Inside NetQin Mobile Inc. (NYSE: NQ) - By iChinaStock
-
Upload
ichinastock -
Category
Technology
-
view
3.626 -
download
0
description
Transcript of Inside NetQin Mobile Inc. (NYSE: NQ) - By iChinaStock
INSIDE
INSIDE
NETQIN MOBILE
iChinaStock.com profiles Chinese firms that are publicly-listed or may list soon in overseas markets
REPORT BY
© March 2011 iChinaStock
NYSE: NQ
INSIDE
NetQin Mobile Inc. uses a freemium model to sell mobile security services. NetQin claims that its users are virtually all “smartphone” users, but many definitions of the term would likely classify their users as feature-phone or low-end smartphone users.
NetQin’s three main services are: Mobile security Mobile productivity Personalized cloud services
Initial stock price range from $9.50 - $11.50 USD. At the midpoint, NetQin will raise $75 million at a $475 million valuation. Aims to list with the ticker name “NQ” and Piper Jaffray as its underwriter
IMPORTANT NOTE: It is difficult to obtain accurate statistics on China’s mobile market. NetQin appears to have commissioned to companies, Sino-MR and Frost & Sullivan, to provide “3rd party statistics,” but the quality and objectivity of the reports is questionable. Still, much of the data in this report (and NetQin’s F-1) are from these sources, accompanied by additional analysis from iChinaStock.
SUMMARY
INSIDE
NetQin founded and NetQin 1.0 (Chinese version), an Anti-virus
software for mobile phones, launched
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Oct. - NetQin Mobile Guard (Chinese version) a free
mobile security software--launched
Sept. - ~30 million subscribers in more than 200 countries
and regions
NetQin submits updated listing application to SEC
with proposed financing of $75 million �
~10 million subscribers in 200 countries and regions
Apr. - $20 million funding from investors, Sublicense to Options Media Group in North America
~200,000 subscribers in 100 countries and regions, NetQin 2.0
(Chinese version) launched
Oct.- Number of users exceeded 60 million
CCTV exposé alleges NetQin conspires with Feilu
to plant viruses on customer’s phones, delays
NetQin IPO
NetQin was warned and deducted credit by telecom
partner China Mobile due to its inadequate fee notices for users
Dec. - NetQin Anti-virus (Chinese version) and NetQin
Mobile Manager (Chinese version) preloaded on Nokia
and Amoi smart-phones.
Jun. – Sequoia, Linsha River invest $3 million in Qin
Network�
TIMELINE Nov. - Partnership with
PhoneGuard to launch in North American markets
INSIDE
NETQIN USERS
Net
Qin
Use
rs (
Milli
ons)
15.2
35.6
71.7
86.0
5.5
12.0
25.4 30.3
1.0 1.1 3.2 3.7
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
2008Q4 2009Q4 2010Q4 2011Q1
Registered users
MAU
MPU
(MAU= monthly active users and MPU= monthly paying users ) Source: NetQin F1 file
INSIDE
MARKET SHARE I
The consulting firm Frost & Sullivan reports that NetQin had 68% market share with 49 million “activated users” in China. NetQin “activated users” includes users of any of NetQin’s security products. IMPORTANT NOTE: This data is suspect as much of Frost & Sullivan’s report displays questionable objectivity and the firm previously presented an award to NetQin. It was likely commissioned by NetQin to produce the report, as is the case with most of the “3rd party statistics” on NetQin.
Frost & Sullivan: Market Share of Activated Users* by Provider
Key: • Unit: 10,000 • Percent
*Activated users is the total amount of users who activated mobile security software after installation Source: Frost & Sullivan
INSIDE
MARKET SHARE II
iResearch used a sample of 5338 “representative users” in Nov-Dec 2010 to measure market share for mobile security products. The mobile product in question for NetQin here is its “NetQin Mobile Guard.” This data was likely commissioned by Qihoo (NYSE: Qihu), a competitor to NetQin.
