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SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE FLAGSHIP
Improved estimation of biomass accumulation by
environmental plantings and mallee plantings using
FullCAM
K. Paul1, S. Roxburgh
1, J. Raison
1, J. Larmour
1, J. England
1, S. Murphy
2, J. Norris
2, P. Ritson
3, K. Brooksbank
3, T.
Hobbs4, C. Neumann
4, T. Lewis
5, Z. Read
6, D. Clifford
1, L. Kmoch
1, M. Rooney
7, D. Freudenberger
7, J. Jonson
8, A.
Peck9, R. Giles
9, J. Bartle
9, G. McAurthur
10, D. Wildy
11, A. Lindsay
5, N. Preece
12, S. Cunningham
13, T. Powe
14, J.
Carter1, R. Bennett
1, D. Mendham
1, R. Sudmeyer
5, B. Rose
15, D. Butler
16, L. Cohen
17, T. Fairman
2, R. Law
2, B.
Finn2, M. Brammar
2, G. Minchin
18, P. van Oosterzee
12 and A. Lothian
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31st
October 2013 (Up-dated on 26th
May 2014)
Prepared for: Department of the Environment
CSIRO Sustainable Agriculture Flagship, and CSIRO Ecosystems Sciences
1CSIRO,
2Victorian Department of Environment and Primary Industries,
3Department of Agriculture and Food, WA,
4SA Department of Environment, Water and
Natural Resources, 5
Queensland Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, 6
Australian National University, 7Greening Australia,
8Threshold
Environmental, 9WA Department of Environment and Conservation,
10AusCarbon Pty Ltd.,
11Fares Rural Pty Ltd.,
12Biocarbon Pty Ltd.,
13Monash University,
14Greenfleet Pty Ltd.,
15Carbon Neutral Pty Ltd.,
16Queensland Department of Science, Information Technology, Innovation and the Arts,
17Canopy, trading
name of Australian Carbon Biosequestration Initiative Ltd (ACBI), 18
Lachlan Catchment Management Authority.
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Citation
K. Paul, S. Roxburgh, J. Raison, J. Larmour, J. England, S. Murphy, J. Norris, P. Ritson, K. Brooksbank, T.
Hobbs, C. Neumann, T. Lewis, Z. Read, D. Clifford, L. Kmoch, M. Rooney, D. Freudenberger, J. Jonson,
A. Peck, R. Giles, J. Bartle, G. McAurthur, D. Wildy, A. Lindsay, N. Preece, S. Cunningham, T. Powe, J.
Carter, R. Bennett, D. Mendham, R. Sudmeyer, B. Rose, D. Butler, L. Cohen, T. Fairman, R. Law, B.
Finn, M. Brammar, G. Minchin, P. van Oosterzee and A. Lothian. (2013) Improved estimation of
biomass accumulation by environmental planting and mallee plantings using FullCAM. Report for The
Department of the Environment. CSIRO Sustainable Agriculture Flagship, Canberra, Australia.
Copyright and disclaimer
© 2013 CSIRO To the extent permitted by law, all rights are reserved and no part of this publication
covered by copyright may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any means except with the
written permission of CSIRO.
Important disclaimer
CSIRO advises that the information contained in this publication comprises general statements based
on scientific research. The reader is advised and needs to be aware that such information may be
incomplete or unable to be used in any specific situation. No reliance or actions must therefore be
made on that information without seeking prior expert professional, scientific and technical advice.
To the extent permitted by law, CSIRO (including its employees and consultants) excludes all liability
to any person for any consequences, including but not limited to all losses, damages, costs, expenses
and any other compensation, arising directly or indirectly from using this publication (in part or in
whole) and any information or material contained in it.
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Contents
Abbreviations used in this report ....................................................................................................................... 5
Definitions .......................................................................................................................................................... 6
1 Executive summary ............................................................................................................................. 11
2 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 14
3 Methodological aspects ...................................................................................................................... 15
3.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 15
3.2 Sampling Error .......................................................................................................................... 15
3.3 Precision sampling: increased efficiency of measurement ...................................................... 19
3.4 Rapid measurement techniques ............................................................................................... 20
3.5 Planted area calculation ........................................................................................................... 22
3.6 Sampling error when deriving allometrics ............................................................................... 24
4 New biomass estimates ...................................................................................................................... 26
4.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 26
4.2 Methodology ............................................................................................................................ 26
4.3 Allometrics for the estimation of above-ground biomass........................................................ 27
4.4 Site average root-to-shoot ratios ............................................................................................. 27
4.5 Testing of allometrics ............................................................................................................... 29
4.6 Estimates of mean annual biomass increment ........................................................................ 30
4.7 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................... 31
5 Database analysis ................................................................................................................................ 32
5.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 32
5.2 Methodology ............................................................................................................................ 32
5.3 Allometrics ................................................................................................................................ 38
5.4 Uncertainty in above-ground biomass estimates..................................................................... 42
5.5 Analysis of factors influencing biomass .................................................................................... 44
5.6 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................... 53
6 Calibration of FullCAM ........................................................................................................................ 54
6.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 54
6.2 Methodology ............................................................................................................................ 55
6.3 Calibration of the Tree Yield Formula ....................................................................................... 57
6.4 Implementation considerations ............................................................................................... 65
6.5 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................... 71
7 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................................... 73
8 References .......................................................................................................................................... 75
9 Appendix ............................................................................................................................................. 81
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Acknowledgments
The project was funded largely by The Department of the Environment. Additional financial support
for this project was provided by Vic DEPI, while significant in-kind support in the form of assistance
with field work was provided by Vic DEPI (10 sites), DAFWA (7 sites), SA DEWNR (3 sites), Qld DAFF (3
sites), LCMA (2 sites), ANU (1 site), Qld DSITIA (1 site) and Threshold Environmental (1 site).
Technical support was provided by Alex Drew, Gordon McLachlan, Craig Baillie, Paul Warburton, Gary
Bastin (all CSIRO), Byron Yeo, Alex Winter, Mike Cully, Len Norris and Bob Hingston (all DAFWA),
Katelyn Ryan and Mervyn Tucker (both SA DEWNR), Scott Swift (Qld DAFF) and Dailiang Peng
(Chinese Academy of Science). ANUCLIM applications were undertaken by Jenny Kesteven (ANU).
For providing broad guidance with FullCAM growth curve calibrations and issues associated with
implementation of these calibrations, we thank: Matt Searson, Rob Sturgis, Brendan Pippen, Rochelle
Christian and particularly Rob de Ligt (The Department of the Environment). For providing broad
guidance with this work, including site selection and facilitating the collation of data, we thank: Craig
Barton and Fabiano Ximenes (NSW DPI), Gavin Kay (Terrain NRM), Keith Smith (Qld DSITIA), John
McGrath, Paul Turnbull (FFI CRC), Simon Dawkins (OMA), John Field (ANU), Angela Higgins (Lachlan
CMA), Gavin Kay (Terrain NRM), Tom Baker and Lauren Bennett (The University of Melbourne), Jason
Cummings (Greening Australia), Ray Wilson and Mariana Brekalo (Carbon Neutral), Kent Broad
(AusCarbon Pty Ltd.), Harry Roberts (SA Water), Ben Keogh (Australian Carbon Traders Pty Ltd.),
Richard Smith (previously Landcare Australia), Matthew O'Connor and Helen Burnie (Regenesis),
Richard Harper and Stan Sochacki (Murdoch University), Euan Beaumont (Carbon Diversity), Brendan
Vollemaere (Citola Pty Ltd.) and Peter Milthorpe.
We are also indebted to the landowners who gave us permission to harvest trees on their properties,
including Ingrid Davies, Greg Moir, David and Michael McFall, Philip Henseleit, Alan Piggott, John
Pepal, Audrey Bird, Norm Quicke, James Williams, Leo Rijs, Robert Temby, Joe Angel, Mitch Kemp,
Len Storey, Greg Carmody, Rob Batters, Dennis Watts, Trevor Campbell, Leo Tellefson, Rodney
Milthorpe, Chris Jones, Rob Rich, Bendigo City Council, John Toll, Elders Forestry, Trevor and Muriel
Muirhead, Gladstone Area Water Board, Tony and Trudy Woodall, Graeme Fitzgerald, Ross Battern,
David Sutton and Tony and Trudy Woodall.
Drs Mike Battaglia, Phil Polglase and Kelvin Montagu are thanked for their thorough review of this
report.
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Abbreviations used in this report
ANU Australian National University
BA Basal area of a single tree (m2) or group of trees (m2 ha-1)
CF Correction factor (Snowdon 1991) used to correct for bias in back
transformations
%CV Coefficient of variation (standard deviation divided by the mean x100)
Class 1 New above-ground biomass measures or estimates obtained from this study
CVI Canopy Volume Index, calculated as Ht x CW1 x CW2 (m3)
CW Canopy width (m)
DAFF Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry
DBH Diameter of the stem measured at breast height (or 130 cm) (cm)
D10, D30 etc. Diameter of the stem measured at 10 cm, 30 cm, etc. height (cm)
DAFWA Department of Agriculture and Food WA
EF Model efficiency, increasing performance as values approach 1.0 (or 100%)
FullCAM Full Carbon Accounting Model
FFI CRC Future Farm Industries Cooperative Research Centre
GA Greening Australia
GRTS Generalised Random Tesselation Stratified sampling
Ht Tree or shrub height (m)
IBRA Interim Biogeographic Regionalisation of Australia
LCMA Lachlan Catchment Management Authority
Lox Eucalyptus loxophleba subsp. lissophloia
M Forest biomass at maturity as defined by Richards and Brack (2004a)
MAR Mean annual rainfall (mm) over the period of growth
N Number of observations within the dataset
NIS National Inventory System
NSW DPI NSW Department of Primary Industries
OMA Oil Mallee Association
Pavg Forest productivity index as defined by Kesteven et al. (2004)
Poly Eucalyptus polybractea
PropTree Proportion of total individuals within a planting which are eucalypt trees
Qld DSITIA Queensland Department of Science, Information Technology, Innovation and
the Arts
Qld DAFF Queensland Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry
UWA University of Western Australia
R:S Root-to-shoot ratio, with the boundary being defined as ground level
SA DEWNR Department of Environment, Water and Natural Resources SA
Stdev. Standard deviation of the mean
sph Stems per hectare
Vic DEPI Department of Environment and Primary Industries Victoria
WA DEC WA Department of Environment and Conservation
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Definitions
ANUCLIM
A bioclimatic analysis and prediction model. It enables users to obtain estimates, in point and grid
form, of monthly, seasonal and annual mean climate variables from supplied climate surfaces.
(http://fennerschool.anu.edu.au/research/products/anuclim)
Belt planting
Plantings that are established in a linear configuration. Belt plantings can follow contours or be
arranged in straight lines and can have geometry that is either ‘narrow linear’ or ‘wide linear’ with
the spacing between the Belts as defined below.
Block planting
Plantings that are established in a Block configuration. That is, the planting configuration:
a. Does not conform to either ‘narrow linear geometry’ or ‘wide linear geometry’(as
defined below)
b. Is not comprised of a single row,
c. Is consistent with the definition of a forest as defined in the CFI Regulations.
The treatment of spacing between blocks is consistent with the CFI Mapping Guidelines. These
Guidelines provide that Exclusion Areas are defined for: (i) features greater than 5 m in width, or (ii)
areas less than 5 m in width that total more than 5 per cent of the Project Area.
CFI Mapping Guidelines
Guidelines of that name, as published from time to time on the Department of the Environments
website.
Domain
The set of permissible values (either numerated or descriptive) of an attribute for which a function is
defined and for which valid inferences may be made. These include;
a. Age domain. It is recommended that this range only between a stand age of zero to 15
years.
b. Spatial domain. The geographic area over which the new growth curve calibrations are
applicable. ANUCLIM was used to fit continuous mathematical surfaces to measured
meteorological data and predict the full climatic extent where the new growth curve
calibrations can be applied based on the location and climate profiles of the sites from
which the new growth curve calibrations were derived. Each new growth curve
calibration will only be available within its Spatial Domain.
c. Regime domain.
Defined in accordance with the species, planting geometry, stocking density and for
Mixed-species Environmental Planting, also the tree proportion.
i. Species. The taxa that contribute to defining the applicability of a new
growth curve calibration, and includes:
- Mixed species environmental plantings – Temperate
- Mixed species environmental plantings – Tropical
- Mallee Planting – Eucalyptus loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
- Mallee Planting – E. polybractea
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-Mallee Planting – ‘Other’ Mallee including species of E. kochii, E. kochii ssp.
borealis, and E. kochii ssp. plenissima
ii. Planting geometry. The planting configuration, and includes:
- Narrow linear planting
- Wide linear planting
- Block planting
iii. Stocking density. See definition below.
iv. Tree proportion. The proportion of individual live trees relative to the total of
individual live trees and shrubs in a mixed-species environmental planting.
Carbon Estimation Area (CEA)
A sub-set of the wider Project Area that has a planting which is homogenous for the purpose of
abatement calculations (species composition, planting geometry, stand density and for
environmental plantings, tree proportion) and with consistent site characteristics (i.e. soil type,
aspect, position on slope), as well as the same management regime, and which has been established
within a 180 day period.
Densely stocked planting
Plantings where, after the first 3 years post-establishment, the number of individuals per hectare
remains relatively high at; (a) >1,500 individuals per hectare, in mixed-species environmental
plantings; or (b) >2,300 individuals per hectare, in mallee eucalypt plantings.
Mallee
Any of various Australian species of Eucalyptus that generally have multiple stems arising from a
large underground lignotuber. Individuals usually have a flattened crown that rarely exceeds 6 m in
height.
Mallee eucalypt planting
A planting, on ex-agricultural land (i.e. land cleared of forest and used primarily for agriculture for at
least five years prior to planting being established), of a single Australian species of mallee eucalypt.
Mallee eucalypt plantings have the potential to attain a crown cover of at least 20 per cent and a
height of 2 metres in the place where they are established. Establishment may be undertaken using a
range of management practices such as weed spraying and soil preparation. Included under this
definition of plantings are the species:
a. Eucalyptus loxophleba ssp. lissophloia L.A.S. Johnson & K.D. Hill (smooth bark york gum),
b. E. polybractea R.T. Baker (blue mallee) and
c. ‘Other’ mallee including E. kochii and sub-species comprising:
i. E. kochii, Maiden & Blakely, and/or
ii. E. kochii ssp. borealis C.A. Gardner, and/or
iii. E. kochii ssp. plenissima C.A. Gardner
All other mallee species known to be planted that are not applicable to the findings of this report
include:
a. plantings that have a mix of two or more of the mallee eucalypt species included under this
definition (E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia, E. polybractea, E. kochii, E. kochii ssp. borealis and
E. kochii ssp. plenissima; and
b. plantings of one or more of mallee species such as, but not limited to: E. horistes, E.
calycogona, E. cneorifolia [Kangaroo Island CS20275], E. cyanophylla [Loxton cult.], E.
dumosa, E. gracilis [Loxton cult.], E. incrassata, E. leptophylla, E. oleosa, E. plenissima, E.
porosa, and E. socialis
Mixed-species environmental planting
A planting that consists of a mixture of tree and shrub species that:
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a. include species which are native to the local area of the planting; and
b. include species which are sourced from seeds:
i. from within the natural distribution of the species; and
ii. that are appropriate to the biophysical characteristics of the area of the planting;
and
c. may be a mix of trees, shrubs, and understorey species where the mix reflects the structure
and composition of the local native vegetation community, and
d. are established through planting (e.g. tube stock, direct seeding or broadcast seeding).It does
not include mixed-species regenerated naturally without planting seeds or seedlings (i.e.
natural regeneration or regrowth).
Narrow linear planting geometry
Where the spatial configuration of a planting is:
a. For mixed-species environmental plantings established in either rows (using tube-stock or
direct-seeding) or random (using tube-stock and/or broadcast-seeding) where:
i. the distance between stems of the outermost trees or shrubs (random plantings) or
rows of the planting is greater than zero but 20 m or less across; and
ii. the distance between the stems of trees or shrubs at the outermost edge of the
plantings is at least 40 m from the stems of any adjacent planting; and
iii. where there is no impact from adjacent trees (defined as a tree growing within the
area 20 m perpendicular to the long axis of the planting (measured from the outer
stems) and which has a potential to develop a crown that extends >5 m across at its
widest point).
b. For mallee eucalypt plantings:
i. a Belt planting of two rows of trees (from tube-stock or direct-seeding); and
ii. where the distance between the stems of the outermost rows of trees in a Belt is at
least 40 m from the stems of any adjacent planting; and
iii. where there is no impact from adjacent trees (defined as a tree growing within the
area 20 m perpendicular to the long axis of the planting (measured from the outer
stems) and which has a potential to develop a crown that extends >5 m across at its
widest point).
Planted area
The spatial area defining the planting that, as per a Carbon Estimation Area, is homogenous for the
purpose of abatement calculations and has consistent physical characteristics and is established and
managed in a consistent way. In this project, the planted area of each FullCAM calibration site was
used to estimate carbon abatement where:
a. For blocks or belts in which plants are established in rows:
i. the location of the outside edge of the long axis of the rows is a distance
from the outer row of stems one half of the average spacing between trees
within rows within the planted area;
ii. the location of the outside edge perpendicular to rows is a distance from the
outer row of stems one half of the average spacing between trees within the
planted area;
iii. the location of an edge internal to the planting perimeter bordering on an
exclusion area is a distance of one half of the average width of the rows
within the planted area from the outermost stem; and
iv. requirements for the minimum area of the planting and exclusion areas are
set out in the CFI Mapping Guidelines; and
b. For blocks or belts in which plants are established randomly (i.e. not in rows):
i. the location of any outside edge from the outer stems is equal to zero
meters from the outer stems;
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ii. the location of an edge internal to the planting perimeter bordering on an
exclusion area is equal to zero meters from the outermost stem; and
iii. requirements for the minimum area of the planting and exclusion areas are
set out in the CFI Mapping Guidelines.
Project area
A spatial area of land on which the set of activities is carried out. Subsets of a Project Area include
CEAs and Exclusion Areas (including the space between adjacent plantings).
Shrub
A perennial plant that has primary supporting structures consisting of secondary xylem. For the
purposes of establishing the tree Proportion, a shrub does not have (or does not have the potential
to attain) a stem diameter measurement at breast height (130 cm height).
Sparsely stocked planting
Plantings where, after the first 3 years post-establishment, the number of individuals per hectare
remains relatively low at; (a) 500-1,500 individuals per hectare, in mixed-species environmental
plantings; or (b) <2,300 individuals per hectare, in mallee eucalypt plantings.
Stand density or stocking density
The number of live trees and shrubs per hectare. Excludes non-woody plants, and plants with other
life forms (i.e. ground-covers and grasses). Stand or stocking density is taken to be equivalent to
stems per hectare and for multi-stemmed individuals a single stem is counted.
Stems or multi-stems
A stem is the main woody structural component of the above-ground portion of a tree or shrub.
Although it may branch into multiple stems at heights between 10 and 130 cm from the ground
where stem diameters were measured, in this report these multi-stemmed trees or shrubs are
assigned a single stem equivalent size. The numerous stem-branches of small diameters were
converted to an equivalent single stem value.
Tree
A perennial plant that has primary supporting structures consisting of secondary xylem. For the
purposes of establishing the tree proportion, a tree has (or has the potential to attain) a stem
diameter measurement at breast height (130 cm height).
Tree-dominant planting
Mixed-species environmental plantings that have at least 75% of live individuals of tree growth-habit.
That is, the proportion of trees in the planting is ≥0.75. The definition of a tree was made in relation
to species. A species was classified as having a tree growth habit if it was (or has the potential to
attain) a stem diameter measurement at breast height (130 cm height).
Tropical planting
A planting that consists of a mixture of tree and shrub species that:
b. are native to the local area of the planting; and
c. are sourced from seeds:
i. from within the natural distribution of the species; and
ii. that are appropriate to the biophysical characteristics of the area of the
planting; and
d. may be a mix of trees, shrubs, and understorey species where the mix reflects the
structure and composition of the local native vegetation community,
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e. are established through tube stock, direct seeding or broadcast seeding. That is it
does not include mixed-species regenerated naturally without planting seeds or
seedlings (i.e. natural regeneration or regrowth), and
f. are in tropical regions of Australia classified as having hot (or warm) humid summers
as per the temperature/humidity zones of climate classification of BOM (2006).
Very sparsely stocked planting
Plantings where, after the first 3 years post-establishment, the number of individuals per hectare
remains very low at <500 individuals per hectare in mixed-species environmental plantings.
Wide linear planting geometry
Where the spatial configuration of a planting is:
a. For mixed-species environmental plantings established in either rows (from tube-stock or
direct-seeding) or randomly (from tube-stock and/or broadcast-seeding) where:
i. the distance between the stems of the outermost trees or shrubs (random plantings)
or rows of the planting, in the narrowest dimension, is greater than 20 m across, but
less than 40 m; and
ii. the distance between the stems of trees or shrubs at the outermost edge of the
plantings is at least 40 m from the stems of any adjacent planting; and
iii. there is no impact from adjacent trees (defined as a tree growing within the area 20
m perpendicular to the long axis of the planting (measured from the outer stems)
and which has a potential to develop a crown that extends >5 m across at its widest
point).
b. For mallee eucalypt plantings:
i. A Belt planting of three to eight rows of trees (from tube-stock or direct-seeding);
and
ii. where the distance between the outermost rows of trees in a Belt is at least 40 m
from the stems of any adjacent planting; and
iii. where the average distance between rows within the planting is 4 m or less across;
and
iv. where there is no impact from adjacent trees (defined as a tree growing within the
area 20 m perpendicular to the long axis of the planting (measured from the outer
stems) and which has a potential to develop a crown that extends >5 m across at its
widest point).
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1 Executive summary
• Overview: During the last two years, a major nationally-collaborative research program has
been lead by CSIRO to improve the estimation of biomass accumulation by mixed-species
environmental plantings and mallee eucalypt plantings. It has involved evaluation of the
uncertainties associated with using alternative approaches to biomass estimation, and the
collation and refinement of new and existing field inventories and biomass estimates for
these plantings, growing in various configurations throughout the non-arid (>300 mm mean
annual rainfall) regions of Australia. A large database on growth and biomass accumulation
across a wide range of planting types has been developed, comprising 1,480 site-based
observations, or 884 site-based observations not including repeated measures at the one
site, 183,675 stem diameter measures (36% from new work in this project) and 8,288
measures of tree or shrub above- and below-ground biomass (40% from new work in this
project). These data have been analysed to identify the key factors affecting the growth of
plantings, resulting in 26 statistically-different categories of plantings. Modifiers that account
for large variations in growth of these categories of plantings have been developed for use in
FullCAM (which underpins the Reforestation Modelling Tool, RMT).
• Sampling error: Sampling error was found to be the main factor affecting the accuracy of
biomass estimates. Unless a sufficient number of trees/shrubs are sampled in a manner that
is representative of the planting, biomass estimates can have high coefficients of variation of
>50%. Even within reasonably homogeneous plantings, a large number of trees needed to be
sampled to obtain biomass estimates with a 90% chance of being within ±10% of the true
mean. For block planting geometries, the number of trees required to be measured based on
simple random sampling was 700-1,600 and 130-280 for direct seeded and tubestock
plantings, respectively. In linear plantings, the number of trees required was 540-1,030 and
116-180, respectively. Guidance is also provided on sampling strategies to decrease sample
error by providing representative plots, and correct definition of the extent (area) of the
planting for consistency in estimates of biomass when comparisons between linear and block
plantings are required.
• Verification of allometrics: Direct field measures of above- and below-ground biomass
(through whole-of-plot harvesting) were used to test the reliability of a range of allometric
equations. It was shown that uncertainties resulting from the application of allometric
equations to estimate above-ground biomass are very low (generally <10% difference
between measured and estimated biomass) when using site-based allometrics, or moderate
(generally <16% difference between measured and estimated biomass) when generalised
non-site allometrics are used. This report contains a comprehensive set of new allometric
equations that can be used to estimate biomass of mixed-species environmental and mallee
eucalypt plantings.
• Root to shoot ratios: Root to shoot ratios can be high in young plantings grown in water and
nutrient-limited environments. They ranged between 0.28 and 0.81 across 13 sites studied.
Ratios were higher in tree-dominated plantings, where the ratio tended to decline as
productivity increased. A set of new root allometric equations were verified with direct
measurement from whole plot excavation.
• Uncertainty in biomass estimates: Several sources of uncertainty contribute to the challenge
of reliably estimating biomass accumulation, with estimates being highly variable within a
planting, across the broader landscape, and over time. Substantial errors can result from
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sampling the tree/shrub population, in measuring trees/shrubs during field inventories, and
in applying allometric equations to convert field inventories of measurements of stem
diameter into biomass. The magnitude and relative importance of these sources of error was
quantified using extensive field measurements combined with simulation modelling.
• Key factors influencing growth: Detailed statistical analysis of biomass measurements
contained in the database has enabled plantings to be categorised into three planting types:
mixed-species environmental plantings in temperate regions, mixed-species environmental
plantings in tropical regions, and mallee eucalypts. These three planting types were then
further categorised according to; (i) planting geometry (blocks, or linear plantings of varying
widths), (ii) stand density, and (iii) species in the case of mallees (E. polybractea, E.
loxophleba ssp. lissophloia, or ‘other’ species), or species-mix in the case of environmental
plantings (shrub-dominant or tree-dominant). These categories provided the basis for
calibration (estimation of appropriate modifiers) of the Tree Yield Formula in FullCAM.
• FullCAM yield curve calibrations: The un-calibrated yield curve for environmental plantings in
FullCAM generally lead to underestimation of biomass. To account for differences in growth
rates between the 26 categories of plantings, new modifiers have been provided for the Tree
Yield Formula within FullCAM. With these new modifiers, the overall model efficiency was
only 46 and 63% for mixed-species and mallee eucalypt plantings, respectively. However,
there was no apparent bias in model predictions and the model is satisfactory for most
individual planting categories or types. Therefore, modelled estimates of biomass
accumulation will be reliable on average, but estimates at any particular location will be
uncertain, with either significant under- or over-prediction possible. Results indicate that
when compared to the un-calibrated yield curves, early growth was likely to be more rapid,
and total above-ground biomass may be higher for many plantings at maturity.
• Recommendations for application. Some recommendations are provided for how FullCAM
might be applied so as to increase its utility without compromising confidence in predictions.
Firstly, there are 24 new growth curve calibrations which had sufficient replication of study
sites for providing confidence in their application. These new growth curve calibrations are
for particular combinations of five species compositions, three planting geometries, stocking
density and, for mixed-species environmental plantings, tree proportion. Collectively these
attributes are referred to as the regime, and each calibration can be applied only to plantings
that fall within the relevant Regime Domain. It is also recommended that the application of
each new growth curve calibration is also restricted to plantings that fall within the relevant
spatial and age domain. It is recommended that for application of these new yield curve
calibrations, FullCAM uses the predictive spatial bioclimatic data layers to restrict the
availability of each new yield curve calibration to the appropriate spatial domain. Given the
95th percentile of stand age ranged between only 10 to 33 years, and to be conservative, the
recommended age domain of the calibrations is only 15 years, which is the first CFI crediting
period.
• Significant challenges remaining: There are three key challenges remaining:
o Most field observations were for young stands, and temporal change in longer-term
stand dynamics in above- and below-ground biomass remains poorly understood,
especially for mixed-species stands where tree/shrub dominance is likely to change
with stand age and/or disturbance (e.g. by fire or drought). Repeated temporal
measurement of growth in contrasting types of plantings will be extremely valuable
for model evaluation of both above- and below-ground biomass, and for further
refinement of the calibrations of FullCAM’s yield curves in the future.
o To increase confidence in spatial application of the calibrations, additional estimates
of biomass carbon are required from a range of climatic regions for 3 of the 26
13
planting categories (E. polybractea in dense or sparse narrow linear plantings, and
wide linear environmental plantings where stocking and fraction of trees is high).
o There are some factors which are known to influence growth but which are yet to be
accounted for in calibration of the yield curves within FullCAM. These include access
to a watertable (including establishment in riparian areas), whether a planting is
growing in saline surface soil, or whether the planting has been coppiced. Further
work is required to assess the impacts of these factors for the different types of
plantings over the longer-term.
o Current plantings may not be representative of the potential land base for new
plantings, which may change over time with changing government policies. Filling of
gaps in estimates of biomass from poorly-represented regions will be critical.
14
2 Introduction
Most new plantings established for carbon sequestration in Australia are in the 300-600 mm rainfall
zone, where relatively low land values make such revegetation more viable (Polglase et al. 2011; Paul
et al. 2013a). Many of these are either mixed-species environmental plantings or mallee eucalypt
plantings (e.g. at least 78% of the current 65,128 ha of ‘carbon forests’ estimated by Mitchell et al.
2012). These plantings also have a role in providing other environmental benefits and public good
outcomes over and above carbon mitigation. They can be integrated into existing agricultural
landscapes such that they have no negative, and possibly a beneficial, impact on agricultural
production (e.g. GHD Hassall 2010; Paul et al. 2013a).
Investment in establishing and maintaining such plantings relies heavily on accurate estimates of
biomass production and rates of carbon sequestration. In low rainfall (and high evaporation)
environments water supply will be the major constraint to biomass production. However, this may
be partially negated by planting <10% of the land area in the form of linear (or belt) plantings, or
small blocks, potentially allowing the capture of some water from adjacent land. Previous work in
southern NSW has shown that the rates of sequestration of carbon in linear plantings were higher
than that of plantings established in block planting geometries (Paul et al. 2010). Stocking densities
and species/species-mix are also likely to influence rates of carbon sequestration (e.g. Polglase et al.
2008; Paul et al. 2008; Preece et al. 2012). Moreover, access to ground- and stored-water, salinity
and coppicing also affects biomass production and rates of carbon sequestration (Carter et al. 2008;
Peck et al. 2012; Bartle et al. 2012).
One way to account for such factors is to apply growth modifiers to the yield curves commonly used
in carbon accounting models such as FullCAM (Brack and Richards 2002; Richards and Brack 2004a,b;
Brack et al. 2006; Waterworth et al. 2007; Waterworth and Richards 2008). The FullCAM model is
used in Australia’s National Inventory System (NIS, DIICCSRTE 2011) to estimate rates of carbon
sequestration through land use change spatially across Australia, including reforestation with
environmental plantings. The FullCAM model forms the basis of the Reforestation Modelling Tool
(RMT), an approved methodology for estimating project-level carbon sequestered by such plantings
under the Carbon Farming Initiatives (CFI) (DOIC, 2011). Although reliable growth modifiers of
FullCAM’s yield curves have already been developed for many traditional plantation species
(Waterworth et al. 2007), this is not so for mixed-species environmental or mallee eucalypt plantings.
The main aim of this project was to develop FullCAM calibrations for estimation of the pattern of
biomass accumulation by mixed-species environmental and mallee eucalypt plantings, which
currently do not exist in NIS. The work thereby supported a revision of the RMT. The main results
from these calibrations are reported in Section 6, and include quantification of modifiers that
account for large variations in growth of different categories of plantings. To achieve this, we
undertook method testing to ensure accurate estimates of biomass (Section 3), collection of new
above- and below-ground biomass data through direct measurement and indirect estimates (Section
4), and analysis of extensive datasets to assess key factors influencing biomass accumulation (Section
5).
15
3 Methodological aspects
3.1 Introduction
To achieve the project objective of calibration of FullCAM (see Section 6), estimates of biomass were
collated and assessed to determine key factors influencing growth (see Section 5). Many of these
datasets were obtained from project collaborators. However, there were 50 new plantings studied as
part of this project, with 30 of these being ‘direct measurement’ plantings where whole plots were
harvested for biomass to obtain ‘true’ measures of above-ground biomass, and in the case of 13
sites, below-ground biomass as well (see Section 4). The overall methodology for the project is
summarised in Figure 3.01.
During the course of this new field work, a number of methodological issues relating to field-based
biomass estimation were identified. These include the problem of quantifying and accounting for
sampling error (Sections 3.2, 3.3), the development of rapid field-inventory methods to increase the
efficiency of data collection (Section 3.4), and the issue of identifying the correct planting extent
when expressing biomass on a per-area basis such that inventory datasets collated from project
collaborators are calculated in a consistent manner (Section 3.5). Another important methodological
issue relating to field-based biomass estimation was quantifying and accounting for sampling error
when selecting trees or shrubs to develop representative relationships between stem diameter and
biomass (allometrics, Section 3.6) given that, apart from the 30 sites where we had direct measures
of biomass through whole-plot harvesting, allometrics were used to obtain indirect estimates of
biomass.
3.2 Sampling Error
Data from eight sites (Strathearn, Moir, Gumbinnen, Pepal, Bird, Quicke, Moorland 1 and Moorland
2, Appendix A9.2.1) were used to quantify sampling errors associated with estimating biomass in
environmental plantings. This assessment was made using measurements of basal area (BA) given
previous work (Paul et al. 2011) showed BA is a reliable proxy for biomass. Sampling error is defined
as the difference between the true (but usually unknown) site biomass, and the estimate of the same
value from a (usually small) number of sub-samples. The analysis described in this section was made
possible because for each of the eight sites the BA of every individual within the planting was
measured, and hence the ‘true’ site value could be calculated. To further facilitate analysis,
information on the spatial planting geometries was also collected at the same time (i.e. distances
between rows, distances between trees along rows, and the variability of these distances).
These data were embedded within a computer sampling program that created pseudo-sites of
differing extents (ha) and shapes (block vs. linear planting), and populated with ‘trees’ that had the
same statistical properties for BA and spatial planting arrangement as those observed in the field
(Figure 3.02). These pseudo-sites were then computer-sampled using plots of various dimensions and
at a range of intensities by varying the total number of sample plots. These simulations were based
on simple random sampling, and assumed homogeneity of biomass across the site – i.e. there was
variation in tree size, but no site-level patterns such as gradients or bare patches. The full results,
including description of the computational methods and a discussion of the implications of these
simplifying assumptions, were presented in an interim report (Roxburgh et al. 2011). Only a summary
of that work is provided here.
16
Figure 3.01. Overview of the methodology used in this project, and the sections of the report in which these
various aspects are discussed in more detail. *Value in parenthesis indicates that only 13 of the total 30 ‘direct’
sites had below-ground biomass harvested as well as above-ground biomass. The remaining 17 ‘direct’ sites
were mallee eucalypt plantings harvested using an operational harvester.
The coefficient of variation (CV, standard deviation divided by the mean) of 500 replicate sets of
samples for each sampling design were calculated. CV is a useful index of sampling error because it
can be used to compare sites that differ in total site biomass, with smaller values indicating higher
precision. If the CV is multiplied by 100, it conveniently represents a percentage of the mean value.
