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Housing Evidence Base Final Report June 2015 Chris Broughton Associates

Transcript of Housing Evidence Base - East Meoneastmeon.org.uk/npdocuments/Housing Needs Rpt final with... ·...

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Housing Evidence Base

Final Report

June 2015

Chris Broughton Associates

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C o n t en ts

Contents

Executive Summary ................................................................................................ 2

Chapter 1: Introduction .......................................................................................... 7

Chapter 2: Information about the parish ................................................................ 8

Chapter 3: The housing market context ................................................................ 35

Chapter 4: Social housing supply and registered demand ..................................... 41

Chapter 5: The household survey .......................................................................... 44

Chapter 6: Information from stakeholders ............................................................ 57

Chapter 7: Key findings and conclusions ............................................................... 60

Appendix .............................................................................................................. 64

The household survey questionnaire .................................................................... 64

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Executive Summary

Introduction and aims of the study

1. The aim of the study is to support the neighbourhood development plan by compiling an evidence base to

describe the quantity and characteristics of households and the housing stock within the parish; estimate

the additional housing needed in the parish to meet the needs of its residents and record views and

priorities of residents regarding any future housing provision.

The study method

2. The study combines context information from the censuses of 2001 and 2011, information published by

East Hampshire District Council and the South Downs National Park Authority, stakeholder insights, data

collected through a household survey as well as information from Rightmove and the Land Registry.

3. All of this information is brought together to estimate the housing requirements of local households over

a 5 year period and using the contextual information consider the imbalances between supply and

demand that might be addressed in the longer term.

Information about the parish

4. Evidence from the censuses of 2001, 2011 and Rightmove suggests that the parish has many features that

distinguish it from the district, the region and England. Compared to these larger geographies the key

differences are:

over the decade between the 2001 and 2011 censuses the parish population and number of

households has grown at a greater rate than for East Hampshire;

there are fewer young children and young adults - a downward trend;

there are considerably more people in the 45-64 age range – an upward trend;

people that are economically active are more likely to be in higher and medium level

occupations and self-employment;

the proportion of the population employed in Agriculture Forestry and Fishing industries and in

Real Estate Activities which is much higher than for the other geographies; and

residents are healthier and are less likely to have limitations in their day to day activities even

though there is a high proportion of older residents in the parish.

5. The housing stock:

has a very high proportion of detached houses and bungalows with a very low proportion of

terraced homes, flats and apartments;

has a high proportion (over 75%) of homes that have 3 bedrooms or more;

generates a low supply of re-sales and re-lets;

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generates high demand, driven by its location in the National Park with access to labour

markets in nearby cities and London;

has more expensive house prices than the district and region;

6. There is little supply of re-sale, market rental, social or affordable housing in the parish every year.

Although many households on the waiting list for social housing aspire to live in the parish, limited supply

from relets means that waiting times are lengthy.

The wider housing market context

7. It is estimated that for East Hampshire that 500 to 650 new homes need to be provided each year. 308

affordable homes per annum will be needed. This is equivalent to between 8,500 to 11,050 additional

homes in the period 2011 to 2028. The latest household projections estimate an additional 8,000

households resident in East Hampshire between 2012 and 2032 being a 16% increase. Estimated average

household size is expected to reduce from 2.39 to 2.24 (-6.3%) over this period. All of the population

growth is expected to be over 55 years of age with the proportion of households over 85 increasing by

50%.

8. Government policy states that development will occur mainly outside the national park. Within the park,

new housing will be focussed on meeting affordable requirements, supporting local employment

opportunities and key services. However the National Park is an area of high demand for housing with

constrained supply and a high potential for additional supply to lead to further in-migration, - pricing out

local households.

9. The extent to which existing and newly forming households are priced out of the market is considerable.

It is estimated that a dual income household with income equivalent twice the median income, with a

20% (£50,000) deposit could afford entry level housing for sale in East Meon. A ‘median’ is an type of

average. If the income of every household of an area was listed from lowest to highest the median is the

income level of the household at the half way point. This measure is preferred to a simple average (total

income of all households divided by the number of households) because a small number of very high

earning households pushes up the average and over-estimate average income in the area. Rents would be

more than a double lower quartile income new household could afford. The lower quartile is the income

of the level at the 25% point of all households in the area.

Social housing supply and demand

10. Information from East Hampshire Council tells us that:

there are currently 109 social rented and shared ownership homes in the parish;

in the last 12 months there were 8 re-lets (a 7% vacancy rate) and no new build;

2 and 3 bedroom houses form just over half of the housing stock (56%);

according to the housing register, 20 households with a local connection are seeking a social

rented tenancy of which 3 are assessed as in less urgent housing need; and

there are 8 households with a local connection that are seeking a size and type of housing that

is not present within the stock.

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The household survey

11. Part A of the survey sought residents’ views about priorities for future new build housing in the parish

and the importance attached to amenities. Priorities for size and type of future housing new build

supported by most people were:

small homes for singles and couples;

small family homes (2/3 bedroom); and

smaller homes to enable people to downsize.

12. Thirty eight respondents agreed with a statement ‘that no new homes should be built’ but seventy six

respondents supported future housebuilding to some extent. Around one third of responses cautioned

about the impact of future development on the character of the village.

13. The three target groups of household supported by most people for new build housing were:

homes affordable to first time buyers;

homes to rent (private landlord) affordable to average income households; and

self-build homes.

14. The amenities most considered to be a high priority were establishing, retaining or improving:

the village shop(s);

the village post office; and

public transport.

15. Section B of the survey led to an estimate of the additional housing needed in the parish, if any, to meet

the housing requirements of those households wishing move to more suitable housing in the parish. This

is referred to as ‘local need’.

16. Forty households said that they were seeking to move home at some point over the next 5 years. The

most frequent main reason given for seeking to move home was to enable the household to downsize.

The second most frequent main reason was broadly connected with employment.

17. Eleven households would expect to move within the parish and a further eleven would consider moving

within the parish if suitable housing was available at a price they could afford.

18. Compared to their existing type of housing there is a clear trend to move from semi-detached houses to

bungalows and a smaller trend for some households to become outright home owners on moving home.

Many households currently occupying 5+ bedroom homes are seeking to downsize. As a consequence

the net demand for 3 bedroom homes is estimated to see a significant increase.

19. The future local need (a net future 5 year requirement for additional housing) was estimated by studying

the mismatch between the likely supply of housing and the requirement of the moving households. It is

estimated that there is a need to provide additional housing for 18 existing and 2 concealed households.

20. The size type and tenure required by the 20 households is reported in detail, noting that 6 of these

households have support needs or mobility based needs or a combination of the two. These need to be

met if the household is to continue to live independently.

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21. The broad conclusion from this evidence and the demographic evidence reported in chapters 2 and 3 is

that the ageing population is seeking to downsize and some will require specialist housing when moving

home.

22. Part C of the survey reports on the 40 households that had moved into the Parish within the last 5 years.

Thirty nine of these households indicated that they had moved into the parish not within it.

23. The main reason cited for moving to the parish was because of its location. Individual responses cite a

number of related factors such as ‘beautiful location’; ‘views’; ‘countryside’; and ‘village life’. The other

most frequently cited reasons concerned family and relationship matters as well as work related reasons.

24. There was some shift in the tenure pattern of moving households. Upon moving to the village, a net

additional four households became outright home owners and a net additional two households became

home owners with a mortgage. There was a corresponding net reduction in households formerly being

private renters.

25. Six households told us that they had problems with their mobility and five households also needed help

with personal care and support.

Information from stakeholders

26. Estate and letting agents told us that vacancies were rare as people tended to move to the parish and

stay. When vacancies did occur they sold or let very quickly and that asking prices would be achieved or

exceeded. They told us that there was a significant gap in supply of suitable and affordable houses for

new forming households and first time buyers. Many of these that were village residents had to leave the

village to find housing. A local employer confirmed this.

27. The village primary school told us that it had the capacity to fully meet demand for school places for

children resident in the village. Surplus places were taken by children living in nearby towns and villages.

28. The Radian Group owns and manages affordable housing in the parish. It currently has no plans to build

further homes in the parish. However it does not rule out future development and advises the Parish

Council to liaise with the District Council if it wishes to influence Radian’s investment priorities.

Main findings and conclusions

29. Survey based estimates of local demand align with the objective assessment of need estimated by the

District Council and National Park Authority for the part of East Hampshire within the National Park.

Supply according to estate agents, Rightmove and the land registry all support the survey finding that

supply is limited. Estate and letting agents say the reason for this is that relatively few households seek to

leave the parish.

30. The survey identifies low numbers of households seeking social and private rented sector housing and a

small number of households seeking social rented housing are unlikely to be satisfactorily re-housed in

East Meon without additional house building. Applicants in less urgent housing need will need to

consider options in other locations.

31. Low numbers of concealed households seeking to live independently within the parish are to be expected

because those wishing to purchase are priced out of the market within the parish setting.

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32. A document published by the District Council and National Park Authority describes the conditions that

have led to the affordability challenge affecting new households and many first time buyers: ‘the National

Park is an area of high demand for housing with constrained supply with a high potential for additional

supply to incentivise further in-migration, - pricing out local households to an even greater extent’.

33. The household survey is a snapshot of household circumstances and aspirations. The method cannot take

account of unexpected change in housing requirements due to, for example relationship breakdown or

household dissolution due to death, so the estimates of local need should be regarded as a minimum

requirement.

5.1 There is very strong evidence to support policies that address imbalances in the parish household and

dwelling profile driven by high house prices and demographic change. A key finding is that the driver

behind much of the imbalance is that the ageing population is seeking to downsize and some will require

specialist housing when they move home.

34. The wider policy aim is to ensure the long term sustainability of the parish whilst retaining its character.

This report contains issues that threaten the long term sustainability of the parish due to:

the high proportion of older person residents that is forecast to grow;

new households and first time buyers that find it difficult to secure housing they can afford

within the parish who are leaving the parish, reinforcing the growth in the proportion of older

residents and the falling numbers of primary school age children; and

non-housing issues especially village services that need to be addressed.

35. The evidence base that has been produced contains significant and wide ranging information to enable

the parish council and the public to consider housing policy and development proposals in an informed

way. The parish council should liaise with the district council if it wishes to influence future investment of

affordable and low cost housing in the parish.

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Chapter 1: Introduction

Introduction and aims of the study

1.1 This introduction outlines the aims of the research, the main methods employed in collecting and

analysing information.

1.2 The aim of the study was to support the neighbourhood development plan by compiling an evidence

base to: describe the quantity and characteristics of households and the housing stock within the parish;

estimate the additional housing needed in the parish to meet the needs of its residents; and record

views and priorities of current parish residents regarding any future housing provision in the parish.

The study method

1.3 The method study has several elements:

an evidence base describing key features of the housing market and trends, mostly from the

censuses of 2001 and 2011 and official household projections;

an overall estimate of housing demand affecting East Hampshire district based upon the

strategic housing market assessment published by East Hampshire District Council, the South

Downs National Park Authority and other relevant studies;

information from residents and stakeholders;

information from a household survey designed to assess the need for additional housing arising

from households resident within the parish as well as information about their priorities for new

development to inform the design process; and

information about the local housing market including the supply of housing, rents and purchase

prices.

1.4 All of this information is brought together to estimate the housing requirements of local households over

a 5 year period and using the contextual information to suggest trends and changes in supply and

demand in the longer term.

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Chapter 2: Information about the parish

Introduction

2.1 In this section we provide background and baseline information about the population, households and

housing stock within East Meon Parish. This information will help us to understand how the

characteristics of the parish and its residents affect demand and supply affecting its housing.

2.2 Most of information provided in this chapter has been drawn from the 2011 census and is put in context

by comparison with data for the East Hampshire District Council, the Eastern Region of England and the

whole of England. For convenience we sometimes refer to these areas as ‘the wider geographies’. This

context information is very important and will enable us to define the parish’s distinctiveness.

2.3 Each topic is presented in a similar way. Data for each topic is firstly given in a table which is referenced

back to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) neighbourhood statistics tables at the parish level. Data

from this table is then converted into proportions expressed as a percentage. Finally these proportions

are depicted in a chart. In a number of cases there is some further analysis and simplification of some of

the data variables. This is because the population of East Meon Parish is small compared to the wider

other geographies and some of the factors measured by the census are not present. Please note that in

some tables, percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding proportions to 2 decimal places.

2.4 This method of presentation is lengthy and detailed which reflects the need for the evidence base to be

transparent and rigorous. A shorter and less detailed executive summary has been produced for the

general public. A summary of the findings of this chapter is provided here or page 32 if you are reading a

paper version of the report.

