Impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on drug markets, substance ...
Transcript of Impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on drug markets, substance ...
Impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on drug markets, substance use patterns, and delivery of harm reduction and
treatment services in Georgia and Ukraine
The study was funded by the 'EU4Monitoring Drugs‘ project funded by the European Commission and implemented by the European
Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction
David Otiashvili, Irma Kirtadze, Tetiana Kiriazova, Kostyantyn Dumchev
Conducted in two EU Eastern Partnership countries, Georgia and Ukraine
Research team
Georgia• David Otiashvili, MD, PhD• Irma Kirtadze, MD, PhD• Ada Beselia, MA• Tamar Mgebrishvili, MA• Irina Vardanashvili, PhD• Nikoloz Otiashvili
Ukraine• Kostyantyn Dumchev, MD, MPH• Tetiana Kiriazova, PhD• Olena Chernova, MPH cand.
Background: COVID-19 pandemic• Similar epidemiological situation
in both countries• Similar response measures:• strict lockdown March-May 2020,
including public transportation closure• partial release starting in May• re-introduction of restrictions in
September0
50100150200250300350400450
01.03.2
020
01.04.2
020
01.05.2
020
01.06.2
020
01.07.2
020
01.08.2
020
01.09.2
020
01.10.2
020
Daily new COVID-19 cases in Georgia
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
3-Mar-
2020
3-Apr-202
0
3-May-
2020
3-Jun-2020
3-Jul-2
020
3-Aug-202
0
3-Sep-2020
3-Oct-20
20
3-Nov-2020
Daily new COVID-19 cases in Ukraine
Background: drug useGeorgia• 52,000 estimated PWID (2.2%
prevalence, population 3.7M)• Opioids: Heroin,
buprenorphine• Stimulant use, including
home-made is prevalent• NPS increasingly more used• HIV prevalence 2.3%
Ukraine• 350,000 estimated PWID (0.8%
prevalence, population ~43M)• Drug scene dominated by opioids,
historically by home-made acetylated opium (‘shirka’), more recently with illicit methadone • Stimulant use fluctuates at ~40% in
the past 30 days among PWID• NPS increasingly more used• HIV prevalence 22.6%
Methods• Prospective cohort study of PWUD (GE N=50, UA N=51) with bi-weekly online questionnaire over 6
months of follow-up• Snowball sampling
• In-depth interviews with PWUD from the cohort• In-depth interviews with key informants (physicians at OAT site and detox clinic, harm reduction
provider, drug user community representative in each country)
Results: Ukraine
Cohort characteristics at baseline
male71%
female29%
Gender
unemployed44%
employed (full or part
time)42%
work and study
2%
retired/social benefits
12%
Employment
Mean age: 38 (range 18-54)All had history of injecting drug use (IDU)Mean duration of IDU: 19 (range 1-34)
Psychoactive substance use history
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Bath saltsInhalantsKetamine
SpicesLSD
SedativesStreet buprenorphine
CocaineMDMA
MyorelaxantsMedical methadone
Medical buprenorphineAntihistaminesAmphetamine
HeroinPervitin, methcatinone
CannabisHomemade opioids
AlcoholIllicit methadone
lifetime 12m use 3m use
Trends in past 14-day drug use
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Illicit methadone Medicalmethadone
Medicalbuprenorphine
Amphetamine Cannabis Alcohol Antihistamines
before Mar
Apr07-13
Apr21-27
May05-09
May20-25
Jun02-17
Jun16-21
Jun30-Jul06Jul15-19
Sources of methadone
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Dead drops Dealer Intermediary As a gift
Illicit methadone
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Dead drops Dealer Intermediary As a gift Pharmacy Clinic
Medical methadone
Illicit methadone (powder or crystals) is produced in clandestine labs and distributed mostly through dead drops (“stashes”).Medical methadone, in this study, refers to medication in tablet form distributed through pharmacies (as opposed to the free government programs). Pharmacies can legally sell the medication by prescription, which can be obtained from licensed private physicians.
