Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

21
Барыковский п-к, д.4, стр.2, офис 201 Москва, 119034 Тел.: +7 495 988 96 06 e-mail: [email protected] www.indexbox.ru Demo-Version Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market January 2012 Marketing Research WTO: Analysis and Forecast

description

Russian Market Report (business division of IndexBox Marketing Ltd., Moscow, Russia) is a leading Russian marketing and consultancy company, a well-known provider of consumer, retail, and wholesale market research information for a wide range of industries. For years of service, it has built an image of a loyal partner, a trustworthy source of information, and a specialist in its sphere. This has been achieved by very precise problem recognition and problem definition, appropriate research design, exact choice of research methods, state-of-the-art primary and secondary data collection, quantitative and qualitative research expertise, thorough and accurate analysis, and effective implementation.

Transcript of Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 1: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Барыковский п-к, д.4, стр.2, офис 201

Москва, 119034

Тел.: +7 495 988 96 06

e-mail: [email protected] www.indexbox.ru

Demo-Version

Russia:

Ammonium

Nitrate Market

January 2012

Marketing Research

WTO: Analysis and Forecast

Page 2: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 2 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the ammonium nitrate market in Russia contains:

• Analysis and forecast of market dynamics

• Structure of consumption by regions

• Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market participants

• Analysis of imports and exports

• Analysis of the factors, influencing the market development

• Analysis of the raw materials’ base

• Analysis of the state of the consuming industries

• Evaluation and forecast for the development of the market

• Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players

Analysis of submissions from market participants

Analysis of statistical information:

- Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat)

- The Federal Customs Service (FEA)

- The Ministry of Economic Development

- The Federal Tax Service

- Industry associations

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian sandwich panel market

The volumes of production, exports and imports

Key market indicators

Volume and characteristics of consumption

The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.

Page 3: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 3 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Why People Choose Us

• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have completed

over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts verify all

secondary information used in the report.

• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of the

economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a complete

picture of their market of interest.

• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.

• We offer unique and individualized customer service:

o Personal account on the website with a personal manager;

o Monitoring of the status of your order online;

o Pre-sale specialist advice and answers to post-purchase questions.

• We offer special conditions for the actualization of our research reports. If interested,

find out about these conditions from our specialists now!

Page 4: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 4 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian ammonium nitrate market

and build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.

Page 5: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 5 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.

Page 6: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 6 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Table of Contents

About IndexBox ................................................................................................ 9

1. Executive Summary ...................................................................................... 11

2. Study Design ................................................................................................ 12

3. Classification of ammonium nitrate .............................................................. 13

4. Characteristics of the Russian ammonium nitrate market ............................ 17

4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian ammonium nitrate market in 2005 – 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017 ............................................................................ 17

4.2. Structure of the ammonium nitrate market: production, exports, imports,

consumption ............................................................................................. 17

5. Characteristics of the domestic production of ammonium nitrate in 2005 – 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017 .................................................................................. 20

5.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of ammonium nitrate in 2005 –

November 2011 ......................................................................................... 20

5.2. Structure of production of ammonium nitrate by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation ................................................................................................ 23

5.3. Production capacities of the enterprises and their level of loading .............. 24

5.4. Concentration of production and characteristics of the competition on the market

............................................................................................................... 25

5.5. Main manufacturers of ammonium nitrate and their corresponding market

shares ...................................................................................................... 26

5.5.1. OJSC “Uralchim” ..................................................................... 28

5.5.2. Group “Akron” ........................................................................ 29

5.5.3. OJSC “Mineral-chemical company “Eurochim” ............................. 30

5.5.4. OJSC “SIBUR-Minudobreniya” .................................................. 31

5.5.5. OJSC “Minudobreniya” ............................................................. 32

5.5.6. OJSC “Kubyshevazot” .............................................................. 33

5.5.7. Holding “FosAgro” ................................................................... 34

5.5.8. OJSC “Meleuzovskie mineral fertilizers” ..................................... 35

5.6. Main manufacturers of ammonium nitrate and their market shares............ 36

6. Characteristics of the prices of ammonium nitrate ....................................... 37

6.1. Dynamics of the manufacturers’ prices of ammonium nitrate .................... 38

6.2. Dynamics of the manufacturers’ prices of ammonium nitrate .................... 40

7. Characteristics of the imports of ammonium nitrate on the Russian market. 41

7.1. Volume, dynamics and structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate ........ 41

7.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of ammonium nitrate on the territory

of the Russian Federation ........................................................................... 42

