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Transcript of Internet Services
Internet Services Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2004-2009 [HR.CTD012.V1U1-2009] Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research 11/21/2009 http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
2
Internet Services
Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Contents
List of Figures & Tables ........................................................................................................ 3
Legacy / Non-Mobile Market ................................................................................................. 4
Mobile & Non-Mobile Market ............................................................................................... 6
APJII Numbers – Comparison ............................................................................................ 10
Growth ................................................................................................................................. 12
Telkom DSL ......................................................................................................................... 15
Telkom Dial-Up ................................................................................................................... 16
First Media .......................................................................................................................... 17
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 18
3
Internet Services
Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 Legacy / Non-Mobile Internet Subscribers 2004-2009 ......................................... 4 Figure 2 Portion of Subscribers of Legacy Internet Market 2009 ...................................... 5 Figure 3 Portions of Legacy Internet Market 2004-2009 .................................................... 5 Figure 4 Legacy & Mobile Internet Intensive (MI-I) Subscribers ...................................... 6 Figure 5 Portion / Composition of Legacy & MI-I Market .................................................. 6 Figure 6 Composition of Internet Market 2009 (Legacy & MI-I) ........................................ 7 Figure 7 Legacy & Mobile Internet (MI) Subscribers.......................................................... 8 Figure 8 Portion / Composition of Legacy & MI Market ..................................................... 8 Figure 9 Composition of Internet Market 2009 (Legacy & MI) .......................................... 9 Figure 10 Comparison of APJII’s & Recordable Legacy Internet Subscribers ................ 10 Figure 11 Comparison of APJII’s & Compound MII+Legacy Internet Subscribers ........ 10 Figure 12 Comparison of APJII’s & Compound MI+Legacy Internet Subscribers .......... 11
Table 1 Legacy / Non-Mobile Internet Subscribers 2004-2009 ........................................... 4 Table 2 Portion / Percentage of Legacy Internet Market .................................................... 4 Table 3 Number of Subscribers of Legacy Internet, MI, and MI-I Market ........................ 7
Figure Table 1 Growth of Compound MII+Legacy Internet Subscribers ......................... 12 Figure Table 2 Growth of MII+Legacy Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ................................ 12 Figure Table 3 Growth of Compound MI+Legacy Internet Subscribers .......................... 13 Figure Table 4 Growth of MI+Legacy Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ................................. 13 Figure Table 5 Growth of Legacy Internet Subscribers .................................................... 14 Figure Table 6 Growth of Legacy Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ........................................ 14 Figure Table 7 Growth TLKM’s DSL Subscribers 2004-2009........................................... 15 Figure Table 8 Growth of TLKM’s DSL Subs. (AGR & CAGR) ........................................ 15 Figure Table 9 Growth TLKM’s Dial-Up Subscribers 2004-2009 ..................................... 16 Figure Table 10 Growth of TLKM’s Dial-Up Subs. (AGR & CAGR) ................................ 16 Figure Table 11 Growth of First Media Subscribers 2007-2009 ....................................... 17 Figure Table 12 Growth of First Media Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) .............................. 17
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Figure 1
SL ial‐Up
Table 1
SL ial‐Up
Table
50
1,00
1,50
2,000
2,500
I
rch rvirtual.com
Leg
Legacy /
2004E 11,000 457,000 400,000
Legacy /
2004E 1.27 52.65 46.08
2 Portion
0
00,000
00,000
00,000
0,000
0,000
20
InternTL
m/harewos
gacy /
/ Non-Mob
2005E 31,000 500,000 440,000
Non-Mob
2005E 3.19 51.49 45.31
n / Percen
04E 2005E
net SubLKM DSL
/ Non
bile Inter
2006E93,000680,000470,000
bile Inter
2006E7.48 54.71 37.81
ntage of L
E 2006E 2
bscribTLKM Di
n-Mo
rnet Subs
2007E241,00662,00500,00
net Subs
2007E17.1847.1835.64
Legacy In
2007E 200
bers - Lial-Up O
obile
scribers 2
E 2000 645,0 574,0 550,
cribers 2
E 20036.32.31.