Characteristics of the local population

2.5 The 2011 Census recorded 1,257 people resident in East Meon Parish. Figure 1a below shows the age

profile of the population in age bands. Note that these bands vary as it is useful to know the population

of young people into the key stages of their education*. A comparison with 2001 Census data suggests

that the population of the parish has increased by 139 people – some 12.4 % of the population over the

decade. Some 1,118 people were resident in the parish in 2001. This is twice the growth rate of the

district which saw an increase in the population of 6,334 or 5.8%

2.6 Figures 1b and 1c overleaf, present the age profile information population within each age band.

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Figure 1a: number of residents in age bands* 2011

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

Age 0 to 4 67 6,209 534,235 3,318,449

Age 5 to 7 47 3,874 299,327 1,827,610

Age 8 to 9 29 2,638 188,731 1,145,022

Age 10 to 14 89 7,305 512,875 3,080,929

Age 15 17 1,563 106,916 650,826

Age 16 to 17 36 3,252 217,612 1,314,124

Age 18 to 19 20 2,516 217,156 1,375,315

Age 20 to 24 29 5,382 534,287 3,595,321

Age 25 to 29 36 5,101 528,057 3,650,881

Age 30 to 44 208 21,265 1,761,278 10,944,271

Age 45 to 59 349 25,964 1,716,857 10,276,902

Age 60 to 64 117 8,236 535,399 3,172,277

Age 65 to 74 114 11,806 763,695 4,552,283

Age 75 to 84 79 7,313 501,118 2,928,118

Age 85 to 89 12 2,045 139,576 776,311

Age 90 and Over 8 1,139 77,631 403,817

All Usual Residents 1,257 115,608 8,634,750 53,012,456

Source: Census (2011) table QS104EW

Figure 1b: number of residents in age bands* 2001

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

Age 0 to 4 73 6,317 472,501 2,926,238

Age 5 to 7 51 4,224 298,672 1,838,668

Age 8 to 9 33 2,838 207,224 1,283,861

Age 10 to 14 51 7,465 516,507 3,229,047

Age 15 9 1,458 99,315 623,767

Age 16 to 17 22 2,966 197,726 1,231,266

Age 18 to 19 17 2,553 186,978 1,177,571

Age 20 to 24 43 5,022 461,835 2,952,719

Age 25 to 29 39 5,428 500,108 3,268,660

Age 30 to 44 260 24,752 1,807,857 11,127,511

Age 45 to 59 277 23,341 1,557,298 9,279,693

Age 60 to 64 68 5,589 386,002 2,391,830

Age 65 to 74 102 9,003 668,503 4,102,841

Age 75 to 84 61 5,969 464,329 2,751,135

Age 85 to 89 9 1,519 115,598 637,701

Age 90 and Over 3 830 60,192 316,323

All Usual Residents 1,118 109,274 8,000,645 49,138,831

Source: Census (2001) table QS104EW

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Figure 1c: Chart of percentage of residents in age bands 2011

2.7 It is clear from figure 1d that compared to the other geographies, the parish has a smaller proportion of

pre-school children, secondary school age children and a slightly higher proportion of primary school

children. The parish is resident to considerably fewer young adults (18-24) and adults aged 25-44. There

is a larger proportion of people in the 45-64 age range, also fewer people over 85 years.

2.8 It is informative to look at both the change in number of people and the proportion of people in each age

band between the censuses 2001 and 2011.

Figure 1d: change in the number of residents in key age bands 2001-2011

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Age 0 to 4 -6 -108 61,734 392,211

Age 5 to 7 -4 -350 655 -11,058

Age 8 to 9 -4 -200 -18,493 -138,839

Age 10 to 14 38 -160 -3,632 -148,118

Age 15 8 105 7,601 27,059

Age 16 to 17 14 286 19,886 82,858

Age 18 to 19 3 -37 30,178 197,744

Age 20 to 24 -14 360 72,452 642,602

Age 25 to 29 -3 -327 27,949 382,221

Age 30 to 44 -52 -3,487 -46,579 -183,240

Age 45 to 59 72 2,623 159,559 997,209

Age 60 to 64 49 2,647 149,397 780,447

Age 65 to 74 12 2,803 95,192 449,442

Age 75 to 84 18 1,344 36,789 176,983

Age 85 to 89 3 526 23,978 138,610

Age 90 and Over 5 309 17,439 87,494

Net change in all usual residents 139 6,334 634,105 3,873,625

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Age0 to

4

Age5 to

7

Age8 to

9

Age10 to

14

Age15

Age16 to

17

Age18 to

19

Age20 to

24

Age25 to

29

Age30 to

44

Age45 to

59

Age60 to

64

Age65 to

74

Age75 to

84

Age85 to

89

Age90

andOverEast Meon East Hampshire England

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2.9 Figures 1d and 1e show losses of primary school age children and adults between the ages 20 and 44 -

the decrease in the proportion of 30-44 year olds is much greater than in the other geographies The

increase in the proportion of people aged 45- 59 is greater than in the other geographies. It is likely that

this will also account for the growth in the proportion of young people aged 10-14. Whilst the proportion

of people in the parish over 45 has grown it is notable that the proportion of people aged 65-74 is static.

Figure 1e: percentage of residents in key age bands 2001-2011

East Meon East Hampshire England

2001 2011 2001 2011 2001 2011

Age 0 to 4 6.5 5.3 5.78 5.4 5.96 6.3

Age 5 to 7 4.6 3.7 3.87 3.4 3.74 3.4

Age 8 to 9 3 2.3 2.6 2.3 2.61 2.2

Age 10 to 14 4.6 7.1 6.83 6.3 6.57 5.8

Age 15 0.8 1.4 1.33 1.4 1.27 1.2

Age 16 to 17 2 2.9 2.71 2.8 2.51 2.5

Age 18 to 19 1.5 1.6 2.34 2.2 2.4 2.6

Age 20 to 24 3.8 2.3 4.6 4.7 6.01 6.8

Age 25 to 29 3.5 2.9 4.97 4.4 6.65 6.9

Age 30 to 44 23.3 16.5 22.65 18.4 22.65 20.6

Age 45 to 59 24.8 27.8 21.36 22.5 18.88 19.4

Age 60 to 64 6.1 9.3 5.11 7.1 4.87 6

Age 65 to 74 9.1 9.1 8.24 10.2 8.35 8.6

Age 75 to 84 5.5 6.3 5.46 6.3 5.6 5.5

Age 85 to 89 0.8 1 1.39 1.8 1.3 1.5

Age 90 + 0.3 0.6 0.76 1 0.64 0.8

Figure 1e: comparison chart comparing census findings 2001 and 2011

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Age0 to

4

Age5 to

7

Age8 to

9

Age10 to

14

Age15

Age16 to

17

Age18 to

19

Age20 to

24

Age25 to

29

Age30 to

44

Age45 to

59

Age60 to

64

Age65 to

74

Age75 to

84

Age85 to

89

Age90

andOver

East Meon 2001 East Meon 2011

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Economic activity of residents

2.10 It is important to understand the level of economic activity of residents of working age (16-74 years) as

there is a link between economic activity and the quality and size of homes that households reside in. In

this section we examine economic activity, profession and industry to build up an economic profile of the

parish.

Figure 2a: economic activity of residents aged between 16 and 74 (number)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

Employee; Part-Time 104 11,975 865,933 5,333,268

Employee; Full-Time 319 33,561 2,537,828 15,016,564

Self-Employed 169 11,074 691,572 3,793,632

Unemployed 22 2,133 216,231 1,702,847

Full-Time Student working 14 2,210 209,620 1,336,823

Retired 112 12,787 859,293 5,320,691

Student not working 39 3,261 324,649 2,255,831

Looking After Home or Family 56 3,551 273,519 1,695,134

Long-Term Sick or Disabled 57 1,911 183,395 1,574,134

Economically Inactive other 17 1,059 112,301 852,450

Unemployed; Age 16 to 24 8 603 58,904 471,666

Unemployed; Age 50 to 74 6 558 46,648 315,863

Unemployed; Never Worked 5 209 26,471 276,121

Long-Term Unemployed 11 764 82,872 668,496

All Usual Residents 16 - 74 909 83,522 6,274,341 38,881,374

Source: Census (2011) KS601EW

Figure 2b: economic activity of residents aged between 16 and 74 (percentage)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Employee; Part-Time 11.4 14.3 13.8 13.7

Employee; Full-Time 35.1 40.2 40.4 38.6

Self-Employed 18.6 13.3 11 9.8

Unemployed 2.4 2.6 3.4 4.4

Full-Time Student working 1.5 2.6 3.3 3.4

Retired 12.3 15.3 13.7 13.7

Student not working 4.3 3.9 5.2 5.8

Looking After Home or Family 6.2 4.3 4.4 4.4

Long-Term Sick or Disabled 6.3 2.3 2.9 4

Economically Inactive other 1.9 1.3 1.8 2.2

Unemployed; Age 16 to 24 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.2

Unemployed; Age 50 to 74 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8

Unemployed; Never Worked 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.7

Long-Term Unemployed 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.7

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2.11 Referring to figures 2b and 2c it is apparent that compared to East Hampshire, the parish has a much

higher proportion of self-employed people and lower proportion of full time employees. The parish has a

higher proportion of long term sick and disabled people than the other geographies.

Figure 2c: chart of figure 2b

2.12 The census uses a number of standard classifications to define occupation types as depicted in figure 2d.

Figure 2d: main occupation of residents aged 16-74 (number)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

Higher Managerial, Administrative and Professional 157 12,122 789,267 4,045,823

Large Employers, Higher Managerial and Admin. 47 3,162 182,437 926,352

Higher Professional Occupations 110 8,960 606,830 3,119,471

Lower Managerial, Administrative and Professional 228 21,577 1,466,583 8,132,107

Intermediate Occupations 80 10,584 850,558 4,972,044

Small Employers and Own Account Workers 140 9,964 643,058 3,662,611

Lower Supervisory and Technical Occupations 43 5,218 409,969 2,676,118

Semi-Routine Occupations 96 10,155 799,485 5,430,863

Routine Occupations 66 6,356 557,852 4,277,483

Never Worked and Long-Term Unemployed 47 2,210 234,881 2,180,026

Never Worked 36 1,446 152,009 1,511,530

Long-Term Unemployed 11 764 82,872 668,496

Not Classified 52 5,336 522,688 3,504,299

Full-Time Students 52 5,336 522,688 3,504,299

All Usual Residents Aged 16 to 74 909 83,522 6,274,341 38,881,374

Source Census (2011) NS-SeC table KS611EW

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

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Figure 2e: main occupation of residents aged 16-74 (percent)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Higher Managerial, Administrative and Professional 17.3 14.5 12.6 10.4

Large Employers and Higher Managerial and Admin. 5.2 3.8 2.9 2.4

Higher Professional Occupations 12.1 10.7 9.7 8

Lower Managerial, Administrative and Professional 25.1 25.8 23.4 20.9

Intermediate Occupations 8.8 12.7 13.6 12.8

Small Employers and Own Account Workers 15.4 11.9 10.2 9.4

Lower Supervisory and Technical Occupations 4.7 6.2 6.5 6.9

Semi-Routine Occupations 10.6 12.2 12.7 14

Routine Occupations 7.3 7.6 8.9 11

Never Worked and Long-Term Unemployed 5.2 2.6 3.7 5.6

Never Worked 4 1.7 2.4 3.9

Long-Term Unemployed 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.7

Not Classified 5.7 6.4 8.3 9

Full-Time Students 5.7 6.4 8.3 9

Figure 2f: chart of 2e, main occupation of residents aged 16-74 (percent)

2.13 Figures 2e and 2f clearly show that the nature of employment of parish is biased toward the higher

managerial and professional groups. In fact the parish has higher proportion of the 3 highest occupation

groups and the self-employed (small employers etc.) than any of the other geographies. The parish has a

considerably lower proportion intermediate and routine occupations.

2.14 Figures 2g and 2f state the main industry of residents.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

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Figure 2g: main industry of residents aged 16-74 (number)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 56 750 28,582 203,789

Mining and Quarrying 1 83 5,832 43,302

Manufacturing 45 5,040 306,391 2,226,247

Manufacturing; Food, Beverages and Tobacco 3 328 26,300 307,520

Manufacturing; Textiles, Wearing Apparel and Leather etc. 1 137 8,224 102,956

Manufacturing; Wood, Paper and Paper Products 0 117 8,942 65,687

Manufacturing; Chemicals, Chemical Products, Rubber and Plastic 10 884 41,489 264,421

Manufacturing; Low Tech 9 672 40,025 375,445

Manufacturing; High Tech 13 1,718 96,887 586,741

Manufacturing; Other 9 1,184 84,524 523,477

Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air Conditioning Supply 2 319 24,500 140,148

Water Supply; Sewerage, Waste Management and Remediation 4 331 29,749 175,214

Construction 42 4,800 339,761 1,931,936

Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles 62 8,588 662,860 4,007,570

Transport and Storage 19 2,001 222,795 1,260,094

Accommodation and Food Service Activities 31 2,496 214,329 1,399,931

Information and Communication 30 3,545 235,081 1,024,352

Financial and Insurance Activities 24 2,117 191,566 1,103,858

Real Estate Activities 18 824 61,133 367,459

Professional, Scientific and Technical Activities 62 4,958 317,787 1,687,127

Administrative and Support Service Activities 29 3,073 219,830 1,239,422

Public Administration and Defence; Compulsory Social Security 26 3,769 255,674 1,483,450

Education 60 6,156 432,119 2,490,199

Human Health and Social Work Activities 60 6,446 495,212 3,121,238

Arts, Entertainment and Recreation; Other Service Activities 35 3,021 208,963 1,206,021

Activities of Households as Employers; 0 123 6,581 30,356

Activities of Extraterritorial Organisations and Bodies 0 17 1,978 21,008

All Usual Residents Aged 16 to 74 in Employment 606 58,457 4,260,723 25,162,721

Source Census (2011) NS-SeC table KS605EW

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Figure 2h: main industry of residents aged 16-74 (percent)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 9.2 1.3 0.7 0.8

Mining and Quarrying 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2

Manufacturing 7.4 8.6 7.2 8.8

Manufacturing; Food, Beverages and Tobacco 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.2

Manufacturing; Textiles, Wearing Apparel and Leather etc. 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4

Manufacturing; Wood, Paper and Paper Products 0 0.2 0.2 0.3

Manufacturing; Chemicals, Chemical Products, Rubber and Plastic 1.7 1.5 1 1.1

Manufacturing; Low Tech 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.5

Manufacturing; High Tech 2.1 2.9 2.3 2.3

Manufacturing; Other 1.5 2 2 2.1

Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air Conditioning Supply 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6

Water Supply; Sewerage, Waste Management and Remediation 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7

Construction 6.9 8.2 8 7.7

Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles 10.2 14.7 15.6 15.9

Transport and Storage 3.1 3.4 5.2 5

Accommodation and Food Service Activities 5.1 4.3 5 5.6

Information and Communication 5 6.1 5.5 4.1

Financial and Insurance Activities 4 3.6 4.5 4.4

Real Estate Activities 3 1.4 1.4 1.5

Professional, Scientific and Technical Activities 10.2 8.5 7.5 6.7

Administrative and Support Service Activities 4.8 5.3 5.2 4.9

Public Administration and Defence; Compulsory Social Security 4.3 6.4 6 5.9

Education 9.9 10.5 10.1 9.9

Human Health and Social Work Activities 9.9 11 11.6 12.4

Arts, Entertainment and Recreation; Other Service Activities 5.8 5.2 4.9 4.8

Activities of Households as Employers; 0 0.2 0.2 0.1

Activities of Extraterritorial Organisations and Bodies 0 0 0 0.1

2.15 Just over 50% of the working population is employed in the Professional Scientific and Technical

Activities, Wholesale and Retail Trade Repair of Motor Vehicles, Education, Human Health and Social

Work Activities, Agriculture Forestry and Fishing industries. The proportion of the population employed

in Agriculture Forestry and Fishing industries is 10 times the average for England. The proportion of the

population employed in Real Estate Activities is twice the average for the other geographies.

