Inequality and the Changing Nature of Workbev.berkeley.edu/2009 PEIS 101/23 Globalization and...
Transcript of Inequality and the Changing Nature of Workbev.berkeley.edu/2009 PEIS 101/23 Globalization and...
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Inequality and the Changing Nature of Work
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Review• Why is inequality rising in the U.S?
– Wages are pushed down by globalization, meaning…• Freedom of goods, people, and money to move beyond national borders leads to…….• Outsourcing production to low-wage regions and…• Importing goods from low wage regions, which…• Reduces demand for American labor, which in turn…..• Weakens trade unions• The weaker the wage earners, the more power for those at the top to increase their own
incomes
• How did the decline in real wages contribute to the current financial crisis?– U.S. living standards declined threatening the American Dream– Cheap credit allowed more borrowing– More home ownership for of low wage earners– Deregulation, growth, securitization, and globalization of finance– Foreclosures– Bank failures
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Growth of National Debt
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$5 Trillion in household debt
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Household income does not cover household debt….
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Private investment in the U.S. falls off………..
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Rise in unemployment
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More collapse…Reducing imports
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An International Labor Market means functional, not national competitiveness
• If foreign companies are doing well in the U.S., American workers are better off than with American corporations
• What are the causes of competitiveness then?
• The function you serve in the global, not the national economy
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A Class economy, not a national economy
• American industries no longer compete against other “national” industries
• The stateless corporation?
• How does the international
Economy intensify the class
Economy?
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Three Categories of work……
• 1)work that delivers high level management services,
•• 2)work that delivers routine production
services
•• 3)work that delivers routine personal services.
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The Symbolic Analyst
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High level symbolic analysts account for 10 per cent of U.S. jobs
• Services are in global demand
• So their standard of living has risen
• They are part of a global, not a national labor market
• Services are scarce
• More productivity redounds to their benefit
• The job is to CUT COSTS, increase profits, push up share price…
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Aren’t Americans competing with others for these Jobs?
• Friedman’s argument: Yes
• But wait……
• Jobs for symbolic analysts in the U.S. have increased!
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The Routine Production Worker
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These jobs were once well-paid…….
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But now no longer competitive…
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Jobs in manufacturing in the US have declined
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While service jobs grew……
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Routine Personal Services
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Sheltered from the direct effects of global competition…….
• But not the indirect effects…..
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A New Core and Periphery?
Symbolic Analyst
Routine Production workerRoutine Personal ServicesCore
Periphery
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For the Economic Nationalist…..
• Decline of National loyalty for the most competitive group……
• A loss of manufacturing jobs……
• Loss of National Wealth
• Loss of National Power
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For the Communitarian….Breakdown in Community and Class Interdependence
• Workers are coming to have different competitive positions in the global economy
• Less basis for community….
• Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger: • "You know, the benefits for
auto workers are maybe too high. ... We have, like, in America, you sell a car, and you have $2,000 of each car just goes to benefits. So I think that there’s a way of reducing that
•
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Geographic divisions
• New York likely to remain strong
• The “Slump Belt” will weaken even further
• And the South might rise again….
• Will the “sun belt” disappear?
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Why is this happening?
• Information Technology and “Reengineering”• Lean Production• Globalization • Emerging Markets: demand and supply effects• Transformation of Employment• From Manufacturing to Services• Decline in Union Strength• Portfolio Careers
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Information Technology and “Reengineering”
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But in the financial crisis….
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Lean Production
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All of this means………manufacturability, flexibility, just in time production
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Lean production means higher productivity with lower skills
• Japanese use 1/10th of the number of parts and tools required in German production
• Employment interviews place little importance on skill
• Instead they look for
• Dexterity, enthusiasm, team spirit
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So Is Training Really the Answer?
• If symbolic analysts are so competitive, could education mean upward mobility?
• Second tier symbolic analysts……
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Explains rising productivity and low wages….
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Changes in Nature of Employment
• No more lifetime employment
• Rise in Temporary workers
• Rise in Portfolio careers
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What will be the responses to the changing nature of work in the North?
– Trade protectionism?
– Currency devaluation?
– Redeployment of capital and human resources?
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…and in the South?
– Will liberalization continue?
– Will the gap between rich and poor widen?
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Immigration: A problem for the North?
• Net growth in labor supply is taking place in the “global South”
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Four Big issues that may result from this change in the “core”
• Neither declining real wages nor long term unemployment is sustainable
• Energy shortages and environmental disasters
• Security problems
• Global financial crisis
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Globalization and global inequality
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Income Inequality by region
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Panel 2, by Region
Panel 2, by Region Quint 1
Panel 2, by Region Quintile 2
Panel 2, by Region Quintile 3
Panel 2, by Region Quintile 4
Panel 2, by Region Quintile 5
SSACEE CIS Asia NIEs
ADV
LAC
Mena
IMF DATA from http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2007/02/pdf/c4.pdf
94 04 94 02 96 03 96 03 92 02 90 00 90 00 90 00
100
0
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Liberal View of Globalization and inequality
• Tariff reductions trade rising wages for low-skilled workers in the South + wage reduction for skilled workers in the North reduction in global inequality
• Not verified in empirical studies
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The IMF’s perspective
• Tecnology
• Education
• Flexible labor markets
• The IMF prescription: A golden straightjacket?
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A Dependency Theory perspective
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
(Average annual percent change)
Panel 1 (All countries)
Contribution of globalization
Exports Tariff liberalization Inward FDI
Series1
Series2
In income disparities
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What can be done?
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What Developed country governments can do….
• Debt cancellation
• Be markets for goods from the South while allowing them to erect tariff walls to their own goods….
• A regulatory framework for MNCs
• Corporate social responsibility
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NGO’s Using the tools of globalization to reduce inequality
• Critique of IMF and World Bank
• The creation of a global civil society is necessary to reduce inequality
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