nternet M
8E 2009No
LegacyOthers
Internet S
Mar
2004-2009
08E 20000 97000 50000 62
2004-2009
08E 2046 445 209 2
Market
ov
y
4
Services
ket
9
009Nov 79,000 00,000 20,000
009Nov 46.64 23.82 29.54
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Figure 2 P
Figur
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
Per
cent
age
M
rch rvirtual.com
Portion of
re 3 Porti
T
Oth29
Mar
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Marke
m/harewos
f Subscri
ions of Le
TLKM Dial-Up24%
hers9%
rket Co
t Com
ibers of L
egacy Int
-
ompos
mpositi
Legacy In
ernet Ma
TL
sition
ion 200
nternet M
arket 2004
LKM DSL47%
2009
04-200
TLKMTLKMOthe
Internet S
Market 200
4-2009
9
M DSLM Dial-Up
ers
5
Services
09
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Figure 4 L
Figure
1,
2,
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
2
rch rvirtual.com
Mob
Legacy &
e 5 Portio
0
,000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
Le
91.9%
8.1%
2007E
Mark
m/harewos
bile &
Mobile I
on / Comp
2007E
egacy &
ket ComLL
& Non
nternet I
position o
2008E
& MI-I
70.2%
29.8%
2008E
mpositLegacyLegacy
n-Mo
Intensive
of Legacy
2009Nov
I Mark
tion: My
MI-I
obile
e (MI-I) Su
y & MI-I M
ket
ML
32.8%
67.2%
2009N
MI-I &
Internet S
Mar
ubscriber
Market
MI-ILegacy
%
%
ov
6
Services
ket
rs
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Legacy MI‐I MI
Table
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Figure 6
e 3 Numb
rch rvirtual.com
Composit
1,12,
ber of Sub
m/harewos
tion of In
2007E ,403,000 122,843 ,764,746
bscribers
MI-I67%
CompMI-I
nternet M
of Legac
ositionI & Leg
Market 20
2008E 1,769,000750,939 5,875,528
cy Interne
Legacy33%
n 2009gacy
09 (Legac
et, MI, an
9
Internet S
cy & MI-I
2009No2,099,004,295,2410,836,6
nd MI-I M
7
Services
I)
ov 00 49 67
Market
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Figu
Figur
2
4
6
8
10
12,
14,
2
rch rvirtual.com
ure 7 Leg
re 8 Porti
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
L
33.7%
66.3%
2007E
Mark
m/harewos
acy & Mo
ion / Com
2007E
Legacy
ket CoL
obile Inte
mposition
2008E
y & MI
23.1%
76.9%
2008E
omposiLegacy
Legacy
ernet (MI
of Legac
2009Nov
Mark
ition: My
MI
) Subscri
cy & MI M
et
ML
16.2%
83.8%
2009N
MI &
Internet S
ibers
Market
MILegacy
%
%
ov
8
Services
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Figure 9
rch rvirtual.com
Compos
m/harewos
ition of I
MI84%
CompMI
nternet M
Le
%
osition& Leg
Market 20
egacy16%
n 2009gacy
009 (Lega
9
Internet S
acy & MI)
9
Services
)
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A
Figure 10
gure 11 Co
1,087,
868,0
2004
rch rvirtual.com
APJI
Compari
ompariso
,4281,500
000 971,
4E 200
2,000,000
1,525,843
2007E
m/harewos
I Nu
ison of APS
on of APJS
0,0001,700
0001,243
5E 200
A
APJ
mbe
PJII’s & Rubscribe
JII’s & Coubscribe
0,000
2,000
3,000 1,40
06E 20
APJII
3,000,000
2,519,939
2008E
JII Le
rs – C
Recordabrs
ompound rs
0,000
3,00
03,0001,76
07E 20
Legacy
6,394
egacy+MII
Comp
ble Legac
MII+Leg
00,000
3,5
69,0002,0
008E 20
3,500,000
,249
2009E
Internet S
paris
cy Interne
gacy Inter
00,000
99,000
009E
0
10
Services
son
et
rnet
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Fig
wos.Resear/www.ligar
gure 12 C
rch rvirtual.com
ompariso
2,000,000
4,167,746
2007E
m/harewos
on of APJS
7
APJ
JII’s & Coubscribe
3,000,000
7,644,528
2008E
JII Le
ompoundrs
egacy+MI
d MI+Lega
3,500,000
12,935,66
2009E
Internet S
acy Inter
0
7
11
Services
rnet
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Figur
Fig
wos.Resear/www.ligar
re Table
gure Tab
1
2
3
4
5,
6,
7,
#Su
A
11111
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
1 Growth
ble 2 Grow
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
ubs. 1,5
#Subs
AGRCAGR
0.020.040.060.080.0
100.0120.0140.0160.0180.0
#Subs
m/harewos
h of Comp
wth of MI
2007
2007525,843
scribe
200865.265.2
scribe
pound MI
II+Legacy
2008
2002,519
ers - Le
105%
822
rs - Le
II+Legac
y Subscri
82
089,939
egacy
%
egacy
G
cy Interne
ibers (AG
2009
20096,394,24
& MII
2009153.7104.7
& MII
