Immuno-epidemiology of coccidiosis Don Klinkenberg Maite Severins Hans Heesterbeek.
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Transcript of Immuno-epidemiology of coccidiosis Don Klinkenberg Maite Severins Hans Heesterbeek.
Immuno-epidemiology of coccidiosis
Don Klinkenberg
Maite Severins
Hans Heesterbeek
Coccidiosis
• Caused by Eimeria spp
• Protozoan
• Intestinal infection– sometimes lesions– main problem: production loss
• Seven species in chickens– location in the intestine– no cross-immunity
Parasite classification
• After lecture notes by Kretschmar (micro/macro):
Microparasite Macroparasite Eimeria
Parasite lifespan Short Long Short
Reproduction within host
Rapid None Rapid (but dose effect)
Transmission Direct Indirect Indirect
Infection events One Multiple Multiple
Immunity Complete Partial, slowly acquired
Accumulative, slowly acquired
Model type SIR type Parasite load ???
Essential characteristics
• Transmission through environment
• Dose-dependent infectivity
• Slowly acquired immune response– stronger upon re-infection– reduces parasite excretion
• Within-host dynamics!
This presentation
• Model of within-host dynamics– relation between uptake and excretion of
infectious material (oocysts)– interaction with immune system
• Model of between-host dynamics (I)– coupling excretion and uptake of oocysts– interaction chickens and environment
• Model of between-host dynamics (II)
Within-host model
• Eimeria characteristics:– transmission through oocysts– Eimeria parasitises gut epithelial cells– limited number of asexual generations
Eimeria cycle
Oocyst uptake (W)
Sporozoites
Schizont I (X(1))
Merozoites I (u(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Merozoites II (u(2))
Gamont
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Eimeria cycle
Oocyst uptake (W)
Schizont I (X(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Eimeria cycle
tt
tt
tt
XZ
XX
WaX
222
111
2
111
Oocyst uptake (W)
Schizont I (X(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Adding immunity
• Primarily T cell immunity
• Immunity evoked by schizonts
• Immunity inhibits schizont development
• Keeping the model simple: one immunity variable Y
Eimeria cycle with immunity
Oocyst uptake (W)
Schizont I (X(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Immunity (Y)+
+– –
Eimeria cycle with immunity
Oocyst uptake (W)
Schizont I (X(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Immunity (Y)
+
+
–
–
tt
tt
tt
XZ
XX
WaX
222
111
2
111
Eimeria cycle with immunity
Oocyst uptake (W)
Schizont I (X(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Immunity (Y)
+
+
–
–
tttt
ttt
ttt
tt
XXYgY
YfXZ
YfXX
WaX
211
222
111
2
111
,
Eimeria cycle with immunity
tttt
ttt
ttt
tt
XXYgY
YfXZ
YfXX
WaX
211
222
111
2
111
,
2121,
1
1
XXYYXXYg
YYf
m
Model summary
• Discrete time
• Two asexual schizont generations
• T cell immunity against schizont development
Model analysis
• Compare model experiments to data– relation single dose and excretion
• saturation followed by decrease
– excretion during trickle infections• excretion terminates after some time
– immunising effect of trickle and single immunisation
• trickle immunisation gives better protection
Single dose and excretion
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
0 2 4 6
Log(oocyst uptake)
Lo
g(o
oc
ys
t e
xc
reti
on
) E. tenella
Model analysis
• Model experiments– single dose and excretion
• relation between W0 and Z4
– trickle infections– trickle vs single immunisation
Analysis: single dose
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
0 2 4 6 logw 0
logz 4
l 1: logz 4=p 1+logw 0
l 2: logz 4=p 1+(1-m )logw 0-mp 2
l 1
l 2
mWa
WaZ
01
02114
1
Analysis: single dose
2 4 6 8
4
6
8E. tenella
Analysis: single dose
2 4 6 8
4
6
8E. acervulina
Analysis: single dose
2 4 6 8
4
6
8E. maxima
Model analysis
• Model experiments– single dose and excretion
• relation between W0 and Z4
• > 0 (naïve immunity growth)• m ≠ 1 (non-linear immune effectiveness)
– trickle infections & immunisation• conclusions on and
Conclusions within-host model
• Simple model of parasite input-output behaviour
• Single immunity variable can explain experimental data
