Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk,...
Transcript of Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk,...
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Office of Cyber and Infrastructure Analysis
National Protection and Programs Directorate
Infrastructure Modeling: Crawl, Walk, Run
Briefing for the GUIRR
February 24, 2016
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Strengthen the security and resilience of the Nation’s critical infrastructure through innovative cyber and physical analysis
OCIA Vision
Inform the decisions that protect the Nation’s critical infrastructure
OCIA Mission
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OCIA Analytic Evolution
• Plume dispersion • Population impacts
• Economic impacts • Supply Chain Impact
• Electric power outages • Surge inundation
• Economic impacts • Infrastructure impacts
• Cascading impacts • Restoration Prioritization
• Population impacts • Impacts of mitigation strategies
• Critical Infrastructure Effects • Cascading Effects
Industrial Accidents
Pandemic
Hurricanes
• Retail payment system • Global financial network
• Inundation Assessment • Cascading Impacts
• Consequence Assessment • Restoration Projections / Prioritization
Banking and Finance
Inland/Coastal Flooding
Electric Power
• Water Sector • Comm./Govt.
facilities
Cyber-Physical
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I. Planning for Infrastructure Disruptions
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Estimated restoration times for damaged
and outaged substations
Electric power infrastructure damaged and
outaged
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Estimated damage to natural gas pipelines
and compressor stations
Expected damage to highway bridges and
tunnels in the Cascadia region
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Integrated Water Model Northern NJ
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II. Understanding Infrastructure Dependencies
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9 EP Infrastructure Linden, NJ-Staten Island, NY
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Water-Electric Power Dependencies
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III. Modeling Uncertainty
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12 Hurricane Risk: Wilmington, NC
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Hurricane Risk: Wilmington, NC
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IV. Modeling Supply Chains
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National Transportation Fuels Model
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Iron Ore-Steel Supply Chain
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MSCX
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MSCX
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MSCX
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V. Modeling Democratization
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AGAVE
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AGAVE
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AGAVE
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AGAVE
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Analytic Success in a Dynamic Environment
Humility
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For more information visit:
www.dhs.gov/office-cyber-infrastructure-analysis
Brandon D. Wales
Director, OCIA