Inbreeding and genetic disease in Sottunga, Finland

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AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL ANTHROPOLOGY 75:477-486 (1988) In breeding and Genetic Disease in Sottunga, Finland ELIZABETH O’BRIEN, LYNN B. JORDE, BJORN RONNLOF, JOHAN 0. FELLMAN, AND ALDUR W. ERIKSSON Department of Human Genetics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah 84132 (E.O., L.B.J.); Hallbrink 11, SF-21600 Pargas, Finland (B. R); Samfundet Folkhalsans Genetiska Institut, 00101 Helsinki 10, Finland (LB.J., J.O.R, A. WE.);Institute of Human Genetics, Faculty of Medicine, Free University, 1007 MC Amsterdam, The Netherlands (A.WE.) KEY WORDS Autosomal recessive diseases, Pedigree structure ABSTRACT The contribution of inbreeding to the prevalence of recessive genetic diseases in the Aland Island parish of Sottunga is investigated. Ge- nealogical data for 3,030 individuals spanning up to 15 generations were used to estimate inbreeding. This small island community shows a low average inbreeding value of .0031 for the period 1725-1975. A cohort analysis shows that inbreeding increased from 1750 to 1900, when maximum inbreeding for those born in Sottunga reached .0057. A sharp decline in inbreeding occurred thereafter. Individuals with island-born parents made the largest contributions to inbreeding in all time periods compared to those with one or two migrant parents. These trends are consistent with changing migration patterns and isolate breakdown in Aland since 1900. An analysis of pedigree development demonstrates that remote consanguinity contributed more to inbreeding through time than close consanguinity. Both the number of common ancestors and the number of paths of relationship between spouses increased dramati- cally through time, the latter at a much faster rate. The contribution to average inbreeding per path, however, diminished rapidly through time. This analysis indicates that inbreeding does not account for the high incidence of autosomal recessive disorders, such as tapetoretinal disease, found in the parish. Interest in the population genetics of the Aland Islands has its origin in von Wille- brand’s discovery of a rare bleeding disorder among members of three related families on one of the remote islands (von Willebrand, 1926).Since then, investigations of the distri- bution of von Willebrand disease in Aland have disclosed high frequencies of this auto- somal dominant disorder in conjunction with high frequencies of other genetic disorders that appear rarely elsewhere. In larger Eu- ropean populations, von Willebrand disease affects one in 20,000 individuals (Biggs, 1983). It occurs with frequencies > 10% on some of bland’s smaller, remote islands and as high as 20% in the parish of Sottunga (Lehmann et al., 1980; Forsius et al., 1980). Other autosomal dominant disorders, includ- ing three additional types of hemostatic de- fects, are also prevalent in Aland (Eriksson et al., 1980). Of direct interest to the present study are the several rare autosomal reces- sive diseases that occur with high frequency in the bland archipelago. For example, 26 cases of tapetoretinal disease were docu- mented among the outer island population, which numbered 1700 in 1960 (Forsius et al., 1980). In previous analyses of genetic diseases in Aland, extensive pedigrees have been assem- bled to demonstrate relatedness among fam- ilies with affected individuals. It has been suggested that the high incidences of auto- somal recessive disorders might be due to inbreeding (Forsius and Eriksson, 1970; Er- iksson, 1980).The mainland Finnish popula- tion also experiences high frequencies of a Received June 1,1987; accepted August 31,1987. 0 1988 ALAN R. LISS, INC

Transcript of Inbreeding and genetic disease in Sottunga, Finland

Page 1: Inbreeding and genetic disease in Sottunga, Finland

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL ANTHROPOLOGY 75:477-486 (1988)

In breeding and Genetic Disease in Sottunga, Finland ELIZABETH O’BRIEN, LYNN B. JORDE, BJORN RONNLOF, JOHAN 0. FELLMAN, AND ALDUR W. ERIKSSON Department of Human Genetics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah 84132 (E.O., L.B.J.); Hallbrink 11, SF-21600 Pargas, Finland (B. R); Samfundet Folkhalsans Genetiska Institut, 00101 Helsinki 10, Finland (LB.J., J.O.R, A. WE.); Institute of Human Genetics, Faculty of Medicine, Free University, 1007 MC Amsterdam, The Netherlands (A. WE.)

KEY WORDS Autosomal recessive diseases, Pedigree structure

ABSTRACT The contribution of inbreeding to the prevalence of recessive genetic diseases in the Aland Island parish of Sottunga is investigated. Ge- nealogical data for 3,030 individuals spanning up to 15 generations were used to estimate inbreeding. This small island community shows a low average inbreeding value of .0031 for the period 1725-1975. A cohort analysis shows that inbreeding increased from 1750 to 1900, when maximum inbreeding for those born in Sottunga reached .0057. A sharp decline in inbreeding occurred thereafter. Individuals with island-born parents made the largest contributions to inbreeding in all time periods compared to those with one or two migrant parents. These trends are consistent with changing migration patterns and isolate breakdown in Aland since 1900. An analysis of pedigree development demonstrates that remote consanguinity contributed more to inbreeding through time than close consanguinity. Both the number of common ancestors and the number of paths of relationship between spouses increased dramati- cally through time, the latter at a much faster rate. The contribution to average inbreeding per path, however, diminished rapidly through time. This analysis indicates that inbreeding does not account for the high incidence of autosomal recessive disorders, such as tapetoretinal disease, found in the parish.

Interest in the population genetics of the Aland Islands has its origin in von Wille- brand’s discovery of a rare bleeding disorder among members of three related families on one of the remote islands (von Willebrand, 1926). Since then, investigations of the distri- bution of von Willebrand disease in Aland have disclosed high frequencies of this auto- somal dominant disorder in conjunction with high frequencies of other genetic disorders that appear rarely elsewhere. In larger Eu- ropean populations, von Willebrand disease affects one in 20,000 individuals (Biggs, 1983). It occurs with frequencies > 10% on some of bland’s smaller, remote islands and as high as 20% in the parish of Sottunga (Lehmann et al., 1980; Forsius et al., 1980). Other autosomal dominant disorders, includ- ing three additional types of hemostatic de- fects, are also prevalent in Aland (Eriksson

et al., 1980). Of direct interest to the present study are the several rare autosomal reces- sive diseases that occur with high frequency in the bland archipelago. For example, 26 cases of tapetoretinal disease were docu- mented among the outer island population, which numbered 1700 in 1960 (Forsius et al., 1980).

In previous analyses of genetic diseases in Aland, extensive pedigrees have been assem- bled to demonstrate relatedness among fam- ilies with affected individuals. It has been suggested that the high incidences of auto- somal recessive disorders might be due to inbreeding (Forsius and Eriksson, 1970; Er- iksson, 1980). The mainland Finnish popula- tion also experiences high frequencies of a

Received June 1,1987; accepted August 31,1987.

0 1988 ALAN R. LISS, INC

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478 E. O'BRIEN ET AL

number of otherwise rare recessive genetic diseases. Some have attributed this to ge- netic drift as opposed to inbreeding (Nevan- linna, 1972; Norio et al., 1973). Some clarification is in order here, however, since the random component of inbreeding, the portion of inbreeding due to random mating in a finite population, is in fact the same process as genetic drift (Allen, 1965; Crow and Kimura, 1970).

This study is an analysis of total inbreed- ing (i.e., both random and nonrandom in- breeding) on one of the small, remote islands of the archipelago, Sottunga. Drawing upon genealogical data, estimates of inbreeding through time are presented, with detailed analyses of the pedigree structure from which these estimates are derived. The focus of this analysis is twofold. First, the development of inbreeding in a small and fairly isolated pop- ulation is characterized in detail. The exten- sive genealogical resources available in Aland for each parish provide a rare oppor- tunity to estimate the effects of remote in- breeding as well as of recent consanguinity. Second, the results of the inbreeding analysis are applied to clarify the origin of the preva- lence of genetic disease in Aland.

BACKGROUND

Sottunga is one of 16 Lutheran parish sub- divisions that have been treated in previous studies of Wland's population structure, de- mography, and regional genetic variation (Eriksson et al., 1971a-c; Mielke et al., 1976, 1982; Workman and Jorde, 1980; Carmelli and Jorde, 1982; Jorde et al., 1982). More detailed descriptions of Aland's population can be found in those papers; relevant details are recapitulated only briefly here.

The Aland Islands are known to have been inhabited since about 5,000 BC, and the Swedish origins of the island population are known from archeological and linguistic af- finity as well as from written records dating to the 14th century (Ericksson, 1980). Per- manent settlement in the more remote outer islands dates to the 12th century, and popu- lation estimates indicate a densely settled peasant population until the 18th century. A bottleneck occurred at the beginning of the 18th century, when the Great Northern War reduced the population of over 10,000 to about 5,200 by 1721. These individuals are considered to be the founders of the contem- porary Aland native population.

Eleven of bland's 16 parishes are on or near the main island, and five are dispersed among the outer islands of the archipelago. From 1750 until 1900, migration from out- side Aland remained low, about 2.5%, and parish endogamy remained high, as much as 86%. After 1900, migration increased among the islands and between the islands and Fin- land and Sweden, bringing about a general decrease in isolation. In addition, the outer islands have been depopulated since 1900 as individuals relocated in urban centers. Aland's single urban center, Mariehamn, was incorporated at about that time, and today over 40% of Aland's population lives there (Mielke et al., 1976).

The demographic, genetic, and migration characteristics of Aland and the progress of isolate breakdown are not identical among parishes. Migration matrix and genetic dis- tance analyses have shown greater gene flow among main island parishes than among outer island parishes and greater genetic dif- ferentiation among the remote parishes (Mielke et al., 1976; Workman and Jorde, 1980; Jorde et al., 1982). Sottunga was shown to have the lowest endogamy rates over a large portion of the time period 1750-1950. Excluding individuals not born in Aland, Sot- tunga was also shown to have the most diver- gent gene frequencies of any parish (Mielke et al., 1976). Others have shown that, al- though Sottunga received few immigrants from Aland's other parishes, immigrants from Sweden and Finland came in numbers that effectively offset drift effects on gene fre- quencies after 1900 (Jorde et al., 1982; Car- melli and Jorde, 1982). Including immigrants from outside Aland, Sottunga's gene frequen- cies were shown to be similar to Aland's main island region by 1929. At that time, more than 20% of Sottunga's spouses had come from Sweden and Finland (Jorde et al., 1982).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Sottunga's Lutheran parish registry pro- vided the main source of information from which genealogies were constructed by one of us (B.R.), an island native. The registries designate dates and locations of birth, mar- riage, and death. The genealogies were com- piled by working back in time from the contemporary population of about 250 indi- viduals; the data now consist of a total of 3,292 individuals and over 800 nuclear fam- ilies. The genealogical information spans

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three centuries and up to 15 generations for some individuals. Vital information from the parish registries is considered fairly com- plete since at least 1750 (Mielke et al., 1976). Of the 3,292 individuals, 1,860 were born on Sottunga between 1690 and 1986.

The inbreeding coefficients for each indi- vidual were estimated using the full depth of an individual’s known pedigree. Closer anal- ysis of trends through time were made by cohort division and again by comparing av- erage values through time for individuals born on the island as opposed to those who migrated to Sottunga from elsewhere. In ad- dition, the data were subdivided according to the migration status of parents, i.e., whether both, neither, or one was Sottunga-born. The contributions of each parent migration class to inbreeding through time were anlayzed. The relative contributions of close and re- mote consanguinity to inbreeding were eval- uated by calculating the number of unique common ancestors, total pedigree paths through a n ancestors, and per path contri- butions to F for inbred individuals.

RESULTS Unless otherwise stated, the following

analyses are based on 3,030 individuals; 262 were excluded because their birth years were unknown. In the analyses that follow, “inbred” individuals refer to those having one or more ancestors common to the mater- nal and paternal sides of their pedigree. Fig- ure 1 shows the distribution of the total population and the inbred portion of it by 25- year cohort. Cohort sizes increased until 1825 and sharply declined after 1875, demonstrat- ing the effects of emigration. The inbred por- tion of the population (N = 660) follows roughly the same pattern, with a less dra- matic incline and a slightly later maximum. In Figure 1 (and in those that follow) post- 1950 values are based on a dramatically re- duced cohort size of three births. This figure demonstrates the considerable aging of the outer island populations as younger individ- uals have sought economic opportunities elsewhere.