iResearch: Market Share for Mobile Security Products
Source: iResearch iUserTracker
360 Mobile Safe (by Qihoo) 55.6%
NetQin Mobile Guard 8.5%
Kingsoft Mobile Guard 4.8%
Other 9.5%
360 mSafe (by Qihoo) 6.1%
INSIDE
MARKET SHARE III Enfodesk: Market Share for Mobile Security Products
(Q4 2010)
Source: Enfodesk
INSIDE
NetQin �
Free & Paid �
Mobile Anti-Virus�
Mobile Manager�
Free� Mobile Guardian �
Symbian �
Android�
Windows Mobile�
iPhone �
BlackBerry�
Source: NetQin official website. Note English and Chinese products vary in some instances. �
PRODUCT AVAILABILITY
INSIDE
SMARTPHONE OR FEATURE-PHONES? NetQin claims that, “Substantially all of our users are smartphone users, which we believe have attractive demographic characteristics.” The problem is that there is no one industry-standard definition of “smartphone,” but NetQin seems to be stretching the definition. NetQin produces applications for the most advanced mobile operating systems (OS) like Apple’s iOS and Google’s Android, but does not disclose the percentage of its users for each mobile OS. iChinaStock believes that the majority of NetQin’s users are using feature-phones or ‘low-end smartphones’ (e.g., Nokia phones running Symbian). NetQin has reached agreements with many such handset manufacturers so that their products come pre-installed on the phones. Because these phones lack a mature app paid marketplace or mobile payment options, NetQin is still largely dependent upon mobile payment service providers and telecom partners to bill its customers, though it is attempting to reduce that dependency.
INSIDE
Viruses by Mobile Operating System (2010)
Symbian 69.10%
Java 2 Platform, Micro Edition (J2ME)
27.30%
Android 2.40%
Windows Mobile 0.70%
Blackberry 0.30%
iPhone 0.10%
Source: NetQin “Cloud Safe” Data Analyis Center
According to NetQin, the vast majority of viruses on mobile are found on the Symbian and Java 2 Platform (J2ME). It is therefore likely that these operating systems are the focus for NetQin’s products.
INSIDE
PRODUCT DISTRIBUTION
Pre-installation: NetQin, Nokia, Samsung, Sony Ericsson mobile phone manufacturers all have models that come pre-installed with NetQin. NetQin plans to continue with pre-installation partnerships in overseas promotions
Products are available as a direct download on the official NetQin website, which is
available in multiple languages.
After negative media publicity and accusations of installation of viruses onto users phones through pre-installed software, Nokia temporarily removed its NetQin applications on their online store, but has since restored it re-allowing its customers access products through this channel.
Source: NetQin F1 filing
INSIDE
Source: NetQin F1 file
1.1 1.2 1.5 1.5 2.3
3.6
5.4 6.3
(1.1) (1.3) (1.3) (1.4) (0.4)
0.1 0.9
(10.5) (12)
(10)
(8)
(6)
(4)
(2)
-‐
2
4
6
8
Revenue
Profit (Loss)
Note: In Q4 NetQin experienced a loss of $10.5 million. NetQin explains that was due to a significant increase in operating expenses: a major non-cash, share-based compensation expense and adjustment cost for management and administrative costs. This was a non-cash equity adjustment cost and will not become a regular business expense that affects operating results.
FINANCIALS Millions USD
INSIDE
Mobile Operator (China Mobile, China
Unicom, China Telecom)
Mobile Payment Service Provider (SP)
(Primarily Tianjin Yidatong and NetQin’s Beijing Technology
subsidiary)
“Qin Credits”, NetQin’s Virtual Currency���
(Monthly, Six Months, Yearly)
Third-Party Payments (PayPal, Alipay, Debit, Credit Cards)
REVENUE STREAMS
Source: NetQin F1 file
52.7%
20.0% 21.4%
28.0%
48.0%
10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
2008 2009 2010
NetQin Reducing Dependence on Mobile Payment SPs
China Mobile
Tianjin Yidatong
• “Yidatong charges us at a lower fee rate than other mobile payment service providers through which we cooperate with wireless carriers.”
• “We have become less dependent on any specific mobile payment service provider or wireless carriers, such as Yidatong or China Mobile, as we establish more diversified payment channels. ”
INSIDE
FREEMIUM MODEL NetQin’s apps typically operate on a freemium model: free to install, but certain premium services are for paying users only. Principal services include mobile phone safety, cellular performance, personalization and cloud services.
