Integration Science” for NCDI Poverty

63
Integration Science” for NCDI Poverty DGHE CVD Program in Global NCDs and Social Change Harvard Medical School Fundamentals of Global Health McGill University 10 November 2020 Gene Bukhman, MD, PhD

Transcript of Integration Science” for NCDI Poverty

Page 1: Integration Science” for NCDI Poverty

“Integration Science”for NCDI Poverty

DGHE CVD

Program in Global NCDs and Social Change Harvard Medical School

Fundamentals of Global Health McGill University

10 November 2020

Gene Bukhman, MD, PhD

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What are NCDs

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Daar$et$al.$Nature.$2007$

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NCD(I)s in GBD and in GHE include: CVD, Neoplasms, CRD, Diab, Endocrine, Uro, Renal, GI, MSK, MNS, Sense Organ, Skin, Congenital, Heme, Oral + Injury

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https://www.knowablemagazine.org/article/health-disease/2018/finlands-bold-push-change-heart-health-nationhttps://www.sevencountriesstudy.com

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https://www.knowablemagazine.org/article/health-disease/2018/finlands-bold-push-change-heart-health-nation

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Box1:HistoryofNCDcategoryatWHO

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Since the 1980s, WHO has tried to simplify this complexity by focusing on small number of diseases and their shared risk factors. By the time of the 2011 HLM this was distilled down to 4 diseases and 4 shared modifiable risk factors: 4 x 4

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Reduction Target

Age of Population

1 Death fromCVD, Cancer, Diabetes, Lung Disease

25% age 30-70

2Harmful

Alcohol Use10% 15+

3 Physical Inactivity 10%10–19;≥18

4 Salt 30% ≥18

5 Tobacco 30%10–19;≥18

6High

Blood Pressure25% ≥18

7 Diabetes and Obesity ≥ 0% 10–19;≥18

National System Response

8 Treatment for Cardiovascular Risk50%

coverageage ≥ 40 +

10-yr risk ≥ 30%

9 Medicines and Technologies 80% availability

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The Problem:

The Global Framework for NCDsis not designed specificallyfor Low-Income Countries

or the Poor in Middle Income Countries

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www.ncdipoverty.org

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September, 2011

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UN GATHERING ON NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASES CONSIDERS WAYS TO COMBAT SCOURGENew York, Sep 20 2011 10:05PMDelegates at a United Nations high-level conference on non-communicable diseases (NCDs) today considered strategies to combat the preventable, mostly lifestyle- and diet-related illnesses that have become major killers across the world.Participants at the two-day meeting, hosted by the General Assembly, yesterday adopted a declaration calling for a multi-pronged campaign by governments, industry and civil society to set up by 2013 the plans needed to curb the risk factors behind the four groups of NCDs – cardiovascular diseases, cancers, chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes.

Steps range from price and tax measures to reduce tobacco consumption to curbing the extensive marketing to children, particularly on television, of foods and beverages that are high in saturated fats, trans-fatty acids, sugars, or salt. Other measures seek to cut the harmful consumption of alcohol, promote overall healthy diets and increase physical activity.

The overall annual death toll from NCDs is estimated at 36 million worldwide, which means it comprises more than 60 per cent of the broader total of 57 million.

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$11.4 billion per year

Scaling up action against noncommunicable diseases: How much will it cost? Geneva: World Health Organization; 2011

What has been the Global Ask?

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What has been the Global Ask?

• $11.4 billion per year ($1/capita in LICs, $1.5/capita in LMICs, and $3/capita in UMICs)

• $2 billion for population-based interventions

– tobacco, alcohol, salt, public awareness re: diet and physical activity

• $10 billion for individual-based interventions

– VIA for cervical cancer, multi-drug therapy (e.g polypill for < 30 10 year cardiovascular risk), glycemic control for DM

Scaling up action against noncommunicable diseases: How much will it cost? Geneva: World Health Organization; 2011

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~ 90% of global ask for individual treatment focused on vascular disease

