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2 1 EFFECTS IN DIFFERENT SITUATIONS
not jokes were funny), and were asked to evaluate their
performance on these tasks relative to the rest of the
group, enabling a direct comparison of their actual and
perceived performance.[8]
Results were divided into four groups depending on actual
performance and it was found that all four groups eval-uated their performance as above average, meaning that
the lowest-scoring group (the bottom 25%) showed a very
large illusory superiority bias. The researchers attributed
this to the fact that the individuals who were worst at per-
forming the tasks were also worst at recognizing skill in
those tasks. This was supported by the fact that, given
training, the worst subjects improved their estimate of
their rank as well as getting better at the tasks.[8]
The paper, titled “Unskilled and Unaware of It: How
Difficulties in Recognizing One’s Own Incompetence
Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments,” won a 2000 Ig No-
bel Prize.
[9]
In 2003 Dunning and Joyce Ehrlinger, also of Cornell
University, published a study that detailed a shift in peo-
ple’s views of themselves influenced by external cues.
Participants in the study (Cornell University undergrad-
uates) were given tests of their knowledge of geography,
some intended to positively affect their self-views, some
intended to affect them negatively. They were then asked
to rate their performance, and those given the positive
tests reported significantly better performance than those
given the negative.[10]
Daniel Ames and Lara Kammrath extended this work
to sensitivity to others, and the subjects’ perception ofhow sensitive they were.[11] Work by Burson Larrick and
Joshua Klayman has suggested that the effect is not so
obvious and may be due to noise and bias levels.[12]
Dunning, Kruger, and coauthors’ latest paper on this sub-
ject comes to qualitatively similar conclusions after mak-
ing some attempt to test alternative explanations.[13]
1.1.4 Academic ability and job performance
In a survey of faculty at the University of Nebraska, 68%
rated themselves in the top 25% for teaching ability.[14]
In a similar survey, 87% of MBA students at Stanford
University rated their academic performance as above the
median.[15]
Findings of illusory superiority in research have also ex-
plained phenomena such as the large amount of stock
market trading (as each trader thinks they are the best,
and most likely to succeed),[16] and the number of law-
suits that go to trial (because, due to illusory superiority,many lawyers have an inflated belief that they will win a
case).[17]
1.2 Self, friends and peers
One of the first studies that found the effect of illusory
superiority was carried out in 1976 by the College Board
in the USA.[18] A survey was attached to the SAT exams
(taken by approximately one million students per year),
asking the students to rate themselves relative to the me-dian of the sample (rather than the average peer) on a
number of vague positive characteristics. In ratings of
leadership ability, 70% of the students put themselves
above the median. In ability to get on well with others,
85% put themselves above the median, and 25% rated
themselves in the top 1%.
More recent research[19] has found illusory superiority in
a social context, with participants comparing themselves
to friends and other peers on positive characteristics (such
as punctuality and sensitivity) and negative characteristics
(such as naivety or inconsistency). This study found that
participants rated themselves more favorably than theirfriends, but rated their friends more favorably than other
peers. These findings were, however, affected by several
moderating factors.
Research by Perloff and Fetzer,[20] Brown,[21] and Tajfel
and Turner[22] also found similar effects of participants
rating friends higher than other peers. Tajfel and Turner
attributed this to an “ingroup bias” and suggested that this
was motivated by the individual’s desire for a “positive
social identity”.
1.2.1 Popularity
In Zuckerman and Jost’s study, participants were given
detailed questionnaires about their friendships and asked
to assess their own popularity. By using social network
analysis, they were able to show that the participants gen-
erally had exaggerated perceptions of their own popular-
ity, particularly in comparison to their own friends.[23]
1.2.2 Relationship happiness
Researchers have also found the effects of illusory supe-
riority in studies into relationship satisfaction. For exam-
ple, one study found that participants perceived their own
relationships as better than others’ relationships on aver-
age, but thought that the majority of people were happy
with their relationships. Also, this study found evidence
that the higher the participants rated their own relation-
ship happiness, the more superior they believed their re-
lationship was. The illusory superiority exhibited by the
participants in this study also served to increase their own
relationship satisfaction, as it was found that – in men es-
pecially – satisfaction was particularly related to the per-
ception that one’s own relationship was superior as well
as to the assumption that few others were unhappy withtheir relationship, whereas women’s satisfaction was par-
ticularly related to the assumption that most others were
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3
happy with their relationship.[24] One study found that
participants became defensive when their spouse/partner
were perceived by others to be more successful in any as-
pect of their life, and had the tendency to exaggerate their
success and understate their spouse/partner’s success.