Ethnic group

2.16 Figures 3a, 3b and 3c show the presence of the ethnic groups in the resident population.

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Figure 3a: ethnic group (number)

East Meon East Hampshire

South East England

White; English/Welsh/Scottish/Northern Irish/British 1,199 107,568 7,358,998 42,279,236

White; Irish 9 656 73,571 517,001

White; Gypsy or Irish Traveller 0 267 14,542 54,895

White; Other White 17 3,144 380,709 2,430,010

White and Black Caribbean 2 312 45,980 415,616

White and Black African 1 153 22,825 161,550

White and Asian 8 513 58,764 332,708

Other Mixed 6 327 40,195 283,005

Asian/Asian British; Indian 5 481 152,132 1,395,702

Asian/Asian British; Pakistani 0 31 99,246 1,112,282

Asian/Asian British; Bangladeshi 4 165 27,951 436,514

Asian/Asian British; Chinese 1 316 53,061 379,503

Asian/Asian British; Other Asian 3 866 119,652 819,402

Black/African/Caribbean/Black British; African 1 396 87,345 977,741

Black/African/Caribbean/Black British; Caribbean 0 81 34,225 591,016

Black/African/Caribbean/Black British; Other Black 1 40 14,443 277,857

Other Ethnic Group; Arab 0 141 19,363 220,985

Other Ethnic Group; Any Other Ethnic Group 0 151 31,748 327,433

All Usual Residents 1,257 115,608 8,634,750 53,012,456

Source Census (2011) Table QS201EW abridged

Figure 3b: broad ethnic group (percent)

East Meon East Hampshire

South East

England

White; English/Welsh/Scottish/Northern Irish/British 95.4 93 85.2 79.8

White; Irish 0.7 0.6 0.9 1

White; Gypsy or Irish Traveller 0 0.2 0.2 0.1

White; Other White 1.4 2.7 4.4 4.6

White and Black Caribbean 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8

White and Black African 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3

White and Asian 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.6

Other Mixed 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5

Asian/Asian British; Indian 0.4 0.4 1.8 2.6

Asian/Asian British; Pakistani 0 0 1.1 2.1

Asian/Asian British; Bangladeshi 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.8

Asian/Asian British; Chinese 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7

Asian/Asian British; Other Asian 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.5

Black/African/Caribbean/Black British; African 0.1 0.3 1 1.8

Black/African/Caribbean/Black British; Caribbean 0 0.1 0.4 1.1

Black/African/Caribbean/Black British; Other Black 0.1 0 0.2 0.5

Other Ethnic Group; Arab 0 0.1 0.2 0.4

Other Ethnic Group; Any Other Ethnic Group 0 0.1 0.4 0.6

2.17 Just over 95% of the population is ‘White British’ which is a similar proportion to East Hampshire but a

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much higher proportion than for the Eastern Region or England. Compared to the everywhere else the

low proportion of all Asian and Black groups are noteworthy. We have grouped all of the data in figure 3a

to the 5 main ethnic groups

Figure 3c: data in 3a simplified to the 5 main ethnic groups (percent)

East Meon East Hampshire

South East

England

White 97.5 96.6 90.7 85.4

Mixed race 1.4 1.1 1.9 2.3

Asian 1 1.6 5.2 7.8

Black 0.2 0.4 1.6 3.5

other 0 0.3 0.6 1

Figure 3d Chart of figure 3c

Health

2.18 Appropriate housing can make a considerable difference to people with poor health and or those that are

limited in their day to day activities. The census records the broad health status reported by residents.

Figure 4a: broad health status (number of residents)

East Meon

East Hampshire South East England

Very Good Health 668 58,330 4,232,707 25,005,712

Good Health 382 40,113 2,989,920 18,141,457

Fair Health 152 12,885 1,037,592 6,954,092

Bad Health 41 3,336 291,456 2,250,446

Very Bad Health 14 944 83,075 660,749

All Usual Residents 1,257 115,608 8,634,750 53,012,456

Source: Census (2011) from table KS301EW

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

White Mixed race Asian Black other

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

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Figure 4b: broad health status (percent of residents)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Very Good Health

53.14 50.5 49 47.2

Good Health 30.39 34.7 34.6 34.2

Fair Health 12.09 11.1 12 13.1

Bad Health 3.26 2.9 3.4 4.2

Very Bad Health 1.11 0.8 1 1.2

2.19 It is clear that a higher proportion of parish residents enjoy very good health compared to the other

geographies. However the 55 residents that have bad or very bad health may also have a housing need.

Figure 4c: chart of figure 4b

2.20 It is also helpful to look at data regarding people that are limited in their day to day activities for example

because of long term limiting illness and disability. The following data analyses the degree to which

residents are limited in their day to day activities. Figures 5a and b report that 98 people or 7.8% of the

population of the parish consider that their day to day activities are limited a lot. This is a similar

proportion to that of England but is higher than that for East Hampshire.

Figure 4d: persons with limited day to day activities (number)

East Meon

East Hampshire South East England

Day-to-Day Activities Limited a Lot 98 7,402 593,643 4,405,394

Day-to-Day Activities Limited a Little 113 9,841 762,561 4,947,192

Day-to-Day Activities Not Limited 1,046 98,365 7,278,546 43,659,870

All Usual Residents 1,257 115,608 8,634,750 53,012,456

Source: Census (2011) from table KS301EW.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Very Good Health Good Health Fair Health Bad Health Very Bad Health

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

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Figure 4e: persons with limited day to day activities (percent)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Day-to-Day Activities Limited a Lot 7.8 6.4 6.9 8.3

Day-to-Day Activities Limited a Little 8.99 8.5 8.8 9.3

Day-to-Day Activities Not Limited 83.21 85.1 84.3 82.4

Figure 4f: chart of figure 4e

2.21 Additionally we report on the number of people that are providing care and support for others however

the person receiving care is not necessarily resident in the parish. The gap between supply and demand

for suitable housing and support for people with long term illness or disability is often made up by family

and friends. These act as unpaid carers. This activity is likely to due in part to an unmet housing need,

not necessarily East Meon Parish.

Figure 4g: persons providing hours of unpaid care per week (number of residents)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

Provides No Unpaid Care 1,125 103,977 7,787,397 47,582,440

Provides 1 to 19 Hours Unpaid Care a Week 94 8,497 577,114 3,452,636

Provides 20 to 49 Hours Unpaid Care a Week 13 1,106 96,883 721,143

Provides 50 or More Hours Unpaid Care a Week

25 2,028 173,356 1,256,237

All Usual Residents 1,257 115,608 8,634,750 53,012,456

Source: Census (2011) from table KS301EW

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

Day-to-Day Activities Limited a Lot Day-to-Day Activities Limited a Little

Day-to-Day Activities Not Limited

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Figure 4h: persons providing hours of unpaid care per week (percentage of residents)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Provides No Unpaid Care 89.5 89.9 90.2 89.8

Provides 1 to 19 Hours Unpaid Care a Week 7.48 7.3 6.7 6.5

Provides 20 to 49 Hours Unpaid Care a Week 1.03 1 1.1 1.4

Provides 50 or More Hours Unpaid Care a Week 1.99 1.8 2 2.4

2.22 Just over 10% of East Meon Parish residents provide unpaid care to another person which is a similar

proportion to the geographies listed. Most of this unpaid care is provided for up to 19 hours per week.

Household and dwelling characteristics

Dwelling Type

2.23 Figures 5a-c shows that around 40% of households occupy detached homes – a similar proportion to East

Hampshire. However this proportion is significantly higher than the region and England as a whole.

Around one third of housing in the parish is semi-detached housing. The proportion of semi-detached

homes is higher than East Hampshire and the region but is on par with the proportion within England.

Terraced homes account for nearly 17% of all dwellings in the parish which is comparable to the

proportion within East Hampshire but significantly lower than within the region and England. There are

significantly fewer flats maisonettes and apartments than within all of the other geographies.

Figure 5a: accommodation type – (number of households)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

House or Bungalow; Detached 203 20,151 1,002,515 4,949,216

House or Bungalow; Semi-Detached 157 11,726 998,124 6,889,935

House or Bungalow; Terraced 81 8,406 801,641 5,396,459

Flat, Maisonette or Apartment; Purpose-Built 30 5,468 561,240 3,624,359

Flat, Maisonette or Apartment; Converted or Shared 8 792 125,378 834,083

Flat, Maisonette or Apartment; Commercial Building 2 384 34,085 210,397

Caravan etc. 0 309 21,705 80,964

Shared Dwelling 0 22 10,775 77,955

All Households 481 47,258 3,555,463 22,063,368

Source: Census (2011) Table QS402EW (abridged)

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Figure 5b: simplified accommodation type (percentage of households)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

House or Bungalow; Detached 42.20 42.64 28.20 22.43

House or Bungalow; Semi-Detached 32.64 24.81 28.07 31.23

House or Bungalow; Terraced 16.84 17.79 22.55 24.46

Flat, Maisonette or Apartment; Purpose-Built 6.24 11.57 15.79 16.43

Flat, Maisonette or Apartment; Converted or Shared 1.66 1.68 3.53 3.78

Flat, Maisonette or Apartment; Commercial Building 0.42 0.81 0.96 0.95

Caravan etc. 0.00 0.65 0.61 0.37

Shared Dwelling 0.00 0.05 0.30 0.35

2.24 The finding of a low proportion of flats and apartments compared to the region and England a whole is

significant. These dwelling types tend to be the cheapest priced housing in any local market. This means

that the ability of smaller households and especially first-time-buyers to access the housing market in the

parish is limited.

Figure 5c: chart of figure 5b

Number of Bedrooms

2.25 Nearly 75% of all dwellings in the parish have 3 or more bedrooms compared to 60% across England.

Some 35% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms. This is a similar proportion to East Hampshire but

significantly higher than for the region and England. The proportion of 3 bedroom homes is similar across

the geographies. The proportion of I bedroom homes in the parish is significantly below that of the other

geographies especially that of Leeds and England.

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

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Figure 6a: number of bedrooms – (number of households)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

No Bedrooms 0 111 8,531 54,938

1 Bedroom 46 4,219 413,761 2,593,893

2 Bedrooms 84 10,481 932,994 6,145,083

3 Bedrooms 182 17,591 1,383,662 9,088,213

4 Bedrooms 98 10,880 603,887 3,166,531

5 or More Bedrooms 71 3,976 212,628 1,014,710

All Household Spaces With At Least One Usual Resident

481 47,258 3,555,463 22,063,368

Source: Census (2011) table QS411EW

2.26 Smaller dwellings (1 and 2 bedroom) tend to be the less expensive priced housing in any local market and

are important to enable newly forming household to establish as well as elderly downsizers. The parish

has a comparable proportion of smaller homes to East Hampshire but significantly less than the region

and England.

Figure 6b: number of bedrooms – (percentage of households)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

No Bedrooms 0.00 0.23 0.24 0.25

1 Bedroom 9.56 8.93 11.64 11.76

2 Bedrooms 17.46 22.18 26.24 27.85

3 Bedrooms 37.84 37.22 38.92 41.19

4 Bedrooms 20.37 23.02 16.98 14.35

5 or More Bedrooms 14.76 8.41 5.98 4.60

Figure 6c: chart of figure 6b

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

No Bedrooms 1 Bedroom 2 Bedrooms 3 Bedrooms 4 Bedrooms 5 or MoreBedrooms

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

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Household and occupancy characteristics

2.27 As at census day 2011 there were 1,257 people resident 481 households in the parish (2.61 people per

household). The previous census recorded 1,118 people resident in 433 households in the parish (2.58

people per household).

2.28 It is crucial that household tenure is understood and it is useful to compare the change in tenure

characteristics between the 2001 and 2011 censuses.

Figure 7a: tenure of households 2001 and 2011 – (number of households)

East Meon East Hampshire England

2001 2011 2001 2011 2001 2011

Owned outright 137 152 1,028,194 17,520 5,969,670 6,745,584

Owned with a mortgage 110 134 1,377,520 17,399 7,950,759 7,229,440

Shared ownership 5 6 25,745 431 133,693 173,760

Social rented 91 111 458,965 5,681 3,940,728 3,903,550

Private rented from landlord 50 52 288,190 4,636 1,798,864 3,401,675

Private rented from employer 3 5 14,805 337 53,618 55,211

Private rented from relative/friend 3 1 19,204 349 124,572 199,428

Private Rented other 3 1 12,193 195 60,416 59,610

Living rent free 31 19 62,673 710 419,107 295,110

All Households 433 481 3,287,489 47,258 20,451,427 22,063,368

Source: Census (2001 table UV63; 2011 table QS405EW) Tenure – Households (abridged)

Figure 7b: tenure of households 2001 and 2011 – (percentage of households)

East Meon East Hampshire England

2001 2011 2001 2011 2001 2011

Owned outright 31.6 31.6 31.3 37.1 29.2 30.6

Owned with a mortgage 25.4 27.9 41.9 36.8 38.9 32.8

Shared ownership 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8

Social rented 21 23.1 14 12 19.3 17.7

Private rented from landlord 11.5 10.8 8.8 9.8 8.8 15.4

Private rented from employer 0.7 1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.3

Private rented from relative/friend 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9

Private Rented other 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3

Living rent free 7.2 4 1.9 1.5 2 1.3

2.29 Figure 7b shows that the change in household tenure is not typical of the other geographies. The number

of owner occupiers who own outright has increased but the proportion not. This group has increased as a

proportion of all households in all other geographies. This tenure tends to be associated with older

owner occupiers who have paid off their mortgage. The proportion of home owners with a mortgage has

increased whereas the proportion has decreased in all other geographies. The size and proportion of the

private rented sector taken has remained static similar to East Hampshire whereas the proportion within

all dwellings within England has doubled. It is also noteworthy that the size and proportion of social

rented housing within the stock has increased over the decade. Figure 7c illustrates these changes.

