Houston Case Study Specifications using WRF and … · Houston Case Study Specifications using WRF...

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Houston Case Study Specifications using WRF and RAMS Susan C. van den Heever (CSU) and Ann Fridlind (NASA GISS) ACPC DCC Initiative Co-Chairs Model Setup and Experiment Design tested extensively by Peter Marinescu (CSU) and Bethan White (Oxford)

Transcript of Houston Case Study Specifications using WRF and … · Houston Case Study Specifications using WRF...

HoustonCaseStudySpecificationsusingWRFandRAMS

SusanC.vandenHeever(CSU)andAnnFridlind (NASAGISS)

ACPCDCCInitiativeCo-Chairs

ModelSetupandExperimentDesigntestedextensivelybyPeterMarinescu(CSU)andBethan White(Oxford)

ACPCWebsite

• www.acpcinitiative.org• Documentstobeposted– PeterMarinescu• ACPCmeetinginOxford(April2016)=>DCCroadmapdeveloped

• AppendixofDCCroadmaphasrecommendedCRMsetups

ACPCDCCInitiative

Goals1. toincreaseourunderstandingoftheimpacts

ofaerosolsondeepconvectivestorms,and2. toenhancetherepresentationofthese

impactsincloud-resolvingmodels(CRMs)throughglobalclimatemodels(GCMs)

throughtheutilizationofauniquecombinationofobservationsandnumericalexperiments.

KeyScienceQuestions• SQ1: Whatisthevariabilityoftheatmosphericresponse,bothlocallyandregionally,toaerosolperturbationsamongdifferentstate-of-the-artCRMs?

• SQ2:Whatphysicalprocessesarethemostsignificantcontributorstoaerosol-induceduncertaintiesincurrentCRMs,intermsofrepresentingaerosol-cloud-precipitation-climateinteractions?

• SQ3: Whatarethespatialandtemporalobservationsrequiredtocalculateaccurateestimatesofenergy,moisture,andaerosolfluxesonthescalesofaGCMgridbox?

Approach

• PartI:Multi-ModelCaseStudySimulations• PartII:ObservationalAnalysis• PartIII:BoxClosureStudy

Approach

PartI:Multi-ModelCaseStudySimulations• CasestudyfocusesonisolateddeepconvectionnearHouston,Texason19-20June,2013

• Favorabledueto:– Isolatednatureofdeepconvection– Localizedsourcesofaerosolparticlesevident

• EnsembleofdifferentCRMcasestudysimulationswithcleanandpollutedconditionswillbeevaluatedusingobservations

Approach

PartI:Multi-ModelCaseStudySimulations• Thesimulationswillbeusedtoquantifythespreadintheresponsetoaerosolperturbationsamongtherangeofstate-of-the-artCRMs=>SQ1

• In-depthanalysisofindividualconvectivecellsandmicrophysicalprocesses(togetherwithobservationalanalysis)willprovidethephysicalreasonsfortheseresults=>SQ2

• ExtensivemodeltestingwithWRFandRAMStoassessappropriatesimulationsetups

ModelConfiguration

PhysicsParameterizations

• 2Experiments=>1cleanand1polluted

• Clean:AP(z)=300cm-3 *exp(z/7000m)

• Polluted:AP(z)=1800cm-3 *exp(z/7000m)

Theseaerosolvaluesarebasedonconvectivecloudbaseclouddropletnumberconcentrationsestimatedviaasatellitealgorithmfromdataon19June2013case.DetailsofthisalgorithmcanbefoundinRosenfield etal.(2014).

AerosolExperiments

ImageprovidedbyDanielRosenfeld

ModelOutputs

• Specificmodeloutputsarerequested• ThesimulationdatawillbearchivedwithinanACPCworkspaceonJASMIN,adatacenterfundedbytheNaturalEnvironmentResearchCouncil(NERC)andtheUKSpaceAgency(UKSA).

