Imminent DEATH from SCADA New Product Introduction

05/01/2023

Imminent DEATH from SCADA: New Product

0-3months

5-30years

3months-years

5

What Visibility into Asset Failure Do You Want?

…But the needs are here!

Use lifing models to assess financial risk. Compare suppliers &

get the right configuration into your asset.

Rolling forecast on RUL of assets.Life extension solutions & Buy on

Life, not just price.

Execute on Remaining Useful Life (RUL)

Visibility 2 Visibility 1Visibility 3

Most Wind Operators focus here…

05/01/2023Imminent DEATH from SCADA: New Product

Visibility 1 Pro-Active vs. Reactive

0 mos+3 mos

Machine FailureFailure Detection

This was THEN…

Reactive Maintenance

Pro-activeMaintenance

0-3months


Visibility 1


LIFE & DEATH

05/01/2023

0 mos+3 mos

Machine Failure

Failure Detection

Pro-active Maintenance

Failure Start

LIFE Extension Imminent DEATH!

This is NOW…

Reactive Maintenance

0-3months

5-30years

3months-years

5Visibility 2 Visibility 1Visibility 3


Sentient Science PedigreeMission: To be the leading asset life extension, asset planning, and component Buy on Life™ solution provider for rotating equipment

Extend the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) through Prognostics


How We Apply Material Science to V2 and V3?

05/01/2023


Risk Managers

Asset Managers

Operations Managers

Visibility 2

Engineering, Logistics, Manufacturing, Purchasing & Sales – Buy on DeathTM

Monitoring – Remaining Life – Monitor on DeathTM

Maintainers – Maintain on DeathTM

Asset Managers – Life Extension & Budget, Plan,

Forecast on LifeTM Source on LifeTM

Buy on LifeTM

Development – M&A – Buy on LifeTM

Risk Managers - CEO, CFO, CRO – Insure On LifeTM,

Warranty of LifeTM

Visibility 1Visibility 3

We Roll up Fleet Risk

Site 1

Site 2

Site 3

Site 4

Site 5

Site 6

Site 7

Site 8

Fleet 1

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We Rank Individual Turbine Risk

SITE 1

SITE 2

FLEET 1

Imminent DEATH from SCADA: New Product05/01/2023

We Identify Highest Risk Components by Turbine

05/01/2023


We tell you component failure risk…

What do you do NEXT?

05/01/2023


What is in the Market Today…for Quantifying Risk of Failure

• Actuarial Modeling

• DigitalClone® Live

• CMS• Oil Particle• Etc.

• Borescope /• Visual Inspection

• SCADA Outlier• SCADA Non-

parametric model

• FEA approaches + Physical test

• Historical Weibulls• DigitalClone® Live

05/01/2023


“V1”“V2”“V3”

SCADA OnlySolutions

People OnlySolutions

Sensors

Physics ModelsBearing Play

Pros and Cons of “V1” Technologies

The problem with the current V1 solutions… cost & accuracy causing false alarms / detection shortfalls


Technical Approach Pros Cons

Sensor • Can detect sub-component issues

• High Cost of deployment• Narrow component coverage• Expertise to interpret

People • Subject matter expertise • High Cost per climb• Expertise not Scalable

SCADA • Lower cost• Large component coverage

• False Positives• Limited sub-component detection

Physics Model • Accuracy (Ground Truth Model) • Millions of dollars per model • Availability of tests rigs • Outside of military budgets, not

commercial feasible

OEMs not structured / Incentivized to give Operators future predictions…

they operate in V1

What are Our Customers Are Telling Us

05/01/2023


• Using “Big Data” to look for Needle in Haystack not working…

• With Sentient Prognostics we already know the component(s) that will fail – i.e. the needle location…don’t need to look through the haystack

• A second opinion confirming the prediction without going up-tower to establish work orders and logistics

• They want products developed with and for the operator

0-3months

Visibility 1

Using SCADA Data Can be Effective…

• Big Data Approach… • Too many false positives…

OK for Airlines, not OK for Wind

• Lower false positives, but targeted

Non- Parametric Modeling Outlier Detection / Targeted algorithms

When you know the failure mode

When false positives are OK, Or don’t have any

knowledge of failure modes

Set Threshold

s

Gather Historical

Data

Train Model to create baseline under multiple

operation conditions

Evaluate Failure (RCA)

Identify parameters

are influenced

Set Threshold

s


The Merging of all Three Visibilities


Fusing Material Science Models with Targeted SCADA Algorithms

Sentient’s Strategy: A single solution for V1, V2, V3

HSS Bearing2

SCAD

A

1. Combines Sentient Material Models + Operational SCADA Data and Analytics for a comprehensive solution

2. No additional hardware, no additional sensors required 3. A second opinion for components already defined to

be approaching failure from DigitalClone Live material-based models

4. Includes full turbine operational reporting (asset condition, data analytics, events management & notification, business intelligence, etc.)

5. Priced in the $300-500/MW range per turbine6. Available for demonstration March 2016

Introducing DigitalClone® Live for Imminent DEATH

05/01/2023


What Visibility into Asset Failure Do You Want?


DigitalClone® Live

0-3months

5-30years

3months-years

5

Use lifing models to assess financial risk. Compare suppliers &

get the right configuration into your asset.

Rolling forecast on RUL of assets.Life extension solutions & Buy on

Life, not just price.


Visibility 2 Visibility 1Visibility 3

Imminent DEATH from SCADA New Product Introduction

Engineering

Transcript of Imminent DEATH from SCADA New Product Introduction