Important tip for investing in gold1
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IMPORTANT TIP FOR FIRST-TIME
INVESTING IN GOLD MARKET
Presented by: Sinsae SompreawDate: 31 Aug 13
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OB
JEC
TIV
E•
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• realtime
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•
Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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GOLD MARKET OVERVIEW
QE1 (2009)
QE2 (2010)
QE3 (2012)
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- SPDR
- Panic sell
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ANALYTICAL MODEL
Market view Good value?
Cheap/Expensive?
Fundamental Analysis
Charting
Right Timing?
Technical Analysis
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Fundamental Analysis
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US dollar (-)
(-/+)
Flow (-)
(+)
(+)
(+)
collateral
SPDR ETF,
FACTORS AFFECTING GOLD PRICE
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Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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ECONOMIC INDICATORS
http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php?week=sep1.2013
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Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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Copyright by: Sinsae
Sompreaw
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US dollar (-)
(-/+)
Flow (-)
(+)
(+)
(+)
collateral
SPDR ETF,
FACTORS AFFECTING GOLD PRICE
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Tips Note ?--
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Demand
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US dollar (-)
(-/+)
Flow (-)
(+)
(+)
(+)
collateral
SPDR ETF,
FACTORS AFFECTING GOLD PRICE
Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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FED
SPDR (Spydersor Spiders)The Central Bank Gold
Agreement – CBGAThe Manipulation Of The Gold MarketThe Gold Anti-Trust Action
Committee – GATATips Note
SPDR http www spdrgoldshares com
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THB/USD : --
(Gold Spot Price)
Gold Future
Risk Free Rate
FACTORS AFFECTING GOLD PRICE
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1. Thai Gold Spot (99.99%)
Gold Spot * THB * 0.4734
2. Gold Future (99.95%)
Gold Spot * THB * 0.4753 = Thai Gold SpotThai Gold Spot * ( 1 + R)
GOLD PRICE CALCULATOR
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http://www.thaibma.or.th/PriceYield.html
RISK FREE RATE
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GOLD TRADING HOURS
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• Pre-open : 9:15 – 9:45
• Morning Session : 9:45 – 12:30
• Pre – open : 14:00 – 14:30
• Afternoon Session : 14:30 – 16:55
• Pre-open : 19:15 – 19:30
• Night Session : 19:30 – 22:30
Gold Future
Gold Bullion
• Open : 9:30 – 12:00
TRADING HOURS
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Technical Analysis
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MetaTrader 4 platform
TRADING PLATFORM
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:
DOW THEORY
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UP Trend
TREND
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DOWN Trend
TREND
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Minor
Trend
(Year
)
(Week/
Day)(Quarter/
Month)
TREND
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60%
50%
Secondary Trend
Primary Trend
30%
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Retracement)
%)
50%)
66%)
TREND
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Price: 904 1226 = 322
33%of 332 = 110(1226 – 110 = 1116)
50%of 332 = 116(1226 – 116 = 1060
Fibonacci: 0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%,100%Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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•
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Bull Market Bear Market
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Accumulation Phase
Big Move
Consolidation Phase
Panic Phase
Distribution Phase
TRENDCopyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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Bull Market
Bear Market
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CHART TYPE
Line chart
Candlestick chart
Bar chart
• •
• - - -•
• - - -
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CANDLESTICK
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SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
“Demand and Supply”
…
….
… ….
• Demand
• Supply Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
1.
2.
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UP TREND
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DOWN TREND
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SIDEWAY
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Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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-
-
Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw
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40% 20% 20% 10%
10%
MONEY MANAGEMENT
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1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7. /
TRADING TACTICSLong/Short ?
?
?
?
?
?
?
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Buy 20%
Buy 30%
Buy 40%
Sell 40%
Sell 30%
Sell 20%
Gold Price
Waiting Zone
Buy Zone
Sell Zone
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