Indonesia Electricity Outlook · 2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier....

Jakarta, 09th October 2019

Supangkat Iwan SantosoDirektur Bisnis Regional JawaBagian Timur, Bali dan Nusa TenggaraPT PLN (Persero)

IndonesiaElectricity Outlook

The Future Power

System

for Global Energy

Transition

01

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Key Benefit of The Energy Transformation

Key Benefit of The Energy

Transformation

Lower renewable power costs

Technology invention will speed up

renewable energy development and

reduce the cost compare to the

conventional.

Increase welfare and growth

Increasing energy access means

increasing economy opportunity.

Increase energy access

Implementation smart grid

and decentralization will

provide electricity through

remote area.

Reduce emissions and air pollution

Climate damage significantly reduce the

macroeconomic performance

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IRENA report, 2019, A Road Map to 2050

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The Future of Power System Trend

1. Electrification with Renewable Power.

To get cheaper than fossil fuel-based alternatives and increases health benefits, to build a connected and digitalized

economy and society. It also goes hand-in-hand with energy efficiency, resulting in lower overall energy demand.

2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier.

Gross electricity consumption would more than double and 86% will come from renewable power. The primary drivers for

this increased electricity demand would be over 1 billion electric vehicles, increased use of electricity for heat and the

emergence of renewable hydrogen.

3. Additional investment for more on climate friendly.

Total investment in the energy system would need to reach USD 110 trillion by 2050

4. Technology is progressing rapidly, deployable at large scale and are increasingly cost competitive.

Governments are lagging and should implement more aggressive climate, renewable energy and energy efficiency

policies and targets.

5. Systemic innovation is crucial as a key enabler for the energy transition

To devote more attention to enabling smarter energy systems through digitalization, through the coupling of sectors via

greater electrification, and by embracing decentralization trends

IRENA report, 2019, A Road Map to 2050

2

Future Power

System

in Indonesia02

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RUPTL 2019-2028

56,4

GW

RUPTL 2018-2027

56,0

GW

1. Decreasing on Gas Turbine

/Gas Engine/Combine Cycle

capacity because some power

plants has been reached COD

in 2018 and some plants will be

replaced by coal fired/biomass.

2. Coal fired capacity will increase

due to additional coal fired to

replace gas engine in eastern

Indonesia.

3. Additional hydro, geothermal,

and other renewable energy

capacity to support target to

achieve 23% RE in 2025.

RE additional capacity : 30%

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The Future of Power System Trend …

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No RE power plant Capacity 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Total

1 Geothermal MW 190 151 147 455 245 415 2,759 45 145 55

2 Hydro MW 154 326 755 - 182 1,484 3,047 129 466 1,467 8,009

3 Mini Hydro MW 140 238 479 200 168 232 27 20 20 10 1,534

4 Solar MWp 63 78 219 129 160 4 250 - 2 2 908

5 Wind MW - - 30 360 260 50 150 - - 5 855

6 Biomass/waste MW 12 139 60 357 50 103 19 5 15 35 794

7 Ocean MW - - 7 - - - - - - - 7

8 Bio-Fuel million liter 520 487 291 167 151 146 154 159 166 175 2,415

Total MW 560 933 1,697 1,501 1,065 2,287 6,251 199 648 1,574 16,714

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1. Consumer can install

rooftop panel until 100 %

installed capacity.

2. Energy export for

transaction will be

calculated 65% from total

energy export.

3. It is needed to develop

3.200 MW rooftop power

plant (equivalent to the

1,6 million customer) to

fulfill Renewable Energy

target 23% energy mixed

in 2025.

MEMR

regulation

number 49/2018

for Rooftop

Power Plant

Implementation

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2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier.The primary drivers for this increased electricity demand would be over 1 billion

electric vehicles.

Presidential

Decree number

55/2019 for

Electric Vehicle

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electric vehicles.

PLN has

installed

many EVCS

for APEC

Forum 2013

in Bali

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electric vehicles.

PLN has developed three

“Indonesia” EVs for EV

behavioral testing

EV Charger at PLN Research InstituteEV Charger at Electricity Museum - Taman Mini Indonesia Indah

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electric vehicles.

Instead of EVCS

for EV, PLN has

installed more

than 3300

Chargers units

for Light Duty

Vehicles

(Electric Motor

Cycles) around

Indonesia

PLN Charger Units for Light Duty Vehicles (e-motor cycles)

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Cirata Floating PVThe Development Of Cirata Floating Photovoltaic Solar Power Plant 145 MWACAnd Power Evacuation Substation.

West Java Floating PVThe Development Of West Java Floating Photovoltaic Solar Power Plant 60 MWACAnd Power Evacuation Substation.

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Kayan Hydro Power PlantThe Development Of Kayan Hydro Power Plant 2.4 GW And Power Evacuation Substation.

South Sulawesi Wind PowerThe Development Of Wind Power Plant 75MW in South Sulawesi And Power Evacuation Substation.

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4. Technology is progressing rapidly, deployable at large scale

and are increasingly cost competitive

Ultra Super Critical coal fired power plant 1.000 MW class

Jawa 7 coal fired 2 x 1.000 MW Cilacap 4 coal fired 1.000 MW Batang coal fired 2 x 1.000 MW

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Combine Cycles power plant 800 MW class

Jawa 1 combine cycles 2 x 800 MW Tambak Lorok combine cycles 800 MW

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Large Hydro Power Plant and Pump Storage

Batang Toru

Hydro Power Plant 510 MW

Sumatera Pump Storage

Power Plant 500 MW

Upper Cisokan Pump Storage

Power Plant 1.040 MW

Girindulu Pump Storage

Power Plant 1.000 MWMatenggeng Pump Storage

Power Plant 943 MW

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5. Systemic innovation is crucial as a key enabler for the

energy transitionTo enabling smarter energy systems through digitalization

iCORE(Intelligent Center of Optimization for Reliability & Efficiency)

Power Plant Digitalization

REOC(Reliability Efficiency Optimization Center)

Thank you

Indonesia Electricity Outlook · 2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier....

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