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Reduction Target

Age of Population

1 Death fromCVD, Cancer, Diabetes, Lung Disease

25% age 30-70

2Harmful

Alcohol Use10% 15+

3 Physical Inactivity 10%10–19;≥18

4 Salt 30% ≥18

5 Tobacco 30%10–19;≥18

6High

Blood Pressure25% ≥18

7 Diabetes and Obesity ≥ 0% 10–19;≥18

National System Response

8 Treatment for Cardiovascular Risk50%

coverageage ≥ 40 +

10-yr risk ≥ 30%

9 Medicines and Technologies 80% availability

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Trends in Development Assistance for Health (1990-2014)

Source: IHME. http://vizhub.healthdata.org/fgh/

**

*

UN High-level meeting on NCDs

UN General Assemblyon HIV/AIDS

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This strategy might be effective e.g. in Russia and elsewhere,

where ischemic heart diseaseand stroke are dominant.

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Ischaemic)heart)disease)

Cerebrovascular)disease)

Other&uninten*onal&injuries&

Alcohol&use&disorders&

Poisonings&

Road&traffic&accidents&

Unipolar)depressive)disorders)Violence&Self:inflicted&injuries&

Cirrhosis&of&the&liver&

Tuberculosis&Hearing&loss,&adult&onset&Osteoarthri*s&Falls&

Inflammatory&heart&diseases&(k)&HIV/AIDS&Nutri*onal&Deficiencies&Lower&respiratory&infec*ons&Trachea,&bronchus,&lung&cancers&Stomach&cancer&Congenital&anomalies&Chronic&obstruc*ve&pulmonary&

disease&Diabetes&mellitus&Drownings&Drug&use&disorders&Refrac*ve&errors&Colon&and&rectum&cancers&Breast&cancer&Alzheimer&and&other&demen*as&Fires&Bipolar&disorder&War&Schizophrenia&Hypertensive&heart&disease&Rheumatoid&arthri*s&Macular&degenera*on&and&other&(j)&Asthma&Obsessive:compulsive&disorder&Maternal&condi*ons&Neonatal&infec*ons&and&other&condi*ons&(i)&Panic&disorder&Migraine&Pep*c&ulcer&disease&Pancreas&cancer&Leukaemia&Cataracts&Prematurity&and&low&birth&weight&Nephri*s&and&nephrosis&Cervix&uteri&cancer&Corpus&uteri&cancer&Glaucoma&Mouth&and&oropharynx&cancers&Skin&diseases&Birth&asphyxia&and&birth&trauma&Epilepsy&Ovary&cancer&Dental&caries&Insomnia&(primary)&Rheuma*c&heart&disease&Post:trauma*c&stress&disorder&Liver&cancer&STDs&excluding&HIV&Endocrine&disorders&Oesophagus&cancer&Lymphomas,&mul*ple&myeloma&Bladder&cancer&Diarrhoeal&diseases&Meningi*s&Edentulism&Parkinson&disease&Prostate&cancer&Mul*ple&sclerosis&Upper&respiratory&infec*ons&Benign&prosta*c&hypertrophy&Melanoma&and&other&skin&cancers&Other&neoplasms&Hepa**s&B&(g)&Appendici*s&O**s&media&Hepa**s&C&(g)&Periodontal&disease&Childhood:cluster&diseases&Tropical:cluster&diseases&Malaria&&:&&&&

&1,000&&

&2,000&&

&3,000&&

&4,000&&

&5,000&&

&6,000&&

&:&&&& &10&& &20&& &30&& &40&& &50&& &60&& &70&& &80&& &90&&

DALYs)

Rank)

Rank)Ordering)of)Burden)of)Disease)by)CondiAon)in)Russia)(2004)GBD)esAmates)in)DALYs))

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This strategy is unlikely to be effective in the poorest populations …

Mathers et al. Global Burden of Disease. 2004 Update. WHO. 2008

Poorest Billion People by Multidimensional Poverty Index in 2011

… where NCDIs are part of the long tail of disease burden distribution

Generated for the Lancet NCDI Poverty CommissionMap by Benjamin Hennig www.viewsoftheworld.net

Data by Gisela Robles, Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative

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http://www.ghdonline.org/ncd-synergies-kigali2013

