How Statistics Show s the Crisis?
14
How Statistics Shows the Crisis? Prof. Barbara Liberda Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office
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How Statistics Show s the Crisis?. Prof. Barbara Liberda Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office. Gross Domestic Product. Gross Domestic Product. Inflation. Foreign Trade. Production. Labour. Wages. Loans. Sales. Enterprises. NEW REGISTERED: I-V 2008 – 129 169 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of How Statistics Show s the Crisis?
How Statistics Shows the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office
Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITUREAND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)
100,0
103,0
106,0
109,0
112,0
115,0
118,0
121,0
124,0
I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I
2006 2007 2008 2009
individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
100,0
103,0
106,0
109,0
I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I
2006 2007 2008 2009
GDP GDP 2000
Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
99,0
100,0
101,0
102,0
103,0
104,0
105,0
106,0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006 2007 2008 2009
Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
I2006
II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I 2007
II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I2008
II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I2009
II III IV V
mln EUR
0
40
80
120
160
200
240
280
320
360
400
440
480
520
in PLN
exports imports 100 EUR
Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
92,0
107,3
87,6
114,4
82,0
84,086,0
88,0
90,0
92,094,0
96,0
98,0
100,0102,0
104,0
106,0
108,0110,0
112,0
114,0
116,0118,0
120,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV
2006 2007 2008 2009
seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data
Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1225
1169
1103 11051120
1068
10331021 1025
997
961 961
998
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
Q. I 2006
Q. II Q. III Q. IV Q. I 2007
Q. II Q. III Q. IV Q. I 2008
Q. II Q. III Q. IV Q. I 2009
Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
98,0
100,0
102,0
104,0
106,0
108,0
110,0
112,0
114,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV
2006 2007 2008 2009
nominal
real
Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS (corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
128,0
134,5
100,0
104,0
108,0
112,0
116,0
120,0
124,0
128,0
132,0
136,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV
2006 2007 2008 2009
Sales
99,3
114,6
101,1
108,8
96,0
100,0
104,0
108,0
112,0
116,0
120,0
124,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV
2006 2007 2008 2009
retail sales
wages and salaries
RETAIL SALES OF GOODSAND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
Enterprises
NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
manufacturing construction trade andrepair
hotels andrestaurants
transport,storage and
communication
financialintermediation
real estate,renting and
businessactivities
education health andsocial work
othercommunity,social andpersonalservice
activities
number of units
I-V 2008
I-V 2009
NEW REGISTERED: I-V 2008 – 129 169 I-V 2009 – 120 409
Fuels and Vehicles
74,078,082,086,090,094,098,0
102,0106,0110,0114,0118,0122,0126,0130,0134,0138,0142,0146,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2008 2009
motor vehicles,motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseousfuels
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY (corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
Economic Sentiment Index
Wskaźnik syntetyczny koniunktury gospodarczej
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
01-04
05-04
09-04
01-05
05-05
09-05
01-06
05-06
09-06
01-07
05-07
09-07
01-08
05-08
09-08
01-09
05-09
Do we face recession?
14
Prof. Zofia Barbara LiberdaAdviser to the President of Central Statistical Office
Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
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