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    INFRASTRUCTURE

    Group

    -

    5

    SOURCE- PRINCIPLES & PRACTICEOFMANAGEMENT BY P. K. AGARWAL

    (A PRAGATI EDITION)

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    INDIA GROWTH STORY

    Indias economic growth is attracting wide attention

    India & China are enjoying high economic growth

    In 2006-07 Indias growth was 9.4%

    Economic prosperity is placing huge demands oninfrastructure

    India is the third largest economy behind USA andChina

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    Infrastructure Requirements

    World Economic Forum has noted that Indias annualinvestments in infrastructure between 1998 and 2005averaged 4% of GDP compared to 8.2% for China

    Government of India is addressing the infrastructurerequirements

    11th Five Year Plan (2007-2012) calls for more thandoubling the financial outlay for infrastructure

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    Investment requirements

    Total financing requirements

    $492 billion in the next five years

    Of this, $147 billion to come from private investment

    Share of private investment in total to rise from 17% to30% by 2012.

    Investment to touch $1.48 trillion by 2017

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    Interest of international investors

    Strong interest evinced by international investors inIndias infrastructure

    This includes Private Equity 3i, Blackstone etc

    International banks Citigroup, Macquarie Bank (Australia), Mizuho (Japan), Deutche

    Bank

    Multilateral institutions including ADB, World Bank, IFC,JBIC, KfW

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    Challenges before India

    India growth story likely to continue

    Strong economic growth will fuel further demand oninfrastructure

    India should absorb the large investments ininfrastructure sector to sustain growth momentum

    Indian rupee has appreciated against the dollar by 5%over the past year and 20% in the past five years

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    Development of PPP market in India

    PPPs in India are at a nascent stage Slew of measures by government

    100% foreign investment allowed in infra sectors Model Concession Agreements evolved Viability Gap Funding (VGF) Setting up of IIFCL Regulatory institutions (Telecom Regulatory Authority,

    Port Tariff Authority) PPPs in India are accelerating

    118 projects valued at $13.4 billion are progressing inroads, ports, airport sectors

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    Transport Sector the potential inIndia

    Aviation infrastructure

    100% foreign direct investment allowed

    $ 9 billion programme to upgrade 25 airports Delhi and Mumbai International airports two

    PPP projects with estimated investment of $3.8billion

    19 greenfield airport locations identifiedAirport Economic Regulatory Authority being set

    up

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    Air transportation - growth

    Passenger traffic is projected to cross 100 millionpassengers p.a. by 2010

    Cargo traffic to grow at over 20% p.a. over the nextfive years- To cross 3.3 million tonnes by 2010

    Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO) growingin a big way MRO market expected to grow by 10%

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    Roads and Highways India has the second longest road network in the

    world of 3.3 million KMs

    Expressways and highways constitute only 2% ofthe above

    US $54 billion earmarked for the sector

    Cargo traffic expected to grow by 15-18% overthe next 5 years

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    Roads - Potential

    100% foreign direct investment allowed Incentives:

    - 100% income tax exemption for a period of 10

    years - Grants/viability gap funding for marginal

    projects available - Model Concession Agreement formulated

    Opportunities in construction equipment (earthmoving, material handling equipment etc),tolling equipment services and advisory(architecture, structural design, soil investigationetc)

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    Railways

    India has one of the largest railway networks in theworld (63,000 route KMs network)

    Accounts for 30% of total freight traffic Traffic volumes set to double by 2012

    Potential for rolling stock, locomotives, passengercoaches, track equipment, signalling equipment

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    Ports

    India has coastline of 7500 KMs

    12 major ports; 187 minor ports

    Traffic has grown by a compounded average of8.5% Traffic expected to reach 880 million tonnes by 2011-12

    95% of Indias exports & imports moved by sea

    India expects to double its exports to $150 billionin the next five years

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    Ports

    100% FDI under the automatic route is permittedfor port development projects

    100% income tax exemption is available for aperiod of 10 years

    Tariff Authority for Major Ports (TAMP) regulatesthe ceiling for tariffs charged by Major ports

    Investment needed in the next 5 years $18 billion

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    Ports - Opportunity Opportunities exist in

    Development of greenfield ports

    Development of container and bulk terminals

    Logistics infrastructure

    Dredging services

    Port related equipment

    Ship building, ship repair, maritime training

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    Role of IIFCL

    IIFCL is a SPV to provide long term finance toinfrastructure projects

    Overriding priority to PPP projects Finance projects in sectors like roads, airports, ports,

    power, urban infrastructure etc

    Since inception in April 2006

    Financed 77 projects to the tune of $4.3 billion with atotal project cost of $31 billion