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WHO GCM/NCD Dialogue on NCDs, Poverty, and Development (April 20–21, 2015)

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www.NCDIpoverty.org

NCDIPOVERTYCommission

THE LANCET

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Meeting Objectives and Agenda Report Process and Timeline

Boston Meeting 3 October, 2017

NCDIPOVERTYCommission

THE LANCET

Reframing Noncommunicable Diseases and Injuries for the Poorest Billion

www.ncdipoverty.org

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Objectives of the Commission

• Assess the nature of the NCDI Burden among the poorest billion people in the world

• Work with a group of countries to develop actionable pro-poor pathways for expansion of NCDIs interventions

• Assure that sustainable financing is not a bottleneck to just NCDI treatment and prevention among the world’s poorest

• Expand the NCD movement and the global health agenda to urgently address the lived realities of NCDIs among the poorest billion

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Two Intersecting Dimensions of the Project

Global Messages:

Global Working Groups

Country Impact:

16 National NCDI Poverty Commissions/

Groups

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Health-sector interventions scored for cost-e!ectiveness and equityHighly Equitable and Cost-E!ective Interventions

All Interventions Scored for Cost-E!ectiveness and Equity

High Equity – Very High Cost-E!ectiveness

Very High Equity – High Cost-E!ectiveness

Very High Equity – Very High Cost-E!ectiveness

High Equity – High Cost-E!ectiveness7

18

85

86

39

36

40

46

2

4

5

15

16

76

8182

89

90

70

98

68

120

49

50

51

53

74

124

54

72

112

31

100

114

115

116

125

150

151

152

153

156

157

137

Neoplasms82

89

Opportunistic screening for cervical cancer using visual inspection or HPV DNA testingand treatment of precancerous lesions with cryotherapySurgical treatment of early stage colorectal cancer

90 Treatment of early stage colorectal cancer with generic chemotherapy, with curative intentMental, neurological, and substance abuse disorders

69 Management of depression and anxiety disorders with psychological and generic antidepressant therapy

Injuries162

162

Urgent, de!nitive surgical management of orthopedic injuries

Other noncommunicable diseases31 Childhood vaccination series (hepatitis B)

100 Childhood vaccination series (rubella)114 Cataract extraction and insertion of intraocular lens115 Repair of cleft lip and cleft palate116 Repair of club foot125 Surgery for trachomatous trichiasisInjuries137 Basic skin grafting

CardiovascularManagement of acute critical limb ischemia with amputation as a last resort7Use of percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarctionwhere resources permit18

Neoplasms76

81

School based HPV vaccination for girls

Early detection and treatment of early-stage cervical cancer

Diabetes, urogenital, blood, and endocrine disorders

120Treatment of congenital endocrine or metabolic disorders that have highincidence rates and for which management is feasible in limited resource settings

Other noncommunicable diseases72 Management of osteomyelitis, including surgical debridement for

refractory cases

112Provide iron and folic acid supplementation to pregnant women, as well as food/caloric supplementation to pregnant women in food insecure households

Cardiovascular

Diabetes, urogenital, blood, and endocrine disorders

Neoplasms

Mental, neurological, and substance abuse disorders

Other noncommunicable diseases

Injuries

Provision of aspirin for all cases of suspected acute myocardial infarction2

4

5

15

36

39

85

86

40

46

16

49

50

51

52

53

74

124

Medical management of acute, decompensated heart failureMedical management of heart failure with diuretics, beta-blockers, ACEi, and mineralocorticoid antagonistsSecondary prophylaxis with penicillin for rheumatic fever or established RHD

Treatment of acute pharyngitis to prevent rheumatic fever

Surgical treatment of early stage breast cancer with curative intent

Treatment of early stage breast cancer with generic chemotherapy, with curative intent

70

98Provision of harm reduction services to people who inject drugsManagement of epilepsy using generic anti-epileptic medications and psychosocial treatment

In settings where sickle cell disease is a public health concern, universal newborn screening

Management of Type 1 Diabetes

Relief of urinary obstruction by catheterization or suprapubic cystostomy

Prophylaxis against bacterial infections and malaria for those with sickle cell disease