Internet S
Grow
et Subscr
GR & CAG
9
12
Services
wth
ribers
GR)
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Fi
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ure Table
igure Tab
2
4
6,
8,
10,
12,0
14,0
#Sub
A
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
3 Growth
ble 4 Grow
0
2,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
2bs. 4,1
#Sub
AGRCAGR
0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0
#Sub
m/harewos
h of Com
wth of MI
2007
200767,746
bscribe
200883.483.4
bscribe
mpound M
I+Legacy
2008
2007,644
ers - L
76%
844
ers - Le
MI+Legacy
y Subscrib
8
084,528
egacy
%
egacy
y Interne
bers (AG
2009
200912,935,6
& MI
200969.276.2
& MI
Internet S
et Subscri
R & CAG
667
13
Services
ibers
GR)
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Figur
Figure T
5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,50
#Sub
A
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
re Table 5
Table 6 Gr
0
500,000
000,000
500,000
00,000
00,000
2bs. 1,4
#S
AGRCAGR
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
#S
m/harewos
5 Growth
rowth of
2007
2007403,000
Subscr
200826.126.1
Subscr
h of Legac
Legacy S
2008
2001,769
ribers
22%
811
ribers
cy Intern
Subscribe
2
089,000
- Lega
%
- Lega
net Subscr
ers (AGR
2009
20092,099,00
acy
200918.722.3
acy
Internet S
ribers
& CAGR)
00
14
Services
)
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Figure
Figure T
1,0
#Su
A
1
1
2
2
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
Table 7 G
Table 8 G
0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000900,000000,000
2004ubs. 11,000
#Sub
2AGR 18CAGR 18
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
#Sub
m/harewos
Growth T
Growth of
2004 2005
4 20050 31,000
bscrib
005 281.8 2081.8 19
bscrib
TLKM’s D
f TLKM’s
5 2006 2
200693,000
bers - T
145%
006 200.0 190.8 1
bers - T
T
SL Subsc
DSL Sub
2007 200
2007241,000 6
TLKM
%
2007 259.1 179.8 1
TLKM
Telko
cribers 20
bs. (AGR &
8 2009
2008 2645,000 97
DSL
2008 267.6 576.7 1
DSL
Internet S
om D
004-2009
& CAGR)
20099,000
20091.7845.4
15
Services
DSL
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F
Fi
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Figure Ta
igure Tab
4
5
6
7
#S
A
Per
cent
age
#
rch rvirtual.com
able 9 Gr
ble 10 Gr
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
2
2004ubs. 457,00
#Sub
2AGR 9CAGR 9
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
#Subs
m/harewos
rowth TLK
owth of T
2004 2005
4 200500 500,000
bscrib
005 29.4 39.4 2
scriber
KM’s Dia
TLKM’s D
5 2006 2
20060 680,000
ers - TUp
006 236.0 -22.0 1
rs - TL
Telk
al-Up Sub
Dial-Up Su
007 2008
2007662,000 5
TLKM
2007 2-2.6 -113.1
LKM D
kom D
bscribers
ubs. (AGR
2009
2008 2574,000 500
Dial-
2%
2008 213.3 -15.9
Dial-Up
Internet S
Dial-
2004-2009
R & CAG
0090,000
200912.891.8
p
16
Services
-Up
9
R)
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wos.Resear/www.ligar
Figure T
gure Tabl
1
12
14
16
#Su
A
11111
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
Table 11 G
le 12 Gro
020,00040,00060,000
80,000
00,000
20,000
40,000
60,000
ubs. 4
#Sub
AGRCAGR
0.020.040.060.080.0
100.0120.0140.0160.0180.0
#Sub
m/harewos
Growth of
wth of Fi
2007
200740,991
bscribe
94
2008168.4168.4
bscribe
f First Me
irst Medi
2008
200110,0
ers - F
4%
844
ers - F
edia Subs
a Subscr
20
08000
First M
First M
First
scribers 2
ibers (AG
009
2009155,000
Media
200940.994.5
Media
Internet S
t Me
2007-2009
GR & CAG
0
17
Services
dia
9
GR)
18
Internet Services
Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Abbreviations & Notes
AGR Annual Growth Rate
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
2008E End of 2008
2009Nov As of November 2009
MI Mobile Internet i.e. Internet access via cellular & FWA networks
MI-I Mobile Internet - Intensive
FWA Fixed Wireless Access
DSL Digital Subscriber Line
APJII
Asosiasi Penyelenggara Jasa Internet Indonesia i.e. Indonesian Internet Service Provider Association
TLKM
PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (PT. Telkom)