Indian Chocolate Industry Analysis - Hoshedar Batliwalla
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Transcript of Indian Chocolate Industry Analysis - Hoshedar Batliwalla
By
Hoshedar Batliwalla (CMBA2/1314)
Payal Patel (CMBA2/1318)
Arjun Sanka (CMBA2/1313)
Kuhu Pathak (CMBA2/1316)
Pushkaraj Halge (CMBA2/1320)
To understand the…
1. Overall market size and growth trends & future projections.
2. Main market segments, size and consumer behavior trends.
3. Major macro and global environmental influences on the market and the critical success factors.
4. Analyze the industry with the help of porters 5 forces model.
5. Main market competitors, market share, strength & weaknesses.
6. Main channels of distribution, strengths & weaknesses.
MARKET
………………………………………………………………………..….......….....
DRIVERS & CHALLENGES
TRENDS
COMPETITION
………………………………………………………………………..….......….....
………………………………………………………………………..….......….....
..….…
….…
……
…..
DRIVERS CHALLENGES• Increase in disposable income.• Chocolate gifting prevailing.• Attractive pricing.• Huge Potential as low per
capita consumption.
• Rise in cocoa prices.• High entry barriers.• High excise and
import duties.
• Premium chocolates.• Dark Chocolates.
• Gift packaging schemes.• Entry of retailers and
confectioners.
………………………………………………………………………..….......….....
CADBURY NESTLE
AMUL MARS
• Indian chocolate market is growing at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 25% (Commodityonline,2013).
• India is considered to be loaded with great potential for growth of chocolates.
• Increased convenience of premium chocolates and budding taste for dark chocolates aided with higher purchasing power will lead to further development of the market.
………………………………………………………………………..….......….....
Source: Commodityonline
DRIVERS Vs. CHALLENGES
DRIVERS
Tradition of gifting chocolates
Attractive pricing
Increase in disposable income
Low per capita consumption of chocolates
Changing taste of Indians
(Marketresearch.com)
CHALLENGES
Rise in cocoa prices
High entry barriers
High excise and import duties
Social problems like child labour
Regulations over imported chocolates
(Marketresearch.com)
A chocolate bar is often considered an “affordable luxury.” (Franchisehelp)
Source: MarketresearchSource: Franchisehelp
• 55,000 tons in 2008 : Mintel, 2013
• 88,000 tons in 2011 : Mintel, 2013
Volume Produced
• Rs. 1,011 Crore in 2008 : Mintel, 2013
• Rs. 4,914 Crore in 2011 : Mintel, 2013
Sales
• Global chocolate market is worth $85 billion annually : Mintel, 2013
Global Chocolate Scenario
Source: Times of India, 9th Oct 2012Source: Pitchonnet
Source: KPMG Report, June 2012
16800
12808
14095
15480
12428
6460
5627
2791
2272
2200
655.8
03
Net Sales 2012 (US$ millions) Cadbury (India)
Source: International Cocoa Organization, 2012Source: Indiainfoline
Source: Make Chocolate Fair
(Make chocolate fair report, 2012)
(Make chocolate fair report, 2012)
Sales of chocolate have increased from $418 million in 2008 to $857 million in 2011
(Mintel, 2013)
India has posted the largest increase in
volume sales with 21%
growth between 2008 and 2012
Per capita consumption
increases 2008-40 gms to 120 gms in 2013.
(Economic times, 2013)
Premium chocolates saw launches grow
from 4% in 2008 to 6% in 2011
Seasonal & boxed assorted chocolates have experienced the fastest growth &
sales are expected to expand 13%
between 2010 & 2015
(Franchisehelp, 2013)
Seasonal launches
increased from 2% in 2008 to 7% in 2011
(Mintel, Pitchonnet)
(Mintel,2012)
(Mintel, 2013)
Source: Pitch on netSource: Mintel
Source: Franchisehelp
Avera
ge G
row
th R
ate
2012-2
017
India-13.8%
Brazil-8.1%
Turkey-6.4%
China -5.8%
Colombia-5.2%
Russia -1.3%
South Africa-0.7%
(Euromonitor, International Confectionery News 2013)
(Min
tel, L
ivem
int) Chocolate sales
estimated at Rs.6007 crore in 2013
(Min
tel, L
ivem
int) Sales are
expected to rise to 22.24% in 2013
(Min
tel, L
ivem
int) Chocolate prices
are estimated to rise 9.84% to Rs.574.70 per kg in 2013 from an average price of Rs.523.20 per kg in 2012.