7.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of ammonium nitrate, imported to the

Russian Federation..................................................................................... 43

7.4. Russian companies, receiving the imports of ammonium nitrate ................ 44

7.5. Recipient regions of ammonium nitrate .................................................. 45

8. Characteristics of the exports of ammonium nitrate on the Russian market . 47

Page 7: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 7 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

8.1. Volume and dynamics of the exports of ammonium nitrate ....................... 47

8.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of ammonium nitrate ............... 50

8.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying ammonium nitrate for exports .......... 53

8.4. Sending regions for the exports of ammonium nitrate from the territory of the

Russian Federation. ................................................................................... 57

9. Factors, influencing the development of the market of ammonium nitrate ... 62

9.1. State of the agricultural industry ........................................................... 62

9.2. State of the fertilizers manufacturing industry ........................................ 65

10. Characteristics of consumption of ammonium nitrate 72

10.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of ammonium nitrate in 2005 - 2011.

Forecast until 2017. ................................................................................... 72

10.2. Volume and structure of consumption of ammonium nitrate by Federal Districts

of the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011. Forecast until 2017 ......................... 75

10.3. Structure of consumption of ammonium nitrate by industries in 2005 - 2011.

Forecast until 2017 .................................................................................... 77

10.4. Balance between production and consumption of ammonium nitrate ........ 79

11. Forecast for development of the market of ammonium nitrate in 2012 - 2017

......................................................................................................................... 80

11.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of ammonium nitrate in 2012 -

2017 ........................................................................................................ 80

11.2. Evaluation of the development of the ammonium nitrate market with Russian

entry into the WTO .................................................................................... 81

Appendix 1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry......................... 84

Appendix 2. Profiles of the main manufacturers ............................................... 88

OJSC “Nitrate" ........................................................................................... 88

OJSC “Akron” ............................................................................................ 95

OJSC “Dorogobuzh” ................................................................................... 104

OJSC Plant for mineral fertilizers “KCHHK” .................................................... 111

OJSC “Kubyshevazot” ................................................................................. 118

OJSC “Meleuzovskie mineral fertilizers” ........................................................ 127

OJSC “Minudobreniya” ................................................................................ 134

OJSC “Nevinnomysskij nitrate” .................................................................... 141

OJSC “Cherepovetskij nitrate” ..................................................................... 149

OJSC NAK “Nitrate” .................................................................................... 156

LLC “AATZ" ............................................................................................... 163

LLC “Mendeleevskzot” ................................................................................ 170

FL “Nitrate” OJSC “OHK “Uralchim” .............................................................. 176

Page 8: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 8 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

List of Tables

Table 1. Solubility of ammonium nitrate in water ......................................................... 13

Table 2. Crystalline state of the ammonium nitrate ...................................................... 15

Table 3. Classification of ammonium nitrate ................................................................ 16

Table 4. Volume and dynamics of the ammonium nitrate market in 2005 – 2010 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of units. .................................................................. 19

Table 5. Production of ammonium nitrate in 2005 - November 2011, in thousands of tons 21

Table 6. Production capacities for manufacturing ammonium nitrate in 2005 - 2010, in

thousands of tons .................................................................................................... 24

Table 7. Volume of production of ammonium nitrate by different manufacturing holdings in

2010 ...................................................................................................................... 25

Table 8. Manufacturing companies, leaders in the production of ammonium nitrate in 2010

............................................................................................................................. 26

Table 9. Manufacturing companies, leaders in the production of ammonium nitrate in

January - November 2011 ........................................................................................ 27

Table 10. Manufacturing capacities of the OJSC “Minudobreniya” in 2010 ....................... 32

Table 11. Production of the main types of products by the OJSC “Minudobreniya” in 2004 -

2010, in thousands of tons ....................................................................................... 33

Table 12. Average manufacturers prices of ammonium nitrate in the Russian Federation in