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Figure 7c: chart of figure 7b

2.30 Figures 7d and 7e explore the tenure pattern of households where the head of household is aged 65 years

or older. This is 27% of all households (132/481. It is apparent that 69% (91/132) are owners.

Figure 7d: tenure of head of household over 65yrs (number)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

Owned 91 11,566 759,114 4,239,177

Shared Ownership 0 64 4,604 27,489

Social Rented 29 1,599 140,308 1,084,460

Private Rented 8 544 41,484 252,553

Living Rent Free 4 287 17,656 118,045

All Households 132 14,060 963,166 5,721,724

Source: Census 2011 table QS404EW

2.31 When comparing Figures 7b to 7e it is apparent that a significantly higher proportion of older person

households live in social housing than in East Hampshire and the South East region although the

proportion is closer to that of England as a whole. The proportion of private renters and homeowners is

small compared to the other geographies.

Figure 7e: tenure of head of household over 65yrs (proportion)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

Owned 68.9 82.3 78.8 74.1

Shared Ownership 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5

Social Rented 22.0 11.4 14.6 19.0

Private Rented 6.1 3.9 4.3 4.4

Living Rent Free 3.0 2.0 1.8 2.1

15

24

1

20

0

-12

48

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Ownedoutright

Owned -mortgage

SharedOwnership

SocialRented;

Total

PrivateRented;

Total

Living RentFree

AllHouseholds

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Household composition

2.32 Figure 8a shows the household composition of the parish.

Figure 8a: household composition (number), Census 2011

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

One person >= 65 55 6,087 449,969 2,725,596

One person <65 61 6,095 573,185 3,940,897

Family; all aged 65+ 45 5,113 318,596 1,789,465

Family; married no children 93 7,599 471,419 2,719,210

Family; married dependent children 113 9,180 608,251 3,375,890

Family; married non-dependent children 34 2,847 196,174 1,234,355

Family; cohabiting no children 14 2,310 194,744 1,173,172

Family; cohabiting dependent children 15 1,500 138,651 890,780

Family; cohabiting non-dependent children 2 201 16,479 108,486

Lone parent; dependent children 20 2,343 216,366 1,573,255

Lone parent; non-dependent children 7 1,396 110,188 766,569

Other; with dependent children 10 849 81,369 584,016

Other; full-time students 0 8 18,758 124,285

Other; aged 65+ 2 181 10,667 61,715

Other 10 1,549 150,647 995,677

Total 481 47,258 3,555,463 22,063,368

Source: Census (2011) Household Composition, 2011 table KS105EW

2.33 The largest proportion of households is one person households. If the proportion of one person

households aged 65 and over are added to under 65 years just over 25% of households live alone.

However this is a lower proportion than in the other geographies.

Figure 8b: household composition (proportion), Census 2011

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

One person >= 65 11.4 12.9 12.7 12.4

One person <65 12.7 12.9 16.1 17.9

Family; all aged 65+ 9.4 10.8 9 8.1

Family; married no children 19.3 16.1 13.3 12.3

Family; married dependent children 23.5 19.4 17.1 15.3

Family; married non-dependent children 7.1 6 5.5 5.6

Family; cohabiting no children 2.9 4.9 5.5 5.3

Family; cohabiting dependent children 3.1 3.2 3.9 4

Family; cohabiting non-dependent children 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5

Lone parent; dependent children 4.2 5 6.1 7.1

Lone parent; non-dependent children 1.5 3 3.1 3.5

Other; with dependent children 2.1 1.8 2.3 2.6

Other; full-time students 0 0 0.5 0.6

Other; aged 65+ 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3

Other 2.1 3.3 4.2 4.5

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Figure 8c: chart of figure 8b

2.34 It is also apparent from figure 8a that if households without any children are added together with single

person households over half of all households (58%) are one or two person households with no children

present. This is a similar proportion than in the other geographies although it is noteworthy that the

proportion of single person households under 65 is lower and the proportion of married households

without children is higher than in the other geographies. The parish also has a low proportion of lone

parent families.

Figure 8d: households without dependent children (number), Census 2011

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

One person >= 65 55 6,087 449,969 2,725,596

One person <65 61 6,095 573,185 3,940,897

Family; all aged 65+ 45 5,113 318,596 1,789,465

Family; married no children 93 7,599 471,419 2,719,210

Family; cohabiting no children 14 2,310 194,744 1,173,172

Family; cohabiting non-dependent children 2 201 16,479 108,486

Lone parent; non-dependent children 7 1,396 110,188 766,569

Other; aged 65+ 2 181 10,667 61,715

Total households without dependent children 279 28,982 2,145,247 13,285,110

All households 481 47,258 3,555,463 22,063,368

0

5

10

15

20

25

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

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Figure 8e: households without dependent children as a percentage of all households

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

One person >= 65 11.4 12.9 12.7 12.4

One person <65 12.7 12.9 16.1 17.9

Family; all aged 65+ 9.4 10.8 9 8.1

Family; married no children 19.3 16.1 13.3 12.3

Family; cohabiting no children 2.9 4.9 5.5 5.3

Family; cohabiting non-dependent children 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5

Lone parent; non-dependent children 1.5 3 3.1 3.5

Other; aged 65+ 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3

Total proportion of all households 58.3 61.4 60.5 60.3

Deprivation

2.35 East Meon Parish has relatively low levels of deprivation compared to the other geographies. The

following figures classify households by four dimensions of deprivation: employment, education, health

and disability, and household overcrowding.

Figure 9a: households by deprivation dimension (number)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East England

Not Deprived in Any Dimension 263 25,342 1,695,912 9,385,648

Deprived in 1 Dimension 146 14,682 1,145,825 7,204,181

Deprived in 2 Dimensions 59 5,993 569,744 4,223,982

Deprived in 3 Dimensions 11 1,133 129,939 1,133,622

Deprived in 4 Dimensions 2 108 14,043 115,935

All households 481 47,258 3,555,463 22,063,368

Source: Census (2011) deprivation dimension table QS119EW

Figure 9b: households by deprivation dimension (percentage)

East Meon

East Hampshire

South East

England

Not Deprived in Any Dimension 54.7 53.6 47.7 42.5

Deprived in 1 Dimension 30.4 31.1 32.2 32.7

Deprived in 2 Dimensions 12.3 12.7 16.0 19.1

Deprived in 3 Dimensions 2.3 2.4 3.7 5.1

Deprived in 4 Dimensions 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5

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Figure 9c: chart of figure 11b

2.36 Compared to the other geographies East Meon Parish has a higher proportion of households that

experience no deprivation and a similar proportion of households that are deprived in one dimension. A

smaller proportion than the other geographies experience multiple levels of deprivation.

Housing market prices and trends

2.37 Here we look in detail at local house prices in the context of the local housing market.

2.38 This section should be read in the context of the chapter below on stakeholder consultation as Estate and

Letting agents have further insights on this topic. Chapter 3 also contains relevant information about

incomes and affordability.

2.39 Benchmarking parish house prices and rents is problematic. The parish has a relatively small housing

stock and within it there is a considerable range of sizes types and styles. As we will see in the next

chapter, sales volumes have been particularly low since 2008 due to the credit crunch (Figure 21). These

two factors mean that there is little recent data to go on in order to establish meaningful current price

levels for a representative range of dwelling sizes and types. This is important as understanding the

affordability of housing is crucial to the detailed understanding of future housing requirements.

2.40 In order to estimate benchmark prices as accurately as possible we have collected and compared

information from a number of sources:

current asking prices for the parish as a whole from Rightmove based on homes for sale and

rent as at 02.04.2015;

historic actual sale prices from the Land Registry over the last 3 years for the parish; and

current asking prices for the parish plus the surrounding rural area within the national park

west of Petersfield from Rightmove based on homes for sale as at 02.04.2015.

2.41 We should distinguish between asking prices obtained from Rightmove and actual selling prices obtained

from the Land Registry. We have looked in great detail at both sources of information.

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

Not Deprived inAny Dimension

Deprived in 1Dimension

Deprived in 2Dimensions

Deprived in 3Dimensions

Deprived in 4Dimensions

East Meon East Hampshire South East England

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Figure 10: current sales, data from Rightmove -parish only as at 02.04.15

Bedrooms Sellers description New build or re-sale Asking price £000’s

3 Terrace Re-sale 450

3 Cottage Re-sale 750

4 Terrace Re-sale 595

4 Cottage Re-sale 975

4 Detached Re-sale 1,500

5 Converted Manor House Re-sale 925

5 Detached New build 1,000

Source Rightmove property for sale listed as at 02.04.2015

Figure 11: current sales, data from Rightmove - parish and surrounding rural area

Number Bedrooms Type New build or re-sale Asking

price £K

min

Asking

price £K

max

2 3 Terraced/cottage Re-sale 450 750

2 2 Semi-detached Re-sale 265 320

1 3 Semi-detached New build 350

1 3 Semi-detached Re-sale 430

2 4 Semi-detached Re-sale 400 425

2 3 Detached Re-sale 430 875

1 4 Detached New 600

5 4 Detached Re-sale 675 975

1 4 Detached New build 1,500

3 5 Detached Re-sale 675 1850

1 5 Detached New build 1,500

1 6 Detached Re-sale 1,650

1 3 Detached bungalow Re-sale 700

1 4 Detached bungalow Re-sale 750

1 5 Detached bungalow Re-sale (redevelopment

opportunity)

875

Source Rightmove property for sale listed as at 02.04.2015

Figure 12: data from the Land Registry, recent sales by year-parish

2014 Number Sale price from

£000,s

Sale price to

£000,s

Flat

Terraced 5 319 870

Semi-detached 4 290 817

Detached 4 499 1,100

Total 13

Source: Land Registry as at 02.04.2015

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Figure 13: data from the Land Registry, recent sales by year-parish

2013 Number Sale price from

£000,s

Sale price to

£000,s

Flat 1 850

Terraced 1 325

Semi-detached

Detached 5 458 995

Total 7

Source: Land Registry as at 02.04.2015

Figure 14: data from the Land Registry, recent sales by year- parish

2012 Number Sale price from

£000,s

Sale price to

£000,s

Flat

Terraced 4 210 420

Semi-detached 3 250 290

Detached 5 537 900

Total 12

Source: Land Registry as at 02.04.2015

Rents

2.42 According to Rightmove, no dwellings were available to rent in the parish at the time of our investigation.

The wider search area used above yielded 4 dwellings which is no basis for a guideline. We searched a 5

mile radius of the village excluding the urban areas or Petersfield and Waterlooville. 27 dwellings were

advertised for rent in this area. However these results should be viewed with caution as some had been

advertised for up to 4 months indicating problems with condition, quality or an unrealistic asking price.

Considerably more choice at a wider range of process were available in the urban areas of Petersfield and

Waterlooville.

2.43 Figure 15 tells us that the entry level price for a 1 bedroom flat is around £650pcm and a small terraced

house £795pcm.

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Figure 15: dwellings currently available to rent - 5 mile radius excluding urban areas

Number

of

Bedrooms Type Asking price

from £pcm

Asking price to

£pcm

1 0 Studio flat 400

2 1 Flat 650 750

1 2 Flat 750

1 3 Flat 825

1 1 Terraced/cottage 875

1 2 Terraced/cottage 795

1 3 Terraced/cottage 950

2 2 Semi-detached 925 975

3 3 Semi-detached 995 1275

1 2 Bungalow (semi) 950

1 4 Bungalow (semi) 1250

1 4 Bungalow (detached) 1700

2 2 Detached 1050 875

5 3 Detached 975 1295

1 5 Detached 3850

3 5 Detached 675 1850

1 5 Detached 1,500

1 6 Detached 1,650

1 3 Detached bungalow 700

1 4 Detached bungalow 750

1 5 Detached bungalow 875

Source: Land Registry as at 02.04.2015

Summary and key finding of chapter 2

2.44 This section provides baseline information about the population, households and housing stock of East

Meon Parish. Most of information provided in this chapter has been drawn from 2011 Census.

Population

2.45 The 2011 Census recorded 1,257 people resident in East Meon Parish. The population of the parish has

increased by 139 people – 12.4 % growth from 2001. East Hampshire district was subject to an increase

in the population of 6,334 (5.8%).

2.46 Compared to the district, region and England (the other geographies), the parish is resident to lower

proportions of children, young adults (18-24), adults aged 25-44 and over 85 years of age. There is a

larger proportion of people in the 45-64 age range.

2.47 A comparison between the censuses 2001 and 2011 shows a lower proportion of parish residents of

primary school age, adults between the ages 20 and 44 and especially a decrease in the proportion of 30-

44 year olds. There was an increase in the proportion of people aged 45- 59. The proportion of people

resident in the parish aged 65-74 is static.

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The Local Economy

2.48 Compared to East Hampshire, the parish has a much higher proportion of self-employed people and

lower proportion of full time employees. The parish has a higher proportion of long term sick and

disabled than the other geographies.

2.49 The parish has higher proportion of the 3 highest occupation groups and the self-employed (small

employers etc.) than any of the other geographies. The parish has a considerably lower proportion

intermediate and routine occupations.

2.50 Just over 50% of the working population is employed in the Professional Scientific and Technical

Activities, Wholesale and Retail Trade Repair of Motor Vehicles, Education, Human Health and Social

Work Activities, Agriculture Forestry and Fishing industries. The proportion of the population employed

in Agriculture Forestry and Fishing industries and in Real Estate Activities much higher than for the other

geographies.

Health and deprivation

2.51 A higher proportion of parish residents enjoy very good health compared to those resident in the other

geographies. 55 residents reported that they have bad or very bad health.

