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Increasing Student Transition and Success:Cal-PASS
California Partnership
for Achieving Student Success
A Matter of MisalignmentAccording to a recent report issued by the Stanford University Bridge Project:
“…the coursework between high school and college is not connected; students graduate from high school under one set of standards and, three months later, are required to meet a whole new set of standards in college.”
Troubling Indicators
- High HS drop-out rateUp to 50% in large urban districts
- Poor transition rates from HS to college
- Significant remediation needs in higher educationOver 70% in Community CollegesAlmost 50% in California State UniversitiesOver 30% in University of California
What is Cal-PASS?
Publicly funded initiativeLinks primary, secondary and post-secondary
institutions on a regional basisTracks students from one segment to the nextEngages faculty across segments in
instructional conversationsIncludes over 3,000 K-12 schools, community
colleges, and universities throughout California
Cal-PASS PrinciplesCollaborationDiscoveryContinuity/AlignmentInnovationEvaluationExpansion
Making Cal-PASS Work: Intersegmental Professional Learning Councils
EnglishMathematicsCounselingELTech PrepScience
First math class attempted in community college Total
Basic Math
Pre-Alg
Beg Alg
Geo Int Alg Stats+Pre-Calc
Calc % N
Max HS math with grade of C or better
Basic Math 11% 14% 41% 1% 28% 5% 1% 0%
100% 730
Pre-Alg * * * * * * * * 100% *
Beg Alg 11% 10% 42% 1% 29% 5% 2% 0% 100% 1291
Geo 2% 3% 29% 2% 49% 9% 5% 1% 100% 1758
Int Alg 1% 2% 14% 1% 47% 21% 13% 2% 100% 5966
Stats+ 0% 0% 3% 0% 26% 47% 19% 4% 100% 238
Pre-Calc 0% 0% 2% 0% 21% 38% 29% 10%
100% 2485
Calc 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 28% 21% 48% 100% 585
Total 320 377 2232 101 4824 2743 1775 682 13054
Relation between last math passed at Alpha High School and first math attempted at Beta College
Red = attempted class in college lower than that already passed in high school
Gold = attempted class in college equal to that already passed in high school
Green = attempted class in college higher than that already passed in high school
Success rate (grade of C or better) in first math class attempted in community college
Basic Math
Pre-Alg
Beg Alg
Geo Int Alg Stats+ Pre-Calc
Calc Total
Max HS math with grade of C or better
Basic Math 57% 58% 44% * 45% 56% 86% * 49%
Pre-Alg * * * * * * * * 100%
Beg Alg 57% 60% 41% 72% 41% 56% 50% * 46%
Geo 76% 67% 57% 50% 54% 61% 67% * 57%
Int Alg 78% 75% 64% 59% 68% 72% 69% 69% 68%
Stats+ * * 100% * 75% 86% 69% 70% 79%
Pre-Calc 100% 100% 92% 67% 79% 79% 75% 74% 78%
Calc * * * * 91% 87% 79% 80% 82%
Total 64% 64% 55% 57% 64% 75% 72% 76% 66%
Red = attempted class in college lower than that already passed in high school
Gold = attempted class in college equal to that already passed in high school
Green = attempted class in college higher than that already passed in high school
Relation between last math passed at Alpha High School and success in first math attempted at Beta College
Rank Description
1 Basic Math
2 Pre-Algebra
3 Beginning Algebra
4 Geometry
5 Intermediate Algebra
6 Statistics/Finite/Discrete/Other Transferable Math
7 Advanced Algebra/College Algebra/Precalculus/Trigonometry
8 Calculus
9 Linear Algebra/Diff Eq/Other higher math
Relationship between sequence in which math courses were taken in high school and the level of the first math class
attempted at a local community college
First math class attempted at Local Community College
Basic Math
Pre-Alg
Beg Alg Geo Int Alg
Stats/ Finite Precalc Calc Total
133 25% 57% 7% 0% 7% 4% 0% 0% 28 34 4% 47% 39% 0% 9% 0% 1% 0% 188 344 4% 33% 53% 0% 8% 0% 3% 0% 79 334 2% 62% 27% 0% 9% 0% 0% 0% 55 345 5% 18% 20% 0% 45% 2% 9% 0% 703 3455 3% 17% 16% 0% 52% 2% 10% 0% 124 3456 9% 4% 15% 0% 51% 7% 11% 4% 55 4576 4% 0% 0% 0% 19% 19% 52% 7% 27 3457 4% 4% 6% 0% 29% 8% 37% 12% 254 457 9% 5% 4% 0% 35% 10% 29% 7% 99 357 6% 60% 16% 0% 17% 1% 0% 0% 77 4578 5% 0% 0% 0% 8% 6% 31% 49% 77
Sequence of classes attempted in high school
458 0% 0% 0% 0% 14% 0% 46% 39% 28 Total 92 377 334 0 574 66 258 93 1794
Red = attempted class in college lower than that already passed in high school
Gold = attempted class in college equal to that already passed in high school
Green = attempted class in college higher than that already passed in high school
Success* in First Community College Math Course after Successfully Completing High School Math by Senior Math Status
*Success is defined as earning a “C” or better
% Successful in first CC
Math Course Total n
Students who successfully completed highest math course during 12th grade year 70.9% 1,387 Students who attempted, but did not successfully complete highest math course during 12th grade year 51.4% 473 Total 1,870
Students who successfully completed highest math course before 12th grade year 66.6% 1,218
Relationship between the last English class passed at Alpha High School and the first English class attempted
at Beta College
First English class attempted in community college
Basic Skills ESL Degree
Applicable Transferable
Critical Thinking/ Literature Percent Count
Remedial 75% * 18% * 0% 100% 51
ELD 59% 18% 21% * 0% 100% 71
English 25% 1% 43% 30% 1% 100% 4492
AP English 4% 0% 17% 77% * 100% 184
Highest level of English in high school successfully completed Total 1205 42 1992 1499 60 4798
Red = transitioned down at least one level from high school to college, Yellow = stayed at same level in college as in high school, Green = transitioned up at least one level from high school to college. Turquoise = transition from native to non-native course or vice versa.