January 2005 - 2010 ................................................................................................ 38

Table 13. Dynamics of the imports of ammonium nitrate in 2010. ................................. 41

Table 14. Dynamics of the imports of ammonium nitrate in January – September 2011.... 41

Table 15. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by country of origin in 2010, in tons

............................................................................................................................. 42

Table 16. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by country of origin in 2010, in

thousands of USD .................................................................................................... 42

Table 17. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by country of origin in January -

September 2011, in tons .......................................................................................... 42

Table 18. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by country of origin in January -

September 2011, in thousands of USD ....................................................................... 42

Table 19. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in

2010, in tons .......................................................................................................... 43

Table 20. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in

2010, in thousands of USD ....................................................................................... 43

Table 21. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in

January - September 2011, in tons ............................................................................ 43

Table 22. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in

January - September 2011, in thousands of USD ......................................................... 44

Table 23. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient companies in 2010, in

tons ....................................................................................................................... 44

Table 24. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient companies in 2010, in

thousands of USD .................................................................................................... 44

Table 25. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient companies in January -

September 2011, in tons .......................................................................................... 45

Page 9: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 9 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Table 26. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient companies in January -

September 2011, in thousands of USD ....................................................................... 45

Table 27. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient regions in в январе-

сентябре 2010, in tons ............................................................................................ 45

Table 28. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient regions in 2010, in

thousands of USD .................................................................................................... 45

Table 29. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient regions in January –

September 2011, in tons .......................................................................................... 46

Table 30. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient regions in January –

September 2011, in thousands of USD ....................................................................... 46

Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of ammonium nitrate in 2010. .................................. 47

Table 32. Dynamics of the exports of ammonium nitrate in January - September 2011... . 48

Table 33. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by recipient countries in 2010, in

thousands of tons .................................................................................................... 50

Table 34. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by recipient countries in 2010, in

millions of USD ........................................................................................................ 51

Table 35. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by recipient countries in January -

September 2011, in thousands of tons ....................................................................... 51

Table 36. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by recipient countries in January -

September 2011, in millions of USD ........................................................................... 52

Table 37. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in 2010,

in thousands of tons ................................................................................................ 53

Table 38. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in 2010,

in thousands of USD ................................................................................................ 54

Table 39. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in

January - September 2011, in thousands of tons ......................................................... 55

Table 40. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in

January - September 2011, in millions of USD ............................................................. 56

Table 41. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by sending regions in 2010, in

thousands of tons .................................................................................................... 57

Table 42. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by sending regions in 2010, in

millions of USD ........................................................................................................ 58

Table 43. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by sending regions in January -

September 2011, in tons .......................................................................................... 59

Table 44. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by sending regions in January -

September 2011, in thousands of USD ....................................................................... 60

Table 45. Production of mineral fertilizers (calculated for 100% nutritional substances) in

2005 - May 2011, in thousands of tons ...................................................................... 66

Table 46. Production of nitrate fertilizers (calculated for 100% nitrogen) in 2005 - May

2011, in thousands of tons ....................................................................................... 68

Table 47. Average prices of mineral nitrate fertilizers (calculated for 100% nutritional

substances) by Federal Regions of the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2010, in RUR/ton ..... 69

Table 48. Consumption of ammonium nitrate in 2005 – 2017, in thousands of tons ......... 76

Table 49. Structure of consumption of ammonium nitrate by industries in 2010, in physical

terms ..................................................................................................................... 78

Page 10: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 10 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Table 50. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on the ammonium nitrate

market in Russia in 2009 - 2017, in thousands of tons ................................................. 79

Table 51. Forecast for the development of the ammonium nitrate market in 2009 - 2017, in

thousands of tons .................................................................................................... 80

Table 52. Volume and dynamics of the ammonium nitrate market in 2010 – 2017 if Russia

enters the WTO, in thousands of units. ....................................................................... 83

List of Figures

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the ammonium nitrate market in 2005 – 2011 and forecast for

2010 - 2017, in thousands of tons ............................................................................. 17

Fig. 2. Dynamics and structure of the ammonium nitrate market in 2005 – 2011 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of units. .................................................................. 18