2.52 98 people or 7.8% of the population of the parish consider that their day to day activities are limited a lot.

This is a similar proportion to that of England but is higher than that for East Hampshire.

2.53 Just over 10% of East Meon Parish residents provide unpaid care to another person which is a similar

proportion to the geographies listed. Most of this unpaid care is provided for up to 19 hours per week.

2.54 East Meon Parish has relatively low levels of deprivation compared to the other geographies. A smaller

proportion than the other geographies experience multiple levels of deprivation.

Housing and Households

2.55 As at census day 2011 there were 481 households in the parish (2.61 people per household). The previous

census recorded 433 households in the parish (2.58 people per household).

2.56 Around 40% of households occupy detached homes – a similar proportion to East Hampshire but

significantly higher than that of the region and England as a whole. Around one third of housing in the

parish is semi-detached housing - higher than East Hampshire and the region but on par with the

proportion within England. Terraced homes accounts for nearly 17% of all dwellings in the parish which is

comparable to the proportion within East Hampshire but significantly lower than within the region and

England. There are significantly fewer flats maisonettes and apartments than within all of the other

geographies.

2.57 Nearly 75% of all dwellings in the parish have 3 or more bedrooms compared to 60% across England.

Some 35% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms. This is a similar proportion to East Hampshire but

significantly higher than for the region and England. The proportion of 3 bedroom homes is similar across

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the geographies. The proportion of I and 2 bedroom homes in the parish is below that of the other

geographies.

2.58 The change in household tenure is not typical of the other geographies. Firstly the number of owner

occupiers who own outright has increased but the proportion not. This group has increased as a

proportion of all households in all other geographies. Secondly, the proportion of home owners with a

mortgage has increased in the parish, whereas the proportion has decreased in all other geographies.

Thirdly, the size and proportion of the private rented sector taken has remained static similar to East

Hampshire whereas the proportion within all dwellings within England has doubled.

Household composition

2.59 The parish has a slightly smaller proportion of single households over 65 than the other geographies.

2.60 Around 25% of all households live alone. Over half of all households (58%) are one or two person

households with no children present.

House prices and rents

2.61 It difficult to benchmark prices and rents in the parish. This is because of low sales volumes, very low

volumes of property for rent and a housing stock that varies considerably in size type character and age.

2.62 Between 7 and 13 dwellings have been sold per annum for the last few years. The evidence suggests that

entry level prices for terraced and semi-detached housing is unlikely to be under £250,000 and supply of

housing at that level is small. Although there was no rental property advertised at the time of our survey

it is unlikely that entry level rents would be below £795 pcm for a small terraced cottage.

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Chapter 3: The housing market context

Introduction

3.1 This chapter draws together information from a number of sources to describe important features of the

wider housing market within which the parish sits and consider how it impacts on housing need and

demand within the parish. We are also seeking to understand the factors that are causing the market to

change. These factors are normally referred to as housing market ‘drivers’.

3.2 Drivers are typically socio-economic factors that can result in changing levels of supply and demand in the

housing market:

demographic trends (net changes in the number of people and the type of households that

form);

changing housing market and economic conditions; and

change in prices and affordability (the relationship between house prices or rents and income).

3.3 Local authorities collate this information in an evidence base known as a strategic housing market

assessment (SHMA). Estimates of future housing requirements at the East Hampshire district level are

based upon this evidence.

Information from the SHMA and government statistics

3.4 The current SHMA was published in 2013. It is jointly published by the East Hampshire District Council

and the South Downs National Park Authority. As such it does not contain the latest household

projections, so we have sought more up to date information on demographic trends.

New homes needed

3.5 The SHMA contains an objective assessment of the full need for housing within East Hampshire and

concludes that 500 to 650 new homes need to be provided each year. This is equivalent to between 8,500

to 11,050 additional houses over the plan period 2011 to 2028 representing an increase of in the number

of homes in the district of between 17% and 23% over 17 years. Core output 5 of the SHMA estimates

that 308 households per annum will need affordable housing.

Geography

3.6 The SHMA concludes that East Hampshire district is part of 3 wider housing market areas:

Central Hampshire outside the national park (53% of East Hampshire’s population);

Central Hampshire inside the national park (30% of the population); and

Part of the PUSH (Partnership for Urban South Hampshire) sub-region (17% of the population).

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3.7 Our focus is on the part of the housing market within the national park. The SHMA recognises that

development within the park is likely to be restricted due to its special character and notes the

government’s expectations that new housing will be focussed on meeting affordable requirements

supporting local employment opportunities and key services.

3.8 The SHMA (table 27) goes on to estimates that around 16% of the district’s market need and 32% of the

districts affordable need will be provided in the national park area. The SHMA states that only a small

proportion of this growth, estimated at 79 dwellings per annum, will be driven by locally arising need, the

remainder will be driven by in-migration. Finally the SHMA recognises the role that Petersfield will play in

accommodating growth. Petersfield is significant because it is the largest centre of population within the

park and because of its proximity to East Meon. The above are findings of the SHMA and these are not

necessarily adopted as targets by the local authorities.

The affordability of housing

3.9 The SHMA estimates that housing in East Hampshire District is relatively more expensive than Hampshire

as a whole. In 2011 average house prices in East Hampshire were 9.99 times greater than the average

person’s income compared with 8.06 times greater in Hampshire overall. East Hampshire is relatively

expensive for local people to access housing. The SHMA also highlights concerns that the National Park is

an area of high demand for housing with constrained supply with a high potential for additional supply to

incentivise further in-migration, - pricing out local households to an even greater extent.

3.10 Affordability is measured by the relationship between household income and house prices. The SHMA

contains an estimated household income distribution. The key findings are that at 2012:

1/3 of households have an income of between £20,000 and £35,000;

median (50th percentile) household incomes are £32,500; and

lower quartile (25th percentile) incomes are £19,500.

3.11 The SHMA states that newly forming households are those that will typically drive the need for housing,

as existing households will already occupy property, however these households typically have lower

incomes and therefore have lower purchasing power in the housing market. The SHMA reports evidence

that over the previous decade, the incomes of newly forming households have been consistently between

60% and 70% of existing households.

3.12 The SHMA estimates that newly forming households are estimated to have:

median income of £20,500 (equivalent to 63% of median income for households overall); and

lower quartile income of £15,000 (equivalent to 76% of lower quartile household income

overall).

3.13 The SHMA then combines income and house price data to estimate affordability.

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Figure 16: Income levels required for entry level housing

Figure 17: Proportion of households unable to afford market housing

3.14 Our findings in relation to prices in Chapter 2 were that:

The evidence suggests that entry level prices for terraced and semi-detached housing is unlikely to be under

£250,000 and supply of housing at that level is small. Although there was no rental property advertised at the

time of our survey it is unlikely that entry level rents would be below £795 pcm for a small terraced cottage.

3.15 This means that using East Meon’s prices:

the income threshold for a £250,000 house with a 20% deposit with 3.5 x income (single

income household) =£57,142;

the income threshold for a £250,000 house with a 20% deposit with 3.2 x income (dual income

household) =£60,600;

the income threshold for a £795pcm rental would be £38,160; and

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the median income for East Hampshire was estimated at £32,500 and £20,500 for a newly

forming household.

3.16 So a dual income household earning the equivalent two median wages, with a 20% (£50,000) deposit

could afford entry level housing for sale in East Meon. The income needed to rent at £750 pcm would be

more than a new household with the equivalent of 2 new household lower quartile incomes could afford.

3.17 This illustrates the housing problems faced by newly forming households in Hampshire in general and

East Meon in particular.

Demographic change

3.18 The SHMA tells is that whilst some of the population growth in East Hampshire over the past decade

appears to be attributable to natural demographic change (i.e. the rate of births exceeding that of

deaths), the majority of change is attributable to migration with more people moving into the District

than moving out. Between 2001 and 2011 net in-migration totalled 3,450 equivalent to 62% of

population growth.

3.19 The 2012-based household projections to 2037 for England, were published on 27 February 2015. The

following information from the projections are essential context for the housing study and the

neighbourhood plan moving forward.

Figure 18: Projected growth in the number of households, East Hampshire 2012-2032 (‘000s)

Year

2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 % change

Number of households 48 50 52 54 56 +16%

Source CLG live table 406

Figure 19: Projected growth in the population, East Hampshire 2012-2032 (‘000s)

Year

2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 % change

Number of people 114 117 121 124 126 +10.5%

Source CLG live table 426

3.20 Projections show greater proportion of households than population therefor average household size will

reduce.

Figure 20: Projected change in average household size, East Hampshire 2012-2032 (‘000s)

Year

2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 % change

Average household size 2.39 2.35 2.31 2.28 2.24 -6.3%

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Figure 21: Projected growth in households by age group, East Hampshire 2012-2032)

Age group 2011 2021 % CHANGE

55-64 9,000 11,000 +22%

65-74 7,000 9,000 +28.5%

75-84 5,000 7,000 +40%

Over 85 2,000 3,000 +50%

Source CLG live table 406

3.21 All of the population growth is expected to be in the over 55s.

Supply

3.22 The level of re-sale purchases have been affected by the credit crunch – see figure 22.

Figure 22: indexed number of transactions 1996-2012

Source: Government statistics live table 588

3.23 Although according to Estate agents, sales volumes have increased over the last year or so the lack of

supply over this 4 year period has implications. Estate agents told us that a large proportion of current

demand is from households needing to move home because of changing circumstances but were unable

to. The reason that they were unable to move was because of lack of supply; restricted lending, reduced

levels of new build.

Summary and key findings

3.24 This chapter summarises the key features of the housing market within which East Meon sits. Our focus

is mainly on East Hampshire District and the South Downs National Park. The information will enable us

to consider how supply and demand for housing the parish is likely to move forward.

3.25 It is estimated that for East Hampshire as a whole 500 to 650 new homes need to be provided each year.

This is equivalent to between 8,500 to 11,050 additional homes in the period 2011 to 2028, being an

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

140.00

England Hampshire East Hampshire

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increase of 17-23% on existing homes. Most of this is to meet demand from incomers. 308 affordable

homes per annum will be needed. The latest household projections estimate an additional 8,000

households resident in East Hampshire between 2012 and 2032 being a 16% increase. Estimated average

household size is expected to reduce from 2.39to 2.24 (-6.3%) over this period. Projected growth in

households by age group tells us that all of the population growth is expected to be over 55 years of age

with the proportion of households over 85 increasing by 50%.

3.26 The government believes that it is likely that development will occur mainly outside the national park.

Within the park, new housing will be focussed on meeting affordable requirements, supporting local

employment opportunities and key services.

3.27 However the National Park is an area of high demand for housing with constrained supply and a high

potential for additional supply to lead to further in-migration, -pricing out local households.

3.28 The extent to which existing and newly forming households are priced out of the market is considerable.

It is estimated that a dual income household earning the equivalent two median wages, with a 20%

(£50,000) deposit could afford entry level housing for sale in East Meon. Estimated entry level rents

would be more than a dual lower quartile income new household could afford.

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Chapter 4: Social housing supply and registered demand

Introduction

4.1 Here we examine supply and demand information for social housing as at February 2015. Social housing

lettings are managed within the Hampshire Home Choice (choice based lettings) scheme.

Demand from the housing register

4.2 Each applicant is assessed and their application is placed in one of 4 priority bands:

1: exceptional housing need;

2: high priority;

3: medium priority; and

4: low priority.

4.3 Below is a table to show all active applicants registered for housing within East Hampshire. It is notable

that nearly 90% of applicants are in bands 1-3 and that nearly 80% are considered medium priority in

band 3:

Figure 23: assessed priority of households on the housing register across E. Hants.

Assessed Bedroom Need Band 1 Band 2 Band 3 Band 4 Total

Studio/ 1bed 3 107 953 177 1,240

2 bed 0 32 234 13 279

3 bed 0 4 65 11 80

4 bed 0 6 27 1 34

Total 3 149 1,279 202 1,633

Source: Hampshire Home Choice

4.4 Registered applicants can request accommodation in any area covered by the scheme regardless of local

connection. However, officers explained that where an affordable vacancy falls in a settlement with a

population below 3,000, priority is given to people with a local connection.

4.5 Hampshire Home Choice has provided further detailed information from the housing register i.e.

applicants with a local connection to East Meon and applicants from anywhere in East Hants seeking to

live in East Meon.

4.6 Below is a table showing applicants with a local connection to East Meon.

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Figure 24: assessed priority of households on the housing register seeking East Meon with a local connection.

Assessed Bedroom Need Band 1 Band 2 Band 3 Band 4 Total

Studio/ 1bed 0 2 8 2 12

1 bed sheltered 1

2 bed 0 1 3 1 5

3 bed 0 0 2 0 2

4 bed 0 0 0 0 0

Total 0 3 14 3 20

Source: Hampshire Home Choice

4.7 The housing register provides evidence of demand for the parish social housing stock that comes from

outside the parish. However demand from households with a local connection to East Meon amounts to

17 households in bands 1-3 and 3 households in band 4. The nature of demand is mostly for 1 bedroom

homes with smaller numbers seeking 2 and 3 bedroom homes. Next we consider information about the

past supply of social housing.

Supply

4.8 The following re-lets became available in East Meon in the past year.

Figure 25: social housing vacancies arsing in East Meon in the last 12 months

Number of bedrooms

Number becoming available

1 2

2 5

3 1

total 8

Source: Hampshire Home Choice

4.9 One of the above re-lets was let to a band 2 applicant the others were let to band 3.

4.10 We were told that there has been no new build lettings in this period.

4.11 There are currently 109 social rented homes in the parish, nearly 60% of which are houses. Bedroom

sizes are evenly distributed throughout the stock.