• Variousfrequenciesandformatsrequired

ComparisonstoObservations• 3KMAGLRadarReflectivity:1800UTC

KHGX RAMS

KHGXradardataprovidedbyMarcusvanLier-WalquiandAnnFridlind

June19,2013

Scatteredconvectivecellsdevelopinnorth-westernTexas

ComparisonstoObservations• 3KMAGLRadarReflectivity:1900UTC

KHGX RAMS

KHGXradardataprovidedbyMarcusvanLier-WalquiandAnnFridlind

June19,2013

Scatteredconvectivecellsdevelopinnorth-westernTexas

ComparisonstoObservations• 3KMAGLRadarReflectivity:2000UTC

KHGX RAMS

KHGXradardataprovidedbyMarcusvanLier-WalquiandAnnFridlind

June19,2013

ScatteredcellulardevelopmentshiftssouthwardnearHoustonarea

ComparisonstoObservations• 3KMAGLRadarReflectivity:2100UTC

KHGX RAMS

KHGXradardataprovidedbyMarcusvanLier-WalquiandAnnFridlind

June19,2013

ScatteredcellulardevelopmentshiftssouthwardnearHoustonarea

ComparisonstoObservations• 3KMAGLRadarReflectivity:2200UTC

KHGX RAMS

KHGXradardataprovidedbyMarcusvanLier-WalquiandAnnFridlind

June19,2013

ScatteredcellulardevelopmentshiftssouthwardnearHoustonarea

ComparisonstoObservations• 3KMAGLRadarReflectivity:2300UTC

KHGX RAMS

KHGXradardataprovidedbyMarcusvanLier-WalquiandAnnFridlind

June19,2013

ScatteredcellulardevelopmentshiftssouthwardnearHoustonarea

ComparisonstoObservations• 3KMAGLRadarReflectivity:2400UTC

KHGX RAMS

KHGXradardataprovidedbyMarcusvanLier-WalquiandAnnFridlind

June19,2013

Convectivecellsbecomelesswidespread

ComparisonstoObservations• RadarReflectivityCFADs(06/191800UTC– 2400UTC)

– ConvectiveGridColumnsà 3KMAGLReflectivity>40dBZ

KHGXradardataprovidedbyMarcusvanLier-WalquiandAnnFridlind

June19,2013

Approach

PartII:ObservationalAnalysis• Modelevaluation- bringsimulationsascloseaspossibletothenarrowlistofwell-observedquantitiesinordertofacilitateevaluation

• Observationswillbeusedbothinconjunctionwiththecasestudysimulations,andseparatelyasanothertooltostudyaerosol-cloudinteractions=>SQ2

• Detailsalreadycovered

Approach

PartIII:BoxClosureStudy• CRMensembleprovidehighspatialandtemporalresolutiondatatoaddressfeasibilityofconductingaboxclosurestudyforaGCMgridbox,asoutlinedinRosenfeldetal.(2014).

• Simulationdatawillbeusedtocalculatepreciseenergy,moisture,momentumandaerosolfluxesacrossaregionrepresentingaGCMgridbox(~100x100kminhorizontalextentandtothetopofthetropopauseinverticalextent).

Approach

PartIII:BoxClosureStudy• Hypotheticalfieldcampaignsamplingtechniqueswillbeappliedtomodeldatatodeterminetemporalfrequencyandspatialresolutionofobservationsnecessarytocalculatesyntheticfluxmeasurements=>SQ3

• Thelarge-scaleGCMboxfluxmeasurementswillbecalculatedforallCRMsimulationsinordertoquantifyvariabilityinenergy,moisture,momentumandaerosolfluxestoaerosolperturbationsacrossthedifferentCRMs=>SQ1

NextSteps• Encouragemodelinggroupstoparticipateinthestudy

• Only2simulationsareneededandthebasicsetupsaredescribedintheroadmap=>limitedmodeltinkering

• InitialresultsatACPCmeeting(April2017)• Finalizesimulationperformanceandanalysisbyendof2017

• SeveralDCCmanuscriptsplannedincludingadescriptionoffieldcampaignneeds