For all sampling designs, as the number of replicates increased the mean sampled BA converged
towards the ‘true’ value as calculated from all the measured trees, and hence in all cases the
sampling was unbiased (Paul et al. 2011).
Collation of above- and
below-ground biomass
datasets from collaborators
Collation of inventory (growth)
datasets from collaborators
20 planting with ‘in-direct’
estimates of above-ground
biomass
Analysis of key factors
Influencing growth & R:S ratios
Calibration of FullCAM
Testing and development of
allometrics for above- and
below-ground biomass
Assessment of methodological
aspects (e.g. Precision sampling,
new rapid techniques, plot area)Section 3
Section 6
Section 5
Section 4
Consistent calculation of plot area
Application of
verified
allometrics
Understanding of
heterogeneity
Efficient field
estimates of
biomass
‘True’ measures of
biomass to compare
estimates against
30 (13)* plantings with ‘direct’
measurement of above- (and
below) -ground biomass
17
Figure 3.02. Example random sites based on the statistical properties of each of the eight plantings derived
from field measurement. Trees are shown with symbol diameters proportional to tree diameter. ‘DS’= direct
seeded, and ‘TS’= tubestock. The full details for each site are given in Tables A9.2.1-2, including the size of each
of these plantings.
Figure 3.03 shows the relationship between CV and sampling intensity (expressed as the total
number of trees, and/or shrubs, sampled) for the five tube-stock plantings and three direct-seeded
plantings. The proportion of trees sampled ranged from 1–30% of the total site. The difference
between the two planting methods on this figure is apparent, with tube-stock plantings yielding
more precise estimates (i.e. smaller CV) for any given level of sampling intensity. This is because the
trees in tube-stock plantings tend to be more even in size, and more regularly spaced than those
established by direct-seeding, with the result that fewer trees need to be sampled in order to attain
the same level of precision.
Figure 3.03. ‘Sampling precision’ curves illustrating how the coefficient of variation (CV) of sampled basal area
varies with sampling intensity, expressed as the total number of trees (or shrubs) included in 20 m by 20 m
sample plots in plantings established by tube-stock or direct-seeding.
The above example is only for a 20 m by 20 m plot size. However, Roxburgh et al. (2011) found that
decreasing the size of the plots only slightly decreased CV. This effect was most pronounced (causing
y = 1.1346x-0.48
-100 100 300 500 700 900 1100 1300 1500
CV
of B
A e
stim
ate
# Trees sampled
Tube stock
Direct seeded
Curve Y
Series4
Curve Y
Power (Tube stock)
y = 1.135x-0.48
y = 2.265x-0.50
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
0 20 40 60 80 100
CV
of B
A e
stim
ate
18
a decrease in CV by up about 0.02 units), when simple random sampling was used in sites with a
gradient in variability (i.e. un-homogenous). If restricted random sampling was used, plot size only
decreased CV by <0.01 units in un-homogenous sites. Regardless of sampling regime used, plot size
had no effect on estimates of CV in sites which were assumed to be homogenous.
In addition to CV, sampling error can also be assessed by calculating the probability that a given
sampling design yields a biomass estimate that is within ±X% of the true site value, where X can be
varied depending on a pre-defined limit for precision. This probability can be calculated directly from
values of CV in Figure 3.02.
Figure 3.04 shows the minimum number of trees for each site that need to be sampled in order to
obtain an estimate that has a 90% probability of being within ±10% of the true site value. Simulations
with three example site configurations are shown. For block plantings, approximately 700-1,600
trees (mean ± stdev. for lowest to highest sites: 696 ± 77 to 1,619 ± 131) need to be sampled in
order to have a 90% probability that the site BA estimate is within ±10% of the true site value when
direct-seeded, and 127 ± 10 to 277 ± 27 when tube-stock established. Higher precision is achieved
for the same sampling effort when trees are arranged in narrow linear plantings, particularly for
direct-seeded plantings. This is because sample plots can be positioned to straddle the entire width
of the planting, thereby capturing relatively more of the variability than an equivalent planting type
established in block geometry. For linear plantings, the approximate number of trees needed for
sampling at this specified level of precision were 535 ± 54 to 1,025 ± 160 trees for direct seeded, and
116 ± 6 to 180 ± 19 trees for tube-stock established.
Figure 3.04. Sampling precision results for randomly constructed plantings for each of the eight measured sites,
for each of a 10 ha block, a 2 ha 2-row linear plantings, and a 2 ha 4-row linear plantings. The y-axis is the
number of individual tree measurements required to attain a 90% probability of obtaining an estimate within
±10% of the true value. Error bars are standard deviation across 500 replicate sampling events.
These results, based on statistically ‘generalised’ sites, confirm previous analyses using the actual site
planting configurations and tree locations (Paul et al. 2011), and show sampling error is a significant
source of uncertainty when estimating biomass. The important implication is that when sampling
intensity is too low (i.e. too few sample plots and/or plot size too small) then the resulting field-
measured biomass estimate will have a high level of uncertainty, and may appreciably over- or
under-estimate the actual site value.
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Nu
mb
er
of
tre
es
10 ha block
2 ha 4-row belt
2 ha 2-row belt
19
As summarised by Stockdale and Wright (1996), others have also studied relationships between
sample number (or plot size) and coefficient of variation, with the relationship varying depending on
the ‘clumpiness’ of the vegetation. Most recently, Jazbec et al. (2011) also used computer
simulations to assess errors associated with inventories of mixed-species plantings. They also found
significant exponential decline in errors in precision of estimates of biomass with increased number
of trees sampled.
Although Figures 3.03 and 3.04 can be used as an approximate guide for defining the required
sampling effort to achieve a pre-defined level of precision, there are some important caveats. The
analyses are based on the assumption that the sites are internally homogenous in that there are no
gradients, patches of high or low growth, or areas of mortality or canopy gaps. The analysis therefore
corresponds to sampling within an area that has been stratified into homogeneous subunits or
strata. However, in reality, variation occurs at all scales, and as site extent increases it is almost
certain that there will be site-level spatial heterogeneity that will impact on sampling precision.
Additional simulation results have shown that the sampling effort required to satisfy a given level of
precision is sensitive to the assumptions surrounding this spatial variability, and to the method used
to locate sample plots in space. More precision is attained with designs that ensure a greater spatial
spread of sample locations than the simple random sampling reported here, such as Systematic
Sampling, Stratified Random Sampling (SRS), or newer methods such as Generalised Random
Tesselation Stratified sampling (GRTS; Stevens and Olson 2003) (Roxburgh et al. 2011).
3.3 Precision sampling: increased efficiency of measurement
One of the key activities of this project was to destructively harvest a number of sites, across a
representative range of environmental and management conditions, and then use these data for
FullCAM calibration (Section 6). It was therefore important to minimise sampling errors for each
planting studied. To achieve this, a two-stage ‘Precision Sampling’ procedure was developed. This
new approach was necessary due to practical constraints that limited the number of plots that were
able to be destructively harvested, and which would otherwise lead to large sampling errors (Section
3.2).
The first stage of the Precision Sampling procedure is a broad, non-destructive inventory of all plants
(trees and shrubs) across the site. This provides a database of individual diameters that represents,
as much as practically possible, a comprehensive estimate of variation in biomass across the site. For
some sites that were relatively small in extent, all individuals were measured. For larger sites (>5 ha)
where a full survey of all individuals was not possible, up to 60 sample plots were established to
capture the variation. For large linear plantings, a Stratified Random Sampling approach (as per
Greig-Smith 1983) was adopted, whereby the entire planting was split into a number of equal sized
segments, with plots placed at random within each segment, thus ensuring a good spatial coverage
of the entire planting. For block plantings, plot locations were selected using the GRTS method
(Stevens and Olson 2003), again to ensure adequate spatial coverage. The total number of plots to be
located varied from site to site (see Section 4), and depended on such factors as the planting density
and the resources available to undertake the survey (Table A9.2.2). From this survey an estimate of
the basal area of the full planting was calculated. As noted above, BA is used here as a proxy for
biomass (Paul et al. 2011).
The second stage of the process selects a smaller sub-set of inventory plots for harvesting (typically
six plots) in such a way that the BA within those inventory plots matches as closely as possible the
whole-site BA as calculated above. The selection of inventory plots is achieved via software custom
written for this study. The overall precision sampling procedure is summarised in Figure 3.05, and the
key steps are described below using the Moir environmental planting site as an example:
20
1. The basal area for the site (BASITE) was calculated from the initial non-destructive inventory.
For the Moir site a total of 13,187 stems were measured, yielding a site basal area of BASITE =
10.93 m2 ha-1.
2. The size-class distribution of stems for the site was calculated. The distribution of stem BA
for the Moir site shows a predominance of individuals in the smallest BA size class (<25 cm2)
(Figure 3.06, black bars).
3. The stand density (stems per hectare) for the site was calculated. For Moir this was 2,611
stems per ha.
4. The sampling software is then used to ‘optimise’ the locations of the required number of
sampling plots (for Moir, 12 plots each 20 m x 20 m) in such a way that the sub-sample of
trees within the plots yields a per-ha BA that is close (within ±5%) to that observed for the
whole planting (10.93 m2 ha-1), and that additionally has a similar stand density (2,611 stems
ha1) and size class distribution. The selection procedure occurs ‘blindly’, in that random sub-
sets of plots are repeatedly tested until a sampling plan is found where the statistics are in
agreement. To check on the validity of the overall procedure, several sets of equivalently
fitting solutions can be generated, and checked to ensure spatial representativeness.
5. The final step is to select one of the ‘best-fit’ solutions at random for destructive harvest. The
final solution for the Moir site shows a good agreement of the solution with respect to the
frequency distribution of individual tree sizes, with a corresponding sampled basal area of
10.90 m2 (c.f. 10.93 m2 for the full site), and a stand density of 2,665 stems ha-1 (c.f. 2,611
stems ha-1 for the full site).
The main advantage of the Precision Sampling approach is that it provides some confidence that
the estimated biomass obtained by the direct harvesting of trees within a relatively small
number of plots is representative of the actual total site biomass, i.e. the method directly
reduces the sampling error. The main disadvantage is that, to implement, it requires a non-
destructive pre-survey of the site to provide the broad-scale baseline data on spatial variability of
biomass across the site. To reduce the costs associated with this double-sampling approach a
rapid field survey technique was developed and tested (Section 3.4).
3.4 Rapid measurement techniques
The basis of non-destructive field biomass estimation is the measurement of stem diameters. For
plantings where the species involved are often multi-stemmed and/or branch close to the ground,
individual measurement of each stem using traditional diameter tapes can be prohibitively time
consuming. A consequence is that a great deal of time can be spent measuring a relatively small
number of trees. Experience through measuring 65,888 stems during the course of this project led to
the development of a rapid method for estimating stem diameters, based on a calibrated caliper
(Figure 3.07). To use this device, each stem is estimated to the nearest 0.5 cm, where estimations
can be done at ‘arms-length’, avoiding the necessity of crawling through shrubs etc. For larger stems
(<10 cm) a standard diameter tape can be used if desired.
Use of the caliper greatly increases the number of stems able to be measured in a given time, and
because of this larger sample size, the potential for large sampling errors is reduced (Section 3.2).
A limitation of the method is a loss of precision for the measurement of each individual, which is an
issue if individual stem measurements are to be used for the development of allometrics (Section 4).
To test this, 266 stems at the Lynvale and McFall plantings (Table A9.2.1) were repeat-measured
using both a diameter tape and the caliper, by two separate measurement teams. The diameter
measurements were then converted to per-tree BA for analysis. On a per-tree basis the absolute
percentage difference between the tape and the caliper averaged 13%, reflecting the per-
21
measurement 0.5 cm rounding error. However, for total BA summed across all trees (on which the
precision sampling procedure is based) the difference reduced to less than 1.5%, indicating the
individual per-tree error measurements effectively cancel each other out, with the rapid
measurement caliper providing an unbiased estimate of whole-site BA. The results for both
measurement teams were very similar (difference between tape and caliper varied by <0.2%
between teams).
Figure 3.05. Flow diagram of Precision Sampling methodology. Numbers in parentheses refer to steps 1-5
described above.
Can all stems in the
planting be measured?
Site level basalarea (BASITE)
calculated fromfull site survey
Site level basal area(BASITE) calculated from an
array of plots distributedover the whole site
From survey data calculatestatistics summarising treeattributes across the site:
(a) BASITE
(b) Stems per ha(c) Tree-size histogram
Define the attributes of theharvest plots (number of
sample plots (n) & plot size)
Select n plots at randomand compare tree statisticscalculated from this sample
with those from the initialsurvey
Are all test statisticscalculated from this sampleof n plots within +/- 5% of the
whole site statisticscalculated from the
pre-survey?
Save the solution
Yes No
Enough solutionsfound?
Select one of the savedsolutions at random, and
harvest plots
Yes
No
No
Yes
Non-destructiveinitial pre-harvestsurvey
Selection of plotsfor harvest
Destructiveharvest
(1)
(2, 3)
(4)
(5)
Figure 3.06. Precision sampling solution for the Moir site, showing (a) the location of the
by 20 m), and (b) a comparison of the individual tree size distribution for the full site (black;
individuals) and for the sample of 12 plots (red
Figure 3.07. Use of the calibrated caliper
3.5 Planted area calculation
The comparison of plantings of different species, planting geometries, management treatments, etc.
requires expressing standing biomass on a per
called biomass density. When trees are established in rows, as they often are, then calculation of
appropriate areal extents for calculating biomass density becomes problematic.
with narrow linear (<20 m wide, or in the case of mallee eu
wide, or the case of mallee eucalypts, 3
planting there are a number of possible alternatives for defining the planted area (Figure 3.08). Paul
et al. (2011) showed, for linear plantings, the variation in estimated biomass density difference
between these various methods can be substantial. Depending on the spacing between rows, and
the number of rows in a linear planting, conversion factors to obtain B
biomass from those estimated using C
m, Table A9.1.2) vary between 0.83
. Precision sampling solution for the Moir site, showing (a) the location of the 12
, and (b) a comparison of the individual tree size distribution for the full site (black;
individuals) and for the sample of 12 plots (red; N = 1,279 individuals).
caliper for estimating stem diameter (at 50 cm height in this case)
area calculation
different species, planting geometries, management treatments, etc.
requires expressing standing biomass on a per-area basis (e.g. t ha-1); a quantity which is sometimes
led biomass density. When trees are established in rows, as they often are, then calculation of
appropriate areal extents for calculating biomass density becomes problematic. The main issues arise
with narrow linear (<20 m wide, or in the case of mallee eucalypts, 2-row), and wide linear (20
wide, or the case of mallee eucalypts, 3- to 8-row), plantings. This is because at the outer edge of the
planting there are a number of possible alternatives for defining the planted area (Figure 3.08). Paul
(2011) showed, for linear plantings, the variation in estimated biomass density difference
between these various methods can be substantial. Depending on the spacing between rows, and
the number of rows in a linear planting, conversion factors to obtain B-B equivalent estimates of
biomass from those estimated using C-C (at 2 m; Table A9.1.1) or D-D (assuming canopy width of 3
−2.00.
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 -
25
25 -
50
50 -
75
75 -
100
100
- 12
5
125
- 15
0
150
- 17
5
175
- 20
0
200
- 22
5
225
- 25
0
250
- 27
5
275
- 30
0
300
- 32
5
325
- 35
0
350
- 37
5
Individual tree basal area category (cm
Rel
ativ
e F
req
uen
cy
Relative frequency acrosswhole site (n=13187)
Relative frequency across the12 sample plots (n=1279)
22
sample plots (20 m
, and (b) a comparison of the individual tree size distribution for the full site (black; N = 13,187
cm height in this case).
different species, planting geometries, management treatments, etc.
); a quantity which is sometimes
led biomass density. When trees are established in rows, as they often are, then calculation of
The main issues arise
row), and wide linear (20-40 m
This is because at the outer edge of the
planting there are a number of possible alternatives for defining the planted area (Figure 3.08). Paul
(2011) showed, for linear plantings, the variation in estimated biomass density difference
between these various methods can be substantial. Depending on the spacing between rows, and
B equivalent estimates of
D (assuming canopy width of 3
350
- 37
5
375
- 40
0
Individual tree basal area category (cm2)
Relative frequency across
Relative frequency across the12 sample plots (n=1279)
23
Figure 3.08. Cross-sectional representation of a 4-row linear mallee planting with sufficient maturity for there
to be a strong edge effect, i.e. greater growth in the outer rows. Four different methods for delineating
planting area are shown. A-A is the distance between the outside planting lines; B-B adds half a planting row
width; C-C adds a constant distance (e.g. 2 m), and in D-D the planting area is defined by the width of the
crowns.
A ‘null-model’ approach can be used to derive a solution to this problem. The basis of the approach is
that, for two plantings that have the same tree stand density and same mean tree mass, but differ
only in area and shape, then by definition they have the same biomass density. Therefore, the
boundary to be drawn around each of these plantings must be done in such a way that, when the
total biomass of each planting is divided by the area within this boundary, the same biomass density
is calculated. This is illustrated in Figure 3.09, where Figure 3.09a depicts a large block planting that
for simplicity has trees arranged on a regular grid and with all trees the same size (mass). In this
hypothetical case the biomass density is uniform across the block. Figure 3.09b shows the situation
where some of the trees have been removed, to yield two smaller blocks. The question can then be
asked, what is the appropriate areal extent that can be drawn around each of these smaller blocks
that still yields the same biomass density as the large block from which they were derived? The
answer is shown by the dotted line in Figure 3.09b, and is equal to adding an equivalent of ½ a row
width top and bottom, and ½ a tree spacing left and right.
Figure 3.09. Illustration of the ‘null model’ approach to calculating the planting area for estimation of biomass
density where rows of trees are planted north-south. (a) A homogeneous planting that has the same biomass
density across its whole extent. (b) The same planting with a number of trees removed, leaving two smaller
‘remnant’ blocks of unequal size. The dotted line around each area corresponds to adding the equivalent of
half a row width top and bottom, and half a tree spacing left and right; this is the only definition of planting
area that guarantees equivalent estimates of biomass density between the two remnant areas.
A detailed explanation of the above result shows that adopting any other definition of planting area,
such as canopy extent, will yield a (spurious) biomass density difference between the two areas
(Appendix 9.1). Importantly, the same adjustment is required even when there is variability in the
row spacing and/or variability in the tree spacing. In this more general case the appropriate
A A
C C
D D
B B
N
24
corrections are based on the average row and tree distances. Appendix 9.1 also explains how this
general result can be applied to plantings that have trees randomly seeded along rows rather than
regularly spaced, and for plantings that are established by broadcast seeding.
These adjustments are critically important for linear plantings (Paul et al. 2011). For plantings that
are arranged in blocks, with a low ratio of edge to interior, then the error associated with ignoring
these adjustments may be deemed acceptably low. However calculating this error requires
knowledge of the total areal extent of the planting, its shape, and the planting geometry (i.e. the
mean distance between rows, and the mean distance between trees along rows) (Appendix 9.1).
An example of the practical importance of these results is when comparing tree growth between a
block planting and a linear planting of the same type. Because edge trees in linear plantings tend to
have access to more resources (light and water), overall growth tends to be higher, which is
expressed as a higher per-area growth increment in the linear planting compared with the block. If
an incorrect planting extent is used for this comparison, then the estimated difference in
performance due to the edge effect (i.e. the quantity that we are trying to measure) will be either
greater than or less than the true growth effect, depending on the (arbitrary) choice of planting
extent; if the planting extent is too large, the growth effect will be under-estimated, and if too small
it will be over-estimated.
Care will be needed to ensure consistency in the estimates of area of land use change under linear
plantings accounted for in the NIS, and that used in calibrations of FullCAM’s yield curves. For
project-level accounting, project area can be reported directly.
3.6 Sampling error when deriving allometrics
In most studies of biomass, estimates of biomass are derived indirectly by the application of
allometrics (empirical relationships between stem diameter and biomass) to inventories of stem
diameters. However, as with the assessment of sampling error for estimates of a plantings BA (or
biomass), the sampling error may be significant when a selection of trees (or shrubs) are harvested
to develop allometrics. Data from 23 species were used to quantify sampling errors associated with
the development of allometrics. Sampling error here was defined as the difference between the
biomass estimated by the true allometric, and that estimated from allometrics based on a smaller
number of sub-samples. Assumed ‘true’ allometrics were derived for these 23 species given the
exceptionally-large sample size (averaging 189 individuals; Table A9.1.3) used to develop these
relationships. Various estimates of these allometrics were obtained using a computer program. For
each species, this program sampled between 4 and 30 individuals from the total population to
construct 100 different simulated allometric equations.
When developing a new allometric, a key part of the protocol is to ensure that the individuals
selected for measurement and harvesting cover the full range of diameters within the wider
population of interest. The distribution of observed diameters differed among 23 species studied
here, but could be divided into either 4 or 5 size class categories, with a 4 or 5 cm stem diameter
increment between these categories. The computer program enabled the 100 iterations of sampling
to be done randomly within these 4 or 5 categories such that each simulated allometric covered the
full range of diameters. This was done firstly with only 1 individual being sampled per category, and
then increasing to up to 6 individuals being sampled per category. The resulting allometrics were
therefore developed with as little as only 4 individuals (4 categories, from which 1 individual is
randomly sampled), and up as many as 30 individuals (5 categories, from which 6 individuals are
randomly sampled).
The absolute errors in the estimates of biomass at each 1 cm increment from 1 to 30 cm (the range
of stem diameters common in these plantings, see Figures 4.01, 5.02 and 5.03) were calculated and
then averaged across each of the 100 iterations. For each species, this average percentage error in
25
estimated allometrics decreased exponentially as the number of individuals sampled increased. This
relationship was generalised by averaging across the 23 species as shown in Figure 3.10.
Figure 3.10. Relationship between sample number and average percentage error in allometrics (absolute
difference in biomass derived from the estimated allometric when compare to the 'true' allometric at each 1
cm increment from 1 to 30 cm) across 23 tree species. Error bars show the stdev. of the mean.
In a global review of allometrics of biomass (based on stem diameter) of different tree species,
Zapata-Cuartas et al. (2012) also recently found that there was an exponential decline in the
precision in predictions of tree biomass with increasing sample size. Interestingly, for a given sample
size, these workers found that the precision can be reduced when using a Bayesian approach as
opposed to the classical statistical approach of least-square regression used here. They suggest it is
possible to obtain similar significant values in the estimation of allometric parameters using a sample
size of 6 trees rather than 40–60 trees in the classical approach. Further work is required to verify
this using the datasets collated here.
y = 41.735x-0.473
R² = 0.99
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26
4 New biomass estimates
4.1 Introduction
As part of this study, inventory data of stem diameter were collated from 183,675 stems, while
biomass measures were obtained from 8,288 individual trees or shrubs. For both sets of data,
approximately 40% of observations were derived from field work conducted as part of this project.
There were four key objectives to the utilisation of these new high-quality data; (i) improved
understanding of factors driving allocation of biomass, and thus above-ground allometrics, (ii) use of
directly-measured above- and below-ground biomass to better understand the factors driving root to
shoot ratios, (iii) use of directly-measured biomass for verification of allometrics to improve the
accuracy and efficiency of indirect estimates of biomass, and (iv) application of best-available
methodology to maximise the confidence in estimates of biomass carbon in a range of different
planting types for the purpose of calibration of yield curves used within FullCAM. Here we report on
results relating to each of these four objectives.
4.2 Methodology
We obtained 50 new site estimates of biomass carbon at a wide range of plantings (Table A9.2.1).
Sites were selected across contrasting climatic regions and planting geometries. We targeted
plantings aged 5 to 25 years which had ‘typical’ (for the region) management regimes and were
successfully established. As noted in Table A9.2.1, 13 of these sites were ‘direct measurement’ sites,
where all individual trees (and shrubs) within sample plots were harvested and roots were excavated
in sub-plots. Another 17 sites were also ‘direct measurement’ sites, but where only above-ground
biomass was measured, with harvesting being done using an operational harvester. At the other 20
sites, biomass estimates were obtained indirectly through the development of site- and species-
specific allometrics from selective harvesting of trees and shrubs. Detailed methods for direct and
indirect sampling of biomass, and the development of site-specific allometrics, are described in Paul
et al. (2011). A detailed summary of the methodology used is provided in Appendix 9.2.
To gain an understanding of the accuracy of allometrics, we compared biomass estimated from site-
specific allometrics from trees and shrubs harvested in ‘direct’ plantings to the whole-plot biomass
actually measured. We also assessed the difference between measured biomass and that estimated
using the generic allometrics described in Section 5. As described in Section 5, previous work has
shown that the performance of such generic multi-site and multi-species allometrics may perform
well.
We derived several characteristics of each planting as possible descriptors of growth. Stocking
(number of stems per hectare, sph) was calculated as the number of trees or shrubs in each plot
divided by the plot area. The proportion of trees (PropTree) was calculated as the proportion of
stems in each plot that were trees. For the purposes of this study, only eucalypts and Corymbia (and
in tropical and sub-tropical regions, also other genera such as Alstonia, Araucaria, Blepharocarya,
Elaeocarpus, Flindersia, Melicope, Xanthostemon) were considered to be trees. All other genera were
considered shrubs or small trees (termed here ‘shrubs’, e.g. allocasuarina, casuarina, melaleuca and
acacia shrub species such as those listed in Table A9.3.6 with D10 measurements). Root-to-shoot
(R:S) ratios were calculated at each of the 13 ‘direct measurement’ plantings, and given that these
plantings differ in their composition and structure (namely species mix and planting geometry) and
represent contrasting climatic regions (Table A9.2.1), the impacts of species mix and productivity on
27
R:S ratios were explored. Multiple regression analyses were used to determine whether the PropTree
and productivity (measured as increments in total biomass per hectare) were significantly influencing
R:S ratios across the 41 sample plots of the 13 ‘direct measurement’ plantings.
4.3 Allometrics for the estimation of above-ground biomass
The effectiveness of allometric equations for predicting biomass was quantified by calculating the
‘model efficiency’ (Soares et al. 1995), where efficiencies of between 70−100% are regarded reliable
predictors of biomass. Efficiencies with which allometric equations predicted variations in measured
above-ground biomass ranged between 68 and 99%, but were mostly >95% (Table A9.2.3). Thus, a
reasonable fit to the data was obtained in most cases.
There were, however, some variations in allometric relationships between sites, and to a lesser
extent, between species of a given life-form, or growth-habit, within sites (Figure 4.01). For example
for ‘tree’ life-form, the %CV of predictions of above-ground biomass at stem diameters of 5, 10, 15,
20 and 25 cm averaged 26.6%. The %CV decreased by 4.4% when these predictions of above-ground
biomass were averaged between sites, and then only by another 2.0% when averaged between
species within a site. These results suggest that in terms of developing cost effective protocols for
indirect estimates of biomass, site-based allometrics may be life-form based as opposed to species
based. This could greatly decrease the costs of indirect estimates of biomass at new plantings.
Results also suggest that precise across-site generalised allometrics may be difficult to develop. For
example, there is no clear indication of an influence of mean annual rainfall on allometrics. However,
there are indications when compared to higher rainfall sites, eucalypt trees growing in lower rainfall
environments had more biomass for a given diameter, while the reverse was true for acacia trees
(Figure 4.01). This may be attributable to differences in wood density or in plant structure (e.g.
height to diameter ratios) in these different rainfall zones.
Generic allometrics are further discussed in Section 5.3 where analyses were undertaken using a
much wider dataset.
4.4 Site average root-to-shoot ratios
Stocking was not a significant factor influencing R:S ratio of a stand. However, variations in R:S ratios
were broadly, but significantly, influenced by both site productivity and PropTree. We developed a
significant Multiple Regression for R:S ratio which included productivity and PropTree (R2=0.56,
P<0.001, N=41). However, further analysis of the data showed an interaction between these factors
in their influence on R:S ratios. Only in tree-dominated plantings (i.e. PropTree ≥0.75) was
productivity a significant factor influencing R:S ratio (R2=0.43, P=0.007, N=25). In these plantings,
PropTree was not a significant factor. In contrast, in plantings with PropTree <0.75, PropTree alone
largely explained variations in R:S ratio (R2=0.40, P<0.001, N=16). These different relationships
explaining R:S ratios in tree--dominated plantings and plantings with PropTree <0.75 are shown in
Figure 4.02. Figure 4.03 provides estimates of the site average R:S ratio observed. This shows that
average R:S ratio can vary from 0.28 in more shrub-dominant plantings (PropTree <0.1) to 0.81 in low
productivity, tree-dominant plantings.
There were insufficient data to determine the impact of planting width on R:S ratios. Results for
linear plantings were confounded by PropTree and site productivity. Further work is also required to
assess the impacts of other factors, such as key species, on R:S ratios.
A more detailed discussion of such key factors influencing R:S ratios provided in Section 5.5.5, where
analyses were undertaken using a much wider dataset.
28
Figure 4.01. Above-ground biomass allometrics derived for species harvested from the 50 plantings studied for:
(a) acacia shrubs, (b) acacia trees in temperate regions, (c) acacia trees in tropical regions, (d) eucalypt and
corymbia trees in temperate regions, and (e) tropical trees (i.e. Alstonia, Araucaria, Blepharocarya,
Elaeocarpus, Flindersia, Melicope and Xanthostemon). Red and blue lines represent allometrics derived from
sites where mean annual rainfall was <500 mm and >500 mm, respectively. Green lines represent allometrics
derived from sites in tropical regions*. To demonstrate within-site and between-site variability, the same line
formatting was used for allometrics of a specific life-form obtained from a specific site.
*Note that unlike other species represented in these plots, allometrics developed for tropical mixed-species environmental plantings were
not listed in Table A9.2.3 (but are given in Table A9.3.6) as there were no new inventory data obtained from sites in the tropics in this
project. Rather these allometrics were only applied to collaborator (Qld DAFF and Biocarbon Pty Ltd) inventory datasets.
Figure 4.02. Relationship between (a) proportion of trees (PropTree) and root-to-shoot ratio (R:S) across the
plots in plantings where PropTree was less than 0.75 (shown in blue; N=16), and (b) total biomass productivity
and R:S ratio across the plots in plantings where PropTree was greater than 0.75 (shown in red; N=25).
0
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y = -0.03x + 0.76
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(t DM ha-1 yr-1)
(b) Plantings with PropTree>0.75
y = 0.47x + 0.27
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29
Figure 4.03. Planting average R:S ratio under different proportion of trees (PropTree) at sites where PropTree
was less than 0.75 (in blue, and ages of the stands were 10-20 years), or under different productivities (defined
here as total above- and below-ground biomass per hectare per year) where PropTree was greater than 0.75
(in red, and ages of the stands were 11-22 years). Bars are the average of mean site R:S ratio of two plantings
within the same category, with the exception of the lowest productivity category, which represented the
Moorland 1 site only. Error bars are the stdev. of average R:S ratios.
4.5 Testing of allometrics
Comparison of biomass estimated using allometrics versus direct harvest measures (Figure 4.04)
showed that overall, the allometrics performed very well, with errors averaging 15%. There did not
appear to be any systematic bias with biomass predictions using allometrics.
Site-specific allometrics provided a more accurate estimate of biomass, on average, than those
associated with the generic life-form allometrics. Errors in estimates of above-ground biomass made
using site-specific allometrics averaged only 3.3 t DM ha-1 (or 9.8% of measured above-ground
biomass), while differences in estimates made using generic allometrics averaged 8.1 t DM ha-1 (or
16.3% of measured above-ground biomass).
For below-ground biomass, differences resulting from the use of generic life-form allometrics
averaged 3.5 t DM ha-1 (or 19.5% of measured below-ground biomass). At Gumbinnen and Moorland
1, where below-ground biomass was very small, differences were 38-41% (Figure 4.04). Further
measurement of root biomass is required from a wider range of sites to allow the further refinement
of below-ground allometrics for high and low rainfall regions.
0.51
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30
Figure 4.04. Comparisons of biomass estimates from allometrics with direct harvest measures for: (a) live
above-ground, and (b) below-ground biomass, and how these compare with estimates generated by the
original (un-calibrated) FullCAM predictions. Note that generic allometrics have been refined to account for
effects of life-form, species and rainfall (Section 4.3). Error bars are standard deviations of the mean across the
sample plots.
There are two other important precautionary points to make with respect to these specific results.
Firstly, the fact that site-and-species specific allometrics performed very well across these 13
plantings was probably largely because these allometrics were based on a large number of
individuals of key species (see N reported in Table A9.2.3). As shown in Figure 3.10, we would
anticipate errors resulting from the application of site-specific allometrics to be even greater where
fewer trees were harvested to develop these relationships. Secondly, the fact that generic
allometrics for above-ground biomass performed reasonably well in this study may be due to the
collation and analysis of the extensive biomass database (Section 5) that enabled these generic
allometrics to be refined (categorised) based on life-form, species and rainfall. For mixed-species
environmental plantings, we know that, from testing of earlier versions of generic allometrics (Paul
et al. 2011), their accuracy was significantly improved when; (i) significantly more datasets became
available, and (ii) the generic allometric for acacia trees, and particularly eucalypt trees, were split
into high and low rainfall zone allometrics, with different species generally being represented in the
different rainfall zones. Further discussion on the accuracy of generic allometrics is provided Section
5.3.
4.6 Estimates of mean annual biomass increment
Biomass increases with time, therefore to allow comparison of plantings of different ages, we
compared the mean annual biomass increments, defined as the biomass divided by the age of the
stand (t ha-1 yr-1) among the 50 plantings studied in this project. Figure 4.05 shows the measured (for
0
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Measured from direct harvesting
Estimated using site specific allometrics
Estimated using generic allometrics
Original uncalibrated FullCAM predictions
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31
‘direct’ plantings) and estimated (for ‘indirect’ plantings) increments and compares those to
predicted using the un-calibrated yield curves in FullCAM. The results show that the un-calibrated
yield curve was not accounting for site or management factors that yield higher increments in the
more productive stands. Discussion on the general under-prediction of above-ground biomass using
the un-calibrated yield curves in FullCAM is provided in Section 6.1.
Figure 4.05. Measured (for ‘direct’ planting) and estimated (for ‘indirect’ plantings) mean annual biomass
increments across the 50 plantings studied in this project (dark and light purple bars). Black and grey bars
indicate the corresponding increment predicted using the un-calibrated FullCAM yield curves. Details of these
plantings are given in Appendix 9.2, Tables A9.2.1 and A9.2.2. Error bars are stdev. of the mean across sample
plots.