(Tim
es
of In
dia
, 2012) The Associated
Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (ASSOCHAM) estimated consumption of chocolate to cross Rs.7500 crore by 2015
PROJECTED RETAIL SALES IN 2017
In US $ BILLION
BRAZIL 18.5
RUSSIA 9.3
CHINA 2.6
INDIA 2.3
TURKEY 1.8
SOUTH AFRICA 712 Mn
COLOMBIA 324Mn(Euromonitor, Confectionery News2013)
Source: Mintel Source: Times of India, 2012
Milk Chocolate
• Combination of atleast 10% chocolate liquor (not alcohol), cocoa butter, sugar and milk or creamat (12%min.)
Sweet Chocolate
• A combination of chocolate liquor, cocoa butter and sugar, but contains
at least 15% chocolate liquor.
Dark chocolate
• A combination of chocolate liquor, cocoa butter and sugar,
but contains at least 35% chocolate liquor.
Unsweetened Chocolate or Baking Chocolate
• This chocolate can be sold as unsweetened chocolate or baking chocolate or used to make other chocolate types.
White Chocolate
• Made from the same ingredients as milk chocolate but without the non fat cocoa solids. As per FDA 2001 it must contain at least 20% cocoa butter and 14% total milk ingredients.
Source: Hershey's, 2013
0.1 0.1
2
0.7
1
1.5
1.5 1.6
2.1
4.7 4.8 5
5.2 5.3 5
.5 5.6
Chocolate confectionary consumption perperson in kilograms
Source: Barry Callebaut, 2012
13-19 years29%
20-25 years23%
26-30 years19%
30-40 years29%
13-19 years 20-25 years 26-30 years 30-40 years
Source: Economic Times, Aug 2013
23
19
32
12
24
23
23
14
20
24
19 20
24
23
23
14
RELAXATION SHARING HUNGER REJUVENTAION
7
4
3
1
11
6
0
1
9
10
0
1
9
6
1 1
INDULGENCE CELEBRATION HEALTH ROMANCE
Any Snack Small Individual Chocolates Bar Chocolate Any Chocolate
Source: Mars Survey, Economic Times, 2013
Traditional Mithai
Consumer Preference
Chocolate
70% Urban Consumption 30% Rural
40 gm (2008)
India per capita consumption
(Economic times,2013)
120 gm
(2012)
IMPULSE SALES
Premium chocolates increasing due to growing preference for better quality chocolates. Consumption of premium chocolates by rural consumers also witnessed a sharp rise in 2012.(Euromonitor, 2013)
Interestingly, small pack sizes experienced a rapid increase in sales across rural areas and tier III cities owing to the affordability attached to it. In line with the preference for small pack sizes, volume sales of mini chocolates launched by Mars also started to emerge in 2012.(Euromonitor, 2013)
Source: Times of India, 9th Oct 2012
Domestic:
Factors affecting prices of chocolate:
• Cost of milk production grown by an annual pace of 14% in 2012 (Credit Suisse, Oct 2013)
• Rise in fodder prices by 23% as compared to last year in 2012 : (Credit Suisse, Oct 2013)
• Rural wage rate has risen by more than 15% (Credit Suisse, Oct 2013)
• Evidence of why importers are hesitant to come to Indian markets: 200 tons of imported chocolates are rotting in warehouses across airports & ports due to Indian regulatory issues of labelling norms (Economic Times, Nov 13)
International:
• India imports more than half of its
requirement of cocoa every year with
the demands increasing at 8% per
annum (Indian Express, 2012)
• Rise in global cocoa prices by 9.84%
in 2013 due to production shrink in
West Africa : (Livemint, 2013) is
going to hamper Indian chocolate
market in India.
