open their market to fair competition

    Financial Services (1997)

    95% of financial services market 102 countries will open, their markets to varying

    degrees

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    WTO in Seattle

    Millennium round was aimed at furtherreduction of trade barriers in agriculture andservices

    WTO meeting disrupted by Human rights groups

    Trade unions

    Environmentalists Anti globalization groups

    No agreement was reached

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    Doha agenda -WTO

    Cutting tariffs on industrial goods andservices

    Phasing out subsidies

    Reducing antidumping laws

    WTO regulation on intellectual property

    should not prevent members from protectingpublic health

    TRIPS agreement

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    5 26

    Antidumping cases by WTO members

    Fig 5.1

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    Antidumping actions

    Four sectors account for 70 percent of all

    antidumping actions reported to WTO

    Metal industries

    Chemicals

    Plastics

    Machinery and electrical equipment

    Actions often initiated by politicians in thevarious countries to please strong lobbying

    groups in exchange for votes

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    Protectionism in agriculture

    Recent focus of WTO on agricultural subsides These are 3 to 5 times higher than non-

    agricultural subsidies

    Advanced nations are the strongest defenders ofthis system

    Combination of high tariffs and subsides onagricultural product

    Raises price to the consumer Reduces volume of agricultural trade

    Encourages overproduction of subsidizedproducts

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    Protection of intellectual property

    Trade related Aspects of Intellectual property

    (TRIPS)

    WTO members allowed to grant and enforce

    patents and copyrights

    This encourages innovation

    Reduces piracy rates in drugs, software music

    Expected to boost global economic rates andsocial and economic welfare around the world

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    Managerial implications

    Trade barriers act as a constraint on firm

    strategy

    May be useful to establish more production

    activities in the protected country

    Business gains from governments efforts to

    open protected markets are more than gains

    from governments efforts to protect domestic

    industries/firms