4.7 Conclusions
There are indications that within a given life-form, variations in allometrics for above-ground biomass
were greater between-sites than within-sites (i.e. relatively little difference between species of a
given life-form within a site). Rainfall at least partly contributed to between-site variations in some
life-forms. The measurement of R:S ratios in 13 contrasting ‘direct measurement’ plantings have
provided an understanding that R:S ratios are lowest in plantings with low proportions of trees, and
highest in plantings of relatively low productivity. Plantings where ‘direct measurements’ of biomass
were made have also been invaluable for testing of site-and-species specific and generic life-form
allometrics which, having been verified (i.e. average differences between measured and estimated
biomass, 15%), could be applied to provide estimates of biomass based on inventory data obtained
from a much wider range of plantings. The studies summarised above have also provided a basis for
the creation of a reliable new database on above- and below-ground biomass by plantings growing in
contrasting environments (Appendix 9.3). They also provide the foundation for evaluation of
extensive data on growth and biomass provided by collaborators (Section 5), and of highly precise
measurements of biomass for calibration of the yield curves in FullCAM (Section 6).
0
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yr-1
)
Measured or estimated total biomass
Measured or estimated above ground biomass
Predicted total biomass using uncalibrated FullCAM yield curves
Predicted above-ground biomass using uncalibrated FullCAM yield curves
32
5 Database analysis
5.1 Introduction
This section aims to develop a reliable extensive database which can be used to statistically assess
the key factors influencing growth, and thereby ensure the calibration of FullCAM’s yield curves are
‘robust’ in terms of being widely applicable. To achieve this, four key steps were followed; (i)
collation of biomass datasets and development of further allometrics, (ii) collation of inventory
datasets and application of allometrics to obtain estimates of biomass, (iii) uncertainty analysis of
collated datasets, and (iv) statistical analysis of collated datasets to determine key factors influencing
growth.
The review of the magnitude and longevity of growth response to various site and management
factors was previous conducted as part of this project, and was summarised by Carter et al. (2011).
This work highlighted a number of key factors which would require accounting for when developing
modifiers of growth. These are in addition to the climatic and soil depth and texture parameters that
are already part of the NIS. Carter et al. (2011) found that additional (interacting) factors which
require consideration include:
• Position in the landscape,
• Stocking density,
• Planting design and geometry (influencing ‘edge effects’),
• Access to additional water derived either from irrigation, or ground- and stored soil water,
• Salinity, and its interactions with species and stocking density,
• Nutrient availability, and its interactions with water availability, and
• For harvested mallee plantings, harvest frequency and timing.
5.2 Methodology
5.2.1 The database
A database was developed from plantings shown in Figure 5.01, and comprised biomass (Tables
A9.3.1 and A9.3.2), inventory (Table A9.3.3) and auxiliary (Table A9.3.4) data. Datasets were sourced
from project collaborators as indicated. Some of the datasets are confidential and were provided to
CSIRO solely for the purpose of calibration of yield curves used within FullCAM. All other datasets are
now publicly-available (Paul et al. 2013b-g). Importantly, for all plantings, planting area (or plot area)
was calculated as per Section 3.5 so that estimates of biomass density were not confounded by
planting geometry.
5.2.2 Development and application of allometrics
All above- and below-ground allometric equations were developed as described in Appendix 9.2.
Using the collated datasets (Table A9.3.1), three types of allometrics were developed; (i) site-and-
species specific allometrics which were applied only to inventory data from the planting from which
33
the biomass harvesting was done to develop the allometric, (ii) generic species-specific allometrics,
and (iii) generic life-form allometrics. The sample sizes available for generic life-form allometrics
were relatively large, and therefore we used Multiple Regression analyses to investigate whether
these could be further segregated based on climate. In particular, we tested whether these generic
allometrics significantly differed between regions of relatively high and low rainfall. To do this, the
datasets were divided into two approximately equal halves, based on the median observed mean
annual rainfall (MAR). For mallee eucalypts, this was 400 mm MAR while for mixed-species
environmental plantings this was 500 mm MAR. Given that the datasets obtained from tropical north
Queensland were considered highly likely to differ from those attained from temperate Australia due
to their lower wood densities and different growth forms (e.g. Keith et al. 2009; Stegen et al. 2011),
these were also segregated to form generic tropical allometrics for mixed-species environmental
plantings. Here we defined ‘tropical’ as the hot (or warm) humid summer regions using the
temperature/humidity zones of climate classification (BOM 2006).
For each inventory dataset, the most relevant allometric was applied to every individual measured
such that an estimated total biomass for each sample plot within each planting could be calculated.
For sites and/or species where site-and-species specific allometrics were not available (i.e. sites not
included in Table A9.3.1), generic allometrics were applied. Ideally these were generic species-
specific allometrics, but where these were not available, generic life-form allometrics were applied.
With the exception of the 13 direct harvest plantings, at all plantings generic below-ground
allometrics were applied. The total biomass was then divided by the plot area (Section 3.5) to
calculate the biomass per unit area in t DM ha-1 in both above- and below-ground components. Plot
data were then used to calculate biomass for the planting. Where individual trees or shrubs had
multiple stems, an ‘equivalent diameter’ was calculated (as per Appendix 9.2) before applying the
allometric.
Figure 5.01. Location of the planting sites from which data on growth of environmental plantings were collated.
These localities are overlayed upon spatial outputs of potential site productivity (Pavg, unitless), and an outline
of IBRA regions.
Mixed-species environmental plantings Mallee eucalypt plantings
34
5.2.3 Uncertainty in above-ground estimates of biomass
The Palisade @Risk for Excel program was used for uncertainty analyses of the estimates of above-
ground biomass (t DM ha-1) for each planting. Triangular probability distribution functions (or, where
we had calculated standard deviation of the error, a normal distribution function) were assigned to
each key input used in the calculation of biomass. Although Table A9.3.5 summarises these functions,
below we describe in detail the basis for each of these probability distribution functions. The @Risk
program used Excel to calculate biomass from 1,000 random values sampled from these probability
distribution functions. Rank-order correlations between the value of each parameter and estimated
biomass were then calculated. Using this information, Tornado graphs were constructed to rank the
relative sensitivity of the biomass estimates to the assumptions made. Results from the uncertainty
analysis were also used to calculate the standard deviation and coefficient of variation in estimates
of biomass.
Measurement errors
Estimates of measurement errors in stem diameter, canopy volume index and height were obtained
from repeated measurements of diameters (at D10, D30, D50 and DBH) and heights on the same set
of 226 trees at the Lynvale and McFall sites. Repeatability in these measurements was similar
regardless of whether the re-measurement was done by the same or a different technician. There
tended to be a slight increase in measurement error in stem diameters taken from lower down on
the tree; being 3.0, 3.3, 3.8, and 5.8% at DBH, D50, D30 and D10, respectively. These errors for DBH
were in agreement with those noted by Gregoire et al. (1989). However, we also noted that there
was a greater measurement error for diameters of multi-stemmed trees (6.9%) than single-stemmed
trees (5.6%). To be conservative, these average errors in measurement of stem diameters were used
in the uncertainty analysis.
As indicated in Table A9.3.5, repeatability in measurement of tree heights indicated similar
measurement errors, being 5.5% on average. Similarly, Brown et al. (1995) also found measurement
errors in tree heights were relatively high, being up to 10-15% in mature stands. We assumed the
errors in measurement of canopy width to have similar errors to that estimated for tree height, and
given CVI is the product of stem height and canopy widths (= Ht x CW1 x CW2), we estimated
measurement errors in CVI to be the sum of these errors (17.4%).
No covariance (or correlation) between measurement errors was required given above-ground
biomass estimates for a given individual were predicted using allometrics where only one of the
many possible explanatory variables were used. Therefore, although the explanatory variable used in
allometrics to estimate above-ground biomass varied from planting-to-planting depending on what
was measured (i.e. CVI, D10, DBH, etc.), there was no use of multiple explanatory variables to
estimate biomass of a given individual.
We also estimated measurement error in plot areas. For all but seven plantings in the database, trees
were planted in rows and so calculations of plot widths were straightforward. However, with direct
seeded plantings in particular, the distances between trees within the rows was highly variable, and
so there was some uncertainty in measurement of plot lengths. Measurement errors in plot area
decrease with increasing plot size, with slightly less error in circular rather than rectangular plots
(e.g. FAO 1981; IPCC 2006). However in the datasets collated (N=1,480), 98% of the measured plots
were square or rectangular, and most had a plot area similar to the average size observed, which was
0.040 ha (standard deviation 0.047 ha). Using the mean plot area recorded for tube-stock and direct-
seeded plantings in the database, and assuming there is ±0.5 m uncertainty in distances between
rows, and an additional ±0.25 m uncertainty in distances between trees within rows in direct-seeded
plantings, errors averaged 3.3% and 4.4% for tube-stock and direct seeded plantings, respectively
(Table A9.3.5). Nevertheless, these are generalised errors, and further work will be required to
35
calculate errors in plot area for each specific site based on the actual plot area and the shape of the
plot used.
Errors in assumptions made during calculations
There may be additional errors in the calculation of biomass (t DM ha-1) through the application of
allometrics. For example, errors from generic life-form allometrics applied to species which were not
well represented by the particular equation (i.e. life-form was recorded as ‘unknown’, but the
generic eucalypt tree allometric was applied as a ‘default’). Here we assumed this error to be 20%
(Table A9.3.5).
There will also be errors in the application of generic life-form allometrics. Here we assumed these to
be the 16.3% average difference between measured biomass and that estimated using generic life-
form allometrics as noted in Section 4.5. Site-and-species specific and species-specific generic
allometrics (which are generally based on a much smaller N than generic life-form allometrics) will
have errors associated with their application, and we have assumed that these increase
exponentially with a decreased sample size used to derive the equation as per Figure 3.10 (Section
3.3). Although our results showed that all allometrics also had small errors (generally <3%) associated
with their fit to the observed data (i.e. model efficiency (EF)), it was assumed that these errors were
already incorporated in the above-mentioned allometric errors.
Sampling errors
As shown in Section 3.2 (Figure 3.03), the probability of measuring the true planting BA increases
with the number of trees measured, and this relationship differs for tubestock (CV<150%, as
consequence of establishment method), as compared to the more heterogeneous direct seeded
plantings (CV >150%, as consequence of establishment method). For each inventory plot for each
planting in the database, the total number of trees measured and the heterogeneity (i.e. CV in BA
measured within these plots) was known. Therefore for each planting, the equations given in Figure
3.03 were used to calculate the CV and standard deviation of both BA and above-ground biomass,
given they are linearly related (Paul et al. 2011). Unlike the measured variations in biomass between
plots within a site, these variations represented the likely variability around the true mean as
determined by the sampling design (namely, the number of trees actually measured). Using this
standard deviation in above-ground biomass, a planting-specific normal distribution of errors was
generated around the estimated planting average above-ground biomass, which thus reflected both
the sampling design (number of trees sampled) and actual heterogeneity (measured coefficient of
variation in BA). Using this defined normal distribution, Monte Carlo simulations were used to obtain
iterative estimates of above-ground biomass (Table A9.3.5).
5.2.4 Data analysis: Factors influencing above- and below-ground biomass
Estimates of above-ground biomass and R:S ratios (obtained by application of above- and below-
ground allometrics) were analysed separately. However for both datasets, to identify the key factors
influencing amounts of above-ground biomass or R:S ratios, Multiple Regression modelling were
used to determine whether any of the auxiliary variables listed in Table A9.3.4 were statistically
important.
In a preliminary analysis, it was found that across the entire datasets (N=1,480), age alone explained
55% of the variability in above-ground biomass, with the relationship differing significantly (P<0.001)
for; (i) temperate mixed-species environmental plantings, (ii) tropical mixed-species environmental
plantings, and (iii) mallee eucalypt plantings. Therefore, a detailed Multiple Regression analysis was
undertaken on these three key planting types separately.
For each of the three datasets, Box-Cox transformations (Box and Cox 1964) were used to find the
appropriate transformation of biomass response so that assumptions about normality of residuals
36
were upheld after correcting for covariates. Fourth-root transformations were used for above-
ground biomass while natural log transformations were used for R:S ratios. The final set of covariates
was found using a stepwise model selection process based on the Akaike Information Criteria
(Venables and Ripley 2002). Where appropriate, site random effects were introduced to reflect the
fact that above-ground biomass values at the same site are correlated. For such models the
restricted (or residual, or reduced) maximum likelihood (REML) approach was used to estimate
model coefficients (Harville 1977). The set of covariates was reduced further if required (i.e. if non-
significant, P>0.05), with the final set of covariates and interactions indicating which management or
site factors best explained the variation in above-ground biomass. Because analyses were conducted
on a transformed scale, bias correction factors were applied when back-transforming model
predictions to the original scale.
Although the Tree Yield Formula in FullCAM already accounts for the impacts of age and site
productivity (Pavg) on biomass, here we assessed empirically the impact of these factors on biomass.
Given Pavg was highly correlated with mean annual rainfall, rainfall per se was not considered here
as a factor influencing growth. However, we did undertake some comparisons between Pavg and
rainfall and/or temperature in terms of correlations with estimates of above-ground biomass.
For ease of implementation, calibrations for the Tree Yield Formula should be based on categories of
plantings, as opposed to altering the formula construct (i.e. by adding numerical relationships
describing changes to growth increments with planting width, or stand density etc.). Care was
therefore taken to develop categories of different plantings for the two planting types with relatively
high N’s; mixed-species environmental plantings established in temperate regions, and mallee
eucalypt plantings. See Definition section of report on page 6 and Table 5.01.
There was a trade-off between increasing the number of categories and decreasing the number of
replicates observed within each of these categories. To ensure that there were at least 8 site
replicates within each category (with average of 68 and standard deviation of 80), we used the below
approach to categorisation.
• Planting geometries: In contrast to mixed-species environmental plantings, mallee eucalypt
plantings often have trees established in clearly-defined rows, with low variation in inter-row
distances. Also, many linear mallee eucalypt plantings in the database had sample plots
established such that there was deliberately one outer row and one inner row represented.
For example, in a six-row linear planting of mallee eucalypts, sample plots may have had 50%
of the trees as edge trees while the actual planting had only 33.3% edge trees. Therefore,
although planting geometry for row-planted mallee eucalypts could be defined based on the
percentage of trees in the sample plots which were edge trees, for mixed-species, planting
geometry was defined in accordance with the width of the planting. Therefore a block
planting geometry was defined as a planting with 0% edge trees (Note that this is 0% edge
trees in the sample plots, with the actual planting having a very low fraction of edge trees),
or for mixed-species plantings, with a width of >40 m. A wide linear planting was defined as
plantings with 25-50% edge trees, or for mixed-species, plantings with a width of 20-40 m. A
narrow linear planting was defined as a planting with 100% edge trees (i.e. 2-row linear
plantings), or for mixed-species, plantings with a width of <20 m.
• Stand density, or stems per hectare (sph): For mixed-species plantings, the stand density
categories were either ‘low’ (<1,500 sph) or ‘high’ (>1,500 sph). For mallee eucalypts the
‘low’ and ‘high’ stand density categories were <2,300 and >2,300 sph. Again, the cut-off sph
used in these categories were selected to effectively divide the datasets into two equal
halves. The one exception. This was for block environmental plantings established in
temperate regions. For these particular plantings, a relatively high N supported the addition
of a third category for stocking; <500 sph, or very sparse stand density (Table 5.01).
37
• Species/species-mix: Species-mix in environmental plantings, being either tree dominant
(PropTree ≥0.75) or having a more even mix of trees and shrubs (PropTree <0.75). The
PropTree value of 0.75 was used given this effectively split the datasets into about two equal
halves. For mallee eucalypts, there were three key species; ‘Lox’ E. loxophleba subsp.
lissophloia; ‘Poly’ E. polybractea; and ‘Other’, namely E. kochii subsp. borealis or subsp.
plenissima.
In addition to species/species mix, stocking and planting geometry, a binary categorisation was also
required to indicate whether or not: (i) a planting was regrowth post-coppice (only relevant to mallee
eucalypts, N=349), (ii) the surface soil was saline (defined here as >200 mS m-1, N=45), and (iii) the
planting was likely to have access to a water table (defined here as a measured water table depth of
<5 m (N=357), or the planting was clearly riparian (N=12)). For the latter two categorisations, if no
salinity or water table access was noted in the site records collated, they were assumed to be non-
saline and having no access to water tables. Additional categorisation was based on landscape
position (upper, mid, lower, gully), method of establishment (direct-seeded, tube stock or
broadcast), previous land use, soil clay content and available water content (Table A9.3.4).
Multiple Regression models which best explained the variations in above-ground biomass or R:S
ratios were used to generate plots showing average differences between different combinations of
these categories of plantings in terms of their above-ground biomass or R:S ratios.
Table 5.01. Outline of the categorisation of plantings based on type of planting, planting geometry, stand
density and the proportion of trees in the stand.
Type of planting Planting geometry Stand density (sph)
(or trees ha-1
) PropTree
Mixed-species; temperate Narrow linear, Sparse, <1,500 <0.75
<20 m wide ≥0.75
Dense, >1,500 <0.75
≥0.75
Wide linear, Sparse, <1,500 <0.75
20-40 m wide ≥0.75
Dense, >1,500 <0.75
≥0.75
Block, Very sparse, <500 <0.75
>40 m wide ≥0.75
Sparse, 500-1,500 <0.75
≥0.75
Dense, >1,500 <0.75
≥0.75
Mixed-species; tropical Block ~ ~
‘Other’ mallee eucalypts Block, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
<25% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
Wide linear, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
25-50% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
Narrow linear, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
100% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
‘Lox’ mallee eucalypts Block, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
<25% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
Wide linear, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
25-50% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
Narrow linear, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
100% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
‘Poly’ mallee eucalypts Block, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
<25% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
Wide linear, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
25-50% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
Narrow linear, Sparse, <2,300 1.00
100% edge trees Dense, >2,300 1.00
38
5.3 Allometrics
There was a reasonable fit to the data in most cases, with allometric equations for above-ground
biomass having model efficiencies of between 68% and 99% (average 93%) (Table A9.3.6). Due to a
much smaller sample size for below-ground allometrics, efficiencies were less, being as low as 60%,
and averaging only 81%. Generic allometrics were developed based on a number of different
diameters (e.g. D10, D30, D50 and DBH). The allometric equations shown in Table A9.3.6 were those
most commonly used. Others are not shown but are available within the database. Similarly, only a
selection of key generic allometrics is shown in Figures 5.02 and 5.03.
All of these allometrics are based only on stem diameter. The fact that model efficiencies for these
allometrics were so high supports the findings from numerous researchers who have shown that
stem diameter is an adequate biomass predictor at local or regional scales, with height, or wood
density, providing little or no improvements in the efficiency of allometric predictions of above-
ground or below-ground biomass (Brown et al., 1989; Ketterings et al., 2001; Jenkins et al. 2003;
Ritson and Sochacki 2003; Zianis and Mencuccini, 2004; Lambert et al. 2005; Montagu et al. 2005;
Williams et al. 2005; Chave et al., 2005; Peichl and Arain 2007; Pajtı´k et al. 2008; Ouimet et al. 2008;
Basuki et al., 2009; Xiang et al. 2011; Jonson and Freudenberger 2011; Rance et al. 2012; Kuyah et al.
2012a,b). In addition to providing verification that allometrics based on stem diameter alone are
adequate, our high model efficiencies also provide further evidence that the simple power-law
model (Equation A9.2.1) is universal across a wide range of woody species, given they have their
origins in common geometric and hydrodynamic principles that govern the transport of essential
materials to support cellular metabolism (Enquist et al. 1998; West et al. 1999; Enquist and Niklas
2001). However, the fact that the simple power-law model worked so well was probably also partly
because the majority of the trees and shrubs measured were not mature. There is some evidence
that these power-law models fail for very large trees, with over-estimates of biomass being common
when DBH>50 cm (Niklas 1995, Chambers et al. 2001; Chave et al. 2005; Fatemi et al. 2011) due to
accelerated damage and senescence as the trees mature.
Figures 5.02 and 5.03 show the generalised life-form allometrics obtained in this study. As expected,
there are clear differences in the allometrics between various life-forms for mixed-species
environmental plantings, and between various species of mallee eucalypts. This may be attributable
to differences in both stem wood density and the partitioning of biomass between stem, bark,
branches and foliage. For mallee eucalypts, although species category was a statistically significant
(P<0.001) factor influencing the allometric, the improvement in explained variation (R2) of the
generic mallee eucalypt allometric was only 0.01% when this species factor was added. This suggests
that species only explains marginally more of the variability in biomass of mallee eucalypts than stem
diameter alone.
These results were consistent with those of Jonson and Freudenberger (2011), who also studied
generalised allometrics from mixed-species environmental plantings in south-west of Western
Australia. This work also demonstrated a difference between life-forms (i.e. A. saligna had a
significantly different relationship to the eucalypts), but no statistical differences among the different
species of eucalypt. Others (Keith et al. 2000; Bi et al. 2004) have also found that allometrics for
acacia species and other shrubs differ to those for many eucalypt trees in Australia. This has been
attributed to differences in stem geometry between these life-forms resulting from differences in
their life-span, wood density and typical environmental conditions in the crown region which
determine the proportion of branches (i.e. whether under- or over-storey species) (e.g. Keith et al.
2000).
39
Figure 5.02. Allometrics for above- and below-ground biomass of the key life forms found in mixed-species
environmental plantings, including; (a) trees, namely eucalypts in temperate regions, but also other tree-form
genera from tropical regions, (b) acacia trees, (c) various types of shrubs, or small trees, and (d) below-ground
biomass for a range of life-forms. Refer to Table A9.3.6 for a list of key species represented in each of these
graphs. Here low and high rainfall are defined as sites having <500 or >500 mm MAR, respectively. Note that a
majority of inventory datasets collated from existing plantings were within the <25 cm diameter range.
In addition to species and life-form, climate was also an important factor influencing allometrics.
There were statistically-significant (P<0.001) differences in allometrics between: (i) high rainfall
temperate, low rainfall temperate, and tropical eucalypts in mixed-species environmental plantings,
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
0 10 20 30 40 50A
bo
ve
-gro
un
d b
iom
ass
(k
g t
ree
-1)
Stem diameter (DBH, cm)
High rainfall
Low rainfall
Tropical
High rainfall allometric
Low rainfall allometric
Tropical allometric
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 5 10 15 20 25
Ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Stem diameter (DBH, cm)
High rainfal
Low rainfall
Tropical
High rainfall allometric
Low rainfall allometric
Tropical allometric
(b) Acacia trees
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Stem diameter (D10, cm)
Acaica shrubs
Casuriana spp.
Melaluca spp.
Other shrubs
Acacia shrubs allometric
Casuriana spp. allometric
Melaluca spp. allometric
Other shrubs allometrics
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
0 5 10 15 20 25
Ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Stem diameter (D10, cm)
Acaica shrubs
Casuriana spp.
Melaluca spp.
Other shrubs
Acacia shrubs allometric
Casuriana spp. allometric
Melaluca spp. allometric
Other shrubs allometrics
(c) Various types of shrubs
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Be
low
-gro
un
d b
iom
ass
(k
g t
ree
-1)
Stem diameter (DBH or D10, cm)
Eucalypt tree roots (DBH)
Acacia tree roots (DBH)
Shrub roots (D10)
Eucalypt tree roots allometric
Acacia tree root allometric
Shrub roots allometric
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
0 5 10 15 20 25
Be
low
-gro
un
d b
iom
ass
(k
g t
ree
-1)
Stem diameter (DBH or D10, cm)
Eucalypt tree roots (DBH)
Acacia tree roots (DBH)
Shrub roots (D10)
Eucalypt tree roots allometric
Acacia tree root allometric
Shrub roots allometric
(d) Below-ground
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
0 20 40 60 80 100
Ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Stem diameter (DBH, cm)
High rainfall
Low rainfall
Tropical
High rainfall allometric
Low rainfall allometric
Tropical allometric
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 5 10 15 20 25
Ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Stem diameter (DBH, cm)
High rainfall
Low rainfall
Tropical
High rainfall allometric
Low rainfall allometric
Tropical allometric
(a) Eucalypt trees
40
and (ii) high rainfall temperate, low rainfall temperate, and tropical acacia trees in mixed-species
environmental plantings (iii) high and low rainfall E. loxophleba subsp. lissophloia, and (iv) high and
low rainfall E. polybractea (Figures 5.02 and 5.03). Differences between species/life-forms and
interactions with climate were most pronounced in smaller, generally younger trees/shrubs of
mixed-species environmental plantings, where more data were available and variability was less.
However, although this climate factor was always highly significant, improvements in R2 of the
allometric equations when these climatic factors were added were always <1%. As was noted in
Section 4.3, this suggests that climate only explains marginally more of the variability in biomass than
stem diameter alone. Nevertheless, these results are consistent with the findings of others (e.g.
Brown et al. 1989; Sternberg and Shoshany 2001; Drake et al. 2003; Chave et al. 2005; De Walt and
Chave 2006) who showed differences in allometrics under regions of different mean annual rainfall.
As shown in Figure 5.03c, allometrics for mallee eucalypts which are regrowth post coppice are
based on CVI as they have relatively high number of stems and tend to be ‘bushy’ in structure.
Nevertheless, even if equivalent stem diameters could be accurately measured in these coppiced
stands, they are unlikely to have similar allometric relationships to that of uncut trees due to their
altered allocation of biomass (Droppelman and Berlier 2000; Kuyah et al. 2012a). Therefore, life-
form/species, climate and harvesting were the three key factors governing generic allometrics in this
study.
Figure 5.03. Biomass data and allometrics for above- and below-ground biomass of the three key species of
mallee eucalypts (E. loxophleba subsp. lissophloia; E. polybractea; and E. kochii subsp. borealis or subsp.
plenissima) when uncut (a and b) and after coppice harvesting (c and d). There were sufficient data available
for above-ground allometrics for uncut E. loxophleba subsp. lissophloia and E. polybractea to be segregated
into low-rainfall (LR, <400 MAR) and high-rainfall regions (HR, >400 mm MAR).
Several other authors have proposed such generalised allometric equations for large-scale
applicability over a range of tree or shrub species across regional scales (e.g. Pastor et al. 1984
(north-east USA); Zianis and Mencuccini 2003 (northern Greece); Jenkins et al. 2003 (USA); Williams
et al. 2005 (northern Australia); Montagu et al. 2005 (eastern Australia); Muukkonen 2007 (Europe);
Dietze et al. 2008 (south-eastern USA); Xiang et al. 2011 (China); Vieilledent et al. 2012
(Madagascar); Kuyah et al. 2012a (Kenya)). For example, studying woodlands in Australia, Williams et
al. (2005) showed that although site-species differences were significant, the amount of variation
accounted for by these site-species factors was <0.5%, thereby supporting the use of generalised
allometrics which had slightly less accuracy, but much greater certainty. Similar results were found
by Montague et al. (2005) studying eucalypt plantations in eastern Australia. We have also shown
that site-species factors added <0.5% to the model performance (Figure 5.04). On average, model
0
50
100
150
0 20 40 60 80 100
Ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Canopy Volume Index (CVI, cm3)
(c) Coppiced mallees, above-ground
0
50
100
150
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Be
low
-gro
un
d
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Stem diameter (D10, cm)
(b) Uncut mallees, below-ground
All species
Allometric
0
50
100
150
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Be
low
-gro
un
d
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Tree height (H, m)
(d) Coppiced mallees, below-ground
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Stem diameter (D10, cm)
(a) Uncut mallees, above-groudE. loxophleba LR
E. loxophleba HR
E. polybractea LR
E. polybractea HR
E. kochii
E. loxophleba LR allometric
E. loxophleba HR allometric
E. polybractea LR allometric
E. polybractea HR allometric
E. kochii allometric
41
efficiency was only 0.2% lower when using generic life-form as opposed to site-and-species specific
allometrics. Moreover, when estimating individual tree biomass, standard deviation of the absolute
value of residuals averaged only 9.6 kg tree-1 higher when using generic life-form as opposed to site-
and-species specific allometrics. These results are also in agreement with those presented in Section
4.5, which show that when tested against direct measures of above-ground biomass, generic life-
form allometrics were proven to be only marginally less accurate than site-and-species specific
allometrics.
Figure 5.04. Increased standard deviation of residuals, and decreased allometric model efficiency, when using
generalised opposed to site-and-species specific allometrics. In plots (a) and (b) generic life-form allometrics
tested are those shown in Figures 5.02 (excluding datasets of species-by-site combinations with N<6), including
acacia shrubs (N=449), acacia trees from tropical regions (N=31), acacia trees from high rainfall temperate
regions (N=233), acacia trees from low rainfall temperate regions (N=183), other trees from tropical regions
(N=258), other trees (mostly eucalypts) from high rainfall temperate regions (N=1,120), other trees (mostly
eucalypts) from low rainfall temperate regions (N=905), casuarinas (N=80), melaleucas (N=154) and other
shrubs (N=183). Plots (c) and (d) show differences between generic and site-and-species specific allometrics
for; (i) uncut E. kochii (N=374), (ii) uncut E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia in low rainfall regions (898), (iii) uncut
E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia in high rainfall regions (N=220), (iv) uncut E. polybractea in low rainfall regions
(N=504), (v) uncut E. polybractea in high rainfall regions (N=379), (vi) coppiced E. kochii (N=196), (vii) coppiced
E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia (N=377), and (viii) coppiced E. polybractea (N=325).
Although these results support the use of generalised life-form allometrics, care is required to ensure
they are not applied outside their domain region given that significant variations in factors such as
topography, hydrology and soil nutrient availability may result in systematic biases (Clark and Clark
0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1.00
Model efficiency (EF)
(b)
020406080100120140160
Acacia shrubs
Acacia trees (Tropical)
Acacia trees (Temperate, high rainfall)
Acacia trees (Temperate, low rainfall)
Other trees (Tropical)
Other trees (Temperate, high rainfall)
Other trees (Temperate, low rainfall)
Casuarinas
Melaleucas
Other shrubs
Stdev. in absolute value of residuals (kg tree-1)
(a)
Specific
Generalised
0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1.00
Model efficiency (EF)
(d)
0246810121416
Uncut E. kochii
Uncut E. loxophleba subsp liss. (Low rainfall)
Uncut E. loxophleba subsp liss. (High rainfall)
Uncut E. polybractea (Low rainfall)
Uncut E. polybractea (High rainfall)
Cut E. kochii
Cut E. loxophleba subsp liss.
Cut E. polybractea
Stdev. in absolute value of residuals (kg tree-1)
(c)
Specific
Generalised
42
2000; Clark 2005). For this reason, generalised allometircs which have entailed the use of larger pan-
continental datasets (Cannell 1984; Brown et al. 1989; Brown 1997; Chave et al. 2005; Zapata-
Cuartas et al. 2012) need to be applied with caution. Verification of these pan-continental
generalised allometrics have often failed (e.g. Basuki et al. 2009; Vieilledent et al. 2012). For
example, Madgwick et al. (1991) found that for the eucalypt genera, allometrics developed in one
country may not be accurate for the same life-forms growing in other countries.
As in this study, most previous work on development of allometrics for below-ground biomass has
entailed development of generic rather than site-and-species specific relationships due to the limited
amount of data on root biomass available (Barton and Montagu 2006; Ouimet et al. 2008; and Peichl
and Arain 2007; Xiang et al. 2011). Further work is therefore required to verify these generic below-
ground allometrics, across many of the environmental factors of topography, hydrology and soil
nutrient availability. Additionally, further work is required to utilise Bayesian hierarchical models
given they provide an intermediate between the two extremes (species-and-site specific versus
generic life-form allometrics) that acknowledges that growth forms of trees are generally similar
across species (Dietze et al. 2008).
5.4 Uncertainty in above-ground biomass estimates
The largest source of uncertainty in estimating above-ground biomass is from sampling design
(Figure 5.05). However, this can be markedly decreased by measuring more trees and/or by changing
the sampling design to more representatively capture the variation across the site (Section 3.2).
There is relatively little that can be done about measurement errors, and unfortunately these are
also important, particularly errors resulting from the measurement of heights and canopy width to
estimate CVI in coppiced stands. Errors resulting from the application and fitting of allometric
equations were relatively minor contributors to uncertainty in estimates of above-ground biomass.
Figure 5.05. Tornado graph showing the absolute value of the average correlation between the uncertainty
distribution of the estimated above-ground biomass (t DM ha-1
) and the errors associated with the various
assumptions made in this calculation across the 747 mixed-species environmental plantings datasets, and in
the 744 mallee eucalypts datasets. A correlation of 1.0 indicates that a 10% increase in the value of the error of
a given assumption results in a 10% greater estimation of biomass. Error bars indicate standard deviation of the
means. Estimates of CVI were only made (based on measurement of tree height and canopy width) for very
small uncut mallee eucalypts, or for coppiced mallee eucalypts. In mixed-species environmental plantings,
where the life-form of an individual was unknown (often only when the individual was dead), it was assumed to
be a eucalypt, and an error, called ‘Inappropriate allometric?’ was assigned to this individuals estimate of
biomass.
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Sample design
Measurement error in CVI
Measurement error in stem diam.s
Generic allometric errors
Sampling errors in allometrics
Measurement error in plot area
Inappropraite allometric?
Absolute correlation coefficient
Mixed species
Mallee eucalypts
43
For the collated datasets, a range of different measurement-based methodologies were used to
obtain estimates of biomass. For each site, the uncertainty analysis generated standard deviation of
above-ground biomass estimates, and this was used to calculate CV. Figure 5.06 shows that on
average, the CV was highest where site inventories were based on relatively few (N<100) trees, and
where non-site-and non-species based allometrics were generated, thereby resulting in the
application of generic life-form allometrics to a relatively high proportion of individuals within the
planting. The CV was least when precision sampling, combined with direct whole-plot harvesting,
was used given that there were no errors resulting from either sampling design, or the application of
allometrics.
Although applying generic life-form allometrics to obtain estimates of biomass for a greater
proportion of individual trees (or shrubs) generally increased the errors in the estimates (i.e. Figure
5.06, differences between 'some' and 'no' site-based allometrics), these differences were relatively
small when compared to the differences in errors resulting from improved sampling designs (i.e.
Figure 5.06, differences between N<100 and N>200). We conclude that application of allometric
equations was a minor contributor to uncertainty in above-ground biomass estimates. There are,
however, several possible limitations to this analysis which are currently being tested, and which
may impact on this conclusion. Firstly, further work is being undertaken to better statistically
determine rules to guide the assessment of the ‘appropriateness’ of generic life-form and species-
and-site specific allometrics when applied to new sites. Secondly, additional uncertainty from
allometrics may be derived when moisture content corrections were based on a limited number of
replicates.