Source: Economic Times Source: Livemint Source: Indian Express
Chocolate industry offers a wide variety of opportunities for the small business owner, even when economic recession is manageable and is growing despite increased health-consciousness and calorie counting consumers. (Franchisehelp, 2013)
Growth will be driven by population growth as well as expansion into new markets, product innovation and rising disposable income levels leading to greater purchasing of premium offerings. (Franchisehelp, 2013)
Chocolate and confectionery makers say adult consumption of chocolates and candies is growing at the fastest pace in India, and companies like Mondelez, Mars, Nestlé, Perfetti Van Melle, Parle and ITC are launching new products and brands that target the grown-up. (Times Infomedia, 2013)
Seasonal and boxed assorted chocolates have been experiencing the fastest growth, and sales are expected to expand 13% between 2010 and 2015(Franchisehelp,2013)
Product innovation in 2010 brought a 16% increase in new product releases over 2009(Franchisehelp,2013)
Maximizing the distribution
channels has enabled touch
points at almost every available
retail venue
Adaptation to different taste buds makes a
chocolate available for every palette
Increasing demand for
sugar-free and diet chocolates
among consumers
Rising income levels and rapid development in rural markets helps
chocolate companies penetrate into the
untapped rural sector
Source: Times of India, 9th Oct 2012
Bargaining Power of Buyers (High)
• Diverse offerings to choose from.
• Price sensitive consumers for low-priced chocolates, especially rural consumer base
• No brand loyalty.
• Chocolate retailers margin ranges between 10 to 20% depending on the price point at which the product is placed.
Bargaining Power of Suppliers (Moderate)
(Cocoa farmers & others)
• High Foreign dependence
• Domestic market suppliers short
• But the bargaining power of suppliers is moderate to high.
• Limited access to distribution channels for importers.
Potential Entrants (Moderate)
• Difference in products.
• Need for large capital requirements.
• Health-consciousness and calorie counting products.
• Product innovation can result in new entries.
• Caramel candies.
Threat of substitute products & services
(Moderate)
• Threat of substitutes such as soft drinks, snacks & beverages is moderate.
• Industry must also compete in retail arena with traditional mithai.
• Sugar candies are more readily available than chocolate.
Intensity of rivalry among competitors (High)
Few major players but with high influence Price wars.
Advertising battles High launches of product lines
High quality of customer service High variety of products offered
Source: Euromonitor
Cadbury56%
Mars16%
Nestle20%
Amul8%
Sales
Cadbury Mars Nestle Amul
Nestle India’s market share in chocolates dropped from 26.1% in 2008 to 23.6 % in 2012, Nielsen Co.In the same period, Cadbury owner Mondelez India’s market share fell from 70% to 64.5%. (Livemint,2013)
Mondelez Int. announced plans to invest Rs.1000 crore in Andhra Pradesh to establish the company's largest manufacturing plant in Asia Pacific. This investment in is part of their ongoing supply chain reinvention plan. (Business Today,2013)
Mars is exploring gujrat to set up new factories as it imports all the chocolate form US presently. (Business standard,2013)
Both Nestle and Mondelez lost market share to Mars International India Pvt. Ltd and Ferrero India, which are gaining ground in chocolate confectionery driven by new products, according to a March report by research firm Euromonitor.(Livemint, 2013)
Premium chocolate confectionery brands such as Ferrero Rochers, Mars and Tobelerone outperformed overall chocolate confectionery in terms of growth in 2011 and 2012, according to the Euromonitor report. (Livemint, 2013)
1. Wide consumer base across the globe.
2. It is a global chocolate brand built upon a reputation for fine products and services.
3. One of the Fortune Top 100 Companies to work for in 2005. (CNN Money)
4. Cadbury launched its Cocoa Partnership in 2008 - a ten-year, £45 million (US$ 73 million) investment in cocoa sustainability in Ghana, South-east Asia, India and the Caribbean.(Tradeforum,2010)
1. Strong presence in the United States of America, UK and India but they need to look for a portfolio of countries, in order to spread business risk.
2. Cadbury's recall over 1 million chocolate bars over salmonella (BBC UK,2007)
3. The company has no apprehensions of cannibalization of its chocolate brands.
CAD
BU
RY S
TREN
GH
TS
CAD
BU
RY W
EAKN
ESSES
: Source: Marketingprofs
1. Strong brand equity in the Indian market.
2. Strong support by its parent company which is listed under the Fortune 500 companies. (CNN Money,2013)
3. Invested Rs.280 crore- Global R&D centre and for India in Manesar.(Livemint,2013)
4. Mergers and acquisitions and joint ventures to increase market share. (Nestle M&A,2013)
5. Strong advertising.
1. Being a big global brand, numerous controversies in different countries of operation can cause issues.
2. Complex supply chain management.N
ESTL
ÉSTREN
GH
TS
NESTLÉ
WEAKN
ESSES
Source: UNC
1. High brand equity.
2. Products available at affordable price.
3. Successful advertising and marketing campaigns.
4. Strong network of Amul retail outlets, stalls and parlours.
1. Low market share in chocolates segment.
2. Strong competition from international markets. A
MU
L S
TREN
GTH
SAM
UL W
EAKN
ESS
Source: Business Standard, 2007
1. Top Products in the Mind of
Consumers.