Perceptions of changes in access to, price and quality/purity of the drug of choice
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Apr07-13
Apr21-27
May05-0
9
May20-2
5
Jun02-1
7
Jun16-2
1
Jun30-J
ul06
Jul15-19
Jul29-Aug
02
Aug12-A
ug19
Aug25-A
ug29
Sep0
8-Sep13
Sep2
3-Sep29
Access
Became easier Did not change Became harder
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Apr07-13
Apr21-27
May05-0
9
May20-2
5
Jun02-1
7
Jun16-2
1
Jun30-J
ul06
Jul15-19
Jul29-Aug
02
Aug12-A
ug19
Aug25-A
ug29
Sep0
8-Sep13
Sep2
3-Sep29
Price
Became cheaper Did not change Became more exp.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Apr07-13
Apr21-27
May05-0
9
May20-2
5
Jun02-1
7
Jun16-2
1
Jun30-J
ul06
Jul15-19
Jul29-Aug
02
Aug12-A
ug19
Aug25-A
ug29
Sep0
8-Sep13
Sep2
3-Sep29
Quality/purity
Became better Did not change Became worse
Injection risk behavior and harm reduction
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Apr21-27
May05-0
9
Jun02-1
7
Jun16-2
1
Jul15-19
Jul29-Aug
02
Aug12-A
ug19
Aug25-A
ug29
Sep0
8-Sep13
Sep2
3-Sep29
Trends in risk behaviors in the past 2 weeks
Buying a pre-filled syringe Front- back-loading Other tools sharing
Syringe shar ing Did not inject drugs
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Bought in apharmacy
Got for freein a
pharmacy
Got in avendingmachine
Got from aHR program
Got from afriend
Got usedsyringe from
friend
Used myown usedsyringes
Sources of syringes in the past 2 weeks
Apr21-27
May05-09
Jun02-17
Jun16-21
Jul15-19
Jul29-Aug02
Aug12-Aug19
Aug25-Aug29
Sep08-Sep13
Sep23-Sep29
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Apr07-1
3
Apr21-2
7
May05-09
May20-25
Jun02-1
7
Jun16-2
1
Jun30-J
ul06
Jul15
-19
Jul29
-Aug
02
Aug12-A
ug19
Aug25-A
ug29
Sep0
8-Sep
13
Sep2
3-Sep
29
How did access to HARM REDUCTION programs change in the past 2 weeks?
Became easier Did not change Became worse Do not use HR
Harm reduction services
• In the initial phases of the lockdown access was reduced• “Before COVID, I received syringes from NGO; during lockdown, I bought
syringes at the pharmacy”. (Male, 33).
• The programs managed to adapt and resume service provision, increasingly using new modalities (e.g. mobile vans, outreach), and providing sanitizers and face masks.
Access to opioid agonist treatment
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Was nottreated for
substance use
Outpatientdetox
Inpatientdetox
OAT
Apr07-13
Apr21-27
May05-09
May20-25
Jun02-17
Jun16-21
Jun30-Jul06
Jul15-19
Jul29-Aug02
Aug12-Aug19
Aug25-Aug29
Sep08-Sep13
Sep23-Sep29
• In the beginning, admission of new patients was reduced• “for the first time since 2013, there was a
waiting list to start OAT” (OAT physician)• Later, admissions resumed with COVID-
19 testing requirement
• The Public Health Center of the MoHissued guidance to allow take-home for all OAT patients in March, up to 90% of patients were transferred (from 60% before lockdown)• in September, “~80% of OAT patients stayed
on the take-home doses, which is significantly more that before the COVID” (OAT physician)
Summary (Ukraine)
• Many PWUD experienced reduced access to their drugs of choice during the initial stage of lockdown, but for the most it was restored after the transportation was re-opened.
• There was a significant decrease in use of illicit methadone (produced by clandestine labs in crystal form) because of access difficulties when restrictions on public gatherings were in place and when transportation was closed.
• Many PWUD switched to medical methadone, obtained by prescription from private physicians or bought from peers/dealers. This did not return to the previous levels, indicating a sustained change in the drug scene
• Harm reduction and OAT programs managed to adapt to the rapidly changing situation and resumed service provision without major interruption. These lessons can be used should the strict lockdown be re-introduced.
Results: Georgia
Results: Cohort study
78%
20%
2%Gender
Male
Female
Nonbinary
54%40%
2% 4% Employment
Employed
Unemployed
Retired/socialbenefits
Student andemployed
Mean age: 38 (range 18-60)
Lifetime and past year prevalence of use of psychoactive substances at baseline (N=50)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
InhalantsHome-made desomorphine
Synthetic cannabinoidsAntihistamines
Synthetic cathinonesOther hallucinogens
Street methadonDiverted medicinal methadone
NbomeKetamine
OpiumSedatives
Diverted medicinal buprenorphineLSD
CocaineStreet buprenorphine
VintMDMA/ecstasy
Psychotroic muscle relaxantsHeroin
Meth/apmhetamineAlcohol
Cannabis
% used
Last year use
Ever use
Proportion of respondents (%) reporting the use of particular drugs in the past 14 days. (Note – sum exceeds 100% due to use of multiple substances by individual participants).