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    Conclusion

    Investment requirements of infrastructure sectorhuge

    India growth story to continue 50% of the population is below 25 years Huge domestic demand

    Need to bridge infrastructure gaps to sustaineconomic growth

    Opportunities for international investorssignificant India can leverage on its vast human capital to

    successfully adopt the PPP model

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    Indias Infrastructure

    Challenges

    Experimenting with thePublic Private Partnership

    Route

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    Scope of this interaction Introduce the concept, need and basic terms to

    increase familiarity with the subject

    Take the case of a road project to discuss theissues relating to PPP

    Consider the issue from different stand pointsgovernment, private sector, financiers, projectaffected parties and citizens

    Share PPP experiences from your countries

    Clarify any doubts if they arise after this session oron the email later on

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    Traditional Model -BudgetarySupport Public good - Public Function Highly capital intensive

    Long gestation period

    Uncertain returns Plan expenditure

    Why change the mode ?

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    PPP Model More funds will be available for construction

    and maintenance

    Greaterefficiency through competition

    Scope forInnovation

    International best practices and knowledgetransfer

    Government can focus on merit goods where

    there are no private takers

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    Fundamental concepts

    What is a PPP? Is it the same as subsidy?

    What are the types of PPP?

    (Management contract/Lease)(BOT/BOO/BOOT/BOLT)

    (DBFO)

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    What is the role of Governmentexperts in PPP? Determining which projects can be taken up throughPPP- are they bankable? Facilitation at the design stage- project preparation

    detailed feasibility report Facilitation in the pre-construction stage

    Providing avenues for long term finance Understanding contingent liabilities Ensuring quick and effective dispute resolution

    mechanism Ensuring transparency and fair play through adequate

    regulation and disclosure Building effective and sustainable partnerships

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    Optimum Apportioning of Risk

    Project risks Technology/Design risk Construction risk Operating risk

    Market risk Foreign exchange riskMacro-economic risks Political or Regulatory Risk Environmental risk Force Majeure risk

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    Building Capacity in Public /Private SectorGuardians of Public Money

    Viability Gap Funding PPP Cells - PPP Appraisal Committee

    Transaction Advisors

    Training/Information kits Standard Bidding Procedures

    Model Concession Agreement

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    Changing Public Opinion Change the command mindset Demonstrate excellent and trouble free delivery

    Educate people on getting value for money inpublic expenditure

    Re-train Public sector employees

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    External Control- RegulatoryBodies Why is independent regulation necessary?

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    Venture Capital for pre-operativeexpenses India Infrastructure Project Development Fund Huge upfront transaction cost + high risk

    corpus Rs.1000 million, up to 75% project dev cost interest free loan to be recovered from successful

    bidders State Govts and local bodies eligible

    If no interest by bidders converted to grant

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    Facilitating Finance India Infrastructure Finance Company Ltd.

    -raises resources under Govt. guarantees

    - up to 20% of project cost and then on-

    lends to viable projects-Long term tenor (10 + years)

    f

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    India Infrastructure FinancingInitiative (IIFI) Equity and debt funding for viable state sector

    projects

    Partners 5 billion corpus

    IIFCL Citigroup

    IDFC

    Blackstone Group Holdings

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    PPP in the Road Sector EPC vs item-rate contract BOT (Annuity)/BOT (Toll)

    O&M contracts

    Toll Policy

    Major concernsPoor quality of contractors

    Land acquisition and R&R

    Capacity of NHAI and State PWDs

    Environment/Forest

    Traffic vs connectivity

    Apathy to paying toll

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    Internal Controls Define all terms Conditions precedent (Escrow account,Applicable permits,performance security,Financing Agreements)

    Detailed account of obligations ofconcessionnaire

    Obligations of Authority

    Representations and Warranties

    Mandatory Disclosure

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    Internal Controls International Competitive Bidding Bid security/performance security

    Outcome specification

    Completion Certificate

    If there is a change of scope?

    O&M obligations

    Safety requirements

    Independent Engineer Dispute Resolution Mechanism

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    Accounts and Audits Concessionnaire to appoint a Statutory Auditor

    from a list of mutually agreed panel

    Articles and schedules provided in the MCA

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    The Interpretations Committee (IFRIC) of the

    International Accounting Standards Board is

    developing financial accounting standards for

    PPPs.

    The complexity of PPPs and the dependence

    of national accountants on government financial

    accounting data makes it highly desirable to havea common treatment of PPPs in the SNA and

    in the accounting standards.

    How should PPPs be accounted for?

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    THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION