IMS Predictive Technologies for Self-Maintenance ...14/1200_Lunch-Alex_Schwarzkop… · 1. Won PHM...

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www.imscenter.net © Copyright IMS Center, 2013. All Rights Reserved. IMS Predictive Technologies for Self-Maintenance Industrial Systems NSF I/UCRC since 2001 Jay Lee Ohio Eminent Scholar, L.W. Scott Alter Chair, and Distinguished Research Professor Univ. of Cincinnati [email protected] & Director NSF Industry/University Cooperative Research Center on Intelligent Maintenance Systems (IMS) Univ. of Cincinnati, Univ. of Michigan, Missouri Univ, of S&T , Univ. of Texas-Austin

Transcript of IMS Predictive Technologies for Self-Maintenance ...14/1200_Lunch-Alex_Schwarzkop… · 1. Won PHM...

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IMS Predictive Technologies for Self-Maintenance Industrial Systems

NSF I/UCRC since 2001

Jay Lee

Ohio Eminent Scholar, L.W. Scott Alter Chair, and Distinguished Research Professor Univ. of Cincinnati

[email protected] &

Director NSF Industry/University Cooperative Research Center on

Intelligent Maintenance Systems (IMS) Univ. of Cincinnati, Univ. of Michigan, Missouri Univ, of S&T, Univ. of Texas-Austin

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The IMS Center

 

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Drivers and Transformation Technologies 2001

Unexpected

Breakdowns

��

Common Issues

Costly Downtime and Constrained

Productivity

Reactive Approach to Service (Ad Hoc and Firefighting)

Excessive Warranty

Costs

Too Much or Incomplete Data or

Not in Useful Format

IMS

Focus

�Degradation

Modeling

Predictive Informatics Tools (PHM)

Maintenance Analytics &

Decision Support Tools

Common Attributes &

Needs Multi-Sensor Data

Fusion

Degradation Assessment and

Prediction

Retrievable Information from

Anywhere at Anytime

�������Fail & Fix (FAF) ! Predict & Prevent (PAP)

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Principal Components Performance Feature

200 210 220 230 240 250 260 270 280 3

3.5 4

4.5 5

5.5 6

6.5 7

7.5

Cycle Number

Prin

cipa

l Com

pone

nt

Actual Data Prediction Actual Data Prediction Uncertainty

Prediction of �Machine Performance Life

Predictive Analytics and Instrumentation

Normal Behavior

Most Recent Behaviorr

Health Feature Radar Chart

00.20.40.60.81 Bearing

1

0

Degradation

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Visible Invisible

Solve

Avoid

IMS Research Transformation Strategy

Problem Solving Through Instrumentation, Analysis, and Demonstration

Utilize New Knowledge/ Technologies For Prediction and Smart Information

Utilize New Methods/ Techniques to Understand The Unknown Problems

Innovation using Smarter Models For Unknown Knowledge

2010- 2020 2000-2010

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Wind Turbine Health Monitoring System

www.windturbinephm.com

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NI LabVIEW Watchdog Agent® Toolkit�

Gray icons are LabVIEW built-in functions

FEATURES FEATURES FEATURES

HEALTH INDEX

HEALTH INDEX

HEALTH INDEX

FUTURE HEALTH

FUTURE HEALTH

FUTURE HEALTH

ROOT CAUSE

ROOT CAUSE

ROOT CAUSE

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Global Industry Partners (80)

CANADA • Syncrude

BELGIUM • FMTC

CHINA •  CEPREI •  CEI •  Sinovel •  Beijing Shenzhou Software •  AITRI Shanghai •  Sany Heavy Industry

FINLAND • Kone

FRANCE • Alstom

GERMANY •  FORCAM •  Siemens

HONGKONG • Metron Hongkong Ltd.

JAPAN • Omron Corporation • Nissan • Hitachi • Komatsu • Mitsubishi Heavy Industry

• Toshiba Corporation

KOREA •  Samsung Semiconductor •  Samsung (Electro-Mechanics

SPAIN • Tekniker

TAIWAN •  HIWIN •  III •  PMC •  MIRDC •  Psi •  ITRI •  Delta Electronics •  Tongtai Machine Tool

BRAZIL • CETA/SENAI

USA •  P&G •  NI •  Parker •  Goodyear •  Boeing •  GE •  Woodward •  API •  GCWW •  TechSolve •  Applied Materials (2) •  LAM •  TI •  Micron •  Canrig •  Raytheon •  Emerson •  Idaho Nat. Lab •  Ingersoll Rand •  Spirit Aerosystems •  21st Century Systems •  Avetec •  Eaton •  Kistler • 

• SCK • HRL • Ford • Intel • Caterpillar • BorgWarner • Montronix • Daimler-Chrysler • Harley-Davidson • Johnson Controls

• Chevron •  ETAS • USPS • Festo • Cisco • Coherix • EDAptive

• Genex • Toyota • Inteligistics • Prometec • Rockwell

• Siemens TTB • Bosch • McKinsey & Co. • United Technologies

• We Energies

LEGEND: • Active Member • Past Member

CHINA •  China State Ship Co. •  Dongling Tech •  Haier •  Shanghai Electric •  Bao Stell •  Saanxi Heavy Truck

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IMS Major Impacts 1. Won PHM (Prognostics and Health Mgt) Data Challenges Competition for 2008 (1st and 3rd) ,2009 (1st, 2nd, 3rd), 2010 (3rd), 2011 (1st and 3rd), 2012 (3rd), 2013 (3rd, 4th, 5th). 2. Ranked the highest Economic Impacts (1:270) by NSF Economic Impact Study Report in 2012. 3. NSF ICorps Award (2012) for New Company Spin Off-Predictronics 4. NI for IMS License Trials started in Oct. 2011—NI Toolkit Official Global Licensing Will Start 2014. 5. 85% of IMS students joined IMS member companies (including GM, Boeing, GE, Siemens, Cummins, Caterpillar, Parker, Eaton, Goodyear, FORCAM, UTRC, Bosch, etc.)

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Agility Business Model Contagiousness Delivery Excellence (Education, Execution, Energy, Entrepreneurship, etc.)

Key Attributes of A Sustainable I/UCRC