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Figure 26: affordable housing property types in the parish (number)

Type 1 bed 2 bed 3 bed Total

Bungalow 10 10

Flat 32 32

House 2 18 43 63

Shared Ownership House 4 4

Total 34 28 47 109

Source: East Hants Council

Figure 27: affordable housing property types in the parish (proportion)

Type 1 bed 2 bed 3 bed Total

Bungalow 0.0 9.2 0.0 9.2

Flat 29.4 0.0 0.0 29.4

House 1.8 16.5 39.4 57.8

Shared Ownership House 0.0 0.0 3.7 3.7

Total 31.2 25.7 43.1 100.0

4.12 Note that up to half of the flats will be ground floor flats. We are informed that they are not reserved for

occupation by older people. This means that less than 10% of the stock is dedicated to older people.

Key findings

4.13 Our key findings are that:

there are currently 109 social rented and shared ownership homes in the parish;

in the last 12 months there were 8 re-lets (a 7% vacancy rate) and no new build;

2 and 3 bedroom houses form just over half of the housing stock (56%);

according to the housing register, 20 households with a local connection are seeking a social

rented tenancy of which 3 are assessed as less urgent; and

there are 8 households with a local connection that are seeking a size and type of housing that

is not present within the stock.

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Chapter 5: The household survey

Introduction

5.2 A survey of local households was conducted to enable us to estimate the need for additional housing

generated by them, as well as seeking the views of all residents regarding priorities for the design of new

build housing and amenities.

5.3 The survey questionnaire is appended to this report. It was delivered by Royal Mail to 547 households,

which is more than the 481 households as at the census 2011. The difference in number is due to vacant

homes as at census day and additional homes through new build and conversion since then. According to

the census there were 26 household spaces that were not occupied (vacancies and unoccupied second

homes). Two hundred and eleven responses questionnaires were completed and returned being just

over 39% of the questionnaires issued. Allowing for an estimated 26 vacant homes the response rate was

40%. The response rate is not crucial to the validity of the survey findings as our report is based upon

responses received not estimates based upon random sampling and statistical probability.

5.4 Readers should be aware that margins of error and levels of confidence do not apply to the data obtained

in this type of survey. A margin of error is a statistic that expresses the probable amount of error due to

random sampling rather than surveying everyone in a survey's results. A margin of error is not estimated

in this report as the survey is not based upon a random sample of households because all households in

the parish were invited to participate.

5.5 The questionnaire was in 3 parts:

part A: all households were invited to provide their views and priorities for possible design

features and the amenities of future dwellings;

part B: to be completed by households that might move home over the next 5 years; and

part C: to be completed by households that had moved to the parish in the last 5 years.

Part A of the survey – priorities and amenities

5.6 A high proportion of respondents provided a very detailed response to Part A. Respondents were asked

to prioritise many options (high, medium and low) and leave no response to the question if they would

not support the issue at all.

Priorities for size and type of new build housing

5.7 Residents were asked about what priority they would give to certain sizes and types of dwelling. The 3

high priorities supported by most people supported smaller dwellings. The actual number of responses

are stated in brackets:

small homes for singles and couples (50);

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small family homes (2/3 bedroom) (89); and

smaller homes to enable people to downsize (80).

5.8 There was strong support for these issues as a medium priority also 50, 47 and 59 responses respectively

with much less support as a low priority. However high scoring medium priorities were about dwelling

type:

semi-detached (57);

bungalows (51); and

homes that facilitate home working (47).

5.9 The highest ranking low priorities were

town houses (70);

detached houses (61);

larger family homes (4/5 bedrooms) (54);

homes that facilitate working from home (46) and

flats or apartments (46).

5.10 Thirty eight respondents agreed with a statement ‘that no new homes should be built’ but seventy six

respondents disagreed. Twenty one of the thirty eight residents also provided no response to the priority

questions.

5.11 An alternative way of assessing priorities is to assess them by weighting responses, i.e. adding low

medium and high responses together but weighting medium priority by a factor of two and high priority

by a factor of 3. Using this system the types considered to be the highest priority would be:

small family homes (2/3 bedroom) (373);

smaller homes to enable people to downsize (366); and

small homes for singles and couples (280).

5.12 The lowest priorities were:

town houses (98); and

flats and apartments (121).

5.13 Respondents were asked to provide reasons for their responses to priorities for new build. Many of the

reasons given were in line with the details reported above justifying the priority statements. However

around one third of responses cautioned about the impact of future development on the character of the

village. Many of these remarks were not anti-development – just expressing caution about the scale and

impact on the village in terms of its community, character and landscape.

Household groups to be targeted

5.14 The 3rd part of part ‘A’ sought residents’ views about the household groups that might be targeted in any

future additional housing. The groups most respondents considered to be a high priority were:

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homes affordable to first time buyers (73);

homes to rent (social landlord) affordable to low income households (39); and

part buy/part rent (shared ownership) (32).

5.15 The groups considered to be a medium priority were:

homes affordable to first time buyers (49);

homes to rent (private landlord) affordable to average income households (48); and

self-build homes (39).

5.16 The groups considered to be a low priority were:

self-built homes (34);

homes bought on an equity sharing basis (32); and

homes to rent (social landlord) affordable to low income households (31).

5.17 Eight households suggested that the target group should be elderly households.

5.18 Using the weighted priority assessment described above, the 3 highest priorities were the same as the

high priority assessment:

homes affordable to first time buyers (330); and

homes to rent (social landlord) affordable to low income households (218).

5.19 Using the weighted priority assessment the lowest priorities were:

homes bought on an equity sharing basis (171; and

homes to rent (private landlord) affordable to average income households (200); and

part buy/part rent (shared ownership) (200).

5.20 Forty two residents agreed with the statement that the market should decide which groups should

targeted for new build housing, however sixty two people disagreed.

Establishing retaining or improving parish amenities

5.21 Residents were asked about what priority they would give to parish amenities being established or

improved. This section aroused the most interest in part A of the survey, evidenced by the large number

of responses.

5.22 The amenities most considered to be a high priority were establishing, retaining or improving:

the village shop(s) (174);

the village post office; (158);

public transport (158);

the village hall (129); and

faster broadband (122).

5.23 The amenities most considered to be a medium priority were establishing, retaining or improving:

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the football pitch (66);

a multi-use outside court (64);

facilities and services for visitors (64);

amenities for younger children (49); and

amenities for older children (48).

5.24 The amenities groups considered to be a low priority were establishing, retaining or improving:

a 24 hour cash machine (71);

facilities and services for visitors (51); and

the pavilion by the multi-use court (45).

5.25 Using the weighted priority assessment described above the 3 highest priorities were the same as the

high priority assessment:

the village shop(s) (556;

the village post office; (520); and

public transport (520).

5.26 Using the weighted priority assessment the lowest priorities were:

a 24 hour cash machine (207); and

the pavilion by the multi-use court (255).

5.27 Other frequent suggestions offered were regarding public houses, public toilets, a café, pre-school and

childcare services. Sport and leisure amenities such as cricket, cycle-ways and footpaths also featured.

Many chose to expand on their priorities for amenities and the most frequent remarks sought

improvements to the quality of the village shop.

Part B of the survey: households thinking of moving home within the next 5 years

5.28 Part B of the survey form gathered information from households who intended to move home over the

next 5 years. Forty households said that they were seeking to move home at some point over the next 5

years. Thirty six were existing households and four were new households seeking to live independently.

These are referred to as ‘concealed households’ in the report. Readers should note that totals in the

following tables sum to 36 or 40 households depending upon whether the information is regarding supply

or demand.

5.29 The aim of this section of the is to enable us to estimate the additional housing needed in the parish, if

any, to meet the housing requirements of those households wishing move to more suitable housing in the

parish. This is referred to as ‘local need’ in the report. The section also provides important information

about the reasons why household are seeking to move home, whether within or away from the parish.

5.30 It is important to understand the profile of the accommodation released (the future supply) as these

households leave their present accommodation.

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Housing type

5.31 The figure below shows the type of housing that households who told us that they expect to move

currently occupy.

Figure 28: present accommodation type of households that intend to move home

Accommodation type Number

Detached house 19

Semi-detached house 9

Terraced house 7

Bungalow 1

Flat/maisonette 0

Total 36

Source: Household Survey Data

Tenure

5.32 The figure below shows the current tenure of the 36 households. The data shows a high level of owner-

occupation with a high proportion of outright owners which are mostly older person households.

Figure 29: present tenure type of households that intend to move home

Tenure Number

Owned Outright 11

Owned with a Mortgage or Loan 12

Shared Ownership/Equity 1

Social Rented 1

Private rented 9

Tied tenancy 2

Total 36

Source: Household Survey Data

Household size

5.33 The figure below shows the number of people in each household (excluding concealed households. The

largest group is of two person households. 13 of these are couples without children. So 24 (66%) have no

children.

Figure 30: present composition of households that intend to move home

Number of people in each

household

Number of households

One 11

Two 14

Three 5

Four 6

Total 36

Source: Household Survey Data

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Age

5.34 The figure below shows the age of all people in the households seeking to move home.

Figure 31: age of household members – households that intend to move home

Age Group Number

0 ‒ 10 9

11-17 5

18-20 5

21-64 34

Over 65 21

All ages 74

Source: Household Survey Data

5.35 Figure 32 below, shows the reasons why households have stated a need or likelihood of moving home.

Households were asked to give up to 3 reasons in order of importance. The most frequent main reason

given is to enable the household to downsize. The second most frequent main reason is connected with

employment. Other noteworthy factors are that 12 households cite problems with remoteness and

isolation and access to amenities as first second or third reasons for wanting to move from the parish.

Given the high number of workers employed in agriculture and forestry the need for some to leave tied

accommodation is to be expected.

Figure 32: main reasons given by households that intend to move home

Reason for moving home Reason 1

Reason 2

Reason 3

Leaving tied accommodation 2

Downsize 9 5 2

Upsize 4 2

To buy a home or shared ownership 3

Better access to public transport 1 2 1

Get our own place 4

House with improved mobility/health 1 1 1

More energy efficient 1

Work 7 2

Reduce costs 5 4 3

Too remote /address isolation/amenities 4 6 2

Move from neighbours 1

Source: Household Survey Data

5.36 Figure 33 states where households expect to move to. This shows that 14 households propose to leave

the parish. Eleven households would expect to move within the parish and a further eleven would

consider moving within the parish if suitable housing was available at a price they could afford. None of

these eleven households gave an alternative destination. Two of the four concealed households planned

to find housing outside the parish.

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5.37 Regarding figure 33, of the 16 households (including 2 concealed households) thinking of moving away

from the parish the most frequent destinations were the London area (3) Petersfield (2) and the rest of

Hampshire (2). One planned to move overseas and 4 were undecided. The remaining destinations were

all in the south of England.

Figure 33: likely future location of households that intend to move home

Destination Moving

Households

Concealed

Households

Within the parish 11 1

May be within the parish 11 1

Not within the parish 14 2

Total 36 4

Source: Household Survey Data

5.38 Figure 34 shows the destinations of the 14 existing households plus the 2 concealed households thinking

of moving away from the parish. The most frequent destinations were: the London area (3); Petersfield

(2); and the rest of Hampshire (3). One planned to move overseas and 3 were undecided. The remaining

destinations were all in the south of England.

Figure 34: likely destination of those choosing to move away

Destination Households

London/nearer London 3

Petersfield 2

Hampshire other 3

Kent 1

Dorset 1

Winchester 1

Chichester 1

Undecided 3

Outside UK 1

Total 16

Source: Household Survey Data

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5.40 Households were asked about what tenure they would expect to obtain; the results are shown in the

figure below.

Figure 35: likely future tenure of households that will or may move home within the parish

Tenure Existing

home

Future home inc.

concealed

households

Buy own home no mortgage 5 8

Buy own home with mortgage 5 6

Shared ownership 1 1

Private rented 6 5

Social rent 1 4

Tied tenancy 2 0

Total 20 24

Source: Household Survey Data

5.41 The type of dwellings households would expect to move to is presented in figure 36. Compared to their

existing type of housing there is a clear net movement from semi-detached houses to bungalows.

Figure 36: likely future house-type of households that will or may move home within the parish

Type Existing

home

Future home inc.

concealed

households

Detached house 8 10

Semi-detached house 7 5

Terraced house 4 2

Undecided 0 1

Bungalow 1 5

Flat/maisonette 0 1

Total 20 24

Source: Household Survey Data

5.42 Households were asked to indicate the number of bedrooms they would expect to secure in their next

home. Analysis of the following figure shows that many households occupying 5+ bedroom homes are

seeking to downsize. As a consequence the net demand for 3 bedroom homes is estimated to see a

significant increase.

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Figure 37: comparison of present and future bedroom requirements

No of bedrooms Existing

households

Future inc.

concealed

households

6+ 2 0

5 3 0

4 4 6

3 4 11

2 5 6

1 1 1

Total 20 24

Source: Household Survey Data

Survey findings of demand for additional housing generated by local households

5.43 In undertaking this analysis it was found that over the next 5 years, 36 existing households indicated that

they were considering moving home and 4 concealed households indicated that they were likely to live

independently. Of these, 22 existing and 2 concealed households said they would be seeking suitable

housing within the parish, 24 households in total.

5.44 On a simple demand and supply basis there is a demand for 24 homes and a potential supply of 36 homes

released by the moving households over the next 5 years. This is a potential surplus of existing homes

that would be occupied by households who currently do not live in the parish as noted by the SHMA in

chapter 3. However the purpose of our analysis is to establish the net requirement for additional

housing generated by parish residents and using a simple netting off supply and demand presents a

misleading finding. We use the information collected from households to understand the potential

mismatch between available supply and demand when taking into account factors such as dwelling size,

type tenure, number of bedrooms and price.

5.45 So the next stage of analysis is to investigate if the supply of homes from the 36 moving households will

meet the requirements from the 24 households that told us they may want to move within the parish.

The sequencing of household moves is a crucial factor. A suitable home becoming vacant in year 1 will

not be available for a household seeking to move in a later year. So we have undertaken a more detailed

comparison of demand from local households seeking to move, compared it to the supply from the

moving households both planning to move and seeking to move in the same year.

5.46 Our analysis reveals 4 potential matches exist between the supply of vacant housing and the

requirements of households that are seeking to move home. The net position is that 18 existing and 2

concealed households planning to move within the parish, will be unable to find suitable housing from

the vacancies generated by the moving households.