• Solid basis for studying re-infection and between-host transmission
Between-host model
• Relate excretion to uptake with oocyst level in environment V
• Simplifying assumption: average chicken
Eimeria cycle
Oocyst uptake (W)
Schizont I (X(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Immunity (Y)+
+– –
Eimeria cycle
× a0
Oocyst uptake (W)
Schizont I (X(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Gamont (G)
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Immunity (Y)+
+– –
Environmental oocysts (V)
× a1
× 1× 2
× 1
× 1
inside the chickens
outside the chickens
Two new parameters
• Per time step of ca. 2 days
• Uptake rate a0
– estimate from a single experiment: 0.01
• Oocyst degradation rate– estimate from couple of articles: 0.5
Interesting variables
• Oocyst level in environment– decrease due to degradation (+ uptake)– increase due to excretion
• Immunity level in average chicken– increase due to presence of schizonts– decrease by fixed rate
• Number of infected cells as measure of damage– numbers of schizonts and gamonts
Basic dynamics
× a0
Oocyst uptake (W)
Schizont I (X(1))
Schizont II (X(2))
Gamont (G)
Oocyst excretion (Z)
Immunity (Y)+
+– –
Environmental oocysts (V)
× a1
× 1× 2
× 1
× 1
inside the chickens
outside the chickens
0
1
2
3
4
5
5
3
2
Dynamics in single chicken cohort
• First dose of each infection generation most important– major change compared to previous dose– fast decay of oocysts in environment
• Dynamics can be described in terms of infection generations
Damage in single chicken cohort
• Cumulative damage ≈ maximum damage
7.5 5 2.5 2.5 5 7.5 10
456789
1011
logv0
logdmax
Conclusion on damage
• Production damage is reflected by the maximum number of infected cells
• Damage may take local minimum with intermediate oocyst level V0
• Mechanism – maximum damage if a single infection
generation dominates– minimum when generation dominance
switches
Damage in single chicken cohort
• Cumulative damage ≈ maximum damage
7.5 5 2.5 2.5 5 7.5 10
456789
1011
logv0
logdmax
1234
gamonts
schizonts II
Discussion of the model
• Single ‘average’ chicken
• Deterministic model
• No spatial effects
Different approach
• Individual chickens
• Stochastic model
• Spatial model
• Cost:– No continuous infection/immune level
Individual based model
• Patches interact with walking chickens
• Patches– oocyst level empty, low, medium, high (0; 103;
105; 107)– level rises if chicken excretes higher level– level falls after 14 days without excretion
Individual based model
• Chickens– walk or ‘shuffle’ each hour– pick up maximum daily exposure (0, 101; 3; 5)– excrete once per day depending on
• uptake -4 days• level of immunity (no, partial, full)• regulated by excretion templates
– immunity level may increase depending on• time since first dose• number and level of doses
Example: fit to data (Galmes)
0
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
oo
cy
sts
x1
0^
31000x2020000controlmodel 1000x20model 100000model control
“damage” related to initial level
High oocyst excretion
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
% initial contamination
mea
n #
exc
reti
on
s/ch
ick
walk
shuffle
Local minimum
• Mechanism?– High excretion due to serial medium doses
• medium doses require serial low doses
– If initial level is• high: early excretion of many medium, so serial
medium doses before immunity• intermediate: early exposure for start-up immunity,
but less serial medium exposure• low: many chicks are not immune while others
already shed medium doses
More generalized mechanism for local minimum damage
• Low initial level: exposure of naive chickens to large oocyst quantities excreted by first infection generation
• Intermediate initial level: immunity builds up before large oocyst quantities are available
• High initial level: large oocyst quantities available before immunity is reached
• However: relation to level of mixing yet unclear
Our coccidiosis modellers
• Deterministic continuous model– Don Klinkenberg, Hans Heesterbeek
• Stochastic discrete model– Maite Severins, DK, HH
• Stochastic continuous model (not shown)– Andriy Rychahivskyy, DK, HH