Figure 5.06. Impacts of different measurement-based methodologies on key errors contributing to coefficients
of variation in estimates of above-ground biomass for mixed-species environmental plantings and mallee
eucalypt plantings. N refers to the number of trees (or shrubs) that were measured in the site inventory. Value
in parenthesis indicates the number of observations (i.e. sites) in the calculation of the mean percentage
coefficient of variation. Error bars indicate standard deviation of the mean.
Coefficients of variation in above-ground biomass derived from uncertainty analysis were used to
rank inventory datasets into different data-quality classes, with lower values for %CV corresponding
to higher-quality data. Most of the inventory datasets had values of CV between about 13 and 23%
(Figure 5.07). There were some exceptional inventory datasets with even lower values for %CV. Only
about 8-10% of plantings had CV values >30%. 'Class 1' data were those collected from this study,
generally using precision sampling (Figure 5.06). In Section 6, we used these more precise Class 1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
N<100; No site-and-species based allometrics (346)
N<100; Some site-and-species based allometrics (777)
N=100-200; No site-and-species based allometrics (190)
N=100-200; Some site-and-species based allometrics (73)
N>200; No site-and-species based allometrics (28)
N>200; Some site-and-species based allometrics (37)
Precision sampled; Full site-based allometrics (8) (Class 1)
Precision sampled; Direct whole-plot harvesting (13) (Class 1)
%Coefficient of variation of above-ground biomass
All errors (Allometrics, sample design & measurement errors)
Sample design & measurement errors
Measurement errors (plot & stem diam.)
44
datasets to check that, when the yield curves used within FullCAM were calibrated, FullCAM
predictions of above-ground biomass for these particular plantings was unbiased.
Because only above-ground biomass is used to calibrate the Tree Yield Formula within FullCAM, the
above uncertainty analysis was based on above-ground biomass only, and did not include below-
ground biomass. But as discussed in Section 4.4, uncertainty in knowing the correct R:S ratio, or
below-ground allometrics, to apply to an individual planting can lead to significant variations in total
stand-scale biomass estimates.
Figure 5.07. Frequency histograms of the distribution of percentage coefficient of variation in estimates of
above-ground biomass across the inventory datasets collated in Table A9.3.3. Data from the current study
(Table 9.2.2) were not included given most were either ‘direct’ sites or had been Precision Sampled, thus
having negligible CV (Figure 5.06).
5.5 Analysis of factors influencing biomass
5.5.1 Boundaries of the analysis
Age
Most plantings were relatively young (Figure 5.08), with mixed-species plantings being about 5-20
years old, most uncut mallee eucalypts being 5-15 years old, and the coppiced harvested stands
generally very young at 1-5 years of age since harvesting. Unfortunately there were very few
plantings older than 25 years and so analyses of factors influencing these older stands, and
calibration of the yield curves for maximum biomass, will need to be done as existing stands mature.
Data from remnant vegetation were not included in the analysis due to uncertainties in their age and
disturbance history, and most importantly, whether they are representative of the biomass carrying
capacity due to possible differences in soil types (and soil improvements or degradation), landscape
positions and planting geometries. Remnant vegetation is often found where clearing was not
economical (e.g. on ridge tops, erodible soils etc.) or on stock routes. They are also generally in
blocks, or if linear, they are often along roadsides where there may be access to additional water and
nutrient runoff.
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58
Nu
mb
er
of
inv
en
tory
stu
die
s
% Coeficient of variation in estimated above-ground biomass
Mixed species
Mallee eucalypts
45
Figure 5.08. Frequency histograms of the age distribution of plantings in the inventory datasets for mixed-
species environmental plantings established in temperate and tropical regions, and 'uncut' or 'coppiced
harvested' mallee eucalypts.
Figure 5.09. Frequency histograms of the site productivity potential (Pavg, or forest productivity index during
the actual period of stand growth) across the datasets within the five types of plantings; (a) mixed-species
environmental plantings from temperate regions (N=573), (b) mixed-species environmental plantings from
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
11
12
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27
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-50
Nu
mb
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tud
ies
Age of the stand (yrs)
Mixed-species temperate
Mixed-species tropical
Uncut mallee eucalypts
Coppiced mallee eucalypts
0
20
40
60
80
100
1
1.8
2.6
3.4
4.2 5
5.8
6.6
7.4
8.2 9
9.8
Nu
mb
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of
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ts
FPI
(c) 'Other' mallee eucalypts
Ave: 3.50
Stdev: 0.65
0
20
40
60
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1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9
11
12
13
14
15
17
18
19
20
21
23
24
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Nu
mb
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FPI
(a) Mixed species plantings; Temperate
Ave: 6.21
Stdev: 2.05
0
20
40
60
80
100
1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 9
10
Nu
mb
er
of
da
tase
ts
Site potential (Pavg)
(d) 'Lox liss' linear
mallee eucalypts
Ave: 3.94
Stdev: 0.72
0
20
40
60
80
100
1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9
11
12
13
14
15
17
18
19
20
21
23
24
25
Nu
mb
er
of
da
tase
ts
Site potential (Pavg)
(b) Mixed species plantings; Tropical
Ave: 16.42
Stdev: 6.40
0
20
40
60
80
100
1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 9
10
Nu
mb
er
of
da
tase
ts
Site potential (Pavg)
(e) 'Poly' mallee eucalypts
Ave: 5.20
Stdev: 0.97
46
tropical regions (N=164), (c) ‘Other’ mallee eucalypt species (N=169), (d) ‘Lox’ mallee eucalypt species (N=363),
and (e) 'Poly' mallee eucalypt species (N=211).
Site productivity
Comparison of productivity among planting types requires an understanding of the typical site
potential (Pavg) within which these plantings are generally established (Figure 5.09). The collated
data suggest a relatively wide distribution of potential site productivities for mixed-species plantings
and a narrower range of site potentials for plantings of mallee eucalypts. For mallee eucalypt
plantings there was also a clear difference between species and Pavg, with ‘Poly’ being established
on sites of highest potential, and ‘Other’ species being established on sites of lowest potential.
5.5.2 Key factors influencing rates of above-ground biomass accumulation
In terms of assessment of key factors influencing growth determined by standard linear regression
fitted by maximising the likelihood function, results differed between mixed-species environmental
plantings established in temperate and tropical regions. In tropical regions, mixed-species
environmental plantings were largely (97%) block plantings with PropTree ≥0.75 and <1,500 sph.
Therefore for these relatively non-diverse plantings, only stand age was found to significantly
influence above-ground biomass. This factor alone explained 95% of the variation in above-ground
biomass (Table A9.4.2; P<0.001; N=164). In contrast, for such plantings established in temperate
regions, 46% of the variation in above-ground biomass was explained largely by three statistically
significant factors; stocking (2 categories; <1,500 sph or >1,500 sph), planting geometry (3 categories;
narrow linear plantings, wide linear plantings and block plantings) and PropTree (2 categories; <0.75
and ≥0.75) (Table A9.4.1; P<0.001; N=583).
Similarly, 95% of the variation in above-ground biomass of mallee eucalypt plantings was explained
by stocking (2 categories; <2,300 sph or >2,300 sph), planting geometry (3 categories; narrow,
moderate, wide) and species (3 categories; Other, Lox and Poly). For mallee eucalypts, additional
explanatory variables included stand age, regrowth after coppice harvest, and saline surface soils
(surface soil >200 mS m-1) (Table A9.4.3; P<0.001; N=744; Note, P-values not reported as a mixed
effects model was used for mallee eucalypts and these are fitted by maximising the Restricted
Maximum Likelihood (REML) function). However, generalisations about the impact of coppice
harvest and salinity on biomass are difficult to make given only younger stands (most <5 years) were
coppice harvested, and only moderately young stands from low productivity sites (<15 years; Pavg 2-
4) were salt affected.
In contrast, datasets were adequate to develop generalisations about the influences of the three key
factors influencing above-ground biomass in both temperate mixed-species environmental plantings,
and mallee eucalypt plantings; (i) planting geometry, (ii) stocking, and (iii) species/species mix. These
factors are discussed below in Section 5.5.4, as they provide the basis for generating categories of
different types of plantings. Categorical, rather than continuous variables, were used given that the
purpose of the analysis was to inform calibrations of the Tree Yield Formula used in FullCAM, which
is designed to be calibrated for different categories of plantings.
In terms of their influence on biomass, the explanatory variables of stand age and Pavg are unique in
that they are already incorporated into the Tree Yield Formula, and so development of categories of
plantings based on these factors was not required. However for mixed-species environmental
plantings growing in temperate regions, there was an interaction between age and Pavg, with the
enhancement of biomass accumulation with increased Pavg being more pronounced in younger than
older stands. The sensitivity of biomass accumulation to Pavg may be relatively pronounced in
younger stands given other factors such as planting geometry and species mix may be less important
during the early ages of growth prior to significant competition (for light, nutrients and water)
47
between individual trees within a given planting. There was no such interaction between the
influence of age and Pavg on above-ground biomass of mallees, with Pavg not being a significant
factor influencing growth of mallee eucalypts. This may be due to the relatively; (i) young nature of
the mallee eucalypts in the dataset (Figure 5.08), and (ii) lower distribution of Pavg observed across
the regions in which the mallee eucalypt datasets were derived (Figure 5.09).
It is also possible that the lack of significance of Pavg on above-ground biomass of many plantings
was due in part to Pavg being a relatively poor index of fine scale site productivity. The Pavg index is
derived from the forest growth model 3-PG (Kesteven et al. 2004), which in turn, is known to have
limited potential at estimating biomass of low rainfall plantations which have access to ground or
surface water, or for nutrient-limited plantings where inputs on soil fertility are inaccurate at the fine
site-level scale required (Almeida et al. 2007; Paul et al. 2007).
There was no evidence in this study that Pavg explained more of the variation in biomass than mean
average rainfall or temperature during the years of growth. Across all of the categories of plantings
studied, the average (and stdev.) correlation between mean annual increment in above-ground
biomass and Pavg was only 0.48 (0.24), 0.25 (NA) and 0.07 (0.27) for temperate mixed-species
environmental plantings, tropical mixed-species environmental plantings and mallee eucalypt
plantings, respectively. Similar correlations were found based on mean annual rainfall alone, being
0.41 (0.24), 0.32 (NA) and 0.07 (0.38) for these plantings types, respectively. Correlations between
mean annual biomass increment and average annual temperature tended to be even weaker. Due to
there being a strong negative correlation between rainfall and temperature (-0.55) in the temperate
sites included in our dataset, there was a slight negative correlation between mean annual increment
and temperature (ranging from -0.16 for mallee plantings to -0.32 for mixed-species environmental
plantings). In contrast for tropical regions, there was a slight positive correlation of 0.10 between
mean annual increment and temperature.
Clearly in different climatic regions, factors influencing growth are likely to be different. Having a
simple universal index of productivity (i.e. Pavg) across all regions provides a challenge. Further work
to calibrate the Pavg at a fine site-level scale is required, and this may entail some improvements to
the simple bucket water-balance model used in the calculation of this index. To achieve this, further
work is also required to improve inputs to the calculation of Pavg, including the quality and
resolution of soil fertility rating inputs, and providing options to add key water-balance inputs such as
access to surface- and ground-water. Such work is vital given there is an overwhelming amount of
evidence that biomass accumulation is primarily governed by key abiotic site factors of rainfall,
temperature and soil nutrient availability, which the Pavg index aims to quantify (e.g. Brown and
Lugo 1982; Knapp and Smith 2001; Chave et al. 2001; Sankaran et al., 2005; Hui and Jackson 2006;
Raich et al. 2006; Keeling and Phillips 2007; Keith et al., 2009; Watt et al. 2010; Stegen et al. 2011;
Hui et al. 2012; Fensham et al. 2012; Bartle et al. 2012b).
Other factors were not significant and so were excluded from subsequent regression analyses. These
factors included whether or not the planting had access to a water table, landscape position (upper,
mid, lower, gully and riparian), method of establishment (direct-seeded, tube stock or broadcast),
previous land use, soil clay content and the soils potential available water content. In some cases, a
limited dataset (e.g. on access to a water table) may be the cause of the statistical non-significance.
Nevertheless, currently there is no evidence to support these additional factors being considered in
the calibration process described in Section 6.
5.5.3 Types of plantings; environmental and mallee plantings
During the first 20 years of growth, relative differences between the three key planting types (mixed-
species temperate, mixed-species tropical, and mallee eucalypt) were reasonably consistent. At an
arbitrary stand age of 10 years, the Multiple Regression model predicted that biomass of mixed-
species environmental plantings averaged 61% lower (range 43 to 79%) when compared to linear
48
mallee eucalypts growing at sites of similar productivity (Figure 5.10). The reasons linear mallee
plantings, particularly Poly, have relatively high biomass for a given potential site productivity may be
that: (i) these plantings are generally established for commercial purposes, and so tend to be more
intensively-managed than mixed-species plantings which tend to be established for
environmental/land restoration only, (ii) there are genetic improvements in many mallee eucalypt
species in terms of survival and increased growth rates, (ii) in some cases mallees have been planted
in areas with high water tables to help combat salinity, and (iii) linear plantings are inherently more
productive, due to the edge growth effect.
These results are consistent with those of Preece et al. (2012), who also found that mixed-species
plantings in northern Queensland accumulate significantly less biomass than stands with a higher
proportion of eucalypt trees. They found that above-ground biomass of the larger (>20 cm) stems in
mixed-species plantings were only about half that of eucalypt plantings by age 16 years. Jacob et al.
(2010) also reported that above-ground biomass and wood production decreased with increasing
tree species diversity. However, other studies have provided mixed results on the impact of species
diversity on forest productivity (e.g. Loreau et al. 2001; Mittelbach et al. 2001; Vilà et al. 2003;
Swenson and Waring 2006; Kirsch et al. 2012). For example, in contrast to our results, in the humid
tropics of Australia, Erskine et al. (2006) found that diverse plantations can achieve greater
productivity than monocultures. It seems likely that whether or not mixed-species have more
biomass at a given age than monocultures is dependent on the systems being compared, and
whether or not; (i) species-rich plantings are able to more efficiently access and utilise limiting
resources because they contain species with a diverse array of ecological attributes, and perhaps one
or two relatively high-yielding species (Kelty 1992; Loreau et al. 2001; Erskine et al. 2006; Kelty 2006),
(ii) monocultures are N-limited whereas mixed-species plantings have improved N availability due to
the presence of N-fixing trees or shrubs (e.g. Binkley et al. 2003; Forrester et al. 2005; Forrester et
al., 2006a,b; Hunt et al. 2006; Nouvellon et al. 2012), and (iii) there are morphological changes at
tree level (i.e. height to basal area ratio of acacias) when species are planted together rather than
separately (Nouvellon et al. 2012).
Predicted differences in biomass between temperate and tropical mixed-species environmental
plantings were less pronounced (generally <25%), and were dependent on site productivity (Figure
5.10). This was because the sensitivity of biomass accumulation to Pavg was greater in temperate
than in tropical regions, perhaps being partly attributable to the fact that in tropical regions (which
are generally not water-limited), variations in Pavg is largely dominated by soil fertility- an input to
the calculation of Pavg which has much less spatial variation than climatic factors such as rainfall.
There was higher accumulation of biomass in temperate regions only under conditions of relatively
high site productivity. These results were consistent with the findings of others (e.g. Keith et al. 2009;
Stegen et al. 2011) that above-ground biomass accumulation in moist/wet tropical forests is lower
than that of productive moist temperate forests, but higher than that of less productive dry
temperate forests.
5.5.4 Categories of plantings; geometry, stocking and species/species mix
Based on results from Section 5.5.2 above, it was clear that within these three key planting types,
further segregation into categories of plantings was possible, with each category having similar rates
of above-ground biomass accumulation. These categories may be defined based on their planting
geometry (narrow linear, wide linear or block), stocking (low or high sph) and species/species mix.
The highest rates of above-ground biomass accumulation were found in densely-stocked narrow
linear plantings which are tree dominant in mixed-species plantings, or which are stocked with Poly,
or to a lesser extent Lox, in mallee eucalypt plantings.
In temperate regions, mixed-species environmental plantings that were tree-dominant, highly
stocked, or planted in narrow linear configurations, averaged 21, 41 and 44% greater biomass
49
accumulation after 10 years compared with shrub-dominant, lower stocked, or block plantings,
respectively (Figure 5.10). When compared to ‘Other’ species, mallee eucalypt species of ‘Lox’ and
‘Poly’ exhibit a 32 and 95% increase in average above-ground biomass accumulation after 10 years of
growth, respectively. As for environmental plantings, mallee eucalypts showed a modest increase in
biomass accumulation (45%) with high versus low stocking. However, the impact of planting
geometry was much more pronounced in mallees, with a >2-fold increase in above-ground biomass
accumulation after 10 years for narrow linear plantings as opposed to block plantings. When
compared to mixed-species environmental plantings, mallee eucalypts may have a higher sensitivity
of productivity to planting geometry because they were generally more heavily stocked, and
therefore more responsive to reduced competition along edge rows. They also tend to be grown in
Mediterranean-type climates where there is severe growth stress in summer.
Our finding that biomass accumulation in southern temperate Australia increases when plantings are
established in linear rather than block configurations was consistent with previous work. Compared
with planting in blocks, farm forestry and environmental plantings in narrow belts of 3-4 rows has
been found to increase stem volume or biomass by 20-39% due to decreased intra-specific
competition for light, water and nutrients (Henskens et al. 2001, 2008; Paul et al. 2009). In a review
of six different plantations in medium- to low-rainfall southern Australia, Carter et al. (2011) found
that trees in the outer rows of linear plantings grew 2- to 5-times faster than those in the inner rows.
At a site near Wickepin in south west WA, Noorduijn et al. (2009) estimated the above-ground
biomass of 12-year-old E. vegrandis belts of different widths from stem diameter measurements,
finding that biomass in 2-row belts was 38 kg m2, compared with 7.5 kg m2 in 5 row belts, and
decreasing to less than 1 kg m2 in a block planting.
Our finding that, for relatively young stands (generally <25 years old), biomass accumulation
increases with increased stocking was also consistent with previous work. Most spacing studies have
concluded that total production of wood increases as stand density increases, despite the fact that
production from individual stems tends to decrease with increasing stocking (Schonau and Coetzee
1989; Malimbwi et al. 1992; Niemistö 1995a; Bernardo et al. 1998; Neilsen and Gerrand 1999;
Pinkard and Neilson 2003; Barton and Montagu 2006; Chaturvedi et al. 2008; Xue et al. 2011; Hui et
al. 2012). However, at very high stand densities, biomass and wood production has been found to
decrease (Smith et al. 1997). Also, it may be that influences of stocking on biomass will only be
evident prior to attaining the site carrying capacity.
To some extent, the higher biomass in plantings with higher PropTree could be attributable to the
same factors which were governing the greater observed biomass in mallee eucalypts compared to
mixed-species environmental plantings (see Section 5.5.3). However, when compared to shrubs,
trees are generally able to access nutrients and water to a greater depth of soil than shrubs, thereby
facilitating higher productivities (e.g. Jackson et al. 2000). Furthermore, many of the shrub and small
tree species in mixed-species plantings are known to have high growth rates, short life spans and
earlier succession status. These characteristics are generally associated with low stem wood densities
(Martinez-Cabrera et al. 2011), and this would further explain why biomass accumulation tends to
decline with decreased PropTree.
50
Figure 5.10. Empirical model (Multiple-Regression) predictions of above-ground biomass after 10 years of
growth in different types of mixed-species environmental plantings at site productivities which were; (a) low
(Pavg 4), (b) medium (Pavg 6), (c) high (Pavg 8), and (d) very high (Pavg 16), and in different types of (e) mallee
eucalypt plantings where the mean site productivity was observed to vary within a narrow range, but average
Pavg 4. For mallee eucalypt plantings, positive error bars indicate the predicted increase in above-ground
biomass when regrowth following coppice harvesting, while the negative error bars indicate the decrease in
above-ground biomass when established on saline surface soils. See Figures A9.3.1 and A9.3.2 for examples of
these types of plantings.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Ab
ove
-gro
und
bio
mas
s (t
DM
/ha)
(e) Mallee eucalypts @ age 10 yrs
Other
Lox liss
Poly
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Ab
ove
-gro
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bio
mas
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/ha)
(a) Mixed-species @ age 10 yrs; Pavg of 4
Temperate; PropTrees<0.75
Temperate; PropTrees>0.75
Tropical
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(b) Mixed-species @ age 10 yrs; Pavg of 6
0
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(c) Mixed-species @ age 10 yrs; Pavg of 8
0
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120
Ab
ove
-gro
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mas
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/ha)
(d) Mixed-species @ age 10 yrs; Pavg of 16
51
Figure 5.11. Empirical model (Multiple-Regression) predictions of accumulation of above-ground biomass by
contrasting types of mixed-species environmental plantings (at low, high and very high site productivities
where Pavg is 4, 8 and 16, respectively) and mallee eucalypt plantings. No data were available to base
predictions of above-ground biomass on for stands >10 years in mallee plantings, and for stands >20 years in
tropical mixed-species environmental plantings.
5.5.5 Key factors influencing root-to-shoot ratios
Multiple regression analyses of allocations to below-ground biomass (estimated from application of
the verified generic life-form allometrics for below-ground biomass) showed that much of the
variation in R:S ratio could be explained by PropTree, age, Pavg, species and planting geometry
(R2=0.69, P<0.001, N=1,480). However, there was an interaction between many of these factors and
PropTree.
For plantings with a relatively low proportion of trees (PropTree <0.75), the only factor significantly
influencing R:S was the actual PropTree, with PropTree being used as a continuous variable
(P<0.001). This explained 36% of the variation in R:S ratios of shrub-dominant plantings (Figure 5.12a,
Table A9.4.4). This finding was consistent with the observation made in the 13 direct harvested
environmental plantings (Section 4.4, Figure 4.03). Hence regardless of stand age, the R:S ratio of
these relatively shrub-dominant plantings increases from about 0.28 to 0.52 when PropTree
increases from 0.1 to 0.7 (Figure 5.12a). The lower the PropTree, the more shrubs (typically acacia
shrubs) are represented in the species mix. Previous work (e.g. Deans et al. 1999) has also shown
that R:S ratios of acacia shrubs are relatively low. Others have also found that R:S ratios vary
between vegetation types (e.g. Jackson et al. 2000; Luo et al., 2005; Kuyah et al. 2012b).
For plantings with a relatively high proportion of trees (PropTree ≥0.75) however, there were three
key factors significantly (P<0.001) influencing R:S ratios; (i) age, (ii) Pavg, and (iii) species (but with
only Poly being significantly different to the other categories of species). These factors explained 72%
of the variation in R:S ratios in tree-dominant plantings (Table A9.4.5). Based on these results we can
conclude that, on average, R:S ratios were highest in young sites with a low site productivity (Pavg)
(Figure 5.12b). Lowest R:S ratios were, on average, in Poly mallee eucalypts, especially when
established in 2-row narrow linear plantings.
The decrease in R:S ratio with increased stand age is well established (e.g. Werner and Murphy 2001;
Ritson and Sochacki 2003; IPCC 2006; Mokany et al. 2006), as is the decrease in R:S ratio with
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Pre
dic
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ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
t D
M h
a-1
)
Stand age (years)
Mixed-species; Block-sparse-<0.75 tree; Pavg 4
Mixed-species; Block-sparse-<0.75 tree; Pavg 8
Mixed-species; Narrow-dense->0.75 tree; Pavg 4
Mixed-species; Narrow-dense->0.75 tree; Pavg 8
Mixed-species; Tropical; Block-sparse->0.75 tree; Pavg 8
Mixed-species; Tropical; Block-sparse->0.75 tree; Pavg16
Mallee eucalypt; Other; Block-sparse
Mallee eucalypt; Poly; Narrow-dense
52
increased site productivity (Gower et al. 1992; Laclau 2003; Hiratsuka et al. 2005; Mokany et al.
2006; Barton and Montagu 2006; Pretzsch et al. 2012; Morote et al. 2012). For example in a review,
Mokany et al. (2006) also found R:S ratios of temperate eucalypts varied between 0.11 and 0.81
(average 0.34 across 37 studies), largely due to variations in stand age and mean annual rainfall.
Studying mallee eucalypt plantings in WA, Brooksbank and Goodwin (2011) found that productivity
was the key factor influencing R:S ratios. They found that mean R:S ratio was 0.37 (±0.04) across all
high productivity treatments and 0.47 (±0.08) across all low productivity treatments.
Consistent with a study on 10-year old eucalypt plantations (Barton and Montagu 2006), we found
no significant differences in the relationships between R:S ratio and stocking. However, these results
contrast to those of others who have noted that there is an increase in R:S ratios with decreased
stocking (Eastherm and Rose 1990; Puri et al. 1994; Ritson and Sochacki 2003; Mokany et al. 2006).
This might be attributed to increased sun exposure, and greater wind sway, in the more open stands.
It is possible that stocking effects on R:S ratios are to some extent dependent on the site and
planting geometry. Further work is required to test this assumption.
The estimated R:S ratios of plantings with PropTree<0.75 were reasonably similar to the original
FullCAM defaults for R:S ratios in environmental plantings (Figure 5.13). However our results suggest
that during the first 15 years of growth, for low productivity and tree-dominant plantings, much
more biomass is below-ground than assumed based on current FullCAM defaults for environmental
plantings, which start at 0.50 and decrease to 0.30 after 15 years. Our predictions of R:S ratios for
stands older than 15 years is highly uncertain given the boundaries of our analysis described above
(Figure 5.08).
We emphasise that these findings must be regarded as preliminary, given the limited data on which
the R:S analyses are based. For example, although there was no relationship between R:S ratio of the
more shrub-dominant plantings and stand age, shrub-dominant stands averaged 12 years old,
whereas tree-dominant plantings averaged only 8 years old. This may partly explain the lower R:S
ratios in shrub-dominant than tree-dominant plantings given R:S ratios tend to decrease with age.
Further work should therefore be undertaken to fill gaps in estimates of R:S ratios, particularly in
older stands with differing PropTree, productivities, stand density and planting geometries.
Figure 5.12. Empirical model (Multiple-Regression) predictions of R:S ratios in; (a) mixed-species plantings
which have relatively low proportions of trees (PropTree <0.75), and represented here with PropTree values of
0.7, 0.5, 0.3 and 0.1, (b) tree-dominant plantings of narrow 2-row linear plantings of Poly, or other mallee
eucalypt and mixed-species tree-dominant plantings, at varying site productivities, represented here as; low
(Pavg 4), medium (Pavg 6 or 8), and very high (Pavg 16).
Pavg 4
Pavg 4
Pavg 6
Pavg 6
Pavg 8
Pavg 16
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
All others Poly narrow
R:S
ra
tio
Tree-dominant plantings
(b) Pavg; @ age 10 years
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
R:S
ra
tio
Shrub-dominant plantings
(a) PropTree
53
Figure 5.13. Empirical model (Multiple-Regression) predictions of R:S ratios by contrasting types of plantings;
Tree-dominant plantings (at low, moderate and very high site productivities where Pavg is 4, 6 and 16,
respectively), and shrub-dominant plantings (at low and high PropTree). Predictions for Poly mallee eucalypts
are only shown up to 10 years of age given the boundaries of the dataset collated (Figure 5.07).
5.6 Conclusions
1. A large database describing the characteristics and growth rates of a wide range of mixed-
species environmental and mallee eucalypt plantings was developed. Where required,
allometric equations were applied to inventory data to estimate rates of biomass production.
2. The components of uncertainties associated with field estimation of biomass have been
identified. Sampling design, measurement errors, and R:S ratios are dominant factors, while
uncertainties associated with the application of allometrics are of lesser importance.
3. At low site productivities, for a given age, mallee eucalypts generally had higher
accumulation of biomass than mixed-species environmental plantings, particularly Lox or
Poly species, and particularly when established in wide or narrow linear geometries.
Differences in biomass accumulation between temperate and tropical mixed-species
environmental plantings were less pronounced, and were dependent on site productivity.
4. Although biomass accumulation was weakly correlated to climatic factors such as rainfall and
temperature, the index of site productivity (Pavg) did not consistently explain any further
variations in above-ground biomass than these factors alone. Further work is required to
improve the Pavg index for quantifying site productivity at the fine scales required for site-
based predictions of biomass.
5. Distinct categories within each type of plantings were identified, each having significantly
different rates of biomass accumulation, with the higher rates found in planting categories of
linear planting geometries, dense stand densities, and high PropTree.
6. A preliminary analysis of the factors affecting R:S ratios for different categories of plantings,
and how they vary with age, has been undertaken. Plantings with a relatively low proportion
of trees have a R:S ratio which decreases with decreasing PropTree, while tree-dominant
plantings have a R:S ratio which is age-dependent and differs with planting geometry and
species. Higher R:S ratios were observed in younger plantings which were tree dominant and
had relatively low site productivities, particularly for plantings which were not narrow linear
belts of Poly.
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
R:S
ra
tio
Age of planting (yrs)
All other; Pavg 4
All other; Pavg 6
All other; Pavg 16
Poly narrow linear; Pavg 4
Poly narrow linear; Pavg 6
PropTree 0.1
PropTree 0.5
Un-calibrated FullCAM model
Tree dom.
Shrub dom.
54
6 Calibration of FullCAM
6.1 Introduction
The aspect of FullCAM which we aimed to calibrate was the Tree Yield Formula, which predicts
changes in above-ground biomass over time. Details of the Tree Yield Formula used in FullCAM are
described in detail by Kesteven et al. (2004), and are only briefly discussed here. This formula (shown
below) is used to predict growth increments, and has Type 1 (T1) and Type 2 (T2) modifiers of growth
(Snowdon 2001). The T1 modifiers adjust the rate of growth, while the T2 modifiers adjust the
maximum above-ground biomass (M) that can be accumulated.
Δ = r x M x [ y x exp(–k / a2) - y x exp(–k / a1) ] x (P / Pavg) (Equation 1)
where,
Δ = Current annual increment in above-ground biomass (t DM ha-1
yr-1
)
r = non-endemic species-multiplier of the maximum aboveground biomass.
M = maximum aboveground biomass in ‘undisturbed’ native forests (t DM ha-1
)
y = value of the T2 multiplier
a1, a2 = adjusted age of the stand in year 1 and 2, respectively (years)
= actual age (A) + sum over each T1 treatment of
0, if A <= W
v x (A – W) / U, if A >= W and A <= W + U
v, if A > W + U
and where,
v = age advance due to the treatment, either positive or negative (years)
U = advancement period (years)
W = age (of same type as A) at which the treatment was applied (years)
k = 2 x G – 1.25, where G = tree age of maximum growth rate (years)
P = actual FPI over the period a1 to a2
Pavg = average annual forest productivity index over the life of the stand
In the existing species calibrations, the default value for G is 10 years, with v and U both set equal to
1 at planting in a T1 treatment. There were no default T2 modifiers of growth. The observation that,
in some locations, the current species calibrations available for environmental plantings or native
forests can under-estimate the above-ground biomass (Montagu et al. 2003; Wood et al. 2008;
Lowson 2008; Paul et al. 2010; Keith et al. 2010; Fensham et al. 2012; Preece et al. 2012) is
supported by the datasets collated here (Figures 4.04, 4.05 and 6.01). Figure 6.01 shows that mallee
eucalypts in particular are not well represented by the current species calibrations available, with
significant and consistent under-predictions of above-ground biomass. The ultimate objective of this
project was to utilise the empirical observations collated and the analysis of key factors influencing
growth (Section 5.5.2 and 5.5.3) to calibrate the yield curves for use in FullCAM.
Although the main objective was to calibrate the parameter ‘G’ (or effectively ‘k’) within the Tree
Yield Formula to achieve the best possible calibrations, the T2 modifier (i.e. an adjustment of M, or
predictions of maximum biomass accumulated) was also calibrated, taking account of the statistical
assessment of key factors influencing growth. Hence, the parameters G and y were calibrated (shown
in ‘red’ in Equation 1). Indeed, previous work on calibration of the Tree Yield Formula to industrial
plantation species entailed modification of both adjustments- calibration of G, and also maximum
biomass accumulated (Waterworth et al. 2007). Similarly, in a study which produced a large database
(6,153 records) of forest productivity and biomass in China, Hui et al. (2012) also found that the
scaling exponent and slope of the relationship between tree productivity and biomass varied with
biotic (i.e., tree age, size, and density) and abiotic (i.e. longitude and elevation) factors.
55
It was beyond the scope of this project to calibrate the allocation of biomass to each tree
component, including below-ground biomass components. In FullCAM, biomass allocation is
predicted based on default tables estimating the allocation of biomass to component (stem, bark,
foliage, coarse and fine roots) relative to that of the stem, or above-ground components. Currently,
in the NIS database which provides FullCAM inputs, for environmental plantings R:S ratios commence
at 0.55 at planting, and decrease exponentially to 0.40 at age 8 years, before stabilising at 0.30 after
about 50 years. Based on the data analyses in Sections 5.5.4, our results suggest that improvements
could be made to these current defaults.
Figure 6.01. Relationship between ‘observed’ (from direct or indirect field measures) estimates of above-
ground biomass for each of the five types of plantings and those ‘predicted’ when using the un-calibrated yield
curves applied by FullCAM.
6.2 Methodology
Using Equation 1 above, Δ was calculated for each year of growth for each of the inventory datasets
shown in Tables A9.3.3. These growth increments were summed to obtain a predicted above-ground
biomass at the stand age at which field estimates were made. The inputs of M, P and Pavg were
provided from the Department of Environments National Inventory System for each dataset.
The following steps were taken for calibration;
1. Given it was clear from Figure 6.01 that FullCAM performance differed greatly between
mixed-species environmental plantings and mallee eucalypt plantings, we undertook the
calibrations of these separately. However, the steps to the calibration process were the same
for both. For each, we first set G=10 and r=1 and turned off all modifiers by setting y=1 and
v=0 as per the original current species calibrations used in FullCAM for environmental
plantings.
