Challenges of Integrating Biophysical Information into Agricultural Sector Models
Integrating Climate Risks in Agricultural Value …...Integrating Climate Risks in Agricultural...
Transcript of Integrating Climate Risks in Agricultural Value …...Integrating Climate Risks in Agricultural...
Integrating Climate Risks in Agricultural Value Chains : Policy
and Management Dr. A.K Enamul Haque SANDEE Advisor and
Professor, East West University Presented at the Regional Consultation Workshop on Bridging the Climate Information and Communication Gaps for Effective Adaptation Decisions: An Integrated Climate
Information Management System jointly organized by The Institute of Public Policy, South Asian Network for Development and Environmental Economics and Department of
Meteorology of Sri Lanka Colombo, 21-22 June 2016
Agricultural Value Chain
• From production to consumption changes in agricultural produces
– Transformation
• Physical volumes
• Monetary values
• Value chain
– Analysis of value creation at every state of transformation.
Value chain
• Affected by
– Weather
• Bad weather vs good weather
– Technology
• Improved technology vs traditional technology
• Energy use in agriculture
– Climate risks
• Long term changes in temperature
• Climate Variability
• Loss and Damages
Risks to agriculture
• Long term changes in temperature
– Rainfed agriculture
– Nature’s role compromised
• Climate Variants
– Reduces agricultural output
– Crop losses
• SOCE – slow onset climate events
– Loss and damages.
No of Natural Disasters since 1900
Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html
No of Natural Disasters by Continents
Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html
Economic Damages since 1900 Constant 2014 $
Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html
Damages by Flood, Drought and Storm
(constant 2014 $)
Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html
Loss and Damage in Agriculture
Loss and Damage by sub-sectors
Loss and Damage in crops by Disasters
Loss and Damage in Livestock by Disasters
Loss and Damage in Fisheries by Disasters
Production Loss by regions
Policies and Strategies
• Dealing with risks – Production risks
• Early Warning Systems for agriculture – Need to change – forecasts by fortnights – Geocoding of warnings – Adaptations
– Financial risks • Insurance schemes • Adaptations
• Redefining agricultural disasters – Loss and damages
• Beyond adaptations • Rehabilitation/compensation schemes