I: INTRODUCTION - lokniti Pradesh pre-poll... · I: INTRODUCTION In Uttar Pradesh, ... Jan Satta...
Transcript of I: INTRODUCTION - lokniti Pradesh pre-poll... · I: INTRODUCTION In Uttar Pradesh, ... Jan Satta...
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I: INTRODUCTION In Uttar Pradesh, elections to the State Legislative Assembly were held in the month of April and May 2007. CSDS in partnership with Indian Express and CNN-IBN conducted a Pre-Poll in Uttar Pradesh. The objective of the survey was to reflect the nature of voting behaviour and attitudes of people on electoral politics in the state. The survey was an attempt to understand the people’s perception on the performance of state government as well as the government at the Centre. Table -1: Profile of Assembly election in U.P, 2007 Total Number of Assembly Constituencies(AC) 403 Number of seats for General Category 314 Number of seats reserved for Scheduled Caste 89 Number of seats reserved for Scheduled Tribe 0 Total Number of Voters 11,35,49350 Source:http://www.eci.gov.in/StatisticalReports/SE_2007/StatReport_AS_2007_UTTAR_PRADESH.pdf Table-2: Survey Frame Number of assembly constituencies surveyed 79 Number of polling station survey 305 Number of Respondents 4988 Type of Survey Pre- poll Survey Table-3: Sample Profile: Census of India vs. Survey Category Uttar Pradesh* Survey Rural 79.22 89 Urban 20.78 11 Women 47.31 43 Scheduled Caste (Dalit) 21.15 21 Scheduled Tribe 0.06 --- Hindu 80.61 85 Muslim 18.5 13
*Census 2001, Uttar Pradesh
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II: SURVEY DESIGN Selection of Assembly Constituency (AC): The sample for the survey was drawn using a multi stage Stratified Random Sampling Technique. Out of a total of 403 ACs in the state, a sample of 80 ACs was randomly drawn using the Simple Random Technique. Selection of Polling Stations (PS): In every sampled AC, 4 PSs were randomly selected using the simple random technique In order to select the polling station from each AC, a comprehensive list of PS in each AC was prepared and a total polling stations was divided by four (a pre determined number of PS from each AC) to arrive at the sampling constant. First PS was selected randomly which must be less than sampling constant thereafter, sampling constant was added to the randomly selected PS to arrive at the second PS . This process was repeated for the selection of next PS in an AC. It is how; different PSs were selected in each assembly constituency. Selection of respondent: Thirty respondents were decided to be randomly selected from the voter list of each PS. The reason for sample size was to circumvent clustering and it also has logistic and methodological concerns. For this, a list of voters at each PS was obtained and the total number of voters (at each PS) was divided by fifteen to arrive at sampling constant1. Sampling constant was added to the first respondent number to get next respondent and so on till selection of 30 respondents has completed. Table-4: Questionnaire Design Language Designed English Language Translated Hindi Language Administered Hindi Number of Variables 111 Themes • Performance of the SP Government
• Performance of the MLAs • Public opinion about the politics in the state.• Question of Leadership
1 If there are 3000 respondents of a polling station, divide 3000 by 30 that will be equal to 100. Thus 100 is the sampling constant for sampling respondents for the survey. The first respondent should be less than 100 drawn from random number table. Thus , if 89th voter is the first respondent selected then keep on adding 100, that is 89+100=189(second respondent), 189+100=289(third respondent) and so on till select 15 respondent
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Table-5: Details of Training Workshop of Investigator: Date 18th March, 2007 Venue Aligarh , Kanpur, Azamgarh Number of investigator 158 Resource persons 1. A.K.Verma , Christ Church College, Kanpur
2 Sudhir Kumar, D.A.VPost Graduate College,
Azamgarh 3. Mirza Asmir Beg ( Aligarh Muslim University),
Praveen (CSDS) Table-6: Data Collection and Processing Date of Field work 19-23, March, 2007 Date of Data checking 24, March, 2007 Venue of Checking Centre for Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) Date of Data Entry 26-29, March,2007 Venue of Data Entry Centre for Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) Table-7: Details of Data Dissemination Electronic Media Name Date Time CNN-IBN 27th March, 2007 8.00pm Print Media Name Title of Article Name of Author Date The Indian Express Mulayam, Maya neck
and neck: BJP Trails far behind, Cong farther.
Sanjay Kumar , Yogender Yadav,Rajeeva Karandikar
28th, March, 2007
The Indian Express Phase 1: Mulayam Puts SP ahead
Sanjay Kumar 5th April,2007
The Indian Express Advantage Maya in Phase 11’s 3-way fight
Sanjay Kumar 11th , April, 2007
The Indian Express Phase III: Make or break for Mulayam
Sanjay Kumar 16th, April, 2007
Jan Satta BSPA hi rahegi pehle number par
Sanjay Kumar, Rajeeva Karandikar, Yogender Yadav
2nd, May, 2007
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III: DETAILS OF SURVEY TEAM Sanjay Kumar of Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi directed the survey. The fieldwork of the survey was coordinated by A.K.Verma for the Central Uttar Pradesh, Mirza Asmer Beg for Western Uttar Pradesh and Sudhir Kumar for the Eastern Uttar Pradesh. The Central team which designed, coordinated and analyzed the survey comprised of Himanshu Bhattacharya, K.A.Q.A Hilal, Kanchan Malhotra, Praveen Rai, Rajeeva Karandikar of Cranes Software International Limited, Sanjeer Alam, and Vikas Gautam of CSDS and Yogendra Yadav)
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I: ANNEXURE-1
DETAILS OF SURVEY PROFILE
Assembly Constituency AC No. P.S No. No. of Respondent 6 15 15
90 14 165 12 240 14
BIJNOR
Total 55 10 5 10
45 11 85 12
125 14
HASANPUR
Total 47 14 127 11
157 16 195 15 226 18
CHANDAUSI (SC)
Total 60 22 35 12
108 13 181 12 254 12
BILASPUR
Total 49 26 18 12
168 8 215 13
SAHASWAN
Total 33 30 7 13
82 16 157 11 220 12
BINAWAR
Total 52 34 11 11
86 11 167 11 223 9
FARIDPUR (SC)
Total 42 42 12 13
87 11 162 11 206 13
BARKHERA (SC)
Total 48 46 12 13
87 13 162 17 235 14
NIGOHI
Total 57 50 9 14 SHAHJAHANPUR
84 14
6
159 12 234 15
Total 55 LAKHIMPUR 54 52 18
122 15 192 14 262 12
Total 59 LAHARPUR 62 62 10
126 15 190 16 254 19
Total 60 66 35 15
90 13 145 16 200 16
MACHHREHTA (SC)
Total 60 70 12 16
63 15 114 15 165 16
HARDOI
Total 62 74 6 14
64 12 122 12 180 13
BILGRAM
Total 51 82 55 15
113 15 171 14 229 16
HASANGANJ (SC)
Total 60 86 35 10
116 11 197 10 278 8
LUCKNOW WEST
Total 39 90 10 16
61 14 112 16 163 16
MOHANLALGANJ (SC)
Total 62 94 50 16
112 10 174 14 236 15
SATAON
Total 55 102 19 23
88 23 157 23 226 22
PRATAPGARH
Total 91
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106 17 23 78 22
139 22 200 22
GAURIGANJ
Total 89 110 12 20
77 23 142 24 207 20
JAISINGHPUR
Total 87 114 20 21
88 23 156 22 224 22
AKBARPUR
Total 88 122 52 17
114 14 176 16 238 14
RUDAULI
Total 61 126 12 16
