Intl. Portfolio Investment, Jitu

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    INTERNATIONAL

    PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT

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    OBJECTIVE

    The very objective of portfolio investment

    management is to select an optimal portfolio

    where the risk-return trade-off is optimal.

    This denotes a position where return is

    maximum with a given level of risk or where

    the risk is minimum with a given level of

    return.

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    CONCEPT OF OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO

    There are various concepts being underlined

    for selection of an optimal portfolio by striking

    a balance between risk and return.

    The concepts are as follows:-

    (a) The concept of probability

    -for measurement of return

    (b) The concept & measurement of risk

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    Measurement of returns

    (a)The concept of probability:-

    No finance manager knows inadvance what would be the actual returns

    from an investment.

    Probabilities are merely numbers that

    represent the likelihood of chance of

    occurrence of various outcomes.

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    The probability distribution may be either

    Discrete or Continuous.

    Discrete distribution has only finite no. of

    outcomes, whereas in case of a continuous

    distribution the outcome is not finite.

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    Expected return from a single investment

    The expected return is the mean of probabilitydistribution. It is the probability-weighted

    average of outcomes.

    Expected returns from international investment

    In case of international investment, the

    estimation of expected returns takes into a/c alsothe changes in the exchange rate. And so, thereturn from a security abroad in terms of a homecountry currency(HC) is calculated.

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    Portfolio return

    Portfolio return is the weighted average of the

    expected return from different securitiesexisting in the portfolio.

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    (b) The concept and measurement of risk:-

    Risk for a single investment

    Risk represents the variance between the actualreturns and the expected returns. After thecomputation of the expected value or the mean, it isnecessary to measure the variance or the deviation ofoutcomes from the mean.

    The deviation is known as dispersion or the spread ofprobability distribution.

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    Portfolio risk

    The investor tries to reduce the risk involved in

    the existing portfolio through diversification.

    Diversification means simultaneous investment in

    other securities may be within the country or

    may be outside the country.

    But diversification will help reduce risk only whenthe co-variance/correlation between the existing

    portfolio and the new portfolio is negative.

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    cont.

    After the calculation of covariance/correlation

    an investor needs to find out the S.D of a

    portfolio.

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    Limitation to diversification:

    Systematic risk vs Unsystematic riskPortfolio risk can be reduced through

    diversification.

    Diversification reduces only a particular type of

    risk.

    A particular asset or a portfolio of asset possesses

    two types of risk: one being the unsystematic risk

    that can be diversified away, and other being thesystematic risk that cannot be diversified away

    through investment in domestic securities.

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    The unsystematic risk is firm-specific and so simultaneousinvestment in other securities may lower it.

    Systematic risk is a macro-economic risk, it is inherent in

    the performance of the economy as a whole. so it is similarfor all the securities in the market. This is why it is alsoknown as the market risk.

    It cannot be reduced through diversification in the

    domestic market although systematic risk too can bereduced through international investment as the macro-economic fundamentals vary in different countries.

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    Optimisation of portfolio

    Optimisation of portfolio means selection of a

    particular portfolio that involves minimum risk

    with a given return or maximum return with a

    given risk

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    Benefits of International Portfolio

    InvestmentAn investor opts for international portfolio

    investment because international

    diversification of portfolio of assets helps

    achieve a higher risk-adjusted return. This

    means that an investor is able to reduce risk

    and raise return through international

    investment

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    Reduction in risk:-

    International investment is superior to domesticinvestment in so far as the former helps diversify risk.

    Different sectors in an individual economy are in one wayor the other interrelated and as a result, are collectivelysubject to the same impact of the overall domestic policy.

    The returns from investment in different sectors of an

    individual economy respond jointly to prospects fordomestic activity and to uncertainty about these prospects.

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    Cont

    On the other hand, the macroeconomicfundamentals of different countries differwidely and do not witness exactly the same

    stage of business cycle.

    All these means that foreign investment

    generates diversification benefits that cannotbe reaped by investing In the domesticcountry alone.

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    Better risk-return trade-off:-

    The international investment helps raise the

    return with a given risk or helps lower the riskwith a given rate of return.

    This happens because more profitable

    investment avenues exist in an enlarged

    universe.

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    Problems of international investment

    It is an established fact that the internationaldiversification of portfolio is gainful. But thereare also some problems that mar an optimal

    international diversification of portfolio. Theseproblems are broadly:

    1.unfavourable exchange rate movement

    2.frictions international financial market3.manipulation of security prices

    4.unequal access to information