Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

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Value Added Agriculture Program www.iavaap.org Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations Iowa Grain Quality Initiative Iowa State University January 11, 2008 Surveys conducted by: ISU Extension Value Added Agriculture Program Sponsored by: ISU Extension Iowa Grain Quality Initiative

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Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations. Iowa Grain Quality Initiative Iowa State University January 11, 2008 Surveys conducted by: ISU Extension Value Added Agriculture Program Sponsored by: ISU Extension Iowa Grain Quality Initiative. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

www.iavaap.org

Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Iowa Grain Quality Initiative Iowa State University

January 11, 2008

Surveys conducted by:ISU Extension Value Added Agriculture

ProgramSponsored by:

ISU Extension Iowa Grain Quality Initiative

Page 2: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

www.iavaap.org

Project objectives

• Maintain a data set to define the scope and variation involved in the current industry activities surrounding grain origination methods, impact on grain storage and co-product handling/marketing.

• Measure impacts of growth on the ethanol and soy processing industries and on their input supply chains.

Page 3: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Operating plants137 Plants in USA in 26 states 7.59 BGY 27 Plants in Iowa 2 BGY

Construction/expansion68 Plants in USA 6.5 BGY 18 Plants in Iowa 2 BGY

Planned Approximately 15 BGY USA 2.5 BGY in Iowa

Page 4: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Plants operating in 2006• Average production

– 60 mgy • Range

– 20 mgy – 120 mgy• Plants produce at 105-110%

above rated capacity• Most have outbound rail access• Few have inbound rail access

Page 5: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Plants currently under construction

• Average production– 85 mgy– Range 35 – 200 mgy– Expansions may double

original plant size

Page 6: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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2006 vs. 2007

• Plants are larger

• Fractionation

• Higher corn prices compared

with ethanol prices

• Distillers grains became larger percentage of income

Page 7: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Iowa Ethanol Production and Corn UsageSummary Statistics

nEthanol Producedmil gal/yr

Corn Usedmil bu/yr

DGS000 tons/yr

Current Dry-grind Plants

24 1,640 591 5,021

Plants, expansions under construction

18 1,410 503 4,280

Wet Mills 7 1,210 436 3,704

Nearby, Iowa Draw**

6 402 144 1,220

Subtotal 55 4,662 1,674 14,225

Announced 27 2,523 901 7,659

Total 82 7,185 2,575 21,884

*Operating at rated capacity.**Plants in bordering counties of other states with 50% use assigned to Iowa corn.

Page 8: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Distillers Grains production• In 2007, the USA is expected to produce 16 million tons of

DDGS• 90% is sold in US as livestock feed • Export customers include:

– Mexico– Taiwan– Japan– China– Morocco– Costa Rica– EU (approved GM crops in 2006 production; not ’07)

Feeds Use75% Cattle20% Swine5% Poultry and other

(Meat goats, too!)

Page 9: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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DDGS Current issues• Need a better way to get the product to the

customer – • Flowability still an issue• Marketing groups being formed for larger buyers

– Product not standardized, but…

» A biological process lends itself to variability.

» No other feed ingredient has mandated standard.

Page 10: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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DDGS Quality issues

• Color is the big tip-off with export customers.

• Variability in nutrient content

• Mycotoxins

• Digestibility (particularly protein and amino acid digestibility due to Maillard reaction)

Page 11: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Soybean Processing Survey• Survey asked for:

– Processing capacity– Preferred soybean quality– Types of products– Amount of storage

• Contacted 31 soybean processing plants and 14 biodiesel refineries; 11 responded

Page 12: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Soybean Processing

• Solvent crush plants• Expeller plants• Mills/Flaking plants• Soyfood

– Some plants more capable of handling Indentity Preserved and Organic Soybeans

Page 13: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Crush and Expeller plants

• Crush (solvent) plants (13)– Capacity 27,000 – 100,000+ bu/d– Oil refining capabilities, meal, hulls– Capacity for 98.5% of Iowa’s 2007 crop

• Expeller plants (11)– Range 600 - 33,000 bu/d– Better able to handle specialty beans– Meal and oil differ from solvent products

Page 14: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Milling, Soyfoods

• Whole beans, usually Identity Preserved

• Finished foods and ingredients

• May purchase soybeans from sorting/cleaning operations

Page 15: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

www.iavaap.orgSource: Google 2007

Page 16: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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SummaryStatistics

nAnnual

Capacity(MM bushels)

Annual OilProduction

(MM gallons)

BiodieselMax AnnualProduction

(MM gallons)

Crush plants 13 436.5 610.0 488.0

Expeller plants 11 17.0 17.4 13.9

Milling and Soyfoods

9 3.5 n/a n/a

Total 457.0 627.4 501.9

Iowa Soybean Processing Capacity

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Value Added Agriculture Program

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Iowa Biodiesel Productionn mgy % 2007

SB oil

Operation 14 318 65.4%

Construction 2 35 7.2%

Subtotal 17 353 72.6%

Planned 14 485 99.6%

Total 31 838 172.2%

Page 18: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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What Could Corn Oil Add?

Grain Yield Oil Yield(bu/acre) (lb/acre)

Soybeans 52.0 567Corn 175.0 350

2007 Avg. Yields10.9 lb oil/bu soybeans 2.0 lb oil/bu corn

Assume 7.8 lb/gal oil and 80% biodiesel yield8.36 mil ac soybeans; 13.95 mil ac corn

Page 19: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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What Could Corn Oil Add?Max. Oil Biodiesel(MM lbs) (MM gal)

Soybeans 4743.9 486.6Corn 4882.6 500.8

9626.5 987.4

Operating + Construction 353 35.8%Planned 485 49.1%

838 84.9%

Assume 7.8 lb/gal oil and 80% biodiesel yield8.36 mil ac soybeans; 13.95 mil ac corn

Page 20: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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What About the Acreage Split?

Corn/SB Max Biodiesel

(billion bu) (million gal)

2006 2.05/0.51 980.7

2007 2.44/0.44 987.3

Page 21: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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What About the Acreage Split?DDGS SBM Protein(mln ton) (mln ton) (mln ton)

2006 17.43 11.25 9.92007 20.75 9.77 10.1

Issues: Protein quality (amino acids)Energy content (starch, oil)

Page 22: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Concerns for the biodiesel industry

• Adequate supply

• Speculators driving prices higher

• Markets for glycerin

Page 23: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Concerns for the organic/IP processors

• Challenge to increase acres (or maintain)

• Erosion of non-GMO germplasm

• Training needs for new growers

• Imports from China will take over markets– Group certification of farmers in China

Page 24: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Acknowledgements

• Iowa Grain Quality Initiative www.iowagrain.org

Special thanks to: Robert Mortensen, Value Added Agriculture Program

Andy Larson, ISU Sustainable Agriculture Program

Page 25: Impacts of Increased Local Processing: Update on Ethanol and Soybean Operations

Value Added Agriculture Program

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Contact informationIowa State University Extension

Value Added Agriculture Programwww.iavaap.org or www.agmrc.org

Connie Hardy [email protected] Hansen [email protected]

Iowa Grain Quality Initiativewww.iowagrain.org

Howard Shepherd [email protected] Hurburgh [email protected]