70 14 128 15 186 15
MASAULI
Total 60 130 34 12
93 14 152 16 211 15
KAISERGANJ
Total 57 134 14 15
55 13 75 16
134 16
CHARDA (SC)
Total 60 142 6 16
55 16 67 16
128 13
SADULLANAGAR
Total 61 146 36 14
96 14 156 16 216 13
KATRA BAZAR
Total 57 150 10 20
78 21 146 21 214 20
CAPTAINGANJ
Total 82 154 15 23
78 22 DOMARIGANJ
141 23
8
204 22 Total 90
162 11 23 HAINSARBAZAR (SC) 76 22
141 23 206 21
Total 89 166 7 23
77 20 147 23 217 22
KAURIAM
Total 88 170 23 17
89 17 155 17 221 15
MANIRAM
Total 66 174 32 15
96 12 160 11 224 12
LAKSHMIPUR
Total 50 182 27 13
91 14 155 10 219 14
SEORAHI
Total 51 186 38 20
109 24 180 23 251 21
RUDRAPUR
Total 88 190 60 22
127 22 194 22 261 22
BARHAJ
Total 88 194 42 30
106 28 170 25 234 25
GOPALPUR
Total 108 202 55 23
115 19 175 20 235 22
MUBARAKPUR
Total 84 206 13 23
75 23 137 23 199 23
SIAR
Total 92 DOABA 210 33 24
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98 23 163 23 228 23
Total 93 214 47 20
114 21 181 17 248 21
MOHAMMADABAD
Total 79 222 50 22
120 21 190 28 260 22
CHANDAULI (SC)
Total 93 226 39 22
93 23 147 22 201 22
VARANASI SOUTH
Total 89 230 58 21
126 22 194 6 262 12
GANGAPUR
Total 61 234 23 20
88 21 153 20 218 15
BARASATHI
Total 76 242 34 23
92 25 150 23 208 20
GARWARA
Total 91 246 68 22
151 22 234 22 317 20
RAJGARH
Total 86 250 54 22
129 23 204 23 279 22
CHHANVEY (SC)
Total 90 254 49 21
111 21 173 20 235 18
JHUSI
Total 80 262 28 16
87 16 146 15
CHAIL (SC)
205 17
10
Total 64 266 33 13
94 11 KISHUNPUR (SC)
155 12 216 13
Total 49 270 40 19
168 16 232 16 250 12
BINDKI
Total 63 274 21 6
70 13 119 12 168 12
KANPUR CANTONMENT
Total 43 282 2 11
17 14 55 7
108 8
CHAUBEPUR
Total 40 286 62 18
109 14 174 17 221 16
AJITMAL (SC)
Total 65 290 5 16
52 17 70 12
117 19
BHARTHANA
Total 64 294 64 17
134 16 204 9 273 16
CHHIBRABALL
Total 58 302 44 14
101 16 158 16 215 13
TINDWARI
Total 59 306 21 16
73 16 125 16 160 16
MAUDAHA
Total 64 310 38 16
113 16 188 16 262 16
MEHRONI
Total 64 314 27 18 MAURANIPUR (SC)
95 15
11
163 17 231 14
Total 64 KARHAL 322 47 17
57 13 107 16 167 14
Total 60 326 67 16
135 17 203 15 271 12
MAINPURI
Total 60 330 15 16
90 13 165 13 188 16
SORON
Total 58 334 15 16
91 15 165 16 171 15
JALESAR (SC)
Total 62 342 6 13
81 12 156 13
AGRA EAST
Total 38 346 7 10
82 10 157 12 232 11
GOVERDHAN (SC)
Total 43 350 18 13
72 15 126 13 180 14
GOKUL
Total 55 SIKANDRA RAO 354 6 12
362 165 14 240 16
JEWAR (SC)
Total 30 366 10 12
65 13 120 16 160 15
SIANA
Total 56 370 25 16
90 18 155 18 220 19
SIKANDRABAD
Total 71 374 36 12 MODI NAGAR
114 8
12
192 10 262 13
Total 43 KHARKHAUDA 382 90 13
130 10 170 10
Total 33 386 11 16
64 15 170 18
BARNAWA
Total 49 390 7 11
82 16 157 15
JANSATH (SC)
Total 42 394 10 12
85 18 160 18
BAGHRA
Total 48
Note: Though four PSs were selected randomly from each AC, in some cases only two or three polling stations were covered due to social tension, threat to fieldworkers’ safety and unfriendly attitude of the community towards the survey and other similar kind of hurdles which would not appreciate to conduct the survey in a stipulated time period of four day. Apart from that the survey could not be conducted in Dhampur Assembly Constituency and 3 polling stations of Sikandra Rao Assembly Constituency because of unavailability of the revised electoral rolls.
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II. ANNEXURE-2 MARGINAL OF ALL QUESTIONS
Q1: In the next few weeks assembly elections are to be held inUttar Pradesh. Have you heard about it?
488 9.8 9.8 9.84385 87.9 87.9 97.7
115 2.3 2.3 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesDKTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q2: Will you vote in the coming assembly elections?
121 2.4 2.4 2.44632 92.9 92.9 95.3
235 4.7 4.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesDKTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q2a: (If yes) On the day of voting will you definitely vote or you may not vote
also?
3317 66.5 66.5 66.51034 20.7 20.7 87.2
281 5.6 5.6 92.9356 7.1 7.1 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Will definitely voteMay not voteNo opinionNot applicableTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
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Q3: If the Assembly Elections are held tomorrow then which party or candidatewill you vote for?
370 7.4 7.4 7.4908 18.2 18.2 25.6
1317 26.4 26.4 52.01530 30.7 30.7 82.7
86 1.7 1.7 84.438 .8 .8 85.2
10 .2 .2 85.4
12 .2 .2 85.679 1.6 1.6 87.212 .2 .2 87.418 .4 .4 87.8
608 12.2 12.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
CongressBJP BSP SPRLD (Ajit Singh)Apna DalJan Morcha (V.P.Singh)CPMOthersIndependentsDo not know Blank/RefusalTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q4: The party for which you voted now, will you vote the same party on the day ofvoting or your decision may change after seeing the list of candidates?
3114 62.4 62.4 62.41090 21.9 21.9 84.3
784 15.7 15.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Vote for the same partyCan changeDKTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q5: Now I will ask you about the last Assembly Election held in 2002. Were youable to caste your vote or not?
732 14.7 14.7 14.73581 71.8 71.8 86.5
467 9.4 9.4 95.8208 4.2 4.2 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
NoYesDo not rememberNot a voter thenTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
15
Q6: Who would you prefer the next Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh?
231 4.6 4.6 4.6769 15.4 15.4 20.0
1404 28.1 28.1 48.21567 31.4 31.4 79.6
60 1.2 1.2 80.819 .4 .4 81.2
100 2.0 2.0 83.223 .5 .5 83.733 .7 .7 84.311 .2 .2 84.5
3 .1 .1 84.622 .4 .4 85.0
3 .1 .1 85.11 .0 .0 85.18 .2 .2 85.31 .0 .0 85.3
22 .4 .4 85.764 1.3 1.3 87.0
647 13.0 13.0 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Rahul GandhiKalyan SinghMayawatiMulayam Singh Yadav Ajit SinghPriyanka GandhiRajnath SinghAkhilesh YadavAmar SinghKalraj Misra Lalji TandonSalman KhurshidKeshri Nath TripathiOm Prakash SinghRaj BabbarShiv Pal YadavSonelal PatelOthersBlank/Refused to answerTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q7a: Development of Uttar Pradesh has improved or deteriorate in thelast 4 years of SP government?
878 17.6 17.6 17.61307 26.2 26.2 43.81947 39.0 39.0 82.8
856 17.2 17.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
DeterioratedNo differenceImprovedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
16
Q7b: Curbing corruption has improved or deteriorate in the last 4 years ofSP government?
1531 30.7 30.7 30.71493 29.9 29.9 60.6
994 19.9 19.9 80.6970 19.4 19.4 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
DeterioratedNo differenceImprovedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q7c: Security of common people has improved or deteriorate in the last 4
years of SP government?
1544 31.0 31.0 31.01466 29.4 29.4 60.3
949 19.0 19.0 79.41029 20.6 20.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
DeterioratedNo differenceImprovedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q7d: Unity among Hindus & Muslims has improved or deteriorate in thelast 4 years of SP government?