2. Even after a late entry to the
Indian market it has a good market
share.
3. Mars products outsells chocolate
candy market internationally,which
implies their great potential.
4. Established image and advertising
presence for Mars products.
5. Volume sales of mini chocolates
launched by Mars started to emerge
in 2012. (Euromonitor,2013)
1. Promotions is weak.
2. M&M’s is the number one selling
candy in the chocolate market;
however this product steals most of
the promotion and advertising
money.
3. Milky Way has a low sales
percentage of Mars domestic market
share.
4. Because of constantly changing
campaigns, people are not aware of
Milky Way’s positioning in the
market.
MARS S
TREN
GH
TS
MARS W
EAKN
ESSES
Source: UNCSource: Euromonitor
With support of District Rural Development Agency
(DRDA) will provide interest free loans to its milk producers in Anand and Kheda districts to set
up ‘pucca’ toilet blocks.(Amul CSR,2013)
Amul extended its expertise in implementation of the
Swarnjayanti Gram Swarozgar Yojana (SGSY).
(Amul CSR,2013)
Blood donation Camps are organized in Amul Dairy
Campus. (Amul CSR,2013)
Contributed $ 3,012,457 in form of money and food
(Triplepundit, 2013)
Flagship Vision For Change Program to support cocoa
farmers
Supporting local schools
Blood donation camps and health awareness
programs in and around the factory locality(Nestle
CSR,2013)
Training farmers on animal health and welfare
Veterinary check ups (Nestle, official site 2013)
.
Joined hands with Akshaya Patra and distributed food
across India
(Cadbury CSR,2013)
SARVAM(Sri Aurobindo Rural Village Action
Movement) : a project to redevelop two villages in
the coastal regions of Puducherry
(Cadbury CSR,2013)
$ 4 million to non-profit organizations for humanity
development
(Cadbury CSR,2013)
Source: Nestle Source: Cadbury India Source: Triplepundit Source:Amuldairy
AMUL MARS NESTLE CADBURY
Wholesaler
Manufacturer
Wholesaler
Company OwnedOr Stockist
Retailers:Grocery/Kirana stores Gift shops Book shopsAirport shops, Railway Stations Bus StandsShopping Malls Chemist Super markets Speciality Shops Tobacco Kiosk
Market for confectionary products in India report, 2005
STRENGTHS Vs. WEAKNESSES
WEAKNESSES
Poor infrastructure, such as transportation, storage, and refrigeration facilities.
Manufacturers and importers rely heavily on the middle man for the distribution of confectionery products in India.
Most importers rely on distributors or wholesalers to reach retail outlets, confectionery manufacturers often rely on C&F agents or dealers to work with the wholesalers and distributors.
India’s retail sector is highly unorganized, as small independent stores are the main outlets for consumer purchases.
(Market for Confectionary Products in India Report, 2005)
STRENGTHS
Retail sector is changing and the organized sector is gaining ground with the emergence of supermarkets and hypermarkets in metropolitan India.
Once shipments are cleared by ports, it penetrates into the market very easily and reaches the consumers effortlessly.
Small retail shops have a presence almost everywhere which helps reaching the rural customers.
(Market for Confectionary Products in India Report, 2005)
Source: Nestle.com
Raw Materials
• Agricultural raw materials such as cocoa are sourced from suppliers into safe and value-added food products for consumers.
• High environmental standards have to be met by suppliers and cocoa farmers.
Manufacturing
• ‘Manufacturing’ encompasses all the processes that are necessary to transform perishable raw materials into safe, shelf-stable, value-added food products for consumers.
• Efficient technologies and applying best practices are used to improve environmental impacts.
Packaging
• Packaging is essential to reducing food waste by protecting products during transportation and storage.
• It is also vital for food safety, freshness and providing consumers with nutritional information and portion guidance at the point of purchase.
Transport & Distribution
• Products are delivered via a network of road, rail and sea to an increasingly urbanised population.
• On a daily basis, large consignments are transported to customers from factories and distribution centres, delivering the products in highest quality and on time from the factory to the consumer.
Promoting Sustainable Consumption
• The desire to create a more sustainable world requires understanding, collaboration and action at many levels by governments, companies, brands and consumers.
• This drive also comes from consumers themselves, who want to understand the environmental impacts of their choices.
