Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental...

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Introduction to Analytical Activism Classi c Activi sm Analytic al Activism Tree of Environmental Problems Local Pollution Conservat ion Parks Climate Change Freshwater Scarcity Deforestation Ozone Depletion Freshwater Pollution Soil Deterioration Chemical Pollution Easy Problem s Difficu lt Problem s Clima te Chang e A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense

Transcript of Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental...

Page 1: Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental Problems Local Pollution Conservation Parks Climate Change.

Introduction to Analytical Activism

Classic Activism

Analytical Activism

Tree of Environmental Problems

Local Pollution

Conservation Parks

ClimateChangeFreshwater

Scarcity

Deforestation

OzoneDepletion

FreshwaterPollution

SoilDeterioration

ChemicalPollution

EasyProblems

DifficultProblems

ClimateChange

A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method

An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense

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The Universal Problem Solving Process

1. Identify the patient

2. Describe the symptoms

3. Perform a diagnosis

4. Determine the treatment

5. Apply the treatment

6. Measure the outcome

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Solving the Sustainability Problem

1. Identify the patient

2. Describe the symptoms

3. Perform a diagnosis

4. Determine the treatment

5. Apply the treatment

6. Measure the outcome

The human system

Global environmental unsustainability

Excessive impact in the IPAT equation

A. Find the proper practicesB. Tell the people about themC. If that fails, exhort and inspire

(done)

Solution failure

The IPAT Equation

Impact = Population x Affluence x Technology

Population is total people.Affluence is consumption per person per year.Technology is impact per unit of consumption.

The IPAT Equation

Impact = Population x Affluence x Technology

Population is total people.Affluence is consumption per person per year.Technology is impact per unit of consumption.

With solution failure due to an error in step 2, 3 , or 4

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What part of the system is not well?

The environmental movement

An environmentalist is anyone who is actively helping to solve environmental problems.

- Grassroots activists- Career professionals in government- Politicians- Well known retired vice-presidents- Academics- Corporate managers- Writers- Famous people- Many more

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Solving the Solution Failure Problem

1. Identify the patient

2. Describe the symptoms

3. Perform a diagnosis

4. Determine the treatment

5. Apply the treatment

6. Measure the outcome

The environmental movement

Unable to solve the sustainability problem

Page 6: Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental Problems Local Pollution Conservation Parks Climate Change.

The Collapse of Easter Island

Page 7: Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental Problems Local Pollution Conservation Parks Climate Change.

The Same Pattern Continues Today

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Solving the Solution Failure Problem

1. Identify the patient

2. Describe the symptoms

3. Perform a diagnosis

4. Determine the treatment

5. Apply the treatment

6. Measure the outcome

The environmental movement

Unable to solve the sustainability problem

Use of the wrong tools on difficult problems, due to use of Classic Activism. This causes pushing on low leverage points.

Use of the right tools on difficult problems, due to use of Analytical Activism. This will allow pushing on high leverage points.

(not yet done)

Solution success ?

Page 9: Introduction to Analytical Activism Classic Activism Analytical Activism Tree of Environmental Problems Local Pollution Conservation Parks Climate Change.

Solving the Sustainability Problem

1. Identify the patient

2. Describe the symptoms

3. Perform a diagnosis

4. Determine the treatment

5. Apply the treatment

6. Measure the outcome

The human system

Excessive impact in the IPAT equation

A. Find the proper practicesB. Tell the people about themC. If that fails, exhort and inspire

(done)

Solution failure

Systemic change resistance

Application of the right analytical tools will lead to pushing on high leverage points.

(to be done)

Solution success

With solution success due to a correct diagnosis

Global environmental unsustainabilityFalse

DiagnosisCorrect

Diagnosis

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Assessment of Process MaturityProblem Domain

9. The analysis centers on a social system structural analysis.

10. Low and high leverage points have been identified and tested.

11. Why change resistance is so successful has been determined.

Problem Domain9. The analysis centers on a social system structural analysis.

10. Low and high leverage points have been identified and tested.

11. Why change resistance is so successful has been determined.

Analytical Activism5. Formal definition, management, and continuous improvement of a process that fits the problem.

6. A true analysis of the problem is performed.

7. The Scientific Method is used to prove all key assumptions.

8. Learning from past failures and successes is maximized.

Analytical Activism5. Formal definition, management, and continuous improvement of a process that fits the problem.

6. A true analysis of the problem is performed.

7. The Scientific Method is used to prove all key assumptions.

8. Learning from past failures and successes is maximized.

Classic Activism1. Identify the problem.

2. Find the proper practices.

3. Tell people the truth about the problem and the proper practices.

4. If that fails, exhort and inspire the people to support the proper practices.

Classic Activism1. Identify the problem.

2. Find the proper practices.

3. Tell people the truth about the problem and the proper practices.

4. If that fails, exhort and inspire the people to support the proper practices.

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The Two Basic Approaches to Solving Activist Problems

Classic ActivismAn intuitive approach

Find the proper

practices

Tell the people the truth about the proper practices

and why they should follow them

If that doesn’t work, exhort and inspire the people

to follow the proper practices

Pushing on low leverage points

Success on easy problems

Failure on difficult problems

Analytical ActivismAn analytical approach

A process that fits the

problem

Simulation modeling

Experimentation to support the

Scientific Method

Pushing on high leverage points

Success on easy problems

Success on difficult problems

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DifficultProblems

EasyProblems

The Alternative of Analytical Activism

Classic Activism

Analytical Activism

Tree of Environmental Problems

Local Pollution

Conservation Parks

ClimateChangeFreshwater

Scarcity

Deforestation

OzoneDepletion

FreshwaterPollution

SoilDeterioration

ChemicalPollution

A process that fits the problem

Simulation Modeling

Experimentation

Strategy Maps

Correct Diagnosis

Correct Treatment

Pushing on High Leverage Points

Tree of Life

A formal, analytical approach based on the Scientific Method

An informal, intuitive approach based on tradition and common sense

The Dueling Loops of the Political

Powerplace

The Proper Coupling Package

Politician Decision Ratings

Introduction to the New Paradigm

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For Further Study

The Dueling Loops paper, 29 pages

The Dueling Loops book, 142 pages

The Analytical Activism book, 389 pages