Integrating Predictive Analytics as a Core Component of ... · 14/07/2016  · Integrating...

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Integrating Predictive Analytics as a Core Component of Student Success at Large Public University Rick Sluder, Vice Provost for Student Success July 14, 2016

Transcript of Integrating Predictive Analytics as a Core Component of ... · 14/07/2016  · Integrating...

Integrating Predictive Analytics as a

Core Component of Student

Success at Large Public University

Rick Sluder, Vice Provost

for Student SuccessJuly 14, 2016

Objectives Today …

MTSU’s integration of predictive analytics

Using data to inform strategies and actions

Creating momentum thru weekly updates

and reports

MTSU: The Place

The campus … is amazing and beautiful

o $700 mil in capital construction

o Culture

MTSU: Our Students

• 22,511

• 21.9 ACT

• 50% Pell-eligible

• 73.2% retention

• 50% six-year completion

MTSU’s Foundational Guide

Goals

1. MTSU will recruit students who value student

success and have the potential to achieve in a student-

centered culture.

2. MTSU will enhance the academic experience of

students to better ensure success.

3. MTSU will facilitate student success through innovation

and the use of data-informed best practices.

Primary Initiatives

1. Advising enhancements

2. Course redesign

3. Tutoring

4. Communication plans and

systems, including performance

metrics

Advising Enhancements

47 new advisors• 260/1

Predictive analytics system• Education Advisory Board, Student Success

Collaborative (EAB SSC)

• AKA, “SSC Campus”

Advising Approaches: Old and New

1. Old: Volunteer, or forced

2. New: ID at-risk students for outreach and

targeted interventions

Transforming Advising …

SSC launch 10-29-14

Within 1-2 weeks, became a top user

Importance of utilization at start-up

Importance of strategic application as usage

matures

How?

Leadership

Veteran users vs. new

Creation of habits

Transforming Advising …

How? (continued)

Regular reports, disseminated widely!

How? Regular Reports at Unit Level …

Transforming Advising …

Moving from number of contacts to

strategic application of analytics

Asking each unit to identify two campaigns

that would generate easy wins

Development of campus-wide calendar of

campaigns

Transforming Advising (cont) …

Education about analytics

What %?

What %?

What %?

Transforming the Campus …

Understanding predictive courses

And their relationship to student success

MTSU’s Most Predictive Course: HIST 2020

The Power of Powerful Instruction

Transforming the Campus …

The importance of

Weekly updates

Tracking metrics on weekly basis

Caseload management approach!!

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2013 Students

Registered for Fall 2014

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2014 Students

Registered for Fall 2015

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2015 Students

Registered for Fall 2016

% point

diff from

prev year

First-time Freshmen 69.6 74.4 76.1 1.7

New Transfers 63.3 68.9 70 1.1

Freshmen, Transfer Retention as of 07-04-16

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2013 Students

Registered for Fall 2014

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2014 Students

Registered for Fall 2015

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2015 Students

Registered for Fall 2016

% point

diff from

prev year

Continuing Freshmen 59.4 63.6 64.9 1.3

Continuing Freshman Retention as of 07-04-16

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2013 Students

Registered for Fall 2014

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2014 Students

Registered for Fall 2015

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2015 Students

Registered for Fall 2016

% point

diff from

prev year

Sophomores 73.1 76 77.3 1.3

Sophomore Retention as of 07-04-16

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2013 Students

Registered for Fall 2014

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2014 Students

Registered for Fall 2015

Week 24, Percent of Fall

2015 Students

Registered for Fall 2016

% point

diff from

prev year

First-time Freshmen 69.6 74.4 76.1 1.7

CBAS 70.3 73.5 75.8 2.3

CBHS 69.6 75.3 76.5 1.2

COB 62.5 73.8 71.8 -2

COE 80.4 84.8 79.4 -5.4

CLA 67.6 69.9 77.5 7.6

ME 74.1 78.5 80.5 2

UC 67.9 73.1 74 0.9

First-time Freshman Retention as of 07-04-16

Results to Date …

Record increases in persistence, retention,

progression!!