Shunt for hydrocephalus

Combination therapy for individuals with moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis

Repair of perforations (e.g., perforated peptic ulcer)

Management of bowel obstruction

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Colostomy

Hernia repair, including emergency surgery

Removal of gallbladder, including emergency surgery

Appendectomy

181

182

183

Trauma-related amputations

Trauma laparotomy

184

187

188

Tube thoracostomy

Placement of external !xator and use of traction for fractures

Irrigation and debridement of open fractures

Fracture reduction

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High Equity Very High Equity

Very

High

Cost-

E"ec

tiven

ess

High

Cost-

E"ec

tiven

ess

Cost-

e"ec

tiven

ess c

atego

ry

Equity category

4

3

2

1

1 2 3 4

No data

Does notapply

Does not apply

Cardiovascular diseaseDiabetes, urogenital, blood,and endocrine disorders

NeoplasmsChronic respiratory disorders

Other and unspeci!ed NCDsMental, neurological, andsubstance abuse disorders

InjuriesCross-cutting services (rehabilitation,palliative care

Cause groups

Cost-e"ectiveness data from Disease Control Priorities, Third Edition1 with additional equity analysis by this Commission. All interventions are identi!ed and described in more detail in Appendices 2.B and 2.C.1 Jamison DT, Gelband H, Horton S, Jha P, Mock CN, Nugent R. Disease Control Priorities, Third Edition (Volume 9). Washington, DC: World Bank Publications, 2018.

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ReferralHospital

HealthPromotion

Prevention Chronic Care CurativeTreatment

First-level(District)Hospital

HealthCenter

Community

ReferralHospital

HealthPromotion

Prevention Chronic Care CurativeTreatment

First-level(District)Hospital

HealthCenter

Community

Global Action Plan “Best Buys”Interventions Prioritized

by National NCDI Poverty Commissions

4 x 4 conditions associated with behavioral risks (Category 1)4 x 4 conditions NOT associated with behavioral risks (Category 2)

4 x 4 conditions associated with multiple causal factorsother NCDs and injuries (Category 3)

Global Action Plan “Best Buys” and Interventions Prioritized by National NCDI Poverty Commissions – a Complementary Agenda

Condition categories addressed by interventions

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Referral Hospital

Health Center

++

Prospective Integrated Care Teams (ICTs) at di!erent levels of the health system

Cardiothoracic Surgical TeamCritical and Palliative Care Team

Gynecologic Surgical TeamInternal Medicine Inpatient Team

Ophthalmic Outpatient Care TeamOrthopedic Surgical Team

Pediatric Inpatient Care TeamSpecialized Surgical Team

Interventional Cardiology Team

First-Level HospitalAdult Inpatient Care Team

Complex ID Outpatient TeamEmergency/High Dependency Team

General Surgical Team

Ophthalmic Outpatient Care TeamRehabilitation Service Team

Severe Mental Health Outpatient TeamSevere NCD Outpatient Team

Women’s Health Outpatient TeamNewborn Screening Team

Acute/Women’s Care Team Dental TeamChronic Care Team

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Severe NCD Outpatient Team(PEN-Plus)

Chronic Care Team(PEN)

First-Level Hospital

Health Center

++

Screening and management of diabetes among at-risk adultsManagement of epilepsy, including long-term management with generic anti-epileptics

Management of depression and anxiety with psychological and antidepressant therapy

Long term management of ischemic heart disease, stroke, and peripheral vascular disease Prophylaxis against bacterial infections and malaria for those with sickle cell diseaseProvision of harm reduction services to people who inject drugs

Provide iron and folic acid supplementation to pregnant women, as well as food/caloric supplementation to pregnant women in food insecure households

Psychosocial support and counseling services for individuals with serious health problems and their caregivers

Low-dose inhaled corticosteroids and bronchodilators for asthma and COPD Essential palliative care and pain control measures

Secondary prophylaxis with penicillin for rheumatic fever or established RHD

Screening and management of albuminuric kidney disease

Management of post-valve replacement patients requiring warfarinInhaled corticosteroids and bronchodilators for severe, persistent asthma and COPDManagement of stable breast cancer requiring tamoxifenManagement of chronic myeloid leukemia requiring imatinib therapy

