Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Transcript of Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Introduction to Governance,Politics & Policy
Week 4: Introduction to Policy Analysis
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Announcements
Lecture recordings and slides at
http://igpp.lutzkrebs.net/
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Announcements
EconometricsExam: Dec. 17, 2010
Resit: Jan. 21, 2011
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Announcements
Quantitative Methods
• Math: only subjects for week 1–4
• Statistics: all content until week 7
• Quizzes:
– Math Quiz Week 5
– Stats Quiz Week 7
• Exam:
– Math questions week 5-7 will be replaced
– Minimum math score: 7 points
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Announcements
Quantitative Methods
• Options:– Use extra time to focus on statistics till week 7
and potentially on repeating some math tasks?
– Use extra time to focus on statistics and add two
chapters that will be needed for Econometrics?
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Announcements
Introduction to Econometrics with Stata
Week 1: Repeating QM content while introducing Stata
I.e., the content serves as an additional preparationfor the QM exam.
Do you want real lectures,or a video lecture that gives flexibility in when to
watch it?
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Announcements
Volunteers for the
Education Committee?
Volunteers for theBoard of Demos?
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Reminder: Questions? Problems?
• Use the courtesy phone
"• Dial 84712
• Or 043 388 47 12 from your mobile
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Exam Prep: Sample Question 3
What is the role of a policy entrepreneur when it comes to “coupling”?
Describe this role with an example.
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Exam Prep: Sample Question 4
A policy analysis serves to provide a balanced evaluation of a policy or policy proposal with
the goal of improving it. Discuss.
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Agenda
• How policies happen…
• Policy analysis and who needs it…
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Perception is key
• Perception influences the chances anidea survives
– “National mood” as a virtual entity
– “National mood” as a price tag
• Shapers of perception
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Kingdon’s model
Problems
Solutions
Environment
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Kingdon’s model
Problem stream
Policy stream
Political stream
Problemwindows
Political windows
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
The effects of windows
• Entrepreneurs / bounty hunters
– Overloading: “Bring your problems to
work” day
• Failure: too many people trying to dotoo many things
• Success: reduction or push
• Outcomes unpredictable?
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Coupling
• Combinations of
– Problems and solutions
– Solutions and a good political climate
– All three
• Entrepreneurs
– Can get a hearing
– Connections or skill
– Persistence
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What about content?
• We have covered:
– Processes
– Opportunities
– Sales people
• We have not actually talked about
“products”
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Policy Analysis
• Equally based in science and “art, craftand persuasion”
• Extends far beyond the policy processin perspective, but addresses theprocess itself
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Types of questions
• “What is the problem for which a solution issought?”
• “What course of action should be chosen to solvethe problem?”
• “What are the outcomes of choosing that course of action?”
• “Does achieving these outcomes help solve theproblem?”
• “What future outcomes can be expected if othercourses of action are chosen?” (p. 3)
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Policy analysis according to Dunn
PolicyPerformance
PreferredPolicies
ExpectedPolicy
Outcomes
PolicyProblem
ObservedPolicy
Outcomes
Problem
Structuring
Problem
Structuring
Problem
Structuring
Problem
Structuring
Evaluation
Monitoring
Forecasting
Recommen-
dation
8/8/2019 Introduction to Governance, Politics & Policy, Week 4: Policy Analysis
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Policy analysis according to Dunn
PolicyPerformance
PreferredPolicies
ExpectedPolicy
Outcomes
PolicyProblem
ObservedPolicy
Outcomes
Problem
Structuring
Problem
Structuring
Problem
Structuring
Problem
Structuring
Evaluation
Monitoring
Forecasting
Recommen-
dation
Ex anteProblem finding
Ex anteProblem solving
Ex post Problem finding
Ex post Problem solving
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Method mix
• Problem structuring
• Descriptive monitoring• Predictive forecasting
• Evaluations
• Prescriptive recommendations
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Maastricht Graduate School of Governance
Observations on policy analysis
• Policy analyses are not the last word
• They cannot be value free
• Their content is just as in important astheir source and environment
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How do we relate to policy analysis?
• Commissioner
• Author• Recipient
• Bystander
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Questions?
Phone 84712