1.3 Health
Illusory superiority effects have been found in a self-
report study of health behaviors (Hoorens & Harris,
1998). The study involved asking participants to esti-
mate how often they, and their peers, carried out healthy
and unhealthy behaviors. Participants reported that they
carried out healthy behaviors more often than the aver-
age peer, and unhealthy behaviors less often, as would be
expected given the effect of illusory superiority. These
findings were for both past self-report of behaviors and
expected future behaviors.[25]
1.4 Driving ability
Svenson (1981) surveyed 161 students in Sweden and the
United States, asking them to compare their driving safety
and skill to the other people in the experiment. For driv-
ing skill, 93% of the US sample and 69% of the Swedish
sample put themselves in the top 50% (above the me-
dian). For safety, 88% of the US group and 77% of the
Swedish sample put themselves in the top 50%.[26]
McCormick, Walkey and Green (1986) found similar re-sults in their study, asking 178 participants to evaluate
their position on eight different dimensions relating to
driving skill (examples include the “dangerous-safe” di-
mension and the “considerate-inconsiderate” dimension).
Only a small minority rated themselves as below aver-
age (the midpoint of the dimension scale) at any point,
and when all eight dimensions were considered together
it was found that almost 80% of participants had evalu-
ated themselves as being above the average driver.[27]
A survey by Princeton Survey Research Associates
showed that 36% of drivers believe they are an above av-
erage driver while using a phone for things like textingor email compared to other drivers who are using their
phones for things like texting or email, while 44% con-
sidered themselves average, and 18% below average.[28]
1.5 Immunity to bias
Main article: Bias blind spot
Subjects describe themselves in positive terms compared
to other people, and this includes describing themselves
as less susceptible to bias than other people. This effectis called the bias blind spot and has been demonstrated
independently.
2 Cultural differences
A vast majority of the literature on illusory superior-
ity originates from studies on participants in the United
States. However, research that only investigates the ef-
fects in one specific population is severely limited as this
may not be a true representation of human psychology as
a whole. As a result, more recent research has focused
on investigating quantities and qualities of self-esteem
around the globe. The findings of such studies suggest
that illusory superiority varies between cultures.[29]
3 Self-esteem
Main article: Self-esteem
While a great deal of evidence suggests that we com-pare ourselves favorably to others on a wide variety of
traits, the links to self-esteem are uncertain. The theory
that those with high self-esteem maintain this high level
by rating themselves over and above others does carry
some evidence behind it; it has been reported that non-
depressed subjects rate their control over positive out-
comes higher than that of a peer; despite an identical level
in performance between the two individuals.[30]
Furthermore, it has been found that non-depressed stu-
dents will also actively rate peers below themselves, as
opposed to rating themselves higher; students were able
to recalla great deal more negative personality traits aboutothers than about themselves.[31]
It should be noted though, that in these studies there was
no distinction made between people with legitimate and
illegitimate high self-esteem, as other studies have found
that absence of positive illusions may coexist with high
self-esteem[32] and that self-determined individuals with
personality oriented towards growth and learning are less
prone to these illusions.[33] Thus it may be likely that
while illusory superiority is associated with illegitimate
high self-esteem, people with legitimate high self-esteem
don't exhibit it.