Cardiac surgery for children and young adults with rheumatic heart diseaseCardiac surgery for children and young adults with correctable congenital heart disease

Management of advanced malignancies and other end-stage NCDs with pain and palliative care

Medical management of chronic heart failureManagement of type 1 diabetes

Combination therapy for individuals with moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis

General Surgical Care Team

Management of acute critical limb ischemia with amputation as a last resortRelief of urinary obstruction by catheterization or suprapubic cystostomyAppendectomyRemoval of gallbladder, including emergency surgeryHernia repair, including emergency surgeryColostomyManagement of bowel obstructionRepair of perforations (e.g., perforated peptic ulcer, typhoid ileal perforation)Management of osteomyelitis, including surgical debridement for refractory cases

Fracture reductionIrrigation and debridement of open fractures

Placement of external !xator and use of traction for fracturesTube thoracostomyTrauma laparotomy

Trauma-related amputations

Burr hole to relieve acute elevated intracranial pressure

ICTsInterventions prioritized by national NCDI Poverty Commissions* Additional highly equitable and cost-e!ective NCDI interventions**

Referral Hospital

Specialized Surgical TeamCardiovascular diseaseDiabetesNeoplasmsChronic respiratory disorders

Other and unspeci!ed NCDsMental, neurological, and substance abuse disorders

InjuriesCross-cutting services (rehabilitation, palliative care)

Cause groups

Examples of selected ICTs at di!erent levels of the health system

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Projected health !nancing capacity vs. essential Universal Health Coverage (EUHC) costsin low-income Poorest Billion countries, 2017-2030

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$32

$84

$100

20302029202820272026202520242023202220212020201920182017

EUHC cost for all conditions including NCDs and injuries

EUHC cost for infectious, maternal, child, and reproductive health

Per c

apita

healt

h !na

ncing

capa

city (

US$)

NCDI

EUHC

gap

range of projected health !nancing capacity with constant revenue generation and government expenditures on health at current levels

range of projected health !nancing capacity with linear increasesin revenue generation and government expenditures on health 3% per year annual per capita GDP growth

4% per year annual per capita GDP growth6% per year annual per capita GDP growth

3% per year annual per capita GDP growth4% per year annual per capita GDP growth6% per year annual per capita GDP growth

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0

1000

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000Poorest Billion

Countries

Other andUnspeci!ed

Countries

HIV

Milli

ons o

f 201

7 US d

ollars

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000 M

illion

s of 2

017 U

S doll

ars

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Milli

ons o

f 201

7 US d

ollars

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Milli

ons o

f 201

7 US d

ollars

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Maternal & Child Health

PoorestBillionCountries

Other and Unspeci!ed Countries

Other and Unspeci!ed

Malaria

“Poorest Billion”Countries

NCDs

“Poorest Billion” Countries

Other andUnspeci!ed

Countries

DAH to “poorest billion” and other countries by condition – 1990–2016

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Prioritize conditions and interventions

Phase 1Situation analysis

and priority-setting

Develop models for integrated delivery of priority interventions

Phase 2Delivery Model

Design

Establish training sites and national operational plans

Phase 3Initial

Implementation

partnerships to support scale-up

Phase 4National Scale-up

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Tanzania

Ethiopia

AfghanistanNepal

Chhattisgarh

KenyaDemocraticRepublicof Congo

Zambia

Malawi

Rwanda

UgandaSierra Leone

Liberia

Haiti

GuatemalaBurkina Faso

Ghana

Benin

CameroonNigeria

Zimbabwe

Madagascar

Mozambique

Cambodia

Namibia

Lesotho

Phase 4 – National scale-up

Phase 2 – Delivery model design

Phase 1 – Situation analysis & priority-setting

Application to initiate pending

Phase 3 – Initial implementation

NCDI Poverty Network Participation and Interest – September 2020

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https://www.afro.who.int/publications/who-pen-and-integrated-outpatient-care-severe-chronic-ncds-first-referral-hospitals

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