Following the same cohort scheme of Fig- ure 1, Figure 2 shows average inbreeding values for the total population and for those born on Sottunga. The graph shows a general increase in inbreeding for both classes from 1750 until 1900, when peak inbreeding reaches .0039 and .0057 for the total popula-

tion and for those born on Sottunga, respec- tively. Inbreeding declines precipitously thereafter, even as birth cohorts decline in size. The average inbreeding value for the total population over all time periods is .0021, and for those born on Sottunga it is slightly higher, .0031. The decline of inbreeding on Sottunga depicted in Figure 2 is consistent with the pattern of isolate breakdown through Aland, which began about 1900.

To explore further the effects of migration patterns on inbreeding, the temporal evalu- ation was extended to include parental mi- gration histories. The population was divided according to four parent migration cate- gories: 1) neither parent born on Sottunga, 2) father alone born on Sottunga, 3) mother alone born on Sottunga, and 4) both parents born on Sottunga. The number of individuals in each parent migration class and the aver- age inbreeding coefficient for each class were calculated for each 25-year cohort. Figure 3 shows the distribution of all individuals ac- cording to their parental migration status. The largest class of individuals in earlier time periods is the “father alone” class and in later time periods the “both parent” class. Figure 4 shows the distribution of inbreeding among parental migration classes. From Fig- ure 4 it is clear that the individuals whose parents were both born on Sottunga account for the vast majority of inbreeding in every time period. Of particular note is that the “father alone” class barely contributes to in- breeding in any time period and the “mother alone” class only prior to 1875.

Comparing the distributions of individuals (Fig. 3) and average inbreeding per class (Fig. 4) demonstrates two interesting points. Whereas the number of individuals in the “both parent” class increases steadily until 1875 and then declines, their contribution to inbreeding is fairly stable, with one notable peak for those born 1876-1900. The maxi- mum contribution to inbreeding for this class occurs later than the peak class size suggest- ing that overall inbreeding is not merely a function of the number inbred. In addition, prior to 1875, the “father alone” class is larger in size than the “mother alone” class but contributes less to inbreeding.

The disparities in contribution to inbreed- ing among the parent migration classes are to some extent the result of differential pedi- gree information. Although spouses who were both born on Sottunga surely have a

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480

I- 200 t h 150 S

100

50

0,

E. O’BRIEN ET AL.

--

--

-- . . * .

-- * . . . . . . . . * , , . . , .

Cohort

Fig. 1. Size of 25-year birth cohorts and numbers inbred, 1750-1975.

t 0.007

0.006

t 0.001 \

Cohor t

Fig. 2. Average inbreeding in each 25-year cohort cal- culated for all individuals and for those born on Sottunga.

higher probability of being related, their pe- digree information is also more complete. In the case of differential contributions to F by the single parent categories, two explana- tions must be considered. First, there was the possibility that pedigree information was more limited for off-island wives if patro- nyms were sometimes unknown. The aver- age number of known ancestors is indeed much greater for those born on the island

(70) than for those born off the island (three). However, for those born off the island, there is no difference between men and women in number of known ancestors. Alternatively, the “father alone” class might be less inbred than the “mother alone” class because of dif- ferences in mate choice between these moth- ers and fathers. If in the earlier cohorts women and off-island husbands were more closely related on average than men and off-

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INBREEDING AND GENETIC DISEASE IN FINLAND

T a0

No. 150

100

50

0

Father

Mother

Bo th

1750 1775 1800 1825 lE50 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975

Cohort

Fig. 3. Numbers of individuals per parent migration class in each 25-year cohort.

- F

i 0.014

0.012

0.000 0'01 T I 0.006

0.004

1750 1775 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950

Nei ther

Father

@j Mother I- Both - -1 1975

481

Cohort

Fig. 4. Average inbreeding per parent migration class for each 25-year cohort.

island wives, then the observed result is ex- pected. This aspect of mate choice will be treated in a later investigation.