4 Relation to mental health
Main article: Depressive realism
Psychology has traditionally assumed that generally ac-
curate self-perceptions are essential to good mental
health.[3] This was challenged by a 1988 paper by Taylor
and Brown, who argued that mentally healthy individuals
typically manifest three cognitive illusions, namely illu-
sory superiority, illusion of control and optimism bias.[3]
This idea rapidly became very influential, with some au-
thorities concluding that it would be therapeutic to de-
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4 6 EXPLANATIONS
liberately induce these biases.[34] Since then, further re-
search has both undermined that conclusion and offered
new evidence associating illusory superiority with nega-
tive effects on the individual.[3]
One line of argument was that in the Taylor and Brown
paper, the classification of people as mentally healthyor unhealthy was based on self-reports rather than ob-
jective criteria.[34] Hence it was not surprising that peo-
ple prone to self-enhancement would exaggerate how
well-adjusted they are. One study claimed that “men-
tally normal” groups were contaminated by defensive de-
niers who are the most subject to positive illusions.[34]
A longitudinal study found that self-enhancement biases
were associated with poor social skills and psycholog-
ical maladjustment.[3] In a separate experiment where
videotaped conversations between men and women were
rated by independent observers, self-enhancing individ-
uals were more likely to show socially problematic be-
haviors such as hostility or irritability.[3] A 2007 studyfound that self-enhancement biases were associated with
psychological benefits (such as subjective well-being) but
also inter- and intra-personal costs (such as anti-social
behavior).[35]
5 Neuroimaging
The degree to which people view themselves as more de-
sirable than the average person links to reduced activation
in their orbitofrontal cortex and dorsal anterior cingulatecortex. This is suggested to link to the role of these areas
in processing “cognitive control”.[36]
6 Explanations
6.1 Noisy mental information processing
A recent Psychological Bulletin suggests that illusory su-
periority (as well as other biases) can be explained by a
simple information-theoretic generative mechanism that
assumes a noisy conversion of objective evidence (ob-
servation) into subjective estimates (judgment).[37] The
study suggests that the underlying cognitive mechanism is
essentially similar to the noisy mixing of memories that
can cause the conservatism bias or overconfidence: after
our own performance, we readjust our estimates of our
own performance more than we readjust our estimates of
others’ performances. This implies that our estimates of
the scores of others are even more conservative (more in-
fluenced by the previous expectation) than our estimates
of our own performance (more influenced by the new ev-
idence received after giving the test). The difference in
the conservative bias of both estimates (conservative es-timate of our own performance, and even more conser-
vative estimate of the performance of others) is enough
to create illusory superiority. Since mental noise is a suf-
ficient explanation that is much simpler and straightfor-
ward than any other explanation involving heuristics, be-
havior, or social interaction,[18] Occam’s razor would ar-
gue in its favor as the underlying generative mechanism
(it is the hypothesis which makes the fewest assumptions).
6.2 Selective recruitment
This is the idea that, when making a comparison with a
peer, an individual will select their own strengths and the
other’s weaknesses in order that they appear better on the
whole. This theory was first tested by Weinstein (1980);
however, this was in an experiment relating to optimistic
bias, rather than the better-than-average effect. The study
involved participants rating certain behaviors as likely to
increase or decrease the chance of a series of life events
happening to them. It was found that individuals showedless optimistic bias when they were allowed to see others’
answers.[38]
Perloff and Fetzer (1986) suggested that, when compar-
ing themselves to an average peer on a particular ability
or characteristic, an individual would choose a compari-
son target (the peer being compared) that scored less well
on that ability or characteristic, in order that the individ-
ual would appear to be better than average. To test this
theory, Perloff and Fetzer asked participants to compare
themselves to specific comparison targets (a close friend),
and found that illusory superiority decreased when spe-
cific targets were given, rather than vague constructs suchas the “average peer”. However these results are not com-
pletely reliable and could be affected by the fact that in-
dividuals like their close friends more than an “average
peer” and may as a result rate their friend as being higher
than average, therefore the friend would not be an objec-
tive comparison target.[20]
6.3 Egocentrism
Main article: Egocentrism
The second explanation for how the better-than-average
effect works is egocentrism. This is the idea that an in-
dividual places greater importance and significance on
their own abilities, characteristics, and behaviors than
those of others. Egocentrism is therefore a less overtly
self-serving bias. According to egocentrism, individuals
will overestimate themselves in relation to others because
they believe that they have an advantage that others do
not have, as an individual considering their own perfor-
mance and another’s performance will consider their per-
formance to be better, even when they are in fact equal.