1155 23.2 23.2 23.21420 28.5 28.5 51.61107 22.2 22.2 73.81306 26.2 26.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
DeterioratedNo differenceImprovedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q8: What is your assesment of the work done by Samajwadi Party (SP)government in Uttar Pradesh during the last four years? Are you satisfied or
dissatisfied with it?
937 18.8 18.8 18.81521 30.5 30.5 49.3
747 15.0 15.0 64.31011 20.3 20.3 84.5
772 15.5 15.5 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Very satisfiedSomewhat SatisfiedSomewhat dissatisfiedFully dissatisfiedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
17
Q10a: Who is the better leader for the development of Uttar Pradesh?
1362 27.3 27.3 27.3970 19.4 19.4 46.8
1824 36.6 36.6 83.3832 16.7 16.7 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
MayawatiKalyan SinghMulayam Singh YadavNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q10b: Who is the most trustworthy leader in Uttar Pradesh?
1396 28.0 28.0 28.01037 20.8 20.8 48.81441 28.9 28.9 77.71114 22.3 22.3 100.04988 100.0 100.0
MayawatiKalyan SinghMulayam Singh YadavNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q10c: Who is the better administrator in Uttar Pradesh?
1905 38.2 38.2 38.2890 17.8 17.8 56.0
1160 23.3 23.3 79.31033 20.7 20.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
MayawatiKalyan SinghMulayam Singh YadavNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q10d: Who is the most honest leader of Uttar Pradesh?
1178 23.6 23.6 23.61003 20.1 20.1 43.71077 21.6 21.6 65.31730 34.7 34.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
MayawatiKalyan SinghMulayam Singh YadavNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
18
Q11: While deciding whom to vote, what would be the most important considerationfor you?
1525 30.6 30.6 30.6296 5.9 5.9 36.5
171 3.4 3.4 39.9
701 14.1 14.1 54.0457 9.2 9.2 63.2
363 7.3 7.3 70.4
63 1.3 1.3 71.7
48 1.0 1.0 72.722 .4 .4 73.1
220 4.4 4.4 77.5111 2.2 2.2 79.7
34 .7 .7 80.4
25 .5 .5 80.989 1.8 1.8 82.7
197 3.9 3.9 86.6666 13.3 13.3 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Development issuesCorruption issuesSecurity of Life andproperty issuesPrice rise issuesUnemployment issuesElectricity/Water/RoadissuesFacilities of Schools andhospitalsCommunalism issuesTemple/Mosque issuesA good chief minister A good governanceWork of presentgovernmentPolitical terrorism Law and order situationOthersBlank/RefusedTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q12: Do you know who is the MLA of your area?
897 18.0 18.0 18.03596 72.1 72.1 90.1
495 9.9 9.9 100.04988 100.0 100.0
IncorrectCorrectDKTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q13: After being elected as the MLA, did he/she ever visit yourvillage/locality/colony?
1776 35.6 35.6 35.62378 47.7 47.7 83.3
834 16.7 16.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
19
Q14: Have you ever tried to meet him for some personal work?
3318 66.5 66.5 66.51109 22.2 22.2 88.8
561 11.2 11.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q14a: (If yes), Have you able to meet with him?
247 5.0 22.3 22.3862 17.3 77.7 100.0
1109 22.2 100.03879 77.84988 100.0
NoYesTotal
Valid
NAMissingTotal
Frequency PercentValid
PercentCumulative Percent
Q14b: (If yes) To what extent did he try to solve your problem?
450 9.0 52.2 52.2257 5.2 29.8 82.0117 2.3 13.6 95.6
38 .8 4.4 100.0862 17.3 100.0
4126 82.74988 100.0
Very muchNot muchNot at allNo opinionTotal
Valid
NAMissingTotal
Frequency PercentValid
PercentCumulative Percent
Q14c: (If no) If you have to meet him for some personal work in future, doyou think you will be able to meet him?
661 13.3 19.9 19.9976 19.6 29.4 49.3
1681 33.7 50.7 100.03318 66.5 100.01670 33.54988 100.0
NoYesCan not sayTotal
Valid
NAMissingTotal
Frequency PercentValid
PercentCumulative Percent
20
Q15: To what extent do you think your MLA has worked for thedevelopment of your area?
693 13.9 13.9 13.92085 41.8 41.8 55.71232 24.7 24.7 80.4
978 19.6 19.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Great dealSomewhatNot at allNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q16: How was his/her conduct with general public?
639 12.8 12.8 12.82146 43.0 43.0 55.8
727 14.6 14.6 70.41476 29.6 29.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Very goodOKBadCannot sayTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q17: Are you satisfied with his/her work in your locality for past five years?
764 15.3 15.3 15.31812 36.3 36.3 51.6
506 10.1 10.1 61.8879 17.6 17.6 79.4
1027 20.6 20.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Fully satisfiedSomewhat satisfiedSomewhat dissatisfiedFully dissatisfiedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q18: Do you think that your MLA should be given another chance?
2256 45.2 45.2 45.21626 32.6 32.6 77.81106 22.2 22.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesDK/Cannot sayTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
21
Q19a: Which of the party is better for Backwards?
1799 36.1 36.1 36.11485 29.8 29.8 65.8
609 12.2 12.2 78.0388 7.8 7.8 85.8707 14.2 14.2 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
SPBSPBJPCongressNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q19b: Which of the party is better for Dalits?
904 18.1 18.1 18.12710 54.3 54.3 72.5
444 8.9 8.9 81.4266 5.3 5.3 86.7664 13.3 13.3 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
SPBSPBJPCongressNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q19c: Which of the party is better for Muslims?
2169 43.5 43.5 43.51019 20.4 20.4 63.9
422 8.5 8.5 72.4496 9.9 9.9 82.3882 17.7 17.7 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
SPBSPBJPCongressNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q19d: Which of the party is better for Poor?
1352 27.1 27.1 27.11341 26.9 26.9 54.0
815 16.3 16.3 70.3475 9.5 9.5 79.9
1005 20.1 20.1 100.04988 100.0 100.0
SPBSPBJPCongressNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
22
Q19e: Which of the party is better for Women?
1266 25.4 25.4 25.41291 25.9 25.9 51.3
793 15.9 15.9 67.2545 10.9 10.9 78.1
1093 21.9 21.9 100.04988 100.0 100.0
SPBSPBJPCongressNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q20: How do you describe yourself as a traditional party supporter?
361 7.2 7.2 7.2926 18.6 18.6 25.8
1167 23.4 23.4 49.21371 27.5 27.5 76.7
79 1.6 1.6 78.330 .6 .6 78.9
2 .0 .0 78.923 .5 .5 79.4
105 2.1 2.1 81.514 .3 .3 81.8
389 7.8 7.8 89.6163 3.3 3.3 92.8358 7.2 7.2 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
CongressBJPBSPSPRLD (Ajit Singh)Apna DalJan Morcha (V.P. Singh)CPMOthersIndependentsSupporter of no partyDo not knowBlank/RefusalTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
23
Q20a: In the coming assembly elections BJP/SP/BSP/Congress/RLD should havean alliance with which party?
685 13.7 13.7 13.7461 9.2 9.2 23.0680 13.6 13.6 36.6372 7.5 7.5 44.1191 3.8 3.8 47.9
34 .7 .7 48.6
16 .3 .3 48.9
25 .5 .5 49.4446 8.9 8.9 58.3
59 1.2 1.2 59.547 .9 .9 60.5
949 19.0 19.0 79.51023 20.5 20.5 100.04988 100.0 100.0
CongressBJPBSPSPRLD (Ajit Singh)Apna DalJan Morcha (V.P.Singh)CPMOthersIndependentsNo partyDo not knowNA/Blank/RefusalTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q21: What is your opinion on criminalisation of politics in Uttar Pradesh?
2268 45.5 45.5 45.5
780 15.6 15.6 61.1
827 16.6 16.6 77.71113 22.3 22.3 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Criminalisation increasedCriminalisationdecreasedNo differenceNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
24
Q21a: (If increase) Which party do you think is mainly responsible for it?