Success in a Community College Biology Course by Highest Level of English Completed in High School
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
Highest Level of English Completed with a "C" or Better
Not Successful 92.3% 64.3% 55.3% 33.3%
Successful 7.7% 35.7% 44.7% 66.7%
English 9 & 10 English 11 English 12 AP English
Misclassification Rate = 35%
Begin Algebra3652
A/B/C 254
A/B/C 1255
D 10
A/B/C254370%
F43012%
D67918% F 310
11%
62%
47%
38%
15%
57%
27%
8th grade course 8th grade success 9th grade course 9th grade success
D 222
A/B/C 59
Inter Algebra703%
Begin Algebra202580%
Geometry44718%
Geometry142%
Begin Algebra66297%
Begin Algebra42499%
F 548
D 98
A/B/C 377
D 45
F 25
A/B/C 8
F 282
84%
10%
6%
84%
14%
D 40
A/B/C 102 24%
9%
66%
Begin Algebra3607
A/B/C 137
D 11
Far Below Bas45213%
Advanced562%
Below Basic157644%
11%
31%
22%
5%
10%
15%
73%
26%
58%
8th grade course 8th grade proficiency 9th grade course 9th grade success
D 48
A/B/C 24
80%
Begin Algebra44999%
Geometry473%
Inter Algebra262%
Geometry16916%
Begin Algebra152497%
Begin Algebra88082%
F 264
A/B/C 691
D 195
F 638
A/B/C 135
A/B/C 19
A/B/C 35
45%
13%
42%
51%
23%
D 25
F 9
A/B/C 5
A/B/C 13
12%
91%
4%
4%
Proficient44612%
Basic107730%
Inter Algebra297%
Geometry20847%
Begin Algebra20947%
Inter Algebra13
23%
Geometry37
66%
F 12
A/B/C 594
D 92
F 194
D 6
A/B/C 171
D 12
F 26
A/B/C 190
D 9
F 9
Begin Algebra6
11%
68%
23%
82%
6%
83%
95%
100%
A/B/C 25 86%
Transition pathways from last community college math at nearby feeder colleges to first math at the local CSU campus
(STEM = Science, technology, engineering, math)
1%
6%
7%
42%
44%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Transitioned down at least one level fromCommunity College to CSU in same pathway
Took a math class at CSU similar to that passed atthe community college
Transitioned up at least one level in math fromCommunity College to CSU in same pathway
Transitioned to CSU general education pathwayfrom Community College STEM pathway
Transitioned to CSU STEM pathway fromCommunity College general education pathway
Exploratory Analysis on Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math (STEM) Pathways from Community College to University
Use classification and regression tree (CART) to predict degree based upon:
Highest level math completed at community collegeNumber of classes passed and units earned at a CC in
Biology, Chemistry, Physics, Mathematics
Financial aid, time at CC, time at university, time to degree, zip code
Whether student had same major in first and last university term
Ethnicity, gender, age, disability status
Using CART to Predict Degree
Highest level math completed at community college (available for n=2,764) correctly predicted 49% of balanced sample compared to 33% with random guess
Using all variables correctly predicted 76% of balanced sample compared to 33% with random guess
Using all variables correctly predicted 90% of total sample compared to 88% for guessing “other” for all degrees
Last Math <= 7 Units Bio <= 7.500
Units Health <= 0.750 Chem courses <= 0.500 Other Degree (1,019; 0.755)Chem courses > 0.500
Last math <= 6 Health Degree (154; 0.442)Last math >= 7 STEM Degree (52; 0.538)
Units Health > 0.750Time between CC and Univ <= -1.875 STEM Degree (50; 0.46)Time between CC and Univ > -1.875 Health Degree (126; 0.833)
Units Bio > 7.500 Time to degree <= 1.562 STEM Degree (37; 0.892)Time to degree > 1.562 Health Degree (687; 0.846)
Last Math >= 8 Health courses <= 0.500 STEM Degree (634; 0.852) Health courses > 0.500 Health Degree (60; 0.5)
Model using CART on balanced sample
How to Contact Us
Terrence WillettDirector of [email protected]
(831) 277-2690
Nathan PellegrinResearch Analyst
[email protected](619) 933-3973
Eden DahlstromAssistant Director of Regional Collaboration/Research Analyst
[email protected](530) 204-7129
www.calpass.org