Kruger (1999) found support for the egocentrism expla-
nation in his research involving participant ratings of theirability on easy and difficult tasks. It was found that indi-
viduals were consistent in their ratings of themselves as
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6.6 Better-than-average heuristic 5
above the median in the tasks classified as “easy” and be-
low the median in the tasks classified as “difficult”, re-
gardless of their actual ability. In this experiment the
better-than-average effect was observed when it was sug-
gested to participants that they would be successful, but
also a worse-than-average effect was found when it was
suggested that participants would be unsuccessful.[39]
6.4 Focalism
Main article: Focalism
The third explanation for the better-than-average effect
is focalism, the idea that greater significance is placed
on the object that is the focus of attention. Most studies
of the better-than-average effect place greater focus on
the self when asking participants to make comparisons
(the question will often be phrased with the self being
presented before the comparison target – e.g. “compare
yourself to the average person...”). According to focalism
this means that the individual will place greater signifi-
cance on their own ability or characteristic than that of
the comparison target. This also means that in theory if,
in an experiment on the better-than-average effect, the
questions were phrased so that the self and other were
switched (e.g. “compare the average peer to yourself”)
the better-than-average effect should be lessened.[40]
Research into focalism has focused primarily on opti-
mistic bias rather than the better-than-average effect.
However, two studies found a decreased effect of opti-
mistic bias when participants were asked to compare an
average peer to themselves, rather than themselves to an
average peer.[41][42]
Windschitl, Kruger & Simms (2003) have conducted re-
search into focalism, focusing specifically on the better-
than-average effect, and found that asking participants to
estimate their ability and likelihood of success in a task
produced results of decreased estimations when they were
asked about others’ chances of success rather than their
own.[43]
6.5 “Self versus aggregate” comparisons
This idea, put forward by Giladi and Klar, suggests that
when making comparisons any single member of a group
will tend to evaluate themselves to rank above that group’s
statistical mean performance level or the median perfor-
mance level of its members – for example, if an individ-
ual is asked to assess his or her own skill at driving com-
pared to the rest of the group, he or she is likely to rate
him/herself as an above-average driver. Furthermore, the
majority of the group is likely to rate themselves as above-
average. Research has found this effect in many differ-ent areas of human performance and has even generalized
it beyond individuals’ attempts to draw comparisons in-
volving themselves.[44] Findings of this research therefore
suggest that rather than individuals evaluating themselves
as above average in a self-serving manner, the better-
than-average effect is actually due to a general tendency
to evaluate any single person or object as better than av-
erage.
6.6 Better-than-average heuristic
Alicke and Govorun proposed the idea that, rather than
individuals consciously reviewing and thinking about
their own abilities, behaviors and characteristics and
comparing them to those of others, it is likely that peo-
ple instead have what they describe as an “automatic ten-
dency to assimilate positively-evaluated social objects to-
ward ideal trait conceptions”.[18] For example, if an in-
dividual evaluated themselves as honest, they would be
likely to then exaggerate their characteristic towards theirperceived ideal position on a scale of honesty. Impor-
tantly, Alicke has noted that this ideal position is not al-
ways the top of the scale, for example, in the case of hon-
esty, someone who is always brutally honest may be re-
garded as rude. Instead, the ideal is a balance perceived
differently by different individuals.