Table 1 reports the percent distribution of individuals among close and remote inbreed- ing classes through time. Table 1 is divided into 50-year cohorts, which give sufficient detail regarding the temporal pattern of the distribution. These figures demonstrate, first of all, that most members of each cohort are

not inbred. In the 1750 cohort, individuals fall into only two categories, those who are not inbred and those who are relatively highly inbred. Given shallow pedigree infor- mation, this distribution is expected. After the earliest cohort, the distribution of indi- viduals into various inbreeding classes fills out as pedigrees gain depth. Before 1900, the increases in inbreeding are due to a dimin- ishing proportion of noninbred individuals

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482 E. O'BRIEN ET AL.

120 T l o o t 80 i' 20

Ancestors 1 W".']

1750 1775 1800 l P 5 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975

Cohort Fig. 5. Average number of common ancestors and

paths for inbred individuals in each 25-year cohort.

0.014

0.012

0.01

0.008

0.006

0.004

0.002

0 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950

(31 per Path I '

1975

Cohort Fig. 6. Average contribution of each path to F for

inbred individuals.

TABLE 1. Percent distribution of each birth cohort among designated levels of inbreeding

F 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 Total

0 91 83 64 68 77 78 >0-.004 0 8 17 14 13 10 ,004-.008 0 3 7 4 5 3 ,008-,012 0 1 4 3 4 2 .012-,016 7 1 1 2 0 2 .016-,020 0 2 6 4 1 3 > .020 1 2 1 5 1 2

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and growing proportions in higher inbreed- ing classes. By 1900, a decline in overall in- breeding is seen. The proportion of those not inbred increases as migration patterns change, and the proportions in higher in- breeding classes generally decline.

The values in Table 1 specify levels of in- breeding, but they do not demonstrate the means by which these levels were achieved. Figure 5 shows the average number of ances- tors common to the parents of each inbred individual. In addition, the average number of paths through all common ancestors for each inbred individual is shown. As ex- pected, Figure 5 shows that both the number of paths and the number of ancestors in- creases through time as pedigrees gain depth. What is perhaps surprising is the dispropor- tionate increase in the average number of paths compared to ancestors. These quan- tities provide measures of how the pedigrees develop in complexity through time as a re- sult of consanguineous matings. Similar analyses of pedigree structure in other popu- lations are not available for comparison. However, in 1950, when the parents of inbred individuals averaged 26 common ancestors and more than 100 different paths of rela- tionship, it is clear that inbreeding coeffi- cients resulted from highly complex pedigree structures.

The relationship between paths and ances- tors described in Figure 5 is of particular interest when compared to the development of total inbreeding. The number of inbred individuals increased through time until 1875 and then declined. The maximum aver- age inbreeding coefficient, however, occurred later (after 1900), when the number of inbred individuals had begun to decrease. Figure 5 suggests that inbreeding continued to in- crease somewhat after 1875 because of devel- oping pedigree complexity despite dimin- ishing numbers of inbred individuals. Until 1850, the maximum number of common ancestors was 12. By 1950 the maximum was 41, although fewer than 25 pedigrees con- tained more than 20 common ancestors.

The graph in Figure 6 further elucidates the mechanisms by which inbreeding evolved in this population.-This figure shows the av- erage coefficient, F, per individual path in the pedigrees of inbred individuals. For com- parison, the overall average inbreeding coef- ficients for the same individuals are included. A rapid increase in the number of paths in the pedigrees of inbred individuals through

time is shown in Figure 5. A further charac- terization of those paths is shown in Figure 6, which demonstrates a very rapid decline in the average contribution of each path to F through time. Any path established at an early pgint in time will, of course, contribute less to F as the number of generations in the pedigree grows. However, the steady decline in the average contribution shows that more recent consanguinity (shallower paths) did not contribute as much to inbreeding as re- mote consanguinity. The associated trends in Figures 5 and 6 suggest that inbreeding after 1875 primarily was due to extensive com- plexity within pedigrees that developed con- tinuously from early time periods but that represent a small portion of the population.