2. After preliminary exploration of a range of y values which gave reasonable predictions of
above-ground biomass, we then commenced the calibration process by setting y values for
0
50
100
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300
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Pre
dic
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ab
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bio
ma
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t D
M h
a-1
)
Observed aboveground biomass (t DM ha-1)
Mixed-Narrow-sparse-<0.75 trees
Mixed-Narrow-sparse->0.75 trees
Mixed-Narrow-dense-<0.75 trees
Mixed-Narrow-dense->0.75 trees
Mixed-Wide-sparse-<0.75 trees
Mixed-Wide-sparse->0.75 trees
Mixed-Wide-dense-<0.75 trees
Mixed-Wide-dense->0.75 trees
Mixed-Block-very sparse-<0.75 trees
Mixed-Block-Very sparse->0.75 trees
Mixed-Block-Sparse-<0.75 trees
Mixed-Block-Sparse->0.75 trees
Mixed-Block-Dense
Mixed-Tropical
Other-Narrow-sparse
Other-Narrow-dense
Other-wide
Other-Block
Lox-Narrow-sparse
Lox-Narrow-dense
Lox-Wide
Lox-Block
Poly-Narrow-sparse
Poly-Narrow-dense
Poly-Wide
Poly-Block
1:1 line
56
each of the 18 categories of mixed-species plantings (3 planting geometries categories × 3
stocking categories × 2 species-mix categories, plus a tropical planting category), and 18
categories of mallee eucalypts (3 planting geometries categories × 2 stocking categories × 3
species categories), which were; (i) consistent with the relative order of estimated
productivity of these categories as per the empirical multiple-regression model shown in
Figures 5.09 and 5.10, and (ii) were as low as possible so as to ensure that predictions of
biomass in older plantings were constrained to <300 t DM ha-1 when using the average Pavg
for each of the five types of plantings shown in Figure 5.08. This was required in the absence
of any biomass data for older plantings (>30 years) to constrain an upper limit to biomass
accumulation.
3. The performance of the model was tested by calculation of model efficiency (Soares et al.
1995). Observed versus predicted above-ground biomass was plotted, with the 1:1 line used
to indicate the distribution of residuals, and display any bias. Fourth-root transformed data
were also plotted as this allowed for an improved assessment of residuals for plantings with
relatively low biomass. Although all datasets were included in the analysis, Class 1 datasets
(described in Section 5.4) were highlighted as these were considered most reliable.
4. A computer program was also written to constrain calibrations according to user-defined
weighting given to; (i) minimise the overall sum squared of residuals (using the fourth-root
transformation), (ii) constraining the relative predictions of average productivity across each
planting type such that they are the same as that predicted by the multiple regression, and
(iii) minimise the overall model bias, or differences in ‘observed’ and predicted mass balance.
Various iterations of these weightings were used, although a weighting of 90% and 10% to (i)
and (ii), respectively, was found to give the best model performance overall. Model fitting
was by genetic algorithm, minimising the weighted sum of the two fit statistics (i) and (ii).
5. For mixed-species environmental plantings in tropical regions, there were 3, 16 and 119 sites
which were measured at 3, 4 and 5 different points in time, respectively. Within the mallee
eucalypt database, there were 10, 34, 24, 476 and 71 sites which were measured at 2, 3, 4, 5
or 6 different points in time, respectively. Given that these repeated-measures were not
independent, we decreased their weightings by multiplying the sum square (and mean
square) of residuals of the repeated measures such that all the multiple estimates from a
given site added up to a total weighting of 1 (e.g. if an estimate from a site was one of six
estimates, it would be given a weighting of 1/6). Therefore every site within the database
was given an equal weighting in the calibration process. An alternative ‘data-thinning’
method for dealing with the temporal non-independence of measurements was also tested,
whereby only one observation per time series was retained (selected at random). Both
procedures produced similar results.
6. Despite Class 1 data having a higher degree of precision (i.e. relatively low %CV of estimates
of biomass, see Section 5.4), we did not give a positive weighting to these in the calibrations.
This was because these plantings may not necessarily be representative of the true ‘average’
within their respective category of planting.
7. Using the algorithm described above, we calibrated G for each planting type. Given the
changed G value, we refined y further for each planting type. These iterative steps were
repeated until the highest possible model performance was attained. However, during this
process two key checks were made; (i) y values were constrained to ensure maximum
biomass under average Pavg was <300 t DM ha-1, and (ii) there was no significant correlation
between residuals and Pavg.
8. Where calibrated values of y and G were similar between two different planting categories,
data from each of these planting categories was pooled into a new larger combined dataset,
thereby effectively decreasing the total number of planting types. Then, the calibration
process described above was repeated using a smaller number of planting types. This
57
‘bulking-up’ of planting types was only maintained if the overall model efficiency did not
significantly decline as a result. Conversely for block environmental planting, including one
additional category for stand density was found to improve the model efficiency; including a
very sparse category of <500 stems per hectare. Project collaborators were also very
supportive of including this additional category given it provided greater utility of resulting
calibrations, particularly in regions of very low rainfall where environmental plantings tend to
have very sparse stand densities when established in blocks.
9. Steps 1−7 were repeated to explore the impact of using the additional T1 or T2 modifiers for
coppice harvesting, saline surface soils and access to a water table. These additional
modifiers were only applied to plantings within the calibration dataset where auxiliary data
provided from collaborators resulted in either positive categorisation of coppice harvesting
(N=355), surface soils being >200 mS m-1 (N=40), or where the depth to the water table was
either <5 m and where Pavg was <3.25 (N=142), or where the planting was confirmed as
having a riparian landscape position (N=13). Commentary on the impact of utilising these
additional modifiers is provided in Appendix 9.5. An assessment was then made of
improvements in overall model performance with inclusion of these modifiers.
Although data from Section 5.5.4 was assessed for use in calibration of the defaults for R:S ratios
used in FullCAM, revised default R:S ratios were not recommended as; (a) testing of below-ground
biomass allometrics was limited, (b) there was a high degree of variability and uncertainty in the
relationships between R:S ratio and stand age in the datasets collated, (c) our results (Section 5.5.5)
confirm recent evidence (e.g. Mokany et al. 2006) suggesting that variation in R:S ratios can be better
explained by stand productivity or above-ground biomass as opposed to stand age, thereby
indicating that generating R:S defaults based on age in FullCAM’s default allocation tables would not
be a preferred approach, and finally (d) the calibration of allocation tables in FullCAM was beyond
the original scope of this project.
6.3 Calibration of the Tree Yield Formula
Apart from calibration of G and y for each planting type, we found that no other additional T1 or T2
modifiers were required to improve model performance. Justification for not incorporating three
possible additional modifiers; coppicing, salinity and access to water table, is provided in Appendix
9.4.
6.3.1 Model performance across different categories of plantings
The new recommended default parameters for the different types of plantings are provided in Table
6.01. We found that there were effectively 14 and 12 different types of mixed-species and mallee
eucalypt plantings, respectively. Using these categories and parameters, the overall efficiency of
estimation of above-ground biomass of mixed-species and mallee eucalypt plantings was 45.7% and
63.0%, respectively. This efficiency was consistent with the R2 of the empirical multiple regression
models, which suggests that our categorisation and parameterisation to the Tree Yield Formula
accounts for the impact of specie/species-mix, planting geometry and stocking as effectively as the
derived empirical model. Performance of these models were considered reasonable given the
uncertainties in site-based estimates of biomass (see Section 5.4), particularly with respect to the
uncertainties associated with sampling design used in many of these sites. Because of these
uncertainties, accuracy of prediction of site biomass is likely to be modest at best regardless of the
model used.
Figure 6.02 shows that, like the dataset as a whole, predictions of above-ground biomass of Class 1
datasets were unbiased, although still had a great deal of variation in the residuals between
observed and predicted biomass. This is to be expected given that, although these classes of datasets
58
are more precise, they may not necessarily be more accurate. Nevertheless, the ability of the model
to predict the above-ground biomass of these Class 1 plantings provides further confidence in the
calibrations.
Figure 6.02. Relationship between 'predicted' (from the calibrated Tree Yield Formula) and ‘observed’ (from
direct or indirect field measures) estimates of above-ground biomass of mixed-species environmental plantings
(plots a,b,c) and mallee eucalypts (plots d,e,f). The same sites are represented in each of the three sets of plots
above where; (a,d) ‘predicted’ values were obtained using the original species defaults for environmental
plantings, (b,e) ‘predicted’ values were obtained using the new calibrations, and (c,f) ‘predicted’ values were
obtained using the new calibrations, but with observed and predicted data being expressed on a fourth-root
scale.
Model performance varied across the types of plantings (Figures 6.03-6.06), although for all types of
plantings, residuals were distributed evenly around the 1:1 line. The efficiencies are relatively low for
the mixed-species. This may be partly because, unlike the linear mallee eucalypt plantings, these
plantings were established on sites covering a greater range in Pavg (Figure 5.08).
Consistent with previous work (Waterworth et al. 2007), we noted that calibrations for G differed
between species, decreased with increased stocking, and increased with increased site productivity.
Furthermore, the associated calibration of y to modify predictions of maximum biomass (M) was
similarly required for each industrial plantation species within each National Plantation Inventory
region of Australia (Waterworth et al. 2007). But given that they tend to be harvested monocultures
that are non-indigenous, r rather than y was the most appropriate modifier of M, with r being related
to growth increments, rotation length, stem wood density and a biomass expansion factor (Equation
1). Consistent with this previous work on industrial plantations, we found that multipliers of M were
required for monoculture plantation species, particularly Poly and Lox, and that there were some
regional differences (i.e. temperate versus tropical mixed-species environmental plantings).
However, this is the first study to calibrate both G and y based on planting geometry and the
0
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250
300
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Pre
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(t D
M h
a-1
)
Observed above-ground biomass
(t DM ha-1)
All datasets
Class 02
1:1 line
(a) Mixed-species; Uncalibrated
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Observed above-ground biomass
(t DM ha-1)
All datasets
Class 0
1:1 line
(b) Mixed-species; Calibrated,
untransformed
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
(Pre
de
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ab
ov
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rou
nd
bio
ma
ss)0
.25
(t D
M h
a-1
)
(Observed above-ground biomass)0.25
(t DM ha-1)
All
datasets
Class 0
(c) Mixed-species; Calibrated,
transformed
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 50 100 150 200 250
Pre
dic
ted
ab
ove
-gro
un
d b
iom
ass
(t D
M h
a-1
)
Observed above-ground biomass
(t DM ha-1)
All datasets
Class 1
1:1 line
(d) Mallee eucalypts; Uncalibrated
0 50 100 150 200 250
Observed above-ground biomass
(t DM ha-1)
All datasets
Class 0
1:1 line
(e) Mallee eucalypts; Calibrated,
untransformed
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
(Pre
dic
ted
ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss)0
.25
(t D
M h
a-1
)
(Observed above-ground biomass)0.25
(t DM ha-1)
All datasets
Class 1
1:1 line
(f) Mallee eucalypts; Calibrated,
transformed
59
proportion of trees. Our results suggest that the existing calibrations of the Tree Yield Formula for
plantation species may be refined to also include modifiers based on planting geometry, particularly
if integrated farm forestry (namely shelter belts and wind breaks) becomes more prominent with the
emerging carbon market and due to requirements to adaptation to climate change within
agricultural enterprises.
Figure 6.03. Relationship between 'predicted' (from the calibrated Tree Yield Formula) and ‘observed’ (from
direct or indirect field measures) estimates of above-ground biomass of the different categories of mixed-
species environmental plantings established in narrow linear geometry. Data are expressed on a fourth-root
scale. Size of the symbols represents the weighting placed on the estimate, with smaller symbol sizes reflecting
a repeated measure at a given site. Each site in the database was thereby given an equal weighting.
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Narrow-sparse->0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Narrow-sparse-<0.75 tree
(Pre
dic
ted
ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss)0
.25
(t D
M h
a-1
)
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Narrow-dense->0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Narrow-dense-<0.75 tree
(Observed above-ground biomass)0.25 (t DM ha-1)
60
Figure 6.04. Relationship between 'predicted' (from the calibrated Tree Yield Formula) and ‘observed’ (from
direct or indirect field measures) estimates of above-ground biomass of the different categories of mixed-
species environmental plantings established in wide linear geometry. Data are expressed on a fourth-root
scale. Size of the symbols represents the weighting placed on the estimate, with smaller symbol sizes reflecting
a repeated measure at a given site. Each site in the database was thereby given an equal weighting.
(Observed above-ground biomass)0.25 (t DM ha-1)
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Wide-sparse->0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Wide-sparse-<0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Wide-dense->0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Wide-dense-<0.75 tree
(Pre
dic
ted
ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss)0
.25
(t D
M h
a-1
)
61
Figure 6.05. Relationship between 'predicted' (from the calibrated Tree Yield Formula) and ‘observed’ (from
direct or indirect field measures) estimates of above-ground biomass of the different categories of mixed-
species environmental plantings established in block geometry. Data are expressed on a fourth-root scale. Size
of the symbols represents the weighting placed on the estimate, with smaller symbol sizes reflecting a
repeated measure at a given site. Each site in the database was thereby given an equal weighting.
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Block-Very sparse-<0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Block-Very sparse->0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Block-Sparse-<0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Block-Sparse->0.75 tree
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Tropical; Block-low-tree dom.
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Block-Dense
(Observed above-ground biomass)0.25 (t DM ha-1)
(Pre
dic
ted
ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss)0
.25
(t D
M h
a-1
)
62
Figure 6.06. Relationship between 'predicted' (from the calibrated Tree Yield Formula) and ‘observed’ (from
direct or indirect field measures) estimates of above-ground biomass of the different categories of mallee
eucalypt plantings. Data are expressed on a fourth-root scale. Size of the symbols represents the weighting
placed on the estimate, with smaller symbol sizes reflecting a repeated measure at a given site. Each site in the
database was thereby given an equal weighting.
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Poly; Narrow-low
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Lox; Narrow-low
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Other; Narrow-low
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Poly; Narrow-high
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Lox; Narrow-high
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Other; Narrow-high
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Poly;Wide (low & high)
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Lox; Wide (low & high)
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Other; Wide (low & high)
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Poly; Block (low & high)
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Lox; Block (low & high)
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Other; Block (low & high)
(Pre
dic
ted
ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss)0
.25
(t D
M h
a-1
)
(Observed above-ground biomass)0.25 (t DM ha-1)
63
Table 6.01. New recommended default parameters (G and y) for various categories of plantings. N, indicates the number of sites, while N’ indicates the number of sites when
repeated measures at the same site are not included. The maximum (Age Max) and 95th
percentile of stand ages (years) is also provided for each categories dataset.
Type of planting Planting geometry#
Stand density (sph)
(or trees ha-1
) PropTree G y N N’ Age Max
Age 95th
Percentile
Ave. 95th
Percentile
Mixed-species; temperate Narrow linear <1,500 <0.75 5.5040 1.4000 55 55 29 20
≥0.75 3.6270 1.5000 27 27 30 24
>1,500 <0.75 3.3800 1.4000 53 53 18 17
≥0.75 2.6670 1.5000 14 14 24 24
Wide linear <1,500 <0.75 6.0630 1.2000 33 33 22 17
≥0.75 3.8930 1.3000 33 33 29 29
>1,500 <0.75 4.6330 1.2000 18 18 17 16
≥0.75 2.7460 1.3000 8 8* 19 19
Block <500 <0.75 8.5339 1.2000 49 49 33 28
≥0.75 7.3646 1.3000 85 85 37 33
500-1,500 <0.75 5.4595 1.2000 77 77 46 25
≥0.75 4.8280 1.3000 49 49 22 21
>1,500 ~ 5.1870 1.3000 75 75 33 20 24
Mixed-species; tropical Block ~ ~ 8.4892 0.9000 164 29 20 19 19
‘Other’ mallee eucalypts Block ~ 1.00 4.8495 1.2000 25 25 50 27
Wide linear ~ 1.00 5.4140 1.9000 19 19 15 15
Narrow linear <2,300 1.00 4.1340 2.4000 73 17 29 13
>2,300 1.00 2.2115 2.4000 52 11 16 14
‘Lox’ mallee eucalypts Block ~ 1.00 6.1450 1.0000 19 18 37 17
Wide linear ~ 1.00 2.9735 1.4000 188 56 15 10
Narrow linear <2,300 1.00 3.3095 2.5000 85 26 15 12
>2,300 1.00 3.0055 2.5000 72 16 13 10
‘Poly’ mallee eucalypts Block ~ 1.00 5.9650 0.9000 13 13 15 15
Wide linear ~ 1.00 2.9725 1.2000 157 45 15 10
Narrow linear <2,300 1.00 3.8200 3.6000 18 5* 15 11
>2,300 1.00 2.6115 3.6000 23 6* 14 14 14
~ indicates where categorisation based on stocking was not required; #Planting geometry was defined as narrow and wide linear plantings in mixed species if the width of the planting was <20 m and 20-40 m, respectively. For commercial linear plantings of mallee eucalypts, they were
defined as narrow and wide if they had 100% (or 2-rows) and 15-70% (generally 3-4 rows) of edge trees, respectively.
*Number of independent sites (N’) is <10
64
6.3.2 Comparison between plantings in predicted above-ground biomass
Figure 6.07 provides example outputs from the calibrated Tree Yield Formula for assumed Pavg
values of 4, 6, 8 or 16, with the illustrative planting types being simulated at one or two Pavg values
within the range commonly observed. As per Figure 5.11, only the extreme upper and lower
productivity planting types are shown to illustrate the possible range in predictions across planting
types in mixed-species and mallee plantings. These FullCAM simulations show the predictions of
above-ground biomass using the pre-existing default values (see the solid black line). With the
exception of mixed-species in tropical regions, for all cases the original model predictions are
substantially lower than those based on the improved calibrations, illustrating an under-prediction of
above-ground biomass by the ‘un-calibrated’ model as noted in Section 6.1.
Within mixed-species environmental plantings, Figure 6.07 clearly demonstrates that highly-stocked,
narrow linear plantings offer the highest rates of growth, and therefore sequestration of carbon, of
all categories of planting. Unfortunately for biodiversity co-benefits, the poorest rates of
sequestration were found to be in larger block plantings, particularly where the proportion of trees
was relatively low. These findings are invaluable for the implementation of the Biodiversity Fund in
that they could be used to estimate the extra funding that would be required to make establishment
of blocks of mixed species with high shrub contents competitive, in economic terms, with equivalent
plantings in linear geometries or with higher proportions of trees.
Similarly, for the relatively young mallee eucalypts studies, highly-stocked narrow linear plantings
also offer the highest rates of growth, and therefore sequestration of carbon. These results suggest
that significant rates of sequestration of carbon are possible through integrated farm forestry.
Widespread block plantings of mallee eucalypts clearly have much lower potentials for mitigation on
a per hectare basis of planted area.
Figure 6.07. Example outputs from the Tree Yield Formula calibrated for different categories of plantings. No
data were available to base predictions of above-ground biomass on for stands >10 years in mallee plantings,
and for stands >20 years in tropical mixed-species environmental plantings.
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Pre
dic
ted
ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
bio
ma
ss (
t D
M h
a-1
)
Stand age (years)
Mixed-species; Block-Very sparse-<0.75 tree; Pavg 4
Mixed-species; Block-dense->0.75 tree; Pavg 8
Mixed-species; Narrow-dense->0.75 tree; Pavg 4
Mixed-species; Narrow-dense->0.75 tree; Pavg 8
Mixed-species; Tropical; Pavg 8
Mixed-species; Tropical; Pavg16
Mallee eucalypt; Other-Block; Pavg 4
Mallee eucalypt; Poly-Narrow-dense; Pavg 4
Mallee eucalypt; Poly-Narrow-dense; Pavg 6
Original, uncalibrated species defaults; Pavg 4
Original, uncalibrated species defaults; Pavg 8
Original, uncalibrated species defaults; Pavg 16
65
6.4 Implementation considerations
The new calibrations for the 26 planting categories (Table 6.01) provide greatly improved predictions
of biomass accumulation. However the datasets upon which the calibrations were developed
represent only a subset of the potential national total growing area. This raises a number of issues
regarding implementation for national greenhouse gas reporting requirements, and also for local-
scale biomass assessments under the CFI when using FullCAM.
6.4.1 Number of replicates within each category of planting
Some categories of plantings had relatively low numbers of replicates within them, particularly when
we account for the fact that at some sites, biomass estimates were not truly independent as they
were from a repeated measure in subsequent years at the same site (see N and N’, Table 6.01). The
two categories of narrow linear Poly had N’ of only 5 or 6. However, despite the relatively low N’ in
these two categories, calibrations are still valid. This is because of the way calibrations were
undertaken. Confidence in calibrations for categories of plantings with relatively low N’ values (i.e.
<10) is much higher than can be judged based on its number of replicates alone. Calibrations were
not based on best-fit to data on a category-by-category basis, but by ensuring best-fit to all biomass
data overall, while at the same time maintaining constrains on parameters such that the relative
predictions of average productivity across each planting category was the same as that predicted by
the multiple regression (Step 4, Section 6.2). In other words, parameterisation of categories with
higher N’ provided guidance in the parameterisation of categories with lower N’.
Regardless of whether or not the calibration for the two narrow linear Poly categories of plantings
with low N’ are still valid, there remains questions over the implementation of these two planting
categories. This is because with such low N’, we have relatively little confidence that the calibrations
obtained are also appropriate for regions outside the very narrow range of site qualities from which
the 5 or 6 measurement sites were located. We therefore do not recommend that these three
categories of plantings be implemented until they can be further verified. For these two categories,
calibrations for a similar category with a slower growth rate could be applied. Hence it is
recommended that for Poly in narrow linear plantings, calibrations for Poly in wide linear plantings
be applied.
Another area of application which is of concern due to insufficient replications is that of the ‘Other’
mallee eucalypts planting category. This category of planting should only be applied to E. kochii sub-
species which are well represented (82% of the dataset) in this category. Due to insufficient
replication, the ‘Other’ mallee eucalypt calibrations should not be applied for plantings of mallee
species such as E. horistes, E. calycogona, E. cneorifolia [Kangaroo Island CS20275], E. cyanophylla
[Loxton cult.], E. dumosa, E. gracilis [Loxton cult.], E. incrassata, E. leptophylla, E. oleosa, E.
plenissima, E. porosa, and E. socialis. None of the mallee eucalypt calibrations are applicable for
plantings which include mixtures of one or more of the Poly, Lox or Other categories.
6.4.2 Issues of defining and justifying the implication of planting categories
It is reasonable to assume that basic information is available about the planting such planting
geometry and the species planted in mallee eucalypt planting, or for mixed-species plantings,
whether the planting is temperate or tropical. In contrast, stand density and the proportion of trees
may require at least some field-based assessment and monitoring, which unfortunately may add to
costs of implementation of these calibrations. As indicated in Table 6.02, many groups of planting
type-geometry combinations of ‘Domain Groups’ have more than one calibration available that are
dependent on stand density and, for plantings with a mix of tree and shrubs, tree proportion.
Therefore, it is recommended that, in the absence of any field-based assessment or monitoring, the
66
known planting type and geometry results in the implementation of the most conservative (i.e.
lowest available stand density and proportion of trees) calibration available for a Domain Grouping.
To use a FullCAM calibration that estimates a higher biomass accumulation than that of the default
Domain Grouping, stand density and tree proportion needs to be measured to be able to justify the
implementation of the higher yielding FullCAM calibration.
Table 6.02. Domain groupings, the calibrations available under each of these groups, and whether some
measurement of stand density and portion of trees (recommended to measure at a stand age of between 2
and 5 years) is required to justify the application of these calibrations.
Planting type Domain Grouping Calibrations
available
Sampling may
allow for higher
C estimates?
Mixed-species Environmental Plantings – Temperate
Mixed temp - Narrow linear 4 Yes
Mixed temp - Wide linear 4 Yes
Mixed temp - Block 5 Yes
Mixed-species Environmental Plantings – Tropical Mixed trop - Block 1 No
Mallee Planting – ‘Other’ Mallee
Koch - Block 1 No
Koch - Wide linear 1 No
Koch - Narrow linear 2 Yes
Mallee Planting – E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Lox - Block 1 No
Lox - Wide linear 1 No
Lox - Narrow linear 2 Yes
Mallee Planting – E. polybractea Poly - Block 1 No
Poly - Wide linear 1 No
There are a number of other issues regarding implementation of these new calibrations which relate
to clarifying the definitions of the types of plantings to which these new calibrations apply. These are
listed below and are of particular importance in relation to project-scale implementation under the
CFI;
• Fertiliser use and weed control. Unlike previous calibrations of FullCAM’s yield curves by
Waterworth et al. (2007), these new calibrations incorporate, or subsume the effects of
fertiliser and weed control. It is therefore important to ensure that, when applying these
new calibrations, double accounting of the positive influences of fertiliser and weed control
is avoided by not allowing these activities to be entered as Type 1 or 2 modifiers applied
through user-input FullCAM management events.
• Grazing. There was insufficient evidence to indicate the impact of grazing intensity,
frequency and timing on the yield curves in these planting types. Nonetheless, it is
recommended that in situations where grazing does impact on stand density or the
proportion of trees there may be a requirement for either; (i) generation of exclusion areas
within the project area, or (ii) the re-drawing of CEA boundaries.
• Harvesting and thinning. There was also insufficient evidence of the impact of harvesting of
wood products or biomass on yield curves in this study (Appendix 9.5). Therefore, these new
calibrations are only recommended for use on permanent plantings and not plantings which
have been thinned or harvested.
• Minimum required distance between two adjacent linear plantings. Although when
undertaking the calibrations a linear planting was defined as having a minimum distance
between adjacent belts of ≥12 m, most had much larger distances, and the plantings that
were only 12 m apart were too young (<5 years old) for trees from adjacent planting to have
any negative impact on the edge effect of the linear planting. In regard to implementation of
the new calibrations for linear plantings which often require permanence obligations, we
recommend a more conservative distance between adjacent linear plantings of ≥40 m to
67
ensure there is no competition of resources between adjacent linear plantings by the time
they mature. The 40 m is based on findings (Peck et. al. 2012; Brooksbank et. al. 2012) that
the zone of hydrological influence of roots from linear plantings of mallee eucalypts extends
up to 20 m from the edge row of belts.
• Influence of adjacent trees in linear plantings. Another issue which may impact negatively on
the edge effects of linear plantings is the remnant isolated paddock trees, planted trees or
other regrowth which may be in the 40 m of required planting ‘exclusion area’ adjacent to
the edge row of these belts. For the linear planting calibrations to be validly applied, it is
therefore important that such trees within the adjoining area do not impact edge effects. To
ensure this is not the case, we recommend that the definition of a linear planting is that for
every 150 m (or 75 m) on either side of a narrow (or wide) linear plantings, there is <1 tree in
the 40 m of ‘exclusion area’ on both sides adjacent to the edge rows of these belts. An
exception to this threshold is where the adjacent trees are clumped in such a way that it is
unlikely that all trees will impact on the belt. It is recommended therefore that both un-
clumped and clumped trees are assumed to have an impact on the edge of the belt for a
length of 40 m along the belts edge. We can determine the total length of the linear planting
(accounting for both edges along the belts length) and ensure that the total length of impact
of trees in the adjoining area is <20 % of the length of the planting (e.g. if narrow linear
planting is 1 km long, the net length of the adjacent tree impact needs to be <200 m).
• Stand density categories. One possible perverse outcome of having categories of stand
density in the new calibrations (Table 6.01) is that this may encourage the establishment of
plantings at the lowest possible stand densities within each category to maximise returns on
investment under the CFI. To avoid this, we recommend that when plants are established in
rows the outside edge of the CEA adjacent to the long axis of the rows is a distance from the
outer row of stems of 1 m. For narrow (or wide) linear environmental and mallee plantings,
the maximum allowable width of the CEA is 22 m (or 42 m) or 4 m (or 16 m), respectively.
CEA width should be determined by assuming a maximum average row width of 2 m. Hence,
for wide linear mallee plantings, the maximum allowable width for CEAs for plantings with 3-
7 rows can then be calculated by determining the number of rows in the planting,
subtracting 1 (to give the number of gaps between rows), then multiplying by 2 m, and then
adding 2 m (1 m for each side). Also, the outside edge of the CEA perpendicular to rows
should be assumed to be only 1m from the outer stems. Similarly, a CEA edge internal to the
planting perimeter (i.e. an Exclusion Area) could be assumed to have a distance of 1 m from
the stems bordering the internal edge. For plants are established randomly (i.e. not in rows),
the perimeter of the CEA is defined the location of any outside edge of the CEA from the
outer stems may be assumed to be 0 m.
6.4.3 Issues of temporal application
It can be seen from Figure 5.08 that there were very few datasets from stands older than 30 years.
Calibrations are therefore only based on this initial period of growth. Indeed Table 6.01 shows that
the maximum age of stands in the datasets collated for the various planting categories varied
between 13 and 50 years, while the 95th percentile of stand age varied between 10 and 33 years.
One conservative approach could be to recommend that calibrations be applied to the average 95th
percentile age of 24, 19 and 14 years for temperate environmental plantings, tropical environmental
plantings, and mallee plantings, respectively (Table 6.01). Grouping of age domains at the planting
categories would be appropriate because the growth curve parameters were not calibrated on a
category-by-category basis. Rather, growth curve parameters were constrained such that the relative
predictions of average productivity across each planting categories within these groups were the
same as that predicted by the multiple regression (Step 4, Section 6.2). In other words,
68
parameterisation of categories with older stands provided guidance in the parameterisation of
categories with younger stands. However, because under the CFI the first commitment period is 15
years, for administrative simplicity it is recommended that 15 years be specified in any CFI
Methodology utilising these calibrations.
Further work is required to monitor biomass accumulation as existing plantings mature. This will be
best achieved through the use of permanent sample plots. As discussed in point 2 of Section 6.2, in
the absence of biomass data from older plantings, the y growth curve parameter was highly
uncertain, with its value being largely based on the assumption that long-term biomass predictions
do not exceed 300 t DM ha-1.
6.4.4 Spatial deployment and relative proportions of planting categories
When undertaking the spatially-explicit NIS, remote sensing information obtained on land use
change cannot determine the categories of plantings. Therefore, implementation of a national-scale
carbon accounting of these 26 plantings categories requires knowledge, on a regional basis, of (i) the
total area planted within the region, and (ii) the relative proportions of each of the categories
represented within that region. The database collected as part of this project cannot provide a basis
for making useful assessments of these, because the range of sites sampled is not spatially
representative (rather, sites were chosen to be representative of the overall range of planting
categories and practices). Therefore, this information does not currently exist, but insights could be
gained from a systematic and comprehensive survey of the major growers. In the future, changes in
these areas can be estimated from the data reported as part of implementing CFI. This would not,
however, capture plantings established for voluntary trading schemes or other purposes.
Determining where the calibrations can be applied
The spatial extent over which the calibrations reported in this project are valid needs to be
established and decisions need to be made over how to handle planting locations that fall outside of
the spatial domain within which the model calibrations were developed. This issue has relevance to
both the NIS and project-based level carbon accounting.
We applied recommended spatial constraints to the application of the growth curve calibrations
based on a bioclimatic analysis. This was done using ANCLIM with the climate variables of maximum
temperature, minimum temperature, rainfall, solar radiation, and evaporation (Xu et al. 2009).
ANUCLIM therefore provided a robust method for determining where the calibrations can be applied
as it was used to determine the full climatic extent based upon the calibration sites.
Figure 6.08 presents the regions of Australia where the bioclimatic conditions are representative of
the sites specific to each planting type. These regions are the result of consolidating the ANUCLIM
regions by applying the ArcGIS Expand (by two pixels) and Boundaryclean functions. This provided a
buffer of the extent of the regions and reduced small gaps and discontinuities in their boundaries.
There is however still a concern that the combinations of climatic variation included in the database
are not fully representative. As a result, regions of recommendation shown in Figure 6.08 may be
conservative. With future work, it may be possible to combine this bioclimatic approach with expert
knowledge to provide demarcation into further eligible areas for model application. For example,
one clear area of south-western Western Australia which is not well represented by the datasets
collated here are the narrow belts of ‘Other’ and ‘Lox’ in the higher Pavg regions of between 5−6,
and for the lower Pavg region of 2 (D. Wildy, Fares Rural Pty Ltd, pers. com., 2012).
69
Figure 6.08. Recommended regions of application of calibrations for (a) mixed-species environmental plantings in temperate regions, (b) mixed-species environmental
plantings in tropical regions, (c) ‘Other’ mallee eucalypt plantings, (d) ‘Lox mallee eucalypt plantings, and (e) ‘Poly’ mallee eucalypt plantings, based on ANUCLIM bioclimatic
zones, and expansion of this region to reduced clumping.
(a) Mixed-species; temperate (b) Mixed-species; tropical
(c) ‘Other’ mallee eucalypts (d) ‘Lox’ mallee eucalypts (e) ‘Poly’ mallee eucalypts
70
Issues of determining the relative proportions of planting categories
The issue of estimating the relative proportions of planting categories in each region is relevant to
the FullCAM database on management options and thus, implementation of the NIS. Although the
relative proportions of each of the 26 planting categories represented within a given region cannot
be ascertained from the existing database, insights that could be gained from a systematic and
comprehensive survey of the major growers, and interrogation of existing databases (i.e. OMA and
SA DEWNR databases). A survey of collaborators is required.
6.4.5 Issues for project-scale application
Having various categories of environmental and mallee plantings should improve the accuracy of
FullCAM predictions for biomass carbon at the project-level. Project proponents could select the
category which best represents the types of plantings they are establishing.
Only the specific planted area is used to estimate carbon abatement. The definition of a project area
is the spatial area defining the plantings managed under the project including exclusions and spaces
between adjacent linear plantings. Therefore, linear plantings generate more carbon per hectares
planted than block plantings. However, project proponents should be careful not to misinterpret
relatively high FullCAM outputs (expressed in terms of carbon per hectares planted) implying they
are maximalising potential carbon credits for a given property. In general, this will not be the case
because linear plantings require at least 12 m of un-planted land between these plantings.
An a simple example, assume a property area of 1 ha of land currently under pasture where the
project proponent is considering two options for a reforestation project; (i) planting a block of Lox
(Option A), or (ii) planting a narrow linear Lox (Option B). Suppose we wanted to compare above-
ground biomass produced by these two options 30 years after reforestation. Let’s assume that in
both Option A and B trees will be planted in rows (2 m apart) at a stand density of 2,500 stems per
hectare. So there will be 2,500 trees in Option A. In Option B there will only be enough land available
for 500 trees. That is, 5 narrow linear plantings (2-row belts) each taking up a width of 4 m, with 16
m between them (Figure 6.09). As a result, although there is over 200% more biomass produced
from Option A when expressed per hectare planted; per property area the situation is reversed. At
the property-area scale there is almost 40% less biomass produced in Option B when compared to
Option A. This is simply because the high growth rates achievable in narrow plantings require wide
spaces between the planted rows for the growth enhancement to be expressed, which means within
any given property less total land area is able to be planted.
We conclude that, at the property-scale, the growth curve calibrations undertaken here do not
directly provide a ranking of the carbon sequestration potential of the 26 various planting type
categories. This is because to apply the calibrations from this report, the planted area within the
project used to estimate carbon abatement must be defined in accordance with the definition of
planted area (Page 8). This fact needs to be made clear to potential project proponents. That is,
despite the fact that there may be more carbon credited per hectares planted with linear plantings
when compared to block plantings, the carbon credit potential may actually be less with linear
plantings at the project (or farm) level.