55 1.1 1.1 1.1112 2.2 2.2 3.3
82 1.6 1.6 5.01502 30.1 30.1 35.1
4 .1 .1 35.21 .0 .0 35.23 .1 .1 35.3
185 3.7 3.7 39.04 .1 .1 39.1
12 .2 .2 39.3308 6.2 6.2 45.5
2720 54.5 54.5 100.04988 100.0 100.0
CongressBJP BSPSPRLD (Ajit Singh)Apna DalCPMOthersIndependentsNo partyDo not knowNA/Blank/RefusalTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q22: Have you heard about the Nithari murder case?
2604 52.2 52.2 52.22384 47.8 47.8 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q22a: (If yes) Are you satisfied about the steps taken by the State Government insolving this case?
331 6.6 6.6 6.6723 14.5 14.5 21.1370 7.4 7.4 28.5552 11.1 11.1 39.6408 8.2 8.2 47.8
2604 52.2 52.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Very satisfiedSomewhat satisfiedSomewhat dissatisfiedFully dissatisfiedNo opinionNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
25
Q24: Is there any political party for whom you will never vote under anycircumstances?
244 4.9 4.9 4.9619 12.4 12.4 17.3565 11.3 11.3 28.6959 19.2 19.2 47.9
63 1.3 1.3 49.118 .4 .4 49.5
22 .4 .4 49.9
39 .8 .8 50.7129 2.6 2.6 53.3
25 .5 .5 53.81181 23.7 23.7 77.5
350 7.0 7.0 84.5774 15.5 15.5 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
01: Congress02: BJP03: BSP04: SP05: RLD (Ajit Singh)06: Apna Dal07: Jan Morcha (V.P.Singh)08: CPM09: Others10: Independents11: No party98: Do not know99: NA/Blank/RefusalTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q23: If the party whom you want to vote in the assembly elections does not field acandidate of your choice, then which party will you vote for?
529 10.6 10.6 10.6640 12.8 12.8 23.4797 16.0 16.0 39.4879 17.6 17.6 57.0
69 1.4 1.4 58.424 .5 .5 58.9
10 .2 .2 59.1
27 .5 .5 59.6194 3.9 3.9 63.5
90 1.8 1.8 65.372 1.4 1.4 66.8
140 2.8 2.8 69.61517 30.4 30.4 100.04988 100.0 100.0
CongressBJPBSPSPRLD (Ajit Singh)Apna DalJan Morcha (V.P.Singh)CPMOthersIndependents No party Do not knowNA/Blank/RefusalTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
26
Q25a: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during thelast 4 years for the condition of roads in UP?
2069 41.5 41.5 41.51352 27.1 27.1 68.6
944 18.9 18.9 87.5623 12.5 12.5 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
ImprovedRemained sameDeterioratedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q25b: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during the
last 4 years for the hospital facilities in UP?
1513 30.3 30.3 30.31677 33.6 33.6 64.01018 20.4 20.4 84.4
780 15.6 15.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
ImprovedRemained sameDeterioratedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q25c: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during thelast 4 years for the supply of electricity in UP?
1296 26.0 26.0 26.01588 31.8 31.8 57.81352 27.1 27.1 84.9
752 15.1 15.1 100.04988 100.0 100.0
ImprovedRemained sameDeterioratedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q25d: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during thelast 4 years for the irrigation facilities in UP?
956 19.2 19.2 19.21615 32.4 32.4 51.51356 27.2 27.2 78.71061 21.3 21.3 100.04988 100.0 100.0
ImprovedRemained sameDeterioratedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
27
Q25e: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during thelast 4 years for the school/college facilities in UP?
1717 34.4 34.4 34.41375 27.6 27.6 62.0
914 18.3 18.3 80.3982 19.7 19.7 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
ImprovedRemained sameDeterioratedNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q26: Are you aware that assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh is being heldin many phases?
1838 36.8 36.8 36.82540 50.9 50.9 87.8
610 12.2 12.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesCan not say/DKTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q26a: (If yes) Some people say it is necessary for free and fair election whereas other
people say it delays the development work. What is your opinion in this regard?
1352 27.1 27.1 27.1
347 7.0 7.0 34.1
841 16.9 16.9 50.92448 49.1 49.1 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Necessary for conductingfree and fair electionUnnecessarily delaysdevelopment workNo opinionNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
28
Q27: Some people says Mulayam Singh Yadav is only for businessmen, Some peoplesays he works for the wellfare of the people and others say due to him the
development of the state has increased. What is your opinion in this regards?
1715 34.4 34.4 34.4
955 19.1 19.1 53.5
492 9.9 9.9 63.4
1826 36.6 36.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Mulayam Singh'sdecisions are influencedby businessmenMulayam Singh Yadavworks for the welfare ofthe peopleMulayam Singh'sproximity has led to thedevp. of the stateNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q28: Some people says Mayawati cares only for her caste community, some saysmayawati cares for the development of state whereas some says Mayawati is a good
administrator. What is your opinion in this regards?
1760 35.3 35.3 35.3
839 16.8 16.8 52.1
984 19.7 19.7 71.8
1405 28.2 28.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Mayawati cares only forher own caste communityMayawati cares for thedevelopment of stateMayawati is a goodadministratorNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q29: Some people says Ajit Singh is an opportunist leader, some says Ajit Singhworks for the benefit of farmers and others say Ajit Singh works for the benefit of
Jats. What is your opinion in this regards?
884 17.7 17.7 17.7
584 11.7 11.7 29.4
435 8.7 8.7 38.2
3085 61.8 61.8 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Ajit singh is anopportunist leaderAjit Singh works forthe benefit of farmersAjit Singh works forthe benefit of JatsNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
29
Q30: Suppose that no party gets a majority in the coming assembly elections in UttarPradesh, then what do you think should be the best option among the following?
1768 35.4 35.4 35.4
444 8.9 8.9 44.3
563 11.3 11.3 55.6
355 7.1 7.1 62.8
1858 37.2 37.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Government should formby two or more partiesGovernment should formby all parties togatherThere should implypresident rule in the stateRe election should beheldNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q31: Have you hared or read about Unemployment Allowance Schemeof UP state government for the unemployed people in the state?
1425 28.6 28.6 28.63203 64.2 64.2 92.8
360 7.2 7.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q31a: (If yes) Has any member in your family benefited from thisscheme?
2394 48.0 48.0 48.0746 15.0 15.0 63.0
1848 37.0 37.0 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q32: Have you hared or read about Kanya Vidyadhan scheme run by UPstate government for girls in the state?
1205 24.2 24.2 24.23383 67.8 67.8 92.0
400 8.0 8.0 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
30
Q32a: (If yes) Has any member in your family benefited from this?
2718 54.5 54.5 54.5596 11.9 11.9 66.4
1674 33.6 33.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q33: (If village) Under National Rural Employment GuaranteeScheme (NERG) the government has distributed Employment
Card. Have you heard about it?
2734 54.8 54.8 54.81698 34.0 34.0 88.9
556 11.1 11.1 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q33a: (If yes) Did you receive such an Employment Card?
1409 28.2 28.2 28.2289 5.8 5.8 34.0
3290 66.0 66.0 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q34: Some people says Kalyan Singh is a good administrator with clean image,some says he is good administrator but encourages communal forces and
others say he is only encourages communal forces. What is your opinion in thisregards?
1488 29.8 29.8 29.8
705 14.1 14.1 44.0
487 9.8 9.8 53.7
2308 46.3 46.3 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Kalyan Singh is agood administratorwith clean imageHe is a goodadministrator butencouragescommunal forcesKalyan Singh onlyencouragescommunal forcesNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
31
Q35: Some says Rahul Gandhi is an able leader who can revive Congress in U.P.,some says he is an able leader who cannot revive Congress and others say he is
young in politics, bur cannot influence national parties. What is your opinion in thisregards?
