Interface CRC Research on the Interface Zone … · 1 © BUSHFIRE CRC LTD 2006 Interface CRC...
Transcript of Interface CRC Research on the Interface Zone … · 1 © BUSHFIRE CRC LTD 2006 Interface CRC...
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Interface
CRC Research on the Interface Zone
Bob LeicesterCSIRO
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A Risk Model for Attack within the Interface Zone
Project D1
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OBJECTIVE
Develop a model to predict the probability that a particular house will be destroyed by wildfire within the next 50 years
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Aerometrex
Eyre Peninsula Survey
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Target house
house
house
shed
tree
Wildland vegetation
wind
fence
Interface
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Modes of destruction (groups)
• direct radiation
• ember entry
• ember burn-through
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Radiation
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ά
Wind Vw
0.3 Vw
Canopy top
FLAME
To
Understoreyfuel
z
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Target house
house
house
shed
tree
Wildland vegetation
wind
fence
Interface
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DATA
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FAILURE OF GLAZING SYSTEMS
qcrit = 10 – 50 kw/m2
Depends on:
• glass used
• frame material
• sealant
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DECKING
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Fence tests, Mogo
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WATER TANKS
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House to house fire spread
Radiation emitted from house
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500
Time (sec)
Rad
iatio
n (k
W/m
2 )
2 metre eaves2 metre window4 metre eaves4 metre window6 metre eaves6 metre window
Window failure
Peak flaming from window at eaves
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Ember Entry
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EMBER ENTRYHazard parameters• embers• people• zone of house• gap-factors
G = gap factor
= Σ Ag(wg – 2)0.5Ag = gap area
wg = gap width
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Ember Burn-through
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EMBER BURN THROUGH
Hazard parameters• embers• radiation• people• construction
Examples: reentrant corners, ledges of windows and doors
Construction factor = fn{ geometry, material }
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REFERENCE HOUSE
(50m from wildland edge, hot fire)
Probability of destruction
• from radiation = 0.05
• from ember burn through = 0.10
• from ember entry = 0.30
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0.80Fire brigade only
0.90Occupant or neighbouronly
0.30No one
Proportion of reference houses saved
Present
Probability that someone will defend house = 0.60
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building safety
Rural/urban fuel management
Community education
Building codes
Town planning
AS:3959
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CRC RESEARCH
• Preparation
• Prevention
• Response
• Recovery
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PREPARATION
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A1.3 Fuel Classification
A2.1 Fire Weather
Fuel reduction
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Characteristic Patterns
[Photos courtesy of Doug Ford]
B3.1, B3.2 Biodiversity
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© BUSHFIRE CRC LTD 2006InterfaceB2.1 smoke movement
B2.1 Smoke composition
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D2.2 Smoke toxicity
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D1 Building construction
C1.1, C7.1 Community education
D3 Volunteerism
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PREVENTION
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C3.1 Arson
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RESPONSE
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A3.1 Suppression techniques
A1.1 monitoring progress
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Mogo
D2.4 Equipment
D4 Respiratory health
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Heart Rate
Trunk movt.
BreathRate
SkinTemp
LifeShirt®
D2.1 Physiological factors
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D2.3 Safe decisionsD5 IMT communications
C4.1 Risk communication
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RECOVERY
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Data CollectionAssist Coronial Enquiries
Fire scenarioCommunity response
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Building response
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THANK YOU