It should be noted that the ‘open’ paddock area adjacent to a linear plantings is required to support
the enhancement of growth by edge trees less affected by competition for resources of light,
nutrients and water. The recommendation of a distance of at least 12 m between two adjacent linear
plantings is based on the premise that lateral roots have been found to encompass a radius of at
least 5 m from the base of the stem (Wildy and Pate 2002), with the zone of influence of roots on
uptake of water (and thus presumably many nutrients), being at least 5 m or more from the base of
the stem (Robinson et al. 2006). Nevertheless, it should be noted that specific definition of a paddock
width between adjacent linear plantings of ≥12 m may require refinement as more data becomes
71
available on interactions between planting geometries and growth rates in stands under differing
climates and site qualities, and under stands of various ages.
6.4.6 Issues of model re-calibration
Given the ongoing development of the NIS, an important consideration is what impact future
changes to other components of the FullCAM model might have on the calibrations reported here,
and on the resulting predictions of carbon sequestration. The major modification that is currently
being considered, and that would have most impact, is improvement to the maximum biomass (M)
spatial layer, and thus the Pavg index upon which the estimates of M are derived. As noted in Section
5.5.2, further improvements in Pavg are required for improved accuracy, at the site-level, in
predictions of biomass. At any location, an increase (or decrease) in M would imply a corresponding
increase (or decrease) in sequestration over the long term. The database assembled in this project,
and the associated calibration procedure, was developed to ensure that future recalibrations due to
changes in other parts of the model can be easily implemented, and be made in such a way that
minimal changes occur to estimated biomass accumulation during the early (<35 years) growth
stages. This allows improvements to be made to the model, with minimal changes to current
estimates of reported carbon sequestration.
6.5 Conclusions
The Tree Yield Formula has been calibrated based on 1,480 (or 884 not including repeat measures at
the one site) estimates of biomass accumulation by a wide range of mixed-species environmental
and mallee eucalypt plantings. The overall model efficiency was only 43 and 63% for mixed-species
and mallee eucalypt plantings, respectively. However, there was no apparent bias in model
predictions and the model is satisfactory for most individual planting categories. New calibrations to
describe temporal change in root-to-shoot ratios for six planting categories have also been derived.
However, care is needed so that the model is not applied to growing environments not represented
in the calibration database. There are many priority areas for further work to refine these
calibrations (see Section 7).
72
Figure 6.09. Comparison of above-ground biomass predicted to be generated from two alternative reforestation activities in a hypothetical project area of 1 ha: Option A, block
planting of Lox; Option B, narrow linear dense planting of Lox.
73
7 Conclusions
The collection of new accurate measures and estimates of biomass (Section 4), collation of a large
database on estimates of biomass across a wider range of mixed-species environmental and mallee
eucalypt plantings (Section 5), and analyses of these data, has facilitated the calibration of FullCAM
(Section 6). Calibrations were derived for 26 categories of plantings, each with different growth
modifiers based on planting geometry, stocking and species/species mix. It is important to highlight
that the calibrations presented here are preliminary. Further work is required in the following areas,
ordered in terms of priority;
Calculation of Pavg and M within FullCAM: As already highlighted through Department of
Environment instigating a multi-organisational advisory group on FullCAM biomass estimates, the
Tree Yield Formula, and the calculation of M empirically from Pavg, requires further refinement
given; (a) there are now a greater number of, and more nationally representative, datasets available
which could result in the refinement of the empirical relationship between M from Pavg, (b) the
forest growth model (3-PG) upon which the calculation of Pavg is based has had significant
improvements in the water balance component (Almeida et al. 2007; Landsberg and Sands 2010)
which could be incorporated into FullCAM’s calculation of Pavg, and (c) there have been
improvements, via ASRIS (http://www.asris.csiro.au/index_ie.html#), for nation-wide estimates of
soil fertility, soil texture and depth, which could also be incorporated into the calculation of Pavg.
Improved estimates of the potential soil water availability across sites within Australia would be
particularly useful as many of these plantings are established in regions of low to medium rainfall.
Many plantings, particularly the mixed-species types, also tend to be established in regions of
relatively low rainfall, on poor and unproductive soils, and often in positions in the landscape that
are unproductive for agriculture (e.g. eroded gullies, ridge tops, waterlogged and/or saline
depressions, etc.). It is therefore likely that, with improvements in FullCAM’s calculations of Pavg and
M through incorporation of improved soil water balance and site fertility components, unexplained
variability in predictions of biomass in environmental plantings will be lower than the 41% obtained
here.
Longer-term studies: FullCAM Tree Yield Formula calibrations were based on relatively young
(generally <20 year old) stands. We currently have little understanding of patterns of accumulation of
biomass, or changes in R:S ratios, over the longer-term. Therefore, for each of the different types of
plantings there is a clear need for continued measurement of rates of biomass accumulation
(through long-term monitoring of permanent sample plots) and of R:S ratios as they age. To
capitalise on the investment made in this project, a number of the sites measured as part of this
study could form the basis of a future monitoring program.
Dynamics of stocking and proportion of trees: Given that stocking and proportion of trees were found
to be two of the key determinants of biomass accumulation in plantings, it will be important to
monitor, across the multiple categories of plantings, the dynamics of these as the stands age (e.g.
Coomes et al. 2012). For example, we conclude for the relatively young stands studied here, the
highest rates of biomass accumulation are, on average, in the most densely-stocked plantings.
However, this may not be the case over the long-term as site resources are fully utilized and
mortality (particularly of some of the acacia species) begins to affect stocking and species
composition within a planting.
Additional factors influencing productivity: As outlined in Section 5, and in more detail in Appendix
9.5, there are some factors which we know will influence growth but which are yet to be accounted
for in FullCAM calibrations. These include whether the planting is coppiced following harvesting,
74
growing in saline surface soil, or has access to a watertable (including establishment in riparian
areas). Unlike the coppicing and watertable access modifiers, the surface soil salinity modifier would
decrease FullCAM predictions of biomass accumulation. The lack of a verified and robust modifier for
surface soil salinity is of major concern given it will lead to an over-estimation of carbon
sequestration. Further work is required to assess the impacts of these factors, particularly surface
soil salinity, for the different types of plantings over the longer-term. This will require additional
measurement of biomass in plantings influenced by these factors. As a further challenge to this work,
the tolerance of different species to saline surface soils will need to be addressed. Similarly, acid soils
may impact on growth of these plantings, again with different species having different tolerances.
With regard to access to ground water, or stored soil water, a further challenge will be accounting for
the potential decline in stored soil water with time since afforestation.
New data from currently unrepresented regions and revegetation types: New estimates of biomass
productivity of environmental plantings in northern New South Wales and south-east Queensland
are required given there are currently relatively few data from these regions. In these particular
regions, regrowth will also be an important revegetation type to consider. Additional work will also
be required to include FullCAM calibrations for revegetation activities established through natural
regeneration, or through enhancement of remnants. Furthermore, current environmental plantings
may not be representative of the potential land base for new plantings, which may be driven more
by the economics of carbon farming and likely be in areas of low productivity where opportunity
costs of land are low. Therefore, further work may also be required to obtain estimates of biomass
productivity from these regions.
Further verification of generic allometrics. Further verification of generic below-ground allometrics is
required given that roots have been excavated at only 13 plantings, and these do not provide full
representation of all categories of plantings identified as having unique trends in the decline of R:S
ratios with age, or with decreased proportion of trees (Figure 5.13). Additional measurements of root
biomass are required such that generic allometrics for below-ground biomass can be developed for
low and high rainfall regions. Indeed for the data-rich above-ground biomass database, we found
significant decreases in the error resulting from the application of generic life-form allometrics when
these were segregated based on rainfall zones. Additionally, all of the verification of generic
allometrics undertaken thus far has been in temperate systems, and verification of allometrics for
sub-tropical and tropical regions of Australia is required.
Improved efficiency of sampling: Results in Section 3 clearly demonstrate the importance of sampling
strategy, and sampling an appropriate number of trees (which is often much higher than that
traditionally measured by the revegetation industry) to obtain precise estimates of biomass carbon.
We showed that traditional estimation of stem diameter using diameter tapes is slow when
compared to using the calibrated caliper (Figure 3.07), and further work is required to assess
whether this improved efficiency results in any significant loss of accuracy across a wider range of
planting types. Further work is also required to assess whether, for estimating biomass across a
range of planting types, there is a potential for measurement of fewer trees to obtain the same level
of accuracy with the implementation of new plot design methods (i.e. GRTS sampling design).
Furthermore, an improvement in sampling to attain improved accuracy of indirect estimates of
biomass will result in a reduction in unexplained variance of biomass predictions. As per an improved
method for estimation of Pavg, improved estimates of biomass will result in improved model
performance (or model efficiency) on re-calibration.
75
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81
9 Appendix
9.1 Details of testing methodologies for measurement-based estimates of biomass
Conversion tables for estimates of biomass using different methods of plot area calculation
Table A9.1.1: Multiplier required for field based estimates of biomass (t ha-1
) calculated based on the assumption that plot area of a linear
planting is defined using a width calculated by 2 m out from each edge. ‘Corrected’ values are then comparable to those estimated using
FullCAM where, for mathematical simplicity, calibrations have been done using a width calculated by ½ row out from each edge.
Number of rows in the planting
Distance between rows 2-row 3-row 4-row 5-row 6-row
2 m 1.50 1.33 1.25 1.20 1.17 3 m 1.17 1.11 1.08 1.07 1.06 4 m 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 5 m 0.90 0.93 0.95 0.96 0.97 6 m 0.83 0.89 0.92 0.93 0.94
Table A9.1.2: Multiplier required for field based estimates of biomass (t ha-1
) calculated based on the assumption that plot area of a linear
planting is defined using a width calculated by 3 m out from each edge. ‘Corrected’ values are then comparable to those estimated using
FullCAM where, for mathematical simplicity, calibrations have been done using a width calculated by ½ row out from each edge.
Number of rows in the planting
Distance between rows 2-row 3-row 4-row 5-row 6-row
2 m 2.00 1.67 1.50 1.40 1.33 3 m 1.50 1.33 1.25 1.20 1.17 4 m 1.25 1.17 1.13 1.10 1.08 5 m 1.10 1.07 1.05 1.04 1.03 6 m 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Summary of derivation of t ha-1
for arbitrary-sized plantings
If trees are planted on a regular grid, with even spacing between rows, and even spacing between trees along rows, then the appropriate
area for calculating biomass density (with reference to the diagram below) is equal to ( ) ( )yyxx ′+×′+ 22 , where x and y define the outer
planting extent of the trees, and x′2 is equal to the spacing between adjacent trees along rows, and y′2 is equal to the row spacing. If, as
is usually the case in the real world, there is variability in the row and tree spacing, then the appropriate area is ( ) ( )yyxx ′+×′+ 22 , where
x′ and y′are the mean row and tree spacings respectively.
If trees are planted in rows, but are distributed randomly along each row (as is the case with many direct-seeded plantings) then the
appropriate area for calculating biomass density is equal to ( )yyx ′+× 2 , where x and y define the outer extent of the trees, and y′2 is
equal to the row spacing. If, as is usually the case, there is variability in the row spacing, then the appropriate area is ( )yyx ′+× 2 , where
y ′ is the mean row spacing.
If trees are broadcast seeded within an area, then no edge adjustment is required (with seeds assuming to have equal probability of
germinating anyway in the boundary of broadcasting), and the appropriate area is simply yx× .
82
Single row plantings, by definition, have no area, and therefore biomass density is undefined. In practice, biomass densities will want to be
estimated for such plantings. Using the average row spacing from a ‘typical’ multi-row planting of the same species would seem to be an
appropriate solution.
Plot area calculations for estimating biomass density
Comparison of plantings of different species, planting geometries, management treatments etc. requires expressing standing biomass on a
per-area basis (e.g. t ha-1
); a quantity which is sometimes called biomass density. When trees are established in rows, as they often are,
then calculation of appropriate areal extents for calculating biomass density becomes problematic. This Appendix outlines the derivation of
the geometrically correct way to calculate these areal extents. The derivations below apply to any size or shape rectangular or square area,
with rows planted parallel to one of the planting area axes. Here we assume rows are parallel to the x-axis.
Primary quantities
TreesD Mean distance, in m×10-2
, between adjacent trees within a row1. Mean inter-tree distance is specified as distances between
adjacent trees can, in reality, be variable.
RowsD Mean distance, in m×10-2
, between adjacent rows in the planting. Mean inter-row distance is specified as distances between
adjacent rows can, in reality, be variable.
Lx Length of the planted area in the x-axis, in m×10-2
. The Lx axis is assumed parallel to the planting rows
Ly Length of the planted area in the y-axis, in m×10-2
.
TreeM Mean individual tree mass, in t. The average per-tree mass over all trees in the planting1.
Derived quantities
( )areainrowsE __ The expected number of rows in a planted area with a y-axis length of Ly. The statistical notation ‘E’ is used because
the actual distance between individual rows can be variable, as noted above.
( )rowpertreesE __ The expected number of trees planted in each row of planted length Lx. The statistical notation ‘E’ is used because
the actual distance between individual trees can be variable, as noted above.
( )hapertreesE __ Stand density; stems/ha
1Distance units are in m×10
-2 and tree mass in t so the derivations can be expressed as t/ha, which is a unit we are more familiar with
(rather than e.g. kg m-2
).
1. Derivation of t/ha for the general case
Biomass per unit area (t/ha) is defined (in English) as:
t ha-1
= (mean per-tree mass in tonnes) × (total number of trees in planting / planting area in ha)
= (mean per-tree mass in tonnes) × (tree stocking rate per ha)
To calculate the total number of trees in a planted area, you need to know the number of rows in the planting, and the number of trees per
row, both of which can be calculated from first principles.
(a) The expected number of trees per row, in a row of arbitrary x-axis length Lx
( )Trees
x
D
LrowpertreesE =__
(b) The expected number of rows in a planting, of arbitrary y-axis length Ly.
( )Rows
y
D
LareainrowsE =__
To interpret expression (a), TreesD/1 is equal to the mean number of trees per m×10
-2, which is then multiplied by a total row length of Lx
m×10-2
, yielding the total number of trees in a row. Expression (b) can be interpreted in the same way.
The expected total number of trees in the planting is therefore E(rows_in_area) × E(trees_per_row).
The expression for t/ha is therefore:
83
( ) ( )
RowsTreesTree
TreesRowsTree
yx
TreesxRowsyTree
yx
Trees
x
Rows
yTree
yx
Tree
DDM
DDM
LL
DLDLM
LL
D
L
D
LM
LL
rowpertreesEareainrowsEMhat
××=
××=
×××××
=
×
××=
×××=
−−
−−
1
____
11
11
where the stocking rate of trees E(trees_per_ha) is equal to
RowsTrees DD ×1
2. Alternative representation of planted area
An alternative representation of the planting area is shown in Figure Figure A9.1.1.01, with Ly equal to the sum of the row-to-row planting
extent (LP), and an extra area added to that extent (2Cy); I.e. Ly = Lp + 2Cy (where Lp = (NRows -1) × RowsD ). There has been some debate over
what value C should be. Figure A9.1.1.01 illustrates these various distances, in this case for a planting with NRows = 4, and with trees
randomly position along rows;
Recall the biomass density in t/ha is given by
t ha-1
= (mean per-tree mass in tonnes) × (total number of trees in planting / planting area in ha)
which based on the above diagram is:
( )( )( )yRowsRowsx
RowsTrees
x
Tree CDNL
ND
L
Mhat21
/+×−×
××=
From the general derivation in Section 1 it was shown that stocking rate is equal to
RowsTrees DD ×1 ; therefore
( )( )( )yRowsRowsx
RowsTrees
x
RowsTrees CDNL
ND
L
DD 21
1
+×−×
×=
× (1)
We are now in a position to solve for the ‘unknown’ parameter Cy:
( )( )( )
2
2
20
2
2
2
2
2
1
21
1
1
1
1
1
Rowsy
yRows
yRows
yRowsRowsRowsRowsRows
yRowsRowsRowsRowsTreesRowsTrees
RowsTrees
yRowsRowsRowsRowsTrees
RowsTreesx
xyRowsxRowsRowsxRowsTrees
xyRowsxRowsRowsx
RowsTreesx
RowsTrees
yRowsRowsx
RowsTrees
x
RowsTrees
DC
CD
CD
CDNDND
CDNDNDDD
ND
CDNDDD
NDL
LCDLNDLDD
LCDLNDL
NDL
DD
CDNL
ND
L
DD
=
=
+−=
+−×=×
+−×=×××
×+−×
=×
×××+×−××
=×
×+×−××××=
×
+×−×
×=
×
−
−
−
−
84
3. Explanation of why this is important
The implications of the above are illustrated in Figure A9.1.1.01a. Consider a homogenous ‘block’ of trees planted in rows (the left hand
side) and then imagine a subset of that block is copied into e.g. an adjacent paddock (the right hand side). All else being equal (and ignoring
edge effects for now) this copied block will also have the same properties, i.e. t/ha biomass and stocking rate, as the original. The
derivation above states that the only way the two areas can be sampled to yield the same value of t ha-1
(or stocking rate) is by adding an
equivalent of ½ row top and bottom; adding distances other than ½ row top and bottom will yield a non-zero difference between the two
areas, i.e. a calculation artefact.
The example shown in Figure A9.1.1.01a can be seen as a kind of ‘null model’ test of the method – the example is defined to ensure the
properties between the two areas are the same, and therefore any method for estimating the sampling extent (the dotted line) must
deliver the same value for both areas.
In reality most linear plantings will exhibit an ‘edge-effect’ growth advantage. This is shown in Figure A9.1.1.01b below - the result of the
edge effect is to generate a higher t/ha. If a sampling extent other than adding equivalent to ½ row top and bottom is used, then the
measured difference in tree mass between the two linear plantings confounds two sources. One is the actual difference in tree mass (due
to the edge effect) we are trying to detect; the other is a component due solely to the arbitrary choice of sampling distance, which is
unrelated to actual sequestration, and which is an artefact.
Figure A9.1.1a
Figure A9.1.1b
4. When trees are not randomly distributed along rows
Section 2 derived the required sampling area for a planting in which trees are randomly located along the entire row length. However, in
many plantings trees are spaced at more-or-less regular intervals; the consequences of this for calculating the sampling area are analogous
to the calculations for the arrangement of trees into rows. The layout is illustrated in Figure A9.1.1.02.
Figure A9.1.2
85
Lyp is the row-to-row planting extent, and Lyx the tree-to-tree planting extent along rows. To allow generalisation we can re-cast the
distances Cx and Cy as proportions of the respective mean inter-row and inter-tree distances;
Rowsy
Treesx
DyC
DxC
=
=
In an expression analogous to Equation (1) above it is then possible to rearrange to express Cx in terms of Cy (or vice versa). First, as defined
in Section 2, the planting extent in the y axis (Lpy) is given by:
( ) RowsRows DN ×− 1
and therefore the total site height is
( ) RowsRowsRows DyDN ×+×− 21 .
In the same way the planting extent along the x axis, when trees are regularly spaced, is:
TreesTrees
x DD
L ×
−1
And therefore the total site width is
TreesTreesTrees
x DxDD
L ×+×
− 21 ,
Where
Trees
x
D
L is the number of trees per row.
Placing these quantities in Equation (1) and solving for TreesDx gives:
( )( )( )
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
( )
TreesxRows
RowsxTrees
TreesTreesxRows
Rowsx
TreesTreesxRowsRows
RowsxRows
RowsRowsTreesTreesxRowsTreesxRowsTrees
RowsTreesx
RowsRowsTreesTreesxRowsTrees
RowsRowsTreesTreesx
RowsTreesx
RowsTrees
RowsRowsRowsRowsTreesTreesx
RowsTreesx
RowsTrees
RowsRowsRowsTreesTreesTrees
x
RowsTrees
x
RowsTrees
DLyN
NLDx
DxDLyN
NL
DxDLyND
NLD
yNDDxDLNDLDD
NDL
yNDDxDLDD
yNDDxDL
NDL
DD
DyDDNDxDL
NDL
DD
DyDNDxDD
L
ND
L
DD
+−+−
×=
+−=+−
×
+−=+−×
××
+−××+−=××××
××+−××+−=×
+−××+−××=
×
+−××+−××=
×
+×−×
+
×
−
×=
×
−
−
−
−
212
221
221
212
212
212
1
22
1
2121
1
1
1
1
1
This result is general but not particularly useful, as the required increment to be added to the row extents (TreesDx ) is itself a function of the
quantity we are ultimately trying to estimate (Lx). However by setting the row multiplier (y) to 0.5 (meaning we add the equivalent to ½ half
a row width to planting top and bottom) the final expression reduces to:
TreesTrees DDx =2
or in other words x=0.5 when y=0.5; and therefore when a ½ row width is added to planting top and bottom, an equivalent to a ½ tree
distance must be added to the left and right hand sides of the planting area; i.e. in Figure A9.1.1.03 this corresponds to
2Rows
y
DC = , and
2Trees
x
DC = .
Because linear plantings tend to be long and skinny, the error associated with ignoring the Cx adjustment, and just applying Cy = ½, may be
negligible for many practical cases. Figure A9.1.1.03 shows that error for 4-row linear plantings of different planting extent width:height
86
ratios, and for differing row spacing (with trees spaced 2m apart). For this configuration of planting Figure A9.1.1.04 shows that linear
plantings more than about six times wider than high have an error associated with ignoring the Cx adjustment that is typically less than 5%.
Figure A9.1.3. Estimates of sampling error resulting from not applying the Cx row adjustment, for linear plantings with different planting-
extent height:width ratios. The planting configuration is for four-row linear plantings, with trees spaced 2 m apart.
5. Using canopy cover to define sampling area
An alternative to defining the sampling area relative to the spatial extent within which the trees have been planted, is to define it relative
to projected or canopy cover (which will change over time). The simple example below demonstrates how such an approach will also lead
to spurious differences in growth, unrelated to actual sequestration.
Figure A9.1.4
In this example the total planting tree mass has doubled from time 1 to time 2, so any estimate of t/ha must also double between the two
times. Basing the area calculation on canopy cover, which increases over time, yields an estimate of change in t/ha that is less than double
– i.e. the estimate of sequestration is less than what actually occurred (20/1.3 – 10/1 = 5.4 t/ha sequestered over the period). Only by using
a fixed area for assessment can the correct increment be calculated ((20/1 – 10/1 = 10 t ha-1
sequestered over the period). What that fixed
area should be is defined in Sections 2 and 4.
Concluding comments
For any planting of arbitrary dimensions Lx × Ly, and where trees are planted in rows, the biomass density is given by:
RowsTreesTree DD
M×
× 1
where TreeM is the average individual tree mass within the planting, and
RowsTrees DD ×1 is the stem stocking rate (with
TreesD being the
average distance between adjacent trees in the row, and RowsD the average inter-row distance).
For the representation of the planting in the form where trees are randomly planted along rows, the only value of Cy that yields the correct
biomass density is equal to half the mean row spacing; any other arbitrary value yields either an over- or under-estimate of the true t/ha
value.
If trees are also planted with a regular spacing along rows, then an additional extent along the x axis (Cx) must also be added to yield the
correct biomass density. Figure A9.1.1.04 shows for long skinny linear plantings the magnitude of this additional adjustment may
negligible.
Note that if an area has trees that are not planted in rows, but are rather randomly distributed, then this means, in the y-axis, there are no
limitations to where a tree can be positioned. This occurs when NRows � ∞, and therefore RowsD � 0, and therefore C � 0. I.e. in a
broadcast seeding, the planting extent Lp is the appropriate y-axis dimension for calculating biomass density.
Single row plantings, by definition, have no area, and therefore biomass density is undefined. In practice, biomass densities will want to be
estimated for such plantings. Using the average row spacing from a ‘typical’ multi-row planting of the same species would seem to be an
appropriate solution. However, given the answer is actually undefined, this calculation is somewhat arbitrary, and a case might also be
made for making the ‘width’ of a single row planting wider than the average, to provide a more conservative estimate of biomass density.
0
10
20
30
40
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
% e
rro
r
Ratio of planted area width:height
Error in estimating t ha-1 biomass through ignoring tree spacing adjustment Cx
Row spacing 2m
Row spacing 3m
Row spacing 4m
87
Sample errors in allometrics
Table A9.1.3. Species of Eucalyptus or Acacia trees used to assess the sampling error of allometrics. LR = low rainfall, HR = high rainfall.
Species Data source Number of
plantings
Number of
categories used N
A. calamifolia This project 2 4 128
A. hakeoides This project, CSIRO1 3 4 113
A. mearnsii This project, CSIRO2, CSIRO
3, UniMelb
4 6 4 128
A. melanoxylon This project, CSIRO2 3 4 51
A. saligna This project, GA5, CSIRO
3, DAFWA, CarbonNeutral 6 4 50
A. pyncantha This project, CSIRO2, SA DEWNR 8 5 102
E. blakelyi This project, CSIRO1 6 5 47
E. camaldulensis This project, CSIRO2, NSW DPI
6 8 4 89
E. kochii This project, DAFWA9,11,12
, CSIRO3,10
, Fares Rural 16 5 374
E. largiflorens This project, DAFWA9,11,12
, CSIRO10,13
, Fares Rural 2 4 57
E. loxophleba This project, AusCarbon 8 4 104
E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia LR This project, DAFWA9,11
, CSIRO10
, Fares Rural 29 5 898
E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia HR This project, DAFWA9,11,12
, Fares Rural 8 5 220
E. melliodora This project, CSIRO1 8 5 169
E. occidentalis This project, 6 5 118
E. polyanthemos This project, CSIRO2 5 4 51
E. polybractea LR This project, DAFWA9,11,12
, CSIRO10,13
, Fares Rural 21 5 504
E. polybractea HR This project, DAFWA9,11,12,14
, Fares Rural 9 5 379
E. spathulata This project 1 5 206
E. tereticornis This project 3 4 71
E. tricarpa-sideroxylon This project, CSIRO2, NSW DPI
6, CSIRO
7 6 5 54
E. viminalis This project 3 5 365
E. wandoo This project, CarbonNeutral 3 4 59 1Paul et al. (2008);
2England et al. (2006);
3Hawkins et al. (2010);
4Forrester et al. (2005);
5Jonson & Freudenberger (2011);
6Barton & Parekh (2006);
7CSIRO (unpublished);
9Peck et al. (2011);
10Grove et al. (2007),
11Ritson, P (pers. com. 2012);
12Brooksbank (2010);
13Bennett, R (pers. com. 2012);
14Sudmeyer, R (pers. com. 2012).
88
9.2 Methodologies: measurement and estimation of biomass
Characterisation of the new planting sites (as reported in Section 4)
Table A9.2.1. Summary of the main characteristics of the new sites studied in this project, including their locations (latitude, longitude, in decimal degrees), mean annual rainfall (MAR), planting type (where Mix and Mal,
represent mixed-species or mallee plantings, respectively and -B and -L represent block and linear plantings, respectively), planting method, year of establishment, age of planting at time of measurement, and the main
species which were present at the time of measurement.
Site Location MAR
(mm)
Planting
type
Planting
method
Year
planted
Age
(yrs)
Dominant species present
‘Direct measurement’ plantings
Strathearn -35.0485, 149.2325 637 Mix-B Direct seeded 1995 15 E. viminalis, E. melliodora, E. blakelyi, E. polyanthemos, E. stellulata, A. baileyana
Moir -34.2809, 118.1820 439 Mix -B Direct seeded 1990 20 A. acuminata, A. micobotrya, E. loxophleba, E. occidentalis, E. spathulata
Jenharwill -36.3958, 144.4304 406 Mix -L Tubestock 1999 12 A. calamifolia, A. hakeoides, A. pycnantha, E. leucoxylon
Gumbinnen -36.2447, 141.8148 347 Mix -B Tube & seeded 2001 10 A. pycnantha, A. trineura, E. largiflorens, Melaleuca sp.
Moorland 1 -35.3377, 139.6317 370 Mix -B Tubestock 1991 20 E. calycogona, E. Incrassata, E. leptophyll, E. phenax, E. socialis
Moorland 2 -35.3332, 139.6351 370 Mix -B Tubestock 1996 15 A. calamifolia, E. leucoxylon, E. porosa, Allocas vertical, Melaleuca sp.
McFall 1990 -33.7290, 117.3217 438 Mix-L Broadcast 1990 22 A accum., A saligna, A. huegeliana, E. gardener, E. kochii, E. wandoo, M. uncinata
Leos -37.8381, 147.7582 626 Mix-L Tubestock 1996 16 A penninervis, C. cunninghamian, E. kitsoniana , E melliodora, M. armillaris
Pepal -33.4865, 117 .7912 406 Mal-L Tubestock 2000 11 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Bird -32.8515, 117 .5892 376 Mal -L Tubestock 2000 11 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Quicke -32.6736, 118 .2361 339 Mal -L Tubestock 1997 14 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Temby -33.1457, 117.7187 353 Mal -L Tubestock 1996 16 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Angle -30.1970, 117.1160 297 Mal -L Tubestock 1996 16 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Wycheproof poly* -36.1760, 143.3803 365 Mal -B Tubestock 2004 7 E. polybractea
Wycheproof lox* -36.1760, 143.3803 365 Mal -B Tubestock 2004 7 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Carmody* -36.1602, 143.4044 366 Mal -B Tubestock 2004 7 E. polybractea
Batters poly* -36.5019, 143.2934 415 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. polybractea
Batters lox* -36.5019, 143.2934 415 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
SW Watts ploy* -36.3996, 143.3102 379 Mal -B Tubestock 2003 8 E. polybractea
SW Watts lox* -36.3996, 143.3102 379 Mal -B Tubestock 2003 8 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
N Watts lox* -36.3996, 143.3102 379 Mal -B Tubestock 2003 8 E. polybractea
Campbell poly* -36.2668, 143.1047 373 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. polybractea
Campbell lox* -36.2668, 143.1047 373 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Weenya sp3* -33.3422, 145.8037 366 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. polybractea
Weenya sp4* -33.3422, 145.8037 366 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Weenya sp5* -33.3422, 145.8037 366 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E horistes
Brotherony 1* -33.1368, 146.6380 378 Mal -B Tubestock 2004 7 E. polybractea
Brotherony 2* -33.1368, 146.6380 378 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Brotherony 3* -33.1368, 146.6380 378 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. polybractea
Kalawa * -30.8848, 148.6090 573 Mix -B Tubestock 2001 10 E. polybractea
‘Indirect estimates’ plantings
Gunbower 1 -35.9800, 144.3847 345 Mix -B Tubestock 2002 9 A. salicina, A. stenophylla, E. occidentalis, E. camaldulensis, E. largiflorens
Gunbower 2 -35.9828, 144.3833 367 Mix -B Tubestock 2003 8 A. salicina, A. stenophylla, E. occidentalis, E. camaldulensis, E. largiflorens
89
Lynvale -37.8987, 141.6380 678 Mix -B Direct seeded 2003 8 A. mearnsii, A. melanoxylon, A. pycnantha, E. viminalis
Palomar shrubs -33.8032, 145.7451 362 Mix -B Direct seeded 1998 12 Dodonaea angustissima, A. rigens, A. hakeoides, A. pendula
Palomar trees -33.7972, 145.7389 363 Mix -L Tubestock 1993 19 E. camaldulensis, E. sideroxlon, E. leucoxylon, E. occidentalis
Netherleigh -24.2124, 151.2977 884 Mix -B Tubestock 2002 9 E. tereticornis, A. disparrrima, C. tesselaris,E. melanophloia, E. moluccana
Mooreland belt -35.3292, 139.6333 372 Mix-L Tubestock 1996 15 E. porosa, E. leucoxylon, M. lanceolata
McFall 1988 -33.7290, 117.3217 438 Mix-L Broadcast 1988 24 A accum., A saligna, A. huegeliana, E. gardener, E. kochii, E. wandoo, M. uncinata
McFall 1997 -33.7290, 117.3217 438 Mix-L Broadcast 1997 15 A. accum., A. saligna, A. huegeliana, E. gardener, E. kochii, E. wandoo, M. uncinata
Batterns 1 -38.6674, 145.9886 869 Mix-L Broadcast 2001 11 A. melanoxylon, E kitsoniana, E. ovate, E. viminalis, M. ericifolia
Batterns 2 -38.6686, 145.9925 870 Mix-L Broadcast 2000 12 A. melanoxylon, E kitsoniana, E. ovate, E. viminalis, M. ericifolia
Batterns 3 -38.6714, 145.9894 860 Mix-L Broadcast 2003 9 A. melanoxylon, E kitsoniana, E. ovate, E. viminalis, M. ericifolia
Batterns 4 -38.6674, 145.9886 864 Mix-L Broadcast 2001 11 M. ericifolia
Suttons -38.3998, 145.8996 1050 Mix-B Tubestock 2004 8 E. globulus, E. regnans, Olearia argophylla, Pomaderris aspera
Bendigo trial -36.7859, 144.6408 514 Mal-B Tubestock 2003 8 E. polybractea
W Tellefson -36.3294, 142.8974 370 Mal -B Tubestock 2004 7 Mix of E. polybractea and E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
E Tellefson -36.3294, 142.8974 370 Mal -B Tubestock 2004 7 Mix of E. polybractea and E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia
Weenya sp1 -33.3422, 145.8037 366 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 Unknown mallee eucalypt species
Weenya sp2 -33.3422, 145.8037 366 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. plenissima
Brotherony 4 -33.1368, 146.6380 378 Mal -L Tubestock 2004 7 E. oleosa/E. plenissima
*Above-ground biomass harvested with operational harvester developed by Biosystem Engineering and the CRC FFI
Table A9.2.2. Summary of the plots studied within each of the new sites, including method of plot selection (E=Entire area sampled such that all trees within the planting were measured (no plots required); F-PS=Full site
survey followed by precision sampling; G-PS= GRTS to select a large number of plots from which precision sampling was based; SYS=Systematic sampling, SRS=Simple random sampling); approximate size of the planting
(ha), number of trees measured for stem diameters in the inventory (and number of plots across which these trees were measured), number of trees harvested (and the number of plots from which these trees were
harvested), height at which stem diameters were measured, area of the plot (and the total area across all plots), stocking (stems per hectares), PropTrees, Basal area (BA) and coefficient of variation of the BA.
