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Image: from2015 / Getty Images / iStockphoto Monte Carlo 2018 Excel. Grow. Invent. Monte Carlo | 9 September 2018 Torsten Jeworrek & Stefan Golling

Transcript of Image: from2015 / Getty Images / iStockphoto · 9/9/2018  · Asia Pacific €56bn 24% 5% 3% 7% 6%...

Page 1: Image: from2015 / Getty Images / iStockphoto · 9/9/2018  · Asia Pacific €56bn 24% 5% 3% 7% 6% Latin America €15bn 7% 4% 3% 4% ... Internet access and highly connected systems

Image: from2015 / Getty Images / iStockphoto

Monte Carlo 2018

Excel. Grow. Invent.

Monte Carlo | 9 September 2018

Torsten Jeworrek & Stefan Golling

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Munich Re’s cyber

strategy

Stefan Golling

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 2

Global Reinsurance

landscape

Torsten Jeworrek

Agenda

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3% 2% 3% 3%Total ~€227bn 100%

Source: Munich Re Economic Research

RI PI

Europe €73bn 33% 1% 2% 0.5% 2%

10–17 18–20 10–17 18–20

North America €71bn 31% 3% 2% 2% 2%

Asia Pacific €56bn 24% 5% 3% 7% 6%

Latin America €15bn 7% 4% 3% 4% 4%

Africa/Middle East €12bn 5% 2% 3% 3% 4%

P-C RI and PI real growth rates (CAGR)P-C RI: Ceded premiums 2017

Global premium development from 2010–2017/2018e–2020e

Moderate reinsurance premium growth expected until 2020,

rates roughly in line with primary insurance premium growth

Global reinsurance landscape

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 3

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Traditional market Capital base of the reinsurance industry stable overall over the

last 3 years

Many reinsurers use dividend payments and share buy-backs to

manage their capital more actively

Non-traditional capacity/Alternative Risk Transfer

(“ART”) Liquid/traded product (Cat Bonds/ILWs) continues to be

outgrown by traditional “ART” formats (Collateralized Re, RI

quota shares)

Total capital growing by ~10%1 to 95 bn USD (Q1 2018)

Institutional investors with investment cases in Florida/U.S. East

Coast Nat Cat and retro markets; little impact on RI outside

those sub markets

We continue to utilize this capacity source for capital

management

0

100

200

300

400

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E

Source: AM Best, Guy Carpenter, Aon Benfield, Munich Re1 YoY Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Traditional RI capital in US$ bn

Dedicated reinsurance capital Trends

Traditional reinsurance market showing moderate growthNon-traditional capacity focusing on competitive sub markets and primary insurance

Global reinsurance landscape

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 4

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Data-driven

solutionsExpanding the

boundaries of

insurability

Risk

Solutions

Reshuffling

the value

chain

Trends

Digital transformation offers new opportunities for reinsurers

Effectively serving our clients and strengthening

the business model

Traditional Reinsurance

Reinforcing underlying

profitability and growth

Risk Solutions

Building a diversified profit base

New strategic options

Traditional Reinsurance

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 5

Global reinsurance landscape

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http://bwcio.businessworld.in/article/125-Billion-Connected-IoT-Devices-by-2030/26-10-2017-129552/

Digital revolution bears a hyper-connected world

27bn

2017

Smart

Data

Big Data

Virtual

Assistants

Artificial

Intelligence

Self-learning

Machines

5G

Biometrics

Cloud

Computing

Man-Machine

Collaboration

Robotics

Digital

EcosystemsSmart

Cities

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 6

125bn

2030

Global reinsurance landscape

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http://bwcio.businessworld.in/article/125-Billion-Connected-IoT-Devices-by-2030/26-10-2017-129552/

http://pardee.du.edu/sites/default/files/Cyber%20Risk%20Pardee%20Extended%20Report..pdf

http://publications.atlanticcouncil.org/cyberrisks//

Cyber risks constitute one of the greatest threats we face

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 7

Low

High

Data in secure

business systems

Internet access and

highly connected

systems

Access anywhere

and anytime

Smart data every-

where and intelligent

systems

Now2000s 2010 – 20141990s 2030

Hackers

Malware

Cyber crime

Data breach

Identity theft

Cyber warfare

Insecure codes

Cyber terrorism

Network attacks

Critical infrastructure attacks

Foreign state sponsoredcyber espionage

Global reinsurance landscape

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09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 8