Fig. 3. Structure of the ammonium nitrate market by origin in physical terms in 2010… ... 18

Fig. 4. Production of ammonium nitrate in 2010 –November 2011, in thousands of tons ... 21

Fig. 5. Production of ammonium nitrate in January 2010 – November 2011, in % to the

analogical period of the previous year ........................................................................ 22

Fig. 6. Production of ammonium nitrate in 2005 - 2010, in thousands of tons ................. 23

Fig. 7. Structure of the production of ammonium nitrate by Federal Districts in January –

November 2011 in physical terms .............................................................................. 24

Fig. 8. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of ammonium nitrate in the Russian

Federation in January – December 2009 ..................................................................... 39

Fig. 9. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of ammonium nitrate in the Russian

Federation in January – December 2010 ..................................................................... 39

Fig. 10. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of ammonium nitrate in the Russian

Federation in 2009 - 2010, deviation in % to the analogical period of the previous year ... 40

Fig. 11. Comparison among the average manufacturers’ prices of ammonium nitrate by

Federal Districts in 2010 ........................................................................................... 40

Fig. 12. Dynamics of the exports of ammonium nitrate in 2010, in thousands of tons ....... 48

Fig. 13. Dynamics of the exports of ammonium nitrate in 2010, in millions of USD .......... 48

Fig. 14. Dynamics of the exports of ammonium nitrate in January - September 2011, in

thousands of tons .................................................................................................... 49

Fig. 15. Dynamics of the exports of ammonium nitrate in January - September 2011, in

millions of USD ........................................................................................................ 49

Fig. 16. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by recipient countries in 2010, in

physical terms ......................................................................................................... 50

Fig. 17. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by recipient countries in 2010, in

value terms ............................................................................................................ 51

Fig. 18. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by recipient countries in January -

September 2011 in physical terms ............................................................................. 52

Fig. 19. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by recipient countries in January -

September 2011 in value terms................................................................................. 53

Fig. 20. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in 2010,

in physical terms ..................................................................................................... 54

Page 11: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 11 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Fig. 21. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in 2010,

in value terms ......................................................................................................... 55

Fig. 22. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in

January - September 2011, in physical terms .............................................................. 56

Fig. 23. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing companies in

January - September 2011, in value terms ................................................................. 57

Fig. 24. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by sending regions in 2010, in

physical terms ......................................................................................................... 58

Fig. 25. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by sending regions in 2010, in value

terms ..................................................................................................................... 59

Fig. 26. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by sending regions in January -

September 2011, in physical terms ............................................................................ 60

Fig. 27. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by sending regions in January -

September 2011, in value terms................................................................................ 61

Fig. 28. Structure of production of mineral fertilizers (calculated for 100% nutritional

substances) by types in January 2005 – May 2011, in physical terms ............................. 67

Fig. 29. Dynamics of consumption of ammonium nitrate in the Russian Federation in 2005 -

2017, in thousands of tons ....................................................................................... 74

Fig. 30. Consumption of ammonium nitrate by Federal Districts in 2010 in physical terms 75

Fig. 31. Structure of consumption of ammonium nitrate by industries in 2010 in physical

terms ..................................................................................................................... 77

Fig. 32. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on the Russian ammonium

nitrate market in 2005 - 2017. .................................................................................. 79

Page 12: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 12 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Executive Summary

…% of ammonium nitrate in January – November 2011 were manufactured in the

Privolzhskiy Federal District. The leading manufacturing companies in this Federal District

were: OJSC “Nitrogen”, OJSC “Kubyshevazot”, LLC “Mendeleevskazot", OJSC “Meleuzovskie

mineral fertilizers”.

…% of ammonium nitrate in January – November 2011 were manufactured in the Central

Federal District. The leading manufacturing companies in this Federal District were: OJSC

“Dorogobuzh”, OJSC “Minudobreniya”, OJSC Novomoskovskaya Joint Stock Company

“Nitrogen”.

…% of ammonium nitrate in January – November 2011 were manufactured in the Siberian

Federal District. The leading manufacturing companies in this Federal District were:

Kemerovskoe OJSC “Nitrogen”, LLC “Angarskiy Nitrogen-fertilizer plant”.