Site Plot
selec-
tion
Size
(ha)
#Trees in
inventory
(plots)
#Trees
harvested
(plots)
Ht of diam.
measure
(cm)
Plot area
(total)
(ha)
Stocking
(sph)
Prop.
of
dead
PropTree BA
(m2 ha
-1)
CV BA
(%)
‘Direct measurement’ plantings
Strathearn F-PS 4.30 9,499 (0) 1,357 (12) 130,10 0.040 (0.48) 2,827 0.02 0.83 11.37 148
Moir F-PS 5.05 13,175 (0) 1,300 (12) 130,10 0.040 (0.48) 2,708 0.04 0.46 4.72 178
Jenharwill F-PS 1.52 3108 (62) 344 (6) 130,10 0.009 (0.05) 6,456 0.04 0.04 16.92 141
Gumbinnen G-PS 18.4 3,034 (38) 504 (6) 130,10 0.040 (0.22) 2,282 0.00 0.10 4.38 172
Moorland 1 F-PS 2.76 542 (30) 50 (4) 50 0.090 (0.36) 139 0.00 1.00 2.52 74.2
Moorland 2 F-PS 1.99 581 (22) 88 (4) 50, 10 0.090 (0.36) 244 0.52 0.52 2.88 73.4
McFall 1990 G-PS 1.46 1,145 (35) 115 (3) 130, 10 0.011 (0.36) 2,440 0.02 0.90 30.50 127
Leos SYS 1.67 470 (51) 96 (10) 130 0.011 (0.11) 845 0.03 0.40 26.61 104
Pepal F-PS 2.39 4,636 (24) 77 (3) 10 0.014 (0.04) 1,863 0.00 1.00 8.71 73.3
Bird F-PS 0.57 790 (9) 41 (3) 10 0.010 (0.03) 1,356 0.00 1.00 11.92 67.7
Quicke F-PS 0.57 2,098 (4) 29 (3) 10 0.005 (0.02) 1,894 0.00 1.00 25.55 69.9
Temby SYS 5.17 1,020 (39) 44 (3) 50 0.010 (0.03) 1,433 0.00 1.00 6.92 44.8
Angle SYS 4.67 1,030 (36) 34 (3) 50 0.010 (0.03) 1,100 0.00 1.00 3.45 58.9
Wycheproof poly* SRS 2.30 275 (4) NA 10 0.073 (0.29) 943 0.00 1.00 3.7 59
Wycheproof lox* SRS 2.10 267 (4) NA 10 0.071 (0.28) 946 0.00 1.00 4.76 54
90
Carmody* SRS 2.20 297 (10) NA 10 0.030 (0.30) 1,283 0.00 1.00 4.52 58
Batters poly* SRS 3.60 392 (4) NA 10 0.051 (0.21) 1,949 0.00 1.00 11.79 49
Batters lox* SRS 3.60 479 (6) NA 10 0.042 (0.26) 1,912 0.00 1.00 5.96 58
SW Watts ploy* SRS 1.00 204 (4) NA 10 0.034 (0.14) 1,511 0.00 1.00 6.62 54
SW Watts lox* SRS 1.00 340 (4) NA 10 0.056 (0.23) 1,511 0.00 1.00 7.01 52
N Watts lox* SRS 1.90 573 (3) NA 10 0.090 (0.27) 2,122 0.00 1.00 10.23 57
Campbell poly* SRS 0.80 71 (2) NA 10 0.010 (0.03) 1,533 0.00 1.00 13.71 40
Campbell lox* SRS 0.80 27 (1) NA 10 0.003 (0.01) 900 0.00 1.00 9.66 16
Weenya sp3* SRS 2.30 257 (4) NA 10 0.044 (0.18) 1,684 0.00 1.00 5.39 62
Weenya sp4* SRS 2.30 142 (3) NA 10 0.035 (0.11) 1,351 0.00 1.00 4.38 56
Weenya sp5* SRS 2.30 38 (2) NA 10 0.018 (0.04) 1,085 0.00 1.00 2.58 55
Brotherony 1* SRS 4.20 257 (6) 108 10 0.035 (0.21) 1,233 0.00 1.00 4.92 61
Brotherony 2* SRS 4.20 525 (6) NA 10 0.063 (0.38) 1,388 0.00 1.00 8.54 44
Brotherony 3* SRS 4.20 462 (5) NA 10 0.069 (0.35) 1,344 0.00 1.00 6.1 69
Kalawa* SRS 30.0 2,169 (6) NA 10 0.126 (0.76) 2,872 0.00 1.00 13.79 83
‘Indirect estimates’ plantings
Gunbower 1 E 2.45 2,538 (0) 97 50, 10 NA (2.45) 1,036 0.00 0.34 5.71 151
Gunbower 2 E 3.20 2,079 (0) 97 50, 10 NA (3.20) 650 0.00 0.33 3.43 108
Lynvale G-PS 3.31 1,604 (20) 80 130 0.037 (0.74) 869 0.01 0.17 14.38 168
Palomar shrubs SRS 2.40 626 (9) 94 10 0.080 (0.72) 350 0.01 0.00 1.27 99.4
Palomar trees E 0.84 294 (6) 6 130 0.140 (0.84) 2,184 0.01 1.00 11.96 82
Netherleigh E 8.60 2,987 (6) 191 130 1.433 (8.60) 325 0.01 0.95 3.97 87.2
Moorelands belt E 0.60 187 NA 50 NA (0.10) 330 0.00 0.21 10.99 85.3
McFall 1988 G-PS 0.22 314 (5) 20 130 0.015 (0.38) 5,688 0.01 0.12 26.20 160
McFall 1997 G-PS 1.96 2133 (25) 178 130 0.025 (0.13) 2,512 0.03 0.91 36.23 111
Batterns 1 SRS 0.32 378 (8) 109 130 0.010 (0.08) 4,638 0.00 0.82 35.89 123
Batterns 2 SRS 0.43 512 (7) 21 130 0.020 (0.14) 3,652 0.01 0.21 27.11 128
Batterns 3 SRS 0.60 1.253 (7) 24 130 0.018 (0.13) 7,009 0.03 0.81 38.11 126
Batterns 4 SRS 0.10 251 (1) NA 130 0.018 (0.02) 13,971 0.00 0.00 9.99 226
Suttons E 0.75 1,043 88 130 NA (0.67) 1,428 0.04 0.27 17.86 148
Bendigo trial SRS 0.16 133 (10) NA 10 0.008 (0.08) 2,075 0.00 1.00 14.66 46
W Tellefson SRS 1.00 216 (4) NA 10 0.030 (0.12) 1,800 0.00 1.00 5.22 56
E Tellefson SRS 1.90 281 (3) NA 10 0.105 (0.32) 892 0.00 1.00 2.09 72
Weenya sp1 SRS 2.30 33 (2) NA 10 0.011 (0.02) 1,528 0.00 1.00 5.78 56
Weenya sp2 SRS 2.30 107 (2) NA 10 0.038 (0.08) 1,402 0.00 1.00 4.65 52
Brotherony 4 SRS 4.20 115 (3) NA 10 0.036 (0.11) 1,181 0.00 1.00 4.36 58
*Above-ground biomass harvested with operational harvester developed by Biosystem Engineering and the CRC FFI
91
Table A9.2.3. Summary of site-based above-ground allometrics. Here CF refers to the Snowdon (1991) correction factor, and EF refers to
model efficiency (Soares et al. 1995).
Site Species Diam a b CF EF N
Strathearn E. blakelyi DBH -1.83 2.15 1.14 0.966 34
E. camaldulensis DBH -1.89 2.22 1.00 0.964 21
E. cinerea DBH -1.21 1.83 1.15 0.868 27
E. crenulata DBH -1.97 2.35 1.08 0.952 10
E. macarthurii DBH -2.08 2.26 1.02 0.937 23
E. mannifera DBH -2.46 2.45 1.04 0.968 19
E. melliodora DBH -1.49 1.96 1.07 0.964 145
E. polyanthemos DBH -1.45 2.05 1.10 0.964 39
E. stellulata DBH -1.63 2.04 1.02 0.967 37
E. viminalis DBH -2.14 2.27 1.08 0.948 321
A. baileyana DBH -1.27 2.22 1.07 0.710 37
A. decurrens DBH -1.72 2.43 1.07 0.967 10
A. cardiophylla D10 -2.11 2.26 1.15 0.823 11
A. rubida D10 -3.36 2.79 1.04 0.960 10
Moir E. leucoxylon DBH -1.24 2.03 1.07 0.985 9
E. loxophleba DBH -1.66 2.19 1.08 0.915 41
E. occidentalis DBH -1.84 2.27 1.04 0.947 83
E. phaenophylla DBH 0.32 1.38 1.01 0.985 7
E. platypus DBH -0.01 1.57 0.89 0.982 111
E. pluricaulis DBH -1.24 2.24 1.03 0.937 109
E. spathulata DBH -1.30 2.22 1.00 0.896 206
E. sporadica DBH -1.19 2.10 0.97 0.918 13
E. utilis DBH -0.49 1.85 1.14 0.679 18
A. acuminata DBH -1.26 1.83 1.02 0.981 11
A. micobotrya DBH -1.55 2.13 1.07 0.971 33
A. cyclops D10 -1.44 2.01 1.06 0.851 8
Jenharwill E. leucoxylon DBH -1.70 2.20 1.01 0.991 14
A. decurrens DBH -2.01 2.43 1.02 0.964 14
A. brachybotrya D10 -2.19 2.27 1.03 0.962 8
A. calamifolia D10 -2.29 2.45 1.02 0.947 122
A. hakeoides D10 -2.05 2.05 1.11 0.946 90
A. pycnantha D10 -1.96 2.04 1.12 0.893 38
Gumbinnen E. fasiculosa DBH -2.00 2.37 1.00 0.999 5
E. largiflorens DBH -1.30 2.05 1.01 0.926 38
A. pycnantha D10 -1.48 1.72 1.15 0.722 48
A. trineura D10 -2.78 2.55 0.94 0.970 46
Moorland 1&2 E. calycogona D50 -1.55 2.18 1.02 0.989 7
E. incrassata D50 -2.37 2.44 1.06 0.921 10
E. leptophyll D50 -2.68 2.49 1.04 0.900 8
E. phenax D50 -3.36 2.77 1.01 0.974 7
E. porosa D50 -2.62 2.42 1.04 0.982 31
E. socialis D50 -3.65 2.79 1.02 0.985 8
A. calamifolia D10 -2.02 2.20 1.15 0.881 6
Melaleuca sp D10 -4.54 2.85 1.04 0.983 13
Casurina sp D50 -3.69 2.82 1.07 0.961 7
McFall (all) E. albida DBH -1.10 2.15 1.02 0.964 18
E. argyphea DBH -1.23 2.17 1.00 0.992 7
E astringens DBH -1.51 2.22 1.00 0.986 9
E. gardineri DBH -1.79 2.39 1.00 0.986 24
E. kochii DBH -1.86 2.31 1.03 0.976 17
E. sargentii DBH -1.66 2.27 1.01 0.957 25
E. wandoo DBH -1.69 2.16 1.15 0.951 56
A. acuminata DBH -1.75 2.32 0.96 0.953 24
A.saligna DBH -1.52 2.15 0.98 0.965 25
Melaleuca sp. D10 -3.03 2.36 1.04 0.922 20
Casurina sp. D10 -1.16 2.03 1.09 0.977 42
Shrub sp. D10 -2.87 2.24 1.02 0.974 35
Leos E. golbulus DBH -1.70 2.15 1.04 0.990 8
E. kitsoniana DBH -1.48 2.07 1.07 0.977 8
E. melliodora DBH -3.28 2.66 1.00 0.993 10
E. talyuberlup DBH -1.36 2.17 1.00 0.999 6
E. tereticornis DBH -0.04 1.65 1.09 0.986 5
A. baileyana DBH -0.81 1.89 0.93 0.981 7
A. penninervis DBH -1.00 2.02 0.95 0.952 22
Melaleuca sp. DBH -2.53 2.38 1.07 0.952 8
Pepal E. lox. ssp. lissophloia D10 -3.21 2.71 0.99 0.935 74
Bird E. lox. ssp. lissophloia D10 -3.05 2.66 1.00 0.940 38
92
Quicke E. lox. ssp. lissophloia D10 -2.73 2.47 1.00 0.980 29
Temby E. lox. ssp. lissophloia D50 -2.02 2.32 1.01 0.951 43
Angle E. lox. ssp. lissophloia D50 -1.72 2.13 1.02 0.926 33
Gunbower 1&2 E. camaldulensis D50 -3.07 2.49 1.01 0.934 16
E. largiflorens D50 -1.98 2.14 1.01 0.972 19
E. occidentalis D50 -2.56 2.51 1.02 0.995 19
A. salicina D50 -2.37 2.24 1.00 0.922 13
A. stenophylla D50 -2.49 2.42 0.98 0.942 16
Melaleuca sp D10 -2.80 2.41 1.06 0.952 14
Lynvale E. viminalis DBH -2.21 2.34 1.04 0.981 16
A. mearnsii DBH -1.47 2.24 1.01 0.996 20
A. melanoxylon DBH -1.60 2.16 1.00 0.987 27
A. pycnantha DBH -1.90 2.33 0.99 0.973 17
Palomar E. camal. & E. side DBH -1.90 2.37 1.00 0.969 6
A. deanei D10 -2.01 2.20 0.80 0.888 11
A. hakeoides D10 -2.20 2.18 1.00 0.982 17
A. pendula D10 -2.33 2.26 1.02 0.986 7
A. rigens D10 -2.76 2.46 1.02 0.984 21
Shrubs D10 -2.48 2.16 1.09 0.915 23
Netherleigh E. crebra DBH -2.03 2.27 1.03 0.946 15
C. intermedia DBH -2.14 2.19 1.03 0.966 13
E. melanophloia DBH -2.83 2.50 1.07 0.929 14
E. moluccana DBH -1.68 2.32 1.01 0.967 26
L. sauveolens DBH -1.78 2.04 1.02 0.951 14
C. tesselaris DBH -2.40 2.35 1.03 0.956 22
E. tereticornis DBH -2.37 2.44 1.05 0.966 65
A. disparrrima DBH -1.99 2.30 1.03 0.974 22
Batterns 1-4 E. kitsoniana DBH -1.58 2.14 0.97 0.978 26
E. obliqua DBH -2.16 2.23 1.00 0.954 14
E. ovata DBH -2.14 2.34 0.98 0.991 21
E. viminalis DBH -2.26 2.37 1.01 0.975 20
A. melanoxylon DBH -2.08 2.26 1.04 0.984 22
Melaleuca sp DBH -1.91 2.19 0.96 0.978 33
Shrubs D10 -2.59 2.15 1.08 0.792 13
Suttons E. golbulus DBH -2.37 2.46 0.98 0.995 8
E. viminalis DBH -1.01 2.05 1.00 0.999 7
A. dealbata DBH -1.98 2.37 0.99 0.998 8
Shrubs D10 -2.81 2.30 1.02 0.893 61
Brotherony E. polybractea D10 -1.75 2.12 1.01 0.909 108
Jullatern/Shananvale Alstonia scholaris DBH -1.29 2.11 1.00 0.955 37
Araucaria cunninghamii DBH -1.75 2.29 1.00 0.998 6
Ble. involucrigera DBH -1.50 2.15 1.01 0.996 14
Elae. angustifolius DBH -2.17 2.37 1.03 0.989 24
E. cloeziana DBH -4.26 3.06 1.00 0.998 10
Flindersia brayleyana DBH -1.75 2.29 1.00 0.995 19
Melicope elleryana DBH -0.81 1.82 1.01 0.979 5
Xan. chrysanthus DBH -3.15 2.83 0.99 0.995 5
Steps used to obtain biomass estimates of plantings
Stratification and definition of ‘the planting’
At some larger (>10 ha) plantings such as Gumbinnen and Netherleigh, the sites were stratified based on species mix, planting year and
management regime. All areas within the sites which were not actually planted (i.e. avoided by the direct seeder due to the presence of
rocks or remnant paddock trees etc.) were excluded from the definition of the planting.
Sampling design: establishment of sample plots
As shown in Table A9.2.2, depending on the number of trees within the planting and the type of planting, five alternative approaches were
used to establish plots; (i) for relatively small plantings with biomass to be estimated by ‘indirect’ allometrics, inventory of all individual
trees and shrubs within the entire (E) planting so no plots were required, (ii) where direct biomass harvest was undertaken, full inventory
of all individual trees and shrubs within the entire planting followed by precision sampling (F-PS) to select representative plots for
harvesting, (iii) use of GRTS (Section 3.1) to establish plots within which the survey was done to inform the precision sampling and selection
of representative plots from within the larger wider number (G-PS), (iv) Systematic sampling (SYS) where plots were placed strategically
across the planting, and (v) where measurements were taken more opportunistically (i.e. generally taken as extra time was available on-
site) and time was not available for precision sampling, plots were established using simple random sampling (SRS).
93
Inventory
Within each selected plot, stem diameters of all individuals were measured. Height at which diameters were measured varied between
plantings based on the heights of the trees and the average height at which they branched into multiple stems (Table A9.2.2). As a general
rule, the diameters were measured as high as possible (up to 130 cm height), but below the height at which the stem became multi-
stemmed. This was to decrease measurement errors. Generally for all shrub species, diameters were measured at 10 cm height. Species, or
at least life form, was also recorded with each diameter measurement. For analysis, an ‘equivalent diameter’ was calculated for multi-
stemmed individuals (=sqrt[d12+d2
2+d3
2+....dn
2], where d1, d2 etc. are the diameter measures of each individual stem).
Harvesting of above-ground biomass
Two different approaches were used depending on whether the site was a direct harvest site or not (i.e. an indirect site):
‘Direct measurements’. Within each plot, all individual trees were weighed separately using a suspended load cell. All dead trees and/or
shrubs were weighed in bulk, as were the ‘smaller shrubs’, which could contain a mixture of species. However, if there were significant
quantities of specific shrub species such as melaleucas, these were weighed separately, again in bulk.
‘Indirect estimates’. For each of the key species at each site (Table A9.2.1), individuals of a range of stem sizes were randomly selected for
harvesting. This was to provide data for the generation of site-specific allometric equations. Although at least 20 individuals were targeted
for each allometric, at some sites we were unable to achieve this because of either (i) landowners wishes that we minimise destructive
harvesting, or (ii) there were insufficient numbers of an individual species present.
Moisture content sub-samples of the canopy and bole
As reported by Paul et al. (2011), moisture contents do not significantly vary within the 3-5 days generally required for harvesting a site.
The only exception would be if rain occurred during this time. Generally for each key species, at least three representative individuals were
selected for obtaining moisture content sub-samples. Each selected tree was divided into crown (all foliage and twigs less than about 5 mm
diameter) and the remaining bole (stem and branches). The fresh weights of these two components were measured in the field, and then
sub-samples (at least three of about 2-3 kg) were taken of each component, weighed and transported back to the laboratory and dried (at
70oC) until the dry weights stabilised. For the bole samples, this could take several weeks. Using the average moisture content of sub-
samples of each component, a weighted average whole-tree moisture content was determined based on the relative contribution to total
fresh weight of the individual. Note that for shrubs with no pronounced stem, separate bole components were not required. Once the
percentage moisture in fresh (or green) material was determined, the dry weight equivalents of material weighed in the field was then
calculated.
Harvesting of below-ground biomass
At direct harvested sites, harvested plots were also used for excavation of roots.
Area of excavation. As described above, sub-plots for root excavation were also selected using precision sampling. They were generally 10
m x 10 m. For block plantings, roots were excavated within plot boundaries while for linear plantings, roots were also excavated 8-10 m out
from the planting edge into the paddock (i.e. as far out as required to recover most of the root biomass). The only exceptions were at
plantings where stocking was too low (<500 sph, such at Moorland) to make whole plot root excavation efficient. At these sites, roots were
excavated around individual trees or shrubs. The area of excavation was halfway to the nearest neighbour on each of the four sides, as it
was assumed that roots growing out of these areas were approximately equal to roots growing into these areas. Given the relatively low
stocking, and the fact that root biomass reduces sharply with increasing distance from the tree stump (Green et al. 2007), these areas of
excavation tended to be quite large and there was little evidence of roots going into or out of them. In linear plantings where the plot
includes trees along edge rows, all coarse roots (>2 mm) extending into the adjacent paddock were harvested.
Depth of excavation. Excavation depths did not exceed 2 m depth. However, there was either no evidence of tap roots extending deeper
than this depth, or where there was (i.e. Gumbinnen, Moorelands), the tap root diameters at this depth were generally small (<100 mm)
and so did not appear to represent much of the total root biomass. The unaccounted for below-ground biomass in these deeper (>2 m) tap
roots was probably much great than the finer sized roots (<2 mm) which were also not captured (see below). Indeed, Chenk and Jackson
(2002) noted that globally 50% of all roots are within the upper 0.3 m while 95% of all roots are within the upper 2 m of the soil profile.
Size of roots excavated. Only coarse roots (>2 mm) were recovered, and to assist in extracting these from the soil, an excavator and/or
back-hoe was used. Coarse roots were manually ‘picked’ from the excavated soil, either directly from the soil as it was deposited by the
excavator at a working point (Moorland, Gumbinnen and Leos sites), or from sieving tables (Strathern, Moir, Jenharwill, McFall, Pepal, Bird,
Quicke, Angel and Tempy) which comprise about 200 mm mesh size. Although not all roots were recovered, as reported by Paul et al.
(2011), on-going studies at Strathearn (Vuillot 2011, unpublished, ANU) suggest fine roots (<2 mm) were observed to represent <4% of the
total biomass. In order to assess the mass of any fine roots falling through the sifting table, samples of the sifted soil at this planting were
collected on a per soil horizon basis. These soils are sieved back in the laboratory to determine the mass of roots ‘missed’ per volume of
soil excavated for each soil horizon.
Soil contamination. Where root samples which were taken from particularly clayey soils (i.e. Strathearn and Jenharwill), root samples were
excavated, transported and stored in a dry environment (i.e. glass house or shed), shaken, and then a high pressure hose used to remove
remaining soil before being weighed.
94
Moisture content sub-samples of roots
All excavated roots (in the case of Strathearn, Moir and Jenharwill), or sub-samples of roots (for other sites), were oven-dried at 70oC dry
until weights stabilised to determine the percentage moisture contents such that root dry weights could be calculated from field measures
of root mass.
Calculation of above-ground allometrics
At all sites, allometrics were derived for each key species shown in Table A9.2.1. Allometric power function equations were used to predict
biomass from independent variables;
y = a’xb, and their linear equivalents, Ln(y) = a + b × Ln(x) Equation A9.2.1
where
y is the dependent variable (biomass, kg DW tree-1
),
x is the independent variable (stem diameter, cm), and
a the intercept coefficient, and a’=exp(a) or a=Ln(a’)
b the scaling exponent.
Parameters a and b were estimated using a least squares approach. Natural logarithm transformations were used when fitting parameters
given biomass data often exhibited heteroscedasticity (i.e. variance was not constant across all observations).
As logarithmic regressions produce inherently biased estimates of biomass, bias corrections were calculated using the ratio of arithmetic
sample mean and mean of the back-transformed predicted values from the regression as described by Snowdon (1991);
y = Exp[ a + b × Ln(x) ] x CF Equation A9.2.2
where
CF= Correction factor as described by Snowdon (1991),
See Equation A9.2.1 for definition of other parameters.
However, various alternative methods have been proposed for correcting this bias when back-transforming data (Baskerville 1972; Ung
and Végiard 1988). Lambert (2005) reported that the Baskerville estimator may be biased for small sample sizes (Flewelling and Pienaar
1981), and it tends to overestimate the true bias (Hepp and Brister 1982). More recently, other workers (Parresol 2001; Lambert 2005)
have found that modeling the error structure on the original data scale gives results as good as or even better than applying a
transformation. Weighted non-linear models have also been used where it may not be necessary to correct for transformational bias
(Brown et al. 1989; Parresol 1999; Ritson and Sochacki 2003; Morote et al. 2012). A generalized linear model with gamma distribution and
log link function may also be used to avoid the problem of back transformation (Ketterings et al., 2001; Kuyah et al. (2012a). Others have
used a weighted combined model for estimating biomass or stem volume (e.g. Bi and Hamilton 1998; Bi et al. 2004). Further work is
currently underway to test the accuracy of these various approaches to overcoming traditional problems associated with back-
transformation of allometric relationships.
To evaluate model efficiency of allometric equations, statistics used were based on those recommended in a review by Parresol (1999), the
most important being the ‘fit index’, otherwise known as model efficiency (EF, Soares et al. 1995). For other species, and for below-ground
biomass estimations at ‘indirect’ sites, generic allometrics were used as described in Section 5.
In order to develop generic allometrics based on DBH or D10, relationships between stem diameters measured at different heights from
the same trees or shrubs were required. These are given in Figures A9.2.1 and A9.2.2.
Estimation of biomass and root-to-shoot ratios
At each site biomass in above- and below-ground components was estimated and root-to-shoot ratios calculated. This was done by
applying the appropriate allometric to the inventory of stem diameters. However, for the 13 ‘direct’ sites, direct whole plot measures of
above- and below-ground biomass were obtained and provided a test of the estimates of R:S ratios based on application of allometrics.
At these ‘direct’ sites, we calculated site average R:S ratio by taking the most accurate site estimates of roots (t DM ha-1
, determined from
direct measures on root sub-plots) and dividing this by the most accurate site estimates of shoots (t DM ha-1
, determined from direct
measures across all plots), rather than simply calculating an average R:S ratio from each sub-plot separately. This helps to overcome the
problem that, in the relatively small root plots harvested, it is hard to accurately estimate the actual above-ground biomass contributing to
measured roots, due to root contributions from trees growing outside the plot boundary. The estimates based on larger plots minimise this
source of uncertainty, and conversely, these R:S ratios should never be applied to single trees or shrubs.
95
Figure A9.2.1. Relationship between stem diameters measured at breast height for eucalypts and other trees (a-d), acacia trees (e-h), and
casuarina spp. (i-l) than that measured at 10, 20, 30 and 50 cm from the ground. Also, the relationship between stem diameter measured
at 10 cm from the ground for acacia shrubs (m-p) and other shrub species (q, r) and that measured at 0, 20, 30 and 50 cm from the ground.
Here, D0, D10, D20, D30, D50 and DBH refer to stem diameter measured at 0, 10, 20, 30, 50 and 130 cm from the ground, respectively.
(d) Eucalypts & other trees
y = 0.9097x - 0.5061
R² = 0.9677; N=1,772
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
DB
H (
cm)
D50 (cm)
(c) Eucalypts & other trees
y = 0.8501x - 0.501
R² = 0.9413; N=1,320
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
DB
H (
cm)
D30 (cm)
(b) Eucalypts & other trees
y = 0.8273x - 0.6168
R² = 0.922; N=1,292
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
DB
H (
cm)
D20 (cm)
(a) Eucalypts & other trees
y = 0.8181x - 0.7631
R² = 0.9317; N=1,723
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
DB
H (
cm)
D10 (cm)
(h) Acacia trees
y = 0.9304x - 0.4196
R² = 0.9696; N=358
0
10
20
30
40
0 10 20 30 40
DB
H (
cm)
D50 (cm)
(g) Acacia trees
y = 0.8905x - 0.3296
R² = 0.9576; N=215
0
10
20
30
40
0 10 20 30 40D
BH
(cm
)
D30 (cm)
(f) Acacia trees
y = 0.8336x - 0.1427
R² = 0.9373; N=146
0
10
20
30
40
0 10 20 30 40
DB
H (
cm)
D20 (cm)
(e) Acacia trees
y = 0.8247x - 0.2391
R² = 0.9506; N=336
0
10
20
30
40
0 10 20 30 40
DB
H (
cm)
D10 (cm)
(l) Casuarina spp.
y = 0.9175x - 0.3496
R² = 0.9139
0
10
20
30
40
0 10 20 30 40
DB
H (
cm)
D50 (cm)
(k) Casuarina spp.
y = 0.8593x - 0.4909
R² = 0.9547; N=27
0
10
20
30
40
0 10 20 30 40
DB
H (
cm)
D30 (cm)
(j) Casuarina spp.
y = 0.7814x - 0.2073
R² = 0.9603; N=27
0
10
20
30
40
0 10 20 30 40
DB
H (
cm)
D20 (cm)
(i) Casuarina spp.
y = 0.7704x - 0.0981
R² = 0.9171; N=736
0
10
20
30
40
0 10 20 30 40
DB
H (
cm)
D10 (cm)
(p) Acacia shrubs
y = 1.0753x + 1.3627
R² = 0.7059; N=17
0
10
20
30
0 10 20 30
DB
H (
cm)
D50 (cm)
(o) Acacia shrubs
y = 1.0431x + 0.2078
R² = 0.9657; N=273
0
10
20
30
0 10 20 30
DB
H (
cm)
D30 (cm)
(n) Acacia shrubs
y = 1.0301x + 0.0463
R² = 0.9918; N=273
0
10
20
30
0 10 20 30
DB
H (
cm)
D20 (cm)
(m) Acacia shrubs
y = 0.9577x - 0.3258
R² = 0.9667; N=13
0
10
20
30
0 10 20 30
D1
0 (
cm)
D0 (cm)
(r) Melaleuca
y = 1.2737x + 0.8876
R² = 0.9286; N=50
0
10
20
30
0 10 20 30
DB
H (
cm)
DBH (cm)
(q) Melaleuca
y = 1.1036x + 0.4546
R² = 0.9813; N=76
0
10
20
30
0 10 20 30
D1
0 (
cm)
D50 (cm)
96
Figure A9.2.2. Relationship between stem diameters measured at 10 cm from the ground (D10) for 300 mallee eucalypts and that
measured at 50 cm from the ground (D50). Datasets were obtained from Table 1 for all available sites where both D10 and D50 were
measured on the same tree.
9.3 Database
A9.3.1. Datasets collated on individual tree above-ground biomass from environmental and mallee plantings. Data from mixed-species
environmental plantings were collated for nine different life forms; acacia shrubs, dead acacia shrubs, acacia trees, dead acacia trees,
eucalypts (and some other large tree species), dead eucalypts, casuarina, melaleuca and other shrubs. Data from mallee eucalypts were
collated for three different species (Poly, E. polybractea; Lox, E. loxophleba subsp lissophloia; and Kochii, E. kochii subsp. borealis or subsp
plenissima). To download the non-confidential datasets, see CSIRO Data Access Portals at the links provided with Paul et al. (2013b-e)
Source Lead
organisation
N Published
Acacia shrubs
This project CSIRO 469 This publication
J. England CSIRO 41 Paul et al. (2007)
J. England CSIRO 28 England et al. (2006)
J. Carter CSIRO 17 Hawkins et al. (2010)
T. Hobbs SA DEWNR 17 Hobbs et al. (2010)
Dead acacia shrubs
J. England CSIRO 41* Paul et al. (2007)
J. England CSIRO 28* England et al. (2006)
This project CSIRO 17 This publication
Acacia trees
This project CSIRO 358 This publication
J. England CSIRO 35 England et al. (2006)
J. Carter CSIRO 28 Hawkins et al. (2010)
G. McAurthur AusCarbon 25 CONFIDENTIAL
R. Sudmeyer DAFWA 25 pers. com. (2011)
D. Forrester Uni Melb 12 Forrester et al. (2005)
J. England CSIRO 10 Paul et al. (2007)
B. Rose CN 1 CONFIDENTIAL
J. Jonson Threshold Env. 7 Jonson and Freudenberger (2011)
Dead acacia trees
J. England CSIRO 19* England et al. (2006)
J. England CSIRO 12* Paul et al. (2007)
This project CSIRO 12 This publication
Eucalypts, or other key tree genera
This project CSIRO 1,965 This publication
C. Barton NSW DPI 145 Barton and Parekh (2006)
J. Jonson Threshold Env. 65 Jonson and Freudenberger (2011)
G. McAurthur AusCarbon 63 CONFIDENTIAL
J. England CSIRO 41 Paul et al. (2007)
J. England CSIRO 35 England et al. (2006)
S. Hamilton CSIRO 35 Hamilton et al. (2005)
K. Paul CSIRO 24 Paul et al. (2008)
Tivi Theiveyanathan CSIRO 19 pers. com. (2010)
T. Hobbs SA DEWNR 9 Hobbs et al. (2010)
B. Rose CN 3 CONFIDENTIAL
Dead eucalypts
J. England CSIRO 35* England et al. (2006)
J. England CSIRO 41* Paul et al. (2007)
K. Paul CSIRO 24* Paul et al. (2008)
This project CSIRO 19 This publication
Tivi Theiveyanathan CSIRO 19* pers. com. (2010)
S. Hamilton CSIRO 18* Hamilton et al. (2005)
Casuarinas
y = 0.838x + 0.179
R² = 0.94; N=300
0
10
20
30
0 10 20 30
D1
0 (
cm)
D50 (cm)
97
This project CSIRO 62 This publication
J. England CSIRO 14 Paul et al. (2007)
J. Jonson Threshold Env. 10 Jonson and Freudenberger (2011)
J. Carter CSIRO 9 Hawkins et al. (2010)
G. McAurthur AusCarbon 2 CONFIDENTIAL
Melaleuca
This project CSIRO 115 This publication
J. Carter CSIRO 23 Hawkins et al. (2010)
J. England CSIRO 16 Paul et al. (2007)
T. Hobbs SA DEWNR 1 Hobbs et al. (2010)
G. McAurthur AusCarbon 3 CONFIDENTIAL
B. Rose CN 3 CONFIDENTIAL
Other shrubs
This project CSIRO 170 This publication
G. McAurthur AusCarbon 14 CONFIDENTIAL
Other mallee eucalypt species
A. Peck WA DEC 157 Peck et al. (2012)
D. Wildy Fares Rural 108 pers com. (2012)
D. Wildy UWA 93 Wildy and Pate (2002); Wildy (2003)
P. Ritson DAFWA 47 pers com. (2012)
D. Mendham CSIRO 35 Grove et al. (2007)
J. Carter CSIRO 18 Carter et al. (2008)
K. Brooksbank DAFWA 9 Brooksbank & Bevan (2010); Brooks. & Goodwin (2012)
Lox mallee eucalypt species
A. Peck WA DEC 562 Peck et al. (2012)
This project CSIRO 258 This publication
D. Wildy Fares Rural 124 pers com. (2012)
D. Mendham CSIRO 73 Grove et al. (2007)
P. Ritson DAFWA 51 NA
K. Brooksbank DAFWA 34 Brooksbank & Bevan (2010); Brooks. & Goodwin (2012)
Poly mallee eucalypt species
A. Peck WA DEC 277 Peck et al. (2012)
K. Brooksbank DAFWA 232 Brooksbank & Bevan (2010); Brooks. & Goodwin (2012)
D. Wildy Fares Rural 126 pers com. (2012)
J. Bartle WA DEC 124 Bartle et al. (2012)
This project CSIRO 107 This publication
P. Ritson DAFWA 40 pers com. (2012)
D. Mendham CSIRO 31 Grove et al. (2007)
R. Bennett CSIRO 25 Mendham (2011)
R. Sudmeyer DAFWA 20 pers. com. (2012)
R. Sudmeyer DAFWA 20 pers. com. (2012)
R. Sudmeyer DAFWA 11 Sudmeyer and Daniels (2010)
*Biomass data of dead individual trees or shrubs were estimated from data on the biomass of tree or shrub components by assuming that
dead individuals would only have woody components (i.e. no foliage, bark and small twigs), and for eucalypts, would have diameters
equivalent to the diameter under bark (Paul et al. 2010).