5.47 The figure below estimates the requirements of the 20 households that we were unable to match with

supply from moving households. This and the following table are key findings of the report.

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Figure 37: summary of additional housing needed for households that intend to move within the parish

Tenure sought No. of

households

Type sought: 1 bed 2 bed 3 bed 4 bed

Private rent 1 Terraced house 0 1 0 0

Private rent 1 Detached house 0 0 1 0

Private rent 1 Any 0 0 1 0

Private rent (affordable) 1 Terraced house 1 0 0 0

Social rent 2 Bungalow 0 1 1 0

Social rent 2 Semi-detached house 0 2 0 0

Shared ownership 1 Semi-detached house 0 1 0 0

Owner occr (concealed h/h) 1 Flat 1 0 0 0

Owner occupier 3 Bungalow 0 2 1 0

Owner occupier 3 Detached house 0 0 3 0

Owner occupier 3 Detached house or bungalow 0 0 3 0

Owner occupier 1 Detached house or bungalow 0 0 0 1

Totals 20 2 7 10 1

Source: Household Survey Data

5.48 The reasons for the mismatch are clear from figures 37 and 38. Also demographic evidence reported in

chapters 2 and 3 suggests that the mismatch is entirely plausible. Put simply, the ageing population is

seeking to downsize and some will require specialist housing when they move home.

5.49 This is supported by the household survey evidence. Six of the above moving households seeking to stay

in the parish, have support needs or mobility based needs or a combination of the two. These need to be

met if the household is to continue to live independently.

Figure 38: specialist housing needed for households that intend to move within the parish

Tenure Bedrooms Type sought Personal

support

needed

Mobility

support

needed

Owner occupier 2 Bungalow Y

Owner occupier 3 Bungalow Y

Social renter 2 Bungalow Y Y

Social renter 3 Bungalow Y Y

Private renter 3 House Y

Private renter 1 House or bungalow Y

Source: Household Survey Data

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Part C: households that had moved to the parish within the last 5 years

5.50 Forty four households competed part C. Thirty nine of these households indicated that they had moved

into the parish rather than within it. Four of these households contained only people aged 65 years of age

or over, twenty adult only households (under 65) and fifteen had children of school age.

5.51 One of the households moving within the parish was 65 or over, one was an adult only households and

two had school aged children.

5.52 Three households had re-located to the parish from overseas, one was from the north of England and the

remaining thirty five were from many parts of the south of England (London area (9)) and short distance

movers from Petersfield and neighbouring parishes (9).

5.53 The main reason cited for moving to the parish was because of its location. Individual responses cite a

number of related factors such as ‘beautiful location’; ‘views’; ‘countryside’; and ‘village life’. The other

most frequently cited reasons concerned family and relationship matters as well as work related reasons.

Although upsizing or downsizing featured in responses they were not as frequent and there was little

mention of retirement. There were numerous other reasons including ‘schools’ and urgent need for

social housing. Some of the transport related issues have been grouped into the work category as they

mention the railway station at Petersfield and commuting.

Figure 39: the most frequent reasons why households re-located to the parish

Reason 1st 2nd 3rd

Family/relationship 9 7 2

Upsize 2 2 0

Downsize 4 3 0

Rural location 12 16 9

Work 8 3 0

Source: Household Survey Data

5.54 There was some shift in the tenure pattern of moving households. Upon moving to the village, a net

additional four households became outright home owners and a net additional two households became

home owners with a mortgage. There was a corresponding net reduction in households formerly being

private renters.

5.55 Six households told us that they had problems with their mobility and five households also needed help

with personal care and support.

Key findings of the household survey analysis

5.56 Part A of the survey sought residents’ views about priorities for future new build housing in the parish

and the importance attached to amenities.

5.57 Regarding priorities for size and type of future housing new build 3 priorities supported by most people

were:

small homes for singles and couples;

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small family homes (2/3 bedroom); and

smaller homes to enable people to downsize.

5.58 Thirty eight respondents agreed with a statement ‘that no new homes should be built’ but seventy six

respondents disagreed. Around one third of responses cautioned about the impact of future

development on the character of the village.

5.59 The 3 target groups of household supported by most people for new build housing were:

homes affordable to first time buyers;

homes to rent (private landlord) affordable to average income households; and

self-build homes.

5.60 The amenities most considered to be a high priority were establishing, retaining or improving:

the village shop(s);

the village post office; and

public transport.

5.61 Part B of the survey led to an estimate of the additional housing needed in the parish, if any, to meet the

housing requirements of those households wishing move to more suitable housing in the parish. This is

referred to as ‘local need’.

5.62 Forty households said that they were seeking to move home at some point over the next 5 years. Thirty

six were existing households and four were new households seeking to live independently. The most

frequent main reason given by the 36 households for seeking to move home was to enable the household

to downsize. The second most frequent main reason is connected with employment.

5.63 Fourteen households proposed to leave the parish. Eleven households would expect to move within the

parish and a further eleven would consider moving within the parish if suitable housing was available at a

price they could afford.

5.64 Compared to their existing type of housing there is a clear trend to move from semi-detached houses to

bungalows and a smaller trend for some households to become outright home owners on moving home.

Many households currently occupying 5+ bedroom homes are seeking to downsize. As a consequence

the net demand for 3 bedroom homes is estimated to see a significant increase.

5.65 The future local need (a net future 5 year requirement for additional housing) was estimated by studying

the mismatch between the likely supply of housing and the requirement of the moving households. It is

estimated that there is a need to provide additional housing for 18 existing and 2 concealed households.

5.66 The size type and tenure required by the 20 households is reported in detail, noting that 6 of these

households have support needs or mobility based needs or a combination of the two. These need to be

met if the household is to continue to live independently.

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5.67 The broad conclusion from this evidence and the demographic evidence reported in chapters 2 and 3 is

that the ageing population is seeking to downsize and some will require specialist housing when moving

home.

5.68 Part C of the survey reports on the 40 households that had moved into the Parish within the last 5 years.

Thirty nine of these households indicated that they had moved into the parish rather than within it.

5.69 The main reason cited for moving to the parish was because of its location. Individual responses cite a

number of related factors such as ‘beautiful location’; ‘views’; ‘countryside’; and ‘village life’. The other

most frequently cited reasons concerned family and relationship matters as well as work related reasons.

Although upsizing or downsizing featured in responses they were not as frequent.

5.70 There was some shift in the tenure pattern of moving households. Upon moving to the village, a net

additional four households became outright home owners and a net additional two households became

home owners with a mortgage. There was a corresponding net reduction in households formerly being

private renters.

5.71 Six households told us that they had problems with their mobility and five households also needed help

with personal care and support.

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Chapter 6: Information from stakeholders

Introduction

It is important to have a qualitative understanding of the parish in terms of its location, topology,

connections and community. In this way the story of the parish and its role within the local housing

market can be more fully understood than from the interpretation of data alone.

In order to add these dimensions to the study we:

undertook a tour of the parish and the surrounding area; and

interviewed a number of stakeholders: estate and letting agents, local school officials; officers

of district council and a registered provider (housing association).

We present the information obtained according to its source.

Estate and Letting agents

Estate agents play a crucial role in facilitating the local housing market they are experts in their local

areas. Our aim was to find out more about supply and demand for housing in the parish especially what

gaps existed in the market for groups of households. We interviewed three independent estate agents

and one specialist letting agency all based in Petersfield.

There was an inadequate number and cross section of homes on sale or offered to let to form a definitive

view about typical asking prices and values. Agents agreed with our approach of aggregating information

from neighbouring parishes to build up the profile of the local housing market reported in chapter 2.

However agents told us that prices had been relatively unaffected by the credit crunch as purchasers

tended to have low loan to value ratios but cautioned that prices were on average higher than for some

neighbouring parishes

When vacancies arise, both sales and letting opportunities are generally ‘snapped up’ and asking prices

are mostly achieved or exceeded. Agents explained that this is partly to do with local knowledge.

Residents are often aware of potential vacancies before they are marketed. This information is passed on

to friends and relatives seeking to move into the parish.

We were told that the main gap is housing to buy or rent that is affordable to younger households and

newly forming households. Young people tend to leave the parish to find the housing they can afford. An

employer in the village confirmed this, explaining that most of his staff would travel in from Waterlooville

or Portsmouth. However some are able to secure housing with the financial assistance of parents.

Many households would avoid thatched cottages due to fire risk and prices reflect this. All agents told us

about a recent fire in the village.

Private investors are not active currently active due to high demand from owner occupiers. Letting agents

told us that advertised vacancies were very rare, most private rented sector vacancies being managed by

landlords directly and due to the effectiveness of parish networks described above.

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East Hampshire District Council and Hampshire Home Choice

Information obtained from officers was fully reported in chapter 4.

Registered Providers (housing associations)

A senior officer of the Radian Group was interviewed. Radian owns and manages much of the existing

social housing in the parish. We sought an indication from Radian about the likelihood of future

investment in the parish and the nature of that investment.

We were told that Radian has a target of building an additional 600 homes per year for the next three

years across all areas that it operates within (Berkshire, Buckinghamshire, Dorset, Hampshire, Isle of

Wight, Surrey, Sussex, and Wiltshire). Much of this growth will deliver new homes at affordable rents and

some shared ownership. However the group also envisages new build housing for sale and market rent.

Most of the housing will aimed at general need households rather than special need households. Readers

should note that the term ‘affordable rents’ means that rent levels will be set at a proportion of prevailing

market rents and these are usually more expensive than social rents.

The officer explained that before committing to a new development project the organisation had to be

sure that the development was sustainable and financially viable in the long term. Radian needed to be

sure that demand existed in the long term for the size and type of additional dwellings envisaged. We

asked if Radian regarded East Meon as a sustainable location and if any plans existed for new

development in the parish in the immediate future. We were told that because of its size, location and

services East Meon would be considered for future development but there were no plans to do so at the

moment.

We outlined the key findings of the housing need survey and asked how these needs might be met. We

emphasised that need had been identified for small numbers of affordable rent, market rent and

affordable home ownership whish were part of Radian’s wider development priorities. However housing

for people with special needs and support needs was not. We were advised that the Parish Council should

liaise with East Hampshire District Council to influence the delivery programme.

The officer asked that factors that would inhibit local development be noted. Radian partly raises finance

for development by loans and lenders had concerns about occupancy restrictions that would restrict the

demand for dwellings and reduce the value of the property against which mortgages were secured.

Examples of problematic restrictions were given as local occupancy rules, age restrictions on letting and in

the case of shared ownership, stair-casing restrictions that apply to some protected rural areas. Stair-

casing is the ability for someone in shared ownership to change the proportion of ownership and rent.

The primary school

An understanding of the school’s catchment area is important because schools are generally cited as a

significant driver of demand for local housing. Information was provided by a senior school official and the

school’s website.

The East Meon primary school is a Church of England controlled school and was rated as good by OFSTED

in its last inspection.

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The school teaches children from reception to year 6 (up to the age of 11). The school site also

accommodates an independently run day care facility.

The primary school currently (summer term 2015) has 87 pupils on the school roll with a capacity of 91

children. We were told that 70% of pupils on the roll are from the parish and the school is able to fully

meet demand for places from parish residents.

The school has children on its roll that are residents of West Meon, Froxfield, Clanfield, Horndean and

Waterlooville.

We were told that the school is generally self-sufficient in terms of accommodation and grounds however

the school football club will use the village hall in the spring term.

Summary of key findings

Estate and letting agents told us that vacancies were rare as people tended to move to the parish and

stay. When vacancies did occur they sold or let very quickly and that asking prices would be achieved or

exceeded. They told us that there was a significant gap in supply of suitable and affordable houses for

new forming households and first time buyers. Many of these that were village residents had to leave the

village to find housing. A local employer confirmed this.

The village primary school told us that it had the capacity to fully meet demand for school places for

children resident in the village. Surplus places were taken by children living in nearby towns and villages.

The Radian Group owns and manages affordable housing in the Parish. It currently has no plans to build

further homes in the parish. However it does not rule out future development and advises the Parish

Council to liaise with the district council if it wishes to influence Radian’s investment priorities.

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Chapter 7: Key findings and conclusions

Introduction

7.1 This section brings the evidence together from the previous chapters and considers key findings and

conclusions.

High level findings

7.2 The evidence suggests that the parish has many features that distinguish it from the district, the region

and England. Compared to these larger geographies the key differences are:

over the decade between the 2001 and 2011 censuses the parish population and number of

households has grown at a greater rate than for East Hampshire;

there are fewer young children and young adults - a downward trend;

there are considerably more people in the 45-64 age range – an upward trend;

people that are economically active are more likely to be in higher and medium level

occupations and self-employed. The proportion of the population employed in Agriculture

Forestry and Fishing industries and in Real Estate Activities much higher than for the other

geographies; and

people are healthier and are less likely to have limitations in their day to day activities even

though there is a high proportion of older residents in the parish.

7.3 The housing stock:

has a very high proportion of detached houses and bungalows with a very low proportion of

terraced homes, flats and apartments;

has a high proportion (over 75%) of homes that have 3 bedrooms or more;

generates a low supply of re-sales and re-lets;

generates high demand, driven by its location in the National Park with access to labour

markets in nearby cities and London;

has more expensive house prices than the district and region.

is unlikely to be affordable to households on average income unless they can find significant

deposits; and

is unlikely to be affordable to new households.

7.4 There is little supply of re-sale, market rental, social or affordable housing in the parish. Although many

households on the waiting list for social housing aspire to live in the parish, limited supply from relets

means that there is only a small amount of active demand.

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The housing market context

7.5 The key finding of our review are that for East Hampshire and the National park within it:

500 to 650 new homes need to be provided each year, equivalent to between 8,500 to 11,050

additional homes between 2011 to 2028 - an increase of 17-23% on existing homes. Most of

this is to meet demand from incomers;

308 affordable homes per annum will be needed;

the latest household projections estimate an additional 8,000 households resident in East

Hampshire between 2012 and 2032 being a 16% increase;

estimated average household size is expected to reduce from 2.39to 2.24 (-6.3%) over this

period;

projected growth in households by age group tells us that all of the population growth is

expected to be over 55 years of age with the proportion of households over 85 increasing by

50%;

it is likely that development will occur mainly outside the national park. Within the park new

housing will be focussed on meeting affordable requirements, supporting local employment

opportunities and key services; however

the National Park is an area of high demand for housing with constrained supply.

