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Inflation means a rise in prices of goods and services in an economy over a
period of time. Inflation is caused by some demand side factors (Increase in
money supply, Increase in income, Black money spending, Expansion of the
Private Sector, Increasing Public Expenditures) and some Supply side factors
(Shortage of factors of production, Industrial Disputes, Increase in exports
(excess exports), Global factors, Neglecting the production of consumergoods).
Inflation effects the different sectors of the economy (Effects on the
distribution of income and wealth, Effects on production, Effects on the
Government, Effects on the Balance of Payment, Effects on Monetary Policy,
Effects on Social Sector, Effects on Political environment) and different
classes of the people (Debtors & Creditors, Salaried Class, Wages earners,
Fixed income group, Investors and shareholders, Businessmen, Agriculturists).
There are many causes for inflation, depending on a number of factors. For
example, inflation can happen when governments print an excess of money
to deal with a crisis. When any extra money is created, it will increase some
societal groups buying power. All sectors in the economy try to buy more
than the economy can produce. Shortages are then created and merchants
lose business. In the end, the price level rises.
Another common reason of inflation is a rise in production costs, which leads
to an increase in the price of the final product. For example, if raw materials
increase in price, this leads to the cost of production increasing, this in turn
leads to the company increasing prices to maintain their profits. Inflation can
also be caused by federal taxes put on consumer products. As the taxes rise,
suppliers often pass on the burden to the consumer.
In Pakistan, the most important thing is the rise in prices of oil, gas, excise
duties and the increase in the utility tariffs. These all has an inflationary
impact on the economy. Pakistan, with a population of about 16 million
people has undergone a remarkable economic growth during last few years,
but the core problems of the economy are still unsolved. Inflation is one of
these core problems.
Government claims that in order to keep the prices of essential commodities
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under control, it has been taking various measures throughout the year. In
order to provide relief to the low and fixed income groups, the government
has been selling wheat flour and sugar through the outlets of the Utility
Stores Corporation (USC) at much lower prices than the market.
The government has also allowed the import of various items through land
routes from neighboring countries. But, all these are secondary measures.
Problems like inflation and poverty cant be resolved by applying the
secondary measures directly, these need strategic planning. Unfortunately, in
Pakistan, these core problems have never undergone such a planning
process.
Government has never invited foreign investment for the production of basic
goods. Agriculture sector, on which the major industries rely for the raw
material has not been given sufficient subsidies. The major rise in the prices
is because of the increasing prices of oil (as increased prices of oil increase
the cost of production), but no such steps have been taken to control the oil
prices.Domestic productions at less cost of production will not only make the
availability of goods much easier but Aggregate Supply will also increase, and
domestic industry will get developed.
Inflation is one of the obstacles on the way of development. In Pakistan, it has
squeezed the major part of the population. It needs to be controlled by
strategic planning. Domestic production should be encouraged instead of
imports; investment should be given preference in consumer goods instead of
luxuries, Agriculture sector should be given subsidies, foreign investment
should be attracted, and developed countries should be requested for
financial and managerial assistance. And lastly a strong monitoring system
should be established on different levels in order to have a sound evaluation
of the process at every stage.
Inflation always hurts ones' standard of living. Rising prices mean people
have to pay more for the same goods and services. If income increases at a
slower rate as inflation, the standard of living declines even if one makes
more. So it is the root cause in making and affecting economy and people of
the country poor. If we want to control inflation we shall have to inflict strict
control over the supply of money and evading any relaxation to the supply of
money. This is the most apt way whereby we can control inflation effectively
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and keep the economy of the country in a strong and stable position.