DISCUSSION

The genealogical information from Sot- tunga presents a fairly unique view of the dynamics of inbreeding in the population. From pedigrees, we have documented a de- veloping pattern of inbreeding through time and, more importantly, the mechanisms by which the observed levels of inbreeding were achieved. Sottunga’s population size never grew much larger than 300 individuals. Mi- gration studies suggested that the island was an isolate within Aland, and one anal- ysis of gene frequencies (excluding immi- grants) also suggested an outlier status for the island. Preferred endogamy throughout much of Aland until about 1900 suggested the possibility of extreme inbreeding in the small remote islands such as Sottunga and consequently high prevalences of autosomal recessive disorders.

Comparison between populations on the basis of inbreeding estimates does not always provide a meaningful assessment of similar- ity or difference between them: The reference populations are not the same, and pedigree data are rarely comparable. However, com- parisons among many populations provide a rough scale of inbreeding against which to consider a population average. This study has shown that the majority of Sottunga’s population was not inbred throughout three centuries of genealogical history. It is not surprising, therefore, that Sottunga’s total average inbreeding, .0021, is lower than that of many isolates, such as the Samaritan pop- ulation (.0434; Bonne, 1963), the island pop- ulation of Tristan da Cunha (.0374; Roberts, 1967), or the considerably larger Hutterite S-

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leut (0.216; Mange, 1964). Sottunga’s aver- age inbreeding does, however, resemble post- 1900 estimates for southern European popu- lations, where inbreeding was also higher in previous times and declined as migration caused the breakup of isolates (McCullough and O’Rourke, 1986). It is also similar to some other island populations, such as Scot- land’s Orkney and Colonsay Islands (Roberts et al., 1979; Sheets, 1980).

The present analysis of Sottunga has shown that immigration and emigration counter- acted the continuous build-up of inbreeding that might otherwise have occurred in the absence of new additions to the gene pool. Marriage migration in particular seems to have had a strong impact on inbreeding and on the island’s gene frequencies (at least after 1900). Given Sottunga’s small population size, it is possible that migration was largely a function of mate availability, but the asso- ciation remains to be determined. The effect of a closed pedigree structure on inbreeding has been demonstrated in the Tristan da Cunha population (Roberts, 19671, among whom limited mate choices and very little immigration resulted in a slow increase of inbreeding through time.

Relethford (1986) has shown in historical Massachusetts that population growth can depress the rate of accumulated inbreeding in a population. He has also demonstrated that long-range migration reduces the effect of past accumulated inbreeding. In Tokelau (Ward et al., 19801, even limited population growth made available more unrelated mate possibilities and arrested the build-up of in- breeding, and after five generations, a stable population average was reached. However, the association between population growth and inbreeding depends on factors of mate preference in conjunction with availability. Among isolated communities of the Upper Appennines in Italy, for instance, population growth and inbreeding were positively cor- related from 1750 until about 1920. In that region, the increase in inbreeding was inter- preted to be a result of increased cousin mar- riages contracted, in part, to preserve wealth within families (Pettener, 1985). In Sottunga, cohort sizes increased together with inbreed- ing until 1850, after which the two variables show less similar trends. Migration after 1900 in Sottunga prevented further in- creases in inbreeding by introducing new ancestors.

An individual whose parents are related at the third cousin level has an inbreeding coef- ficient of .0039 and pedigree information (at least) four generations deep. Forty-seven per- cent of those inbred in Sottunga have in- breeding coefficients due to consanguinity more remote than that of third cousins, a proportion that does not include some of the larger inbreeding coefficients due to multiple remote relationships. The importance of re- mote inbreeding, demonstrated by Sottun- ga’s genealogies, was documented many years ago in the Ramah Navajo population (Spuhler and Kluckhohn, 1953). In that pop- ulation, a relatively low average inbreeding coefficient (.008) was estimated from pedi- grees eight generations deep. Nearly 60% of the Ramah Navajo average was due to con- sanguinity at the third cousin level and be- yond. Similarly, Roberts (1969) demonstrated a 50% difference in the impact of inbreeding on estimates of genetic load in Tristan da Cunha when paths of relationship beyond the nearest degree were considered.

