Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental...
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Transcript of Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental...
Introduction to Analytical Activism
Classic Activism
Analytical Activism
Tree of Environmental Problems
Local Pollution
Conservation Parks
ClimateChangeFreshwater
Scarcity
Deforestation
OzoneDepletion
FreshwaterPollution
SoilDeterioration
ChemicalPollution
EasyProblems
DifficultProblems
ClimateChange
A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method
An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense
The Universal Problem Solving Process
1. Identify the patient
2. Describe the symptoms
3. Perform a diagnosis
4. Determine the treatment
5. Apply the treatment
6. Measure the outcome
Solving the Sustainability Problem
1. Identify the patient
2. Describe the symptoms
3. Perform a diagnosis
4. Determine the treatment
5. Apply the treatment
6. Measure the outcome
The human system
Global environmental unsustainability
Excessive impact in the IPAT equation
A. Find the proper practicesB. Tell the people about themC. If that fails, exhort and inspire
(done)
Solution failure
The IPAT Equation
Impact = Population x Affluence x Technology
Population is total people.Affluence is consumption per person per year.Technology is impact per unit of consumption.
The IPAT Equation
Impact = Population x Affluence x Technology
Population is total people.Affluence is consumption per person per year.Technology is impact per unit of consumption.
With solution failure due to an error in step 2, 3 , or 4
What part of the system is not well?
The environmental movement
An environmentalist is anyone who is actively helping to solve environmental problems.
- Grassroots activists- Career professionals in government- Politicians- Well known retired vice-presidents- Academics- Corporate managers- Writers- Famous people- Many more
Solving the Solution Failure Problem
1. Identify the patient
2. Describe the symptoms
3. Perform a diagnosis
4. Determine the treatment
5. Apply the treatment
6. Measure the outcome
The environmental movement
Unable to solve the sustainability problem
The Collapse of Easter Island
The Same Pattern Continues Today
Solving the Solution Failure Problem
1. Identify the patient
2. Describe the symptoms
3. Perform a diagnosis
4. Determine the treatment
5. Apply the treatment
6. Measure the outcome
The environmental movement
Unable to solve the sustainability problem
Use of the wrong tools on difficult problems, due to use of Classic Activism. This causes pushing on low leverage points.
Use of the right tools on difficult problems, due to use of Analytical Activism. This will allow pushing on high leverage points.
(not yet done)
Solution success ?
Solving the Sustainability Problem
1. Identify the patient
2. Describe the symptoms
3. Perform a diagnosis
4. Determine the treatment
5. Apply the treatment
6. Measure the outcome
The human system
Excessive impact in the IPAT equation
A. Find the proper practicesB. Tell the people about themC. If that fails, exhort and inspire
(done)
Solution failure
Systemic change resistance
Application of the right analytical tools will lead to pushing on high leverage points.
(to be done)
Solution success
With solution success due to a correct diagnosis
Global environmental unsustainabilityFalse
DiagnosisCorrect
Diagnosis
Assessment of Process MaturityProblem Domain
9. The analysis centers on a social system structural analysis.
10. Low and high leverage points have been identified and tested.
11. Why change resistance is so successful has been determined.
Problem Domain9. The analysis centers on a social system structural analysis.
10. Low and high leverage points have been identified and tested.
11. Why change resistance is so successful has been determined.
Analytical Activism5. Formal definition, management, and continuous improvement of a process that fits the problem.
6. A true analysis of the problem is performed.
7. The Scientific Method is used to prove all key assumptions.
8. Learning from past failures and successes is maximized.
Analytical Activism5. Formal definition, management, and continuous improvement of a process that fits the problem.
6. A true analysis of the problem is performed.
7. The Scientific Method is used to prove all key assumptions.
8. Learning from past failures and successes is maximized.
Classic Activism1. Identify the problem.
2. Find the proper practices.
3. Tell people the truth about the problem and the proper practices.
4. If that fails, exhort and inspire the people to support the proper practices.
Classic Activism1. Identify the problem.
2. Find the proper practices.
3. Tell people the truth about the problem and the proper practices.
4. If that fails, exhort and inspire the people to support the proper practices.
The Two Basic Approaches to Solving Activist Problems
Classic ActivismAn intuitive approach
Find the proper
practices
Tell the people the truth about the proper practices
and why they should follow them
If that doesn’t work, exhort and inspire the people
to follow the proper practices
Pushing on low leverage points
Success on easy problems
Failure on difficult problems
Analytical ActivismAn analytical approach
A process that fits the
problem
Simulation modeling
Experimentation to support the
Scientific Method
Pushing on high leverage points
Success on easy problems
Success on difficult problems
DifficultProblems
EasyProblems
The Alternative of Analytical Activism
Classic Activism
Analytical Activism
Tree of Environmental Problems
Local Pollution
Conservation Parks
ClimateChangeFreshwater
Scarcity
Deforestation
OzoneDepletion
FreshwaterPollution
SoilDeterioration
ChemicalPollution
A process that fits the problem
Simulation Modeling
Experimentation
Strategy Maps
Correct Diagnosis
Correct Treatment
Pushing on High Leverage Points
Tree of Life
A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method
An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense
The Dueling Loops of the Political
Powerplace
The Proper Coupling Package
Politician Decision Ratings
Introduction to the New Paradigm
For Further Study
The Dueling Loops paper, 29 pages
The Dueling Loops book, 142 pages
The Analytical Activism book, 389 pages