…% of ammonium nitrate in January – November 2011 were manufactured in the

Northwestern Federal District. The leading manufacturing company in this Federal District

was: OJSC “Akron”.

…% of ammonium nitrate in January – November 2011 were manufactured in the North

Caucasian Federal District. The leading manufacturing company in this Federal District was:

“Nevinnomysskiy nitrogen”.

Main indicators and

conclusions about

the state of the

market

Page 13: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 13 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

4. Characteristics of the Russian

ammonium nitrate market

4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian ammonium nitrate

market in 2005 – 2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the ammonium nitrate market in 2005 – 2011 and

forecast for 2010 - 2017, in thousands of tons

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

200%

0,00

500,00

1000,00

1500,00

2000,00

2500,00

3000,00

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Объем рынка аммиачной селитры, тыс. тонн

Темп роста, %

Page 14: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 14 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

4.2. Structure of the ammonium nitrate market: production,

exports, imports, consumption

Source: Data (company data, “Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 2. Dynamics and structure of the ammonium nitrate market in 2005 –

2011 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of units

Table 1. Production of ammonium nitrate in 2010 –November 2011, in

thousands of tons

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

Volume of production of ammonium nitrate, in thousands of tons

Growth temps, in % Volume of imports of ammonium

nitrate, in thousands of tons Growth temps, in %

Volume of exports of ammonium nitrate, in thousands of tons

Growth temps, in % Volume of the market of ammonium

nitrate, in thousands of tons Growth temps, in %

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, expert evaluation), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Объем производства аммиачной селитры, тыс. тонн

Объем импорта аммиачной селитры, тыс. тонн

Объем экспорта аммиачной селитры, тыс. тонн

Объем потребления аммиачной селитры, тыс. тонн

Full retrospective

market analysis

and forecast for its

development until

2017

Page 15: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 15 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

5. Characteristics of the domestic

production of ammonium nitrate in 2005

– 2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017 5.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of ammonium

nitrate in 2005 – November 2011

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 3. Production of ammonium nitrate in 2010 –November 2011, in

thousands of tons

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 4. Production of ammonium nitrate in 2005 - 2010, in thousands of tons

40%

70%

100%

130%

160%

190%

0,0

100,0

200,0

300,0

400,0

500,0

600,0

700,0

800,0

900,0

янв фев мар апр май июн июл авг сен окт ноя дек

производство аммиачной селитры в 2010 г., тыс.тонн

производство аммиачной селитры в 2011 г., тыс.тонн

производство аммиачной селитры в 2010 г., в % к предшествующему периоду

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

5200,0

5400,0

5600,0

5800,0

6000,0

6200,0

6400,0

6600,0

6800,0

7000,0

7200,0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

производство аммиачной селитры, тыс. тонн в % к предыдущему году

Page 16: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 16 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

7. Characteristics of the imports of

ammonium nitrate on the Russian

market

7.4. Russian companies, receiving the imports of ammonium

nitrate

Table 2. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient

companies in January - September 2011, in tons

Recipient company Net weight, in tons Share, in %

… … …

… … …

… … …

LLC “RUSCHIMBIO” … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Table 3. Structure of the imports of ammonium nitrate by recipient

companies in January - September 2011, in thousands of USD

Recipient company Value, in thousands of USD Share, in %

… … …

… … …

… … …

LLC “RUSCHIMBIO” … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Detailed analysis

of the imports,

based on “FTS”

data

Page 17: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 17 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

8. Characteristics of the exports of

ammonium nitrate on the Russian

market

8.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying ammonium nitrate

for exports

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 5. Structure of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing

companies in January - September 2011, in physical terms

Table 4. Volume of the exports of ammonium nitrate by manufacturing

companies in January - September 2011, in millions of USD

Manufacturing company

Value, in millions of

USD Share, in %

… … …

… … …

… … …

… … …

… … …

LLC “UII-SIBERIA” … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

ФИЛИАЛ `АЗОТ` ОАО

`ОХК`УРАЛХИМ` В Г. БЕРЕЗНИКИ ОАО`ДОРОГОБУЖ`

ОАО `АКРОН`

ОАО `НАК АЗОТ`

ПРОЧИЕ

Detailed analysis of

the exports, based

on “FTS” data

Page 18: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 18 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