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
Baselin
e
21-23 April
5-7 May
19-21 M
ay
2-4 June
16-18 Ju
ne
30 Jun -
2 Jul
14 - 16 J
ul
28 - 30 J
ul
11-13 Aug
25-27 Aug
8-10 Sep
t
22-24 Se
pt
Synthetic cathinones
Synthetic cannabinoids
Antihistamines
Sedatives
Psychotroic muscle relaxants
Inhalants
Other hallucinogens
LSD
Ketamine
Nbome
MDMA/ecstasy
Alcohol
Cannabis
Meth/apmhetamine
Vint
Cocaine
Diverted medicinal buprenorphine
Street buprenorphine
Diverted medicinal methadone
Street methadon
Opium
Sources of clean needles/syringes in the past 14 days
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Baseline 21-23April
5-7 May 19-21May
2-4 June 16-18June
30 Jun - 2Jul
14 - 16Jul
28 - 30Jul
11-13Aug
25-27Aug
8-10 Sept 22-24Sept
bought in a pharmacy and got from friend
bought in pharmacy and received from vendingmachinebought in a pharmacy and received from HRC
Other
Found a used syringe/needle on the street
Bought the drug in pre-filled syringe
Used my previously used needles/syringes
Got a used syringe/needle from a friend orpartnerGot it from a friend or partner
Received from a HR program social worker
Received for free from vending machine
Received for free in a pharmacy
Bought in a pharmacy
Perceived ease of access to harm reduction services (%).
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
7-9 April 21-23Ap ril
5-7 May 19-21May
2-4 June 16-18June
30 Ju n -2 Jul
14 - 16Jul
28 - 30Jul
11-13Au g
25-27Au g
8-10Sept
22-24Sept
Do not use HR
Became worse
Did not change
Became easier
2 014
1 055
360
873
3 072
3 268
250 863
332 419
281 904
240 001
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
January February March April May June July August September
HIV testing (PWID and partners) Syringes distributed
Monthly rates of HIV testing and distribution of sterile syringes to PWID in Georgia in January-September, 2020 (Source – GHRN program data)
Matanga online market
Technology for Matanga online market monitoring • Python with Selenium and Tor for scraping; Golang for export server
• Script is run on the first minute of each hour on a remote server
automatically
• Main assumptions: if a product disappeared from a listing or amount is
reduced – considered sold
• Gathered product data covers Tbilisi, Batumi, Kutaisi, and Anaklia
regions (every region in Georgia that is listed on Matanga)
Results of online market monitoringItem Daily average (min/max.) Total (6 months)
Listings 138 (118/142) 1,312
Vendors 40 (35/55) 124
Transactions 132 (35/882) 22,364
Revenue (USD) 27,083.76 (8,189.65/287,406.22) 4,577,155.05
• 19 types of substances sold• Smallest purchase – $ 1.5 USD• Largest purchase - $ 14,615.00 USD• Cannabis – 48.5% of sales values and 67.1% of transactions
0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000
Magic MushroomsDMT
Synthetic cannabinoidMorphine
Gabagamma**Amphetamine
KetamineMephedrone
NZT-52 ***Buprenorphine*
NBOMeLSD
Methamphetaminealpha-PVP
Heroin/SyretsMDMA/Ecstasy
MethadoneCocaine
Cannabis products
Revenue in USD
0 5000 10000 15000 20000
DMTMagic Mushrooms
Synthetic cannabinoidMorphineKetamine
AmphetamineNZT-52 ***
MephedroneGabagamma**
MethamphetamineBuprenorphine*
LSDHeroin/Syrets
alpha-PVPNBOMe
MethadoneMDMA/Ecstasy
CocaineCannabis products
Number of transactions
Monthly transactions for 10 main substances (cannabis excluded in the right)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Cannabis/Hashish
Nbome
Meth/amphetamine
Methadone
MDMA/Ecstasy
LSD
Heroin/Syrets
Cocaine
Buprenorphine
a-PVP
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Nbome
Meth/amphetamine
Methadone
MDMA/Ecstasy
LSD
Heroin/Syrets
Cocaine
Buprenorphine
a-PVP
Monthly revenues from 10 main substances (cannabis excluded in the right)
-
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Cannabis/Hashish
Nbome
Meth/amphetamine
Methadone
MDMA/Ecstasy
LSD
Heroin/Syrets
Cocaine
Buprenorphine
a-PVP
-
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Nbome
Meth/amphetamine
Methadone
MDMA/ecstasy
LSD
Heroin/Syrets
Cocaine
Buprenorphine
a-PVP
Changes in unit cost of substances offered on a Georgian segment of Matanga
0,0
200,0
400,0
600,0
800,0
1000,0
1200,0
a-PVP
Buprenorphine
Cannabis /Hash
ish
Cocaine
Heroin/Sy
rets LSD
Metha/m
phetami…
Methad
one
Nbome
MDMA/Ecstasy
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Conclusions• Availability of drugs declined• Many PWUD switch to alternative drugs• OAT medication diversion• PWUD would engage in risky behaviors (sharing; obtaining drugs in preloaded syringes),
but resort to safer practices as soon as access to sterile equipment was restored• Some PWUD would benefit as a result of a reduced drug use under the lockdown• Service innovations: mobile vans, self-testing technologies, vending machines, take-
home dosing• Drug market was able to function despite lockdown; adjustment strategies included new
places for dropoffs, home delivery, increased role of a middleman, interractions between PWUD networks, OAT medication diversion
• Mixed results on impact on price and quality