Table A9.3.2. Datasets collated on individual tree below-ground biomass. Data from mixed-species environmental plantings were collated
for nine different life forms; acacia shrubs, dead acacia shrubs, acacia trees, dead acacia trees, eucalypts, dead eucalypts, casuarina,
melaleuca and other shrubs. Data from mallee eucalypts were collated for three different species (Poly, E. polybractea; Lox, E. loxophleba
subsp. lissophloia; and Kochii, E. kochii subsp. borealis or subsp plenissima. To download the non-confidential datasets, see CSIRO Data
Access Portals at the links provided with Paul et al. (2013b-e)
Source Lead
organisation Species N Published
J. Jonson Threshold Env. Acacia tree roots 7 Jonson and Freudenberger (2011)
R. Sudmeyer DAFWA Acacia tree roots 19 Sudmeyer and Daniels (2010)
K. Paul CSIRO Eucalypt roots 21 Paul et al. (2008)
C. Barton NSW DPI Eucalypt roots 16 Barton and Montague (2006)
Tivi Theiveyanathan CSIRO Eucalypt roots 17 pers. com. (2010)
J. Jonson Threshold Env. Eucalypt roots 44 Jonson and Freudenberger (2011)
This project CSIRO Eucalypt roots 32 This publication
J. Carter CSIRO Shrub roots 10 Hawkins et al. (2010)
This project CSIRO Shrub roots 13 This publication
K. Brooksbank DAFWA Lox & Poly 251 Brooksbank & Bevan (2010); Brooks. & Goodwin (2012)
R. Sudmeyer DAFWA Poly 25 Sudmeyer and Daniels (2010)
D. Wildy Fares Rural Lox, Poly & Kochii 20 pers com. (2012)
D. Wildy UWA Kochii 93 Wildy and Pate (2002); Wildy (2003)
98
Table A9.3.3. Datasets collated containing inventory data, including number of sites, whether or not species-and-site specific allometrics were developed, age of the sand, PropTrees or mallee species studies, stocking
rates, planting geometry, whether or not the stand was regrowth post coppice harvesting, and the site productivity (Pavg). To download the non-confidential datasets, see CSIRO Data Access Portals at the links provided
with Paul et al. (2013f,g).
Source Lead
organisation N
1 Specific
2
Age
(yrs)
PropTree3 or
Species4
Sph4 Geometry
5 Coppice
6 Pavg
7 Published
A. Peck WA DEC 535* Y 1-16 Poly, Lox, Kochii 920-3920 Linear Y, N 1.29-6.97 Peck et al. (2012)
M. Rooney GA 218 N 4-30 0.00-1.00 82-6110 Block, Linear N 2.89-13.85 CONFIDENTIAL
T. Lewis Qld DAFF 138* N 2-19 1.00 133-926 Block, Linear N 8.36-24.11 CONFIDENTIAL
J. England CSIRO 79 N 3-29 0.02-1.08 128-10104 Block, Linear N 3.14-8.03 Paul et al. (2007)
T. Hobbs SA DEWNR 67 N 10-36 0.12-1.00 180-7010 Block, Linear N 3.51-7.39 Hobbs et al. (2010)
P. Ritson DAFWA 45 Y,N 5-15 Poly, Lox, Kochii 292-3759 Block, Linear N 2.89-5.96 CONFIDENTIAL
J. Bartle WA DEC 42 Y 2-8 Poly 2840-3200 Linear N 5.65-5.82 Bartle et al. (2012)
C. Lowson ANU 38 N 12-18 0.00-0.96 1330-22250 Block, Linear N 5.53-9.07 Lowson (2008)
M. Searson Hassall & Ass. 37 N 2-24 0.00-1.00 30-14140 Block, Linear N 3.45-7.49 Kesteven et al. (2004)
S. Cunningham Monash 36 N 5-46 0.33-1.00 240-1130 Block N 4.86-9.31 CONFIDENTIAL
J. Carter CSIRO 30 Y 3-7 Kochii 1600-2500 Linear N 3.35 Carter et al. (2008)
This project CSIRO 28 Y 7-14 Poly, Lox, Kochii, Other 940-2870 Block, Linear Y, N 3.24-5.80 This publication
N. Preece Biocarbon 24 N 5-20 1.00 390-2570 Block N 13.13-20.66 Preece et al. (2012)
T. Hobbs SA DEWNR 23 N 11 Poly, Other 93-2220 Block N 2.95-5.88 Hobbs et al. (2010)
This project CSIRO 22 Y 8-22 0.00-1.00 140-13791 Block, Linear N 3.58-15.18 This publication
D. Wildy Fares Rural 21 Y 4-15 Poly, Lox, Kochii 830-3020 Block, Linear N 2.41-5.76 CONFIDENTIAL
Z. Read ANU 20 N 1-19 0.00-0.96 1438-20768 Block, Linear N 5.57-7.26 pers. com. (2012)
T. Powe GreenFleet 17 N 4-10 0.00-1.00 270-2370 Block N 4.16-12.74 CONFIDENTIAL
G. McArthur AusCarbon 16 Y 4-17 0.00-1.00 96-2400 Block, Linear N 2.31-3.00 CONFIDENTIAL
J. England CSIRO 16 N 5-18 0.07-1.00 270-4870 Block, Linear N 4.86-7.13 England et al. (2006)
R. Bennett CSIRO 10 Y 5-6 Poly 1420-1490 Linear N 5.93 Mendham (2011)
B. Rose Carbon Neutral 9 N 10-37 0.00-1.00 108-1250 Block N 2.82-3.56 CONFIDENTIAL
J. Bartle WA DEC 9 Y 9-14 Poly 2100-2630 Linear N 2.82-2.87 Bartle et al. (2012)
G. McArthur AusCarbon 6 Y 12-20 Lox 180-590 Block, Linear N 2.81 CONFIDENTIAL
D. Mendham CSIRO 4 Y 3-5 Poly, Lox, Kochii 2430-5040 Block, Linear N 2.31-4.60 Grove et al. (2007)
J. Carter CSIRO 2 Y 11-12 Poly 4790-5000 Linear N 4.04-4.06 pers. com. (2012) 1N represents the number of plantings from this source which were used in the calibration of Tree Yield Formula (*Not all independent sites, and some were repeated measures at the same site);
2Refers to whether or not a site-specific above-ground allometric was applied (Y) or not (N);
3Represents the proportion of individuals within the plantings which were trees;
4Data from mallee eucalypt plantings were collated from four different species; Poly, E. polybractea; Lox, E. loxophleba subsp lissophloia; and Other (namely E. kochii subsp. borealis or subsp plenissima), which could be a
raft of different mallee eucalypt species; 4Stems per hectare, with multi-stemmed trees having an equivalent stem diameter calculated (=sqrt[d1
2+d2
2+d3
2+....dn
2], where d1, d2 etc. are the diameter measures of each individual stem)
5Planting geometry was either linear or block. For mixed species plantings; narrow linear (<20 m width), wide linear (20-40 m width), blocks (>40 m width). For mallee eucalypts plantings; narrow linear (100% edge trees,
or 2-row linear plantings), wide linear (25-50% edge trees), blocks (0% edge trees); 6Indicated whether the planting was coppice harvested; (Y) or not (N); and
7Pavg represents the plantings Forest Productivity Index at the planting site.
99
Table A9.3.4. Auxiliary data collated for each planting in the inventory databases obtained from collaborators (see Table A9.3.3), Department of
Environment’s NIS, or obtained from calculations of collated data.
Source of data Data collected
Collaborators Location (latitude and longitude)
Date of inventory
Date of planting
Landscape position (Upper slope, mid-slope, lower-slope, gully or riparian)
Previous land use
Soil textural class
Poor drainage
Watered during establishment, or irrigated
Grazing history, if any
Species planted for mallee eucalypts
Surface soil salinity (mS m-1
)
Depth to water table (m)
Whether the planting was coppiced
Number of rows planted (i.e. planting geometry)*
Percentage of trees that were measured which were edge trees*
Planting width (m)
NIS Pavg (annually during actual period of growth)
Maximum above-ground biomass anticipated (t DM ha-1
)
Average temperatures (annually during period of growth)
Average rainfall (annually during period of growth)
Soil clay content
Soil nutrient index
Soil available water holding capacity
Calculated from Stocking (sph)
inventory data Number of individuals measured
Proportion of individuals measured which where trees (PropTrees)
Proportion of biomass which was dead
Average basal area (m2 ha
-1)
Percentage coefficient of variation in basal area (%)
*Planting geometry was treated differently in mallee eucalypts than in mixed species environmental plantings. For mallees, there were generally 2
m between rows, and so the number of rows reflected whether the planting was linear or a block while for environmental plantings, inter-row
distances varied substantially, and so planting width was either recorded by the collaborator or estimated using Google Earth. Note that for mallee
eucalypts, measurement plots were often placed such that there was a greater percentage of edge trees in these plots than there were in the actual
planting (i.e. plot might include one inner row and one outer row in a 4 row linear planting).
Table A9.3.5. Inputs to the uncertainty analysis. Approximate error were generally implemented as modifiers of specific inputs in the calculations of
t DM ha-1
, and as such had a most likely value of 1, but varied between a minimum and maximum value that was based on the assumed percentage
error on these specific inputs.
Errors Input modified Triangular distribution of
modifier used Min Ave. Max
Measurement errors
Stem diameters when single-stemmed tree Stem diam. 0.944 1.00 1.056
Stem diameters when multi-stemmed tree Stem diam. 0.931 1.00 1.069
Canopy volume index (CVI=htxCW1xCW2) CVI 0.826 1.00 1.174
Tree height Ht 0.945 1.00 1.055
Plot area when clear between-tree distances Plot area 0.967 1.00 1.033
Plot area when variable between-tree distances Plot area 0.956 1.00 1.044
Errors due to assumptions made in calculations (application of allometrics)
Application of allometrics that may not be appropriate+ kg tree
-1 0.800 1.00 1.200
Application of generic allometrics+ kg tree
-1 0.892 1.00 1.108
Sample number used in allometric kg tree-1
Exponential decline with N^
Sampling design errors
Errors from sampling design (i.e. not enough trees measured) t DM ha-1
Normal distribution* +Refer to text for a description of these systematic errors.
*This normal distribution was a normalised distribution, with the standard deviation determined from Section 3.1 in accordance with the number of
trees measured, and degree of heterogeneity of the planting.
^Refer to Figure 3.10, Section 3.3.
100
Table A9.3.6. Above- and below-ground allometrics. Here CF refers to the Snowdon (1991) correction factor, and EF refers to model efficiency
(Soares et al. 1995). The maximum stem diameter for which the below equations apply are specified with the species description. Low rainfall and
high rainfall are defined as <500 and >500 mm for mixed-species environmental plantings, and as <400 and >400 mm mean annual rainfall for
mallee eucalypts.
Site Species Explanatory
variable
a b CF EF N
‘Other’ trees, mostly eucalypts
Above-ground Generic high rainfall eucalypt tree (<100 cm) DBH -2.21 2.40 1.10 0.942 1121
Generic low rainfall eucalypt tree (<80 cm) DBH -1.13 2.10 1.10 0.849 995
Generic high rainfall eucalypt tree (<110 cm) D50 -3.10 2.57 1.10 0.943 1121
Generic low rainfall eucalypt tree (<85 cm) D50 -2.06 2.33 1.10 0.924 995
Generic high rainfall eucalypt tree (<115 cm) D30 -3.43 2.62 1.10 0.936 1121
Generic low rainfall eucalypt tree (<90 cm) D30 -2.26 2.36 1.10 0.921 995
Generic high rainfall eucalypt tree (<115 cm) D10 -3.89 2.71 1.10 0.930 1121
Generic low rainfall eucalypt tree (<90 cm) D10 -2.57 2.42 1.10 0.902 995
Generic Tropics (<40 cm) DBH -2.71 2.58 1.04 0.959 272
Alstonia scholaris (<12 cm) DBH -1.29 2.11 1.00 0.916 6
Araucaria cunninghamii (<25 cm) DBH -1.75 2.29 1.00 0.979 6
Blepharocarya involucrigera (<40 cm) DBH -1.50 2.16 1.01 0.964 14
C. intermedia (<17 cm) DBH -2.14 2.19 1.03 0.966 13
C. maculata (<60 cm) DBH -1.79 2.33 1.07 0.990 37
C. tesselaris (<13 cm) DBH -2.40 2.35 1.03 0.956 22
E astringens (<30 cm) DBH -1.62 2.26 0.97 0.954 16
E. albida (<15 cm) DBH -1.10 2.15 1.02 0.964 18
E. annulata (<30 cm) DBH -1.76 2.36 0.96 0.984 10
E. argophloia (<15 cm) DBH -1.11 2.03 1.01 0.906 25
E. argyphea (<28 cm) DBH -1.23 2.17 1.00 0.992 7
E. blakelyi (<20 cm) DBH -1.83 2.15 1.08 0.966 47
E. bridgesiana (<20 cm) DBH -1.35 1.93 1.06 0.953 17
E. calycogona (<25 cm) DBH -1.11 2.12 1.02 0.845 7
E. camaldulensis (<70 cm) DBH -1.88 2.32 1.15 0.952 89
E. captiosa (<20 cm) DBH -0.97 2.06 1.05 0.974 7
E. cinerea (<30 cm) DBH -1.21 1.83 1.15 0.868 27
E. cladocalyx (<55 cm) DBH -1.36 2.30 1.13 0.978 37
E. cloeziana (<40 cm) DBH -4.26 3.06 0.13 0.990 10
E. crebra (<15 cm) DBH -2.03 2.27 1.03 0.946 15
E. crenulata (<20 cm) DBH -1.97 2.35 1.08 0.952 10
E. falcata (<35 cm) DBH -1.19 2.15 1.02 0.985 16
E. fasiculosa (<16 cm) DBH -1.41 1.99 1.08 0.834 8
E. flocktoniae (<30 cm) DBH -1.56 2.30 1.00 0.982 6
E. gardineri (<32 cm) DBH -1.79 2.39 1.00 0.986 24
E. globulus (<39 cm) DBH -1.66 2.19 1.01 0.963 17
E. incrassata (<20 cm) DBH -1.72 2.31 1.06 0.825 10
E. kitsoniana (<31 cm) DBH -1.54 2.11 1.00 0.977 34
E. kochii (<16 cm) DBH -1.86 2.31 1.03 0.976 17
E. largiflorens (<20 cm) DBH -1.23 2.01 1.01 0.943 57
E. leptophyll (<20 cm) DBH -2.01 2.37 1.03 0.899 11
E. leucoxylon (<25 cm) DBH -1.37 2.07 1.04 0.979 28
E. loxophleba (<30 cm) DBH -0.78 1.82 1.11 0.930 104
E. macarthurii (<30 cm) DBH -2.08 2.26 1.02 0.937 23
E. mannifera (<25 cm) DBH -2.46 2.45 1.04 0.968 19
E. melanophloia (<13 cm) DBH -2.83 2.50 1.07 0.929 14
E. melliodora (<39 cm) DBH -1.75 2.14 1.15 0.939 169
E. microcarpa (<110 cm) DBH -3.46 2.73 1.15 0.823 30
E. moluccana (<27 cm) DBH -1.68 2.32 1.01 0.967 26
E. obliqua (<28 cm) DBH -2.16 2.23 1.00 0.954 14
E. occidentalis (<80 cm) DBH -2.14 2.44 1.15 0.979 118
E. ovata (<30 cm) DBH -2.16 2.35 0.99 0.988 24
E. phaenophylla (<15 cm) DBH 0.32 1.38 1.01 0.974 7
E. phenax (<15 cm) DBH -2.63 2.65 1.01 0.966 7
E. platypus (<30 cm) DBH -0.74 1.98 1.06 0.935 39
E. pluricaulis (<10 cm) DBH -1.24 2.24 1.03 0.937 9
E. polyanthemos (<25 cm) DBH -1.46 2.05 1.07 0.961 51
E. porosa (<30 cm) DBH -1.95 2.30 1.06 0.963 33
E. sargentii (<40 cm) DBH -1.66 2.27 1.01 0.951 25
E. socialis (<30 cm) DBH -1.73 2.28 1.03 0.867 10
E. spathulata (<45 cm) DBH -1.30 2.22 1.00 0.954 206
E. sporadica (<30 cm) DBH -1.19 2.10 0.97 0.918 11
E. stellulata (<15 cm) DBH -1.63 2.04 1.02 0.951 37
E. talyuberlup (<35 cm) DBH -1.36 2.17 1.00 0.999 6
E. tereticornis (<50 cm) DBH -2.15 2.34 0.97 0.959 71
E. tri-sideroxylon (<60 cm) DBH -2.39 2.40 1.10 0.954 54
101
E. utilis (<15 cm) DBH -0.49 1.85 1.14 0.679 18
E. viminalis (<30 cm) DBH -2.19 2.30 1.05 0.954 365
E. wandoo (<22 cm) DBH -1.71 2.20 1.15 0.925 58
Elaeocarpus angustifolius (<35 cm) DBH -2.17 2.37 1.03 0.958 24
Flindersia brayleyana (<35 cm) DBH -1.75 2.29 1.00 0.956 19
L. sauveolens (<17 cm) DBH -1.78 2.04 1.02 0.951 14
Melicope elleryana (<16 cm) DBH -0.81 1.82 1.00 0.977 5
Xanthostemon chrysanthus (<25 cm) DBH -3.15 2.82 0.99 0.973 5
Acacia trees
Generic high rainfall acacia tree (<35 cm) DBH -1.49 2.20 1.00 1.005 241
Generic low rainfall acacia tree (<40 cm) DBH -2.32 2.49 0.89 0.886 217
Generic high rainfall acacia tree (<40 cm) D50 -2.21 2.38 0.99 0.948 241
Generic low rainfall acacia tree (<45 cm) D50 -2.67 2.50 0.90 0.950 217
Generic high rainfall acacia tree (<40 cm) D30 -2.44 2.44 0.96 0.947 241
Generic low rainfall acacia tree (<45 cm) D30 -2.93 2.56 0.92 0.958 217
Generic Trop acacia tree (<35 cm) DBH -2.16 2.37 1.06 0.980 31
A. acuminata (<30 cm) DBH -2.20 2.41 0.84 0.925 58
A. baileyana (<28 cm) DBH -0.98 2.05 0.97 0.893 44
A. dealbata (<31 cm) DBH -1.21 2.11 1.06 0.968 17
A. decurrens (<25 cm) DBH -1.94 2.43 1.04 0.945 36
A. disparrrima (<25 cm) DBH -1.99 2.30 1.03 0.974 22
A. implexa (<15 cm) DBH -1.53 2.13 1.03 0.990 5
A. mangium (<34 cm) DBH -2.28 2.44 1.06 0.989 9
A. mearnsii (<25 cm) DBH -2.02 2.46 0.95 0.967 48
A. melanoxylon (<25 cm) DBH -1.70 2.15 1.02 0.977 51
A. micobotrya (<25 cm) DBH -1.55 2.13 1.07 0.910 33
A. murrayana (<20 cm) DBH -1.38 2.10 1.00 0.961 15
A. penninervis (<35 cm) DBH -1.00 2.02 0.95 0.952 22
A. pycnantha (<15 cm) DBH -1.90 2.33 0.99 0.974 33
A. salicina (<15 cm) DBH -1.78 2.16 1.01 0.959 13
A. saligna (<45 cm) DBH -2.23 2.42 0.94 0.954 50
A. stenophylla (<15 cm) DBH -2.22 2.47 0.99 0.936 16
Acacia shrubs
Generic acacia shrub (<30 cm) D10 -2.27 2.28 1.07 0.911 560
Generic acacia shrub (<25 cm) D50 -3.65 2.98 1.15 0.823 560
A. brachybotrya (>15 cm) D10 -2.19 2.27 1.03 0.962 8
A. calamifolia (<20 cm) D10 -2.23 2.41 1.02 0.939 128
A. cardiophylla (<15 cm) D10 -2.11 2.26 1.15 0.773 11
A. cyclops (< 20 cm) D10 -1.44 2.01 1.06 0.851 8
A. deanei (<35 cm) D10 -2.04 2.20 0.97 0.914 26
A. hakeoides (<25 cm) D10 -2.10 2.10 1.10 0.946 113
A. pendula (<30 cm) D10 -2.91 2.58 1.06 0.985 18
A. pendula (<25 cm) D10 -4.01 3.16 0.85 0.931 18
A. pycnantha (<25 cm) D10 -2.37 2.36 1.05 0.927 102
A. rigens (<15 cm) D10 -2.68 2.41 1.02 0.973 22
A. rubida (<25 cm) D10 -2.01 1.95 1.11 0.812 18
A. trineura (<15 cm) D10 -1.74 1.84 1.15 0.699 48
A. verniciflua (<15 cm) D10 -2.66 2.48 1.07 0.941 12
Melaleucas, casuarinas and other shrubs or small trees
Melaleuca sp. (<30 cm) DBH -0.03 1.40 1.15 0.678 161
Melaleuca sp. (<35 cm) D50 -1.70 1.91 1.15 0.887 161
Melaleuca sp. (<35 cm) D10 -2.59 2.19 1.07 0.909 161
Casuarina sp. (<30 cm) DBH -2.24 2.45 1.01 0.899 97
Casuarina sp. (<40 cm) D50 -2.87 2.60 1.00 0.931 97
Casuarina sp. (<45 cm) D10 -2.92 2.47 1.01 0.943 97
Shrub sp. (<25 cm) D10 -2.61 2.17 1.04 0.903 184
Dead life-forms
Dead eucalypt tree (<90 cm) DBH -2.33 2.51 1.15 0.943 156
Dead eucalypt tree (<100 cm) D50 -3.51 2.76 1.15 0.965 156
Dead eucalypt tree (<100 cm) D30 -3.82 2.81 1.15 0.965 156
Dead eucalypt tree (<100 cm) D10 -4.26 2.89 1.15 0.956 156
Dead acacia tree (<20 cm) DBH -1.64 2.31 1.05 0.929 43
Dead acacia tree (<20 cm) D50 -2.57 2.56 1.04 0.931 43
Dead acacia shrub (<25 cm) D50 -3.55 3.02 1.04 0.812 86
Dead acacia shrub (<30 cm) D10 -2.91 2.52 1.06 0.868 86
Mallee eucalypt species
Generic uncut mallee (<35 cm) D10 -2.73 2.50 0.99 0.940 1753
E. loxophleba liss., low rainfall, uncut (<25 cm) D10 -2.88 2.61 0.99 0.943 868
E. loxophleba liss., high rainfall, uncut (<20 cm) D10 -2.41 2.34 1.04 0.895 220
E. polybractea, low rainfall, uncut (<30 cm) cm) D10 -2.62 2.46 1.01 0.945 504
E. polybractea, high rainfall, uncut (<35 cm) D10 -2.99 2.55 1.05 0.908 379
E. kochii, uncut (<30 cm) D10 -2.95 2.48 1.03 0.956 374
102
Generic coppiced mallee (<95 m3) CVI -0.12 0.95 1.06 0.786 969
E. loxophleba ssp. lissophloia, coppiced (<60 m3) CVI -0.70 1.09 1.02 0.705 377
E. polybractea, coppiced (<95 m3) CVI -0.44 1.08 1.02 0.850 325
E. kochii, coppiced (<55 m3) CVI 0.13 0.99 1.01 0.881 196
Below-ground Generic eucalypt (<55 cm) DBH -1.09 1.77 1.06 0.883 130
Generic acacia tree (<40 cm) DBH -2.28 1.81 0.99 0.937 26
Generic shrub (<25 cm) D10 -5.54 2.94 1.00 0.662 23
Uncut generic mallee euc. (<35 cm) D10 -1.69 1.76 1.13 0.983 229
Coppiced generic mallee euc. (<10 m) Ht 1.56 0.75 1.14 0.603 160
9.4 Multiple Regression
Note that for the below Multiple Regression outputs; (i) All coefficients are statistically significant with the exception of those marked ‘ns’. These
insignificant coefficients were left in the model given they were significant in terms of an interaction; (ii) When back-transforming; Above-ground
biomass = prediction4 + 6*prediction
2 * variance + 3*variance
2; (3) When the site random effect was applied, the log(Pavg) coefficient became
insignificant given the site random effect is capturing the information in Pavg.
Table A9.4.1 Multiple Regression for above-ground biomass of mixed-species (temperate).
(Above-ground biomass)^0.25 = Intercept + log(Age) + log(Pavg) + Stocking + Width + PropTree + log(Age):log(Pavg)
Estimate Coefficients: Std. Error P
Intercept 1.838 0.484 <0.001
Stocking* 0.212 0.044 <0.001
Width2^ -0.199 0.061 <0.001
Width3^ -0.246 0.046 <0.001
log(Age) -0.102 ‘ns’ 0.208 0.6237
log(Pavg) -0.501 ‘ns‘ 0.273 0.0662
PropTree2 0.119 0.041 0.0034
log(Age):log(Pavg) 0.439 0.118 <0.001
*Stocking was a binary variable here of either < or >1,500 sph; ^Width2 (and Width3) was also binary variables, being either wide linear planting
geometry, or not (and a block planting geometry, or not). The between-site variance is 0.13. sigma^2 is 0.201. The model explains 46% (i.e. R2) of
the variation (P<0.001, N=583).
Table A9.4.2 Multiple Regression for above-ground biomass of mixed-species (tropical).
(Above-ground biomass)^0.25 = Intercept + log(Age)
Estimate Coefficients: Std. Error P
Intercept 0.990 0.076 <0.001
Log(age) 0.789 0.025 <0.001
The within-site variance is 0.025 and the between-site variance is 0.13. Therefore, when converting a prediction for a new site use the variance
estimate 0.025 + 0.13 = 0.155. Between-site variance is higher for the tropical plantings than for the other mixed-species environmental plantings.
The model explains 95% (i.e. R2) of the variation (P<0.001, N=164).
Table A9.4.3 Multiple Regression for above-ground biomass of mixed mallee eucalypts.
(Above-ground biomass)^0.25 = Intercept + log(Age) + Stocking + Width + Species + Coppicing + Salinity + Coppicing:Species + log(Age):Coppicing
Estimate Coefficients: Std. Error
Intercept -0.053 0.083
log(Age) 0.825 0.029
Width2^ 0.450 0.047
Width3^ 0.739 0.049
Species2* 0.127 0.043
Species3* 0.340 0.048
Stocking# 0.234 0.028
Coppiced~ 0.287 0.077
Saline~ -0.123 0.073
Species2:Coppiced 0.078 0.047
Species3:Coppiced 0.188 0.055
log(Age):Coppiced -0.117 0.034
^Width2 (and Width3) was binary variables, being either wide linear planting geometry, or not (and a narrow linear planting geometry, or not).
*Species2 (and Species3) was also binary variables, being either Lox, or not (and Poly, or not). #Stocking was a binary variable, being either >2,300
sph, or not. ~Coppiced and Saline were also binary variables, being either coppice harvested or not, or having of surface soil >200 mS m-1
, or not.
The within-site variance is 0.025 and the between-site variance is 0.05. Therefore, when converting a prediction for a new site use the variance
estimate 0.025 + 0.05 = 0.075. The model explains 95% (i.e. R2) of the variation (P<0.001, N=744).
103
Table A9.4.4 Multiple Regression for R:S ratios of PropTree<0.75 mixed-species environmental plantings.
Ln(R:S) = Intercept + PropTree
Estimate Coefficients: Std. Error
Intercept -1.373 0.034
PropTree* 1.017 0.072
*PropTree here was a continuous variable (i.e. not the categories of < or >0.75). The standard error was 0.30. The model explains 36% (i.e. R2) of the
variation (P<0.001, N=358).
Table A9.4.5 Multiple Regression for R:S ratios of PropTree≥0.75 mixed-species environmental and mallee eucalypt plantings.
Ln(R:S) = Intercept + Ln(Pavg) + Ln(Age) + Species
Estimate Coefficients: Std. Error
Intercept 1.667 0.050
Ln(Pavg) -0.170 0.027
Ln(Age) -0.844 0.167
Species* -0.363 0.077
*Species here had a binary definition of either Poly, or not Poly. The standard error was 0.48. The model explains 72% (i.e. R2) of the variation
(P<0.001, N=1,133).
104
9.5 Evaluation of the need for additional growth modifiers
We found that apart from calibration of G and y for each of the 22 planting categories, no other T1 or T2 modifiers were justified in terms of
improving FullCAM performance. Below we outline the analyses which lead us to disregard the incorporation of three additional modifiers to
account for; coppicing, salinity and access to a water table.
Figure A9.5.1 demonstrates that although there were plantings within the datasets used for calibration which had been coppiced, were saline, or
which had access to a watertable, these plantings did not appear to add any biases to the model as there was no clustering of these sites above or
below the 1:1 line.
Figure A9.5.1. Relationship between predicted (from the calibrated Tree Yield Formula) and ‘observed’ (from direct or indirect field measures)
fourth-root estimates of above-ground biomass across the entire environmental plantings database with sites highlighted, (a) in dark red to indicate
plantings which had been coppice harvested, (b) light red to indicate sites that had surface soil salinity (>200 mS m-1
), and (c) blue to indicate
plantings which had access (i.e. <5 m depth) to a watertable and where Pavg<3.5.
Coppice harvesting
We know from analysis of the collated datasets (Section 5) that within the first 5 years, coppicing can significantly accelerate growth rates of above-
ground biomass by an average of 27% compared to on-going growth of uncut stands. However, during the calibration process it was evident that no
T1 modifier for coppice harvesting was required to improve the model efficiency of any of the mallee eucalypt plantings. Increases in model
efficiency when a T1 was applied to all 355 coppice harvested plantings was about zero given the best fit for the v parameter of this T1 modifier was
also about zero.
These findings were further supported by testing this theory against the data obtained from Peck et al. (2012) where above-ground biomass
estimates were available for 17 contrasting sites over a 6 year period with and without coppice harvesting. When the calibrated Tree Yield Formula
was applied to each of these sites using their M and Pavg, we tested whether a T1 modifier was required for coppiced treatments to enhance the
rate of growth. As was done for the wider datasets, we minimised the sum squared of the residuals between observed and predicted above-ground
biomass, by solving for the parameter of v and U that would be required for a generic (i.e. across the 17 sites) coppicing T1 modifier. As the best fit
value for v was approximately zero, this again suggested that there was no T1 effect of coppicing (Figure A9.5.2).
Figure A9.5.2. Calibrated Tree Yield Formula for coppiced (red) and uncut (blue) linear mallee eucalypts across 17 different long-term experimental
sites studied by Peck et al. (2012) from across south-west Western Australia. The optimal parameter for v in the T1 coppice modifier was near zero,
indicating no modification was required for coppice harvesting.
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105
Saline surface soils
We know that on average, productivity of above-ground biomass of young (<14 years) narrow linear plantings was significantly decreased by 46%
when established on saline (>200 mS m-1
) compared to non-saline surface soils. Consistent with these findings, Bartle et al. (2012) observed a
significant (P<0.02) decrease in productivity of above-ground biomass between saline and non-saline surface soils under a 2-row linear planting of E.
polybractea. When the calibrated Tree Yield Formula was applied to this site of Bartle et al. (2012) using its M and Pavg, we tested whether a T2
modifier was required for coppiced treatments to enhance the rate of growth (Figure A9.5.3a). Given the variability in the data, we found this
modifier could be anywhere between 0.40 and 0.70. Therefore, we applied T2 modifiers with a y value of between 0.4 and 0.70 across our datasets,
applying this modifier only to plantings where there were data available to indicate the surface soils were >200 mS m-1
(N=40). With this limited
dataset of saline surface soils, we found an improvement in model efficiency of only about 1% when this additional T2 modifier was applied. This
was not considered significant enough to warrant the required complexities which would be associated with the application of the model had a T2
modifier for salinity (i.e. requirements for input data on surface soil salinity). Furthermore, generalisations about the influence of salinity on growth
would be difficult to justify in these calibrations until additional work to collate data on the long-term impacts of salinity on growth have been
obtained for the range of planting types and categories.
Nevertheless, as stated in Section 7, it is important to note that although the impacts of including a salinity T2 modifier were marginal given the
current database was deficient in the representation of plantings growing in saline surface soils, the absence of such a modifier is of concern, given
this does not satisfy the conservative approach required under the NIS and CFI. Landowners may well target saline surface soils to establish their
plantings (due to the low opportunity costs), and thereby over-predict carbon offsets.
Access to watertable
In sites of Pavg<3.5, access to a water table increased productivity of above-ground biomass by an average of 46%. These findings are consistent
with results from a replicated long-term study of Carter et al. (2008) where there was a significant (P<0.001, N=30) increase in productivity of
above-ground biomass with decreased depth to the watertable at a non-saline site planted to E. kochii (Figure A9.5.3b). An average T2 modifier of
about 2.00 accounted for the differences in above-ground biomass between the water table treatment plots. However, using a ‘best-fit’ y value of
2.09, the incorporation of a T2 modifier to plantings with water table access (and where Pavg<3.5) increased the efficiency of prediction of above-
ground biomass by only 4%. Note that here riparian plantings were also assumed to have access to ground water (e.g. Schultz et al. 1995).
Final calibrations were undertaken without water table modifiers because; (i) the potential long-term accumulation of biomass was effectively
doubled, and this led to serious concerns over the application of this T2 modifier given there were no longer-term datasets with which to verify such
long-term impacts; (ii) the influence of access to a water table will vary markedly across the landscape, and effects may be ephemeral, (iii) there is
also concern that the modifier calibrated was not robust, given that many of the datasets collated had no auxiliary data available on depth to water
table, and (iv) as with surface soil salinity modifiers, there are difficulties associated with the application of a water table modifier in the NIS given
that reliable spatial data on access to a water table are not available.
Figure A9.5.3. Measured above-ground biomass in uncut 2-row linear plantings of (a) E. polybractea at a site (Pavg=2.87, and MAR 330 mm) where
Bartle et al. (2012) monitored soil salinity treatments, and (b) E. kochii at a poor productivity site (Pavg=3.25, and MAR 334 mm) with and without
access to a water table (Carter et al. 2008). Error bars are ±40% of the fitted values, which represent the variation between observed treatments.
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106
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