One of the primary reasons for undertak- ing this study was to determine whether in- breeding could account for the high levels of recessive diseases observed in Sottunga and other outer island parishes. Consider a rare recessive disorder that affects 1110,000 indi- viduals (q2 = .OOOl> in the absence of in- breeding. If f = .005 the expected genotype 5 frequency becomes q (1 - f) + qf = .00015, or approximately 116,700 affected individu- als. Even if the gene frequency is high (q = .05), an inbreeding level of .005 increases the expected frequency of affected individuals from 11400 to only 11365. Thus the observed frequency of recessive tapetoretinal disease, greater than 1/65 individuals in the outer islands, is unexpectedly large at any level of inbreeding comparable to that observed in Sottunga.

It seems likely that the effects of small population size and drift, or random inbreed- ing, rather than nonrandom inbreeding, are responsibIe for the high frequencies of reces- sive diseases seen in Sottunga. This conclu- sion is supported by the apparently low nonrandom component of the total inbreed- ing value reported here and by two addi- tional lines of evidence. First, previous analyses of gene frequencies in Aland showed that the outer island parishes had relatively high levels of genetic variation (Fst = 0.014) because of small population sizes and isola-

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tion (Jorde et al., 1982). These results impli- cate drift as an important mechanism in some of the parish populations. Second, the extraordinarily high frequencies of von Wil- lebrand disease in the outer islands must be due to founder effects and drift, since this is an autosomal dominant disorder.

In this study, the random (because of finite population size) and nonrandom (because of mate choice preference) components of in- breeding have not been measured separately. Together, these aspects of inbreeding suggest a minor effect on elevating frequencies of autosomal recessive diseases in bland. How- ever, it remains to be understood whether inbreeding in Sottunga is close to that ex- pected by random mating or whether avoid- ance of consanguineous mating accounts for low inbreeding on the island. This question will be treated in a subsequent investigation.

It must be emphasized that our estimates of inbreeding, like all such estimates from genealogical data, are undervalued. Error in these estimates stems from two sources. First, though comparatively deep, the pedi- gree information extends for a limited num- ber of generations. Since the pedigree data are substantial only from about 1700, the “founders” of Sottunga are not a collection of unrelated individuals, as assumed by classi- cal models. Instead, some founders were probably related to one another and may have already carried multiple copies of the disease genes of interest. Second, pedigree information for immigrants is lacking, so that most of them are assumed to be unre- lated to their island-born spouses. However, many of these immigrants came from neigh- boring parishes, some of which undoubtedly shared ancestors (and disease genes) with Sottunga’s population. Both these considera- tions are important to an understanding of present-day disease prevalence in Sottunga resulting from past generations of random and nonrandom inbreeding.

This study has demonstrated how popula- tion genetic analyses can help to explain the distribution and prevalence of genetic dis- ease. A direct analysis of inbreeding among individuals affected by autosomal recessive diseases will be the subject of future studies.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis depicts the evolution of in- breeding in the small bland Island parish of Sottunga. In general, inbreeding increased

steadily from 1750 until just after 1900, when changes in migration patterns reduced isola- tion, reduced the population size, and de- creased inbreeding. The Sottunga pedigrees suggest low estimates of overall inbreeding (F = .0021) for a small island population because of both immigration and emigration. The great disparity in the relative contribu- tions of migrants vs. nonmigrants to inbreed- ing clearly demonstrates the mitigating effects of migration on inbreeding in this pop- ulation. The dramatic build-up of remote con- sanguinity shown in the analysis of path and ancestor contributions demonstrates the sub- stantial impact of pedigree depth and com- plexity on estimates of inbreeding. However, in Sottunga, migration limited those effects as developing pedigrees were truncated and new ancestors introduced. Finally, the high incidence of some autosomal recessive disor- ders in Sottunga is likely the result of foun- der effects and drift rather than nonrandom inbreeding. The excessive frequencies and similar distributions of autosomal dominant disorders, such as von Willebrand disease, further substantiate this conclusion.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Inbreeding coefficients were calculated us- ing a computer algorithm written by Dr. An- thony Boyce, adapted and modified by Dr. Richard Kerber. We thank Dr. James Mielke, Kari Pitkanen, and two anonymous review- ers for helpful comments on this work. Dr. Alan Rogers’ insightful criticisms of the manuscript are much appreciated. This re- search was supported by NSF grant BNS- 8319448 and by grants from the Sigrid Juse- lius Foundation, Helsinki.

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