Source: NetQin F-1 filing
INSIDE
DOMESTIC COMPETITORS
360 Mobile Safe is a free mobile security product by Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU). iResearch’s user tracker reports that it had the largest market share (58.2%) of active users for any single mobile security product in China as of January 2011. Qihoo uses the traffic from that product to generate revenues. Qihoo’s free services are a serious threat to NetQin.
mSafe Mobile Security was founded in 2006 and is available to consumers free of charge. In January of 2010, Qihoo 360 (QIHU) acquired mSafe Mobile Security. (Symbian / Windows Mobile / Linux/ iPhone)
Kingsoft Mobile Security is a free product. (Symbian/ android)
Rising Anti-Virus Software for Handheld Devices is a free product. (Symbian / windows)
NetQin was a huge innovator in China when initially providing virus protection for mobile devices. In 2005, NetQin launched the first mobile phone anti-virus software, but over the past two years, as traditional antivirus vendors have set foot into the field of mobile security in China, NetQin is facing competitive pressure
INSIDE
FUNDING
• JUNE 2007 | - Sequoia Capital and GSR Ventures invest $3 million in NetQin
• OCTOBER 2007 | Fidelity Asia Investment invests in NetQin (amount undisclosed)
• APRIL 2010 | One of the original investors in NetQin, GSR Ventures, and Ceyuan Ventures invest $20 million in NetQin
• NOVEMBER 2010 | HTC invests $2.5 million in NetQin
• DECEMBER 8, 2010 | Gaintech, a subsidiary of Taiwanese chip maker MediaTek, invests $2.2 million in NetQin
Source: NetQin F1 file
INSIDE
NETQIN-FEILU SCANDAL
On March 15th 2011, China’s largest broadcaster, CCTV ran an exposé alleging that NetQin conspired with another mobile software provider, Feilu to plant viruses on customer’s phones. The user’s would then be prompted to use NetQin’s security services to eliminate the virus. The allegation came just as NetQin intended to IPO and probably caused its subsequent delay. NetQin subsequently admitted that it was one of the investors in Beijing Feiliu, but denied any attempt to spread malware. Beijing Feiliu held a press conference questioning CCTV’s report as an “elaborate plot” by its competitor Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) to slander the company.
INSIDE
IPO STATUS April 19 | According to foreign media reports, the NetQin will visit the NYSE on May 5. April 9 | NetQin announces initial IPO price range from $9.50 - $11.50 USD. At the midpoint, NetQin will raise $75 million at a $475 million valuation Funds will be used for : 1. R & D projects 2. Marketing Operations 3. Possible Acquisitions
INSIDE
CORPORATE STRUCTURE
Source: NetQin F1 file
NetQin Mobile Inc.
(Cayman Islands)
NetQin International Ltd.
(Hong Kong)
NetQin Mobile (Beijing) Co., Ltd. Beijing NetQin Technology Co. Ltd.
Fuzhou NetQin Mobile Information Technology Co. Ltd.
NetQin US Inc.
(United States)
100% 100%
100%
100%
Offshore
PRC Contractual
Arrangements(1)
51%(2)
INSIDE
NETQIN MOBILE ANTI-VIRUS
Anti-Lost (Premium) �
Anti-virus (Free) �
Anti-Lost can “locate and lock” lost phones. That includes position tracking, destruction of private documents, phone lock, phone alarm and other functions �
Note: Screenshots from the official NetQin Chinese-language website. �
NETQIN MOBILE MANAGER (SYMBIAN)
Mobile Manager provides services such as black list/backup contacts/privacy eraser/private space and so on.�
After choosing certain contacts, a record of their calls and text messages will be encrypted and saved into a password protected area.�
Note: Screenshots from the official NetQin Chinese-language website. �
Private Space (Premium) �
INSIDE
NETQIN MOBILE GUARD ���(SYMBIAN)
INSIDE
Note: Screenshots from the official NetQin Chinese-language website. �
NetQin Mobile Guard (Free)
Includes network monitoring, speed-boot, system clean-up, a mobile backup,and more.
NETQIN SPACE���(SYMBIAN)
INSIDE
PC users can schedule meetings and access their calendar via NQ Space.
Note: Screenshots from the official NetQin Chinese-language website. �
NetQin Space (Free)
Requires the user to have “NetQin pass" to synch their PC and mobile phone
PC Mobile
INSIDE
ABOUT ICHINASTOCK
Snowball Finance is a financial media platform that includes two sites. One is iMeigu.com, a Chinese-language site that covers all US-listed stocks. The other is iChinaStock.com, an English-language site that covers Chinese stocks listed in the US. Each site provides stock quotes, business news, and analysis. Snowball Finance has also established my.iMeigu.com, a Web 2.0 platform for global investors to share news and insights on stocks they follow. Snowball Finance also publishes the iChinaStock 30 Index, a representative sample of Chinese stocks on the NYSE and NASDAQ.
© March 2011 iChinaStock