1103 22.1 22.1 22.1
592 11.9 11.9 34.0
851 17.1 17.1 51.0
2442 49.0 49.0 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Rahul Gandhi is anable leader who canrevive Congress in UPHe is an able leaderwho can't reviveCongress in UPHe is young in politics,can't influence nationalparties No opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q36: Some people thinks the crime has decreased in UP than before, somesays crime has increased and others say there is no changes in crime. What
is your opinion in this regards?
921 18.5 18.5 18.52120 42.5 42.5 61.0
867 17.4 17.4 78.31080 21.7 21.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Crime decreasedCrime increasedNo changesNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
32
Q37a: Where you place V.P. Singh in the ladder of trust?
176 3.5 3.5 3.5350 7.0 7.0 10.5394 7.9 7.9 18.4316 6.3 6.3 24.8257 5.2 5.2 29.9133 2.7 2.7 32.6133 2.7 2.7 35.3167 3.3 3.3 38.6
59 1.2 1.2 39.8189 3.8 3.8 43.6
2247 45.0 45.0 88.6567 11.4 11.4 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Step 1Step 2Step 3Step 4Step 5Step 6Step 7Step 8Step 9step 1088: No opinion97: Not heardTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q37b: Where you place Kalyan Singh in the ladder of trust?
845 16.9 16.9 16.9656 13.2 13.2 30.1374 7.5 7.5 37.6236 4.7 4.7 42.3208 4.2 4.2 46.5139 2.8 2.8 49.3124 2.5 2.5 51.8121 2.4 2.4 54.2
62 1.2 1.2 55.4186 3.7 3.7 59.2
1789 35.9 35.9 95.0248 5.0 5.0 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Step 1Step 2Step 3Step 4Step 5Step 6Step 7Step 8Step 9step 1088: No opinion97: Not heardTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
33
Q37c: Where you place Mayawati in the ladder of trust?
1239 24.8 24.8 24.8612 12.3 12.3 37.1457 9.2 9.2 46.3238 4.8 4.8 51.0183 3.7 3.7 54.7117 2.3 2.3 57.1
84 1.7 1.7 58.7150 3.0 3.0 61.7
89 1.8 1.8 63.5238 4.8 4.8 68.3
1477 29.6 29.6 97.9104 2.1 2.1 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Step 1Step 2Step 3Step 4Step 5Step 6Step 7Step 8Step 9step 1088: No opinion97: Not heardTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q37d: Where you place Ajit Singh in the ladder of trust?
177 3.5 3.5 3.5238 4.8 4.8 8.3229 4.6 4.6 12.9349 7.0 7.0 19.9301 6.0 6.0 25.9248 5.0 5.0 30.9171 3.4 3.4 34.3162 3.2 3.2 37.6
61 1.2 1.2 38.8130 2.6 2.6 41.4
2359 47.3 47.3 88.7563 11.3 11.3 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Step 1Step 2Step 3Step 4Step 5Step 6Step 7Step 8Step 9step 1088: No opinion97: Not heardTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
34
Q37e: Where you place Mulayam Singh Yadav in the ladder of trust?
1299 26.0 26.0 26.0362 7.3 7.3 33.3306 6.1 6.1 39.4251 5.0 5.0 44.5249 5.0 5.0 49.5145 2.9 2.9 52.4
88 1.8 1.8 54.1145 2.9 2.9 57.0
79 1.6 1.6 58.6433 8.7 8.7 67.3
1501 30.1 30.1 97.4130 2.6 2.6 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Step 1Step 2Step 3Step 4Step 5Step 6Step 7Step 8Step 9step 1088: No opinion97: Not heardTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q37f: Where you place Raj Babbar in the ladder of trust?
55 1.1 1.1 1.1138 2.8 2.8 3.9182 3.6 3.6 7.5206 4.1 4.1 11.6270 5.4 5.4 17.1297 6.0 6.0 23.0282 5.7 5.7 28.7210 4.2 4.2 32.9
85 1.7 1.7 34.6131 2.6 2.6 37.2
2557 51.3 51.3 88.5575 11.5 11.5 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Step 1Step 2Step 3Step 4Step 5Step 6Step 7Step 8Step 9step 1088: No opinion97: Not heardTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
35
Q37g: Where you place Amar Singh in the ladder of trust?
33 .7 .7 .7284 5.7 5.7 6.4205 4.1 4.1 10.5161 3.2 3.2 13.7183 3.7 3.7 17.4221 4.4 4.4 21.8312 6.3 6.3 28.0230 4.6 4.6 32.7163 3.3 3.3 35.9152 3.0 3.0 39.0
2484 49.8 49.8 88.8560 11.2 11.2 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Step 1Step 2Step 3Step 4Step 5Step 6Step 7Step 8Step 9step 1088: No opinion97: Not heardTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q37h: Where you place Salman Khurshid in the ladder of trust?
131 2.6 2.6 2.6213 4.3 4.3 6.9184 3.7 3.7 10.6234 4.7 4.7 15.3133 2.7 2.7 17.9168 3.4 3.4 21.3223 4.5 4.5 25.8315 6.3 6.3 32.1114 2.3 2.3 34.4164 3.3 3.3 37.7
2357 47.3 47.3 84.9752 15.1 15.1 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Step 1Step 2Step 3Step 4Step 5Step 6Step 7Step 8Step 9step 1088: No opinion97: Not heardTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
Q38: Do you think that the present SP government in the state shouldbe given another chance?
2333 46.8 46.8 46.81822 36.5 36.5 83.3
833 16.7 16.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
36
B1: How often do you practice in prayer, namaz etc.?
1953 39.2 39.2 39.2848 17.0 17.0 56.2973 19.5 19.5 75.7684 13.7 13.7 89.4355 7.1 7.1 96.5175 3.5 3.5 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
DailyOnce a weekOccassionallyOnly during festivalsNeverNo opinionTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B2: How Regularly do you read newspaper?
772 15.5 15.5 15.51045 21.0 21.0 36.4
657 13.2 13.2 49.62514 50.4 50.4 100.04988 100.0 100.0
RegularlySometimesRarelyNeverTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B3: How Regularly do you listen to news on radio?
677 13.6 13.6 13.61292 25.9 25.9 39.5
897 18.0 18.0 57.52122 42.5 42.5 100.04988 100.0 100.0
RegularlySometimesRarelyNeverTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B4: How Regularly do you watch news on T.V.?
733 14.7 14.7 14.71312 26.3 26.3 41.0
764 15.3 15.3 56.32179 43.7 43.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
RegularlySometimesRarelyNeverTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
37
B5: Did you get Photo I-card?
3417 68.5 68.5 68.5
658 13.2 13.2 81.7
90 1.8 1.8 83.5
662 13.3 13.3 96.894 1.9 1.9 98.767 1.3 1.3 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Yes, have voter I-cardPhoto has taken butI-card not givenHave photo I-card butit is wrongPhoto I-card not givenPhoto I-card had lostOthersTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B5a: (If yes) When did you get your Voter I-card?
794 15.9 15.9 15.9
846 17.0 17.0 32.9
245 4.9 4.9 37.8
416 8.3 8.3 46.1
1042 20.9 20.9 67.074 1.5 1.5 68.5
1571 31.5 31.5 100.04988 100.0 100.0
In the last one monthIn the last AssemblyelectionsIn the last Lok SabhaElectionsBefore the last LokSabha ElectionsLong beforeOthersNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B6: Do you have Ration card?
887 17.8 17.8 17.84101 82.2 82.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
38
B6a: (If yes) Which Ration card do you have?
719 14.4 14.4 14.4901 18.1 18.1 32.5135 2.7 2.7 35.2
31 .6 .6 35.8344 6.9 6.9 42.7
1855 37.2 37.2 79.95 .1 .1 80.0
998 20.0 20.0 100.04988 100.0 100.0
A.P.L.*B.P.L.**AntodayaBlue cardRed cardYellow cardDKNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
* Above Poverty Line ** Below Poverty Line
B7: During the last 3 months have you bought ration from fairprice shop?