6.7 Non-social explanations
The better-than-average effect may not have wholly so-
cial origins: judgements about inanimate objects suffer
similar distortions.[44]
7 Moderating factors
While illusory superiority has been found to be somewhat
self-serving, this does not mean that it will predictably
occur: it is not constant. Instead the strength of the ef-
fect is moderated by many factors, the main examples
of which have been summarized by Alicke and Govorun
(2005).[18]
7.1 Interpretability/ambiguity of trait
This is a phenomenon that Alicke and Govorun have de-
scribed as “the nature of the judgement dimension” and
refers to how subjective (abstract) or objective (concrete)
the ability or characteristic being evaluated is.[18] Re-
search by Sedikides & Strube (1997) has found that peo-
ple are more self-serving (the effect of illusory superior-
ity is stronger) when the event in question is more open
to interpretation,[45] for example social constructs such
as popularity and attractiveness are more interpretable
than characteristics such as intelligence and physicalability.[46] This has been partly attributed also to the need
for a believable self-view.[47]
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6 7 MODERATING FACTORS
The idea that ambiguity moderates illusory superiority
has empirical research support from a study involving two
conditions: in one, participants were given criteria for as-
sessing a trait as ambiguous or unambiguous, and in the
other participants were free to assess the traits according
to their own criteria. It was found that the effect of illu-
sory superiority was greater in the condition where par-ticipants were free to assess the traits.[48]
The effects of illusory superiority have also been found
to be strongest when people rate themselves on abilities at
which they are totally incompetent. These subjects have
the greatest disparity between their actual performance
(at the low end of the distribution) and their self-rating
(placing themselves above average). This Dunning–
Kruger effect is interpreted as a lack of metacognitive
ability to recognize their own incompetence.[8]
7.2 Method of comparison
The method used in research into illusory superiority has
been found to have an implication on the strength of the
effect found. Most studies into illusory superiority in-
volve a comparison between an individual and an aver-
age peer, of which there are two methods: direct com-
parison and indirect comparison. A direct comparison
– which is more commonly used – involves the partici-
pant rating themselves and the average peer on the same
scale, from “below average” to “above average”[49] and
results in participants being far more self-serving.[50] Re-
searchers have suggested that this occurs due to the closercomparison between the individual and the average peer,
however use of this method means that it is impossible
to know whether a participant has overestimated them-
selves, underestimated the average peer, or both.
The indirect method of comparison involves participants
rating themselves and the average peer on separate scales
and the illusory superiority effect is found by taking the
average peer score away from the individual’s score (with
a higher score indicating a greater effect). While the in-
direct comparison method is used less often it is more
informative in terms of whether participants have overes-
timated themselves or underestimated the average peer,and can therefore provide more information about the na-
ture of illusory superiority.[49]
7.3 Comparison target
The nature of the comparison target is one of the most
fundamental moderating factors of the effect of illusory
superiority, and there are two main issues relating to the
comparison target that need to be considered.
First, research into illusory superiority is distinct in terms
of the comparison target because an individual comparesthemselves with a hypothetical average peer rather than
a tangible person. Alicke et al. (1995) found that the ef-
fect of illusory superiority was still present but was signif-
icantly reduced when participants compared themselves
with real people (also participants in the experiment, who
were seated in the same room), as opposed to when par-
ticipants compared themselves with an average peer. This
suggests that research into illusory superiority may itself
be biasing results and finding a greater effect than wouldactually occur in real life.[49]
Further research into the differences between compari-
son targets involved four conditions where participants
were at varying proximity to an interview with the com-
parison target: watching live in the same room; watching
on tape; reading a written transcript; or making self-other
comparisons with an average peer. It was found that when
the participant was further removed from the interview
situation (in the tape observation and transcript condi-
tions) the effect of illusory superiority was found to be
greater. Researchers asserted that these findings suggest
that the effect of illusory superiority is reduced by twomain factors, individuation of the target and live contact
with the target.
Second, Alicke et al.'s (1995) studies investigated
whether the negative connotations to the word “average”
may have an effect on the extent to which individuals
exhibit illusory superiority, namely whether the use of
the word “average” increases illusory superiority. Par-
ticipants were asked to evaluate themselves, the average
peer and a person whom they had sat next to in the pre-
vious experiment, on various dimensions. It was found
that they placed themselves highest, followed by the real
person, followed by the average peer, however the aver-age peer was consistently placed above the mean point on
the scale, suggesting that the word “average” did not have
a negative effect on the participant’s view of the average
peer.[49]
7.4 Controllability
An important moderating factor of the effect of illu-
sory superiority is the extent to which an individual be-
lieves they are able to control and change their position on
the dimension concerned. According to Alicke & Gov-
orun positive characteristics that an individual believes
are within their control are more self-serving, and neg-
ative characteristics that are seen as uncontrollable are
less detrimental to self-enhancement.[18] This theory was
supported by Alicke’s (1985) research, which found that
individuals rated themselves as higher than an average
peer on positive controllable traits and lower than an aver-
age peer on negative uncontrollable traits. The idea, sug-
gested by these findings, that individuals believe that they
are responsible for their success and some other factor isresponsible for their failure is known as the self-serving
bias.
