Recession in India vs Recession in USNSB by jitu bordoloi(NSB)
Intl. Portfolio Investment, Jitu
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Transcript of Intl. Portfolio Investment, Jitu
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8/9/2019 Intl. Portfolio Investment, Jitu
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INTERNATIONAL
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
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OBJECTIVE
The very objective of portfolio investment
management is to select an optimal portfolio
where the risk-return trade-off is optimal.
This denotes a position where return is
maximum with a given level of risk or where
the risk is minimum with a given level of
return.
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CONCEPT OF OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO
There are various concepts being underlined
for selection of an optimal portfolio by striking
a balance between risk and return.
The concepts are as follows:-
(a) The concept of probability
-for measurement of return
(b) The concept & measurement of risk
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Cont..
Measurement of returns
(a)The concept of probability:-
No finance manager knows inadvance what would be the actual returns
from an investment.
Probabilities are merely numbers that
represent the likelihood of chance of
occurrence of various outcomes.
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Cont..
The probability distribution may be either
Discrete or Continuous.
Discrete distribution has only finite no. of
outcomes, whereas in case of a continuous
distribution the outcome is not finite.
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Cont..
Expected return from a single investment
The expected return is the mean of probabilitydistribution. It is the probability-weighted
average of outcomes.
Expected returns from international investment
In case of international investment, the
estimation of expected returns takes into a/c alsothe changes in the exchange rate. And so, thereturn from a security abroad in terms of a homecountry currency(HC) is calculated.
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Cont.
Portfolio return
Portfolio return is the weighted average of the
expected return from different securitiesexisting in the portfolio.
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Cont.
(b) The concept and measurement of risk:-
Risk for a single investment
Risk represents the variance between the actualreturns and the expected returns. After thecomputation of the expected value or the mean, it isnecessary to measure the variance or the deviation ofoutcomes from the mean.
The deviation is known as dispersion or the spread ofprobability distribution.
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Cont
Portfolio risk
The investor tries to reduce the risk involved in
the existing portfolio through diversification.
Diversification means simultaneous investment in
other securities may be within the country or
may be outside the country.
But diversification will help reduce risk only whenthe co-variance/correlation between the existing
portfolio and the new portfolio is negative.
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cont.
After the calculation of covariance/correlation
an investor needs to find out the S.D of a
portfolio.
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Limitation to diversification:
Systematic risk vs Unsystematic riskPortfolio risk can be reduced through
diversification.
Diversification reduces only a particular type of
risk.
A particular asset or a portfolio of asset possesses
two types of risk: one being the unsystematic risk
that can be diversified away, and other being thesystematic risk that cannot be diversified away
through investment in domestic securities.
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Cont..
The unsystematic risk is firm-specific and so simultaneousinvestment in other securities may lower it.
Systematic risk is a macro-economic risk, it is inherent in
the performance of the economy as a whole. so it is similarfor all the securities in the market. This is why it is alsoknown as the market risk.
It cannot be reduced through diversification in the
domestic market although systematic risk too can bereduced through international investment as the macro-economic fundamentals vary in different countries.
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Optimisation of portfolio
Optimisation of portfolio means selection of a
particular portfolio that involves minimum risk
with a given return or maximum return with a
given risk
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Benefits of International Portfolio
InvestmentAn investor opts for international portfolio
investment because international
diversification of portfolio of assets helps
achieve a higher risk-adjusted return. This
means that an investor is able to reduce risk
and raise return through international
investment
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Cont......
Reduction in risk:-
International investment is superior to domesticinvestment in so far as the former helps diversify risk.
Different sectors in an individual economy are in one wayor the other interrelated and as a result, are collectivelysubject to the same impact of the overall domestic policy.
The returns from investment in different sectors of an
individual economy respond jointly to prospects fordomestic activity and to uncertainty about these prospects.
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Cont
On the other hand, the macroeconomicfundamentals of different countries differwidely and do not witness exactly the same
stage of business cycle.
All these means that foreign investment
generates diversification benefits that cannotbe reaped by investing In the domesticcountry alone.
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Cont..
Better risk-return trade-off:-
The international investment helps raise the
return with a given risk or helps lower the riskwith a given rate of return.
This happens because more profitable
investment avenues exist in an enlarged
universe.
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Problems of international investment
It is an established fact that the internationaldiversification of portfolio is gainful. But thereare also some problems that mar an optimal
international diversification of portfolio. Theseproblems are broadly:
1.unfavourable exchange rate movement
2.frictions international financial market3.manipulation of security prices
4.unequal access to information