3197 64.1 64.1 64.11791 35.9 35.9 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B8: What is your age? (recoded)
956 19.2 19.2 19.21396 28.0 28.0 47.31068 21.4 21.5 68.7
736 14.8 14.8 83.5821 16.5 16.5 100.0
4977 99.8 100.011 .2
4988 100.0
Upto 25 yrs26-35yrs36-45yrs46-55yrsAbove 55 yrsTotal
Valid
SystemMissingTotal
Frequency PercentValid
PercentCumulative Percent
39
B9: Gender
2849 57.1 57.1 57.12139 42.9 42.9 100.04988 100.0 100.0
MaleFemaleTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B10: What is your marital status?
4302 86.2 86.2 86.2473 9.5 9.5 95.7
19 .4 .4 96.1
18 .4 .4 96.5111 2.2 2.2 98.7
65 1.3 1.3 100.04988 100.0 100.0
MarriedUnmarriedLiving with someone,but unmarriedDivorced/SeparatedWidowedNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B11: Label of Education (Respondent)
1946 39.0 39.0 39.0262 5.3 5.3 44.3487 9.8 9.8 54.0549 11.0 11.0 65.0567 11.4 11.4 76.4524 10.5 10.5 86.9411 8.2 8.2 95.1145 2.9 2.9 98.1
35 .7 .7 98.862 1.2 1.2 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Non literateBelow PrimaryPrimary pass/Middle failMiddle pass/Matric failMatricCollege no-degreeGraduatePost GraduateProfessional degreesNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
40
B11a: Label of Education (Father)
3349 67.1 67.1 67.1156 3.1 3.1 70.3328 6.6 6.6 76.8297 6.0 6.0 82.8327 6.6 6.6 89.4247 5.0 5.0 94.3155 3.1 3.1 97.4
67 1.3 1.3 98.822 .4 .4 99.240 .8 .8 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Non literateBelow PrimaryPrimary pass/Middle failMiddle pass/Matric failMatricCollege no-degreeGraduatePost GraduateProfessional degreesNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B11a: Label of Education (Mother)
4121 82.6 82.6 82.6103 2.1 2.1 84.7230 4.6 4.6 89.3158 3.2 3.2 92.5142 2.8 2.8 95.3
81 1.6 1.6 96.948 1.0 1.0 97.910 .2 .2 98.1
3 .1 .1 98.292 1.8 1.8 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Non literateBelow PrimaryPrimary pass/Middle failMiddle pass/Matric failMatricCollege no-degreeGraduatePost GraduateProfessional degreesNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
41
B12: Occupation (Respondent) Frequency Percent Valid
Percent Cumulative Percent
Valid Scientist 9 .2 .2 .2 Engineers 8 .2 .2 .3 Doctors 14 .3 .3 .6 Lawyers 22 .4 .4 1.1 Accountants(with degree
and working in good firm)2 .0 .0 1.1
College/University teachers 16 .3 .3 1.4 Writers 4 .1 .1 1.5 Modern Artist 1 .0 .0 1.5 Other higher professional 10 .2 .2 1.7 Science and engineering
technician 4 .1 .1 1.8
Computer operator 8 .2 .2 2.0 Alternative doctors 4 .1 .1 2.0 Medical Technician 5 .1 .1 2.1 School teachers 33 .7 .7 2.8 Nursery teachers 36 .7 .7 3.5 Folk and commercial artist 2 .0 .0 3.6 Priests 2 .0 .0 3.6 Other lower professionals 6 .1 .1 3.7 Elected officials
(Central/State) 1 .0 .0 3.7
Elected officials (District) 1 .0 .0 3.8 Managers 1 .0 .0 3.8 Officials Class-I 2 .0 .0 3.8 Officials Class-II 3 .1 .1 3.9 Class-III Employee
(Clerical) 41 .8 .8 4.7
Superintendents 2 .0 .0 4.8 Traditional clerks 9 .2 .2 4.9 Class IV employee 13 .3 .3 5.2 Other administrative,
managerial and clerical workers
7 .1 .1 5.3
Big businessmen 6 .1 .1 5.5 Medium businessmen 50 1.0 1.0 6.5 Small businessmen 179 3.6 3.6 10.0 Petty shopkeeper 78 1.6 1.6 11.6 Hawkers, Vendors 15 .3 .3 11.9 Sales Executives 6 .1 .1 12.0 Salespersons 5 .1 .1 12.1 Shop Assistants 24 .5 .5 12.6 Other businessmen 16 .3 .3 12.9 Waiters 4 .1 .1 13.0 Dhobi 14 .3 .3 13.3 Barbers, beauticians 16 .3 .3 13.6 Ayahs, Maids, Domestic
servants 6 .1 .1 13.7
Chowkidars, caretakers 4 .1 .1 13.8 Sweepers, scavengers 5 .1 .1 13.9 Other service workers 41 .8 .8 14.7 Mechanics, machine tool
operators, drivers 21 .4 .4 15.2
42
Electricians 7 .1 .1 15.3 Jewellers 4 .1 .1 15.4 Tailors 33 .7 .7 16.0 Weavers 41 .8 .8 16.9 Shoemakers 7 .1 .1 17.0 Blacksmiths 4 .1 .1 17.1 Carpenters 18 .4 .4 17.4 Other skilled workers 37 .7 .7 18.2 Miners 3 .1 .1 18.2 Measons, bricklayers 10 .2 .2 18.4 Potters 1 .0 .0 18.5 Furniture, basket, mat
makers 8 .2 .2 18.6
Rickshaw-pullars 18 .4 .4 19.0 Unskilled labourers 128 2.6 2.6 21.6 Other semi-skilled and
unskilled workers 28 .6 .6 22.1
Owner-cultivators 20+ Acres
53 1.1 1.1 23.2
Owner-cultivators 10-20 Acres
59 1.2 1.2 24.4
Owner-cultivators 5-10 Acres
144 2.9 2.9 27.2
Owner-cultivators 1-5 Acres
498 10.0 10.0 37.2
Owner-cultivators 0-1 Acre 248 5.0 5.0 42.2 Tenant Cultivators. 5+
acres 63 1.3 1.3 43.5
Tenant Cultivators 0-5 acres
255 5.1 5.1 48.6
Plantation workers 7 .1 .1 48.7 Agricultural labourers 628 12.6 12.6 61.3 Other Agricultural Workers 150 3.0 3.0 64.3 House-wife/husband 1345 27.0 27.0 91.3 Students not seeking
employment 184 3.7 3.7 95.0
Employee seekers 52 1.0 1.0 96.0 Unemployed workers, non-
workers 21 .4 .4 96.4