The household survey

7.6 Our household survey revealed some public support for additional housing for first time buyers and older

people. It estimates that there is locally generated need for around 20 dwellings over the next five years

to address a mismatch between the size and type and tenure of housing that may become vacant and the

requirements of local households that are considering moving. A significant proportion of these

households are in poor health or are becoming frail and need suitable housing and support.

7.7 Analysis of characteristics of households that may move home are consistent with the profile described

above: an aging population living in larger homes seeking to downsize and a smaller number of younger

households seeking to establish their first homes or upgrade.

Stakeholders

7.8 East Hampshire and Hampshire Home Choice provided information about the social housing stock and

demand for it from the housing register. Our analysis revealed a small number of households for which

the current social housing stock is unlikely to deliver suitable supply.

7.9 Estate and letting agents told us of low levels of supply and that entry level prices were beyond the reach

of many new households and first time buyers forcing them to seek housing elsewhere.

7.10 The village primary school told us that it had the capacity to fully meet demand for school places for

children resident in the village. Surplus places were taken by children living in nearby towns and villages.

7.11 The Radian Group owns and manages affordable housing in the Parish. It currently has no plans to build

further homes in the parish. However it does not rule out future development and advises the Parish

Council to liaise with the district council if it wishes to influence Radian’s investment priorities.

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Cross referencing the information

7.12 We can use the wider evidence in the report and evidence from stakeholders to test the household

survey findings.

7.13 Evidence of supply from Rightmove and the Land Registry is of a similar order of magnitude to that

created by the number of households that plan to move identified by the survey. It is also in step with the

number of households that moved into the parish over the last 5 years identified by the survey. Evidence

from estate agents and local residents demonstrates demand is very high for market housing, whether for

sale or rent and that supply is constrained as households tend to stay in the parish long term.

7.14 The survey identifies low numbers of households seeking social and private rented sector housing.

Analysis of supply and demand results in a mismatch and a small number of households are unlikely to be

satisfactorily re-housed in East Meon without additional house building. Information from the household

survey demonstrates a smaller number of households resident in the parish in need of suitable social

housing and a larger number seeking private rented sector housing. With low vacancy rates, in our

experience applicants in less urgent housing need will need to consider options in other locations.

7.15 Low numbers of concealed households seeking to live independently within the parish are to be expected

because those wishing to purchase are priced out of the market within the parish setting.

7.16 Local and national policy affecting the national park is also consistent with our survey findings measuring

local need. The government is clear that additional housing in the Park should meet local need and

employment needs. The objective assessment of need within the SHMA distinguishes between East

Hampshire’s housing need inside and outside the national park. The SHMA also defines the conditions

that have led to the affordability challenge affecting new households and many first time buyers: ‘the

National Park is an area of high demand for housing with constrained supply with a high potential for

additional supply to incentivise further in-migration, -pricing out local households to an even greater

extent’.

Interpreting local need estimates, policy considerations and conclusion

7.17 Although we have improved the survey method, it is similar to that which has been relied upon for

decades to estimate local housing requirements. More recently the approach is used in smaller

geographies such as wards and parishes rather than boroughs, districts and cities.

7.18 It is important to recognise that the survey is a snapshot of household circumstances and aspirations. The

method cannot take account of unexpected change in housing requirements due to, for example

relationship breakdown or household dissolution due to death, so the estimates of local need should be

regarded as a minimum requirement.

7.19 The amount of local need is an estimate not a probability. It should be regarded as an order of magnitude

and not be applied prescriptively. Taking the survey findings and the supporting evidence into account

there is very strong evidence to support policies that address imbalances between the parish household

and dwelling profiles, noting the predicted demographic change.

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7.20 A key finding of the report that should steer future policy affecting the parish is that ‘the ageing

population is seeking to downsize and some will require specialist housing when they move home’.

7.21 The wider policy aim is to ensure the long term sustainability of the parish whilst retaining its character.

This report describes issues that threaten the long term sustainability of the parish. Firstly, the high

proportion of older person residents. Older people are living longer but inevitably some will become

infirm and if they are to be able to continue to live in the parish then some specialist accommodation and

support will be needed. Some households are seeking to manage their housing and are seeking to

downsize from large homes within the parish and the housing supply scenario we have considered may

not meet the requirements of some of these households.

7.22 Secondly, younger people find it difficult to secure housing they can afford within the parish so are

leaving the parish and reinforcing a rising trend of a growing proportion of older people and the falling

numbers of primary school age children. However the reputation of the school means that places are in

demand from a wider area. The evidence would support a housing policy of to address these imbalances.

7.23 Thirdly, survey findings also draw attention to non-housing issues that if not addressed will put the

sustainability of the village at risk.

7.24 The evidence base that has been produced contains significant and wide ranging information to enable

the parish council and the public to consider housing policy and development proposals in an informed

way.

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Appendix

The household survey questionnaire

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Questionnaire PART A – Gaps and Priorities

All households are invited to complete this part of the questionnaire.

1. If new homes were to be built in the village in the future, which types would you consider a priority? (Please indicate the priority with a tick or leave blank if you don’t support).

Description Low priority √

Medium priority √

High priority √

1 small homes for singles/couples; 2 small family homes (2/3 bedroom); 3 larger family homes (4/5 bedroom); 4 homes that facilitate working from home; 5 smaller homes to enable older people to downsize; 6 detached houses; 7 town houses (3 storey); 8 bungalows; 9 semi-detached or terraced; 10 flats or apartments; 11 none - I believe that no homes should be built. Agree Disagree (please circle your response)

2. Please tell us the main reasons for your responses in section 1 or use the space to tell us your views about further housing growth in the village.

3. Which household groups should be targeted, if any, in future? (Please indicate the priority with a tick or leave blank if you don’t support).

Description Low priority √ Medium priority √

High priority √

1 homes affordable to first time buyers;

2 homes to rent (private landlord), affordable to average income households;

3 homes to rent (social landlord) affordable to low income households;

4 part buy/part rent (shared ownership); 5 homes made affordable to buy partly financed by loans that

are repaid on sale or after a number of years (sometimes called equity sharing);

6 self-built homes (build costs are lower); 7 other groups – please state:

8 none of the above – let the market decide. Agree Disagree (please circle your response)

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Parish Amenities and Infrastructure

4. What priority would you attach to establish or retain or improve the following amenities? (Please indicate the priority with a tick or leave blank if you don’t support).

Amenity Low priority √

Medium priority √

High priority √

1 village hall 2 shops 3 post office 4 public transport 5 amenities for younger children 6 amenities for older children 7 24hr cash machine 8 facilities and services for visitors. 9 faster broadband 10 football pitch 11 multi-use outside court 12 pavilion by multi-use court 13 other (please state)

14 other (please state)

5. Please say more about things you consider a high priority. For example if an amenity does not exist say why you think it is important, if it does exist; why and how should it be improved?

Many thanks for your response.

Please complete parts B and C where appropriate.

_________________________________________

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Questionnaire PART B – households thinking of moving

home within the next 5 years

B1 Please circle the description that best describes the household that is thinking of moving home

1.1 Existing household with all members moving

1.2 Part of an existing household with some moving* (other than a student) but others remaining

1.3 Existing household that will form two households or more all moving to a different address** (other than a student)

(* Please complete part B for the moving household. (** Please complete part B for each household. You can write the second household on, copy the form or ask for another).

B2 How many people will live with you in your new home in each age group?

Adults over 65 Adults 21-60 Young adults 18-21 Children 11-17 Children under 11

2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5

B3 Number of bedrooms?

How many bedrooms does your home have now? 3.1

How many bedrooms will you seek in your new home? 3.2

B4 Type of home? Please circle the descriptions (i.e. detached and house or bungalow)

Current home

4.1 Detached 4.2 Semi-detached 4.3 Terraced 4.4 House 4.5 Bungalow 4.6 Flat/apartment

Next home 4.7 Detached 4.8 Semi-detached 4.9 Terraced 4.10 House 4.11 Bungalow 4.12 Flat/apartment

B5 What are the main reasons why you are thinking of moving in order of importance?

5.1

1

5.2

2

5.3

3

B6 What is your current and likely tenure of your next home? Please circle the closest description:

Current: 6.1 Owner Occupier (no mortgage)

6.2 Owner Occupier (with mortgage)

6.3 Shared ownership (part owned and part rented)

6.4 Private rent

6.5 Social rent

6.6 Other (please state)

Next home 6.7 Owner Occupier (no mortgage)

6.8 Owner Occupier (with mortgage)

6.9 Shared ownership (part owned and part rented)

6.10 Private rent

6.11 Social rent

6.12 Other (please state)

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B7 Where are you seeking to move to? Please circle the closest description:

7.1 Probably within East Meon Parish

7.2 Probably outside the parish (Please tell us where. Please state

if outside the UK)

7.3_______________________

7.4 Outside the parish but would consider staying if suitable housing was available that we could afford

B8 When are you likely to move home? Please circle the year:

8.1 Imminent 8.2 2015 8.3 2016 8.4 2017 8.5 2018 8.6 2019

B9 Does your existing home have any of the following problems? Please circle all that apply:

9.1 House is too cold 9.2 House is damp 9.3 House is expensive to

heat 9.4 Too few bedrooms for

us

9.5 House is too big 9.6 House needs major

repairs

9.7 House is not suitable for a disabled member of

the household

9.8 Other, please state:

B10 What is the maximum price or rent of new home you are willing to pay?

10.1 If buying: purchase price £ 10.2 If renting: monthly rent £ 10.3 If renting would you need to claim housing benefit: please circle yes or no

B11 Does anyone in your household have a long term illness or disability? such that they need: (please circle yes or no to each question)

11.1) grab rails or similar to manage steps and or bathing yes/no

11.2) a stair lift or through floor lift now or in the near future yes/no

11.3) ground floor facilities such as a W.C., bathroom or bedroom yes/no

11.4) easy access electrical switches and door handles yes/no

11.5) to use a wheelchair when inside the home yes/no

11.6) help with transport and or shopping yes/no

11.7) help with personal care and/or cooking or cleaning yes/no

B12 What features would you look for in your next home? Please circle all that apply:

12.1 a high energy rating 12.2 a garage 12.3 office space 12.4 adequate parking

12.5 a family sized garden 12.6 a small garden 12.7 no garden 12.8 cycle storage

Many thanks for your response.

Please complete Part C if you moved into or within the parish in the last 5 years.

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Questionnaire PART C – households that moved into or

within the parish in the last 5 years.

C1 About your latest house move in the last 5 years. Please circle one answer. Was it?

1.1 A house move into the parish 1.2 A house move within the Parish

C2 If your latest house move was to the parish, from which city, town or village did you move?

2.2 ___________________________________

C3 How many people live in your current home in each age group?

Age range Adults over 65 Adults 22-64 Young adults 18-21 Children 11-17 Children 0-10

Number: 3.1 3.2 3.3 3..4 3.5

C4: Number of bedrooms?

How many bedrooms did your previous home have? 4.1

How many bedrooms does your present home have? 4.2

C5: Please tell us the main reasons why you moved home in order of importance:

5.1

1

5.2

2

5.3

3

C6 Please circle the tenure of your previous home and the tenure of your present home:

Previous: 6.1 Owner

Occupier (no Mortgage)

6.2 Owner Occupier

(with Mortgage)

6.3 Shared ownership

(part owned and part rented)

6.4 Private rent

6.5 Social rent

6.6 Other (please state)

Current: 6.7 Owner

Occupier (no

Mortgage)

6.8 Owner Occupier (with

Mortgage)

6.9 Shared ownership

(part owned and part rented)

6.10 Private rent

6.11 Social rent

6.12 Other (please state)

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C7 Type of home? Please circle the descriptions (i.e. detached and house or bungalow)

Current home

7.1 Detached 7.2 Semi-detached 7.3 Terraced 7.4 House 7.5 Bungalow 7.6 Flat/apartment

Next home 7.7 Detached 7.8 Semi-detached 7.9 Terraced 7.10 House 7.11 Bungalow 7.12 Flat/apartment

C8 Did your previous home have any of the following problems? Please circle all that apply:

8.1 House is too cold 8.2 House is damp 8.3 House is expensive to

heat 8.4 Too few bedrooms for

us

8.5 House is too big 8.6 House needs major

repairs

8.7 House is not suitable for a disabled member of

the household

8.8 Other, please state:

C9 Does anyone in your household have a long term illness or disability? such that they need: (please circle yes or no to each question)

9.1) grab rails or similar to manage steps and or bathing yes/no

9.2) a stair lift or through floor lift now or in the near future yes/no

9.3) ground floor facilities such as a W.C., bathroom or bedroom yes/no

9.4) easy access electrical switches and door handles yes/no

9.5) to use a wheelchair when inside the home yes/no

9.6) help with transport and or shopping yes/no

9.7) help with personal care and/or cooking or cleaning yes/no

C10 Which features were you looking for when you decided to move to your present home? Please circle all that apply:

10.1 a high energy rating 10.2 a garage 10.3 office space 10.4 adequate parking

10.5 a family sized garden 10.6 a small garden

10.7 No garden 10.8 cycle storage

Many thanks for your response.

Please also complete Part B of the questionnaire if you intend to move again within 5 years.

______________________________________________________

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Report Status

1. This report was commissioned by East Meon Parish Council. The report may be quoted from in other

publications provided the source is acknowledged. East Meon Parish Council owns the copyright.

2. The research was undertaken by Chris Broughton, Principal of Chris Broughton Associates. The questionnaire

and survey method is the intellectual property of Chris Broughton and should not be used without his

consent.

3. Chris Broughton’s contact details are:

Telephone: 07809 625636

Email: [email protected]

Website: www.chrisbroughton.co.uk