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7
7.5 Individual differences of judge
Personality characteristics vary widely between people
and have been found to moderate the effects of illu-
sory superiority, one of the main examples of this is
self-esteem. Brown (1986) found that in self-evaluations
of positive characteristics participants with higher self-esteem showed greater illusory superiority bias than
participants with lower self-esteem.[51] Similar findings
come from a study by Suls, Lemos & Stewart (2002), but
in addition they found that participants pre-classified as
having high self-esteem interpreted ambiguous traits in
a self-serving way, whereas participants who were pre-
classified as having low self-esteem did not do this.[19]
8 Worse-than-average effect
Main article: Worse-than-average effect
In contrast to what is commonly believed, research has
found that better-than-average effects are not universal.
In fact, much recent research has found theoppositeeffect
in many, especially more difficult, tasks.[52]
9 See also
10 Notes[1] Hoorens, Vera (1993). “Self-enhancement and Superi-
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[2] Pinker, Steven (2011). The Better Angels Of Our Nature .
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[3] Colvin, C. Randall; Jack Block; David C. Funder (1995).
“Overly Positive Self-Evaluations and Personality: Neg-
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[4] Dunning, David; Judith A. Meyerowitz; Amy D. Holzberg
(1989). “Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of
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[5] Davidson, J. E. & C. L. Downing: Contemporary models
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[6] International Journal of Selection and Assessment, Vol.
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[7] Schmidt, I.W.; I.J. Berg, B.G. Deelman (1999). “Il-
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[8] Kruger, Justin; David Dunning (1999). “Unskilled and
Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One’s
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[9] “The 2000 Ig Nobel Prize Winners”. Improbable Re-
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[10] Joyce Ehrlinger; David Dunning (January 2003). “How
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[11] Daniel R. Ames; Lara K. Kammrath (September 2004).
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[12] Katherine A. Burson; Richard P. Larrick; Joshua Klay-
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[13] Ehrlinger, Joyce; Johnson, Kerri; Banner, Matthew; Dun-
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skilled are unaware: Further explorations of (absent)
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[14] Cross, P. (1977). “Not can but will college teachers be
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[15] “It’s Academic.” 2000. Stanford GSB Reporter , April24, pp.14–5. via Zuckerman, Ezra W.; John T. Jost
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[16] Odean, T. (1998). “Volume, volatility, price, and profit
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11 References
• Alicke, Mark D.; David A. Dunning; Joachim I.
Kruger (2005). The Self in Social Judgment . Psy-chology Press. pp. 85–106. ISBN 978-1-84169-
418-4. especially chapters 5 and 4
• Kruger, J. (1999). “Lake Wobegon be gone! The
“below-average effect” and the egocentric nature
of comparative ability judgments”. Journal of
Personality and Social Psychology 77 (2): 221–
232. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.77.2.221. PMID
10474208.
• Matlin, Margaret W. (2004). “Pollyanna Principle”.
In Rüdiger Pohl. Cognitive Illusions: a handbook on
fallacies and biases in thinking, judgement and mem-
ory. Psychology Press. ISBN 978-1-84169-351-4.
• Myers, David G. (1980). The inflated self: human
illusions and the Biblical call to hope. New York:
Seabury Press. ISBN 978-0-8164-0459-9
• Sedikides, Constantine; Aiden P. Gregg. (2003).
“Portraits of the Self” in Sage handbook of social
psychology
12 Further reading
• Dunning, David; Kerri Johnson, Joyce Ehrlinger
and Justin Kruger (2003). “Why people fail to
recognize their own incompetence”. Current Di-
rections in Psychological Science 12 (3): 83–87.
doi:10.1111/1467-8721.01235.
• E.E. Giladi & Y. Klar (2002). “When standards are
wide of the mark: Nonselective superiority and in-
feriority biases in comparative judgments of objects
and concepts”. Journal of Experimental Psychol-
ogy: General 131 (4): 538–551. doi:10.1037/0096-
3445.131.4.538.
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10 13 TEXT AND IMAGE SOURCES, CONTRIBUTORS, AND LICENSES
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