Wastes & Recovery
• Waste has consequences beyond the loss of valuable products.
• If waste increase, then scarce resources such as water, energy and land generate additional costs for treatment.
• Reverse logistics.
Amul,CSR :
http://www.amuldairy.com/index.php/csr-initiatives/tribhuvandas-foundation
BBC UK:
http://www.news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/England/6900467.stm
Barry Callebaut:
http://www.barry-callebaut.com/cms/download.dhtml?url=/cms_files/N-9004-
enen_FileFile_35.pdf,filename=BC_Journal%202012_E_Chocolate%20consumption%20
and%20taste%20preferences.pdf&ei=BICfUtGnIoOTrgeDtYDgDg&usg=AFQjCNHgNe1fK
vFfDZeXAODwCPPDiMobzw&bvm=bv.57155469,d.ZGU
Business Standard:
http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/amul-revamps-chocolate-strategy-
107091101125_1.html
Business Today: http://businesstoday.intoday.in/story/cadbury-india-plant-
investment/1/197592.html
Business Standard:
http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/us-based-mars-eyes-gujarat-for-
chocolate-plant-113061801032_1.html#
Cadbury India: http://www.cadburyindia.com/in/en/about/pages/ourbusinessinindia.aspxCommodity Online: http://www.commodityonline.com/news/india-sweet-tooth-chocolates-the-new-festive-favourite-56742-3-56743.htmlConfectionery News:http://www.confectionerynews.com/Markets/Mondelez-chocolate-chief-pinpoints-markets-beyond-BRICCNN Money: http://www.money.cnn.com/search/index.htmlCNN Money:http://www.money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/global500/2013/snapshots/6126.htmlEuromonitor: http://www.euromonitor.com/chocolate-confectionery-in-india/reportEconomic Times: http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-08-01/news/40963259_1_chocolate-consumption-chocolate-market-indian-consumersEconomic Times: http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-02/news/43611397_1_fssai-indian-food-new-labelling-norms
Franchise Help: http://www.franchisehelp.com/industry-reports/chocolate-industry-reportFood Confectionary: http://69.17.111.188/site/c4/w116/downloads/India.pdfIndian Express: http://www.indianexpress.com/news/indians-get-sweet-on-chocolates/972675/0ICCO: http://www.icco.org/about-cocoa/chocolate-industry.htmlIndia Infoline: http://www.indiainfoline.com/Markets/Company/Fundamentals/Profit-Loss/Cadbury-India-Ltd/500793KPMG:http://www.kpmg.com/UK/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents/PDF/Market%20Sector/Retail_and_Consumer_Goods/chocolate-of-tomorrow.pdf
Live Mint: http://www.livemint.com/Companies/xBxGxG5fHCAIDg8Brn0wyH/Nestle-expects-India-to-become-its-fourth-biggest-market-by.htmLive Mint: http://www.livemint.com/Industry/JAAQ4OuYXMmB4m7ZsHm2SI/Nestle-to-introduce-premium-chocolate-brands-in-India.html
Live Mint: http://www.livemint.com/Industry/dzZbXrsKi74yU2v6bHUMJK/Rising-global-cocoa-prices-to-hurt-Indian-chocolate-buyers.html
Make Chocolate Fair:
http://makechocolatefair.org/issues/cocoa-prices-and-income-farmers-0
Marketingprofs:
http://www.marketingprofs.com/ea/qst_question.asp?qstid=13692#ixzz2mX9SLrpJ
Mintel:
http://www.mintel.com/press-centre/food-and-drink/indias-craving-for-chocolate-unwraps-business-opportunities-for-manufacturers
Market Research:
http://www.marketresearch.com/Netscribes-India-Pvt-Ltd-v3676/Branded-Chocolate-India-6795080/
Nestle:
http://www.nestle.com/csv/environmental-sustainability/highlights-challenges
Nestle M&A:
http://www.nestle.com/investors/mergers-and-aquisitions
Pitch on Net: http://pitchonnet.com/blog/2012/11/08/chocolate-consumption-doubles-in-india-since-2008/
Times Infomedia: http://issuu.com/timesinfomedia/docs/beverages___food_august_issue
Times of India: http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2012-10-09/india-business/34342337_1_chocolates-traditional-sweets-d-s-rawat
Trade Forum:
http://www.tradeforum.org/Cadbury-Goes-Fairtrade/
UNC:
http://www.unc.edu/~refisher/swot.html