Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

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Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System Luc Fillion 1 Monique Tanguay 1 , Ervig Lapalme 1 , Mateusz Reszka 2 , Judy St-James 2 , Manon Lajoie 2 , Bin He 1 , Stephen Macpherson 1 , Paul Vaillancourt 1 , Alain Patoine 2 , Cécilien Charette 1 46 th CMOS Congress 26 th Conference on Weather & Forecasting 21 st Conference on NWP DAII: Data Assimilation Systems Session 1E1 Hyatt Regency Hotel, 1255 rue Jeanne Mance, Montréal, Qc, CAN. H5B1E5 Grand Salon B Tuesday, 29th May 2012, 17h-17h15. 1 Meteorological Research Division 2 Canadian Meteorological Center (Development)

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Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System. Luc Fillion 1 Monique Tanguay 1 , Ervig Lapalme 1 , Mateusz Reszka 2 , Judy St-James 2 , Manon Lajoie 2 , Bin He 1 , Stephen Macpherson 1 , Paul Vaillancourt 1 , Alain Patoine 2 , C é cilien Charette 1 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

Page 1: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System Luc Fillion1

Monique Tanguay1, Ervig Lapalme1, Mateusz Reszka2 , Judy St-James2 , Manon Lajoie2, Bin He1, Stephen Macpherson1, Paul Vaillancourt1 , Alain Patoine2, Cécilien Charette1

46th CMOS Congress26th Conference on Weather & Forecasting21st Conference on NWP

DAII: Data Assimilation SystemsSession 1E1Hyatt Regency Hotel, 1255 rue Jeanne Mance, Montréal, Qc, CAN. H5B1E5Grand Salon B Tuesday, 29th May 2012, 17h-17h15.

1 Meteorological Research Division2 Canadian Meteorological Center (Development)

Page 2: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

NL-Low/TL/AD 100-km grid (141x141)NL-High 15-km grid (649x672)NL-High 10-km grid (996x1028)

Page 3: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System
Page 4: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

REG-4D : 18 min/ 45 it = 24 sec/it Topologie = 2x(8x8x16)=2048

210 s 358 s289 s 281 s

Reduction 20%

GEM TL MPI

Prof1TL

ProfiTL

ProfNTL

3D-VarMPI

dxTL3D-Var MPI

Prof1AD

ProfiAD

ProfNAD

GEM AD MPI

dxAD

GEM TL MPI

3D-VarMPI

dxTL

3D-Var MPI

GEM AD MPI dxAD

ProfiTL Prof1

TL ProfNTL

Prof1AD

ProfiAD

ProfNAD

289 s 281 s 358 s

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Page 5 – 23-4-21

• Same observations assimilated as in the operational 3D-Var

• 15 min binning (45 min for the operational)

• 45 iterations (1 Loop)

4D-Var configuration

Page 6: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

Number of Assimilated Observations

3D (like ops) 4D (10km final)

amsua 31131 127078 (+308%)

amsub 5252 10846 (+107%)

aircraft 10152 35669 (+251%)

goes 1257 4976 (+296%)

pr 686 4102 (+498%)

sfc 4774 4712

sw 2924 6156 (+111%)

ua 13836 13600

airs 30628 32438 (+6%)

ssmis 1490 1451

sc 2202 2712 (+23%)

gps-ro 2798 2739

iasi 8317 9931 (+19%)

Total 115447 256410 (+122%)

3D (like ops) 4D (10km final)

amsua 31360 92486 (+195%)

amsub 6986 12866 (+84%)

aircraft 13554 65981 (+387%)

goes 921 3858 (+319%)

pr 596 3618 (+507%)

sfc 5051 4984

sw 4126 9548 (+131%)

ua 13208 13071

airs 12394 14120 (+14%)

ssmis 2129 2065

sc 2630 2728 (+4%)

gps-ro 4065 4032

iasi 14232 17974 (+26%)

Total 111252 247331 (+122%)

2011012012 2011051700

Page 7: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

48-h DIFF RMSE (m)GZ-250 hPa

Summer-2011

Blue: 33 km Driver is better

Verifications against G2 4D-Var Analyses

Page 8: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

48-h DIFF RMSE (m)GZ-500 hPa

Summer-2011

Blue: 33 km Driver is better

Verifications against G2 4D-Var Analyses

Page 9: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

WINTER-2011 40 cases48h ForecastNA+

15 km

Page 10: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

WINTER-2011 40 cases48h ForecastARCTIC

15 km

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WINTER-2011 40 cases48h ForecastCANADA

15 km

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SUMMER-2011 40 cases48h ForecastNA+

15 km

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SUMMER-2011 40 cases24h Forecast/CANADA

15 km

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SUMMER-2011 40 cases36h Forecast/CANADA

15 km

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SUMMER-2011 40 cases48h Forecast/CANADA

15 km

Page 16: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

48-h DIFF RMSE (m)GZ-500 hPa

Summer-2011

Blue: 4D-Var is better

Verifications against G2 4D-Var Analyses

15 km

Page 17: Impact of the 4D-Var Regional Analysis System on the new Canadian RDPS System

48-h DIFF RMSE (m)GZ-250 hPa

Summer-2011

Blue: 4D-Var is better

Verifications against G2 4D-Var Analyses

15 km

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48-h DIFF RMSE (m)GZ-500 hPa

Winter-2011

Blue: 4D-Var is better

Verifications against G2 4D-Var Analyses

15 km

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Summary and Conclusions

4D-Var component of RDPS_3.0.0:

– Clear improvements in UA scores for both seasons in most of troposphere (Major improvements over Canada and the Arctic)

– Optimized 4D-Var still can sustain significant increase in Nb. of Observations assimilated without affecting execution time

– Don’t Miss Alain Patoine’s talk on RDPS-10km/4D-Var

Wednesday 30th May 14h15, Session 2C3

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REG-4D-GLB 100 km, 400x200

REG-4D-LAM100 km, 104x104

REG-4D-LAM 100 km, 138x138

T= - 3 hr T= 3 hr

Cœur TL

Frontière NL