IBF Answers+Bretton Woods_Oct 18
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Transcript of IBF Answers+Bretton Woods_Oct 18
Gold Standards & Bretton Woods
(VIPUL)
Gold Standard System This is the oldest system and was in operation till the First World War.
This system is based on value of gold and relates to the amount of gold
held by the monetary authority.
There are three known kinds of gold standard that have been adopted
since the early 1700s-
1. The gold specie
2. The gold exchange
3. The gold bullion standards
(1)Gold Specie Standard (C G)
In this system the actual gold coins or coins
with fixed content of gold were used in
circulation.
In this gold standard, the unit of currency is
linked to the gold coins. Gold coins were used
along with silver coins or coins of other metals.
There was a fixed conversion ratio such as
5 silver coins = 1gold coins
cont….
As per this system:
(i) The government has to confirm that gold is the
currency and can be used to trade goods &
services.
(ii) Value of gold coins is just the same as value of
gold in it.
(iii) Gold in any form has to be convertible/
exchangeable to coins & vice versa.
cont…….
(iv)Gold should be freely exported or imported.
(v) The supply of gold determined the liquidity and
consequently its value.
Eg. US dollars was minted as gold & silver coins
till 1862 and continued along with paper notes
till 1933.
2. Gold Bullion Standard
In Gold Bullion Standard, monetary authorities
hold stock of gold.
Currency in circulation is a paper currency note
[ or silver coins or low value metal coins]
On these paper notes there is a written promise
of monetary authorities that if you demand, on
submission of this note, they would give you
specified quantity of gold. This means currency is
pegged with gold. This is called as fiat money.
Mechanisms Of Exchange Of Two Currencies It is obvious that exchange mechanism in either of
these systems is very simple.
It was basically gold that was getting exchanged, either actually or through promises.
Hence in bullion standard, if one currency is worth X grams of gold and other Y grams.
The mechanisms for calculating exchanges rates under bullion standard was called mint par of exchange.
1 ounce of Gold = $20
1 ounce of Gold = Rs. 420
Exchange Rate = $ 20=Rs.420
3. Gold Exchange Standard
In Gold Exchange Standard System, currency is
exchangeable for another currency at a specified
ratio, as promised by monetary authority. Another
currency with which it is pegged is called as a
reserve currency.
Most used currency were US Dollars & British
Pounds.
Advantages of Gold Standard System
Monetary Discipline – monetary authority could issue currency only if it has
sufficient quantity of gold.
In-built anti- inflationary system – since amount of money is restricted by
quantity of gold, excess money was an uncommon feature and it limited the
inflation rates.
Exchange rate are stable- since the exchange rates were simply the ratios
of gold quantity represented by each currency, it remained stable.
Changes in exchange rate were more predictable – The government
would change its gold parity with discussions .
Essential Elements For the success of Gold Standard System
They should never change the ratio (parity) of conversion of paper money to gold.
They should be able to convert unlimited amount of paper currency to gold at anytime whatsoever.
There should not be any restrictions on transfer of gold from one country to another. It should be free flow in all respects.
They should issue notes exactly proportionate to the quantity of gold they have in reserve.
Demerits Of Gold Standard
Rigid Monetary Discipline on policy makers and monetary authorities.
Inflation to some extent is a good sign of a growing economy. It achieves growth of production and targets full employment. Since gold standard is anti-inflationary, it compromises on these goals.
• Political cost – Such economic compromises cause huge political costs.
It is not possible to maintain gold parity in critical times like natural calamities.
Free trade of gold with all the countries all the time is not possible.
Free convertibility of gold is a very high & unpredictable liability
on the authorities.
Bretton Wood System
Introduction
The Bretton Woods system was one of the most
memorable conference in the history of money .
Because of many events, including the breakdown of
Gold Standard Systems, world monetary system
was not really a system at all.
After the second world war policy makers from UK
& US along with allies initiated the process of
reviving world monetary system.
In 1944, representatives from around 44 countries
met at Bretton Woods, a town in new Hampeshire
State of the US.
Bretton Woods System
Total more than 44 currenices
Gold Reserve Currency
Real Gold in
stock of
Monetary
Authority
US Dollar
All other currencies
French Franks
1 US $ = 119.1FFr
Italian Lire
1 US $ = 575 lire
Switzerland
1 US $ = 43.77 S Franc
Finland
1US $ =320 Markka
Structure Of Bretton Wood Structure The USA undertook to convert the US Dollar freely
into gold at a fixed parity of $35 per ounce.
Other countries (member countries of IMF) agreed to maintain their currencies at specific parities (ratio) with US Dollar.
1% variation in this parity (+ or -) was allowed. If variation was more, than authorities shall take the necessary measures to restore it.
This was supposed to be done by buying and selling dollars.
Eg. If market are buying dollars heavily, then authorities should sell dollars to maintain the parity.
Cont……..
In order to follow this parity – maintaining obligations, if
required, member country may borrow from IMF in the
form of Special Drawing Rights.
If there was a genuine problem in maintaining parity to a
particular member country, then it can change its parity
itself by 10% (+/-) without consulting IMF. If it desires to
exceed 10% limit, it has to inform IMF. Because of this
feature, this system is referred as Adjustable Peg
System.
Triffin’s Paradox
According to him, US Dollars to serve as an
international currency (strong currency) will require
huge surplus of US Dollars to rest of the world,
resulting in large Balance of Payments deficit in the
USA.
Such deficit would weaken US Dollar.
Hence there was a contradiction within the system
& so is called as Triffin’s Paradox
Tiffin’s Paradox
In order to maintain the Bretton Woods system the US had to:
(i) Run a balance of payments current account deficits to provide
liquidity for the conversion of gold into dollars. With more US
Dollars in the system the citizens began to speculate, that US Dollar
was overvalued.
(ii) Run a balance of payments current account surplus to maintain
confidence in US Dollar. This was known as Triffin’s dilemma
Collapse/Failure of Bretton Woods System
US inflation was rising in the late 1960s as the US Central bank kept on printing
more and more dollars to finance the growing budget deficit, the Vietnam war and
the social spending.
To maintain the fixed exchange rate, non-reserve(non US) central banks had to
purchase dollars. During 1960 and 70s, there was a rising stock of dollar
reserves.
Dollar overhang occurred when the amount of US dollars held by non-reserve
(non US) central banks exceeded the total stock of gold in the US treasury.
US could run out of its gold stock if all non-US banks continued to exchange
their dollars for gold.
Because all the countries expected the Dollars to fall in value at some future date,
they started to convert these dollars to gold.
The only option available to US was devaluation of the dollar with respect to
gold i.e US could raise the price of gold to $40 or $50 per ounce or more. But this
would not have been enough, the devaluation would have to be extremely large to
prevent the depletion of US gold reserve.
Bretton Woods system collapsed in 1971.