Agenda

Munich Re’s cyber

strategy

Stefan Golling

Global Reinsurance

landscape

Torsten Jeworrek

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Strong correlation with cyber security market,

however overall share uncertain

Higher awareness of cyber risks/claims reporting will drive

demand for insurance solutions

GDPR implementation in Europe

Munich Re serves all client segments via Reinsurance

and Primary Insurance carriers

Well established player in US and RoW

Munich Re aims to keep 10% market share

in the growing cyber market

1 Estimates based on different external sources (Marsh & McLennan, Barbican Insurance, Allianz).

Cyber is one of Munich Re’s main strategic growth areas,

therefore we further invest in leading-edge expertise and strong global market presence.

0

5

10

15

20

25

2015 2016 2017 2020 2025

RoW US

0

100

200

300

400

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

PI RI

GWP global cyber insurance market1

in US$ bn

GWP Munich Re cyber portfolio

in US$ m

Cyber insurance market with strong expected growthMunich Re – Cyber reinsurer of the year 2017 and 2018

Munich Re’s cyber strategy

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 9

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~ $ 71,644

~ $ 34,327

Smaller companies

Larger companies

Average costs of the most expensive attack

in 2016 in USA, UK and Germany

Smaller companies An easy prey

Munich Re’s cyber strategy

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 10Source: The-Hiscox-Cyber-Readiness-Report-2017

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Bundling of risk transfer and services

Munich Re’s cyber strategy

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 11

Primary InsuranceBespoke and transactional

Traditional ReinsuranceFocus on proportional participations

Traditional Risk Taking Approach Comprehensive Service Model

CrisisManagement

PublicRelations

Identity-protection and

-recovery

Forensics

CyberExtortion

ITForensics

FirstNotification

of Loss (Call Center)

ClaimsHandling

DataForensics

incl.Accounting

(Public)Notification

CrisisConsulting

LegalConsulting

INSURANCE

Claims

Enquiry

Risk

AssessmentCoverage

Pricing

support

Accumulation

Control

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Transparency – Do we write cyber?

Almost every conventional non-life policy

can be exposed to cyber risk

Silent Cyber exposure is potentially significant,

but it presents also a nearly untapped area of business

opportunities

Action required

Achieve transparency of the inherent exposure

Turn the silent coverage into at least non-silent or even

better affirmative coverage

Risk assessment and pricing

Accumulation control

Our biggest risk is the “strategic risk

not to find any insurance solution for cyber”.

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 12

Accumulation

Virus &

Malware

Data

breach

IT Service

provider outage

Outage of

external networks

State of the art risk management as true business enabler

Munich Re’s cyber strategy

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We bring well-established experience

to the table with experts who can

operate in all industries and

organisations, from large corporates,

to SMEs, and personal lines

We continuously monitor changes to

the cyber environment, seek to

improve our understanding of the

risk, and then adapt our cyber

products to ensure we remain

relevant to our customers

We are actively identifying and

developing cyber initiatives to

improve our customers’ experience

and enhance underwriting

Experience and Expertise Continuous Improvement Innovation

Munich Re‘s value addWhere can we support?

Munich Re’s cyber strategy

09 September 2018Monte Carlo 2018 13

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Thank you for your attention!

Monte Carlo | 9 September 2018

Torsten Jeworrek & Stefan Golling

Image: from2015 / Getty Images / iStockphoto