Other occupation 58 1.2 1.2 97.6 Political activists 5 .1 .1 97.7 Unidentifiable 27 .5 .5 98.2 N.A. 88 1.8 1.8 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0
B12a: Occupation (Father) Frequency Percent Valid
Percent Cumulative Percent
Valid Scientist 25 .5 .5 .5 Engineers 12 .2 .2 .7 Doctors 22 .4 .4 1.2 Lawyers 8 .2 .2 1.3
43
Accountants(with degree and working in good
firm)
4 .1 .1 1.4
College/University teachers
12 .2 .2 1.7
Writers 5 .1 .1 1.8 Modern Artist 2 .0 .0 1.8 Other higher professional 14 .3 .3 2.1 Computer operator 2 .0 .0 2.1 Medical Technician 3 .1 .1 2.2 School teachers 38 .8 .8 2.9 Nursery teachers 9 .2 .2 3.1 Folk and commercial
artist 1 .0 .0 3.1
Priests 5 .1 .1 3.2 Other lower
professionals 1 .0 .0 3.3
Elected officials (Central/State)
3 .1 .1 3.3
Elected officials (District)
8 .2 .2 3.5
Managers 11 .2 .2 3.7 Officials Class-I 5 .1 .1 3.8 Officials Class-II 8 .2 .2 4.0 Class-III Employee
(Clerical) 49 1.0 1.0 5.0
Superintendents 3 .1 .1 5.0 clerks 10 .2 .2 5.2 Class IV employee 15 .3 .3 5.5 Other administrative,
managerial and clerical workers
12 .2 .2 5.8
Big businessmen 10 .2 .2 6.0 Medium businessmen 29 .6 .6 6.5 Small businessmen 127 2.5 2.5 9.1 Petty shopkeeper 36 .7 .7 9.8 Hawkers, Vendors 15 .3 .3 10.1 Sales Executives 5 .1 .1 10.2 Salespersons 2 .0 .0 10.2 Shop Assistants 19 .4 .4 10.6 Other businessmen 15 .3 .3 10.9 Dhobi 17 .3 .3 11.3 Barbers, beauticians 9 .2 .2 11.4 Ayahs, Maids, Domestic
servants 1 .0 .0 11.5
Chowkidars, caretakers 6 .1 .1 11.6 Sweepers, scavengers 4 .1 .1 11.7 Other service workers 22 .4 .4 12.1 Mechanics, machine tool
operators, drivers 23 .5 .5 12.6
Electricians 9 .2 .2 12.8 Jewellers 9 .2 .2 12.9 Tailors 21 .4 .4 13.4 Weavers 30 .6 .6 14.0 Shoemakers 5 .1 .1 14.1 Blacksmiths 3 .1 .1 14.1
44
Carpenters 12 .2 .2 14.4 Other skilled workers 17 .3 .3 14.7 Miners 2 .0 .0 14.7 Measons, bricklayers 5 .1 .1 14.8 Potters 3 .1 .1 14.9 Furniture, basket, mat
makers 4 .1 .1 15.0
Rickshaw-pullars 11 .2 .2 15.2 Unskilled labourers 77 1.5 1.5 16.7 Other semi-skilled and
unskilled workers 25 .5 .5 17.2
Owner-cultivators 20+ Acres
51 1.0 1.0 18.3
Owner-cultivators 10-20 Acres
81 1.6 1.6 19.9
Owner-cultivators 5-10 Acres
203 4.1 4.1 24.0
Owner-cultivators 1-5 Acres
653 13.1 13.1 37.0
Owner-cultivators 0-1 Acre
397 8.0 8.0 45.0
Tenant Cultivators. 5+ acres
111 2.2 2.2 47.2
Tenant Cultivators 0-5 acres
389 7.8 7.8 55.0
Plantation workers 9 .2 .2 55.2 Agricultural labourers 544 10.9 10.9 66.1 Other Agricultural
Workers 149 2.9 2.9 69.0
House-wife/husband 23 .5 .5 69.5 Students not seeking
employment 1 .0 .0 69.5
Employee seekers 20 .4 .4 69.9 Unemployed workers,
non-workers 13 .3 .3 70.2
Other occupation 310 6.2 6.2 76.4 Political activists 1 .0 .0 76.4 Unidentifiable 21 .4 .4 76.9 N.A. 1154 23.1 23.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0
B13: What is your Caste/Jati-biradari/Tribe name? Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent Valid Brahmin 425 8.5 8.5 8.5
Bhumihar 74 1.5 1.5 10.0 Rajput 452 9.1 9.1 19.1 Kayasthas 70 1.4 1.4 20.5 Vaishya 97 1.9 1.9 22.4 Jain 11 .2 .2 22.6 Punjabi Khatri (only
Hindus) 1 .0 .0 22.7
Other upper caste 19 .4 .4 23.0
45
Jat (Hindus only) 145 2.9 2.9 25.9 Other PP 1 .0 .0 26.0 Gujjar 30 .6 .6 26.6 Yadav 615 12.3 12.3 38.9 Kurmi 208 4.2 4.2 43.1 Lodh 122 2.4 2.4 45.5 Koeri 174 3.5 3.5 49.0 Gaderia 108 2.2 2.2 51.2 Other Peasant OBC 44 .9 .9 52.0 Bunkar (Weavers) 7 .1 .1 52.2 Darzee (Tailors) 17 .3 .3 52.5 Thatihar (Make vessel) 3 .1 .1 52.6 Lakhera (Make Lac
Bangles) 4 .1 .1 52.7
Badhai (Carpenters) 20 .4 .4 53.1 Kumhar (Potters) 58 1.2 1.2 54.2 Lohar (Black Smith) 43 .9 .9 55.1 Sunar (Gold Smith) 18 .4 .4 55.5 Other Craftsmen 17 .3 .3 55.8 Kewat (Fishermen &
Boatmen) 110 2.2 2.2 58.0
Dhobi (Washermen) 46 .9 .9 58.9 Nai (Barber) 46 .9 .9 59.8 Teli (Oil Pressers) 91 1.8 1.8 61.7 Jogi (Mendicants & Seek
Aims) 8 .2 .2 61.8
Traders OBC 6 .1 .1 61.9 Toddy Trappers 2 .0 .0 62.0 Landless Labourers 7 .1 .1 62.1 Entertaining Caste 1 .0 .0 62.1 Other service OBC 56 1.1 1.1 63.3 Chamar/Jatav
(Leatherwork) 788 15.8 15.8 79.1
Balmiki/Bhangi (Scavengers)
17 .3 .3 79.4
Pasi/Pano 191 3.8 3.8 83.2 Dhobi, Julaha, Kewat (non
OBC) 50 1.0 1.0 84.2
56: Dom 2 .0 .0 84.3 Nomadic/Service SC 17 .3 .3 84.6 Lowest SC 9 .2 .2 84.8 Other SC 38 .8 .8 85.6 ST 13 .3 .3 85.8 Ashrafs (Sayyad Shaikh) 119 2.4 2.4 88.2 Mughal (Khan) 152 3.0 3.0 91.3 Rajput (Peasant
Proprietors) 12 .2 .2 91.5
Other Upper Caste 22 .4 .4 91.9 Peasant + Traders 33 .7 .7 92.6 Craftsmen + Weavers 157 3.1 3.1 95.7 Service 98 2.0 2.0 97.7 Other Muslim OBC 48 1.0 1.0 98.7 Muslim no caste/Other
Muslims 16 .3 .3 99.0
Sikhs 4 .1 .1 99.1 Christian 2 .0 .0 99.1
46
Other minorities 1 .0 .0 99.1 No religion no caste 29 .6 .6 99.7 Not Ascertained/Failed to
ask/Answer refused 14 .3 .3 100.0
Total 4988 100.0 100.0
B13a: What is your caste group?
