How B20 Recommendations Translate into G20 Decisions
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Transcript of How B20 Recommendations Translate into G20 Decisions
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How B20 Recommendations Translate into G20 Decisions
Report prepared by IORI HSE and G20 Research Group of the
University of Toronto
22 March 2013
G20-B20 DIALOGUE EFFICIENCY TASKFORCE
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Presentation Structure
• Review Goals• Methodology• Main findings• Findings by areas• Conclusions
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Goals
• Review the progress of G20-B20 engagement • Identify what works • Support continuity of B20 efforts on the key areas of
policy coordination with G20 • Help in developing B20 recommendations for future
G20 actionsThe report is not meant to assess either G20 or B20
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MethodologyFirst Step: Review of Recommendations
• Recommendations singled out from B20 final documents, produced since Toronto and included into a catalogue
• Recommendations categorized by summits, by 14 issue areas, by Task Forces
• Output: catalogue as an archive and a tool for future B20 presidencies consolidating B20 members’ individual wisdom into an institutional memory
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MethodologyFurther Steps: Analysis and Assessment
Neither G20 nor B20 are assessed, the score is used as an indication of G20-B20 engagement progress on B20 recommendations.Criteria:1. Direct references to B20; 2. Mentions of the keywords “business”, “private sector”; 3. Degree of G20 statements matching B20 recommendationsScoring system:(+1) B20 recommendation was addressed in the G20 documents and G20 actions (commitments) or mandates are in line with it(0) B20 recommendation was addressed in the G20 documents but no commitments/ mandates in line with it have been agreed (deliberation)(-1) B20 recommendation was not addressed in the G20 documents.Cycle based analysis
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Main Findings
• Total of 262 recommendations: 93 (35.5%) reflected in G20 documents as commitments and/or mandates
• Toronto: 11 recommendations as a response to the G20 priorities on the eve of the summit
• Seoul (57 recommendations): increase in the number and expansion into new areas of green growth, ICT and innovations, infrastructure development and health
• Cannes (118 recommendations): increase in the number and expansion into new areas of food security, anticorruption, global governance and financing for development
• Los Cabos: 76 recommendations
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B20 Recommendations’ Scores Distribution
Scoring
Toronto Seoul Cannes Los Cabos Total
No. % No. % No. % No. % No. %
-1 0 0 30 52.6 47 39.8 28 36.8 105 40.1
0 4 36.4 11 19.3 26 22 23 30.3 64 24.4
+1 7 63.6 16 28.1 45 38.1 25 32.9 93 35.5
Total 11 100 57 100 118 100 76 100 262 100
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B20 Recommendations’ Scores Distribution by Areas
-10
+1
Finan
cial R
egulati
on
Internati
onal Moneta
ry Sys
tem
Food se
curity
Macroeco
nomicTra
de
Infrastr
ucture
Green Growth
Corruption
Investm
ent
Global Gover
nance
Employm
ent, H
uman Cap
ital, S
ocial Is
sues
Energ
y
Finan
cing f
or gro
wth and dev
elopmen
t
ICT, Tec
hnologies a
nd Innovati
onsTo
tal0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
3
35
4 84
17
7
84
11
7
717
1056
1 4
49
37
8
2 211
3
1
3
64
16 7 15
7 123 10 6 4 2 7 3
1
93
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Financial Regulation: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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International Monetary System (for Cannes only)
• 4.2% of all recommendations• 63.6% of recommendations were acted upon by G20• Level of reflection is the highest after Financial Regulation• High level of correlation between B20 recommendations
and G20 decisions explained by B20 sharing G20 established agenda and reflecting it in recommendations, rather than B20 influencing G20 decisions
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Macroeconomic Policy: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Food Security: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Trade: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Investment: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Infrastructure: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Employment, Human Capital and Social Issues: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Green Growth: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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ICT, Technologies and Innovations: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Energy: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Corruption: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Financing for Development: Scores Distribution by Presidencies
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Global Governance and Impact and Advocacy
• 8 recommendations made in Cannes focused on improving G20 coordination and communication with business and other stakeholders, and enhancing G20 transparency and legitimacy
• 2 reflected in G20 decisions, 2 deliberated upon• In Los Cabos the Task Force on Impact and Accountability
addressed its recommendations to B20, not G20• B20 should consider agreeing a set of recommendations
which would integrate proposals to G20 and recommendations to B20 in a balanced manner
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Conclusions
B20 impact on G20 decisions is incremental and mostly tracked in the policy areas and on issues which constitute G20 core agenda. However, there are good examples of B20 leadership and success stories, such as the employment and finance respectively. B20 can build upon its own best practices. This will require three qualities:• B20 capability to identify challenges G20 face, to define B20 priorities
related to these challenges and to agree on a select number of issues B20 would advocate;
• B20 awareness of G20 members’ national circumstances, understanding if G20 consensus may be forged on B20 recommendations;
• B20 capacity to coordinate and consolidate positions across presidencies, B20 consistency and continuity on the issues they prioritize, especially where recommendations fall beyond the G20 core agenda.
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B20 Recommendations’ Scores Distribution by Areas
Area-1 0 1 Total
No. % No. % No. % No. %Green Growth 17 50 7 20.6 10 29.4 34 100Employment, Human Capital, Social Issues 11 37.9 11 37.9 7 24.1 29 100
Trade 8 27.6 9 31 12 41.4 29 100Financial Regulation 3 12 6 24 16 64 25 100Food security 5 20.8 4 16.7 15 62.5 24 100Corruption 7 33.3 8 38.1 6 28.6 21 100ICT, Technologies and Innovations 17 85 3 15 0 0 20 100Macroeconomic Policy 4 26.7 4 26.7 7 46.7 15 100Investment 8 57.1 2 14.3 4 28.6 14 100Energy 7 53.8 3 23.1 3 23.1 13 100International Monetary System 3 27.3 1 9.1 7 63.6 11 100Infrastructure 4 40 3 30 3 30 10 100Financing for development 7 77.8 1 11.1 1 11.1 9 100Global Governance 4 50 2 25 2 25 8 100Total 105 40.1 64 24.4 93 35.5 262 100