10. Characteristics of consumption

of ammonium nitrate

10.4. Balance between production and consumption of

ammonium nitrate

… Table 5. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on

the ammonium nitrate market in Russia in 2009 - 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Volume of production of ammonium nitrate, in thousands of tons

Volume of consumption of ammonium nitrate, in thousands of tons

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on the Russian

ammonium nitrate market in 2005 - 2017

0 2000 4000 6000 8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Объем производства аммиачной селитры, тыс. тонн

Объем потребления аммиачной селитры, тыс. тонн

Page 19: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 19 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

11. Forecast for development of the

market of ammonium nitrate in 2012 -

2017 11.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of ammonium nitrate in 2012 -2017

… Table 6. Forecast for the development of the ammonium nitrate market in

2009 - 2017, in thousands of tons

Indicator Units 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Volume of supply

of domestic

products on the

Russian market

(including

remains)

In

thousands

of tons

Growth temps of

the volume of

domestic supply,

in % to the

previous year In %

Volume of

imports

In

thousands

of tons

Growth temps of

the volume of

imports on the

domestic market,

in % to the

previous year In %

Volume of

exports

In

thousands

of tons

Growth temps of

the volume of

exports, in % to

the previous year In %

Volume of

consumption

In

thousands

of tons

Growth temps of

the volumes of

consumption and

forming

warehouse

remains, in % to

the previous year In %

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Page 20: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 20 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

About IndexBox

"IndexBox" is one of the leading companies in the sphere of marketing consulting. We carry

out pieces of marketing research and consult on questions about strategic marketing.

• The "IndexBox" team has been working together for more than 7 years.

• The average experience of "IndexBox" specialists in the marketing sphere is 10

years.

• “IndexBox" employs 15 specialists in its research analytical department.

• The gathering of the researched information is controlled by 8 employees, all with

vast experience in field work. And who oversee more than 150 experienced

interviewers.

• Over 10 years, we have completed more than sixteen hundred projects, most of

which are focused on the consumer and industrial markets. The geography of the

research includes not only the territory of Russia, but also foreign markets.

• In total, more than 80,000 respondents have taken part in our research studies.

• Not only does "IndexBox" have a wide partner network in the regions of the

Russian Federation, the CIS, and the Baltic countries, but also has countless foreign

partners, including the largest research companies in the USA, the UK, France,

India, and China.

Our clients are big Russian and foreign companies:

Page 21: Ib demo russia-ammonium nitrate market_january 2012

Page 21 out of 21 IndexBox © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Marketing research Russia: Ammonium Nitrate Market. January 2012 (Demo-version)

Marketing research

Our specialization - the study of consumer and industrial markets, segments of B2C and

B2B. Among the methods used: desk research, consumer surveys, expert surveys,

competitive analysis, sales audit, a wide range of qualitative market research products and

services. Our competitive advantage is the formation of special research techniques to the

tasks of each project. System planning and operational monitoring of the industry, created a

company that allows professionals to operate in IndexBox their work relevant and accurate

information.

Business Planning

We are professionally engaged in developing business plans, feasibility studies, investment

memoranda, conduct financial analysis of enterprises and prepare analysis for transactions

M & A. Business plans developed by IndexBox, contain a complete financial model for the

further implementation of the project, all calculations are based on marketing information,

which is permanently collected and analyzed for over 7 years. Documents comply with the

standards of Russian and foreign banks, the projects have market feasibility and realistic

projections, and we provide assistance in finding an investor and financing, legal support.

Strategic Marketing

We develop strategic development for brands, products, separate business units and

industry. Generally, programs include product, pricing, marketing and communication

strategy. Projects in the field of strategic marketing are relevant to large enterprises,

financial and investment companies that are planning to expand its interests as well as

small companies that are thinking about business development.

Development

Consulting in development - is to develop the best options for use of the area. To do this,

our marketing agency, conducts research real estate market, analyzes the possible

construction, and estimates the market feasibility and economic benefits of investing in real

estate. Marketing agency IndexBox offers a range of professional services for the study of

the real estate market and the development of individual marketing concept of the facility.