1310 26.3 26.3 26.379 1.6 1.6 27.8
2182 43.7 43.7 71.61400 28.1 28.1 99.7
17 .3 .3 100.04988 100.0 100.0
SCSTOBCOthersNATotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B14: Religion
4249 85.2 85.2 85.2647 13.0 13.0 98.2
32 .6 .6 98.826 .5 .5 99.311 .2 .2 99.5
3 .1 .1 99.61 .0 .0 99.6
19 .4 .4 100.04988 100.0 100.0
HinduMuslimChristianSikhBuddhistJainParsiOthersTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B15: Area/Locality
4460 89.4 89.4 89.4222 4.5 4.5 93.9215 4.3 4.3 98.2
91 1.8 1.8 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
VillageTown (Below 1 lakh)City (Above 1 lakh)Metropolitan City(Above 10 laks)Total
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
47
B15a: (If Town/City) Type of house
4133 82.9 82.9 82.9
130 2.6 2.6 85.5
89 1.8 1.8 87.2
150 3.0 3.0 90.3
140 2.8 2.8 93.1
102 2.0 2.0 95.1
78 1.6 1.6 96.7
36 .7 .7 97.4
71 1.4 1.4 98.859 1.2 1.2 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
NAHouse/Flat with 4 ormore bedroomsHouse/Flat with 3 or 4BedroomsHouse/Flat with 3bedroomsHouse/flats with 2 puccarooms (with kitchen)House/Flat with 2 puccarooms(Without kitchenHouse with 1 puccarooms(With kitchen)House with 1 puccarooms(without kitchenMainly Kutcha houseSlum/JJ/Fully KutchaTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B15b: (If Village), Type of House
561 11.2 11.2 11.21356 27.2 27.2 38.41547 31.0 31.0 69.41153 23.1 23.1 92.6
371 7.4 7.4 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NAPuccaPucca-KutchaKutchaHutTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
48
B16: Number of rooms used in the household
283 5.7 5.7 5.7556 11.1 11.1 16.8
1320 26.5 26.5 43.3932 18.7 18.7 62.0859 17.2 17.2 79.2379 7.6 7.6 86.8318 6.4 6.4 93.2154 3.1 3.1 96.3133 2.7 2.7 98.9
54 1.1 1.1 100.04988 100.0 100.0
No rooms/NAOneTwoThreeFourFiveSixSevenEightNine and aboveTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B17: Total number of family member(Adult)
411 8.2 8.2 8.2122 2.4 2.4 10.7
1086 21.8 21.8 32.5693 13.9 13.9 46.4957 19.2 19.2 65.5580 11.6 11.6 77.2533 10.7 10.7 87.9241 4.8 4.8 92.7259 5.2 5.2 97.9106 2.1 2.1 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
Blank/NAOneTwoThreeFourFiveSixSevenEightNine and aboveTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
49
B17: Total number of family member(Children)
681 13.7 13.7 13.7516 10.3 10.3 24.0
1116 22.4 22.4 46.41047 21.0 21.0 67.4
624 12.5 12.5 79.9411 8.2 8.2 88.1243 4.9 4.9 93.0164 3.3 3.3 96.3126 2.5 2.5 98.8
60 1.2 1.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
Blank/NAOneTwoThreeFourFiveSixSevenEightNine and aboveTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B18b: Colour or B/W Television
2950 59.1 59.1 59.11577 31.6 31.6 90.8
461 9.2 9.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoB/WColourTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B18c: Scooter/Motorcycle/Mopet
3575 71.7 71.7 71.71413 28.3 28.3 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B18d: Telephone/Mobile Phone
3262 65.4 65.4 65.41726 34.6 34.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B18e: Electric fan/cooler
2565 51.4 51.4 51.42423 48.6 48.6 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
50
B18f: Bicycle
1062 21.3 21.3 21.33926 78.7 78.7 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B18g: Radio/Transistor
2096 42.0 42.0 42.02892 58.0 58.0 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B18h: Pumping set
3731 74.8 74.8 74.81257 25.2 25.2 100.04988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
B18i: Fridge
4419 88.6 88.6 88.6569 11.4 11.4 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
NoYesTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
51
B18j: Cow/Buffalow Frequency Percent Valid
Percent Cumulative Percent
Valid 0 1640 32.9 33.0 33.0 1 847 17.0 17.0 50.0 2 903 18.1 18.2 68.2 3 411 8.2 8.3 76.4 4 266 5.3 5.3 81.8 5 119 2.4 2.4 84.2 6 77 1.5 1.5 85.7 7 24 .5 .5 86.2 8 28 .6 .6 86.8 9 9 .2 .2 86.9 10 162 3.2 3.3 90.2 11 96 1.9 1.9 92.1 12 63 1.3 1.3 93.4 13 12 .2 .2 93.6 14 4 .1 .1 93.7 15 4 .1 .1 93.8 16 2 .0 .0 93.8 20 64 1.3 1.3 95.1 21 51 1.0 1.0 96.2 22 30 .6 .6 96.8 23 20 .4 .4 97.2 24 11 .2 .2 97.4 25 1 .0 .0 97.4 26 1 .0 .0 97.4 30 18 .4 .4 97.8 31 11 .2 .2 98.0 32 27 .5 .5 98.6 33 5 .1 .1 98.7 34 7 .1 .1 98.8 35 1 .0 .0 98.8 36 1 .0 .0 98.8 40 9 .2 .2 99.0 41 2 .0 .0 99.1 42 6 .1 .1 99.2 43 3 .1 .1 99.2 44 1 .0 .0 99.3 50 4 .1 .1 99.3 51 3 .1 .1 99.4 60 1 .0 .0 99.4 80 1 .0 .0 99.4 91 1 .0 .0 99.5 97 1 .0 .0 99.5 99 25 .5 .5 100.0 810 1 .0 .0 100.0 Total 4973 99.7 100.0
Missing System 15 .3 Total 4988 100.0
52
B19: Total monthly household income
313 6.3 6.3 6.31240 24.9 24.9 31.11261 25.3 25.3 56.4
788 15.8 15.8 72.2396 7.9 7.9 80.2408 8.2 8.2 88.3383 7.7 7.7 96.0166 3.3 3.3 99.3
22 .4 .4 99.811 .2 .2 100.0
4988 100.0 100.0
NAUp to Rs. 1000Rs. 1001- Rs. 2000Rs. 2001- Rs. 3000Rs. 3001- Rs. 4000Rs. 4001- Rs. 5000Rs. 5001- Rs. 10,000Rs. 10,001- Rs. 20,000Rs. 20,001 - Rs. 50,000Rs. 50,001 and aboveTotal
ValidFrequency Percent
ValidPercent
Cumulative Percent
53
III: ANNEXURE-3 VOTE SHARE BY DIFFERENT CATEGORIES OF VOTERS
Source: CSDS Data Unit, Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election Study, Pre-Poll – 2007 Note: All figures in percent; N= Number of Respondents. Sample Size: 4988. * Other party includes Janta Dal, Jan Morcha, CPM, Independent and RTKP. Rural¹ includes village, having minimum 5000 population Urban² includes town (below one lakh), city (above one lakh) and Metropolitan (above 10 lakh)
Congress BJP BSP SP RLD Others* All 8.5 20.8 30.2 35.1 2.0 3.5
Gender Male 8.5 21.1 28.9 35.8 2.0 3.7
Female 8.5 20.4 31.9 34.1 2.0 3.1 Age Group
Upto 25 yrs 7.6 21.7 27.3 37.1 1.4 4.9 26-35yrs 8.1 23.2 29.3 32.8 2.5 4.0 36-45yrs 8.5 21.1 31.0 34.7 2.6 2.2 46-55yrs 9.2 18.4 30.4 38.2 1.1 2.7
Above 55 yrs 9.7 17.0 33.8 34.5
1.7 3.2
Area/Locality Rural 7.7 19.8 32.0 35.3 2.2 3.1 Urban 15.1 28.9 15.5 33.7 .4 6.4
Religion Hindu 7.6 23.3 32.8 30.8 2.1 3.3
Muslims 13.5 2.2 12.6 66.2 1.1 4.3 Christian 7.7 23.1 11.5 42.3 15.4
Sikh 12.5 50.0 12.5 25.0 Others 21.9 18.8 46.9 12.5
Caste/Jat Biradari Brahmin 11.5 63.4 10.7 10.7 .5 3.1 Rajput 12.2 48.9 10.6 22.5 1.9 3.8
Vaishya 6.1 52.4 15.9 22.0 3.7 Other Upper Caste 16.2 46.8 16.9 19.5 .6
Jat 4.0 21.6 6.4 16.8 47.2 4.0 Yadav 4.1 3.6 5.0 86.0 1.3 Kurmi 6.9 21.8 13.8 44.7 .5 12.2 Lodha 9.3 38.1 20.6 25.8 1.0 5.2
Other Peasant OBC 9.2 19.3 33.4 33.4 1.0 3.6 Lower OBC 11.5 18.2 31.7 33.6 .4 4.6
Jatav 2.3 3.9 85.6 6.1 .3 1.7 Other SCs 6.8 5.0 64.8 17.4 .7 5.3 Muslims 12.9 4.4 12.6 66.3 1.1 2.7 Others 33.3 50.0 16.7
NA 12.8 17.9 30.8 28.2 10.3 Level of Education (Respondent)
Non Literate 7.3 11.4 40.3 36.9 1.2 2.8 Upto Primary 9.5 18.0 32.3 34.7 1.4 4.1 Upto Matric 7.5 22.8 25.0 37.3 3.6 3.9 College and
above 10.9 35.2 17.9 30.3 2.1 3.7
N.A 3.6 29.1 29.1 34.5 1.8 1.8